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4QFY2010 Result Update I Media
                                                                                                                         April 29, 2010




  Balaji Telefilms                                                                        NEUTRAL
                                                                                          CMP                                    Rs59
  Performance Highlights                                                                  Target Price                              -

  Balaji Telefilms posted yet another quarter of a disappointing Top-line, which         Investment Period                           -
  declined by 32% yoy and 14% qoq to Rs33.5cr, as both commissioned and
  sponsored programming registered a decline. However, on a sequential                   Stock Info
  basis, the average realisations registered an improvement (both commission             Sector                                 Media
  and sponsored realisations registered a spike to the tune of 11-15%). After
  another disappointing quarter of results and volatility in the show pipeline, we       Market Cap (Rs cr)                       383
  have revised our estimates for FY2011E and FY2012E downwards, factoring
                                                                                         Beta                                      1.0
  in: 1) lower programming revenues, and 2) pressure on Margins, due to
  higher production costs (new programs expected to launch in 1HFY2011E                  52 WK High / Low                       78/40
  and a modest Movie pipeline). We recommend a Neutral view on the stock.
                                                                                         Avg. Daily Volume                    351,470

  Yet another quarter of disappointing results: Balaji Telefilms (BTL) posted yet        Face Value (Rs)                             2
  another quarter of disappointing results. The Top-line for the company                 BSE Sensex                            17,503
  declined by 32% yoy and 14% qoq, impacted by a decrease in total
  programming hours by 19% yoy and 22% qoq, as three commissioned shows                  Nifty                                  5,254
  went off-air during the quarter. The company registered an Operating loss of           Reuters Code                         BLTE.BO
  Rs1.3cr, which was lower on a yoy basis; however, on a sequential basis, the
  Operating loss increased, owing to the weak Top-line and rise in Staff cost. In        Bloomberg Code                       BLJT @IN
  terms of Earnings, Balaji posted a Rs3.4cr profit (over a loss of Rs14.6cr yoy),
                                                                                         Shareholding Pattern (%)
  primarily aided by a one-time gain of Rs11.2cr, on account of a settlement of
  dues from INX Media and lower depreciation charges.                                    Promoters                               40.2

                                                                                         MF/Banks/Indian FIs                     22.5
  Outlook and Valuation: Going ahead, we expect BTL’s financial performance
  to remain under pressure, owing to a low visibility of its programming slate           FII/NRIs/OCBs                           27.4
  and a cut in the programming hours (both sponsored programming hours
                                                                                         Indian Public                             9.9
  and commissioned programming hours). While BTL is ramping-up its
  production slate, the rising competition in content production and lower shelf         Abs. (%)            3m        1yr         3yr
  lives for TV shows are likely to keep realisations and programming hours
  volatile. Moreover, rich valuations at 15.8x FY2012E EPS cannot be justified,          Sensex              7.0       53.5       25.8
  given BTL’s highly unstable and volatile Earnings scenario. Hence, we
  recommend a Neutral view on the stock.                                                 Balaji Tele.        8.5       33.0      (63.7)




   Key Financials (Consolidated)
   Y/E Mar (Rs cr)                 FY2009         FY2010E         FY2011E    FY2012E
   Net Sales                         337.5           159.2          182.8      238.1
   % chg                             (10.8)          (52.8)          14.8       30.3
   Net Profit (Adj)                     0.8             6.4          16.6       24.4
   % chg                             (99.1)                -        158.0       47.1
   OPM (%)                              4.8            (5.9)          7.2       10.3
   EPS (Rs)                             0.1             1.0           2.5        3.7
   P/E (x)                                -            61.2          23.2       15.8   Anand Shah
                                                                                       Tel: 022 – 4040 3800 Ext: 334
   P/BV (x)                             1.0             1.0           1.0        0.9
                                                                                       E-mail: anand.shah@angeltrade.com
   RoE (%)                              0.2             1.7           4.3        6.1
   RoCE (%)                           (1.9)            (5.4)         (0.1)       2.2
                                                                                       Chitrangda Kapur
   EV/Sales (x)                         0.5             0.9           0.8        0.5
                                                                                       Tel: 022 – 4040 3800 Ext: 323
   EV/EBITDA (x)                        9.6          (15.3)          10.7        5.3   E-mail: chitrangdar.kapur@angeltrade.com
   Source: Company, Angel Research


                                                                                                                                         1
Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report                           Sebi Registration No: INB 010996539
Balaji Telefilms I 4QFY2010 Result Update

                 Exhibit 1: Quarterly Performance Update (Standalone)
                  Y/E March (Rs cr)                4QFY10    4QFY09     % chg    FY10     FY09     % chg
                  Net Sales                          33.5       49.4    (32.2)   152.8    294.9    (48.2)
                  Cost of Production                 21.8       41.6    (47.5)   106.1    180.7    (41.3)
                  (% of sales)                       65.2       84.3              69.4     61.3
                  Staff cost                          4.9        2.1    133.1     16.4     13.2      24.0
                  (% of sales)                       14.7        4.3              10.7      4.5
                  Other expenditure                   8.1       23.0    (64.9)    31.0     61.3    (49.5)
                  (% of sales)                       24.1       46.6              20.3     20.8
                  Total Expenditure                  34.8       66.8    (47.8)   153.4    255.2    (39.9)
                  Operating Profit                   (1.3)     (17.4)             (0.6)    39.8
                  OPM (%)                            (3.9)     (35.1)             (0.4)    13.5
                  Interest                            0.0        0.0               0.0      0.0
                  Depreciation                        2.4       12.5    (80.6)    10.3     23.5    (56.1)
                  Other Income                       14.6        6.1    138.5     33.2     21.3      56.0
                  PBT (excl Ext. Items)              10.8      (23.8)             22.3     37.5    (40.7)
                  Ext Income/(Expenses)               0.0       (0.3)              0.0     (0.3)
                  PBT (incl Ext. Items)              10.8      (24.1)             22.3     37.2    (40.1)
                  (% of Sales)                       32.3      (48.8)             14.6     12.6
                  Prov. for Taxation                  7.4       (9.5)              7.1     10.8    (34.9)
                  (% of PBT)                         68.7       39.3              31.7     29.2
                  Recurring PAT                       3.4      (14.3)             15.2     26.7    (43.0)
                  PATM (%)                           10.1      (28.9)              9.9      9.0
                  Reported PAT                        3.4      (14.6)             15.2     26.3    (42.3)
                  Equity Shares (cr)                  6.5        6.5               6.5      6.5
                  EPS (Rs)                            0.5       (2.2)              2.3      4.0
                 Source: Company, Angel Research


                 More shows called off; Top-line declines both yoy and qoq

                 Balaji Telefilms posted yet another quarter of a disappointing Top-line, which
                 declined 32% yoy and 14% qoq to Rs33.5cr, as both commissioned and sponsored
                 programming registered a decline. The total programming hours decreased by 19%
                 yoy and 22% qoq to 308 hours, as three commissioned shows went off-air during
                 the quarter. However, a sequential improvement in average realisations to
                 Rs1.1mn/hr (both commission and sponsored realisations registered a spike to the
                 tune of 11-15%) came in as a positive surprise. The management has attributed the
                 same to incentive payments gained on higher rating shows like Pavitra Rishta and
                 Bandini.

                 On a consolidated basis (including Movies), for FY2010, Balaji reported a Top-line
                 of Rs159cr (53% yoy de-growth), where the content business registered a Rs152.8cr
                 Top-line (de-growth of 48% yoy) and Movies posted a revenue of Rs6.4cr (Rs42.3cr,
                 only one release this year, named Love, Sex and Dhoka, LSD)

                 Operational Losses decline yoy due to base effect and lower Production costs

                 On the Operating front, the company registered a loss of Rs1.3cr (loss of Rs17.4cr
                 last year). The decrease in the Operating Loss may be attributed to a decrease in
                 Production costs (down by 1,911bp yoy) and a significant decline in Other
                 Expenditure, down by 2,250bp yoy, due to base effect, as 4QFY2009 had large
                 one-off items, including provision for doubtful debts (dues from INX Media), legal
                 charges against Star and diminution in long-term investments. However, on a
                 sequential basis, the operational losses increased from Rs0.5cr, owing to the weak
                 Top-line and a rise in Staff costs by 1,041bp yoy.

April 29, 2010                                                                                              2
Balaji Telefilms I 4QFY2010 Result Update


                 One-time gain from INX and lower depreciation keep Earnings afloat in the green

                 In terms of Earnings, Balaji posted an Rs3.4cr profit (over a loss of Rs14.6cr yoy),
                 largely aided by a one-time gain of Rs11.2cr on account of settlement of dues from
                 INX Media (reflected in higher Other Income, which rose 139% yoy) and lower
                 depreciation charges, which stood at Rs2.4cr (Rs12.5cr), due to base effect
                 (4QFY2009 had additional depreciation of Rs9.5cr on account of full depreciation of
                 a set demolished due to a show being called off). On a sequential basis, the Net
                 Profit for the company registered an increase of 86.6% qoq. However, adjusted for a
                 one-time gain of INX dues and like-to-like depreciation charges, the company
                 registered a loss of Rs7.8cr for the quarter (Loss of Rs4.8cr yoy and profit of Rs1.8cr
                 qoq).

                 On a consolidated basis, for FY2010, Earnings jumped to Rs6.4cr (Rs0.8cr) despite
                 sharp de-growth in Top-line and operational loss, largely owing to high base effect
                 (FY2009 had significant one-off losses from INX (Rs28cr) and Movie business
                 (Rs23cr).

                 More shows called off; Sequential improvement in Realisation positive

                 During the quarter, the commissioned programming hours registered a decrease of
                 24% qoq to 164 hours from 216.5 hours on account of three shows being called off
                 air – Beyttaab Dil Kee Tamana Hai (Sony), Tujh Sang Preet Lagai Sajana (Star Plus)
                 and Kis Desh Mein Hain Mera Dil (Star Plus). The sponsored programming hours
                 registered a 19% decline qoq to 144 hours. Overall, total programming hours
                 decreased sequentially by 22% qoq. Moreover, in April, another show – Pyar ka
                 Bandhan (Sony) and two sponsored shows - Kanmaneeya (Sun TV) and
                 Kadhaparayum Kaaviyaanjali (Surya TV) – have been called off air.

                 Going ahead, the management has indicated the launch                of 4 commissioned
                 programs in 1HFY2011E (delayed this quarter, due to IPL             Season 3), whereas
                 sponsored programs are likely to remain at similar levels.          According to Media
                 reports, possible show launches include Keshav Pandit on            Zee and Sarwagun
                 Sampanna on NDTV Imagine.

                 In terms of realisations, a sequential improvement in average realisations to
                 Rs1.1mn/hr (both commission and sponsored realisations registered a spike to the
                 tune of 11-15%) came in as a positive surprise.

                 The management has attributed the improvement in realisations this quarter to
                 incentive payments gained on higher-rating shows like Pavitra Rishta and Bandini.
                 The management also indicated that 3QFY2010 witnessed the bottoming of
                 realisations and, going ahead, realisations are expected to improve by 10-15% yoy.

                 Exhibit 2: Operational Highlights – Programming Hours and Realisations
                                                   4QFY2010    4QFY2009      % yoy   3QFY2010   % qoq
                  Revenues (Rs cr)
                  Commissioned                         28.0          42.5   (34.1)       33.0   (15.3)
                  Sponsored                             5.5          6.9    (20.2)        5.9    (6.9)
                  Total Sales                          33.5          49.4   (32.2)       39.0   (14.0)
                  Programming Hours
                  Commissioned                        164.0         193.5   (15.2)      216.5   (24.2)
                  Sponsored                           144.0         185.5   (22.4)      177.0   (18.6)
                  Total Hrs of Programming            308.0         379.0   (18.7)      393.5   (21.7)
                  Realisation/Hour (Rs mn)
                  Commissioned                         1.71          2.20   (22.3)       1.53    11.9
                  Sponsored                            0.38          0.37      2.8       0.33    14.4
                  Avg. Realisation                     1.09          1.30   (16.5)       0.99     9.9
                 Source: Company, Angel Research
April 29, 2010                                                                                           3
Balaji Telefilms I 4QFY2010 Result Update


                 LSD becomes a hit; Movies registers Rs6.4cr Revenue, Rs8.9cr loss

                 Balaji Motion Pictures Ltd (BMPL), a wholly owned subsidiary of the Company,
                 released only one movie during the year named Love, Sex Aur Dhoka (LSD) during
                 March 2010. LSD became a one of only 3 hit films in the year till date. BMPL posted
                 revenue of Rs6.4cr (Rs42.6cr) for the year and a Net loss of Rs8.9cr (Loss of
                 Rs23.3cr). The profitability of this division was partially hit due to a lower realisation
                 on the sale of satellite rights and provisions for doubtful debts, coupled with
                 selling/distribution expenses of LSD, partial benefits of which will accrue in the
                 coming year.

                 Balaji has lined up two upcoming releases in FY2011E – Once upon a time in
                 Mumbai (Starring Ajay Devgan, slated for release on July 30) and Shor (Directed by
                 DK & Raj). Both the movies have an estimated Budget of Rs30-35cr and Rs7-8cr,
                 respectively.

                 Bhayander property may lead to significant one-time gains, if settled

                 The Company has invested an amount of Rs31cr in land approximately measuring
                 24,687 sq mt and situated within the limits of the Mira Bhayander Municipal
                 Corporation, for the purpose of building studios. The Company has been made a
                 party in the dispute between the original owner of the land and a buyer. The matter
                 is sub judice at the Thane Civil Court. The interim application by the buyer was
                 dismissed by the Thane Civil Court and the Honorable Bombay High Court. The
                 special leave petition filed by the buyer on April 9, 2010 against these dismissals
                 before the Honorable Supreme Court was withdrawn and hence dismissed by the
                 Court.

                 The Management has indicated that the cost of the investment for the company
                 stood at Rs47-50cr (market value estimated to be higher). Moreover, while the initial
                 plan was to set-up studios, the management is open to evaluating other options with
                 regards to the use/sale of land, including development.

                 Outlook and Valuation

                 After another disappointing quarter of results and volatility in the show pipeline, we
                 have revised our estimates downwards, factoring in: 1) lower programming
                 revenues, and 2) pressure on Margins, due to higher production costs (new
                 programs expected to launch in 1HFY2011E and a modest Movie pipeline). Hence,
                 our Earnings estimates stands pruned by 18-23%.

                 Exhibit 3: Revision in Estimates
                                     Old Estimate               New Estimate               % chg
                 (Rs cr)         FY2011E    FY2012E         FY2011E     FY2012E      FY2011E FY2012E
                 Revenue            221.2          287.1       182.8       238.1         (17.4)     (17.1)
                 EBITDA               8.1           10.9         7.2        10.3        (90bp)     (59bp)
                 EPS                  3.3            4.6         2.5         3.7         (23.3)     (18.6)
                 Source: Company, Angel Research

                 Going ahead, we expect BTL’s financial performance to remain under pressure,
                 owing to a low visibility of its programming slate and a cut in the programming
                 hours (both sponsored programming hours and commissioned programming
                 hours). On the Operating front, we expect BTL to witness severe pressure on its
                 Margins, which are likely to remain in single-digits, owing to lower yields of its
                 shows, new program launches, investments in the Movie business and the New
                 Media business.




April 29, 2010                                                                                               4
Balaji Telefilms I 4QFY2010 Result Update


                 While BTL is ramping up its production slate, rising competition in content
                 production and lower shelf lives for TV shows are likely to keep realisations and
                 programming hours volatile. Moreover, rich valuations at 15.8x FY2012E EPS
                 cannot be justified, given BTL’s highly unstable and volatile Earnings scenario.
                 Hence, we recommend a Neutral view on the stock. Nonetheless, upside risks to our
                 estimates include: 1) Settlement and disposal of the Bhayander Property, and 2)
                 Possible positive re-negotiations with Star.

                 Key Assumptions (Consolidated)

                 Exhibit 4: Revenue Growth
                  Y/E March (Rs cr)                FY2009       FY2010E      FY2011E     FY2012E
                  Commissioned Revenues             268.4         128.4        126.3       167.6
                  Sponsored Revenues                 26.5          24.4         18.5        25.5
                  Others (Incl Movie Biz)            42.6           6.4         38.0        45.0
                  Total Operating Revenues          337.5         159.2        182.8       238.1
                  YoY Growth (%)
                  Commissioned Revenues             (10.8)        (52.2)         (1.6)      32.7
                  Sponsored Revenues                  (5.9)         (7.7)      (24.5)       38.0
                  Others (Incl Movie Biz)               6.8       (85.0)       495.1        18.4
                  Total Operating Revenues            (8.5)       (52.8)         14.8       30.3
                  Segmental Contribution (%)
                  Commissioned Revenues              79.5          80.6         69.1        70.4
                  Sponsored Revenues                  7.8          15.4         10.1        10.7
                  Others (Incl Movie Biz)            12.6           4.0         20.8        18.9
                 Source: Company, Angel Research



                 Exhibit 5: Programming Hours
                  Y/E March                          FY2009      FY2010E     FY2011E     FY2012E
                  Commissioned                          927          763         721         862
                  Sponsored                             570          638         450         570
                  Total Hours                         1,497        1,401       1,171       1,432
                  YoY Growth (%)
                  Commissioned                          1.0        (17.7)        (5.5)      19.6
                  Sponsored                           (12.6)        11.9       (29.5)       26.7
                  Total Hours                           (4.6)        (6.4)     (16.4)       22.3
                 Source: Company, Angel Research



                 Exhibit 6: Realisation
                  Y/E March (Rs mn)                  FY2009     FY2010E      FY2011E     FY2012E
                  Commissioned                         2.90        1.67         1.75        1.94
                  Sponsored                            0.47        0.39         0.41        0.45
                  Avg Realisation                      1.97        1.09         1.24        1.35
                  YoY Growth (%)
                  Commissioned                        (11.6)      (41.9)          4.1       10.9
                  Sponsored                             7.6       (17.5)          7.1        9.0
                  Avg Realisation                      (6.0)      (44.6)        13.4         9.0
                 Source: Company, Angel Research




April 29, 2010                                                                                     5
Balaji Telefilms I 4QFY2010 Result Update


                 Profit & Loss Statement (Consolidated)                                             Rs crore
                 Y/E Mar                        FY2007     FY2008   FY2009    FY2010E    FY2011E    FY2012E
                 Gross sales                       320       378       337        159       183         238
                 Less: Excise duty                     -        -         -          -          -          -
                 Net Sales                         320       378       337        159       183         238
                 Total operating income            320       378       337        159       183         238
                  % chg                            14.2      18.2    (10.8)     (52.8)      14.8       30.3
                 Total Expenditure                 201       243       321        169       170         213
                 (Inc.)/ Dec. in trade               (1)      (6)       12         15          7         10
                 Cost of Production                163       201       224         97       112         146
                 Staff Costs                         12       14        14         19         20         22
                 Power & Fuel                         3        4         5          4          4          5
                 Other Expenses                      24       30        66         33         26         31
                 EBITDA                            119       135        16         (9)        13         25
                  % chg                            27.6      12.9    (87.9)          -          -      87.1
                  (% of Net Sales)                 37.3      35.7      4.8       (5.9)       7.2       10.3
                 Depreciation                        11       13        24         10         14         16
                 EBIT                              108       122        (7)       (20)        (1)         9
                  % chg                            36.4      12.8         -          -          -          -
                  (% of Net Sales)                 33.8      32.2     (2.1)     (12.4)      (0.3)        3.7
                 Interest & other Charges             0         -         -          -          -          -
                 Other Income                         9       18        19         33         24         26
                  (% of PBT)                        8.0      12.6    162.0      248.5      102.3       74.9
                 Share of Associates                   -        -         -          -          -          -
                 Recurring PBT                     118       140        12         13         24         35
                  % chg                            33.7      18.6    (91.6)      14.2       77.2       47.1
                 Extr. Exp./(Inc.)                     -      (1)       (0)        (0)          -          -
                 PBT (reported)                    118       140        12         13         24         35
                 Tax                                 38       43        11          7          7         10
                 (% of PBT)                        32.6      31.1     93.0       51.9       30.0       30.0
                 PAT (reported)                      79       97         1          7         17         24
                 Add: Share of associates              -        -         -          -          -          -
                 Less: Minority interest (MI)          -        -         -          -          -          -
                 PAT after MI (reported)             79       97         1          7         17         24
                 ADJ. PAT                            79       96         1          6         17         24
                 % chg                             33.4      21.3    (99.1)     679.3      158.0       47.1
                 (% of Net Sales)                  24.7      25.4      0.2        4.0        9.1       10.2
                 Basic EPS (Rs)                    12.2      14.7      0.1        1.0        2.5        3.7
                 Fully Diluted EPS (Rs)            12.2      14.7      0.1        1.0        2.5        3.7
                  % chg                            33.4      21.3    (99.1)     663.4      163.4       47.1




April 29, 2010                                                                                            6
Balaji Telefilms I 4QFY2010 Result Update

                 Balance Sheet (Consolidated)                                                                      Rs crore
                 Y/E Mar                        FY2007          FY2008       FY2009       FY2010E FY2011E          FY2012E
                 SOURCES OF FUNDS
                 Equity Share Capital              13              13           13            13         13            13
                 Preference Capital                   -              -            -             -          -             -
                 Reserves& Surplus                291             360          358           362        376           398
                 Shareholders Funds               304             373          371           375        389           411
                 Minority Interest                    -              -            -             -          -             -
                 Total Loans                          -              -            -             -          -             -
                 Deferred Tax Liability               5             4           (4)           (4)        (4)           (4)
                 Total Liabilities                309             377          367           371        385           407
                 APPLICATION OF FUNDS
                 Gross Block                       79              95           98           118        152           176
                 Less: Acc. Depreciation           38              50           58            68         82            98
                 Net Block                         41              44           41            50         71            79
                 Capital Work-in-Progress             4            18           51            47         30            26
                 Goodwill                             -              -            -             -          -             -
                 Investments                      177             220          216           226        236           246
                 Current Assets                   126             170          102            83         87           105
                    Cash                              8             8           12            14          8              9
                    Loans & Advances               36              69           30            29         35            40
                    Other                          82              93           60            40         44            56
                 Current liabilities               39              75           43            35         38            49
                 Net Current Assets                87              95           59            48         48            56
                 Mis. Exp. not written off            -              -            -             -          -             -
                 Total Assets                     309             377          367           371        385           407




                 Cash Flow Statement (Consolidated)                                                                Rs crore
                 Y/E Mar                          FY2007         FY2008       FY2009 FY2010E FY2011E FY2012E
                 Profit before tax                    118           140           12           13        24            35
                 Depreciation                             11         13           24           10        14            16
                 Change in Working Capital            (13)          (36)          75           13         (7)           (1)
                 Interest / Dividend (Net)                (3)        (6)          (6)         (10)      (12)          (13)
                 Direct taxes paid                        38         43           31            7          7           10
                 Others                                   (3)            0        (2)          (0)         0            (6)
                 Cash Flow from Operations                71         67           71           20        12            21
                 Inc./ (Dec.) in Fixed Assets             14         30           55           15        18            20

                 Inc./ (Dec.) in Investments          (11)          (43)              8       (10)      (10)
                                                                                                                      (10)
                 Cash Flow from Investing             (25)          (73)         (47)         (25)      (28)          (30)
                 Issue of Equity                            -            -            -             -          -         -
                 Inc./(Dec.) in loans                       -            -            -             -          -          -
                 Dividend Paid (Incl. Tax)                48             1        27            2          2             2
                 Interest / Dividend (Net)                (3)        (6)          (6)         (10)      (12)          (13)
                 Cash Flow from Financing             (44)               6       (20)           8          9           11
                 Inc./(Dec.) in Cash                       2             0            4         2         (6)            1
                 Opening Cash balances                     6             8            8        12        14              8
                 Closing Cash balances                     8             8        12           14          8             9




April 29, 2010                                                                                                            7
Balaji Telefilms I 4QFY2010 Result Update


                 Key Ratios
                  Y/E Mar                                FY2007     FY2008    FY2009 FY2010E FY2011E FY2012E
                  Valuation Ratio (x)
                  P/E (on FDEPS)                            4.9         4.0    467.1     61.2     23.2     15.8
                  P/CEPS                                    4.2         3.5     15.8     22.9     12.7       9.6
                  P/BV                                      1.3         1.0      1.0       1.0      1.0      0.9
                  Dividend yield (%)                        0.1         0.1      0.0       0.0      0.0      0.0
                  EV/Sales                                  0.6         0.4      0.5       0.9      0.8      0.5
                  EV/EBITDA                                 1.7         1.2      9.6    (15.3)    10.7       5.3
                  EV / Total Assets                         2.0         1.6      0.9       1.5      1.7      1.6
                  Per Share Data (Rs)
                  EPS (Basic)                              12.2       14.7       0.1       1.0      2.5      3.7
                  EPS (fully diluted)                      12.2       14.7       0.1       1.0      2.5      3.7
                  Cash EPS                                 13.9       16.7       3.7       2.6      4.6      6.2
                  DPS                                       3.5         3.5      0.3       0.3      0.3      0.3
                  Book Value                               46.6       57.2      56.9     57.5     59.7     63.1
                  Dupont Analysis
                  EBIT margin                              33.8       32.2      (2.1)   (12.4)    (0.3)      3.7
                  Tax retention ratio                       0.7         0.7      0.1       0.5      0.7      0.7
                  Asset turnover (x)                        3.0         2.8      2.3       1.2      1.3      1.6
                  ROIC (Post-tax)                          69.3       61.6      (0.4)    (7.1)    (0.3)      4.2
                  Cost of Debt (Post Tax)                      -          -         -        -        -        -
                  Leverage (x)                            (13.6)     (15.8)    (17.5)   (17.9)   (18.5)   (19.1)
                  Operating ROE                          (870.7)    (913.5)      5.8    119.4       4.9   (75.5)
                  Returns (%)
                  RoCE (Pre-tax)                           38.4       35.6      (1.9)    (5.4)    (0.1)      2.2
                  Angel RoIC (Pre-tax)                     87.4       81.8      (5.2)   (15.1)    (0.4)      5.7
                  RoE                                      28.6       28.4       0.2       1.7      4.3      6.1
                  Turnover ratios (x)
                  Asset Turnover (Gross Block)              4.1         4.0      3.4       1.4      1.2      1.4
                  Inventory / Sales (days)                 14.3       17.8      10.0     10.4     11.4     12.2
                  Receivables (days)                       79.3       72.1      54.9     81.1     76.8     73.0
                  Payables (days)                          42.4       45.9      43.2     72.3     69.8     68.8
                  W.cap. cycle (ex-cash) (days)           90.6        84.1     51.1      77.7     80.8     72.3
                  Solvency ratios (x)
                   Net debt to equity                    (14.2)      (17.5)   (17.4)    (18.4)   (18.7)   (19.5)
                   Net debt to EBITDA                     (1.5)       (1.7)   (14.0)     25.4    (18.5)   (10.3)
                   Interest Coverage (EBIT / Interest)        -           -        -         -        -        -




April 29, 2010                                                                                                 8
Balaji Telefilms I 4QFY2010 Result Update



Research Team Tel: 022- 4040 3800                                          E-mail: research@angeltrade.com                                       Website: www.angeltrade.com


DISCLAIMER

This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment decision. Nothing in this
document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as they deem necessary to
arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved),
and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment.

Angel Securities Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make investment decisions that are
inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this document are those of the analyst, and the company
may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within.

Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and trading volume, as
opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's fundamentals.

The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable source believed to be true,
and is for general guidance only. Angel Securities Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we
cannot testify, nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While Angel
Securities Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other
reasons that prevent us from doing so.

This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on,
directly or indirectly.

Angel Securities Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or other advisory services
in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in the past.

Neither Angel Securities Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or in connection with the
use of this information.
Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section).




 Disclosure of Interest Statement                                                          Balaji Tele.
 1.    Analyst ownership of the stock                                                           No
 2.    Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock                                     No
 3.    Angel and its Group companies’ Directors ownership of the stock                          No
 4. Broking relationship with company covered                                No
 Note: We have not considered any Exposure below Rs 1 lakh for Angel and its Group companies.




                                Address: Acme Plaza, ‘A’ Wing, 3rd Floor, M.V. Road, Opp. Sangam Cinema, Andheri (E), Mumbai - 400 059.
                                                                    Tel : (022) 3952 4568 / 4040 3800



    Angel Broking Ltd: BSE Sebi Regn No : INB 010996539 / CDSL Regn No: IN - DP - CDSL - 234 - 2004 / PMS Regn Code: PM/INP000001546 Angel Securities Ltd:BSE: INB010994639/INF010994639 NSE:
    INB230994635/INF230994635 Membership numbers: BSE 028/NSE:09946
    Angel Capital & Debt Market Ltd: INB 231279838 / NSE FNO: INF 231279838 / NSE Member code -12798 Angel Commodities Broking (P) Ltd: MCX Member ID: 12685 / FMC Regn No: MCX / TCM /
    CORP / 0037 NCDEX : Member ID 00220 / FMC Regn No: NCDEX / TCM / CORP / 0302




April 29, 2010                                                                                                                                                                              9

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Derivative Report 13th July 2011
 

Balaji ru4 qfy2010e-290410

  • 1. 4QFY2010 Result Update I Media April 29, 2010 Balaji Telefilms NEUTRAL CMP Rs59 Performance Highlights Target Price - Balaji Telefilms posted yet another quarter of a disappointing Top-line, which Investment Period - declined by 32% yoy and 14% qoq to Rs33.5cr, as both commissioned and sponsored programming registered a decline. However, on a sequential Stock Info basis, the average realisations registered an improvement (both commission Sector Media and sponsored realisations registered a spike to the tune of 11-15%). After another disappointing quarter of results and volatility in the show pipeline, we Market Cap (Rs cr) 383 have revised our estimates for FY2011E and FY2012E downwards, factoring Beta 1.0 in: 1) lower programming revenues, and 2) pressure on Margins, due to higher production costs (new programs expected to launch in 1HFY2011E 52 WK High / Low 78/40 and a modest Movie pipeline). We recommend a Neutral view on the stock. Avg. Daily Volume 351,470 Yet another quarter of disappointing results: Balaji Telefilms (BTL) posted yet Face Value (Rs) 2 another quarter of disappointing results. The Top-line for the company BSE Sensex 17,503 declined by 32% yoy and 14% qoq, impacted by a decrease in total programming hours by 19% yoy and 22% qoq, as three commissioned shows Nifty 5,254 went off-air during the quarter. The company registered an Operating loss of Reuters Code BLTE.BO Rs1.3cr, which was lower on a yoy basis; however, on a sequential basis, the Operating loss increased, owing to the weak Top-line and rise in Staff cost. In Bloomberg Code BLJT @IN terms of Earnings, Balaji posted a Rs3.4cr profit (over a loss of Rs14.6cr yoy), Shareholding Pattern (%) primarily aided by a one-time gain of Rs11.2cr, on account of a settlement of dues from INX Media and lower depreciation charges. Promoters 40.2 MF/Banks/Indian FIs 22.5 Outlook and Valuation: Going ahead, we expect BTL’s financial performance to remain under pressure, owing to a low visibility of its programming slate FII/NRIs/OCBs 27.4 and a cut in the programming hours (both sponsored programming hours Indian Public 9.9 and commissioned programming hours). While BTL is ramping-up its production slate, the rising competition in content production and lower shelf Abs. (%) 3m 1yr 3yr lives for TV shows are likely to keep realisations and programming hours volatile. Moreover, rich valuations at 15.8x FY2012E EPS cannot be justified, Sensex 7.0 53.5 25.8 given BTL’s highly unstable and volatile Earnings scenario. Hence, we recommend a Neutral view on the stock. Balaji Tele. 8.5 33.0 (63.7) Key Financials (Consolidated) Y/E Mar (Rs cr) FY2009 FY2010E FY2011E FY2012E Net Sales 337.5 159.2 182.8 238.1 % chg (10.8) (52.8) 14.8 30.3 Net Profit (Adj) 0.8 6.4 16.6 24.4 % chg (99.1) - 158.0 47.1 OPM (%) 4.8 (5.9) 7.2 10.3 EPS (Rs) 0.1 1.0 2.5 3.7 P/E (x) - 61.2 23.2 15.8 Anand Shah Tel: 022 – 4040 3800 Ext: 334 P/BV (x) 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 E-mail: anand.shah@angeltrade.com RoE (%) 0.2 1.7 4.3 6.1 RoCE (%) (1.9) (5.4) (0.1) 2.2 Chitrangda Kapur EV/Sales (x) 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.5 Tel: 022 – 4040 3800 Ext: 323 EV/EBITDA (x) 9.6 (15.3) 10.7 5.3 E-mail: chitrangdar.kapur@angeltrade.com Source: Company, Angel Research 1 Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report Sebi Registration No: INB 010996539
  • 2. Balaji Telefilms I 4QFY2010 Result Update Exhibit 1: Quarterly Performance Update (Standalone) Y/E March (Rs cr) 4QFY10 4QFY09 % chg FY10 FY09 % chg Net Sales 33.5 49.4 (32.2) 152.8 294.9 (48.2) Cost of Production 21.8 41.6 (47.5) 106.1 180.7 (41.3) (% of sales) 65.2 84.3 69.4 61.3 Staff cost 4.9 2.1 133.1 16.4 13.2 24.0 (% of sales) 14.7 4.3 10.7 4.5 Other expenditure 8.1 23.0 (64.9) 31.0 61.3 (49.5) (% of sales) 24.1 46.6 20.3 20.8 Total Expenditure 34.8 66.8 (47.8) 153.4 255.2 (39.9) Operating Profit (1.3) (17.4) (0.6) 39.8 OPM (%) (3.9) (35.1) (0.4) 13.5 Interest 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Depreciation 2.4 12.5 (80.6) 10.3 23.5 (56.1) Other Income 14.6 6.1 138.5 33.2 21.3 56.0 PBT (excl Ext. Items) 10.8 (23.8) 22.3 37.5 (40.7) Ext Income/(Expenses) 0.0 (0.3) 0.0 (0.3) PBT (incl Ext. Items) 10.8 (24.1) 22.3 37.2 (40.1) (% of Sales) 32.3 (48.8) 14.6 12.6 Prov. for Taxation 7.4 (9.5) 7.1 10.8 (34.9) (% of PBT) 68.7 39.3 31.7 29.2 Recurring PAT 3.4 (14.3) 15.2 26.7 (43.0) PATM (%) 10.1 (28.9) 9.9 9.0 Reported PAT 3.4 (14.6) 15.2 26.3 (42.3) Equity Shares (cr) 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.5 EPS (Rs) 0.5 (2.2) 2.3 4.0 Source: Company, Angel Research More shows called off; Top-line declines both yoy and qoq Balaji Telefilms posted yet another quarter of a disappointing Top-line, which declined 32% yoy and 14% qoq to Rs33.5cr, as both commissioned and sponsored programming registered a decline. The total programming hours decreased by 19% yoy and 22% qoq to 308 hours, as three commissioned shows went off-air during the quarter. However, a sequential improvement in average realisations to Rs1.1mn/hr (both commission and sponsored realisations registered a spike to the tune of 11-15%) came in as a positive surprise. The management has attributed the same to incentive payments gained on higher rating shows like Pavitra Rishta and Bandini. On a consolidated basis (including Movies), for FY2010, Balaji reported a Top-line of Rs159cr (53% yoy de-growth), where the content business registered a Rs152.8cr Top-line (de-growth of 48% yoy) and Movies posted a revenue of Rs6.4cr (Rs42.3cr, only one release this year, named Love, Sex and Dhoka, LSD) Operational Losses decline yoy due to base effect and lower Production costs On the Operating front, the company registered a loss of Rs1.3cr (loss of Rs17.4cr last year). The decrease in the Operating Loss may be attributed to a decrease in Production costs (down by 1,911bp yoy) and a significant decline in Other Expenditure, down by 2,250bp yoy, due to base effect, as 4QFY2009 had large one-off items, including provision for doubtful debts (dues from INX Media), legal charges against Star and diminution in long-term investments. However, on a sequential basis, the operational losses increased from Rs0.5cr, owing to the weak Top-line and a rise in Staff costs by 1,041bp yoy. April 29, 2010 2
  • 3. Balaji Telefilms I 4QFY2010 Result Update One-time gain from INX and lower depreciation keep Earnings afloat in the green In terms of Earnings, Balaji posted an Rs3.4cr profit (over a loss of Rs14.6cr yoy), largely aided by a one-time gain of Rs11.2cr on account of settlement of dues from INX Media (reflected in higher Other Income, which rose 139% yoy) and lower depreciation charges, which stood at Rs2.4cr (Rs12.5cr), due to base effect (4QFY2009 had additional depreciation of Rs9.5cr on account of full depreciation of a set demolished due to a show being called off). On a sequential basis, the Net Profit for the company registered an increase of 86.6% qoq. However, adjusted for a one-time gain of INX dues and like-to-like depreciation charges, the company registered a loss of Rs7.8cr for the quarter (Loss of Rs4.8cr yoy and profit of Rs1.8cr qoq). On a consolidated basis, for FY2010, Earnings jumped to Rs6.4cr (Rs0.8cr) despite sharp de-growth in Top-line and operational loss, largely owing to high base effect (FY2009 had significant one-off losses from INX (Rs28cr) and Movie business (Rs23cr). More shows called off; Sequential improvement in Realisation positive During the quarter, the commissioned programming hours registered a decrease of 24% qoq to 164 hours from 216.5 hours on account of three shows being called off air – Beyttaab Dil Kee Tamana Hai (Sony), Tujh Sang Preet Lagai Sajana (Star Plus) and Kis Desh Mein Hain Mera Dil (Star Plus). The sponsored programming hours registered a 19% decline qoq to 144 hours. Overall, total programming hours decreased sequentially by 22% qoq. Moreover, in April, another show – Pyar ka Bandhan (Sony) and two sponsored shows - Kanmaneeya (Sun TV) and Kadhaparayum Kaaviyaanjali (Surya TV) – have been called off air. Going ahead, the management has indicated the launch of 4 commissioned programs in 1HFY2011E (delayed this quarter, due to IPL Season 3), whereas sponsored programs are likely to remain at similar levels. According to Media reports, possible show launches include Keshav Pandit on Zee and Sarwagun Sampanna on NDTV Imagine. In terms of realisations, a sequential improvement in average realisations to Rs1.1mn/hr (both commission and sponsored realisations registered a spike to the tune of 11-15%) came in as a positive surprise. The management has attributed the improvement in realisations this quarter to incentive payments gained on higher-rating shows like Pavitra Rishta and Bandini. The management also indicated that 3QFY2010 witnessed the bottoming of realisations and, going ahead, realisations are expected to improve by 10-15% yoy. Exhibit 2: Operational Highlights – Programming Hours and Realisations 4QFY2010 4QFY2009 % yoy 3QFY2010 % qoq Revenues (Rs cr) Commissioned 28.0 42.5 (34.1) 33.0 (15.3) Sponsored 5.5 6.9 (20.2) 5.9 (6.9) Total Sales 33.5 49.4 (32.2) 39.0 (14.0) Programming Hours Commissioned 164.0 193.5 (15.2) 216.5 (24.2) Sponsored 144.0 185.5 (22.4) 177.0 (18.6) Total Hrs of Programming 308.0 379.0 (18.7) 393.5 (21.7) Realisation/Hour (Rs mn) Commissioned 1.71 2.20 (22.3) 1.53 11.9 Sponsored 0.38 0.37 2.8 0.33 14.4 Avg. Realisation 1.09 1.30 (16.5) 0.99 9.9 Source: Company, Angel Research April 29, 2010 3
  • 4. Balaji Telefilms I 4QFY2010 Result Update LSD becomes a hit; Movies registers Rs6.4cr Revenue, Rs8.9cr loss Balaji Motion Pictures Ltd (BMPL), a wholly owned subsidiary of the Company, released only one movie during the year named Love, Sex Aur Dhoka (LSD) during March 2010. LSD became a one of only 3 hit films in the year till date. BMPL posted revenue of Rs6.4cr (Rs42.6cr) for the year and a Net loss of Rs8.9cr (Loss of Rs23.3cr). The profitability of this division was partially hit due to a lower realisation on the sale of satellite rights and provisions for doubtful debts, coupled with selling/distribution expenses of LSD, partial benefits of which will accrue in the coming year. Balaji has lined up two upcoming releases in FY2011E – Once upon a time in Mumbai (Starring Ajay Devgan, slated for release on July 30) and Shor (Directed by DK & Raj). Both the movies have an estimated Budget of Rs30-35cr and Rs7-8cr, respectively. Bhayander property may lead to significant one-time gains, if settled The Company has invested an amount of Rs31cr in land approximately measuring 24,687 sq mt and situated within the limits of the Mira Bhayander Municipal Corporation, for the purpose of building studios. The Company has been made a party in the dispute between the original owner of the land and a buyer. The matter is sub judice at the Thane Civil Court. The interim application by the buyer was dismissed by the Thane Civil Court and the Honorable Bombay High Court. The special leave petition filed by the buyer on April 9, 2010 against these dismissals before the Honorable Supreme Court was withdrawn and hence dismissed by the Court. The Management has indicated that the cost of the investment for the company stood at Rs47-50cr (market value estimated to be higher). Moreover, while the initial plan was to set-up studios, the management is open to evaluating other options with regards to the use/sale of land, including development. Outlook and Valuation After another disappointing quarter of results and volatility in the show pipeline, we have revised our estimates downwards, factoring in: 1) lower programming revenues, and 2) pressure on Margins, due to higher production costs (new programs expected to launch in 1HFY2011E and a modest Movie pipeline). Hence, our Earnings estimates stands pruned by 18-23%. Exhibit 3: Revision in Estimates Old Estimate New Estimate % chg (Rs cr) FY2011E FY2012E FY2011E FY2012E FY2011E FY2012E Revenue 221.2 287.1 182.8 238.1 (17.4) (17.1) EBITDA 8.1 10.9 7.2 10.3 (90bp) (59bp) EPS 3.3 4.6 2.5 3.7 (23.3) (18.6) Source: Company, Angel Research Going ahead, we expect BTL’s financial performance to remain under pressure, owing to a low visibility of its programming slate and a cut in the programming hours (both sponsored programming hours and commissioned programming hours). On the Operating front, we expect BTL to witness severe pressure on its Margins, which are likely to remain in single-digits, owing to lower yields of its shows, new program launches, investments in the Movie business and the New Media business. April 29, 2010 4
  • 5. Balaji Telefilms I 4QFY2010 Result Update While BTL is ramping up its production slate, rising competition in content production and lower shelf lives for TV shows are likely to keep realisations and programming hours volatile. Moreover, rich valuations at 15.8x FY2012E EPS cannot be justified, given BTL’s highly unstable and volatile Earnings scenario. Hence, we recommend a Neutral view on the stock. Nonetheless, upside risks to our estimates include: 1) Settlement and disposal of the Bhayander Property, and 2) Possible positive re-negotiations with Star. Key Assumptions (Consolidated) Exhibit 4: Revenue Growth Y/E March (Rs cr) FY2009 FY2010E FY2011E FY2012E Commissioned Revenues 268.4 128.4 126.3 167.6 Sponsored Revenues 26.5 24.4 18.5 25.5 Others (Incl Movie Biz) 42.6 6.4 38.0 45.0 Total Operating Revenues 337.5 159.2 182.8 238.1 YoY Growth (%) Commissioned Revenues (10.8) (52.2) (1.6) 32.7 Sponsored Revenues (5.9) (7.7) (24.5) 38.0 Others (Incl Movie Biz) 6.8 (85.0) 495.1 18.4 Total Operating Revenues (8.5) (52.8) 14.8 30.3 Segmental Contribution (%) Commissioned Revenues 79.5 80.6 69.1 70.4 Sponsored Revenues 7.8 15.4 10.1 10.7 Others (Incl Movie Biz) 12.6 4.0 20.8 18.9 Source: Company, Angel Research Exhibit 5: Programming Hours Y/E March FY2009 FY2010E FY2011E FY2012E Commissioned 927 763 721 862 Sponsored 570 638 450 570 Total Hours 1,497 1,401 1,171 1,432 YoY Growth (%) Commissioned 1.0 (17.7) (5.5) 19.6 Sponsored (12.6) 11.9 (29.5) 26.7 Total Hours (4.6) (6.4) (16.4) 22.3 Source: Company, Angel Research Exhibit 6: Realisation Y/E March (Rs mn) FY2009 FY2010E FY2011E FY2012E Commissioned 2.90 1.67 1.75 1.94 Sponsored 0.47 0.39 0.41 0.45 Avg Realisation 1.97 1.09 1.24 1.35 YoY Growth (%) Commissioned (11.6) (41.9) 4.1 10.9 Sponsored 7.6 (17.5) 7.1 9.0 Avg Realisation (6.0) (44.6) 13.4 9.0 Source: Company, Angel Research April 29, 2010 5
  • 6. Balaji Telefilms I 4QFY2010 Result Update Profit & Loss Statement (Consolidated) Rs crore Y/E Mar FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010E FY2011E FY2012E Gross sales 320 378 337 159 183 238 Less: Excise duty - - - - - - Net Sales 320 378 337 159 183 238 Total operating income 320 378 337 159 183 238 % chg 14.2 18.2 (10.8) (52.8) 14.8 30.3 Total Expenditure 201 243 321 169 170 213 (Inc.)/ Dec. in trade (1) (6) 12 15 7 10 Cost of Production 163 201 224 97 112 146 Staff Costs 12 14 14 19 20 22 Power & Fuel 3 4 5 4 4 5 Other Expenses 24 30 66 33 26 31 EBITDA 119 135 16 (9) 13 25 % chg 27.6 12.9 (87.9) - - 87.1 (% of Net Sales) 37.3 35.7 4.8 (5.9) 7.2 10.3 Depreciation 11 13 24 10 14 16 EBIT 108 122 (7) (20) (1) 9 % chg 36.4 12.8 - - - - (% of Net Sales) 33.8 32.2 (2.1) (12.4) (0.3) 3.7 Interest & other Charges 0 - - - - - Other Income 9 18 19 33 24 26 (% of PBT) 8.0 12.6 162.0 248.5 102.3 74.9 Share of Associates - - - - - - Recurring PBT 118 140 12 13 24 35 % chg 33.7 18.6 (91.6) 14.2 77.2 47.1 Extr. Exp./(Inc.) - (1) (0) (0) - - PBT (reported) 118 140 12 13 24 35 Tax 38 43 11 7 7 10 (% of PBT) 32.6 31.1 93.0 51.9 30.0 30.0 PAT (reported) 79 97 1 7 17 24 Add: Share of associates - - - - - - Less: Minority interest (MI) - - - - - - PAT after MI (reported) 79 97 1 7 17 24 ADJ. PAT 79 96 1 6 17 24 % chg 33.4 21.3 (99.1) 679.3 158.0 47.1 (% of Net Sales) 24.7 25.4 0.2 4.0 9.1 10.2 Basic EPS (Rs) 12.2 14.7 0.1 1.0 2.5 3.7 Fully Diluted EPS (Rs) 12.2 14.7 0.1 1.0 2.5 3.7 % chg 33.4 21.3 (99.1) 663.4 163.4 47.1 April 29, 2010 6
  • 7. Balaji Telefilms I 4QFY2010 Result Update Balance Sheet (Consolidated) Rs crore Y/E Mar FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010E FY2011E FY2012E SOURCES OF FUNDS Equity Share Capital 13 13 13 13 13 13 Preference Capital - - - - - - Reserves& Surplus 291 360 358 362 376 398 Shareholders Funds 304 373 371 375 389 411 Minority Interest - - - - - - Total Loans - - - - - - Deferred Tax Liability 5 4 (4) (4) (4) (4) Total Liabilities 309 377 367 371 385 407 APPLICATION OF FUNDS Gross Block 79 95 98 118 152 176 Less: Acc. Depreciation 38 50 58 68 82 98 Net Block 41 44 41 50 71 79 Capital Work-in-Progress 4 18 51 47 30 26 Goodwill - - - - - - Investments 177 220 216 226 236 246 Current Assets 126 170 102 83 87 105 Cash 8 8 12 14 8 9 Loans & Advances 36 69 30 29 35 40 Other 82 93 60 40 44 56 Current liabilities 39 75 43 35 38 49 Net Current Assets 87 95 59 48 48 56 Mis. Exp. not written off - - - - - - Total Assets 309 377 367 371 385 407 Cash Flow Statement (Consolidated) Rs crore Y/E Mar FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010E FY2011E FY2012E Profit before tax 118 140 12 13 24 35 Depreciation 11 13 24 10 14 16 Change in Working Capital (13) (36) 75 13 (7) (1) Interest / Dividend (Net) (3) (6) (6) (10) (12) (13) Direct taxes paid 38 43 31 7 7 10 Others (3) 0 (2) (0) 0 (6) Cash Flow from Operations 71 67 71 20 12 21 Inc./ (Dec.) in Fixed Assets 14 30 55 15 18 20 Inc./ (Dec.) in Investments (11) (43) 8 (10) (10) (10) Cash Flow from Investing (25) (73) (47) (25) (28) (30) Issue of Equity - - - - - - Inc./(Dec.) in loans - - - - - - Dividend Paid (Incl. Tax) 48 1 27 2 2 2 Interest / Dividend (Net) (3) (6) (6) (10) (12) (13) Cash Flow from Financing (44) 6 (20) 8 9 11 Inc./(Dec.) in Cash 2 0 4 2 (6) 1 Opening Cash balances 6 8 8 12 14 8 Closing Cash balances 8 8 12 14 8 9 April 29, 2010 7
  • 8. Balaji Telefilms I 4QFY2010 Result Update Key Ratios Y/E Mar FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010E FY2011E FY2012E Valuation Ratio (x) P/E (on FDEPS) 4.9 4.0 467.1 61.2 23.2 15.8 P/CEPS 4.2 3.5 15.8 22.9 12.7 9.6 P/BV 1.3 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 Dividend yield (%) 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 EV/Sales 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.5 EV/EBITDA 1.7 1.2 9.6 (15.3) 10.7 5.3 EV / Total Assets 2.0 1.6 0.9 1.5 1.7 1.6 Per Share Data (Rs) EPS (Basic) 12.2 14.7 0.1 1.0 2.5 3.7 EPS (fully diluted) 12.2 14.7 0.1 1.0 2.5 3.7 Cash EPS 13.9 16.7 3.7 2.6 4.6 6.2 DPS 3.5 3.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 Book Value 46.6 57.2 56.9 57.5 59.7 63.1 Dupont Analysis EBIT margin 33.8 32.2 (2.1) (12.4) (0.3) 3.7 Tax retention ratio 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.7 Asset turnover (x) 3.0 2.8 2.3 1.2 1.3 1.6 ROIC (Post-tax) 69.3 61.6 (0.4) (7.1) (0.3) 4.2 Cost of Debt (Post Tax) - - - - - - Leverage (x) (13.6) (15.8) (17.5) (17.9) (18.5) (19.1) Operating ROE (870.7) (913.5) 5.8 119.4 4.9 (75.5) Returns (%) RoCE (Pre-tax) 38.4 35.6 (1.9) (5.4) (0.1) 2.2 Angel RoIC (Pre-tax) 87.4 81.8 (5.2) (15.1) (0.4) 5.7 RoE 28.6 28.4 0.2 1.7 4.3 6.1 Turnover ratios (x) Asset Turnover (Gross Block) 4.1 4.0 3.4 1.4 1.2 1.4 Inventory / Sales (days) 14.3 17.8 10.0 10.4 11.4 12.2 Receivables (days) 79.3 72.1 54.9 81.1 76.8 73.0 Payables (days) 42.4 45.9 43.2 72.3 69.8 68.8 W.cap. cycle (ex-cash) (days) 90.6 84.1 51.1 77.7 80.8 72.3 Solvency ratios (x) Net debt to equity (14.2) (17.5) (17.4) (18.4) (18.7) (19.5) Net debt to EBITDA (1.5) (1.7) (14.0) 25.4 (18.5) (10.3) Interest Coverage (EBIT / Interest) - - - - - - April 29, 2010 8
  • 9. Balaji Telefilms I 4QFY2010 Result Update Research Team Tel: 022- 4040 3800 E-mail: research@angeltrade.com Website: www.angeltrade.com DISCLAIMER This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. Angel Securities Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within. Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's fundamentals. The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable source believed to be true, and is for general guidance only. Angel Securities Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify, nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While Angel Securities Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly. Angel Securities Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in the past. Neither Angel Securities Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or in connection with the use of this information. Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section). Disclosure of Interest Statement Balaji Tele. 1. Analyst ownership of the stock No 2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock No 3. Angel and its Group companies’ Directors ownership of the stock No 4. Broking relationship with company covered No Note: We have not considered any Exposure below Rs 1 lakh for Angel and its Group companies. Address: Acme Plaza, ‘A’ Wing, 3rd Floor, M.V. Road, Opp. Sangam Cinema, Andheri (E), Mumbai - 400 059. Tel : (022) 3952 4568 / 4040 3800 Angel Broking Ltd: BSE Sebi Regn No : INB 010996539 / CDSL Regn No: IN - DP - CDSL - 234 - 2004 / PMS Regn Code: PM/INP000001546 Angel Securities Ltd:BSE: INB010994639/INF010994639 NSE: INB230994635/INF230994635 Membership numbers: BSE 028/NSE:09946 Angel Capital & Debt Market Ltd: INB 231279838 / NSE FNO: INF 231279838 / NSE Member code -12798 Angel Commodities Broking (P) Ltd: MCX Member ID: 12685 / FMC Regn No: MCX / TCM / CORP / 0037 NCDEX : Member ID 00220 / FMC Regn No: NCDEX / TCM / CORP / 0302 April 29, 2010 9