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1QFY2011 Result Update | IT
                                                                                                                             July 16, 2010



 TCS                                                                                           ACCUMULATE
                                                                                              CMP                                  Rs832
 Performance Highlights                                                                       Target Price                         Rs920
 (Rs cr)                  1QFY11        4QFY10       %chg (qoq)      1QFY10     %chg (yoy)    Investment Period               12 Months
 Net revenue                 8,217        7,737               6.2       7,207        14.0
 EBIT margin (%)              27.1          27.5            (0.4)        24.8         2.3
                                                                                               Stock Info
 PAT                         1,844        1,948             (5.3)       1,520        21.3
 Source: Company, Angel Research; US GAAP financials in INR terms                              Sector                                  IT

 Outstanding performance assures strong business pipeline: TCS reported strong                 Market Cap (Rs cr)                 162,917
 performance in 1QFY2011, which was well ahead of our as well as consensus                     Beta                                   0.9
 estimates. In INR terms, TCS reported top-line growth of 6.2% qoq (14% yoy);
 while in USD terms, it reported growth of 6.4% qoq (21.2% yoy). Growth was                    52 Week High / Low                 844/420
 backed by 8.1% growth in volumes, which combated the cross-currency and
                                                                                               Avg. Daily Volume                  399477
 pricing impact of negative ~190bp. Growth was broad-based, led by North
 America and Asia Pacific markets. Despite the 215bp and 32bp negative impacts                 Face Value (Rs)                         1
 of wage hikes and adverse currency movement, respectively, the company
                                                                                               BSE Sensex                          17,956
 witnessed a slight dip of only 36bp qoq in EBIT margin mainly due to rate
 productivity improvement and lower selling and general administration (SG&A)                  Nifty                                5,394
 costs. Other income was down by 49% qoq on account of Forex loss, while the
 higher tax rate moved up from 14.8% to 19% qoq. Thus, TCS recorded a 5.3%                     Reuters Code                       TCS.BO
 qoq decline in bottom line to Rs1,844cr mainly because of higher Forex loss and               Bloomberg Code                     TCS@IN
 tax rate.

 Outlook & Valuation: Despite a weaker macro-economic scenario, TCS continued
                                                                                               Shareholding Pattern (%)
 to perform well in 1QFY2011. TCS has a strong deal pipeline, including large
 transformational deals with an uptick in discretionary spends. The company also               Promoters                             74.1
 raised its gross employee-hiring target to 40,000 for FY2011 from the earlier
 30,000, exhibiting a positive demand environment. We expect the company to                    MF / Banks / Indian Fls                8.5
 deliver a top-line CAGR of 17.9% over FY2010–12E, backed by a 19% CAGR in                     FII / NRIs / OCBs                     12.3
 volumes. However, EPS is likely to register an 11.7% CAGR during the same
 period because of increased tax rate. The stock is currently trading at 20.7x                 Indian Public /
                                                                                                                                      5.0
                                                                                               Others
 FY2011E EPS of Rs40.3 and 19x FY2012E EPS of Rs43.8. Although the ongoing
 crisis in Europe and adverse cross-currency movements are causes for concern for
 IT companies, we believe growth will be sustained through volumes with stable
                                                                                               Abs. (%)            3m       1yr       3yr
 pricing. We have valued the stock at 21x FY2012E earnings, similar to its
 historical average of 21x during FY2007–10 and at par with our target P/E                     Sensex              2.1     26.0      17.3
 multiple of 21x for Infosys. We recommend an Accumulate rating on the stock
 with a Target Price of Rs920.                                                                 TCS                 2.1     98.0      47.6

 Key Financials (Consolidated US GAAP)
  Y/E March (Rs cr)                     FY2009        FY2010        FY2011E     FY2012E
  Net Sales                              27,813       30,029         35,940       41,710
  % chg                                    23.0           8.0          19.7         16.1
  Net Profit                              5,172        6,873          7,889        8,571
  % chg                                      3.0        32.9           14.8           8.6
  EBIT Margin (%)                          25.8         28.9           29.2         29.0
  FDEPS (Rs)                               26.4         35.1           40.3         43.8
  P/E (x)                                  15.8         23.7           20.7         19.0
  P/BV (x)                                   5.1          7.6            6.3          5.3
  RoE (%)                                  36.2         36.8           33.6         30.4
  RoCE (%)                                 47.4         48.5           50.8         53.2
                                                                                             Vibha Salvi
  EV/Sales (x)                               3.0          5.5            4.3          3.6
                                                                                             022 – 4040 3800 Ext: 329
  EV/EBITDA (x)                            11.1         18.3           14.8         12.6     vibhas.salvi@angeltrade.com
 Source: Company, Angel Research


Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report                                                                         1
TCS | 1QFY2011Result Update




 Exhibit 1: 1QFY2011 performance (Consolidated, US GAAP)
 Y/E March (Rs cr)                   FY2011       FY2010      % chg      FY2010   % chg        FY2010        FY2009        %chg
                                         1Q           4Q      (qoq)          1Q   (yoy)                                    (yoy)
 Net revenue                          8,217        7,737         6.2      7,207    14.0        30,029        27,813          8.0
 Cost of revenue                      4,398        3994         10.1      3,821    15.1        15,724        15,075          4.3
 Gross profit                         3,820        3,743         2.0      3,386    12.8        14,305        12,738        12.3
 SG&A expenses                        1,411        1,431        (1.4)     1,424   (1.0)         5,625            5,561       1.1
 EBITDA                               2,409        2,312         4.2      1,962    22.8         8,680            7,178     20.9
 Other income                            83         163       (48.9)        19                   226             (467)
 Depreciation                           178         184         (3.2)      173      3.1          721              576      25.1
 Income before income taxes           2,314        2,291         1.0      1,808    27.9         8,185            6,134     33.4
 Minority interest                       27            3      750.0         23     20.4          103               61      68.4
 Tax                                    442         340         30.2       266     66.6         1,209             901      34.1
 Net income                           1,844        1,948        (5.3)     1,520    21.3         6,873            5,172     32.9
 Diluted EPS (Rs)                       9.4         10.0        (5.3)       7.8    21.2          35.1             26.4     32.9
 Gross profit margin (%)               46.5         48.4                   47.0                  47.6             45.8
 EBITDA margin (%)                     29.3         29.9                   27.2                  28.9             25.8
 EBIT margin (%)                       27.1         27.5                   24.8                  26.5             23.7
 Net profit margin (%)                 22.4         25.2                   21.1                  22.9             18.6
 Source: Company, Angel Research

                                       Exhibit 2: 1QFY2011 – Actual v/s Angel estimates
                                        (Rs cr)                                    Estimates            Actual     Variation (%)
                                        Net revenue                                   7,890             8,217                4.1
                                        EBIT margin (%)                                25.5              27.1                1.6
                                         PAT                                          1,809             1,844                1.9
                                       Source: Company, Angel Research

                                       Strong volumes combated adverse cross-currency impact

                                       Exhibit 3: INR revenue growth break-up (%)
                                                                                                                    1QFY11
                                       (A) Positive factors
                                       Volume growth                                                                     8.10
                                       Total (A)                                                                         8.10
                                       (B) Negative factors
                                       Pricing & productivity                                                            0.32
                                       Offshore shift                                                                    0.48
                                       Cross currency impact                                                             1.09
                                       Total (B)                                                                         1.89
                                       (C) Revenue growth (A) - (B)                                                      6.21
                                       Source: Company, Angel Research

                                       For 1QFY2011, TCS recorded top-line growth of 6.2% qoq (14% yoy), backed by
                                       volume growth of 8.1% qoq. However, this positive impact on growth was largely
                                       curtailed by the 1.1% qoq impact of cross-currency movement as the INR
                                       continued to appreciate even against the euro and GBP by 8.6% and 5.1%,
                                       respectively, during the quarter.




July 16, 2010                                                                                                                      2
TCS | 1QFY2011Result Update




                In 1QFY2011, the company’s international revenue grew by 6.3% qoq (14.4%
                yoy) to Rs7,492.0cr. Domestic revenue during the quarter grew by 5.3% qoq
                (9.8% yoy) to Rs725.2cr, sustaining the strong growth momentum.

                TCS closed 10 large deals across the BFSI, hi-tech, manufacturing and lifesciences
                verticals and added 36 new clients during the quarter. A large deal was also
                closed in Europe during the quarter, despite the unstable environment. The
                company’s Bancs product performed extremely well with eight implementations
                going live in 1QFY2011 and 13 new large deals being signed for the same.

                Amongst service lines, except for global consulting and asset leveraged solutions,
                all services witnessed strong growth. Among verticals, except for manufacturing,
                all verticals witnessed strong growth.

                During the quarter, TCS added gross of 10,849 employees (net addition was
                3,271), taking the total headcount (including subsidiaries) to 1,63,700 employees.
                The total headcount excluding subsidiaries stood at 1,42,939, up 2,320 on a net
                basis.

                 Exhibit 4: Service line break-up
                 Service line                     1QFY11     4QFY10    1QFY10     %chg     %chg
                 (Rs cr)                                                          (qoq)    (yoy)
                 Application dvlpt.
                                                    3,936     3,683     3,510       6.9     12.1
                 & maintenance
                 Business intelligence                444       418       440       6.2      0.9
                 Enterprise solutions                 805       781       786       3.1      2.5
                 Assurance services                   526       449       317      17.2     65.8
                 Engineering
                                                      394       371       375       6.2      5.2
                 & industrial services
                 Infrastructure services              715       642       670      11.3      6.7
                 Global consulting                    173       193       101    (10.8)     71.0
                 Asset leveraged solutions            304       309       187     (1.8)     62.3
                 BPO                                  920       890       822       3.4     12.0
                 Total revenue                      8,217     7,737     7,207       6.2     14.0
                Source: Company, Angel Research


                Exhibit 5: Verticals split
                Verticals                           1QFY11   4QFY10    1QFY10      %chg     %chg
                (Rs cr)                                                            (qoq)    (yoy)
                BFSI                                3,673      3,528     3,157       4.1    16.4
                Telecom                             1,044        944       951      10.6      9.7
                Manufacturing                         608        603       627       0.8    (3.0)
                Retail & distribution                 904        843       764       7.2    18.3
                Hi-Tech                               378        340       310      11.0    22.0
                Lifesciences
                                                     427        402        353       6.2    21.0
                & healthcare
                Travel & hospitality                  255        248       238       2.9     7.1
                Energy & utilities                    271        232       180      16.8    50.5
                Media & entertainment                 156        139       144      12.1     8.3
                Others                                501        456       483       9.8     3.8
                Total revenue                       8,217      7,737     7,207       6.2    14.0
                Source: Company, Angel Research




July 16, 2010                                                                                      3
TCS | 1QFY2011Result Update




                Exhibit 6: Client contribution
                                                                                  % chg      % chg
                Client                             1QFY11     4QFY10    1QFY10
                                                                                  (qoq)       (yoy)
                Top client                              666      634       411      4.9       62.0
                  % of revenue                          8.1       8.2       5.7
                Top 5 clients                         1,808    1,687     1,398      7.2       29.3
                  % of revenue                         22.0     21.8      19.4
                Top 10 clients                        2,506    2,336     2,018      7.3       24.2
                  % of revenue                         30.5     30.2      28.0
                Source: Company, Angel Research

                In terms of geography, growth was on the back of continued strong recovery in
                North America, up 8.2% qoq (19.9% yoy), and robust growth in emerging
                markets. In Europe, growth was led by 5.5% qoq growth in the UK; however,
                Continental Europe witnessed a 5.5% qoq decline on account of the ongoing
                crisis.

                 Exhibit 7: Geographical break-up
                 Geographies                       1QFY11     4QFY10    1QFY10    % chg      % chg
                 (Rs cr)                                                          (qoq)       (yoy)
                 America
                 North America                        4,520    4,178     3,769      8.2        19.9
                 Latin America                         353       340       332      3.8         6.6
                 Europe
                 UK                                   1,241    1,176     1,218      5.5         1.9
                 Continental Europe                    731       774       793     (5.5)      (7.7)
                 Emerging Markets
                 India                                 723       689       656      5.0        10.3
                 Asia Pacific                          485       433       310     11.9        56.4
                 MEA                                   164       147       130     11.8        26.7
                 Total revenue                        8,217    7,737     7,207      6.2        14.0
                 Source: Company, Angel Research


                SG&A leverage and improved productivity prevented margin erosion

                Exhibit 8: Factors impacting EBIT margin
                (A) Positive factors                                                  1QFY11
                Rate productivity improvement                                           0.57
                Offshore shift                                                          0.15
                SG&A leverage                                                           1.39
                Total (A)                                                                   2.11
                (B) Negative factors
                Wage Hike                                                                   2.15
                Cross currency impact                                                       0.32
                Total (B)                                                                   2.47
                (C) Change in EBIT margin (A) - (B)                                        (0.36)
                Source: Company, Angel Research




July 16, 2010                                                                                         4
TCS | 1QFY2011Result Update




                The company provided offshore wage hike of around 10% and onsite hike of 2–
                4%, which contracted EBIT margin by 215bp and 32bp on account of adverse
                currency movements, respectively. This resulted in a slight dip of 36bp qoq in EBIT
                margin, much lower than expected. Further margin erosion was mainly due to
                improvement in rate productivity, lower SG&A costs and offshore shift.

                Lower other income and higher taxes impact bottom line

                The company’s other income declined by 49% qoq to Rs83.1cr in 1QFY2011 on
                account of Forex loss of Rs47cr versus Forex gain witnessed in 4QFY2010. The tax
                rate also moved up from 14.8% to 19% qoq. Thus, TCS recorded a decline of
                5.3% qoq in bottom line to Rs1,844cr.




July 16, 2010                                                                                     5
TCS | 1QFY2011Result Update




                Investment Arguments

                Strong deal pipeline and uptick in discretionary spends exhibit strong business
                prospectus: Though Europe continues to be a spoilsport for the Indian IT industry,
                TCS’s current bottom’s up statistics are in disconnect with the weak macro-
                economic indicators, as the company is witnessing strong IT spends from the US,
                UK and emerging markets. Though there are concerns related to business
                prospects from Continental Europe, the same had witnessed growth of 1.2% qoq
                in constant currency terms in 1QFY2011. Further, the company’s demand pipeline
                is quite robust, comprising large transformational deals, and is witnessing an
                uptick in discretionary IT spends with 15 such critical deals coming from new
                clients, exhibiting strong improvement in the company’s business prospects.
                Moreover, the company’s UK government’s pension-related project seems to be
                on track with no major concerns seen in its ramp up. The company has also raised
                its gross employee-hiring target to 40,000 for FY2011 from the earlier 30,000,
                exhibiting a positive demand environment. Though TCS does not give direct
                guidance, based on the current cues from the management and our analysis, we
                believe TCS will witness strong volume-backed performance in FY2011. The
                pricing for the company is expected to remain stable with an upward bias on
                account of key transformational deals in the pipeline.

                Adverse cross-currency and higher attrition impacts to be mitigated by other
                operational levers: The adverse cross-currency movement remains a concern as
                TCS has higher dependence on Europe. However, we believe the same would be
                combated through hedges and strong growth in other markets. TCS’s total
                outstanding hedge position as in 1QFY2011 stands at around US $455mn, at an
                INR/USD strike rate of 46.3. TCS now focuses on smaller-tenure hedges in view of
                volatile currency, which would prove helpful in the current business environment.

                The higher attrition rate of 13.1% observed in 1QFY2011 was mainly on account
                of overall buoyancy in the job market, driven by strong economic recovery and
                employees leaving for higher studies, which generally happens in first quarter of a
                financial year. However, the company’s promotional drives and focus on talent
                retention are expected to restrain growth in attrition rate going forward. Though
                we expect employee costs to increase going forward, management’s focus would
                remain on capping non-employee costs through better managerial efficiency and
                by growing its offshore leverage the way it did during 1QFY2011.

                Outlook & Valuation: Despite a weaker macro-economic scenario, TCS continued
                to perform well during the quarter. The company has a strong deal pipeline,
                including large transformational deals with an uptick in discretionary spends. The
                company also raised its gross employee-hiring target to 40,000 for FY2011 from
                the earlier 30,000, exhibiting a positive demand environment.




July 16, 2010                                                                                     6
TCS | 1QFY2011Result Update




                We expect the company to deliver a top-line CAGR of 17.9% over FY2010–12E,
                backed by a 19% CAGR in volumes. However, EPS is likely to register an 11.7%
                CAGR during the same period on account of increased tax rate. The stock is
                currently trading at 20.7x FY2011E EPS of Rs40.3 and 19x FY2012E EPS of
                Rs43.8. Although the ongoing crisis in Europe and adverse cross-currency
                movements are causes for concern for IT companies, we believe growth will be
                sustained through volumes with stable pricing. We have valued the stock at 21x
                FY2012E earnings, similar to its historical average of 21x during FY2007–10 and
                at par with our target PE multiple of 21x for Infosys. We recommend an
                Accumulate rating on the stock with a Target Price of Rs920


                Exhibit 9: Key assumptions
                                                                            FY2011E            FY2012E
                 Volume growth                                                     21.4            16.3
                 Pricing growth                                                     0.7             2.2
                 Revenue growth (in USD terms)                                     22.2            14.7
                 USD-INR rate (realised)                                           46.5            47.0
                 Revenue growth (in INR terms)                                     19.7            16.1
                 EBIT margin (%)                                                   27.0            26.8
                 Tax rate (%)                                                      19.0            24.0
                 EPS growth (%)                                                    14.8             8.6
                 Source: Company, Angel Research


                Exhibit 10: Change in estimates
                                         FY2011E                           FY2012E
                Parameter             Earlier     Revised     Var.      Earlier          Revised      Var.
                (Rs cr)            estimates    estimates      (%)   estimates         estimates       (%)
                Net revenue        33,351       35,940         7.8    38,821              41,710       7.4
                EBIT (ex. other
                                     8,391         9,695     15.5      9,442              11,196     18.6
                income)
                PBT                  9,064         9,865       8.8    10,533              11,455       8.8
                Tax                  1,541         1,861     20.7      2,212               2,749     24.3
                PAT                  7,413         7,889       6.4     8,200               8,571       4.5
                Source: Company, Angel Research


                We have upgraded our FY2011E and FY2012E top-line estimates, in line with
                strong cues from the management and the expected higher infusion of gross
                manpower. However, we expect other income to be lower on account of the
                expected unfavorable cross-currency movement. We estimate PAT to be higher
                in FY2011E and FY2012E, compared to the earlier estimates, on the back of
                upgraded growth in volumes and better margins.

                Exhibit 11: Angel EPS forecast v/s consensus
                                                                                  Bloomberg        Variation
                 Year (%)                           Angel forecast
                                                                                   consensus             (%)
                 FY2011E                                     40.3                      40.0               0.8

                 FY2012E                                     43.8                      45.0            (2.7)
                Source: Company, Angel Research




July 16, 2010                                                                                                7
TCS | 1QFY2011Result Update




                                             Exhibit 12: One-year forward P/E band

                                                             1,200
                                                             1,100                                                                                                                                                                   30x
                                                             1,000
                                                               900                                                                                                                                                                   25x




                                              Share Price (Rs)
                                                               800
                                                               700
                                                               600
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     15x
                                                               500
                                                               400
                                                               300
                                                               200
                                                               100



                                                                        Jun-05




                                                                        Jun-06




                                                                        Jun-07




                                                                        Jun-08




                                                                        Jun-09




                                                                        Jun-10
                                                                        Apr-05




                                                                        Apr-06




                                                                        Apr-07




                                                                        Apr-08




                                                                        Apr-09




                                                                        Apr-10
                                                                        Aug-05




                                                                        Aug-06




                                                                        Aug-07




                                                                        Aug-08




                                                                        Aug-09
                                                                        Feb-06




                                                                        Feb-07




                                                                        Feb-08




                                                                        Feb-09




                                                                        Feb-10
                                                                        Dec-05




                                                                        Dec-06




                                                                        Dec-07




                                                                        Dec-08




                                                                        Dec-09
                                                                        Oct-05




                                                                        Oct-06




                                                                        Oct-07




                                                                        Oct-08




                                                                        Oct-09
                                             Source: Company, Angel Research



                                             Exhibit 13: Premium/discount in TCS P/E versus Infosys P/E

                                                                  30
                                                                  20
                                                                  10
                                                  (%)




                                                                   0
                                                                 (10)
                                                                 (20)
                                                                 (30)
                                                                                   Jul-06


                                                                                                      Jan-07


                                                                                                                        Jul-07


                                                                                                                                          Jan-08


                                                                                                                                                            Jul-08


                                                                                                                                                                               Jan-09


                                                                                                                                                                                                 Jul-09


                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Jan-10


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Jul-10
                                                                                                               Apr-07




                                                                                                                                                   Apr-08




                                                                                                                                                                                        Apr-09




                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Apr-10
                                                                                             Oct-06




                                                                                                                                 Oct-07




                                                                                                                                                                     Oct-08




                                                                                                                                                                                                          Oct-09
                                                                          Mar-06




                                                                                   Premium/Discount to Infosys                                                 Avg. Historical Discount to Infosys

                                             Source: Company, Angel Research



 Exhibit 14: Recommendation summary
 Company              Reco.         CMP      Tgt. price                            Upside             FY2012E                    FY2012E                    FY2010-12E                      FY2012E                  FY2012E
                                      (Rs)                         (Rs)                     (%)          P/BV (x)                    P/E (x)            EPS CAGR (%)                        RoCE (%)                    RoE (%)
 3iInfotech           Buy             66                          129                95.9                         0.6                      3.7                          218.4                        15.0                    16.5 
 Educomp              Buy           630                           734                16.6                         2.8                     13.7                                26.9                   21.0                    22.3 
 HCL Tech             Accumulate    373                           420                12.5                         3.0                     13.9                                17.9                   40.9                    24.1 
 Infosys              Accumulate   2,778                         3037                   9.3                       4.6                     20.1                                12.6                   33.1                    25.0 
 Mphasis              Buy           617                           872                41.3                         2.5                      9.6                                14.9                   41.6                    29.2 
 NIIT                 Buy             70                           83                18.4                         1.8                     12.1                                16.6                   12.1                    15.8 
 TCS                  Accumulate    832                           921                10.6                         5.3                     19.0                                11.7                   53.2                    30.4 
 Tech Mahindra        Buy           770                          1,168               51.7                         2.2                     11.5                                11.8                   73.4                    22.0 
 Wipro                Buy           402                           475                18.1                         3.7                     17.0                                12.0                   27.9                    23.6 
Source: Company, Angel Research




July 16, 2010                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  8
TCS | 1QFY2011Result Update




                Profit & Loss Statement (Consolidated US GAAP)
                 Y/E March (Rs cr)                     FY2009    FY2010    FY2011E    FY2012E
                 Gross sales                           27,813    29,085     35,940     41,710
                 Less: Excise duty                           -      944           -          -
                 Net Sales                             27,813    30,029     35,940     41,710
                 Other operating income                      -         -          -          -
                 Total operating income                27,813    30,029     35,940     41,710
                 % chg                                   23.0       8.0       19.7       16.1
                 Total Expenditure                     20,635    21,349     25,444     29,614
                 Cost of Equipment                       894        812     19,182     22,523
                 SGA                                    5,513     5,540      6,262      7,091
                 Cost of IT                            14,181    14,912           -          -
                 Other                                     47        85           -          -
                 EBITDA                                 7,178     8,680     10,496     12,096
                 % chg                                   26.0      20.9       20.9       15.2
                 (% of Net Sales)                        25.8      28.9       29.2       29.0
                 Depreciation& Amortisation              577        721        801        900
                 EBIT                                   6,601     7,959      9,695     11,196
                 % chg                                   28.9      20.6       21.8       15.5
                 (% of Net Sales)                        23.7      26.5       27.0       26.8
                 Interest & other Charges                  54        54           -          -
                 Other Income                           (414)       278        170        259
                 (% of PBT)                              (6.8)      3.4        1.7        2.3
                 Share in profit of Associates               -         -          -          -
                 Recurring PBT                          6,133     8,184      9,865     11,455
                 % chg                                    5.6      33.4       20.5       16.1
                 Extraordinary Expense/(Inc.)                -         -          -          -
                 PBT (reported)                         6,133     8,184      9,865     11,455
                 Tax                                     901      1,209      1,861      2,749
                 (% of PBT)                              14.7      14.8       18.9       24.0
                 PAT (reported)                         5,232     6,975      8,005      8,706
                 Add: Share of earnings of associate         -         -          -          -
                 Less: Minority interest (MI)           (60.4)   (101.9)    (115.9)    (135.0)
                 Prior period items                          -         -          -          -
                 PAT after MI (reported)                5,172     6,873      7,889      8,571
                 ADJ. PAT                               5,172     6,873      7,889      8,571
                 % chg                                    3.0      32.9       14.8        8.6
                 (% of Net Sales)                        18.6      22.9       21.9       20.5
                 Basic EPS (Rs)                          52.8      35.1       40.3       43.8
                 Fully Diluted EPS (Rs)                  52.8      35.1       40.3       43.8
                 % chg                                    3.0      32.9       14.8        8.6




July 16, 2010                                                                              9
TCS | 1QFY2011Result Update




                Balance Sheet (Consolidated US GAAP)
                 Y/E March (Rs cr)                    FY2009      FY2010    FY2011E    FY2012E
                 SOURCES OF FUNDS
                 Equity Share Capital                     98         196        196        196
                 Preference Capital                         -           -          -          -
                 Reserves& Surplus                    15,557      20,743     25,046     30,027
                 Shareholders Funds                   15,654      20,938     25,242     30,223
                 Minority Interest                       313         406        421        441
                 Total Loans                           1,181       1,011        911        911
                 Deferred Tax Liability                     -           -          -          -
                 Total Liabilities                    17,149      22,355     26,574     31,574
                 APPLICATION OF FUNDS
                 Net Block                             6,262       7,128      7,527      7,977
                 Capital Work-in-Progress                   -           -          -          -
                 Goodwill                              2,591       2,533      2,533      2,533
                 Investments                           1,727       3,782      6,282      8,782
                 Current Assets                       12,300      14,012     15,932     18,608
                 Cash                                  1,463       1,025      1,765      3,160
                 Loans & Advances                      3,167       5,958      6,158      6,358
                 Other                                 7,671       7,029      8,009      9,089
                 Current liabilities                   5,731       5,100      5,700      6,325
                 Net Current Assets                    6,569       8,912     10,232     12,283
                 Total Assets                         17,149      22,355     26,574     31,574


                Cash flow statement (Consolidated US GAAP)
                 Y/E March (Rs cr)                    FY2009     FY2010     FY2011E    FY2012E
                 Profit before tax                     6,133       8,184      9,865     11,455
                 Depreciation                            577         721        801        900
                 Change in Working Capital               133      (2,967)     (696)      (790)
                 Less: Other income                      244         278        170        259
                 Direct taxes paid                     1,212       1,209      1,861      2,749
                 Cash Flow from Operations             5,386       4,450      7,940      8,557
                 Inc./ (Dec.) in Fixed Assets          1,047       1,000      1,200      1,350
                 Inc./ (Dec.) in Investments           1,373       2,055      2,500      2,500
                 Inc./ (Dec.) in loans and advances         -           -          -          -
                 Other income                         (1,013)        278        170        259
                 Cash Flow from Investing              3,433       2,777      3,530      3,591
                 Issue of Equity                            -           -          -          -
                 Inc./(Dec.) in loans                    (13)      (350)      (100)           -
                 Dividend Paid (Incl. Tax)             1,643       3,124      3,570      3,570
                 Others                                     -           -          -          -
                 Cash Flow from Financing             (1,656)     (3,474)    (3,670)    (3,570)
                 Inc./(Dec.) in Cash                     298      (1,800)       740      1,396
                 Opening Cash balances                 1,199       2,825      1,025      1,765
                 Closing Cash balances                 1,497       1,025      1,765      3,160




July 16, 2010                                                                               10
TCS | 1QFY2011Result Update




                Key Ratios
                 Y/E March                                FY2009     FY2010    FY2011E   FY2012E
                 Valuation Ratio (x)
                 P/E (on FDEPS)                             15.8       23.7       20.7      19.0
                 P/CEPS                                      7.4       11.2        9.8       9.0
                 P/BV                                        5.1        7.6        6.3       5.3
                 Dividend yield (%)                          1.7        1.7        1.9       1.9
                 EV/Sales                                    3.0        5.5        4.3       3.6
                 EV/EBITDA                                  11.1       18.3       14.8      12.6
                 EV / Total Assets                           3.5        5.8        4.8       4.0
                 Per Share Data (Rs)
                 EPS (Basic)                                52.8       35.1       40.3      43.8
                 EPS (fully diluted)                        52.8       35.1       40.3      43.8
                 Cash EPS                                  112.2       74.4       85.3      92.9
                 DPS                                        14.0       14.0       16.0      16.0
                 Book Value                                163.2      109.1      131.1     156.7
                 Dupont Analysis
                 EBIT margin                                23.7       26.5       27.0      26.8
                 Tax retention ratio                        85.3       85.2       81.1      76.0
                 Asset turnover (x)                          1.4        1.3        1.5       1.6
                 ROIC (Post-tax)                            43.3       40.3       39.6      38.5
                 Cost of Debt (Post Tax)                     4.7        4.2        0.0       0.0
                 Leverage (x)                                0.1        0.0        0.0       0.0
                 Operating ROE                              36.2       35.5       38.0      36.5
                 Returns (%)
                 ROCE (Pre-tax)                             47.4       48.5       50.8      53.2
                 Angel ROIC (Pre-tax)                       58.9       55.1       57.4      58.9
                 ROE                                        36.2       36.8       33.6      30.4
                 Turnover ratios (x)
                 Asset Turnover (Gross Block)                4.9        4.5        4.7       4.7
                 Inventory / Sales (days)                       -          -         -         -
                 Receivables (days)                          104         88        80        77
                 Payables (days)                              95        102        84        73
                 Working capital cycle (ex-cash) (days)       41         99        86        80
                 Solvency ratios (x)
                 Net debt to equity                        (0.03)          -         -         -
                 Net debt to EBITDA                        (0.08)          -         -         -
                 Interest Coverage (EBIT / Interest)        123.3      148.6         -         -




July 16, 2010                                                                                 11
TCS | 1QFY2011Result Update



 Research Team Tel: 022 - 4040 3800                     E-mail: research@angeltrade.com                   Website: www.angeltrade.com

 DISCLAIMER

 This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment
 decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make
 such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies
 referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and
 risks of such an investment.

 Angel Broking Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make
 investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this
 document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within.

 Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and
 trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's
 fundamentals.

 The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable
 sources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this
 document is for general guidance only. Angel Broking Limited or any of its affiliates/ group companies shall not be in any way
 responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report.
 Angel Broking Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify,
 nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While
 Angel Broking Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory,
 compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so.
 This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced,
 redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly.

 Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or
 other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in
 the past.

 Neither Angel Broking Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or in
 connection with the use of this information.

 Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section). Also, please
 refer to the latest update on respective stocks for the disclosure status in respect of those stocks. Angel Broking Limited and
 its affiliates may have investment positions in the stocks recommended in this report.




 Disclosure of Interest Statement (Company name)                                    TCS
 1. Analyst ownership of the stock                                                  No
 2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock                            Yes
 3. Angel and its Group companies' Directors ownership of the stock                 No
 4. Broking relationship with company covered                                       No

 Note: We have not considered any Exposure below Rs 1 lakh for Angel, its Group companies and Directors.



 Ratings (Returns) :             Buy (> 15%)                      Accumulate (5% to 15%)                  Neutral (-5 to 5%)
                                 Reduce (-5% to 15%)              Sell (< -15%)


July 16, 2010                                                                                                                              12

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Tcs Result Update

  • 1. 1QFY2011 Result Update | IT July 16, 2010 TCS ACCUMULATE CMP Rs832 Performance Highlights Target Price Rs920 (Rs cr) 1QFY11 4QFY10 %chg (qoq) 1QFY10 %chg (yoy) Investment Period 12 Months Net revenue 8,217 7,737 6.2 7,207 14.0 EBIT margin (%) 27.1 27.5 (0.4) 24.8 2.3 Stock Info PAT 1,844 1,948 (5.3) 1,520 21.3 Source: Company, Angel Research; US GAAP financials in INR terms Sector IT Outstanding performance assures strong business pipeline: TCS reported strong Market Cap (Rs cr) 162,917 performance in 1QFY2011, which was well ahead of our as well as consensus Beta 0.9 estimates. In INR terms, TCS reported top-line growth of 6.2% qoq (14% yoy); while in USD terms, it reported growth of 6.4% qoq (21.2% yoy). Growth was 52 Week High / Low 844/420 backed by 8.1% growth in volumes, which combated the cross-currency and Avg. Daily Volume 399477 pricing impact of negative ~190bp. Growth was broad-based, led by North America and Asia Pacific markets. Despite the 215bp and 32bp negative impacts Face Value (Rs) 1 of wage hikes and adverse currency movement, respectively, the company BSE Sensex 17,956 witnessed a slight dip of only 36bp qoq in EBIT margin mainly due to rate productivity improvement and lower selling and general administration (SG&A) Nifty 5,394 costs. Other income was down by 49% qoq on account of Forex loss, while the higher tax rate moved up from 14.8% to 19% qoq. Thus, TCS recorded a 5.3% Reuters Code TCS.BO qoq decline in bottom line to Rs1,844cr mainly because of higher Forex loss and Bloomberg Code TCS@IN tax rate. Outlook & Valuation: Despite a weaker macro-economic scenario, TCS continued Shareholding Pattern (%) to perform well in 1QFY2011. TCS has a strong deal pipeline, including large transformational deals with an uptick in discretionary spends. The company also Promoters 74.1 raised its gross employee-hiring target to 40,000 for FY2011 from the earlier 30,000, exhibiting a positive demand environment. We expect the company to MF / Banks / Indian Fls 8.5 deliver a top-line CAGR of 17.9% over FY2010–12E, backed by a 19% CAGR in FII / NRIs / OCBs 12.3 volumes. However, EPS is likely to register an 11.7% CAGR during the same period because of increased tax rate. The stock is currently trading at 20.7x Indian Public / 5.0 Others FY2011E EPS of Rs40.3 and 19x FY2012E EPS of Rs43.8. Although the ongoing crisis in Europe and adverse cross-currency movements are causes for concern for IT companies, we believe growth will be sustained through volumes with stable Abs. (%) 3m 1yr 3yr pricing. We have valued the stock at 21x FY2012E earnings, similar to its historical average of 21x during FY2007–10 and at par with our target P/E Sensex 2.1 26.0 17.3 multiple of 21x for Infosys. We recommend an Accumulate rating on the stock with a Target Price of Rs920. TCS 2.1 98.0 47.6 Key Financials (Consolidated US GAAP) Y/E March (Rs cr) FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E Net Sales 27,813 30,029 35,940 41,710 % chg 23.0 8.0 19.7 16.1 Net Profit 5,172 6,873 7,889 8,571 % chg 3.0 32.9 14.8 8.6 EBIT Margin (%) 25.8 28.9 29.2 29.0 FDEPS (Rs) 26.4 35.1 40.3 43.8 P/E (x) 15.8 23.7 20.7 19.0 P/BV (x) 5.1 7.6 6.3 5.3 RoE (%) 36.2 36.8 33.6 30.4 RoCE (%) 47.4 48.5 50.8 53.2 Vibha Salvi EV/Sales (x) 3.0 5.5 4.3 3.6 022 – 4040 3800 Ext: 329 EV/EBITDA (x) 11.1 18.3 14.8 12.6 vibhas.salvi@angeltrade.com Source: Company, Angel Research Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report 1
  • 2. TCS | 1QFY2011Result Update Exhibit 1: 1QFY2011 performance (Consolidated, US GAAP) Y/E March (Rs cr) FY2011 FY2010 % chg FY2010 % chg FY2010 FY2009 %chg 1Q 4Q (qoq) 1Q (yoy) (yoy) Net revenue 8,217 7,737 6.2 7,207 14.0 30,029 27,813 8.0 Cost of revenue 4,398 3994 10.1 3,821 15.1 15,724 15,075 4.3 Gross profit 3,820 3,743 2.0 3,386 12.8 14,305 12,738 12.3 SG&A expenses 1,411 1,431 (1.4) 1,424 (1.0) 5,625 5,561 1.1 EBITDA 2,409 2,312 4.2 1,962 22.8 8,680 7,178 20.9 Other income 83 163 (48.9) 19 226 (467) Depreciation 178 184 (3.2) 173 3.1 721 576 25.1 Income before income taxes 2,314 2,291 1.0 1,808 27.9 8,185 6,134 33.4 Minority interest 27 3 750.0 23 20.4 103 61 68.4 Tax 442 340 30.2 266 66.6 1,209 901 34.1 Net income 1,844 1,948 (5.3) 1,520 21.3 6,873 5,172 32.9 Diluted EPS (Rs) 9.4 10.0 (5.3) 7.8 21.2 35.1 26.4 32.9 Gross profit margin (%) 46.5 48.4 47.0 47.6 45.8 EBITDA margin (%) 29.3 29.9 27.2 28.9 25.8 EBIT margin (%) 27.1 27.5 24.8 26.5 23.7 Net profit margin (%) 22.4 25.2 21.1 22.9 18.6 Source: Company, Angel Research Exhibit 2: 1QFY2011 – Actual v/s Angel estimates (Rs cr) Estimates Actual Variation (%) Net revenue 7,890 8,217 4.1 EBIT margin (%) 25.5 27.1 1.6 PAT 1,809 1,844 1.9 Source: Company, Angel Research Strong volumes combated adverse cross-currency impact Exhibit 3: INR revenue growth break-up (%) 1QFY11 (A) Positive factors Volume growth 8.10 Total (A) 8.10 (B) Negative factors Pricing & productivity 0.32 Offshore shift 0.48 Cross currency impact 1.09 Total (B) 1.89 (C) Revenue growth (A) - (B) 6.21 Source: Company, Angel Research For 1QFY2011, TCS recorded top-line growth of 6.2% qoq (14% yoy), backed by volume growth of 8.1% qoq. However, this positive impact on growth was largely curtailed by the 1.1% qoq impact of cross-currency movement as the INR continued to appreciate even against the euro and GBP by 8.6% and 5.1%, respectively, during the quarter. July 16, 2010 2
  • 3. TCS | 1QFY2011Result Update In 1QFY2011, the company’s international revenue grew by 6.3% qoq (14.4% yoy) to Rs7,492.0cr. Domestic revenue during the quarter grew by 5.3% qoq (9.8% yoy) to Rs725.2cr, sustaining the strong growth momentum. TCS closed 10 large deals across the BFSI, hi-tech, manufacturing and lifesciences verticals and added 36 new clients during the quarter. A large deal was also closed in Europe during the quarter, despite the unstable environment. The company’s Bancs product performed extremely well with eight implementations going live in 1QFY2011 and 13 new large deals being signed for the same. Amongst service lines, except for global consulting and asset leveraged solutions, all services witnessed strong growth. Among verticals, except for manufacturing, all verticals witnessed strong growth. During the quarter, TCS added gross of 10,849 employees (net addition was 3,271), taking the total headcount (including subsidiaries) to 1,63,700 employees. The total headcount excluding subsidiaries stood at 1,42,939, up 2,320 on a net basis. Exhibit 4: Service line break-up Service line 1QFY11 4QFY10 1QFY10 %chg %chg (Rs cr) (qoq) (yoy) Application dvlpt. 3,936 3,683 3,510 6.9 12.1 & maintenance Business intelligence 444 418 440 6.2 0.9 Enterprise solutions 805 781 786 3.1 2.5 Assurance services 526 449 317 17.2 65.8 Engineering 394 371 375 6.2 5.2 & industrial services Infrastructure services 715 642 670 11.3 6.7 Global consulting 173 193 101 (10.8) 71.0 Asset leveraged solutions 304 309 187 (1.8) 62.3 BPO 920 890 822 3.4 12.0 Total revenue 8,217 7,737 7,207 6.2 14.0 Source: Company, Angel Research Exhibit 5: Verticals split Verticals 1QFY11 4QFY10 1QFY10 %chg %chg (Rs cr) (qoq) (yoy) BFSI 3,673 3,528 3,157 4.1 16.4 Telecom 1,044 944 951 10.6 9.7 Manufacturing 608 603 627 0.8 (3.0) Retail & distribution 904 843 764 7.2 18.3 Hi-Tech 378 340 310 11.0 22.0 Lifesciences 427 402 353 6.2 21.0 & healthcare Travel & hospitality 255 248 238 2.9 7.1 Energy & utilities 271 232 180 16.8 50.5 Media & entertainment 156 139 144 12.1 8.3 Others 501 456 483 9.8 3.8 Total revenue 8,217 7,737 7,207 6.2 14.0 Source: Company, Angel Research July 16, 2010 3
  • 4. TCS | 1QFY2011Result Update Exhibit 6: Client contribution % chg % chg Client 1QFY11 4QFY10 1QFY10 (qoq) (yoy) Top client 666 634 411 4.9 62.0 % of revenue 8.1 8.2 5.7 Top 5 clients 1,808 1,687 1,398 7.2 29.3 % of revenue 22.0 21.8 19.4 Top 10 clients 2,506 2,336 2,018 7.3 24.2 % of revenue 30.5 30.2 28.0 Source: Company, Angel Research In terms of geography, growth was on the back of continued strong recovery in North America, up 8.2% qoq (19.9% yoy), and robust growth in emerging markets. In Europe, growth was led by 5.5% qoq growth in the UK; however, Continental Europe witnessed a 5.5% qoq decline on account of the ongoing crisis. Exhibit 7: Geographical break-up Geographies 1QFY11 4QFY10 1QFY10 % chg % chg (Rs cr) (qoq) (yoy) America North America 4,520 4,178 3,769 8.2 19.9 Latin America 353 340 332 3.8 6.6 Europe UK 1,241 1,176 1,218 5.5 1.9 Continental Europe 731 774 793 (5.5) (7.7) Emerging Markets India 723 689 656 5.0 10.3 Asia Pacific 485 433 310 11.9 56.4 MEA 164 147 130 11.8 26.7 Total revenue 8,217 7,737 7,207 6.2 14.0 Source: Company, Angel Research SG&A leverage and improved productivity prevented margin erosion Exhibit 8: Factors impacting EBIT margin (A) Positive factors 1QFY11 Rate productivity improvement 0.57 Offshore shift 0.15 SG&A leverage 1.39 Total (A) 2.11 (B) Negative factors Wage Hike 2.15 Cross currency impact 0.32 Total (B) 2.47 (C) Change in EBIT margin (A) - (B) (0.36) Source: Company, Angel Research July 16, 2010 4
  • 5. TCS | 1QFY2011Result Update The company provided offshore wage hike of around 10% and onsite hike of 2– 4%, which contracted EBIT margin by 215bp and 32bp on account of adverse currency movements, respectively. This resulted in a slight dip of 36bp qoq in EBIT margin, much lower than expected. Further margin erosion was mainly due to improvement in rate productivity, lower SG&A costs and offshore shift. Lower other income and higher taxes impact bottom line The company’s other income declined by 49% qoq to Rs83.1cr in 1QFY2011 on account of Forex loss of Rs47cr versus Forex gain witnessed in 4QFY2010. The tax rate also moved up from 14.8% to 19% qoq. Thus, TCS recorded a decline of 5.3% qoq in bottom line to Rs1,844cr. July 16, 2010 5
  • 6. TCS | 1QFY2011Result Update Investment Arguments Strong deal pipeline and uptick in discretionary spends exhibit strong business prospectus: Though Europe continues to be a spoilsport for the Indian IT industry, TCS’s current bottom’s up statistics are in disconnect with the weak macro- economic indicators, as the company is witnessing strong IT spends from the US, UK and emerging markets. Though there are concerns related to business prospects from Continental Europe, the same had witnessed growth of 1.2% qoq in constant currency terms in 1QFY2011. Further, the company’s demand pipeline is quite robust, comprising large transformational deals, and is witnessing an uptick in discretionary IT spends with 15 such critical deals coming from new clients, exhibiting strong improvement in the company’s business prospects. Moreover, the company’s UK government’s pension-related project seems to be on track with no major concerns seen in its ramp up. The company has also raised its gross employee-hiring target to 40,000 for FY2011 from the earlier 30,000, exhibiting a positive demand environment. Though TCS does not give direct guidance, based on the current cues from the management and our analysis, we believe TCS will witness strong volume-backed performance in FY2011. The pricing for the company is expected to remain stable with an upward bias on account of key transformational deals in the pipeline. Adverse cross-currency and higher attrition impacts to be mitigated by other operational levers: The adverse cross-currency movement remains a concern as TCS has higher dependence on Europe. However, we believe the same would be combated through hedges and strong growth in other markets. TCS’s total outstanding hedge position as in 1QFY2011 stands at around US $455mn, at an INR/USD strike rate of 46.3. TCS now focuses on smaller-tenure hedges in view of volatile currency, which would prove helpful in the current business environment. The higher attrition rate of 13.1% observed in 1QFY2011 was mainly on account of overall buoyancy in the job market, driven by strong economic recovery and employees leaving for higher studies, which generally happens in first quarter of a financial year. However, the company’s promotional drives and focus on talent retention are expected to restrain growth in attrition rate going forward. Though we expect employee costs to increase going forward, management’s focus would remain on capping non-employee costs through better managerial efficiency and by growing its offshore leverage the way it did during 1QFY2011. Outlook & Valuation: Despite a weaker macro-economic scenario, TCS continued to perform well during the quarter. The company has a strong deal pipeline, including large transformational deals with an uptick in discretionary spends. The company also raised its gross employee-hiring target to 40,000 for FY2011 from the earlier 30,000, exhibiting a positive demand environment. July 16, 2010 6
  • 7. TCS | 1QFY2011Result Update We expect the company to deliver a top-line CAGR of 17.9% over FY2010–12E, backed by a 19% CAGR in volumes. However, EPS is likely to register an 11.7% CAGR during the same period on account of increased tax rate. The stock is currently trading at 20.7x FY2011E EPS of Rs40.3 and 19x FY2012E EPS of Rs43.8. Although the ongoing crisis in Europe and adverse cross-currency movements are causes for concern for IT companies, we believe growth will be sustained through volumes with stable pricing. We have valued the stock at 21x FY2012E earnings, similar to its historical average of 21x during FY2007–10 and at par with our target PE multiple of 21x for Infosys. We recommend an Accumulate rating on the stock with a Target Price of Rs920 Exhibit 9: Key assumptions FY2011E FY2012E Volume growth 21.4 16.3 Pricing growth 0.7 2.2 Revenue growth (in USD terms) 22.2 14.7 USD-INR rate (realised) 46.5 47.0 Revenue growth (in INR terms) 19.7 16.1 EBIT margin (%) 27.0 26.8 Tax rate (%) 19.0 24.0 EPS growth (%) 14.8 8.6 Source: Company, Angel Research Exhibit 10: Change in estimates FY2011E FY2012E Parameter Earlier Revised Var. Earlier Revised Var. (Rs cr) estimates estimates (%) estimates estimates (%) Net revenue 33,351 35,940 7.8 38,821 41,710 7.4 EBIT (ex. other 8,391 9,695 15.5 9,442 11,196 18.6 income) PBT 9,064 9,865 8.8 10,533 11,455 8.8 Tax 1,541 1,861 20.7 2,212 2,749 24.3 PAT 7,413 7,889 6.4 8,200 8,571 4.5 Source: Company, Angel Research We have upgraded our FY2011E and FY2012E top-line estimates, in line with strong cues from the management and the expected higher infusion of gross manpower. However, we expect other income to be lower on account of the expected unfavorable cross-currency movement. We estimate PAT to be higher in FY2011E and FY2012E, compared to the earlier estimates, on the back of upgraded growth in volumes and better margins. Exhibit 11: Angel EPS forecast v/s consensus Bloomberg Variation Year (%) Angel forecast consensus (%) FY2011E 40.3 40.0 0.8 FY2012E 43.8 45.0 (2.7) Source: Company, Angel Research July 16, 2010 7
  • 8. TCS | 1QFY2011Result Update Exhibit 12: One-year forward P/E band 1,200 1,100 30x 1,000 900 25x Share Price (Rs) 800 700 600 15x 500 400 300 200 100 Jun-05 Jun-06 Jun-07 Jun-08 Jun-09 Jun-10 Apr-05 Apr-06 Apr-07 Apr-08 Apr-09 Apr-10 Aug-05 Aug-06 Aug-07 Aug-08 Aug-09 Feb-06 Feb-07 Feb-08 Feb-09 Feb-10 Dec-05 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Oct-05 Oct-06 Oct-07 Oct-08 Oct-09 Source: Company, Angel Research Exhibit 13: Premium/discount in TCS P/E versus Infosys P/E 30 20 10 (%) 0 (10) (20) (30) Jul-06 Jan-07 Jul-07 Jan-08 Jul-08 Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Apr-07 Apr-08 Apr-09 Apr-10 Oct-06 Oct-07 Oct-08 Oct-09 Mar-06 Premium/Discount to Infosys Avg. Historical Discount to Infosys Source: Company, Angel Research Exhibit 14: Recommendation summary Company Reco. CMP Tgt. price Upside FY2012E FY2012E FY2010-12E FY2012E FY2012E (Rs) (Rs) (%) P/BV (x) P/E (x) EPS CAGR (%) RoCE (%) RoE (%) 3iInfotech Buy 66 129 95.9 0.6 3.7 218.4 15.0 16.5  Educomp Buy 630 734 16.6 2.8 13.7 26.9 21.0 22.3  HCL Tech Accumulate 373 420 12.5 3.0 13.9 17.9 40.9 24.1  Infosys Accumulate 2,778 3037 9.3 4.6 20.1 12.6 33.1 25.0  Mphasis Buy 617 872 41.3 2.5 9.6 14.9 41.6 29.2  NIIT Buy 70 83 18.4 1.8 12.1 16.6 12.1 15.8  TCS Accumulate 832 921 10.6 5.3 19.0 11.7 53.2 30.4  Tech Mahindra Buy 770 1,168 51.7 2.2 11.5 11.8 73.4 22.0  Wipro Buy 402 475 18.1 3.7 17.0 12.0 27.9 23.6  Source: Company, Angel Research July 16, 2010 8
  • 9. TCS | 1QFY2011Result Update Profit & Loss Statement (Consolidated US GAAP) Y/E March (Rs cr) FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E Gross sales 27,813 29,085 35,940 41,710 Less: Excise duty - 944 - - Net Sales 27,813 30,029 35,940 41,710 Other operating income - - - - Total operating income 27,813 30,029 35,940 41,710 % chg 23.0 8.0 19.7 16.1 Total Expenditure 20,635 21,349 25,444 29,614 Cost of Equipment 894 812 19,182 22,523 SGA 5,513 5,540 6,262 7,091 Cost of IT 14,181 14,912 - - Other 47 85 - - EBITDA 7,178 8,680 10,496 12,096 % chg 26.0 20.9 20.9 15.2 (% of Net Sales) 25.8 28.9 29.2 29.0 Depreciation& Amortisation 577 721 801 900 EBIT 6,601 7,959 9,695 11,196 % chg 28.9 20.6 21.8 15.5 (% of Net Sales) 23.7 26.5 27.0 26.8 Interest & other Charges 54 54 - - Other Income (414) 278 170 259 (% of PBT) (6.8) 3.4 1.7 2.3 Share in profit of Associates - - - - Recurring PBT 6,133 8,184 9,865 11,455 % chg 5.6 33.4 20.5 16.1 Extraordinary Expense/(Inc.) - - - - PBT (reported) 6,133 8,184 9,865 11,455 Tax 901 1,209 1,861 2,749 (% of PBT) 14.7 14.8 18.9 24.0 PAT (reported) 5,232 6,975 8,005 8,706 Add: Share of earnings of associate - - - - Less: Minority interest (MI) (60.4) (101.9) (115.9) (135.0) Prior period items - - - - PAT after MI (reported) 5,172 6,873 7,889 8,571 ADJ. PAT 5,172 6,873 7,889 8,571 % chg 3.0 32.9 14.8 8.6 (% of Net Sales) 18.6 22.9 21.9 20.5 Basic EPS (Rs) 52.8 35.1 40.3 43.8 Fully Diluted EPS (Rs) 52.8 35.1 40.3 43.8 % chg 3.0 32.9 14.8 8.6 July 16, 2010 9
  • 10. TCS | 1QFY2011Result Update Balance Sheet (Consolidated US GAAP) Y/E March (Rs cr) FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E SOURCES OF FUNDS Equity Share Capital 98 196 196 196 Preference Capital - - - - Reserves& Surplus 15,557 20,743 25,046 30,027 Shareholders Funds 15,654 20,938 25,242 30,223 Minority Interest 313 406 421 441 Total Loans 1,181 1,011 911 911 Deferred Tax Liability - - - - Total Liabilities 17,149 22,355 26,574 31,574 APPLICATION OF FUNDS Net Block 6,262 7,128 7,527 7,977 Capital Work-in-Progress - - - - Goodwill 2,591 2,533 2,533 2,533 Investments 1,727 3,782 6,282 8,782 Current Assets 12,300 14,012 15,932 18,608 Cash 1,463 1,025 1,765 3,160 Loans & Advances 3,167 5,958 6,158 6,358 Other 7,671 7,029 8,009 9,089 Current liabilities 5,731 5,100 5,700 6,325 Net Current Assets 6,569 8,912 10,232 12,283 Total Assets 17,149 22,355 26,574 31,574 Cash flow statement (Consolidated US GAAP) Y/E March (Rs cr) FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E Profit before tax 6,133 8,184 9,865 11,455 Depreciation 577 721 801 900 Change in Working Capital 133 (2,967) (696) (790) Less: Other income 244 278 170 259 Direct taxes paid 1,212 1,209 1,861 2,749 Cash Flow from Operations 5,386 4,450 7,940 8,557 Inc./ (Dec.) in Fixed Assets 1,047 1,000 1,200 1,350 Inc./ (Dec.) in Investments 1,373 2,055 2,500 2,500 Inc./ (Dec.) in loans and advances - - - - Other income (1,013) 278 170 259 Cash Flow from Investing 3,433 2,777 3,530 3,591 Issue of Equity - - - - Inc./(Dec.) in loans (13) (350) (100) - Dividend Paid (Incl. Tax) 1,643 3,124 3,570 3,570 Others - - - - Cash Flow from Financing (1,656) (3,474) (3,670) (3,570) Inc./(Dec.) in Cash 298 (1,800) 740 1,396 Opening Cash balances 1,199 2,825 1,025 1,765 Closing Cash balances 1,497 1,025 1,765 3,160 July 16, 2010 10
  • 11. TCS | 1QFY2011Result Update Key Ratios Y/E March FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E Valuation Ratio (x) P/E (on FDEPS) 15.8 23.7 20.7 19.0 P/CEPS 7.4 11.2 9.8 9.0 P/BV 5.1 7.6 6.3 5.3 Dividend yield (%) 1.7 1.7 1.9 1.9 EV/Sales 3.0 5.5 4.3 3.6 EV/EBITDA 11.1 18.3 14.8 12.6 EV / Total Assets 3.5 5.8 4.8 4.0 Per Share Data (Rs) EPS (Basic) 52.8 35.1 40.3 43.8 EPS (fully diluted) 52.8 35.1 40.3 43.8 Cash EPS 112.2 74.4 85.3 92.9 DPS 14.0 14.0 16.0 16.0 Book Value 163.2 109.1 131.1 156.7 Dupont Analysis EBIT margin 23.7 26.5 27.0 26.8 Tax retention ratio 85.3 85.2 81.1 76.0 Asset turnover (x) 1.4 1.3 1.5 1.6 ROIC (Post-tax) 43.3 40.3 39.6 38.5 Cost of Debt (Post Tax) 4.7 4.2 0.0 0.0 Leverage (x) 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Operating ROE 36.2 35.5 38.0 36.5 Returns (%) ROCE (Pre-tax) 47.4 48.5 50.8 53.2 Angel ROIC (Pre-tax) 58.9 55.1 57.4 58.9 ROE 36.2 36.8 33.6 30.4 Turnover ratios (x) Asset Turnover (Gross Block) 4.9 4.5 4.7 4.7 Inventory / Sales (days) - - - - Receivables (days) 104 88 80 77 Payables (days) 95 102 84 73 Working capital cycle (ex-cash) (days) 41 99 86 80 Solvency ratios (x) Net debt to equity (0.03) - - - Net debt to EBITDA (0.08) - - - Interest Coverage (EBIT / Interest) 123.3 148.6 - - July 16, 2010 11
  • 12. TCS | 1QFY2011Result Update Research Team Tel: 022 - 4040 3800 E-mail: research@angeltrade.com Website: www.angeltrade.com DISCLAIMER This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. Angel Broking Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within. Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's fundamentals. The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable sources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this document is for general guidance only. Angel Broking Limited or any of its affiliates/ group companies shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. Angel Broking Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify, nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While Angel Broking Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly. Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in the past. Neither Angel Broking Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or in connection with the use of this information. Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section). Also, please refer to the latest update on respective stocks for the disclosure status in respect of those stocks. Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may have investment positions in the stocks recommended in this report. Disclosure of Interest Statement (Company name) TCS 1. Analyst ownership of the stock No 2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock Yes 3. Angel and its Group companies' Directors ownership of the stock No 4. Broking relationship with company covered No Note: We have not considered any Exposure below Rs 1 lakh for Angel, its Group companies and Directors. Ratings (Returns) : Buy (> 15%) Accumulate (5% to 15%) Neutral (-5 to 5%) Reduce (-5% to 15%) Sell (< -15%) July 16, 2010 12