1QFY2011 Result Update | Media
                                                                                                                     July 29, 2010



 Sun TV Network                                                                           ACCUMULATE
                                                                                         CMP                                Rs454
 Performance Highlights                                                                  Target Price                       Rs518
                                                                                         Investment Period             12 Months
  (Rs cr)                   1QFY11       1QFY10          % yoy     4QFY10     % qoq       Stock Info
  Revenue                      440.4        287.7         53.1       391.9     12.4       Sector                             Media
  EBITDA                       359.9        223.6         60.9       330.9       8.8      Market Cap (Rs cr)                17,891
  OPM (%)                       81.7           77.7     397bp         84.4   (271bp)      Beta                                 0.6
  PAT                          171.0        119.8         42.7       165.1       3.6      52 Week High / Low               475/251
 Source: Company, Angel Research
                                                                                          Avg. Daily Volume                 86,712
 We have tweaked our estimates marginally - 1) revenues largely unchanged as              Face Value (Rs)                       5
 higher revenues from movies get offset by lower DTH subscriber addition this
                                                                                          BSE Sensex                        17,992
 quarter (~0.3mn) and lower ARPU of Rs36 (earlier estimate of Rs40), 2) increase
 in operating margins to account for cost rationalisation and higher operating            Nifty                              5,409
 leverage and 3) ~2–5% increase in earnings, consequent to both significant               Reuters Code                 SUNTV.BO
 revenue traction and operating margin expansion. We maintain an Accumulate               Bloomberg Code              SUNTV@IN
 on the stock.

 Strong results led by robust advertising and subscription revenue growth: Sun TV
 reported robust 53% yoy top-line growth, led by 1) ~50% yoy growth in                    Shareholding Pattern (%)
 advertising revenue, 2) ~84% yoy growth in DTH revenue and 3) ~42% yoy jump              Promoters                           77.0
 in analogue revenue. In terms of earnings, Sun TV posted robust growth of
 43% yoy on a recurring basis, despite spike in depreciation/amortisation expense         MF / Banks / Indian Fls              4.6
 (up 109% yoy) and 21% yoy decline in other income, aided by strong growth in             FII / NRIs / OCBs                    8.4
 top-line and significant operating margin expansion to the tune of 397bp yoy,            Indian Public / Others              10.0
 driving a whopping 61% yoy growth in operating profit.

 Outlook and Valuation: At the CMP of Rs454, the stock is trading at modest
 valuations of 21x FY2012E EPS given robust 28% CAGR over FY2010-12E (less                Abs. (%)             3m     1yr      3yr
 than ~1x PEG). Moreover, we expect STNL's cash balance to increase to a
                                                                                          Sensex               2.8   18.6     18.1
 whopping Rs12bn (~Rs31 per share) in FY2012E driven by strong rise in free
 cash flow (almost tripling over FY2010-12E) on the back of strong earnings               STNL                 8.6   72.9      5.9
 growth. Hence, we maintain Accumulate on the stock with a revised Target Price
 of Rs518 (Rs497) based on 24x FY2012, 5% discount to its historical average P/E
 of 25x to account for risks associated with high ARPUs in DTH subscription model
 and 2) release/success of Endhiran (big budget production.

 Key Financials (Consolidated)
 Y/E March (Rs cr)                  FY2009            FY2010      FY2011E    FY2012E
 Net Sales                             1,039           1,453        1,981      2,231
 % chg                                  19.5            39.8         36.3       12.6
 Net Profit                             368             520          727         853
 % chg                                  12.7            41.2         39.8       17.4
 OPM (%)                                70.9            75.1         77.5       78.1
 EPS (Rs)                                9.3            13.2         18.4       21.6
 P/E (x)                                48.6            34.4         24.6       21.0    Anand Shah
 P/BV (x)                               10.5             9.5          7.5         6.0   022 – 4040 3800 Ext: 334
 RoE (%)                                21.6            27.9         33.5       31.6    anand.shah@angeltrade.com

 RoCE (%)                               30.2            39.7         47.1       44.7
                                                                                        Chitrangda Kapur
 EV/Sales (x)                           16.9            12.1          8.9         7.9
                                                                                        022 – 4040 3800 Ext: 323
 EV/EBITDA (x)                          23.8            16.1         11.4       10.1
                                                                                        chitrangdar.kapur@angeltrade.com
 Source: Company, Angel Research



Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report                                                                  1
Sun TV Network|1QFY2011 Result Update



Exhibit 1: Quarterly Performance (Standalone)
Y/E March (Rs cr)                 1QFY11     1QFY10       % yoy    4QFY10      % qoq       FY2010       FY2009     % chg
Net Sales                          440.4       287.7       53.1      391.9      12.4      1,395.0      1,008.2      38.4
Cost of Revenues                    26.8         20.8      28.5       22.1      21.0         88.9          81.7       8.8
(% of sales)                         6.1          7.2                  5.6                     6.4          8.1
Staff cost                          39.9         31.1      28.6       16.7     139.2        116.0        102.0      13.7
(% of sales)                         9.1         10.8                  4.3                     8.3         10.1
Other expenditure                   13.9         12.2      14.0       22.2     (37.7)        79.6          52.9     50.4
(% of sales)                         3.1          4.2                  5.7                     5.7          5.2
Total Expenditure                   80.6         64.0      25.8       61.0      32.0        284.5        236.6      20.2
Operating Profit                   359.9       223.6       60.9      330.9       8.8      1,110.6        771.6      43.9
OPM (%)                             81.7         77.7                 84.4                   79.6          76.5
Depreciation & Ammortisation       114.7         55.0     108.7       84.8      35.2        285.4        184.9      54.4
EBIT                               245.2       168.6       45.4      246.0      (0.3)       825.1        586.7      40.6
EBIT (%)                            55.7         58.6                 62.8                   59.1          58.2
Interest                             0.1          0.6    (77.8)        0.2     (39.1)          1.2          3.9    (69.2)
Other Income                        11.3         14.2    (20.7)        8.5      33.3         42.5          83.3    (49.0)
PBT (excl. Ext Items)              256.3       182.2       40.6      254.2       0.8        866.4        666.1      30.1
Ext Income/(Expense)                   -            -                     -                      -            -
PBT (Incl. Ext Items)              256.3       182.2       40.6      254.2       0.8        866.4        666.1      30.1
(% of Sales)                        58.2         63.4                 64.9                   62.1          66.1
Provision for Taxation              85.4         62.4      36.7       89.2      (4.3)       299.0        229.0      30.6
(% of PBT)                          33.3         34.3                 35.1                   34.5          34.4
Recurring PAT                      171.0       119.8       42.7      165.1       3.6        567.4        437.1      29.8
PATM (%)                            38.8         41.6                 42.1                   40.7          43.4
Reported PAT                       171.0       119.8       42.7      165.1       3.6        567.4        437.1      29.8
Equity shares (cr)                  39.4         39.4                 39.4                   39.4          39.4
EPS (Rs)                             4.3          3.0                  4.2                   14.4          11.1
Source: Company, Angel Research


                                           Strong top-line growth led by spike in both advt. and subs. revenues


                                           Sun TV reported robust 53% yoy top-line growth, led by: 1) ~50% yoy growth in
                                           advertising revenue, 2) ~84% yoy/10% qoq growth in DTH revenue (6.3mn
                                           subscriber base, Rs35–36 ARPU), and 3) ~42% yoy/9% qoq jump in analogue
                                           revenue. Ad revenue grew largely on account of ad-rate hike absorption (blended
                                           ad-rate hike of 5–33% taken across channels effective January 2010), better
                                           inventory utilisation and increased traction from niche channels (kids/comedy)
                                           launched in 1QFY2010. While analogue subscription revenue registered robust
                                           growth on account of renewed focus of the management in terms of distribution and
                                           incremental revenue traction from Malyalam channels (turned pay effective April
                                           2010), DTH revenue registered strong yoy growth due to higher subscriber base
                                           (increased to 6.3mn, incremental growth of 0.3mn qoq) and yoy increase in ARPUs
                                           (revised bouquet rates due to addition of new channels, flat qoq at Rs35-36).




July 29, 2010                                                                                                           2
Sun TV Network|1QFY2011 Result Update



                                                        Exhibit 2: Top-line growth trend
                                                                   500                                                                                                    440        60
                                                                   450                                                                           395        392
                                                                   400                                                                                                               50
                                                                                                                                                                          53
                                                                   350                                                                  320
                                                                                                                 276           288                46                                 40
                                                                   300                             271
                                                                                       238                                                                      42




                                                         (Rs cr)
                                                                            224




                                                                                                                                                                                              (%)
                                                                   250                                                                                                               30
                                                                                                                                        35
                                                                   200
                                                                                                                               29                                                    20
                                                                   150                             24
                                                                                        22
                                                                   100                                                                                                               10
                                                                    50                                           12
                                                                            10
                                                                    -                                                                                                                -




                                                                            1QFY09


                                                                                        2QFY09


                                                                                                   3QFY09


                                                                                                                 4QFY09


                                                                                                                               1QFY10


                                                                                                                                        2QFY10


                                                                                                                                                  3QFY10


                                                                                                                                                                4QFY10


                                                                                                                                                                          1QFY11
                                                                                                 Top-line (LHS)                              YoY growth (RHS)

                                                         Source: Company, Angel Research



                                                        Exhibit 3: Revenue Breakup
                                                          Y/E March (Rs cr)                                  1QFY11                1QFY10        % yoy           4QFY10            % qoq
                                                          Advt. Income                                                222               149        49.5                  222              -
                                                          Broadcast Fee                                                   35             30        15.7                   36        (3.3)
                                                          Program License Inc (Int Rev)                                   16             14        15.9                   15         9.6
                                                          Subs Income - Analogue                                          51             36        41.7                   47         9.4
                                                          Subs Income - DTH                                               68             37        83.8                   62         9.7
                                                          Others (Incl Movies)                                            48             22      118.2                    10       380.0
                                                          Total Revenues                                              440               288        53.0                  391        12.4
                                                         Source: Company, Angel Research




Exhibit 4: Revenue Growth trend

          250                         222

          200
(Rs cr)




          150   132

          100
                                                                                                            68
                                                                    51
           50                               31                                                                                                             37                            35
                                                                         11                                          12                          16
           -
                      Advertisement              Analog Subs.                        DTH Subs.                            International Subs.                      Broadcast fees
                          1QFY09      2QFY09       3QFY09          4QFY09            1QFY10         2QFY10                 3QFY10           4QFY10          1QFY11

Source: Company, Angel Research




July 29, 2010                                                                                                                                                                                   3
Sun TV Network|1QFY2011 Result Update



                                                                                        Recurring earnings growth robust, despite jump in D&A expense

                                                                                        In terms of earnings, Sun TV posted a robust growth of 43% yoy to Rs171cr (Rs120cr)
                                                                                        on a recurring basis, despite depreciation/amortisation expense increase by
                                                                                        109% yoy (the management has indicated an amortisation expense of ~Rs99cr out
                                                                                        of which Rs42cr expense is incurred on movies) and 21% yoy decline in other income
                                                                                        to Rs11cr (Rs14cr), aided by significant operating margin expansion and strong
                                                                                        growth in top-line.

                                                                                        Cost rationalisation and higher operating leverage aid OPM expansion

                                                                                        At the operating level, Sun TV posted a 397bp yoy expansion, driving a whopping
                                                                                        61% yoy growth in operating profit to Rs360cr (Rs224cr), aided by cost
                                                                                        rationalisation initiatives undertaken by the company and higher operating leverage.
                                                                                        The cost of revenues (down 116bp yoy to Rs27cr), staff cost (down 173bp yoy to
                                                                                        Rs40cr) and other expenses (down 108bp yoy to Rs14cr) declined. Moreover, the
                                                                                        incremental growth in advertisement revenue, contributing ~51% to the total
                                                                                        revenues, was largely on account of the ad-rate hike, which directly reflected in the
                                                                                        margins (due to no costs attached).


Exhibit 5: Earnings flat qoq (~4%), record jump yoy                                                            Exhibit 6: Director draws the entitled ~10% of PBT
          200                                                                                     50.0           100.0                                  81.6 77.7           84.4 81.7
                                                                                                                            75.5 74.1 74.3                        76.0 79.1
          150                                                                                     40.0               80.0
                                                                                                  30.0               60.0
(Rs cr)




                                                                                                         (%)




          100
                                                                                                               (%)




                                                                                                  20.0               40.0
          50                                                                                      10.0                      11.0 10.8                            10.8 10.0
                                                                                                                     20.0                      9.5      9.5                        9.2               9.1
                                                                                                                                                                                            4.3
           -                                                                                      -                    -
                1QFY09

                         2QFY09

                                  3QFY09

                                           4QFY09

                                                    1QFY10

                                                             2QFY10

                                                                      3QFY10

                                                                               4QFY10

                                                                                         1QFY11




                                                                                                                            1QFY09

                                                                                                                                      2QFY09

                                                                                                                                               3QFY09

                                                                                                                                                        4QFY09

                                                                                                                                                                 1QFY10

                                                                                                                                                                          2QFY10

                                                                                                                                                                                   3QFY10

                                                                                                                                                                                            4QFY10

                                                                                                                                                                                                     1QFY11
                                  PAT (LHS)                    YoY growth (RHS)                                                         OPM                      Staff cost (% of sales)

Source: Company, Angel Research                                                                                Source: Company, Angel Research




July 29, 2010                                                                                                                                                                                                 4
Sun TV Network|1QFY2011 Result Update



                Investment Arguments

                     STNL ad revenues to outpace regional advt., we peg 21% CAGR: During
                     FY2010-12E, we peg STNL’s standalone ad revenues CAGR at 21%, ahead of
                     14% CAGR in regional advertising during the period, driven by:
                     1) absorption of rate hikes (5-33% hike in ad rates across channels effective Jan,
                     2010), 2) increased traction from niche kids/comedy channels launched in
                     1QFY2010, and 3) strong focus of management on utilising inventory during
                     off-peak hours and new weekend programming.

                     Multiple levers led by DTH to drive 37% CAGR in pay revenues: During
                     FY2010-12E, we expect STNL to register a robust 37% CAGR in its overall
                     subscription revenues aided by: 1) strong 50% CAGR in DTH revenues on the
                     back of 28% CAGR in DTH subscribers and rise in ARPU to Rs36 (due to revised
                     bouquet rates at Rs52/month as reported in 4QFY2010), and 2) 20% CAGR in
                     analogue revenues aided by restructuring of distribution business and
                     Malayalam channels (Surya TV, Kiran TV) turning pay effective April 1, 2010.

                     Radio to reach near break-even at operating level by FY2012E: On a
                     consolidated basis (Kal and SAFM), we expect the radio subsidiaries to report
                     top-line CAGR of 22% during FY2010-12E to Rs84cr (Rs56cr) driven by: 1)
                     uniform brand identity of the radio channels to Red FM, will act as an effective
                     tool for marketing the stations with agencies and customers, and 2) Red FM has
                     announced an increase in its ad rates by 12-15% effective June 2010.

                     Sun Pictures - Betting big on the ‘big budget movie’: Sun Pictures is expected to
                     release Endhiran (estimated budget for the movie is over Rs100cr) in
                     2HFY2011E in three languages, viz. Tamil, Telegu and Hindi. We expect the
                     movie to register returns of 20-25% at EBIT level. For FY2011E, we estimate that
                     the revenues from movie distribution for STNL (including release of Endhiran) will
                     grow at 196% yoy to Rs200cr (Rs67.5cr) and then taper down to Rs135cr in
                     FY2012E, as the effect of revenue traction from Endhiran wanes.

                Outlook and Valuation

                We have tweaked our estimates marginally - 1) revenues largely unchanged as
                higher revenues from movies get offset by lower DTH subscriber addition this quarter
                (~0.3mn) and lower ARPU of Rs36 (earlier estimate of Rs40), 2) increase in
                operating margins to account for cost rationalisation and higher operating leverage
                and 3) ~2–5% increase in earnings, consequent to both significant revenue traction
                and operating margin expansion.

                Exhibit 7: Change in estimates
                Parameter           Old Estimate             New Estimate              % chg
                (Rs cr)          FY11E       FY12E        FY11E       FY12E        FY11E     FY12E
                Revenue          1,978       2,217         1,981       2,231          0.1       0.7
                OPM (%)            75.7       76.1          77.5        78.1      185bp      203bp
                EPS (Rs)           18.1       20.7          18.4        21.6          2.1       4.5
                Source: Company, Angel Research


                We believe higher valuations of STNL are justified given its: 1) strong earnings
                CAGR of 28% over FY2010-12E, 2) dominant leadership in 3 out 4 lucrative
                southern markets, 3) strong group strength and presence across media value
                chains, 4) unique-low cost business model and 5) significant reduction in losses
                in radio subsidiaries. Hence, we maintain an Accumulate on the stock, with a
                revised Target Price of Rs518 (Rs497), based on 24x FY2012E EPS of Rs21.6.




July 29, 2010                                                                                         5
Sun TV Network|1QFY2011 Result Update



                                                        During FY2010-12E we have modeled in 23.9%, 26.3% and 28.1% CAGR in
                                                        top-line, core EBIT (post amortisation), and earnings respectively, for STNL.
                                                        Moreover, we expect STNL’s cash balance to swell to Rs12bn (~Rs31per share)
                                                        in FY2012E driven by strong rise in free cash (almost tripling over FY2010-12E)
                                                        on the back of strong earnings growth and hence, expect STNL’s RoE to sustain
                                                        to ~28–31% levels and RoIC to rise to 57% (36%).


Exhibit 8: Key Assumptions-Consolidated Revenue
(Rs cr)                                                          FY09             FY10        FY11E        FY12E             CAGR #
Advertising Revenue                                                606             845         1,027       1,229                20.6
YoY Growth %                                                      27.4             39.5         21.5        19.7
Broadcasting                                                       573             789          958        1,145                20.5
YoY Growth %                                                      22.7             37.7         21.5        19.5
Radio                                                               33              56            69          84                21.9
YoY Growth %                                                     272.6             69.6         21.9        21.9
Broadcast Fee                                                      130             134          149          157                 8.0
YoY Growth %                                                       3.8              3.0         11.0          5.1
Subscription                                                       269             394          592          696                32.9
YoY Growth %                                                       0.6             46.5         50.2        17.6
Analogue                                                           131             157          212          227                20.4
YoY Growth %                                                    (40.2)             19.6         35.1          7.4
DTH                                                                 84             183          324          410                49.7
YoY Growth %                                                     748.5            117.9         77.0        26.7
Program Licence                                                     54              54            56          58                 3.6
YoY Growth %                                                      41.2              0.7          3.7          3.5
Movies                                                              28              67          200          135                41.4
YoY Growth %                                                          -           139.1        196.3       (32.5)
Other Sales                                                          6               9             8           8               (0.6)
YoY Growth %                                                          -            46.3         (3.8)         2.7
Net Sales                                                       1,039             1,450        1,976       2,225                23.9
YoY Growth %                                                      19.5             39.5         36.3        12.6
                                         #
Source: Company, Angel Research; Note:       denotes CAGR for FY2010-12E period




July 29, 2010                                                                                                                      6
Sun TV Network|1QFY2011 Result Update




Exhibit 9: Peer Valuation
 Company                   Reco                                  Mcap                        CMP                    TP                       Upside                         P/E (x)                             EV/Sales (x)                                               RoE (%)                                              CAGR #
                                                                (Rs cr)                       (Rs)                 (Rs)                         (%)                     FY11E     FY12E                       FY11E     FY12E                                           FY11E    FY12E                                       Sales    PAT
 Sun TV                    Accum.                              17,891                        454                   518                         14.0                      24.6       21.0                         8.9       7.9                                           33.5      31.6                                      23.9    28.1
 Zee Ent^                  Neutral                             14,277                        295                      -                           -                      19.5       16.1                           -         -                                           14.4      15.7                                      21.4    27.6
Source: Company, Angel Research, Note: #denotes CAGR for FY2010-12E, ^Zee Entertainment figures are consensus estimates from Bloomberg




Exhibit 10: Angel v/s Consensus estimates
 Top-line (Rs cr)                                                                                     FY2011E                                                     FY2012E            EPS (Rs)                                                                                        FY2011E                                               FY2012E
 Angel estimates                                                                                        1,981                                                       2,231            Angel estimates                                                                                    18.4                                                  21.6
 Consensus                                                                                              1,821                                                       2,088            Consensus                                                                                          17.3                                                  20.7
 Diff (%)                                                                                                  8.7                                                         6.8           Diff (%)                                                                                            6.4                                                   4.3
Source: Company, Angel Research




Exhibit 11: STNL trading below its 3yr avg P/E of 25x                                                                                                                               Exhibit 12: STNL’s 3yr avg Prem over Sensex at 44%

 55.0                                                                                                                                                                                250%
 50.0
 45.0                                                                                                                                                                                200%
 40.0
 35.0                                                                                                                                                                                150%
 30.0
 25.0                                                                                                                                                                                100%
 20.0
 15.0                                                                                                                                                                                 50%
 10.0
  5.0                                                                                                                                                                                   0%
                 Jul-06
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Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: Blue-line denotes 3yr avg P/E                                                                                                                Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: Blue-line denotes 3yr avg Prem




Exhibit 13: STNL & ZEEL trading at similar 1yr Fwd P/E                                                                                                                              Exhibit 14: STNL trades at 3yr avg Prem of 9% to ZEEL

 55.0                                                    BSE Sensex                                               Sun TV                                  Zee Ent                    95%

 45.0                                                                                                                                                                                75%

 35.0                                                                                                                                                                                55%

                                                                                                                                                                                     35%
 25.0
                                                                                                                                                                                     15%
 15.0
                                                                                                                                                                                      -5%
  5.0
                                                                                                                                                                                     -25%
                 Jul-06
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                                   Jan-07


                                                      Jul-07
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Source: Company, Angel Research                                                                                                                                                     Source: Company, Angel Research, Note: Blue-line denotes 3yr avg Prem




July 29, 2010                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   7
Sun TV Network|1QFY2011 Result Update



                Profit & Loss Statement (Consolidated)
                Y/E March (Rs cr)               FY2008   FY2009   FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E
                Gross sales                       870     1,039    1,453   1,981   2,231
                Less: Excise duty                    -        -        -       -       -
                Net Sales                         870     1,039    1,453   1,981   2,231
                Total operating income            870     1,039    1,453   1,981   2,231
                % chg                             28.3     19.5     39.8    36.3    12.6
                Total Expenditure                 272      303      362     445     489
                (Inc)/Dec in stock in trade          -        -       4       6       6
                Cost of Production                 77      111      119     135     145
                Staff Cost                         96      116      134     199     225
                Power & Fuel                        7       14       14      16      18
                Others                             93       62       91      89      94
                EBITDA                            598      737     1,091   1,535   1,742
                % chg                             27.5     23.3        -       -    13.5
                (% of Net Sales)                  68.7     70.9     75.1    77.5    78.1
                Depreciation& Amortisation        124      220      321     459     479
                EBIT                              474      516      770    1,077   1,263
                % chg                             34.4        -        -       -       -
                (% of Net Sales)                  54.4     49.7     53.0    54.4    56.6
                Interest & other Charges           16       14        5       2       2
                Other Income                       56       67       35      39      44
                (% of PBT)                        10.8     11.7      4.4     3.5     3.3
                Share in profit of Associates      1.1      0.2      0.8     1.0     1.2
                Recurring PBT                     513      569      800    1,113   1,305
                % chg                             32.6     10.9     40.5    39.2    17.2
                Extraordinary Expense/(Inc.)         -        -        -       -       -
                PBT (reported)                    513      569      800    1,113   1,305
                Tax                               201      229      299     401     463
                (% of PBT)                        39.2     40.3     37.4    36.0    35.5
                PAT (reported)                    312      340      501     713     841
                Add: Share of associates             -        -        -       -       -
                Less: Minority interest (MI)      (14)     (28)     (18)    (13)    (10)
                PAT after MI (reported)           327      368      520     727     853
                ADJ. PAT                          327      368      520     727     853
                % chg                             32.8     12.7     41.2    39.8    17.4
                (% of Net Sales)                  37.6     35.4     35.8    36.7    38.2
                Basic EPS (Rs)                     8.3      9.3     13.2    18.4    21.6
                Fully Diluted EPS (Rs)             8.3      9.3     13.2    18.4    21.6
                % chg                             32.8     12.7     41.2    39.8    17.4




July 29, 2010                                                                         8
Sun TV Network|1QFY2011 Result Update



                Balance Sheet (Consolidated)
                Y/E March (Rs cr)               FY2008       FY2009        FY2010    FY2011E FY2012E
                SOURCES OF FUNDS
                Equity Share Capital               197          197           197        197       197
                Preference Capital                       -             -       88         88        88
                Reserves& Surplus                1,252         1,505        1,689      2,176     2,764
                Shareholders Funds               1,449         1,702        1,973      2,461     3,048
                Minority Interest                   60            38           37         37        37
                Total Loans                         69            72            0          0         0
                Deferred Tax Liability                   1        26           34         34        34
                Total Liabilities                1,580         1,838        2,045      2,532     3,119
                APPLICATION OF FUNDS
                Gross Block                      1,019         1,491        1,888      2,247     2,567
                Less: Acc. Depreciation            474          677           990      1,449     1,929
                Net Block                          545          815           898        798       638
                Capital Work-in-Progress           222          157           315        247       257
                Goodwill                                 -             -         -          -        -
                Investments                        180          181           228        328       528
                Non Current Assets                       8        23           30         35        40
                Current Assets                     880          881         1,035      1,469     2,050
                   Cash                            430          365           437        704     1,226
                   Loans & Advances                192          274           266        327       335
                   Other                           258          241           332        439       489
                Current liabilities                256          219           461        345       393
                Net Current Assets                 624          662           574      1,124     1,657
                Misc Exp                                 0         0            0          0         0
                Total Assets                     1,580         1,838        2,045      2,532     3,119

                Cash Flow Statement (Consolidated)
                Y/E March (Rs cr)              FY2008        FY2009        FY2010    FY2011E    FY2012E
                Profit before tax                513           569           800       1,113      1,305
                Depreciation                     124           220           321        459        479
                Change in Working Capital        (93)           56          (109)      (160)       (48)
                Interest / Dividend (Net)        (32)          (26)           (29)       (37)      (41)
                Direct taxes paid                213           202           281        401        463
                Others                            54           (14)           24        (15)         4
                Cash Flow from Operations        354           604           726        959       1,236
                Inc./ (Dec.) in Fixed Assets    (392)         (494)         (554)      (291)      (329)
                Inc./ (Dec.) in Investments     (180)            (0)          (47)     (100)      (200)
                Cash Flow from Investing        (572)         (494)         (602)      (391)      (529)
                Issue of Equity                   76              6          107         13         10
                Inc./(Dec.) in loans             (49)            (4)         (73)         (4)       (3)
                Dividend Paid (Incl. Tax)        (46)         (184)         (115)      (345)      (231)
                Interest / Dividend (Net)         17              8           29         35         39
                Cash Flow from Financing           (1)        (174)          (53)      (301)      (185)
                Inc./(Dec.) in Cash             (220)           (64)          71        267        522
                Opening Cash balances            649           430           365        437        704
                Closing Cash balances            430           365           437        704       1,226




July 29, 2010                                                                                        9
Sun TV Network|1QFY2011 Result Update



                Key Ratios
                Y/E March                    FY2008   FY2009   FY2010   FY2011E FY2012E
                Valuation Ratio (x)
                P/E (on FDEPS)                 54.8     48.6     34.4      24.6    21.0
                P/CEPS                         51.2     43.9     30.4      22.0    18.9
                P/BV                           12.4     10.5      9.5       7.5     6.0
                Dividend yield (%)              0.6      0.6      1.7       1.1     1.3
                EV/Sales                       20.2     16.9     12.1       8.9     7.9
                EV/EBITDA                      29.3     23.8     16.1      11.4    10.1
                EV / Total Assets              11.1      9.5      8.6       6.9     5.6
                Per Share Data (Rs)
                EPS (Basic)                     8.3      9.3     13.2      18.4    21.6
                EPS (fully diluted)             8.3      9.3     13.2      18.4    21.6
                Cash EPS                        8.9     10.3     14.9      20.6    24.0
                DPS                             2.5      2.5      7.5       5.0     5.8
                Book Value                     36.8     43.2     47.8      60.2    75.1
                Dupont Analysis
                EBIT margin                    54.4     49.7     53.0      54.4    56.6
                Tax retention ratio             0.6      0.6      0.6       0.6     0.6
                Asset turnover (x)              1.1      0.8      0.9       1.0     0.9
                RoIC (Post-tax)                35.3     24.6     28.5      33.3    33.8
                Cost of Debt (Post tax)         0.1      0.1      0.1       9.1     9.3
                Leverage (x)                    0.8      0.4      0.2       0.0     0.0
                Operating RoE                  63.7     33.3     33.7      33.4    33.9
                Returns (%)
                RoCE (Pre-tax)                 33.1     30.2     39.7      47.1    44.7
                Angel RoIC (Pre-tax)           59.2     45.7     57.6      74.8    88.2
                RoE                            23.6     21.6     27.9      33.5    31.6
                Turnover ratios (x)
                Asset Turnover                  0.9      0.7      0.8       0.9     0.9
                Inventory / Sales (days)        0.1      0.0      0.7       0.6     0.7
                Receivables (days)            108.1     84.7     82.7      80.2    79.3
                Payables (days)                14.7     16.1      9.6       8.2     8.0
                Work. cap. ex-cash) (days)     81.5    104.2     34.5      77.5    70.5
                Solvency ratios (x)
                Net debt to equity              0.4      0.4      0.0       0.0     0.0
                Net debt to EBITDA              0.1      0.1      0.0       0.0     0.0
                Interest Coverage              29.8     37.4    155.9     538.3   631.5




July 29, 2010                                                                       10
Sun TV Network|1QFY2011 Result Update




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 Disclosure of Interest Statement                                               SUN TV Network
 1. Analyst ownership of the stock                                                   No
 2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock                             No
 3. Angel and its Group companies' Directors ownership of the stock                  No
 4. Broking relationship with company covered                                        No

 Note: We have not considered any Exposure below Rs 1 lakh for Angel, its Group companies and Directors.



 Ratings (Returns) :             Buy (> 15%)                      Accumulate (5% to 15%)                 Neutral (-5 to 5%)
                                 Reduce (-5% to 15%)              Sell (< -15%)


July 29, 2010                                                                                                                             11

Sun TV

  • 1.
    1QFY2011 Result Update| Media July 29, 2010 Sun TV Network ACCUMULATE CMP Rs454 Performance Highlights Target Price Rs518 Investment Period 12 Months (Rs cr) 1QFY11 1QFY10 % yoy 4QFY10 % qoq Stock Info Revenue 440.4 287.7 53.1 391.9 12.4 Sector Media EBITDA 359.9 223.6 60.9 330.9 8.8 Market Cap (Rs cr) 17,891 OPM (%) 81.7 77.7 397bp 84.4 (271bp) Beta 0.6 PAT 171.0 119.8 42.7 165.1 3.6 52 Week High / Low 475/251 Source: Company, Angel Research Avg. Daily Volume 86,712 We have tweaked our estimates marginally - 1) revenues largely unchanged as Face Value (Rs) 5 higher revenues from movies get offset by lower DTH subscriber addition this BSE Sensex 17,992 quarter (~0.3mn) and lower ARPU of Rs36 (earlier estimate of Rs40), 2) increase in operating margins to account for cost rationalisation and higher operating Nifty 5,409 leverage and 3) ~2–5% increase in earnings, consequent to both significant Reuters Code SUNTV.BO revenue traction and operating margin expansion. We maintain an Accumulate Bloomberg Code SUNTV@IN on the stock. Strong results led by robust advertising and subscription revenue growth: Sun TV reported robust 53% yoy top-line growth, led by 1) ~50% yoy growth in Shareholding Pattern (%) advertising revenue, 2) ~84% yoy growth in DTH revenue and 3) ~42% yoy jump Promoters 77.0 in analogue revenue. In terms of earnings, Sun TV posted robust growth of 43% yoy on a recurring basis, despite spike in depreciation/amortisation expense MF / Banks / Indian Fls 4.6 (up 109% yoy) and 21% yoy decline in other income, aided by strong growth in FII / NRIs / OCBs 8.4 top-line and significant operating margin expansion to the tune of 397bp yoy, Indian Public / Others 10.0 driving a whopping 61% yoy growth in operating profit. Outlook and Valuation: At the CMP of Rs454, the stock is trading at modest valuations of 21x FY2012E EPS given robust 28% CAGR over FY2010-12E (less Abs. (%) 3m 1yr 3yr than ~1x PEG). Moreover, we expect STNL's cash balance to increase to a Sensex 2.8 18.6 18.1 whopping Rs12bn (~Rs31 per share) in FY2012E driven by strong rise in free cash flow (almost tripling over FY2010-12E) on the back of strong earnings STNL 8.6 72.9 5.9 growth. Hence, we maintain Accumulate on the stock with a revised Target Price of Rs518 (Rs497) based on 24x FY2012, 5% discount to its historical average P/E of 25x to account for risks associated with high ARPUs in DTH subscription model and 2) release/success of Endhiran (big budget production. Key Financials (Consolidated) Y/E March (Rs cr) FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E Net Sales 1,039 1,453 1,981 2,231 % chg 19.5 39.8 36.3 12.6 Net Profit 368 520 727 853 % chg 12.7 41.2 39.8 17.4 OPM (%) 70.9 75.1 77.5 78.1 EPS (Rs) 9.3 13.2 18.4 21.6 P/E (x) 48.6 34.4 24.6 21.0 Anand Shah P/BV (x) 10.5 9.5 7.5 6.0 022 – 4040 3800 Ext: 334 RoE (%) 21.6 27.9 33.5 31.6 anand.shah@angeltrade.com RoCE (%) 30.2 39.7 47.1 44.7 Chitrangda Kapur EV/Sales (x) 16.9 12.1 8.9 7.9 022 – 4040 3800 Ext: 323 EV/EBITDA (x) 23.8 16.1 11.4 10.1 chitrangdar.kapur@angeltrade.com Source: Company, Angel Research Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report 1
  • 2.
    Sun TV Network|1QFY2011Result Update Exhibit 1: Quarterly Performance (Standalone) Y/E March (Rs cr) 1QFY11 1QFY10 % yoy 4QFY10 % qoq FY2010 FY2009 % chg Net Sales 440.4 287.7 53.1 391.9 12.4 1,395.0 1,008.2 38.4 Cost of Revenues 26.8 20.8 28.5 22.1 21.0 88.9 81.7 8.8 (% of sales) 6.1 7.2 5.6 6.4 8.1 Staff cost 39.9 31.1 28.6 16.7 139.2 116.0 102.0 13.7 (% of sales) 9.1 10.8 4.3 8.3 10.1 Other expenditure 13.9 12.2 14.0 22.2 (37.7) 79.6 52.9 50.4 (% of sales) 3.1 4.2 5.7 5.7 5.2 Total Expenditure 80.6 64.0 25.8 61.0 32.0 284.5 236.6 20.2 Operating Profit 359.9 223.6 60.9 330.9 8.8 1,110.6 771.6 43.9 OPM (%) 81.7 77.7 84.4 79.6 76.5 Depreciation & Ammortisation 114.7 55.0 108.7 84.8 35.2 285.4 184.9 54.4 EBIT 245.2 168.6 45.4 246.0 (0.3) 825.1 586.7 40.6 EBIT (%) 55.7 58.6 62.8 59.1 58.2 Interest 0.1 0.6 (77.8) 0.2 (39.1) 1.2 3.9 (69.2) Other Income 11.3 14.2 (20.7) 8.5 33.3 42.5 83.3 (49.0) PBT (excl. Ext Items) 256.3 182.2 40.6 254.2 0.8 866.4 666.1 30.1 Ext Income/(Expense) - - - - - PBT (Incl. Ext Items) 256.3 182.2 40.6 254.2 0.8 866.4 666.1 30.1 (% of Sales) 58.2 63.4 64.9 62.1 66.1 Provision for Taxation 85.4 62.4 36.7 89.2 (4.3) 299.0 229.0 30.6 (% of PBT) 33.3 34.3 35.1 34.5 34.4 Recurring PAT 171.0 119.8 42.7 165.1 3.6 567.4 437.1 29.8 PATM (%) 38.8 41.6 42.1 40.7 43.4 Reported PAT 171.0 119.8 42.7 165.1 3.6 567.4 437.1 29.8 Equity shares (cr) 39.4 39.4 39.4 39.4 39.4 EPS (Rs) 4.3 3.0 4.2 14.4 11.1 Source: Company, Angel Research Strong top-line growth led by spike in both advt. and subs. revenues Sun TV reported robust 53% yoy top-line growth, led by: 1) ~50% yoy growth in advertising revenue, 2) ~84% yoy/10% qoq growth in DTH revenue (6.3mn subscriber base, Rs35–36 ARPU), and 3) ~42% yoy/9% qoq jump in analogue revenue. Ad revenue grew largely on account of ad-rate hike absorption (blended ad-rate hike of 5–33% taken across channels effective January 2010), better inventory utilisation and increased traction from niche channels (kids/comedy) launched in 1QFY2010. While analogue subscription revenue registered robust growth on account of renewed focus of the management in terms of distribution and incremental revenue traction from Malyalam channels (turned pay effective April 2010), DTH revenue registered strong yoy growth due to higher subscriber base (increased to 6.3mn, incremental growth of 0.3mn qoq) and yoy increase in ARPUs (revised bouquet rates due to addition of new channels, flat qoq at Rs35-36). July 29, 2010 2
  • 3.
    Sun TV Network|1QFY2011Result Update Exhibit 2: Top-line growth trend 500 440 60 450 395 392 400 50 53 350 320 276 288 46 40 300 271 238 42 (Rs cr) 224 (%) 250 30 35 200 29 20 150 24 22 100 10 50 12 10 - - 1QFY09 2QFY09 3QFY09 4QFY09 1QFY10 2QFY10 3QFY10 4QFY10 1QFY11 Top-line (LHS) YoY growth (RHS) Source: Company, Angel Research Exhibit 3: Revenue Breakup Y/E March (Rs cr) 1QFY11 1QFY10 % yoy 4QFY10 % qoq Advt. Income 222 149 49.5 222 - Broadcast Fee 35 30 15.7 36 (3.3) Program License Inc (Int Rev) 16 14 15.9 15 9.6 Subs Income - Analogue 51 36 41.7 47 9.4 Subs Income - DTH 68 37 83.8 62 9.7 Others (Incl Movies) 48 22 118.2 10 380.0 Total Revenues 440 288 53.0 391 12.4 Source: Company, Angel Research Exhibit 4: Revenue Growth trend 250 222 200 (Rs cr) 150 132 100 68 51 50 31 37 35 11 12 16 - Advertisement Analog Subs. DTH Subs. International Subs. Broadcast fees 1QFY09 2QFY09 3QFY09 4QFY09 1QFY10 2QFY10 3QFY10 4QFY10 1QFY11 Source: Company, Angel Research July 29, 2010 3
  • 4.
    Sun TV Network|1QFY2011Result Update Recurring earnings growth robust, despite jump in D&A expense In terms of earnings, Sun TV posted a robust growth of 43% yoy to Rs171cr (Rs120cr) on a recurring basis, despite depreciation/amortisation expense increase by 109% yoy (the management has indicated an amortisation expense of ~Rs99cr out of which Rs42cr expense is incurred on movies) and 21% yoy decline in other income to Rs11cr (Rs14cr), aided by significant operating margin expansion and strong growth in top-line. Cost rationalisation and higher operating leverage aid OPM expansion At the operating level, Sun TV posted a 397bp yoy expansion, driving a whopping 61% yoy growth in operating profit to Rs360cr (Rs224cr), aided by cost rationalisation initiatives undertaken by the company and higher operating leverage. The cost of revenues (down 116bp yoy to Rs27cr), staff cost (down 173bp yoy to Rs40cr) and other expenses (down 108bp yoy to Rs14cr) declined. Moreover, the incremental growth in advertisement revenue, contributing ~51% to the total revenues, was largely on account of the ad-rate hike, which directly reflected in the margins (due to no costs attached). Exhibit 5: Earnings flat qoq (~4%), record jump yoy Exhibit 6: Director draws the entitled ~10% of PBT 200 50.0 100.0 81.6 77.7 84.4 81.7 75.5 74.1 74.3 76.0 79.1 150 40.0 80.0 30.0 60.0 (Rs cr) (%) 100 (%) 20.0 40.0 50 10.0 11.0 10.8 10.8 10.0 20.0 9.5 9.5 9.2 9.1 4.3 - - - 1QFY09 2QFY09 3QFY09 4QFY09 1QFY10 2QFY10 3QFY10 4QFY10 1QFY11 1QFY09 2QFY09 3QFY09 4QFY09 1QFY10 2QFY10 3QFY10 4QFY10 1QFY11 PAT (LHS) YoY growth (RHS) OPM Staff cost (% of sales) Source: Company, Angel Research Source: Company, Angel Research July 29, 2010 4
  • 5.
    Sun TV Network|1QFY2011Result Update Investment Arguments STNL ad revenues to outpace regional advt., we peg 21% CAGR: During FY2010-12E, we peg STNL’s standalone ad revenues CAGR at 21%, ahead of 14% CAGR in regional advertising during the period, driven by: 1) absorption of rate hikes (5-33% hike in ad rates across channels effective Jan, 2010), 2) increased traction from niche kids/comedy channels launched in 1QFY2010, and 3) strong focus of management on utilising inventory during off-peak hours and new weekend programming. Multiple levers led by DTH to drive 37% CAGR in pay revenues: During FY2010-12E, we expect STNL to register a robust 37% CAGR in its overall subscription revenues aided by: 1) strong 50% CAGR in DTH revenues on the back of 28% CAGR in DTH subscribers and rise in ARPU to Rs36 (due to revised bouquet rates at Rs52/month as reported in 4QFY2010), and 2) 20% CAGR in analogue revenues aided by restructuring of distribution business and Malayalam channels (Surya TV, Kiran TV) turning pay effective April 1, 2010. Radio to reach near break-even at operating level by FY2012E: On a consolidated basis (Kal and SAFM), we expect the radio subsidiaries to report top-line CAGR of 22% during FY2010-12E to Rs84cr (Rs56cr) driven by: 1) uniform brand identity of the radio channels to Red FM, will act as an effective tool for marketing the stations with agencies and customers, and 2) Red FM has announced an increase in its ad rates by 12-15% effective June 2010. Sun Pictures - Betting big on the ‘big budget movie’: Sun Pictures is expected to release Endhiran (estimated budget for the movie is over Rs100cr) in 2HFY2011E in three languages, viz. Tamil, Telegu and Hindi. We expect the movie to register returns of 20-25% at EBIT level. For FY2011E, we estimate that the revenues from movie distribution for STNL (including release of Endhiran) will grow at 196% yoy to Rs200cr (Rs67.5cr) and then taper down to Rs135cr in FY2012E, as the effect of revenue traction from Endhiran wanes. Outlook and Valuation We have tweaked our estimates marginally - 1) revenues largely unchanged as higher revenues from movies get offset by lower DTH subscriber addition this quarter (~0.3mn) and lower ARPU of Rs36 (earlier estimate of Rs40), 2) increase in operating margins to account for cost rationalisation and higher operating leverage and 3) ~2–5% increase in earnings, consequent to both significant revenue traction and operating margin expansion. Exhibit 7: Change in estimates Parameter Old Estimate New Estimate % chg (Rs cr) FY11E FY12E FY11E FY12E FY11E FY12E Revenue 1,978 2,217 1,981 2,231 0.1 0.7 OPM (%) 75.7 76.1 77.5 78.1 185bp 203bp EPS (Rs) 18.1 20.7 18.4 21.6 2.1 4.5 Source: Company, Angel Research We believe higher valuations of STNL are justified given its: 1) strong earnings CAGR of 28% over FY2010-12E, 2) dominant leadership in 3 out 4 lucrative southern markets, 3) strong group strength and presence across media value chains, 4) unique-low cost business model and 5) significant reduction in losses in radio subsidiaries. Hence, we maintain an Accumulate on the stock, with a revised Target Price of Rs518 (Rs497), based on 24x FY2012E EPS of Rs21.6. July 29, 2010 5
  • 6.
    Sun TV Network|1QFY2011Result Update During FY2010-12E we have modeled in 23.9%, 26.3% and 28.1% CAGR in top-line, core EBIT (post amortisation), and earnings respectively, for STNL. Moreover, we expect STNL’s cash balance to swell to Rs12bn (~Rs31per share) in FY2012E driven by strong rise in free cash (almost tripling over FY2010-12E) on the back of strong earnings growth and hence, expect STNL’s RoE to sustain to ~28–31% levels and RoIC to rise to 57% (36%). Exhibit 8: Key Assumptions-Consolidated Revenue (Rs cr) FY09 FY10 FY11E FY12E CAGR # Advertising Revenue 606 845 1,027 1,229 20.6 YoY Growth % 27.4 39.5 21.5 19.7 Broadcasting 573 789 958 1,145 20.5 YoY Growth % 22.7 37.7 21.5 19.5 Radio 33 56 69 84 21.9 YoY Growth % 272.6 69.6 21.9 21.9 Broadcast Fee 130 134 149 157 8.0 YoY Growth % 3.8 3.0 11.0 5.1 Subscription 269 394 592 696 32.9 YoY Growth % 0.6 46.5 50.2 17.6 Analogue 131 157 212 227 20.4 YoY Growth % (40.2) 19.6 35.1 7.4 DTH 84 183 324 410 49.7 YoY Growth % 748.5 117.9 77.0 26.7 Program Licence 54 54 56 58 3.6 YoY Growth % 41.2 0.7 3.7 3.5 Movies 28 67 200 135 41.4 YoY Growth % - 139.1 196.3 (32.5) Other Sales 6 9 8 8 (0.6) YoY Growth % - 46.3 (3.8) 2.7 Net Sales 1,039 1,450 1,976 2,225 23.9 YoY Growth % 19.5 39.5 36.3 12.6 # Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: denotes CAGR for FY2010-12E period July 29, 2010 6
  • 7.
    Sun TV Network|1QFY2011Result Update Exhibit 9: Peer Valuation Company Reco Mcap CMP TP Upside P/E (x) EV/Sales (x) RoE (%) CAGR # (Rs cr) (Rs) (Rs) (%) FY11E FY12E FY11E FY12E FY11E FY12E Sales PAT Sun TV Accum. 17,891 454 518 14.0 24.6 21.0 8.9 7.9 33.5 31.6 23.9 28.1 Zee Ent^ Neutral 14,277 295 - - 19.5 16.1 - - 14.4 15.7 21.4 27.6 Source: Company, Angel Research, Note: #denotes CAGR for FY2010-12E, ^Zee Entertainment figures are consensus estimates from Bloomberg Exhibit 10: Angel v/s Consensus estimates Top-line (Rs cr) FY2011E FY2012E EPS (Rs) FY2011E FY2012E Angel estimates 1,981 2,231 Angel estimates 18.4 21.6 Consensus 1,821 2,088 Consensus 17.3 20.7 Diff (%) 8.7 6.8 Diff (%) 6.4 4.3 Source: Company, Angel Research Exhibit 11: STNL trading below its 3yr avg P/E of 25x Exhibit 12: STNL’s 3yr avg Prem over Sensex at 44% 55.0 250% 50.0 45.0 200% 40.0 35.0 150% 30.0 25.0 100% 20.0 15.0 50% 10.0 5.0 0% Jul-06 Oct-06 Jul-07 Oct-07 Jul-08 Oct-08 Jul-09 Oct-09 Jul-10 Apr-06 Apr-07 Apr-08 Apr-09 Apr-10 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jul-06 Oct-06 Jul-07 Oct-07 Jul-08 Oct-08 Jul-09 Oct-09 Jul-10 Apr-06 Apr-07 Apr-08 Apr-09 Apr-10 Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: Blue-line denotes 3yr avg P/E Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: Blue-line denotes 3yr avg Prem Exhibit 13: STNL & ZEEL trading at similar 1yr Fwd P/E Exhibit 14: STNL trades at 3yr avg Prem of 9% to ZEEL 55.0 BSE Sensex Sun TV Zee Ent 95% 45.0 75% 35.0 55% 35% 25.0 15% 15.0 -5% 5.0 -25% Jul-06 Oct-06 Jan-07 Jul-07 Oct-07 Jan-08 Jul-08 Oct-08 Jan-09 Jul-09 Oct-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Apr-06 Apr-07 Apr-08 Apr-09 Apr-10 Oct-06 Jan-07 Oct-07 Jan-08 Oct-08 Jan-09 Oct-09 Jan-10 Apr-06 Apr-07 Apr-08 Apr-09 Apr-10 Jul-06 Jul-07 Jul-08 Jul-09 Jul-10 Source: Company, Angel Research Source: Company, Angel Research, Note: Blue-line denotes 3yr avg Prem July 29, 2010 7
  • 8.
    Sun TV Network|1QFY2011Result Update Profit & Loss Statement (Consolidated) Y/E March (Rs cr) FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E Gross sales 870 1,039 1,453 1,981 2,231 Less: Excise duty - - - - - Net Sales 870 1,039 1,453 1,981 2,231 Total operating income 870 1,039 1,453 1,981 2,231 % chg 28.3 19.5 39.8 36.3 12.6 Total Expenditure 272 303 362 445 489 (Inc)/Dec in stock in trade - - 4 6 6 Cost of Production 77 111 119 135 145 Staff Cost 96 116 134 199 225 Power & Fuel 7 14 14 16 18 Others 93 62 91 89 94 EBITDA 598 737 1,091 1,535 1,742 % chg 27.5 23.3 - - 13.5 (% of Net Sales) 68.7 70.9 75.1 77.5 78.1 Depreciation& Amortisation 124 220 321 459 479 EBIT 474 516 770 1,077 1,263 % chg 34.4 - - - - (% of Net Sales) 54.4 49.7 53.0 54.4 56.6 Interest & other Charges 16 14 5 2 2 Other Income 56 67 35 39 44 (% of PBT) 10.8 11.7 4.4 3.5 3.3 Share in profit of Associates 1.1 0.2 0.8 1.0 1.2 Recurring PBT 513 569 800 1,113 1,305 % chg 32.6 10.9 40.5 39.2 17.2 Extraordinary Expense/(Inc.) - - - - - PBT (reported) 513 569 800 1,113 1,305 Tax 201 229 299 401 463 (% of PBT) 39.2 40.3 37.4 36.0 35.5 PAT (reported) 312 340 501 713 841 Add: Share of associates - - - - - Less: Minority interest (MI) (14) (28) (18) (13) (10) PAT after MI (reported) 327 368 520 727 853 ADJ. PAT 327 368 520 727 853 % chg 32.8 12.7 41.2 39.8 17.4 (% of Net Sales) 37.6 35.4 35.8 36.7 38.2 Basic EPS (Rs) 8.3 9.3 13.2 18.4 21.6 Fully Diluted EPS (Rs) 8.3 9.3 13.2 18.4 21.6 % chg 32.8 12.7 41.2 39.8 17.4 July 29, 2010 8
  • 9.
    Sun TV Network|1QFY2011Result Update Balance Sheet (Consolidated) Y/E March (Rs cr) FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E SOURCES OF FUNDS Equity Share Capital 197 197 197 197 197 Preference Capital - - 88 88 88 Reserves& Surplus 1,252 1,505 1,689 2,176 2,764 Shareholders Funds 1,449 1,702 1,973 2,461 3,048 Minority Interest 60 38 37 37 37 Total Loans 69 72 0 0 0 Deferred Tax Liability 1 26 34 34 34 Total Liabilities 1,580 1,838 2,045 2,532 3,119 APPLICATION OF FUNDS Gross Block 1,019 1,491 1,888 2,247 2,567 Less: Acc. Depreciation 474 677 990 1,449 1,929 Net Block 545 815 898 798 638 Capital Work-in-Progress 222 157 315 247 257 Goodwill - - - - - Investments 180 181 228 328 528 Non Current Assets 8 23 30 35 40 Current Assets 880 881 1,035 1,469 2,050 Cash 430 365 437 704 1,226 Loans & Advances 192 274 266 327 335 Other 258 241 332 439 489 Current liabilities 256 219 461 345 393 Net Current Assets 624 662 574 1,124 1,657 Misc Exp 0 0 0 0 0 Total Assets 1,580 1,838 2,045 2,532 3,119 Cash Flow Statement (Consolidated) Y/E March (Rs cr) FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E Profit before tax 513 569 800 1,113 1,305 Depreciation 124 220 321 459 479 Change in Working Capital (93) 56 (109) (160) (48) Interest / Dividend (Net) (32) (26) (29) (37) (41) Direct taxes paid 213 202 281 401 463 Others 54 (14) 24 (15) 4 Cash Flow from Operations 354 604 726 959 1,236 Inc./ (Dec.) in Fixed Assets (392) (494) (554) (291) (329) Inc./ (Dec.) in Investments (180) (0) (47) (100) (200) Cash Flow from Investing (572) (494) (602) (391) (529) Issue of Equity 76 6 107 13 10 Inc./(Dec.) in loans (49) (4) (73) (4) (3) Dividend Paid (Incl. Tax) (46) (184) (115) (345) (231) Interest / Dividend (Net) 17 8 29 35 39 Cash Flow from Financing (1) (174) (53) (301) (185) Inc./(Dec.) in Cash (220) (64) 71 267 522 Opening Cash balances 649 430 365 437 704 Closing Cash balances 430 365 437 704 1,226 July 29, 2010 9
  • 10.
    Sun TV Network|1QFY2011Result Update Key Ratios Y/E March FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E Valuation Ratio (x) P/E (on FDEPS) 54.8 48.6 34.4 24.6 21.0 P/CEPS 51.2 43.9 30.4 22.0 18.9 P/BV 12.4 10.5 9.5 7.5 6.0 Dividend yield (%) 0.6 0.6 1.7 1.1 1.3 EV/Sales 20.2 16.9 12.1 8.9 7.9 EV/EBITDA 29.3 23.8 16.1 11.4 10.1 EV / Total Assets 11.1 9.5 8.6 6.9 5.6 Per Share Data (Rs) EPS (Basic) 8.3 9.3 13.2 18.4 21.6 EPS (fully diluted) 8.3 9.3 13.2 18.4 21.6 Cash EPS 8.9 10.3 14.9 20.6 24.0 DPS 2.5 2.5 7.5 5.0 5.8 Book Value 36.8 43.2 47.8 60.2 75.1 Dupont Analysis EBIT margin 54.4 49.7 53.0 54.4 56.6 Tax retention ratio 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 Asset turnover (x) 1.1 0.8 0.9 1.0 0.9 RoIC (Post-tax) 35.3 24.6 28.5 33.3 33.8 Cost of Debt (Post tax) 0.1 0.1 0.1 9.1 9.3 Leverage (x) 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 Operating RoE 63.7 33.3 33.7 33.4 33.9 Returns (%) RoCE (Pre-tax) 33.1 30.2 39.7 47.1 44.7 Angel RoIC (Pre-tax) 59.2 45.7 57.6 74.8 88.2 RoE 23.6 21.6 27.9 33.5 31.6 Turnover ratios (x) Asset Turnover 0.9 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.9 Inventory / Sales (days) 0.1 0.0 0.7 0.6 0.7 Receivables (days) 108.1 84.7 82.7 80.2 79.3 Payables (days) 14.7 16.1 9.6 8.2 8.0 Work. cap. ex-cash) (days) 81.5 104.2 34.5 77.5 70.5 Solvency ratios (x) Net debt to equity 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 Net debt to EBITDA 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Interest Coverage 29.8 37.4 155.9 538.3 631.5 July 29, 2010 10
  • 11.
    Sun TV Network|1QFY2011Result Update Research Team Tel: 022 - 4040 3800 E-mail: research@angeltrade.com Website: www.angeltrade.com Disclaimer This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. Angel Broking Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within. Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's fundamentals. The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable sources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this document is for general guidance only. Angel Broking Limited or any of its affiliates/ group companies shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. Angel Broking Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify, nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While Angel Broking Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly. Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in the past. Neither Angel Broking Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or in connection with the use of this information. Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section). Also, please refer to the latest update on respective stocks for the disclosure status in respect of those stocks. Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may have investment positions in the stocks recommended in this report. Disclosure of Interest Statement SUN TV Network 1. Analyst ownership of the stock No 2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock No 3. Angel and its Group companies' Directors ownership of the stock No 4. Broking relationship with company covered No Note: We have not considered any Exposure below Rs 1 lakh for Angel, its Group companies and Directors. Ratings (Returns) : Buy (> 15%) Accumulate (5% to 15%) Neutral (-5 to 5%) Reduce (-5% to 15%) Sell (< -15%) July 29, 2010 11