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1QFY2011 Result Update | Power Cables
                                                                                                                                August 10, 2010



 Finolex Cables                                                                                    BUY
                                                                                                   CMP                                   Rs58
 Performance Highlights                                                                            Target Price                          Rs85
  Y/E March (Rs cr)       1QFY11       4QFY10          % chg (qoq)      1QFY10    % chg (yoy)      Investment Period               12 Months
  Net Sales                  493.1        464.0               6.3         327.8         50.4
                                                                                                  Stock Info
  EBITDA                      39.6         32.8              20.9          50.0        (20.7)
                                                                                                  Sector                         Power Cables
  EBITDA margin (%)            8.0          7.1                            15.2
                                                                                                  Market Cap (Rs cr)                        891
  PAT                         23.0         (5.4)                    -      22.0          4.5
                                                                                                  Beta                                      0.9
  Source: Company, Angel Research
                                                                                                  52 Week High / Low                      71/36
 Finolex Cables posted a strong 50.4% growth in top-line for 1QFY2011 to                          Avg. Daily Volume                      181596
 Rs493cr (Rs328cr), which exceeded our expectations. Sales growth was backed by                   Face Value (Rs)                             2
 robust performance registered by the electrical cables segment, which grew                       BSE Sensex                             18,220
 41.0% yoy during the quarter to Rs296cr (Rs210cr). However, OPM was muted at                     Nifty                                   5,461
 8.0% (15.2%) though sequentially it improved by 97bp from 7.1% in 4QFY2010                       Reuters Code                       FNXC.BO
 to 8.0% in 1QFY2011. With strong growth in demand, we remain positive on the                     Bloomberg Code                     FNXC@IN
 company. We maintain a Buy on the stock owing to attractive valuations.

 Strong top-line growth, sluggish margins: 1QFY2011 sales increased with the                      Shareholding Pattern (%)
 electrical cables segment recording strong growth. Copper rods and others                        Promoters                               35.1
 segments sales also surged, increasing 68.2% and 513.3% yoy, respectively.                       MF / Banks / Indian Fls                  13.5
 However, higher raw material costs hit OPM, which stood at 8.0% for 1QFY2011.                    FII / NRIs / OCBs                         6.2
                                                                                                  Indian Public / Others                  45.1
 Outlook and Valuation: Going ahead, we expect demand for low-tension (LT)
 cables to remain strong given the positive outlook in the user industries. The EHV
 and HT cables plants are expected to start contributing by FY2012E. We expect
                                                                                                  Abs. (%)                 3m      1yr      3yr
 sales to log a CAGR of 23.2% over FY2010-12E to Rs2,458cr. However, OPM is
                                                                                                  Sensex                5.1      21.4     22.5
 expected to remain under pressure. Hence, we revise our OPM estimates from
                                                                                                  Finolex Cables       11.2      53.7     (27.3)
 10.2% to 10.0% in FY2011E and 10.4% to 10.2% in FY2012E. We expect PAT to
 register a CAGR of 57.4%. At current levels, the stock is trading at 9.9x FY2011E
 and 6.2x FY2012E EPS. Hence, we maintain a Buy on the stock, with a Target
 Price of Rs85.


 Key Financials
  Y/E March (Rs cr)                      FY2009          FY2010         FY2011E    FY2012E
  Net Sales                                1,342           1,619          2,048       2,458
  % chg                                     (3.1)           20.7           26.5        20.0
  Net Profit                                 (35)             58             90         143
  % chg                                            -            -          56.2        58.5
  EBITDA (%)                                 7.6            12.2           10.0        10.2
  EPS (Rs)                                  (2.3)            3.8            5.9          9.3
  P/E (x)                                          -        15.5            9.9          6.2
  P/BV (x)                                    1.5             1.4           1.3          1.1
  RoE (%)                                          -          9.3          13.3         18.6
  RoCE (%)                                    6.8           17.1           15.9         17.9
                                                                                                  Jai Sharda
  EV/Sales (x)                                0.6             0.5           0.4          0.4
                                                                                                  022 - 39524568 Ext 305
  EV/EBITDA (x)                               8.3             4.3           4.4          3.7      jai.sharda@angeltrade.com
 Source: Company, Angel Research

Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report                                                                               1
Finolex Cables | 1QFY2011 Result Update




Exhibit 1: 1QFY2011 Performance
Y/E March (Rs cr)                 1QFY2011     4QFY2010       % chg (qoq)   1QFY2010      % chg (yoy)   FY2010     FY2009    % chg
Net Sales                            493.1          464.0            6.3         327.8           50.4   1,618.7    1,341.5    20.7
Consumption of RM                    397.2          374.8            6.0         232.8           70.6   1,221.1    1,057.4    15.5
(% of Sales)                          80.6            80.8                         71.0                    75.4       78.8
Staff Costs                           15.6            13.1          19.2          15.7          (0.6)      59.2      53.3     11.1
(% of Sales)                           3.2             2.8                          4.8                     3.7        4.0
Other Expenses                        40.6            43.3          (6.1)         29.3           38.8    143.2      132.8      7.8
(% of Sales)                           8.2             9.3                          8.9                     8.8        9.9
Total Expenditure                    453.4          431.2            5.2         277.8           63.2   1,423.5    1,243.5    14.5
Operating Profit                      39.6            32.8          20.9          50.0         (20.7)    195.2       98.1     99.1
OPM (%)                                8.0             7.1                         15.2                    12.1        7.3
Interest                               4.0             3.9           1.8            4.9        (18.7)      16.9      25.3    (33.2)
Depreciation                           9.8             8.3          18.3            9.5           2.8      37.2      38.8     (3.9)
Other Income                           5.9             4.9          19.1          10.8         (45.9)      24.1      23.8      1.2
PBT (excl. Extr. Items)               31.7            25.5          24.4          46.3         (31.6)    165.2       57.8    185.7
Extr. Income/(Expense)                (3.6)         (23.9)                       (19.0)                   (76.0)    (87.9)
PBT (incl. Extr. Items)               28.1             1.5       1,713.5          27.4            2.7      89.2     (30.1)        -
(% of Sales)                           5.7             0.3                          8.3                     5.5      (2.2)
Provision for Taxation                 5.1             6.9         (26.1)           5.4         (4.3)      31.5        5.4   483.0
(% of PBT)                            18.2          447.7                          19.6                    35.4     (18.0)
Reported PAT                          23.0            (5.4)             -         22.0            4.5      57.6     (35.5)        -
PATM(%)                                4.7           (1.2)                          6.7                     3.6      (2.6)
Equity shares (cr)                    15.3            15.3                        15.3                     15.3      15.3
EPS (Rs)                               1.5            (0.4)             -           1.4           4.5       3.8      (2.3)        -
Adjusted PAT                          26.6            18.6          43.2          41.0         (35.2)    133.7       52.4    155.0
Source: Company, Angel Research


                                              Segment-wise performance

                                              The electrical cables segment posted strong growth of 41.0% yoy to Rs296cr
                                              (Rs210cr) mainly on the back of higher realisations. EBIT for the segment came in
                                              at Rs36.2cr, implying EBIT margin of 12.2%, which fell 867bp yoy mainly owing to
                                              higher raw material costs. However, sequentially EBIT margins increased by
                                              288bp.

                                              The communication cables segment registered a 20.4% yoy decline in sales to
                                              Rs42.7cr (Rs53.7cr). Margins of the segment fell from 15.0% in 1QFY2010 to
                                              8.1% in FY2011, with EBIT coming in at Rs3.5cr (Rs8.1cr).

                                              The copper rods segment posted sales of Rs339cr (Rs201cr) and EBIT of Rs3.7cr
                                              (Rs2.2cr). However, most of these sales were inter-segmental in nature. Margins of
                                              the segment came in flat yoy, at 1.1%.

                                              Sales of the others segment grew to Rs55.7cr (Rs9.1cr). A substantial portion of the
                                              sales was inter-segmental. The segment recorded EBIT of Rs0.7cr in 1QFY2011,
                                              vis-à-vis a loss of Rs0.6cr in 1QFY2010.




August 10, 2010                                                                                                                  2
Finolex Cables | 1QFY2011 Result Update




                  Exhibit 2: Segment-wise performance
                  Y/E March (Rs cr)          1QFY2010           4QFY2010              1QFY2011 % chg (qoq) % chg (yoy)
                  Total Revenues
                  A) Electrical Cables               210.2                263.0              296.4                   12.7               41.0
                  B) Comm. Cables                     53.7                 86.0                   42.7             (50.3)             (20.4)
                  C) Copper Rods                     201.4                266.8              338.7                   27.0               68.2
                  D) Others                            9.1                 74.6                   55.7             (25.4)             513.3
                  Total                              474.3                690.3              733.6                       6.3            54.7
                  Less: Inter-Seg. Rev               146.6                226.4              240.5                       6.3            64.1
                  Net Sales                          327.8                464.0              493.1                       6.3            50.4
                  EBIT Margin (%)
                  A) Electrical Cables                20.9                  9.3                   12.2             288bp           (867bp)
                  B) Comm. Cables                     15.0                 15.7                    8.1            (757bp)          (689bp)
                  C) Copper Rods                       1.1                  0.9                    1.1              17bp                1bp
                  D) Others                           (6.3)                 1.1                    1.2                 5bp            744bp
                  Source: Company, Angel Research

                  Sales on a strong growth curve

                  The company has recorded a consistent increase in top-line since 3QFY2009,
                  when it was hit by the global economic crisis. Since then, sales have more than
                  doubled, increasing from Rs238cr in 3QFY2009 to Rs493 in1QFY2011. In the
                  future too, the company looks to posting strong sales growth mainly on the back of
                  demand revival in the economy.

                  Exhibit 3: Sales trend

                             600               Sales (LHS)                yoy Growth (RHS)                                     100.0
                                                                                                                   493
                             500                                                                     464                       80.0
                                                                            405         422
                                   374                                                                                         60.0
                             400                      327       328
                   (Rs cr)




                                                                                                                               40.0



                                                                                                                                        (%)
                             300            238
                                                                                                                               20.0
                             200
                                                                                                                               -
                             100                                                                                               (20.0)
                              0                                                                                                (40.0)
                                   2QFY09


                                            3QFY09


                                                       4QFY09


                                                                 1QFY10


                                                                             2QFY10


                                                                                         3QFY10


                                                                                                         4QFY10


                                                                                                                    1QFY11




                  Source: Company, Angel Research

                  Margins under pressure, but stabilising

                  Post 3QFY2009, when the company posted losses at the operating level, margins
                  improved to 16.5% in 2QFY2010 on the back of low-cost inventory. However,
                  since then, margins have been declining and for 1QFY2011 came in at 8.1%
                  mainly on account of the company’s decision to not fully pass on the higher
                  copper prices. On a positive note, margins improved in 1QFY2011 sequentially.




August 10, 2010                                                                                                                               3
Finolex Cables | 1QFY2011 Result Update




                  Exhibit 4: Margins trend
                                  80                                  EBITDA (LHS)                               OPM (RHS)                                      20
                                  70
                                  60                                                                                                                            15
                                  50
                                                                                                                                                                10
                                  40




                      (Rs cr)




                                                                                                                                                                         (%)
                                  30
                                                                                                                                                                 5
                                  20
                                  10                                                                                                                             0
                                   0
                                 (10)                                                                                                                            (5)




                                          2QFY09



                                                     3QFY09



                                                                  4QFY09



                                                                                    1QFY10



                                                                                                      2QFY10



                                                                                                                        3QFY10



                                                                                                                                          4QFY10



                                                                                                                                                       1QFY11
                  Source: Company, Angel Research

                  Profit set to improve going ahead

                  The company’s PAT has been fluctuating in the past few quarters mainly on the
                  back of the erratic OPM and forex losses. In 1QFY2011, the company posted PAT
                  of Rs23cr. Going ahead PAT is expected to further rise with the company
                  improving its sales and forex losses tapering off.

                  Exhibit 5: Profit trend
                                  40                                                                           29
                                  30                                                         22                                                                 23
                                  20                                                                                             12
                                  10         2                              3
                                   0
                       (Rs cr)




                                 (10)
                                 (20)                                                                                                              (5)
                                 (30)
                                 (40)
                                 (50)
                                 (60)                  (47)
                                            2QFY09



                                                         3QFY09



                                                                           4QFY09



                                                                                             1QFY10



                                                                                                               2QFY10



                                                                                                                                 3QFY10



                                                                                                                                                   4QFY10



                                                                                                                                                                1QFY11



                  Source: Company, Angel Research

                  Management call – Key takeaways
                                 The electrical cables segment volumes grew by around 10.0% yoy, whereas
                                 the communication cables segment volumes grew by around 5.0%. The
                                 copper rods segment recorded a strong 24.0% increase in volumes.
                                 Growth of the electrical cables segment was primarily driven by the high-
                                 voltage and power cables.
                                 Construction of one part of the EHV plant, the joint venture of the company
                                 with J-Power Systems, may get a bit delayed. However, the venture is expected
                                 to be in a position to offer most of its products as per schedule.
                                 The high-tension (HT) cables plant has received all the major approvals and
                                 started sales. However, volumes are currently subdued. Management expects
                                 this plant to pick up in the coming months.



August 10, 2010                                                                                                                                                                4
Finolex Cables | 1QFY2011 Result Update



                        The company expects margins to improve in the ensuing quarters and targets
                        to end the fiscal with OPM of nearly 10.0%.

                  Investment Arguments

                  Poised for high growth going ahead: Finolex Cables is poised to register robust
                  growth over the next few years owing to strong growth in the existing LT cables
                  segment and entry into the HT and extra high voltage (EHV) cables verticals. In LT
                  cables, we expect the organised players to gradually gain market share as their
                  distribution reach expands and customers increasingly demand higher quality and
                  branded wires. Entry into the HT cables segment gives accessibility to the
                  generation and distribution segment, where the market opportunity is estimated at
                  Rs37,000cr over the next 10 years.

                  Tax benefits from Roorkee plant to help turnaround of the company: The company
                  has shifted a major chunk of production to its Roorkee plant, which avails excise
                  duty and income tax benefits. Owing to this, we expect excise duty and tax rates for
                  the company to remain low at 9% and 22.0% respectively, in FY2012E. The
                  company has further increased capacity of this plant by 50%. The proximity to the
                  growing north Indian markets and tax benefits availed by this plant are expected to
                  boost the turnaround of the company.

                  Major capex already undertaken: The company has already incurred the major
                  capex required to register growth over the next 4-5 years. Thus, on account of high
                  operating leverage and strong sales growth, we expect the company to increase its
                  net profit to Rs143cr in FY2012E from Rs58cr in FY2010.

                  Outlook and Valuation

                  We maintain our positive outlook on the company given its strong growth
                  prospects as demand from the user industries strengthens. The company’s entry
                  into the HT and EHV cables segments looks promising, with the HT cables plant
                  expected to start contributing to top-line earlier than we had anticipated. Going
                  ahead, with comfortable volumes, we expect the company to improve its margins
                  from current levels of 8.0% in the quarter.

                  Exhibit 6: Revised estimates
                  Rs cr                          Old             New            % chg
                                           FY2011E FY2012E FY2011E FY2012E FY2011E FY2012E
                  Sales                      1,994    2,398     2,048      2,458       2.8        2.5
                  EBITDA                      203      250        206       250        1.3        0.1
                  EBITDA margin (%)           10.2     10.4      10.0       10.2
                  PAT                          88      140            90    143        2.7        1.6
                  EPS (Rs)                     5.7      9.2       5.9        9.3       3.3        1.4
                  Source: Angel Research

                  We expect sales to increase at a CAGR of 23.2% over FY2010-12E. However, we
                  expect OPM to remain at 10.0% in FY2011E and 10.2% in FY2012E. PAT is
                  expected to log a CAGR of 57.4% over FY2010-12E. We expect the company to
                  post EPS of Rs5.9 in FY2011E and Rs9.3 in FY2012E. At current levels, the stock is
                  trading at 9.9x and 6.2x FY2011E and FY2012E EPS, respectively. We maintain a
                  Buy on the stock with a target price of Rs85.


August 10, 2010                                                                                     5
Finolex Cables | 1QFY2011 Result Update




Exhibit 7: Key Assumptions
                                                      FY2011E                                        FY2012E                             Remarks
Electrical cables contribution to sales (%)                                  66.6                              68.6                      Higher contribution owing to HT cables sales
Communication cables contribution to sales (%)                                 8.7                                 7.7                   Decline mainly on account of lacklustre demand in JFTC
Copper rods contribution to sales (%)                                        19.9                              18.2                      Sales to be driven by improvement in the economy
Others contribution to sales (%)                                               4.9                                 5.5                   CFL and switches to lead sales
OPM (%)                                                                      10.0                              10.2                      OPM to remain under pressure owing to high copper prices
Tax Rate (%)                                                                 20.0                              22.0                      Higher production in Pune plant to result in higher tax
Source: Angel Research




Exhibit 8: Peer Valuation
Company                             Mcap      CMP                               EPS (Rs)                                                     P/E (x)                                                            P/BV (x)                                                           RoE (%)
                                   (Rs cr)     (Rs)                          FY11E     FY12E                                              FY11E      FY12E                                                   FY11E      FY12E                                                   FY11E    FY12E
Finolex Cables                       891        58                             5.9       9.3                                                9.9        6.2                                                     1.3        1.1                                                    13.3      18.6
Sterlite Technologies               3649      103                              8.2                                9.4                             12.5                           10.9                                 3.3                               2.6                          27.2                             25.3
Source: Company, Bloomberg, Angel Research




                                                      Exhibit 9: One-year forward P/BV band
                                                                             140
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         2.5x
                                                                             120

                                                                             100                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         2.0x
                                                          Share Price (Rs)




                                                                              80                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1.5x

                                                                              60
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1.0x
                                                                              40
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        0.5x
                                                                              20

                                                                              0
                                                                                            Jul-02




                                                                                                                       Jul-03




                                                                                                                                                  Jul-04




                                                                                                                                                                             Jul-05




                                                                                                                                                                                                        Jul-06




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Jul-07




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Jul-08




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Jul-09




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Jul-10
                                                                                   Mar-02




                                                                                                              Mar-03




                                                                                                                                         Mar-04




                                                                                                                                                                    Mar-05




                                                                                                                                                                                               Mar-06




                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Mar-07




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Mar-08




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Mar-09




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Mar-10
                                                                                                     Nov-02




                                                                                                                                Nov-03




                                                                                                                                                           Nov-04




                                                                                                                                                                                      Nov-05




                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Nov-06




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Nov-07




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Nov-08




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Nov-09




                                                      Source: Company, Bloomberg, Angel Research




August 10, 2010                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 6
Finolex Cables | 1QFY2011 Result Update




                  Profit and Loss Statement
                  Y/E March (Rs cr)                 FY07    FY08    FY09    FY10    FY11E    FY12E
                  Gross sales                     1,185.9 1,592.9 1,501.5 1,726.6 2,202.5 2,701.5
                  Less: Excise duty                152.9   209.1   160.0    107.9   154.2    243.1
                  Net Sales                       1,033.0 1,383.8 1,341.5 1,618.7 2,048.4 2,458.3
                  Other operating income
                  Total operating income          1,033.0 1,383.8 1,341.5 1,618.7 2,048.4 2,458.3
                  % chg                             38.1    34.0    (3.1)    20.7    26.5     20.0
                  Total Expenditure                912.8 1,237.9 1,239.7 1,421.7 1,842.7 2,208.4
                  Net Raw Materials                783.0 1,074.0 1,058.5 1,221.1 1,602.4 1,922.4
                  Other Mfg costs                   19.7    23.6    24.4     28.4    33.7     40.5
                  Personnel                         35.5    49.7    53.3     59.2    75.8     91.0
                  Other                             74.6    90.5   103.5    113.1   130.8    154.5
                  EBITDA                           120.2   145.9   101.8    197.0   205.7    250.0
                  % chg                             39.8    21.4   (30.2)    93.5     4.4     21.5
                  (% of Net Sales)                  11.6    10.5      7.6    12.2    10.0     10.2
                  Depreciation& Amortisation        26.4    26.5    38.8     37.2    45.3     46.9
                  EBIT                              93.8   119.4    63.0    159.8   160.3    203.1
                  % chg                             71.5    27.4   (47.2)   153.5     0.4     26.7
                  (% of Net Sales)                   9.1     8.6      4.7     9.9     7.8      8.3
                  Interest & other Charges          15.9    20.4    32.4     18.7    22.8     24.2
                  Other Income                      19.6    34.1    51.0     24.1    24.1     28.6
                  (% of PBT)                        20.1    25.6    62.5     14.6    14.9     13.8
                  Share in profit of Associates        -       -        -       -        -       -
                  Recurring PBT                     97.4   133.2    81.6    165.2   161.7    207.5
                  % chg                             38.6    36.7   (38.7)   102.5    (2.1)    28.4
                  Extraordinary Expense/(Inc.)       0.4    12.9   111.7     76.0    49.2     24.6
                  PBT (reported)                    97.0   120.3   (30.1)    89.2   112.5    183.0
                  Tax                               28.0    31.4     5.4     31.5    22.5     40.3
                  (% of PBT)                        28.9    26.1        -    35.4    20.0     22.0
                  PAT (reported)                    69.0    88.9   (35.5)    57.6    90.0    142.7
                  Less: Minority interest (MI)         -       -        -       -        -       -
                  Prior period items                   -       -        -       -        -       -
                  PAT after MI (reported)           69.0    88.9   (35.5)    57.6    90.0    142.7
                  ADJ. PAT                          69.0    88.9   (35.5)    57.6    90.0    142.7
                  % chg                             37.0    28.9        -       -    56.2     58.5
                  (% of Net Sales)                   6.7     6.4        -       -     4.4      5.8
                  Basic EPS (Rs)                     4.5     5.8    (2.3)     3.8     5.9      9.3
                  Fully Diluted EPS (Rs)             4.5     5.8    (2.3)     3.8     5.9      9.3
                  % chg                             37.0    28.9        -       -    56.2     58.5




August 10, 2010                                                                                 7
Finolex Cables | 1QFY2011 Result Update




                  Balance Sheet
                  Y/E March (Rs cr)           FY07    FY08    FY09    FY10     FY11E     FY12E
                  SOURCES OF FUNDS
                  Equity Share Capital         30.6    30.6    30.6    30.6     30.6      30.6
                  Preference Capital              -       -       -       -         -         -
                  Reserves& Surplus           549.5   610.9   565.6   612.5    681.1     795.1
                  Shareholders Funds          580.1   641.5   596.2   643.1    711.7     825.7
                  Minority Interest               -       -       -       -         -         -
                  Total Loans                 265.3   287.6   295.9   275.1    325.1     345.1
                  Deferred Tax Liability       20.8    17.5    22.1    31.9     31.9      31.9
                  Total Liabilities           866.2   946.6   914.2   950.1   1,068.7   1,202.8
                  APPLICATION OF FUNDS
                  Gross Block                 475.5   504.4   762.1   802.5    871.6     910.5
                  Less: Acc. Depreciation     272.7   298.9   346.5   383.7    429.0     475.9
                  Net Block                   202.8   205.5   415.6   418.8    442.6     434.6
                  Capital Work-in-Progress    105.1   172.9    40.1    28.8     34.9      45.5
                  Goodwill                        -       -       -       -         -         -
                  Investments                 283.3   316.8   314.1   280.3    290.3     290.3
                  Current Assets              659.4   447.3   315.8   414.9    548.5     731.8
                  Cash                         61.1    21.4    28.1    37.2     21.5      31.4
                  Loans & Advances            327.2    82.3    86.4    85.7    131.9     158.3
                  Inventories                 192.3   236.1   143.6   220.9    292.6     378.2
                  Debtors                      78.8   107.6    57.7    71.0    102.4     163.9
                  Other                         0.0     0.0       -       -         -         -
                  Current liabilities         384.4   195.9   171.4   192.6    247.5     299.4
                  Net Current Assets          275.0   251.4   144.4   222.3    300.9     432.4
                  Mis. Exp. not written off       -       -       -       -         -         -
                  Total Assets                866.2   946.6   914.2   950.1   1,068.7   1,202.8




August 10, 2010                                                                              8
Finolex Cables | 1QFY2011 Result Update




                  Cash Flow Statement
                  Y/E March (Rs cr)                 FY07      FY08      FY09     FY10    FY11E    FY12E
                  Profit before tax                  97.0     120.3     (30.1)   89.2    112.5     183.0
                  Depreciation                       26.4      26.5      38.8    37.2     45.3      46.9
                  (Inc.)/ Dec. in Working Cap.       49.7    (262.7)    141.1 (80.5)     (59.6)   (103.2)
                  Less: Other income                 19.6      34.1      51.0    24.1     24.1      28.6
                  Direct taxes paid                  28.0      31.4       5.4    31.5     22.5      40.3
                  Cash Flow from Operations         125.5    (181.5)     93.4    (9.8)    51.6      57.8
                  (Inc.)/ Dec. in Fixed Assets     (105.3)    (96.6)   (124.9) (29.1)    (75.2)    (49.5)
                  (Inc.)/ Dec. in Investments       (11.1)    (33.5)      2.7    33.8    (10.0)         -
                  (Inc.)/ Dec. in loans and adv.    (36.2)    244.9      (4.1)    0.7    (46.2)    (26.4)
                  Other income                       19.6      34.1      51.0    24.1     24.1      28.6
                  Cash Flow from Investing         (133.0)    148.9     (75.3)   29.5 (107.3)      (47.3)
                  Issue of Equity                        -         -         -       -        -         -
                  Inc./(Dec.) in loans               31.0      22.3       8.3 (20.7)      50.0      20.0
                  Dividend Paid (Incl. Tax)          25.1      26.8       3.6    10.7     21.5      28.6
                  Others                              3.4      (2.5)    (16.0) 20.78     11.48      8.04
                  Cash Flow from Financing            9.3      (7.1)    (11.4) (10.7)     40.0      (0.6)
                  Inc./(Dec.) in Cash                 1.8     (39.7)      6.7     9.0    (15.7)      9.9
                  Opening Cash balances              59.2      61.1      21.4    28.1     37.2      21.5
                  Closing Cash balances              61.1      21.4      28.1    37.2     21.5      31.4




August 10, 2010                                                                                        9
Finolex Cables | 1QFY2011 Result Update




                  Key Ratios
                  Y/E March                      FY07   FY08   FY09     FY10   FY11E FY12E
                  Valuation Ratio (x)
                  P/E (on FDEPS)                 12.9   10.0        -   15.5     9.9    6.2
                  P/E (on basic, reported EPS)   12.9   10.0        -   15.5     9.9    6.2
                  P/CEPS                          9.3    7.7   272.2     9.4     6.6    4.7
                  P/BV                            1.5    1.4     1.5     1.4     1.3    1.1
                  Dividend yield (%)              2.4    2.6     0.3     1.0     2.1    2.7
                  Market cap. / Sales             0.9    0.6     0.7     0.6     0.4    0.4
                  EV/Sales                        0.8    0.6     0.6     0.5     0.4    0.4
                  EV/EBITDA                       6.8    5.8     8.3     4.3     4.4    3.7
                  EV / Total Assets               0.9    0.9     0.9     0.9     0.8    0.8
                  Per Share Data (Rs)
                  EPS (Basic)                     4.5    5.8    (2.3)    3.8     5.9    9.3
                  EPS (fully diluted)             4.5    5.8    (2.3)    3.8     5.9    9.3
                  Cash EPS                        6.2    7.5     0.2     6.2     8.8   12.4
                  DPS                             1.4    1.5     0.2     0.6     1.2    1.6
                  Book Value                     37.9   41.9    39.0    42.0    46.5   54.0
                  ROE Decomposition (%)
                  EBIT margin                     9.1    8.6     4.7     9.9     7.8    8.3
                  Tax retention ratio            71.1   73.9   118.0    64.6    80.0   78.0
                  Asset turnover (x)              2.4    3.2     2.8     2.9     3.1    3.2
                  ROCE (Post Tax)                15.3   20.7    15.4    18.2    19.3   20.3
                  Cost of Debt (Post Tax)         4.5    5.5    13.1     4.2     6.1    5.6
                  Leverage (x)                    0.1    0.2     0.2     0.2     0.3    0.3
                  Operating ROE                  16.7   23.1    15.9    21.4    22.9   24.4
                  Returns (%)
                  ROCE (Pre-tax)                 11.3   13.2     6.8    17.1    15.9   17.9
                  Angel ROIC                     15.3   20.7    15.4    18.2    19.3   20.3
                  ROE                            12.4   14.6    (5.7)    9.3    13.3   18.6
                  Turnover ratios (x)
                  Asset Turnover (Gross Block)    2.2    2.8     2.1     2.1     2.4    2.8
                  Asset Turnover (Net Block)      4.8    6.8     4.3     3.9     4.8    5.6
                  Operating Income / Invested
                                                  2.4    3.2     2.8     2.9     3.1    3.2
                  Capital
                  Inventory / Sales (days)       70.8   56.5    51.7    41.1    45.8   49.8
                  Receivables (days)             27.3   24.6    22.5    14.5    15.5   19.8
                  Payables (days)                38.9   39.5    48.5    43.8    39.6   40.2
                  WC cycle (ex-cash) (days)      78.7   78.4    45.7    41.0    52.4   60.6
                  Solvency ratios (x)
                  Gross debt to equity            0.5    0.4     0.5     0.4     0.5    0.4
                  Net debt to equity              0.1    0.2     0.2     0.2     0.3    0.3
                  Net debt to EBITDA              0.7    0.8     1.4     0.8     1.1    0.9
                  Interest Coverage (EBIT /
                                                  5.9    5.8     1.9     8.5     7.0    8.4
                  Interest)




August 10, 2010                                                                         10
Finolex Cables | 1QFY2011 Result Update




  Research Team Tel: 022 - 4040 3800                    E-mail: research@angeltrade.com                   Website: www.angeltrade.com

 DISCLAIMER

 This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment
 decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make
 such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies
 referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and
 risks of such an investment.

 Angel Broking Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make
 investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this
 document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within.

 Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and
 trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's
 fundamentals.

 The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable
 sources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this
 document is for general guidance only. Angel Broking Limited or any of its affiliates/ group companies shall not be in any way
 responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report.
 Angel Broking Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify,
 nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While
 Angel Broking Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory,
 compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so.
 This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced,
 redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly.

 Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or
 other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in
 the past.

 Neither Angel Broking Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or in
 connection with the use of this information.

 Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section). Also, please
 refer to the latest update on respective stocks for the disclosure status in respect of those stocks. Angel Broking Limited and
 its affiliates may have investment positions in the stocks recommended in this report.




 Disclosure of Interest Statement                                             Finolex Cables
 1. Analyst ownership of the stock                                                  No
 2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock                            No
 3. Angel and its Group companies' Directors ownership of the stock                 No
 4. Broking relationship with company covered                                       No

 Note: We have not considered any Exposure below Rs 1 lakh for Angel, its Group companies and Directors.



 Ratings (Returns) :             Buy (> 15%)                      Accumulate (5% to 15%)                 Neutral (-5 to 5%)
                                 Reduce (-5% to 15%)              Sell (< -15%)



August 10, 2010                                                                                                                           11

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Finolex Cables

  • 1. 1QFY2011 Result Update | Power Cables August 10, 2010 Finolex Cables BUY CMP Rs58 Performance Highlights Target Price Rs85 Y/E March (Rs cr) 1QFY11 4QFY10 % chg (qoq) 1QFY10 % chg (yoy) Investment Period 12 Months Net Sales 493.1 464.0 6.3 327.8 50.4 Stock Info EBITDA 39.6 32.8 20.9 50.0 (20.7) Sector Power Cables EBITDA margin (%) 8.0 7.1 15.2 Market Cap (Rs cr) 891 PAT 23.0 (5.4) - 22.0 4.5 Beta 0.9 Source: Company, Angel Research 52 Week High / Low 71/36 Finolex Cables posted a strong 50.4% growth in top-line for 1QFY2011 to Avg. Daily Volume 181596 Rs493cr (Rs328cr), which exceeded our expectations. Sales growth was backed by Face Value (Rs) 2 robust performance registered by the electrical cables segment, which grew BSE Sensex 18,220 41.0% yoy during the quarter to Rs296cr (Rs210cr). However, OPM was muted at Nifty 5,461 8.0% (15.2%) though sequentially it improved by 97bp from 7.1% in 4QFY2010 Reuters Code FNXC.BO to 8.0% in 1QFY2011. With strong growth in demand, we remain positive on the Bloomberg Code FNXC@IN company. We maintain a Buy on the stock owing to attractive valuations. Strong top-line growth, sluggish margins: 1QFY2011 sales increased with the Shareholding Pattern (%) electrical cables segment recording strong growth. Copper rods and others Promoters 35.1 segments sales also surged, increasing 68.2% and 513.3% yoy, respectively. MF / Banks / Indian Fls 13.5 However, higher raw material costs hit OPM, which stood at 8.0% for 1QFY2011. FII / NRIs / OCBs 6.2 Indian Public / Others 45.1 Outlook and Valuation: Going ahead, we expect demand for low-tension (LT) cables to remain strong given the positive outlook in the user industries. The EHV and HT cables plants are expected to start contributing by FY2012E. We expect Abs. (%) 3m 1yr 3yr sales to log a CAGR of 23.2% over FY2010-12E to Rs2,458cr. However, OPM is Sensex 5.1 21.4 22.5 expected to remain under pressure. Hence, we revise our OPM estimates from Finolex Cables 11.2 53.7 (27.3) 10.2% to 10.0% in FY2011E and 10.4% to 10.2% in FY2012E. We expect PAT to register a CAGR of 57.4%. At current levels, the stock is trading at 9.9x FY2011E and 6.2x FY2012E EPS. Hence, we maintain a Buy on the stock, with a Target Price of Rs85. Key Financials Y/E March (Rs cr) FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E Net Sales 1,342 1,619 2,048 2,458 % chg (3.1) 20.7 26.5 20.0 Net Profit (35) 58 90 143 % chg - - 56.2 58.5 EBITDA (%) 7.6 12.2 10.0 10.2 EPS (Rs) (2.3) 3.8 5.9 9.3 P/E (x) - 15.5 9.9 6.2 P/BV (x) 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.1 RoE (%) - 9.3 13.3 18.6 RoCE (%) 6.8 17.1 15.9 17.9 Jai Sharda EV/Sales (x) 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 022 - 39524568 Ext 305 EV/EBITDA (x) 8.3 4.3 4.4 3.7 jai.sharda@angeltrade.com Source: Company, Angel Research Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report 1
  • 2. Finolex Cables | 1QFY2011 Result Update Exhibit 1: 1QFY2011 Performance Y/E March (Rs cr) 1QFY2011 4QFY2010 % chg (qoq) 1QFY2010 % chg (yoy) FY2010 FY2009 % chg Net Sales 493.1 464.0 6.3 327.8 50.4 1,618.7 1,341.5 20.7 Consumption of RM 397.2 374.8 6.0 232.8 70.6 1,221.1 1,057.4 15.5 (% of Sales) 80.6 80.8 71.0 75.4 78.8 Staff Costs 15.6 13.1 19.2 15.7 (0.6) 59.2 53.3 11.1 (% of Sales) 3.2 2.8 4.8 3.7 4.0 Other Expenses 40.6 43.3 (6.1) 29.3 38.8 143.2 132.8 7.8 (% of Sales) 8.2 9.3 8.9 8.8 9.9 Total Expenditure 453.4 431.2 5.2 277.8 63.2 1,423.5 1,243.5 14.5 Operating Profit 39.6 32.8 20.9 50.0 (20.7) 195.2 98.1 99.1 OPM (%) 8.0 7.1 15.2 12.1 7.3 Interest 4.0 3.9 1.8 4.9 (18.7) 16.9 25.3 (33.2) Depreciation 9.8 8.3 18.3 9.5 2.8 37.2 38.8 (3.9) Other Income 5.9 4.9 19.1 10.8 (45.9) 24.1 23.8 1.2 PBT (excl. Extr. Items) 31.7 25.5 24.4 46.3 (31.6) 165.2 57.8 185.7 Extr. Income/(Expense) (3.6) (23.9) (19.0) (76.0) (87.9) PBT (incl. Extr. Items) 28.1 1.5 1,713.5 27.4 2.7 89.2 (30.1) - (% of Sales) 5.7 0.3 8.3 5.5 (2.2) Provision for Taxation 5.1 6.9 (26.1) 5.4 (4.3) 31.5 5.4 483.0 (% of PBT) 18.2 447.7 19.6 35.4 (18.0) Reported PAT 23.0 (5.4) - 22.0 4.5 57.6 (35.5) - PATM(%) 4.7 (1.2) 6.7 3.6 (2.6) Equity shares (cr) 15.3 15.3 15.3 15.3 15.3 EPS (Rs) 1.5 (0.4) - 1.4 4.5 3.8 (2.3) - Adjusted PAT 26.6 18.6 43.2 41.0 (35.2) 133.7 52.4 155.0 Source: Company, Angel Research Segment-wise performance The electrical cables segment posted strong growth of 41.0% yoy to Rs296cr (Rs210cr) mainly on the back of higher realisations. EBIT for the segment came in at Rs36.2cr, implying EBIT margin of 12.2%, which fell 867bp yoy mainly owing to higher raw material costs. However, sequentially EBIT margins increased by 288bp. The communication cables segment registered a 20.4% yoy decline in sales to Rs42.7cr (Rs53.7cr). Margins of the segment fell from 15.0% in 1QFY2010 to 8.1% in FY2011, with EBIT coming in at Rs3.5cr (Rs8.1cr). The copper rods segment posted sales of Rs339cr (Rs201cr) and EBIT of Rs3.7cr (Rs2.2cr). However, most of these sales were inter-segmental in nature. Margins of the segment came in flat yoy, at 1.1%. Sales of the others segment grew to Rs55.7cr (Rs9.1cr). A substantial portion of the sales was inter-segmental. The segment recorded EBIT of Rs0.7cr in 1QFY2011, vis-à-vis a loss of Rs0.6cr in 1QFY2010. August 10, 2010 2
  • 3. Finolex Cables | 1QFY2011 Result Update Exhibit 2: Segment-wise performance Y/E March (Rs cr) 1QFY2010 4QFY2010 1QFY2011 % chg (qoq) % chg (yoy) Total Revenues A) Electrical Cables 210.2 263.0 296.4 12.7 41.0 B) Comm. Cables 53.7 86.0 42.7 (50.3) (20.4) C) Copper Rods 201.4 266.8 338.7 27.0 68.2 D) Others 9.1 74.6 55.7 (25.4) 513.3 Total 474.3 690.3 733.6 6.3 54.7 Less: Inter-Seg. Rev 146.6 226.4 240.5 6.3 64.1 Net Sales 327.8 464.0 493.1 6.3 50.4 EBIT Margin (%) A) Electrical Cables 20.9 9.3 12.2 288bp (867bp) B) Comm. Cables 15.0 15.7 8.1 (757bp) (689bp) C) Copper Rods 1.1 0.9 1.1 17bp 1bp D) Others (6.3) 1.1 1.2 5bp 744bp Source: Company, Angel Research Sales on a strong growth curve The company has recorded a consistent increase in top-line since 3QFY2009, when it was hit by the global economic crisis. Since then, sales have more than doubled, increasing from Rs238cr in 3QFY2009 to Rs493 in1QFY2011. In the future too, the company looks to posting strong sales growth mainly on the back of demand revival in the economy. Exhibit 3: Sales trend 600 Sales (LHS) yoy Growth (RHS) 100.0 493 500 464 80.0 405 422 374 60.0 400 327 328 (Rs cr) 40.0 (%) 300 238 20.0 200 - 100 (20.0) 0 (40.0) 2QFY09 3QFY09 4QFY09 1QFY10 2QFY10 3QFY10 4QFY10 1QFY11 Source: Company, Angel Research Margins under pressure, but stabilising Post 3QFY2009, when the company posted losses at the operating level, margins improved to 16.5% in 2QFY2010 on the back of low-cost inventory. However, since then, margins have been declining and for 1QFY2011 came in at 8.1% mainly on account of the company’s decision to not fully pass on the higher copper prices. On a positive note, margins improved in 1QFY2011 sequentially. August 10, 2010 3
  • 4. Finolex Cables | 1QFY2011 Result Update Exhibit 4: Margins trend   80 EBITDA (LHS) OPM (RHS) 20 70 60 15 50 10 40 (Rs cr) (%) 30 5 20 10 0 0 (10) (5) 2QFY09 3QFY09 4QFY09 1QFY10 2QFY10 3QFY10 4QFY10 1QFY11 Source: Company, Angel Research Profit set to improve going ahead The company’s PAT has been fluctuating in the past few quarters mainly on the back of the erratic OPM and forex losses. In 1QFY2011, the company posted PAT of Rs23cr. Going ahead PAT is expected to further rise with the company improving its sales and forex losses tapering off. Exhibit 5: Profit trend 40 29 30 22 23 20 12 10 2 3 0 (Rs cr) (10) (20) (5) (30) (40) (50) (60) (47) 2QFY09 3QFY09 4QFY09 1QFY10 2QFY10 3QFY10 4QFY10 1QFY11 Source: Company, Angel Research Management call – Key takeaways The electrical cables segment volumes grew by around 10.0% yoy, whereas the communication cables segment volumes grew by around 5.0%. The copper rods segment recorded a strong 24.0% increase in volumes. Growth of the electrical cables segment was primarily driven by the high- voltage and power cables. Construction of one part of the EHV plant, the joint venture of the company with J-Power Systems, may get a bit delayed. However, the venture is expected to be in a position to offer most of its products as per schedule. The high-tension (HT) cables plant has received all the major approvals and started sales. However, volumes are currently subdued. Management expects this plant to pick up in the coming months. August 10, 2010 4
  • 5. Finolex Cables | 1QFY2011 Result Update The company expects margins to improve in the ensuing quarters and targets to end the fiscal with OPM of nearly 10.0%. Investment Arguments Poised for high growth going ahead: Finolex Cables is poised to register robust growth over the next few years owing to strong growth in the existing LT cables segment and entry into the HT and extra high voltage (EHV) cables verticals. In LT cables, we expect the organised players to gradually gain market share as their distribution reach expands and customers increasingly demand higher quality and branded wires. Entry into the HT cables segment gives accessibility to the generation and distribution segment, where the market opportunity is estimated at Rs37,000cr over the next 10 years. Tax benefits from Roorkee plant to help turnaround of the company: The company has shifted a major chunk of production to its Roorkee plant, which avails excise duty and income tax benefits. Owing to this, we expect excise duty and tax rates for the company to remain low at 9% and 22.0% respectively, in FY2012E. The company has further increased capacity of this plant by 50%. The proximity to the growing north Indian markets and tax benefits availed by this plant are expected to boost the turnaround of the company. Major capex already undertaken: The company has already incurred the major capex required to register growth over the next 4-5 years. Thus, on account of high operating leverage and strong sales growth, we expect the company to increase its net profit to Rs143cr in FY2012E from Rs58cr in FY2010. Outlook and Valuation We maintain our positive outlook on the company given its strong growth prospects as demand from the user industries strengthens. The company’s entry into the HT and EHV cables segments looks promising, with the HT cables plant expected to start contributing to top-line earlier than we had anticipated. Going ahead, with comfortable volumes, we expect the company to improve its margins from current levels of 8.0% in the quarter. Exhibit 6: Revised estimates Rs cr Old New % chg FY2011E FY2012E FY2011E FY2012E FY2011E FY2012E Sales 1,994 2,398 2,048 2,458 2.8 2.5 EBITDA 203 250 206 250 1.3 0.1 EBITDA margin (%) 10.2 10.4 10.0 10.2 PAT 88 140 90 143 2.7 1.6 EPS (Rs) 5.7 9.2 5.9 9.3 3.3 1.4 Source: Angel Research We expect sales to increase at a CAGR of 23.2% over FY2010-12E. However, we expect OPM to remain at 10.0% in FY2011E and 10.2% in FY2012E. PAT is expected to log a CAGR of 57.4% over FY2010-12E. We expect the company to post EPS of Rs5.9 in FY2011E and Rs9.3 in FY2012E. At current levels, the stock is trading at 9.9x and 6.2x FY2011E and FY2012E EPS, respectively. We maintain a Buy on the stock with a target price of Rs85. August 10, 2010 5
  • 6. Finolex Cables | 1QFY2011 Result Update Exhibit 7: Key Assumptions FY2011E FY2012E Remarks Electrical cables contribution to sales (%) 66.6 68.6 Higher contribution owing to HT cables sales Communication cables contribution to sales (%) 8.7 7.7 Decline mainly on account of lacklustre demand in JFTC Copper rods contribution to sales (%) 19.9 18.2 Sales to be driven by improvement in the economy Others contribution to sales (%) 4.9 5.5 CFL and switches to lead sales OPM (%) 10.0 10.2 OPM to remain under pressure owing to high copper prices Tax Rate (%) 20.0 22.0 Higher production in Pune plant to result in higher tax Source: Angel Research Exhibit 8: Peer Valuation Company Mcap CMP EPS (Rs) P/E (x) P/BV (x) RoE (%) (Rs cr) (Rs) FY11E FY12E FY11E FY12E FY11E FY12E FY11E FY12E Finolex Cables 891 58 5.9 9.3 9.9 6.2 1.3 1.1 13.3 18.6 Sterlite Technologies 3649 103 8.2 9.4 12.5 10.9 3.3 2.6 27.2 25.3 Source: Company, Bloomberg, Angel Research Exhibit 9: One-year forward P/BV band   140 2.5x 120 100 2.0x Share Price (Rs) 80 1.5x 60 1.0x 40 0.5x 20 0 Jul-02 Jul-03 Jul-04 Jul-05 Jul-06 Jul-07 Jul-08 Jul-09 Jul-10 Mar-02 Mar-03 Mar-04 Mar-05 Mar-06 Mar-07 Mar-08 Mar-09 Mar-10 Nov-02 Nov-03 Nov-04 Nov-05 Nov-06 Nov-07 Nov-08 Nov-09 Source: Company, Bloomberg, Angel Research August 10, 2010 6
  • 7. Finolex Cables | 1QFY2011 Result Update Profit and Loss Statement Y/E March (Rs cr) FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11E FY12E Gross sales 1,185.9 1,592.9 1,501.5 1,726.6 2,202.5 2,701.5 Less: Excise duty 152.9 209.1 160.0 107.9 154.2 243.1 Net Sales 1,033.0 1,383.8 1,341.5 1,618.7 2,048.4 2,458.3 Other operating income Total operating income 1,033.0 1,383.8 1,341.5 1,618.7 2,048.4 2,458.3 % chg 38.1 34.0 (3.1) 20.7 26.5 20.0 Total Expenditure 912.8 1,237.9 1,239.7 1,421.7 1,842.7 2,208.4 Net Raw Materials 783.0 1,074.0 1,058.5 1,221.1 1,602.4 1,922.4 Other Mfg costs 19.7 23.6 24.4 28.4 33.7 40.5 Personnel 35.5 49.7 53.3 59.2 75.8 91.0 Other 74.6 90.5 103.5 113.1 130.8 154.5 EBITDA 120.2 145.9 101.8 197.0 205.7 250.0 % chg 39.8 21.4 (30.2) 93.5 4.4 21.5 (% of Net Sales) 11.6 10.5 7.6 12.2 10.0 10.2 Depreciation& Amortisation 26.4 26.5 38.8 37.2 45.3 46.9 EBIT 93.8 119.4 63.0 159.8 160.3 203.1 % chg 71.5 27.4 (47.2) 153.5 0.4 26.7 (% of Net Sales) 9.1 8.6 4.7 9.9 7.8 8.3 Interest & other Charges 15.9 20.4 32.4 18.7 22.8 24.2 Other Income 19.6 34.1 51.0 24.1 24.1 28.6 (% of PBT) 20.1 25.6 62.5 14.6 14.9 13.8 Share in profit of Associates - - - - - - Recurring PBT 97.4 133.2 81.6 165.2 161.7 207.5 % chg 38.6 36.7 (38.7) 102.5 (2.1) 28.4 Extraordinary Expense/(Inc.) 0.4 12.9 111.7 76.0 49.2 24.6 PBT (reported) 97.0 120.3 (30.1) 89.2 112.5 183.0 Tax 28.0 31.4 5.4 31.5 22.5 40.3 (% of PBT) 28.9 26.1 - 35.4 20.0 22.0 PAT (reported) 69.0 88.9 (35.5) 57.6 90.0 142.7 Less: Minority interest (MI) - - - - - - Prior period items - - - - - - PAT after MI (reported) 69.0 88.9 (35.5) 57.6 90.0 142.7 ADJ. PAT 69.0 88.9 (35.5) 57.6 90.0 142.7 % chg 37.0 28.9 - - 56.2 58.5 (% of Net Sales) 6.7 6.4 - - 4.4 5.8 Basic EPS (Rs) 4.5 5.8 (2.3) 3.8 5.9 9.3 Fully Diluted EPS (Rs) 4.5 5.8 (2.3) 3.8 5.9 9.3 % chg 37.0 28.9 - - 56.2 58.5 August 10, 2010 7
  • 8. Finolex Cables | 1QFY2011 Result Update Balance Sheet Y/E March (Rs cr) FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11E FY12E SOURCES OF FUNDS Equity Share Capital 30.6 30.6 30.6 30.6 30.6 30.6 Preference Capital - - - - - - Reserves& Surplus 549.5 610.9 565.6 612.5 681.1 795.1 Shareholders Funds 580.1 641.5 596.2 643.1 711.7 825.7 Minority Interest - - - - - - Total Loans 265.3 287.6 295.9 275.1 325.1 345.1 Deferred Tax Liability 20.8 17.5 22.1 31.9 31.9 31.9 Total Liabilities 866.2 946.6 914.2 950.1 1,068.7 1,202.8 APPLICATION OF FUNDS Gross Block 475.5 504.4 762.1 802.5 871.6 910.5 Less: Acc. Depreciation 272.7 298.9 346.5 383.7 429.0 475.9 Net Block 202.8 205.5 415.6 418.8 442.6 434.6 Capital Work-in-Progress 105.1 172.9 40.1 28.8 34.9 45.5 Goodwill - - - - - - Investments 283.3 316.8 314.1 280.3 290.3 290.3 Current Assets 659.4 447.3 315.8 414.9 548.5 731.8 Cash 61.1 21.4 28.1 37.2 21.5 31.4 Loans & Advances 327.2 82.3 86.4 85.7 131.9 158.3 Inventories 192.3 236.1 143.6 220.9 292.6 378.2 Debtors 78.8 107.6 57.7 71.0 102.4 163.9 Other 0.0 0.0 - - - - Current liabilities 384.4 195.9 171.4 192.6 247.5 299.4 Net Current Assets 275.0 251.4 144.4 222.3 300.9 432.4 Mis. Exp. not written off - - - - - - Total Assets 866.2 946.6 914.2 950.1 1,068.7 1,202.8 August 10, 2010 8
  • 9. Finolex Cables | 1QFY2011 Result Update Cash Flow Statement Y/E March (Rs cr) FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11E FY12E Profit before tax 97.0 120.3 (30.1) 89.2 112.5 183.0 Depreciation 26.4 26.5 38.8 37.2 45.3 46.9 (Inc.)/ Dec. in Working Cap. 49.7 (262.7) 141.1 (80.5) (59.6) (103.2) Less: Other income 19.6 34.1 51.0 24.1 24.1 28.6 Direct taxes paid 28.0 31.4 5.4 31.5 22.5 40.3 Cash Flow from Operations 125.5 (181.5) 93.4 (9.8) 51.6 57.8 (Inc.)/ Dec. in Fixed Assets (105.3) (96.6) (124.9) (29.1) (75.2) (49.5) (Inc.)/ Dec. in Investments (11.1) (33.5) 2.7 33.8 (10.0) - (Inc.)/ Dec. in loans and adv. (36.2) 244.9 (4.1) 0.7 (46.2) (26.4) Other income 19.6 34.1 51.0 24.1 24.1 28.6 Cash Flow from Investing (133.0) 148.9 (75.3) 29.5 (107.3) (47.3) Issue of Equity - - - - - - Inc./(Dec.) in loans 31.0 22.3 8.3 (20.7) 50.0 20.0 Dividend Paid (Incl. Tax) 25.1 26.8 3.6 10.7 21.5 28.6 Others 3.4 (2.5) (16.0) 20.78 11.48 8.04 Cash Flow from Financing 9.3 (7.1) (11.4) (10.7) 40.0 (0.6) Inc./(Dec.) in Cash 1.8 (39.7) 6.7 9.0 (15.7) 9.9 Opening Cash balances 59.2 61.1 21.4 28.1 37.2 21.5 Closing Cash balances 61.1 21.4 28.1 37.2 21.5 31.4 August 10, 2010 9
  • 10. Finolex Cables | 1QFY2011 Result Update Key Ratios Y/E March FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11E FY12E Valuation Ratio (x) P/E (on FDEPS) 12.9 10.0 - 15.5 9.9 6.2 P/E (on basic, reported EPS) 12.9 10.0 - 15.5 9.9 6.2 P/CEPS 9.3 7.7 272.2 9.4 6.6 4.7 P/BV 1.5 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.1 Dividend yield (%) 2.4 2.6 0.3 1.0 2.1 2.7 Market cap. / Sales 0.9 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.4 EV/Sales 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 EV/EBITDA 6.8 5.8 8.3 4.3 4.4 3.7 EV / Total Assets 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 Per Share Data (Rs) EPS (Basic) 4.5 5.8 (2.3) 3.8 5.9 9.3 EPS (fully diluted) 4.5 5.8 (2.3) 3.8 5.9 9.3 Cash EPS 6.2 7.5 0.2 6.2 8.8 12.4 DPS 1.4 1.5 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.6 Book Value 37.9 41.9 39.0 42.0 46.5 54.0 ROE Decomposition (%) EBIT margin 9.1 8.6 4.7 9.9 7.8 8.3 Tax retention ratio 71.1 73.9 118.0 64.6 80.0 78.0 Asset turnover (x) 2.4 3.2 2.8 2.9 3.1 3.2 ROCE (Post Tax) 15.3 20.7 15.4 18.2 19.3 20.3 Cost of Debt (Post Tax) 4.5 5.5 13.1 4.2 6.1 5.6 Leverage (x) 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 Operating ROE 16.7 23.1 15.9 21.4 22.9 24.4 Returns (%) ROCE (Pre-tax) 11.3 13.2 6.8 17.1 15.9 17.9 Angel ROIC 15.3 20.7 15.4 18.2 19.3 20.3 ROE 12.4 14.6 (5.7) 9.3 13.3 18.6 Turnover ratios (x) Asset Turnover (Gross Block) 2.2 2.8 2.1 2.1 2.4 2.8 Asset Turnover (Net Block) 4.8 6.8 4.3 3.9 4.8 5.6 Operating Income / Invested 2.4 3.2 2.8 2.9 3.1 3.2 Capital Inventory / Sales (days) 70.8 56.5 51.7 41.1 45.8 49.8 Receivables (days) 27.3 24.6 22.5 14.5 15.5 19.8 Payables (days) 38.9 39.5 48.5 43.8 39.6 40.2 WC cycle (ex-cash) (days) 78.7 78.4 45.7 41.0 52.4 60.6 Solvency ratios (x) Gross debt to equity 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 Net debt to equity 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 Net debt to EBITDA 0.7 0.8 1.4 0.8 1.1 0.9 Interest Coverage (EBIT / 5.9 5.8 1.9 8.5 7.0 8.4 Interest) August 10, 2010 10
  • 11. Finolex Cables | 1QFY2011 Result Update Research Team Tel: 022 - 4040 3800 E-mail: research@angeltrade.com Website: www.angeltrade.com DISCLAIMER This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. Angel Broking Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within. Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's fundamentals. The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable sources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this document is for general guidance only. Angel Broking Limited or any of its affiliates/ group companies shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. Angel Broking Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify, nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While Angel Broking Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly. Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in the past. Neither Angel Broking Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or in connection with the use of this information. Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section). Also, please refer to the latest update on respective stocks for the disclosure status in respect of those stocks. Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may have investment positions in the stocks recommended in this report. Disclosure of Interest Statement Finolex Cables 1. Analyst ownership of the stock No 2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock No 3. Angel and its Group companies' Directors ownership of the stock No 4. Broking relationship with company covered No Note: We have not considered any Exposure below Rs 1 lakh for Angel, its Group companies and Directors. Ratings (Returns) : Buy (> 15%) Accumulate (5% to 15%) Neutral (-5 to 5%) Reduce (-5% to 15%) Sell (< -15%) August 10, 2010 11