TV Today Network reported quarterly revenue growth of 46.9% year-over-year to Rs78.9 crore, aided by steady growth in its broadcasting business and the amalgamation of its radio business. However, the company reported a loss of Rs10.1 crore for the quarter compared to a profit of Rs8.1 crore last year, with its operating margin contracting significantly, owing to losses incurred in its newly amalgamated radio business. For the full year, TV Today reported revenue growth of 13.9% but net profit declined 7.9% due to a Rs38 crore loss in the radio business. The analyst downgraded the stock to Neutral given losses in the radio business and a
Crompton Greaves reported strong quarterly results with net profit growth of 39.9% year-over-year. While revenue growth was modest at 1.9%, the company significantly expanded operating margins. The strong performance was driven by growth in standalone business and improved margins in international operations despite a revenue decline. The company maintained its guidance for revenue and profit growth in fiscal year 2011.
Reliance Communication's quarterly performance failed to meet expectations, with wireless revenue growing only 1.7% compared to the industry average. While the company surpassed 100 million subscribers, its broadband and global business segments saw declines. Profits grew 10.1% due to higher interest earned, but margins fell due to higher network and access costs. Going forward, profitability is expected to come under pressure from increased leverage for capex spending and acquiring 3G licenses.
Wipro reported financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011, with revenues growing 3.1% over the previous quarter and 12.6% over the same quarter last year. Operating profit margins expanded due to effective currency hedges, and net income grew 9% over the previous quarter and 30.5% over the first quarter of fiscal year 2010. The company's performance was driven by strong volume growth in IT services revenues, with new client additions and large deal wins during the quarter. The analyst maintained an "Accumulate" rating on Wipro stock, with a target price representing 13% upside.
Wipro reported strong financial results for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2010, with revenue growth of 1.9% quarter-over-quarter and 6.7% year-over-year in rupee terms. Revenue growth was broad-based across business segments and verticals, aided by improved client spending and a recovery in challenged industries. Margins declined slightly due to wage increases and higher spending, but the bottom line grew due to robust other income and lower depreciation costs. Looking ahead, Wipro expects continued revenue growth driven by volume increases and large deals, though margins may be impacted in the current quarter by wage hikes and performance bonuses.
Tata Motors reported strong results for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2010. Consolidated net sales were up 84.6% year-over-year to Rs. 28,978 crore, driven by higher other income and improved performance at subsidiaries like Jaguar Land Rover. Operating profit was Rs. 3,135 crore compared to an operating loss in the prior year. Net profit increased significantly to Rs. 2,228 crore from Rs. 316 crore in 4QFY2009, benefiting from cost cutting measures and higher other income. The results were above expectations due to the company's aggressive cost reductions and good turnaround at key subsidiaries.
Bharti Airtel reported a 2.4% year-over-year growth in net revenue for 4QFY2010 due to strong growth in its tower business and other businesses, although its mobile business revenue declined slightly. While the company's mobile subscriber base grew 35.9% year-over-year, revenue per user declined significantly due to competitive pressures. Higher selling, general and administrative expenses eroded operating margins, and combined with higher taxes and depreciation expenses, net income declined 8.2% year-over-year despite total minutes of usage growing by 12.8%. Going forward, the company expects continued strong subscriber addition but declining revenue per minute, which will impact profitability.
IGL reported a 27.7% year-over-year increase in net profit to Rs51.5cr for the fourth quarter of FY2010, which was lower than expected due to lower gross gas margins and slower CNG volume growth quarter-over-quarter. Operating margins expanded by 75 basis points year-over-year to 32.6% due to revenue growth and recovery of overdrawl charges. However, concerns remain regarding the sustainability of high margins given IGL's reliance on subsidized gas prices. The analyst recommends reducing exposure to the stock and sets a target price of Rs210.
All cargo result update 1 qcy2010 050510Angel Broking
Allcargo Global Logistics' 1QCY2010 consolidated results were above expectations due to strong pick-up in volumes across segments. While revenues grew by 21.9% year-over-year, operating profit grew by a mere 2.7% due to inability to fully pass on increased freight rates in the ECU line, resulting in margin erosion. However, lower interest expenses and tax rate led to a 23.2% jump in net profit. The company maintained a neutral outlook while being well positioned in container segments.
Crompton Greaves reported strong quarterly results with net profit growth of 39.9% year-over-year. While revenue growth was modest at 1.9%, the company significantly expanded operating margins. The strong performance was driven by growth in standalone business and improved margins in international operations despite a revenue decline. The company maintained its guidance for revenue and profit growth in fiscal year 2011.
Reliance Communication's quarterly performance failed to meet expectations, with wireless revenue growing only 1.7% compared to the industry average. While the company surpassed 100 million subscribers, its broadband and global business segments saw declines. Profits grew 10.1% due to higher interest earned, but margins fell due to higher network and access costs. Going forward, profitability is expected to come under pressure from increased leverage for capex spending and acquiring 3G licenses.
Wipro reported financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011, with revenues growing 3.1% over the previous quarter and 12.6% over the same quarter last year. Operating profit margins expanded due to effective currency hedges, and net income grew 9% over the previous quarter and 30.5% over the first quarter of fiscal year 2010. The company's performance was driven by strong volume growth in IT services revenues, with new client additions and large deal wins during the quarter. The analyst maintained an "Accumulate" rating on Wipro stock, with a target price representing 13% upside.
Wipro reported strong financial results for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2010, with revenue growth of 1.9% quarter-over-quarter and 6.7% year-over-year in rupee terms. Revenue growth was broad-based across business segments and verticals, aided by improved client spending and a recovery in challenged industries. Margins declined slightly due to wage increases and higher spending, but the bottom line grew due to robust other income and lower depreciation costs. Looking ahead, Wipro expects continued revenue growth driven by volume increases and large deals, though margins may be impacted in the current quarter by wage hikes and performance bonuses.
Tata Motors reported strong results for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2010. Consolidated net sales were up 84.6% year-over-year to Rs. 28,978 crore, driven by higher other income and improved performance at subsidiaries like Jaguar Land Rover. Operating profit was Rs. 3,135 crore compared to an operating loss in the prior year. Net profit increased significantly to Rs. 2,228 crore from Rs. 316 crore in 4QFY2009, benefiting from cost cutting measures and higher other income. The results were above expectations due to the company's aggressive cost reductions and good turnaround at key subsidiaries.
Bharti Airtel reported a 2.4% year-over-year growth in net revenue for 4QFY2010 due to strong growth in its tower business and other businesses, although its mobile business revenue declined slightly. While the company's mobile subscriber base grew 35.9% year-over-year, revenue per user declined significantly due to competitive pressures. Higher selling, general and administrative expenses eroded operating margins, and combined with higher taxes and depreciation expenses, net income declined 8.2% year-over-year despite total minutes of usage growing by 12.8%. Going forward, the company expects continued strong subscriber addition but declining revenue per minute, which will impact profitability.
IGL reported a 27.7% year-over-year increase in net profit to Rs51.5cr for the fourth quarter of FY2010, which was lower than expected due to lower gross gas margins and slower CNG volume growth quarter-over-quarter. Operating margins expanded by 75 basis points year-over-year to 32.6% due to revenue growth and recovery of overdrawl charges. However, concerns remain regarding the sustainability of high margins given IGL's reliance on subsidized gas prices. The analyst recommends reducing exposure to the stock and sets a target price of Rs210.
All cargo result update 1 qcy2010 050510Angel Broking
Allcargo Global Logistics' 1QCY2010 consolidated results were above expectations due to strong pick-up in volumes across segments. While revenues grew by 21.9% year-over-year, operating profit grew by a mere 2.7% due to inability to fully pass on increased freight rates in the ECU line, resulting in margin erosion. However, lower interest expenses and tax rate led to a 23.2% jump in net profit. The company maintained a neutral outlook while being well positioned in container segments.
Lupin reported in-line results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011, with net sales of Rs1,312 crore, operating profit margin of 20%, and net profit of Rs196 crore. Key drivers of growth included strong sales of generic drugs in the US market, as well as expansion of Lupin's domestic field force in India. While the company saw a delay in FDA approval for oral contraceptive drugs, management does not expect this to impact its competitive position. The analyst maintains an 'Accumulate' rating for Lupin based on its scale in key markets like the US and India, as well as its pipeline of generic drug approvals.
Grasim Industries reported a robust 11.5% year-over-year increase in 4QFY2010 net profit to Rs. 655 crore, led by outstanding performance from its viscose staple fiber (VSF) division. The VSF division's net sales grew 65% to Rs. 1,045 crore due to a 31% rise in volumes and 29% increase in realizations. Overall revenues increased 11% to Rs. 5,475 crore for the quarter. The company set May 28, 2010 as the record date for its planned demerger of the Samruddhi cement unit. Post demerger, Grasim shareholders will directly hold 35% of Samruddhi while G
1) Bharti Airtel reported a 17.4% year-over-year revenue growth to Rs. 12,231 crore in the first quarter of FY2011, aided by the acquisition of Zain Africa.
2) However, operating margins declined by 518 basis points to 36.1% due to higher sales, general and administrative expenses, network operating costs, and access costs.
3) Net profit declined by 32% year-over-year to Rs. 1,682 crore due to a net loss reported by the African operations, higher interest costs, depreciation, and taxes. Excluding Africa, net profit fell 23% due to margin pressure.
Cinemax India posted modest revenue growth of 34.1% in 4QFY10 aided by seat additions and big-budget movies, but operating margins declined 138bps due to higher film distribution and rent expenses. Bottom-line grew 353% due to negative tax provisions. The analyst maintains a Buy rating but lowers FY2011-12 estimates and target price to Rs85 due to lower revenue growth expectations and higher costs.
NIIT reported a 1.9% decline in consolidated net revenues for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2010 but net income grew 40.2% due to a 400 basis point increase in EBITDA margins. While the company's school learning services and corporate learning services businesses saw revenue declines, its individual learning solutions segment grew revenues by 13.9% driven by growth in the IT and formal training management sectors. Strong margin expansion and improved performance in the individual learning segment helped boost profits despite currency headwinds.
Gateway Distriparks reported quarterly results that were marginally below estimates. Revenue growth was driven by a 24.2% year-over-year increase in the higher-margin Rail business. However, CFS revenues fell 9.2% due to a fire. Profits increased significantly due to tax write backs. While funds from Blackstone were slightly delayed, management expects funds in the next quarter and for Rail to break even on profits this fiscal year. Falling market share at a key container terminal remains a concern.
1) Nestle reported a 16.9% increase in top-line to Rs1,480cr, slightly below estimates, due to higher volumes and limited price increases. Bottom-line grew only 2.3%, significantly below expectations, due to a spike in input costs.
2) Gross margins contracted 263bps and EBITDA margins fell 397bps as input costs rose substantially. Higher brand investments and other expenses also weighed on profits.
3) The analyst downgrades Nestle to Neutral and lowers earnings estimates due to higher input costs and competitive pressures. Valuations leave little upside potential given cost pressures.
Exide Industries reported a 35.1% increase in net profit for 1QFY2011 compared to the previous year. Net sales grew 27.5% year-over-year to Rs1,152 crore, exceeding estimates. Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margins improved from the previous quarter due to a decline in other expenditures. The analyst maintains an "Accumulate" rating for Exide Industries due to reasonable valuations and expects net sales and profit to grow annually over the next two years.
HDIL reported marginally higher than expected 4QFY2010 results. Revenue was driven by TDR sales of 1.48 million square feet from its Mumbai International Airport project. The company has pre-sold 75% of residential projects launched since FY2009, providing Rs2,600 crore in revenue visibility over FY2010-12. The company plans to launch another 5-6 million square feet in FY2011. While execution of the MIAL project and new launches provide growth visibility, delays in relocating families for the MIAL project phase 1 and recent management changes have hurt the stock price. The analyst maintains a Buy rating with a target price of Rs302 per share.
- Greenply Industries reported a 54.6% year-over-year increase in standalone quarterly revenue to Rs259 crore, exceeding estimates, driven by higher capacity utilization and realizations in plywood and laminates.
- Net profit increased 54.7% to Rs13.3 crore, also ahead of estimates, due to lower interest and depreciation expenses.
- The report maintains a buy recommendation, as the company is well-positioned to benefit from capacity expansions in laminates and a new MDF plant, while its stock trades at a discount to earnings estimates.
Nestle reported a 21% increase in revenue for the second quarter driven by 20% growth in domestic sales and 36% growth in exports. However, earnings grew at a slower 12% due to a contraction in operating margins from rising input costs and increased spending on marketing. The analyst downgraded the stock to Reduce due to concerns over margin pressure and high valuations leaving little room for negative surprises. Top-line growth was robust due to increased sales volumes and limited price increases while exports picked up on higher sales to Russia.
BGR Energy Systems reported a very strong 4QFY2010 performance, with revenues growing 130.7% and net profit up 130.6% over the previous year. For the full year, revenues grew 59.7% and net profit increased 74.7%. The company maintained a healthy order backlog of Rs10,230cr and expects continued growth in orders. The analyst maintains a Buy recommendation on the stock with a target price of Rs722, noting attractive valuation multiples and expecting revenue and profit to grow at 36.7% and 31.2% CAGR over the next few years.
1) Marico reported a 13.4% increase in quarterly revenue to Rs. 790.1 crore, above estimates, led by 16% volume growth in its core brands Parachute and Saffola.
2) Earnings grew 27% to Rs. 73.7 crore after adjusting for tax rate declines, despite margins contracting.
3) The analyst upgrades Marico stock from "Reduce" to "Neutral" and increases earnings estimates by 2-3% based on strong volume growth and lower taxes boosting profits.
Larsen and Toubro (L&T) reported much better than expected results for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2010. Revenues grew 28.1% year-over-year to Rs. 13,858 crore, driven by increases in several business segments. Operating margins reached a historic high of 15.1% due to cost controls. The order backlog remained robust at Rs. 1,00,239 crore. Going forward, the analyst maintains a positive view on the company given its strong order backlog, operating cash flows, and return ratios above 20%.
1) DLF reported revenue growth of 23% year-over-year for the quarter, but profit was below expectations due to higher interest and depreciation expenses.
2) Residential sales volumes declined significantly year-over-year due to fewer new launches and delays in approvals, while leasing volumes improved.
3) Higher debt from recent acquisitions increased interest costs and net debt levels, remaining a key concern, as the company aims to reduce leverage ratios.
Balrampur Chini Mills reported a weak 3QSY2010 with net sales flat at Rs540cr and PAT declining 83% to Rs11cr. This was due to a 51% drop in EBITDA to Rs64cr caused by higher cane costs, which increased 50% YoY, and greater contribution from lower margin levy sales. While sugar volumes fell 19% YoY, distillery realizations declined 15% due to higher inventory levels. The company expects sugar prices to remain under pressure in the near term from higher global supplies. Management believes restoring import duties on sugar could support domestic prices going forward.
Colgate Palmolive reported first quarter results for fiscal year 2011 with revenues growing 13% year-over-year to Rs. 528.8 crores, slightly below estimates. Earnings beat estimates due to a sharp rise in gross margins of 662 basis points year-over-year. Volume growth was 13% overall led by 14% growth in toothpaste and 19% growth in toothbrushes. The analyst maintains a "Reduce" rating due to the stock being highly expensive trading at 23.4 times estimated fiscal year 2012 earnings per share given muted earnings growth estimates.
Exide Industries reported a 35.1% increase in net profit for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011. Net sales grew 27.5% due to a substantial increase in both original equipment and replacement auto battery sales. While raw material costs increased, operating margins improved on a quarter-over-quarter basis due to a decline in other expenditures and average lead prices. The analyst maintains an "Accumulate" rating for Exide Industries due to reasonable valuations and expectations for continued double-digit revenue and earnings growth over the next two fiscal years.
Dabur reported a modest 15% year-over-year growth in revenue to Rs. 972.8 crores driven by steady volume growth across segments. Earnings grew 15.4% to Rs. 160.4 crores, in line with estimates. Operating margins expanded slightly by 17 basis points despite a contraction in gross margins, helped by lower advertising spend. Segment-wise, consumer care grew 15.1% while consumer health and the international business grew at higher rates. The company maintained its guidance for steady volume growth and margins in the coming years.
Polyplex Corporation is one of the leading manufacturers of biaxially oriented polyester films globally. The company is well positioned for growth as the packaging industry is expected to grow at 15% annually through 2012. Polyplex has expanded production capacity for polyester films in India and started new facilities for biaxially oriented polypropylene and cast polypropylene films. The analyst initiates coverage with a Buy rating and target price of Rs418, valuing the company at 0.7 times forward price to book value, representing an upside of 57%.
The Indian stock markets ended the week lower, mirroring global cues. The Sensex and Nifty closed 0.7% and 0.8% lower respectively. Among sectors, the BSE Realty index saw the biggest fall of 4.3% due to profit booking. Earnings of companies like RIL, ONGC, and ICICI Bank were largely in line with expectations. The report provides updates on the 2QFY2011 results of these companies and maintains a 'Buy' rating on them.
ICICI Bank reported a 16.8% year-over-year increase in net profit for 1QFY2011, which was in line with analyst estimates. While advances grew 1.8% quarter-over-quarter, they declined 6.9% year-over-year due to repayments in retail and short-term corporate loans. Non-performing assets stabilized with a decline in retail loan slippages, and the provision coverage ratio improved. Operating expenses declined 4% year-over-year, though the cost-to-income ratio rose due to muted revenue growth. The analyst maintains a buy rating on expectations of lower NPA provisions driving higher returns going forward.
Lupin reported in-line results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011, with net sales of Rs1,312 crore, operating profit margin of 20%, and net profit of Rs196 crore. Key drivers of growth included strong sales of generic drugs in the US market, as well as expansion of Lupin's domestic field force in India. While the company saw a delay in FDA approval for oral contraceptive drugs, management does not expect this to impact its competitive position. The analyst maintains an 'Accumulate' rating for Lupin based on its scale in key markets like the US and India, as well as its pipeline of generic drug approvals.
Grasim Industries reported a robust 11.5% year-over-year increase in 4QFY2010 net profit to Rs. 655 crore, led by outstanding performance from its viscose staple fiber (VSF) division. The VSF division's net sales grew 65% to Rs. 1,045 crore due to a 31% rise in volumes and 29% increase in realizations. Overall revenues increased 11% to Rs. 5,475 crore for the quarter. The company set May 28, 2010 as the record date for its planned demerger of the Samruddhi cement unit. Post demerger, Grasim shareholders will directly hold 35% of Samruddhi while G
1) Bharti Airtel reported a 17.4% year-over-year revenue growth to Rs. 12,231 crore in the first quarter of FY2011, aided by the acquisition of Zain Africa.
2) However, operating margins declined by 518 basis points to 36.1% due to higher sales, general and administrative expenses, network operating costs, and access costs.
3) Net profit declined by 32% year-over-year to Rs. 1,682 crore due to a net loss reported by the African operations, higher interest costs, depreciation, and taxes. Excluding Africa, net profit fell 23% due to margin pressure.
Cinemax India posted modest revenue growth of 34.1% in 4QFY10 aided by seat additions and big-budget movies, but operating margins declined 138bps due to higher film distribution and rent expenses. Bottom-line grew 353% due to negative tax provisions. The analyst maintains a Buy rating but lowers FY2011-12 estimates and target price to Rs85 due to lower revenue growth expectations and higher costs.
NIIT reported a 1.9% decline in consolidated net revenues for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2010 but net income grew 40.2% due to a 400 basis point increase in EBITDA margins. While the company's school learning services and corporate learning services businesses saw revenue declines, its individual learning solutions segment grew revenues by 13.9% driven by growth in the IT and formal training management sectors. Strong margin expansion and improved performance in the individual learning segment helped boost profits despite currency headwinds.
Gateway Distriparks reported quarterly results that were marginally below estimates. Revenue growth was driven by a 24.2% year-over-year increase in the higher-margin Rail business. However, CFS revenues fell 9.2% due to a fire. Profits increased significantly due to tax write backs. While funds from Blackstone were slightly delayed, management expects funds in the next quarter and for Rail to break even on profits this fiscal year. Falling market share at a key container terminal remains a concern.
1) Nestle reported a 16.9% increase in top-line to Rs1,480cr, slightly below estimates, due to higher volumes and limited price increases. Bottom-line grew only 2.3%, significantly below expectations, due to a spike in input costs.
2) Gross margins contracted 263bps and EBITDA margins fell 397bps as input costs rose substantially. Higher brand investments and other expenses also weighed on profits.
3) The analyst downgrades Nestle to Neutral and lowers earnings estimates due to higher input costs and competitive pressures. Valuations leave little upside potential given cost pressures.
Exide Industries reported a 35.1% increase in net profit for 1QFY2011 compared to the previous year. Net sales grew 27.5% year-over-year to Rs1,152 crore, exceeding estimates. Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margins improved from the previous quarter due to a decline in other expenditures. The analyst maintains an "Accumulate" rating for Exide Industries due to reasonable valuations and expects net sales and profit to grow annually over the next two years.
HDIL reported marginally higher than expected 4QFY2010 results. Revenue was driven by TDR sales of 1.48 million square feet from its Mumbai International Airport project. The company has pre-sold 75% of residential projects launched since FY2009, providing Rs2,600 crore in revenue visibility over FY2010-12. The company plans to launch another 5-6 million square feet in FY2011. While execution of the MIAL project and new launches provide growth visibility, delays in relocating families for the MIAL project phase 1 and recent management changes have hurt the stock price. The analyst maintains a Buy rating with a target price of Rs302 per share.
- Greenply Industries reported a 54.6% year-over-year increase in standalone quarterly revenue to Rs259 crore, exceeding estimates, driven by higher capacity utilization and realizations in plywood and laminates.
- Net profit increased 54.7% to Rs13.3 crore, also ahead of estimates, due to lower interest and depreciation expenses.
- The report maintains a buy recommendation, as the company is well-positioned to benefit from capacity expansions in laminates and a new MDF plant, while its stock trades at a discount to earnings estimates.
Nestle reported a 21% increase in revenue for the second quarter driven by 20% growth in domestic sales and 36% growth in exports. However, earnings grew at a slower 12% due to a contraction in operating margins from rising input costs and increased spending on marketing. The analyst downgraded the stock to Reduce due to concerns over margin pressure and high valuations leaving little room for negative surprises. Top-line growth was robust due to increased sales volumes and limited price increases while exports picked up on higher sales to Russia.
BGR Energy Systems reported a very strong 4QFY2010 performance, with revenues growing 130.7% and net profit up 130.6% over the previous year. For the full year, revenues grew 59.7% and net profit increased 74.7%. The company maintained a healthy order backlog of Rs10,230cr and expects continued growth in orders. The analyst maintains a Buy recommendation on the stock with a target price of Rs722, noting attractive valuation multiples and expecting revenue and profit to grow at 36.7% and 31.2% CAGR over the next few years.
1) Marico reported a 13.4% increase in quarterly revenue to Rs. 790.1 crore, above estimates, led by 16% volume growth in its core brands Parachute and Saffola.
2) Earnings grew 27% to Rs. 73.7 crore after adjusting for tax rate declines, despite margins contracting.
3) The analyst upgrades Marico stock from "Reduce" to "Neutral" and increases earnings estimates by 2-3% based on strong volume growth and lower taxes boosting profits.
Larsen and Toubro (L&T) reported much better than expected results for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2010. Revenues grew 28.1% year-over-year to Rs. 13,858 crore, driven by increases in several business segments. Operating margins reached a historic high of 15.1% due to cost controls. The order backlog remained robust at Rs. 1,00,239 crore. Going forward, the analyst maintains a positive view on the company given its strong order backlog, operating cash flows, and return ratios above 20%.
1) DLF reported revenue growth of 23% year-over-year for the quarter, but profit was below expectations due to higher interest and depreciation expenses.
2) Residential sales volumes declined significantly year-over-year due to fewer new launches and delays in approvals, while leasing volumes improved.
3) Higher debt from recent acquisitions increased interest costs and net debt levels, remaining a key concern, as the company aims to reduce leverage ratios.
Balrampur Chini Mills reported a weak 3QSY2010 with net sales flat at Rs540cr and PAT declining 83% to Rs11cr. This was due to a 51% drop in EBITDA to Rs64cr caused by higher cane costs, which increased 50% YoY, and greater contribution from lower margin levy sales. While sugar volumes fell 19% YoY, distillery realizations declined 15% due to higher inventory levels. The company expects sugar prices to remain under pressure in the near term from higher global supplies. Management believes restoring import duties on sugar could support domestic prices going forward.
Colgate Palmolive reported first quarter results for fiscal year 2011 with revenues growing 13% year-over-year to Rs. 528.8 crores, slightly below estimates. Earnings beat estimates due to a sharp rise in gross margins of 662 basis points year-over-year. Volume growth was 13% overall led by 14% growth in toothpaste and 19% growth in toothbrushes. The analyst maintains a "Reduce" rating due to the stock being highly expensive trading at 23.4 times estimated fiscal year 2012 earnings per share given muted earnings growth estimates.
Exide Industries reported a 35.1% increase in net profit for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011. Net sales grew 27.5% due to a substantial increase in both original equipment and replacement auto battery sales. While raw material costs increased, operating margins improved on a quarter-over-quarter basis due to a decline in other expenditures and average lead prices. The analyst maintains an "Accumulate" rating for Exide Industries due to reasonable valuations and expectations for continued double-digit revenue and earnings growth over the next two fiscal years.
Dabur reported a modest 15% year-over-year growth in revenue to Rs. 972.8 crores driven by steady volume growth across segments. Earnings grew 15.4% to Rs. 160.4 crores, in line with estimates. Operating margins expanded slightly by 17 basis points despite a contraction in gross margins, helped by lower advertising spend. Segment-wise, consumer care grew 15.1% while consumer health and the international business grew at higher rates. The company maintained its guidance for steady volume growth and margins in the coming years.
Polyplex Corporation is one of the leading manufacturers of biaxially oriented polyester films globally. The company is well positioned for growth as the packaging industry is expected to grow at 15% annually through 2012. Polyplex has expanded production capacity for polyester films in India and started new facilities for biaxially oriented polypropylene and cast polypropylene films. The analyst initiates coverage with a Buy rating and target price of Rs418, valuing the company at 0.7 times forward price to book value, representing an upside of 57%.
The Indian stock markets ended the week lower, mirroring global cues. The Sensex and Nifty closed 0.7% and 0.8% lower respectively. Among sectors, the BSE Realty index saw the biggest fall of 4.3% due to profit booking. Earnings of companies like RIL, ONGC, and ICICI Bank were largely in line with expectations. The report provides updates on the 2QFY2011 results of these companies and maintains a 'Buy' rating on them.
ICICI Bank reported a 16.8% year-over-year increase in net profit for 1QFY2011, which was in line with analyst estimates. While advances grew 1.8% quarter-over-quarter, they declined 6.9% year-over-year due to repayments in retail and short-term corporate loans. Non-performing assets stabilized with a decline in retail loan slippages, and the provision coverage ratio improved. Operating expenses declined 4% year-over-year, though the cost-to-income ratio rose due to muted revenue growth. The analyst maintains a buy rating on expectations of lower NPA provisions driving higher returns going forward.
- The key Indian stock indices ended the day with moderate losses of around 0.3% as the markets traded volatile and saw weakness on the back of mixed global cues.
- Among sectoral indices, metals and auto saw the sharpest declines of around 1.5% and 1.3% respectively, while healthcare gained 0.8%.
- In company news, L&T was awarded construction orders totaling Rs. 1,585 crore while Punj Lloyd bagged a Rs. 539 crore pipeline project from GAIL.
Subros reported a 15.8% jump in net sales to Rs249cr for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2010, which was in line with expectations. Volume growth of 48.5% and realization growth of 14.2% drove the top-line growth. Net profit spiked to Rs9cr from Rs0.8cr in the prior year quarter due to robust volumes and lower raw material costs. EBITDA margins expanded substantially by 336 basis points year-over-year to 10.5% due to a 724 basis point decline in raw material costs as a percentage of sales. The company is expected to maintain its leadership position in the domestic car air conditioning market.
The document provides a summary of the Indian derivatives market for June 04, 2010. It notes that open interest for Nifty futures decreased slightly while Minifutures open interest decreased more. Some individual stock options like Hexaware and Yes Bank saw increased open interest. The put-call ratio for Nifty increased slightly. Most implied volatilities decreased. FII activity and turnover are also summarized. Specific strategies like bull-call spreads and bear-put spreads are presented for the Nifty along with notes on some individual stocks.
The document discusses rising interest rates in India and their impact on banks. It predicts that domestic interest rates will rise faster than expected in the coming quarters as strong investment and consumption demand is exceeding domestic savings. This will benefit large banks with high CASA ratios and lower duration investment books the most, such as HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, Axis Bank, and SBI. It recommends increasing the portfolio weightage in banking stocks from 28% to 30% and maintains a positive outlook on larger banks' performance over the next two years.
The technical report provides a daily market summary of key Indian indices and stocks. It notes that the indices opened lower and traded with negative bias throughout the day, closing marginally lower. It identifies top gainers and losers. The report also analyzes sectoral performance and provides support and resistance levels for key stocks. Pivot points are given to identify potential trading zones.
The document provides a summary of market performance and outlook for November 2, 2010. Key points include:
- Indian markets gained over 1% on positive global cues and strong domestic manufacturing data.
- The RBI monetary policy is expected to raise repo and reverse repo rates by 25 basis points each to combat high inflation, but may not raise CRR due to current liquidity issues.
- Auto sales grew strongly in October for most major companies like Maruti, M&M, and Hero Honda. Cement despatches also grew over 10% for major companies.
- 2QFY2011 results beat estimates for JAL but missed for Lupin and JK Tyres due to higher costs.
GE Shipping (Gesco) reported strong fourth quarter fiscal year 2010 results that exceeded expectations. Revenue grew 126.1% year-over-year in the offshore segment due to increased operating days. Overall operating profit increased 139.2% year-over-year, driven by lower expenses. Gesco intends to list its offshore subsidiary Greatship to unlock value and plans to add more offshore vessels. The analyst maintains a 'Buy' rating based on Gesco trading at a discount to global peers and expectations that accelerated phase-out of single hull tankers will support freight rates.
The summary provides an overview of the key information from the technical report:
1) The indices closed flat with the Nifty at 5416 and Sensex at 18074, after recovering from an initial drop due to weak global cues.
2) On the daily chart, prices breached an upward trendline but closed above it, suggesting further upside if indices trade above 17973/5431.
3) Sectoral performances were mixed with banking gaining while IT lost ground.
The document provides a summary of derivative market activity in India for May 27, 2010. It notes that open interest for Nifty futures decreased by 8.26% while Minifity futures decreased by 16.72%. The Nifty May future closed at a discount while the June future closed at a discount of 13.25 points. Some stocks like Hindzinc, Indhotel, and Canbk saw increases in open interest while stocks like Grasim, HotelEela, and Minifty saw decreases in open interest.
- The open interest for Nifty futures decreased by 1.99% while for Minifutures it decreased by 0.89% as the market closed at 5322.45.
- Implied volatility for at-the-money options increased from 15% to 17.5%. Rollover for Nifty futures was 25.28% and for Minifutures was 35.28%.
- FIIs were net buyers of Rs. 234cr in the cash market segment and did some short covering in the Index futures.
Sadbhav Engineering reported quarterly revenues and profits that were below expectations. Higher depreciation and tax expenses related to the reversal of past tax benefits weighed on profits. The company has a large order backlog that provides visibility, but rich valuations lead the analyst to maintain a Neutral rating on the stock.
PTC India reported a 121.8% quarter-over-quarter growth in net revenue to Rs. 2,758 cr for 1QFY2011, driven by a 36.7% year-over-year increase in sales volume. Operating profit grew 194.2% qoq and 85.3% yoy to Rs. 28 cr due to higher trading margins. However, net profit declined 16.7% yoy to Rs. 28 cr due to lower other income and higher taxes. Going forward, the company expects further volume growth as new projects come online and higher trading margins will boost profits.
Hindalco reported strong results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011. Revenue grew 29.2% year-over-year to Rs. 2,533 crore, driven by a 12.7% increase in aluminum shipments. Adjusted EBITDA more than doubled to Rs. 263 crore, resulting in adjusted EBITDA margins of 10.4%. However, net profit declined 65% to Rs. 50 crore due to higher interest and tax expenses. Management expects continued growth in demand and benefits from capacity expansions. The stock currently trades at attractive valuations and the analyst maintains a Buy rating with a target price of Rs. 204.
Balaji Telefilms posted disappointing quarterly results, with its top-line declining 32% year-over-year and 14% quarter-over-quarter due to a decrease in total programming hours as three shows went off air. While average programming rates increased sequentially, the company reported an operating loss for the quarter. Going forward, the company expects financial performance to remain under pressure due to low visibility in its programming slate and reduced programming hours.
SAIL's 4QFY2010 results were in line with estimates. Revenues grew 1.8% to Rs11,955cr due to higher sales volumes and average realization. EBITDA margins expanded significantly to 25.9% due to lower raw material costs and consumption, leading to a 40.2% rise in net income to Rs2,085cr. While demand is expected to remain strong, the company maintains a neutral outlook given rich valuations and plans for a public offering limiting further upside.
Sun TV reported strong 1QFY2011 results with 53% year-over-year revenue growth and 43% PAT growth. Revenues grew due to a 50% increase in advertising revenue, 84% growth in DTH subscription revenue, and 42% growth in analogue subscription revenue. Operating margins expanded 397 basis points to 81.7% due to cost rationalization and operating leverage. The company maintained its Accumulate rating based on continued earnings and cash flow growth despite increasing its FY2012 EPS estimates 2-5% to account for margin expansion.
ACC reported a 2.3% year-over-year increase in quarterly revenue driven by a 4% rise in realizations. Operating margins declined slightly to 31.2% due to higher raw material costs. Net profit was flat at Rs. 405 crore as increased depreciation expenses offset lower interest costs. The analyst maintains a Neutral rating on ACC, setting a fair value of Rs. 948 based on an EV/EBITDA multiple of 7.5x for CY2011 estimates.
MPL Result Update 4qfy2010-030510-finalAngel Broking
Madhucon Projects reported disappointing results for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2010 that were below expectations. While revenue grew robustly due to higher subcontracting in the power segment, operating margins hit a historical low of 6.4% due to the heavy subcontracting. The analyst maintains a "Buy" rating but lowers the target price to Rs. 190 per share based on revised estimates factoring in lower margins and a higher holding company discount applied to the valuation of Madhucon Infra subsidiary. Near-term revenue visibility comes from existing power segment orders but margins are expected to remain under pressure from ongoing subcontracting.
The document provides an analysis of Consolidated Construction Consortium's (CCCL) 4QFY2010 results and outlook. Some key points:
- CCCL reported 33.2% revenue growth for 4QFY2010 inline with estimates, but order inflow for FY2010 was below expectations at Rs2,166cr.
- The company's current order book stands at Rs3,392cr, providing 1.4x revenue visibility for FY2011, which is lower than peers.
- The analyst expects 19.2% revenue CAGR for CCCL over FY2010-2012 on the back of its order book and recovery in private capex.
- C
Crompton Greaves reported a 4.7% year-over-year increase in consolidated sales to Rs. 2,302 crores for the first quarter of FY2011. EBITDA grew 19.8% to Rs. 297 crores due to lower expenses and improved operational efficiencies. Net profit increased 19.5% to Rs. 190.8 crores. The consumer products and industrial systems segments saw robust growth, while the power systems segment remained weak with a 1.9% sales decline. Going forward, the company expects its power systems segment, which accounts for 63% of revenue, to drive growth as massive capacity expansion in the power sector provides investment opportunities in transmission and distribution.
1) Finolex Cables reported a 50.4% year-over-year increase in net sales to Rs. 493.1 crore for the first quarter of FY2011, driven by strong growth in the electrical cables segment.
2) Operating margins declined to 8% from 15.2% in the prior year quarter due to higher raw material costs, though margins improved sequentially.
3) Net profit increased 4.5% year-over-year to Rs. 23 crore for the quarter despite margin pressure, with sales growth offsetting higher costs.
NTPC reported a 7.9% year-over-year increase in net sales for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2010, slightly ahead of estimates. Operating profit grew 1.9% year-over-year due to a 2.3% increase in sales volumes from commissioning new plants and higher plant load factors, though margins declined. Net profit declined 4.5% due to one-time provisions and lower interest rates. The analyst maintains an "Accumulate" rating and target price of Rs230, seeing continued growth from NTPC's regulated business model and expansion plans offset by potential project delays.
Titan Industries reported strong performance in the first quarter of fiscal year 2011 that was above expectations. Revenue grew 41.9% year-over-year driven by robust growth in the jewelry and watches segments. Operating and net profits increased 40.2% and 76.5% respectively. The company's jewelry segment saw a 49.6% revenue increase and 30% volume growth. The watches segment grew revenues 21.8% with improved sales of higher margin watches. While remaining positive on growth prospects, the analyst maintains a Neutral rating due to expensive valuations.
Grasim Industries reported a robust 11.5% year-over-year increase in net profit for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2010, led by an outstanding 65% sales growth in its viscose staple fiber division. The company's overall sales were up 10.8% to Rs. 5,475 crore for the quarter. The cement business also performed well, with a 5.2% sales increase. Going forward, the company plans additional capacity expansions across its businesses to continue its growth trajectory.
Cipla reported subdued fourth quarter results due to lower-than-expected technical know-how fees, which decreased 86% year-over-year. Net sales were in-line at Rs. 1,318 crore, driven by domestic and export formulations. Operating margins declined to 15.2% due to higher employee expenses. For the full year, net sales grew 8% to Rs. 5,358 crore while operating margins expanded to 20.3%. Cipla expects 8-10% revenue growth in fiscal year 2011 and maintained operating margins of 20%, excluding technical fees. The company remains optimistic about contributions from its inhaled products in Europe and potential supply deals with global pharmaceutical companies.
Cipla reported subdued quarterly results with net sales growing only 6.7% year-over-year to Rs. 1,318 crore, below expectations. Operating margins fell due to higher expenses. However, full-year sales grew 8% to Rs. 5,358 crore, meeting guidance. Domestic formulations grew 8.5% while exports grew 5% except for APIs which fell 13.4% due to the appreciating rupee. The company expects 8-10% revenue growth in FY2011 and maintained operating margins but this excludes potential upside from new EU and US markets. The report maintains an "accumulate" rating as benefits of recent investments are expected after FY2012.
Tech Mahindra reported a 4.2% quarter-over-quarter decline in revenue for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011, which was attributed to adverse currency movements and slower client decision making. The company's profitability declined as well, with earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margins contracting 480 basis points and net income declining 36.4% compared to the previous quarter. However, revenue grew 1.9% year-over-year and management expects growth to be led by strong volume increases from large transformational deals in the pipeline. While the outlook remains positive, uncertainties around currency fluctuations and aggressive hiring could pressure margins going forward.
Infotech Enterprises reported modest revenue growth of 2% for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2010. Net profit increased 35% due to a 130% rise in other income and lower taxes. While revenue from the engineering and manufacturing segment grew 6%, the utilities, telecom, and government segment declined 6%. Looking forward, the company expects strong revenue growth driven by its order pipeline and improving business environment. The analyst maintains a 'Buy' rating with a target price implying 20% upside.
The document initiates coverage of Sun TV Network with a "Buy" recommendation and target price of Rs497. Key points include:
- Sun TV Network is a leader in 3 of 4 lucrative southern TV markets in India.
- The analyst models 23.5-25.3% CAGR in revenues, core profits, and earnings for Sun TV over FY2010-12, and cash balances swelling to Rs10 billion by FY2012.
- Factors like rate hikes, growth in niche channels and DTH subscriptions, and the movie Endhiran are expected to drive strong revenue growth.
- The target price of Rs497 represents a 24% upside and is based on a
Reliance Industries reported lower-than-expected earnings for 1QFY2011. While net operating income rose 86.7% year-over-year due to growth in refining revenues, EBITDA was below estimates due to lower petrochemical sales volumes and refining margins. Net profit grew 32.3% year-over-year, meeting estimates. The analyst maintains a 'Buy' rating based on the company's growth outlook and believes it is undervalued relative to its peers.
Wipro reported strong financial results for the 4th quarter of fiscal year 2010, with revenue from IT services growing 3.5% quarter-over-quarter and 11% year-over-year. While revenue growth was slightly lower in rupee terms due to currency fluctuations, the company saw broad-based growth across services and verticals driven by improved client spending. Going forward, the company expects to see continued volume-led growth supported by focus on non-linear initiatives. The analyst maintains an "Accumulate" rating on Wipro stock with a target price representing an upside of 13%.
TCS reported strong financial results for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2010 that exceeded expectations. Revenue grew 1.1% over the previous quarter to Rs. 7,737 crore, driven by a 4% increase in volumes. However, currency fluctuations reduced realized revenue. Improved operating levers helped expand operating margins by 19 basis points sequentially and 368 basis points year-over-year. Strong other income and profit growth of 7.4% sequentially and 47.1% year-over-year exceeded forecasts. The company added over 10,000 employees in the quarter and closed 10 large deals.
Crompton Greaves reported strong quarterly results with net profit growth of 39.9% year-over-year. While revenue growth was modest at 1.9%, the company significantly expanded operating margins. The strong performance was driven by growth in standalone business and improved margins in international operations despite a revenue decline. The company maintained its guidance for revenue and profit growth in the current fiscal year.
The Indian markets are expected to open higher, tracking gains in most Asian markets. Spain has asked for a bailout of up to €100 billion for its banking system. Chinese exports grew more than expected in May. In India, shares extended gains for a fifth session despite weak global cues as major central banks held off on additional stimulus. The key support and resistance levels for the Nifty are 5,023 and 5,114 respectively. L&T has bagged orders worth Rs. 483 crore to build commercial vessels in Qatar. Vedanta Resources has acquired a 24.5% stake in Raykal Aluminium for Rs. 201 crore.
Axis Bank reported a 27.0% year-over-year increase in net profit to Rs. 942 crore for the first quarter of fiscal year 2012, in line with analyst estimates. Business growth momentum slowed as advances declined 7.4% quarter-over-quarter and deposits fell 3.0% quarter-over-quarter, moderating the bank's cash-deposit ratio to 40.5% from 41.1% last quarter. However, asset quality remained healthy with slippage ratio declining to 0.8% and gross and net NPA ratios stable.
1) For 1QFY2012, Electrosteel Castings reported 16.4% sales growth but margins declined due to higher raw material costs. EBITDA fell 18.2% and net profit declined 7.2%.
2) While sales volumes grew, costs increased more due to a rise in raw material costs as a percentage of sales.
3) The company maintains a buy recommendation due to initiatives in steelmaking and backward integration that should lower costs starting in FY2013 and valuation remains attractive.
1) For 1QFY2012, Persistent Systems reported revenues of ₹224 crore, up 5.2% over the previous quarter and 23.6% over the same period last year.
2) EBITDA was ₹40 crore, up 5.3% over the previous quarter but margins declined.
3) PAT was ₹28 crore, down 16.8% over the previous quarter due to higher taxes.
4) Management maintained revenue guidance of 29% growth for FY2012 and expects PAT to remain flat despite higher tax rates.
HT Media reported a 22.7% year-over-year increase in revenue to ₹494 crore for the first quarter of FY2012. Revenue was also up 5.8% quarter-over-quarter. Advertising revenue grew 17% year-over-year, with 18% growth in English and 15% growth in Hindi. Operating profit rose 11.8% year-over-year to ₹87.8 crore due to higher other income and lower tax rates, although operating margins contracted by 174 basis points. The company maintained its Accumulate rating based on expectations of continued revenue growth and margin expansion.
The summary is:
1) The derivative report analyzes the performance of the Nifty futures, options, and key stocks from the previous trading session on July 18, 2011.
2) It provides details on changes in open interest, premium levels, volatility, and turnover for various derivatives contracts.
3) Trading strategies and technical analysis is also given for some stocks along with risk-reward profiles of sample spreads trades for the Nifty.
The market ended lower, with the Sensex and Nifty closing down 0.3%. Mid- and small-cap indices closed higher. Select heavyweights like Hindalco Industries and BHEL gained 1-3%, while TCS and Tata Motors lost 1-2%. In corporate news, Motherson Sumi Systems agreed to acquire an 80% stake in Peguform for €141.5 million. HDFC Bank, Cadila Healthcare, Crompton Greaves, and Ashok Leyland are scheduled to announce their quarterly results. The trend for the day will be decided by whether Nifty trades above or below the levels of 18,533/5,572 in early trade.
- GSM subscriber additions in India continued their declining trend in June 2011, with net additions of 9.6 million, down 10% from the previous month.
- All major operators except BSNL reported a drop in subscriber additions. Bharti and Vodafone each added 2.1 million subscribers.
- The total GSM subscriber base reached 598.8 million in June 2011, with Bharti, Vodafone, Idea and BSNL maintaining their major market shares.
The document provides a technical analysis of the Indian stock market indices Sensex and Nifty for the week of July 16, 2011. It summarizes that the indices declined over 1.5% for the week and are currently trading in a range between 18,326/5496 on the downside and 19,132/5740 on the upside. It notes that a break above or below this range would dictate the direction of the upcoming trend. The analysis also lists pivot levels for 50 Nifty stocks to watch in the coming week.
The document provides a summary of derivative market activity in India for July 18, 2011. Key points include:
- Nifty futures open interest increased 0.67% while Mini Nifty increased 3.48% as the market closed at 5581.10
- Nifty July futures closed at a premium of 5.85 points and August futures at a premium of 22.60 points
- Implied volatility of at-the-money options decreased from 18% to 17.3%
- Total open interest in the market was Rs. 135,158 crore with stock futures open interest at Rs. 34,675 crore.
The indices opened flat but traded choppily throughout the day. Metal, auto and realty stocks declined while IT stocks gained. The indices are currently trading in a range between 18,326-18,810/5496-5653 on the downside and 19,132-19,094/5740-5700 on the upside. A break above these resistance levels could lead to further gains while a break below support could result in losses extending to 17,805-17,950/5350-5400. Pivot levels for 50 Nifty stocks are provided.
- The key Indian stock indices declined slightly, with the Sensex and Nifty closing down 0.3%.
- GSM subscriber additions in India continued their declining trend in June across most major operators such as Idea, Bharti Airtel, and Vodafone. Total GSM subscriber addition was 9.6 million, down 10% from the previous month.
- Tata Motors reported flat annual global sales growth in June 2011 compared to the previous year.
- South Indian Bank reported a 41.2% year-over-year increase in net profit to Rs. 82 crores for the first quarter of fiscal year 2012, slightly below analyst estimates.
- Business growth remained strong, with advances growth of 31.2% and deposits growth of 35.5% year-over-year. However, net interest margins compressed by 29 basis points sequentially to 2.8% due to a sharp rise in the bank's cost of deposits.
- Non-interest income was boosted by treasury gains, but fee income growth was modest. Asset quality was stable with gross and net NPAs rising marginally, and provision coverage at a comfortable 73.1%.
Bajaj Auto reported marginally lower-than-expected results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2012, with net sales growth of 22.8% year-over-year driven by a 17.7% increase in volumes. However, operating margins contracted by 145 basis points quarter-over-quarter to 19.1% due to a 150 basis point increase in raw material costs. As a result, net profit grew by 20.5% year-over-year to ₹711 crore, which was slightly below analyst estimates. Going forward, the analyst expects further margin pressure and has revised downward its earnings estimates for fiscal years 2012 and 2013 to factor in higher raw material costs and changes to export incentives.
1) Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) reported strong results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2012, outperforming expectations with revenue growth of 6.3% over the previous quarter and 31.4% over the same quarter of the previous fiscal year.
2) A key highlight was 7.4% quarter-over-quarter growth in business volumes. While profit margins declined due to wage hikes, net profit remained flat due to foreign exchange gains.
3) Management maintained a positive outlook, highlighting strong demand environment and deal pipeline, and expects pricing increases later in the fiscal year.
The document summarizes the Indian stock market outlook and performance on July 15, 2011. It reports that domestic indices closed with modest gains of 0.1-0.4%, while global indices declined. Wholesale price inflation in India rose to 9.44% in June 2011, above estimates and persisting above 9% for seven months, driven by increases in primary articles and fuel costs. Key benchmark levels are identified for determining if the market may continue rallying or correct in the near term.
The summary is:
1) The derivative report analyzes the movement in Nifty futures, options, and individual stocks between July 14-15, 2011.
2) Nifty futures open interest decreased while mini Nifty open interest increased as the market closed at 5599.80.
3) Implied volatility of at-the-money options increased from 17.6% to 18%.
The Sensex and Nifty indices opened lower and traded with volatility, closing marginally lower. On the sectoral front, Realty, Banks and Healthcare gained while IT and FMCG fell. The advance-decline ratio favored advancing stocks. On the daily chart, prices tested but did not close above the downward gap area of 18,679-18,589/5,601-5,580 levels. Immediate resistance is seen at 18,735/5,633, while 18,449/5,541 is crucial support.
1) Infosys reported modest revenue growth of 3.2% qoq for 1QFY2012. EBITDA and margins declined due to wage hikes.
2) Guidance for 2QFY2012 revenue growth was lower than expected at 3.5-5% qoq. Annual revenue growth guidance was unchanged.
3) The analyst revised EPS estimates down and cut the target price to INR 3,200 due to macro concerns and muted guidance.
This document summarizes a derivative report from India Research dated July 13, 2011. Some key points:
- The Nifty futures open interest increased 0.51% while Minifty futures open interest rose 8.2% as the market closed at 5526.15.
- Implied volatility of at-the-money options increased from 18% to 19.75%. PCR-OI decreased from 1.20 to 1.15.
- Total open interest of the market is Rs. 125,816 crore and stock futures open interest is Rs. 33,500 crore.
- FII were net sellers of Rs. 969 crore in the cash market segment. Put-call
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1. 4QFY2010 Result Update I Media
May 24, 2010
TV Today Network NEUTRAL
CMP Rs103
Performance Highlights Target Price -
During the quarter, TV Today (TVTN) amalgamated its radio broadcasting Investment Period -
business of Radio Today Broadcasting Ltd (RTBL), effective from April 1, 2009.
Hence, the current quarter’s results and the FY2010 financials include the full Stock Info
year’s results of operations of RTBL and are not comparable yoy or qoq. After Sector Broadcasting
strong revenue traction in the broadcasting business and amalgamation of the
Radio business, we have revised our Top-line estimates for TVTN marginally Market Cap (Rs cr) 597
upwards by 3-4%. However, on the Operating front, we have cut our Margin Beta 1.2
estimates by 250-350bp to model in losses incurred in the Radio Business. We
downgrade the stock to Neutral. 52 WK High / Low 152/76
Avg. Daily Volume 397,908
Broadcasting business on steady footing; Radio drags Bottom-line: TVTN
reported a Top-line growth of 46.9% yoy to Rs78.9cr (Rs53.7cr), aided by Face Value (Rs) 5
steady growth in its broadcasting business and the amalgamation of its Radio
BSE Sensex 11,516
business. In terms of Earnings, the company reported a loss of Rs10.1cr (Profit
of Rs8.1cr) and its Operating Margin contracted by 596bp yoy to 3.5% Nifty 4,944
(9.5%), owing to losses incurred in its Radio business. Earnings for the quarter
Reuters Code TVTO.BO
were also impacted due to a significant dip in Other Income to a loss of
Rs0.1cr (Income of Rs8.9cr), as loans advanced to the Radio subsidiary to the Bloomberg Code TVTN @IN
tune of Rs55cr were reversed post-amalgamation. For the full year FY2010,
TVTN reported a Top-line of Rs285cr (Rs266.6cr advertising revenue, Rs14cr Shareholding Pattern (%)
subscription revenue and Rs4.4cr radio revenue). Earnings for the year Promoters 55.9
declined to Rs31cr, due to a Rs38cr loss in the Radio business.
MF/Banks/Indian FIs 37.3
Outlook and Valuation: Going ahead, we expect TV Today to post a CAGR of FII/NRIs/OCBs 0.1
14.2% in its Top-line and 40% in Earnings (due to a low base in FY2010, after
the radio amalgamation) during FY2010-12E. Earnings for the period are Indian Public 6.7
likely to be boosted due to a lower Tax rate on account of accumulated losses Abs. (%) 3m 1yr 3yr
in the Radio business. While amalgamation of the Radio business and the
strategic investment into Mail Today indicate some signs of aggression (key Sensex 1.3 18.6 15.8
investor concern over the past several years), substantial losses in both the
businesses and a lack of clarity are likely to act as overhangs on TV Today’s TVTN (8.0) 3.6 (35.0)
stock price. Hence, we downgrade the stock to Neutral, with a Fair Value of
Rs102 (based on 10x FY2012E EPS).
Key Financials (Standalone)
Y/E March (Rs cr) FY2009 FY2010E FY2011E FY2012E
Net Sales 250 285 328 371
% chg 8.1 13.9 15.1 13.3
Net Profit (Adj) 34 31 53 61
% chg (23.2) (7.9) 71.5 14.6
OPM (%) 17.6 18.3 21.5 23.7
EPS (Rs) 5.6 5.2 8.9 10.2
P/E (x) 17.8 19.4 11.3 9.8 Anand Shah
P/BV (x) 1.8 1.7 1.5 1.3 Tel: 022 – 4040 3800 Ext: 334
E-mail: anand.shah@angeltrade.com
RoE (%) 10.4 8.9 13.4 13.5
RoCE (%) 7.7 8.1 11.2 12.7
Chitrangda Kapur
EV/Sales (x) 1.8 1.5 1.3 1.1
Tel: 022 – 4040 3800 Ext: 323
EV/EBITDA (x) 9.9 8.3 5.8 4.6 E-mail: chitrangdar.kapur@angeltrade.com
Source: Company, Angel Research
1
Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report Sebi Registration No: INB 010996539
2. TVTN I 4QFY2010 Result Update
Exhibit 1: Financial Performance Update
Y/E March (Rs cr) 4QFY10 4QFY09 % chg FY2010 FY2009 % chg
Net Sales 78.9 53.7 46.9 284.8 250.0 13.9
Employee Cost 25.1 16.0 57.2 83.0 69.9 18.7
(% of sales) 31.9 29.8 29.2 28.0
Transmission & Prod. 13.8 6.8 103.3 35.9 26.9 33.4
(% of sales) 17.5 12.6 12.6 10.8
Advt. & Dist Cost 16.5 16.9 (2.0) 60.3 67.5 (10.7)
(% of sales) 20.9 31.4 21.2 27.0
Other Expenditure 20.7 9.0 130.3 53.6 41.6 28.9
(% of sales) 26.2 16.7 18.8 16.6
Total Expenditure 76.1 48.6 56.6 232.8 205.9 13.0
Operating Profit 2.8 5.1 (45.2) 52.1 44.1 18.1
OPM (%) 3.5 9.5 18.3 17.6
Interest 6.9 0.1 7.0 0.1
Depreciation 8.3 4.6 78.9 21.1 19.4 8.6
Other Income (0.1) 8.9 23.1 24.2 (4.6)
PBT (excl Ext. Items) (12.5) 9.3 47.0 48.7 (3.5)
Ext Income/(Exp.) 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.0
PBT (Incl. Ext Items) (12.5) 9.3 47.0 48.7 (3.6)
(% of Sales) (15.9) 17.3 16.5 19.5
Prov. for Taxation (2.5) 1.2 16.1 15.2 6.1
(% of PBT) 19.6 12.7 34.3 31.2
Recurring PAT (10.1) 8.1 30.9 33.5 (7.9)
PATM (%) (12.8) 15.1 10.8 13.4
Reported PAT (10.1) 8.1 30.9 33.5 (8.0)
Equity Shares (cr) 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8
EPS (Rs) (1.7) 1.4 5.3 5.8
Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: Numbers not comparable due to merger of Radio business
Radio business transfer complete
During the quarter, TV Today completed the transfer of its radio broadcasting
business of Radio Today Broadcasting Ltd (RTBL), effective from April 1, 2009. RTBL
runs India's first talk-based, women-centric radio station under the banner of Meow
104.8 FM in seven cities (Delhi, Mumbai, Kolkata, Amritsar, Patiala, Shimla and
Jodhpur). In accordance, TV Today will issue 1.66mn equity shares to the equity
shareholders of RTBL, in a ratio of 1 equity share for every 6 equity shares held in
RTBL, leading to an equity dilution of 2.8% in TV Today. Consequent to the merger,
the company is eligible for Tax benefits, due to carry forward losses of the erstwhile
RTBL.
For FY2010, the Radio business registered a Top-line of Rs4.4cr, and losses of
Rs22cr and Rs38cr at the EBIT and PAT levels, respectively. The same have been
consolidated for the full year in 4QFY2010.
Forays into Print Media via Mail Today
TV Today has made a strategic investment in Mail Today Newspapers Pvt. Ltd.
(MTNPL), a JV between the India Today Group and Daily Mail of London (part of the
Associated Newspapers Group), by making an advance payment of Rs18.5cr
towards subscribing to the equity shares of MTNPL. The management has indicated
that it will be investing a total amount of Rs45cr for a ~10-12% stake in Mail Today.
Mail Today, established in November 2007, is a daily newspaper in the compact
format, published by MTNPL. Currently, there is one edition of the paper published
from Delhi, which consists of 48 pages.
May 24, 2010 2
3. TVTN I 4QFY2010 Result Update
Outlook and Valuation
The current quarter’s results and FY2010 financials include the full year’s results of
operations of RTBL; hence, these are not comparable yoy or qoq.
After the strong revenue traction in the broadcasting business (reflected in the
4QFY2010 results) and amalgamation of the Radio business, we have revised our
Top-line estimates for TVTN marginally upwards by 3-4%, modeling in: 1) a 14%
CAGR in Advertising revenues (Headlines Today has gained marketshare in English
News by 500-600bp to ~17% YTD), 2) Subscription revenues of Rs17cr and Rs19cr
in FY2011E and FY2012E, respectively (reported ~Rs14cr in FY2010), and 3) Radio
revenues of Rs6cr and Rs7.5cr in FY2011E and FY2012E, respectively (reported
Rs4.4cr in FY2010).
However, on the Operating front, we have cut our Margin estimates by 250-350bp,
despite a Margin improvement in the Broadcasting business (TVTN has saved
substantially to the tune of ~Rs20cr in carriage fees for FY2010), to model in losses
incurred in the Radio Business (Incurred a Rs22cr loss at the EBIT level and Rs38cr at
the PAT level in FY2010). On a conservative basis, we have assumed Radio losses to
remain at similar levels, despite the potentially synergistic benefits after the
amalgamation with TVTN. Hence, our Earnings estimates have been revised
downwards by 10-13%.
Exhibit 2: Revision in Estimates
Old Estimate New Estimate % chg
(Rs cr) FY2011E FY2012E FY2011E FY2012E FY2011E FY2012E
Revenue 314 360 328 371 4.2 3.1
OPM (%) 25 26 22 24 (337bp) (261bp)
EPS 10 12 9 10 (10.3) (12.7)
Source: Company, Angel Research
Going ahead, we expect TV Today to post a CAGR of 14.2% in its Top-line and 40%
in Earnings (due to a low base in FY2010, after the radio amalgamation) during
FY2010-12E. Earnings for the period are likely to be boosted due to a lower Tax
rate, on account of accumulated losses in the Radio business. The management has
indicated that debt has increased to Rs35cr (due to amalgamation of the radio
business) and cash on books stands at Rs120-130cr.
While the amalgamation of the Radio business and strategic investment into Mail
Today indicate some signs of aggression (key investor concern over the past several
years), substantial losses in both the businesses and a lack of clarity are likely to act
as overhangs on TV Today’s stock price. Hence, we downgrade the stock to Neutral,
with a Fair Value of Rs102 (based on 10x FY2012E EPS).
Key upside risks to our estimates include: 1) A Significant reduction in the losses of
the Radio business, and 2) The Launch of new channels (possible after shifting to the
new office premise in 2HFY2011).
May 24, 2010 3
7. TVTN I 4QFY2010 Result Update
Research Team Tel: 022- 4040 3800 E-mail: research@angeltrade.com Website: www.angeltrade.com
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Disclosure of Interest Statement TVTN
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May 24, 2010 7