Subros reported an 11.6% increase in net sales for the first quarter of FY2011 compared to the same period last year, aided by a 13.8% growth in volumes. Operating profit rose 17.3% while net profit jumped 117.1% due to lower raw material costs and expansion in operating margins. The company maintained its outlook for 15% annual volume growth over the next two years but expects pricing pressure to limit revenue growth to around 10% annually. The analyst maintains a 'Buy' rating with a target price of Rs60 per share based on projected earnings growth and reasonable valuation.
- Alembic reported lower than expected sales and profits for 1QFY2011 due to weak performance in its export API segment and slower than expected growth in domestic formulations.
- However, interest costs declined significantly due to lower debt levels and the company's decision to demerge its pharmaceutical business from other businesses is expected to unlock value by allowing each business to focus on its core operations.
- The analyst maintains a 'Buy' rating and has set a target price of Rs. 74 per share based on separate valuations of the demerged pharmaceutical and API businesses as well as the company's land assets.
Steel Authority of India reported a 1.7% decline in EBITDA to Rs. 1,843 cr for the first quarter of FY2011, below Angel Research's estimate, due to lower sales volume and higher staff costs. Net profit declined 11.3% to Rs. 1,177 cr for the same reasons. While steel prices increased, sales volume fell 15.5% from a year ago. Staff costs rose sharply due to additional provisions for employee benefits. Going forward, the company is expected to benefit from strong domestic demand, but capacity expansion benefits will only be seen after FY2012. Angel Research maintains a Neutral rating on the stock.
1) For 1QFY2011, Punj Lloyd posted disappointing results with net sales declining 41.7% year-over-year. Operating profits declined 56.1% and the company reported a net loss of Rs 30.6 crore.
2) The top-line was lower than expected, leading the company to downgrade its FY2011 and FY2012 revenue estimates. Problem orders like Ensus and Heera are now out of the picture.
3) While past performance was weak, the outlook is more positive as slow-moving orders have picked up and most challenges are now behind the company. With many negatives priced in, the analyst maintains a "Buy" rating on expectations of improved performance in F
CESC reported a 33.7% year-over-year growth in revenue for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011, driven by the commissioning of its new 250MW Budge-Budge power plant. However, operating margins declined from the previous quarter due to a 90.6% year-over-year increase in other expenses. While revenue beat estimates, net profit growth was moderate at 4.8% year-over-year due to higher expenditure, growing at a faster pace than revenues. The company continues construction on its 600MW Chandrapur and Haldia power projects.
Ceat reported its results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011. While the company's net sales grew 15.4% year-over-year to Rs. 778 crore, its operating profit declined 61% to Rs. 41 crore due to a sharp rise in raw material prices. The operating margin was 5.3% compared to 15.4% in the prior year quarter. Net profit fell 77% to Rs. 13.9 crore. However, results were marginally better than expected. The analyst maintains a 'Buy' rating on Ceat based on strong demand fundamentals in the tyre industry and expectations that margins will recover as the business model shifts towards more capital-intensive radial tyres.
Oriental Bank of Commerce reported a 41.1% rise in net profit for the quarter compared to the same period last year. Net interest income grew 118.4% on strong loan growth of 20.3% and deposit growth of 19.8%. Asset quality was stable with gross and net NPA ratios of 1.7% and 0.7% respectively. The bank upgraded its target price for OBC stock to Rs. 409 based on improved near-term net interest margins and asset quality.
Bajaj Auto reported marginally lower-than-expected results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2012, with net sales growth of 22.8% year-over-year driven by a 17.7% increase in volumes. However, operating margins contracted by 145 basis points quarter-over-quarter to 19.1% due to a 150 basis point increase in raw material costs. As a result, net profit grew by 20.5% year-over-year to ₹711 crore, which was slightly below analyst estimates. Going forward, the analyst expects further margin pressure and has revised downward its earnings estimates for fiscal years 2012 and 2013 to factor in higher raw material costs and changes to export incentives.
Bajaj Auto reported strong results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011. The company's top line was marginally above expectations, driven by a 70% year-over-year increase in total volumes. EBITDA margins expanded slightly by 50 basis points year-over-year to 20%. Net profit increased 101% year-over-year to Rs590 crore, beating estimates, aided by higher other income and improved operating leverage. Overall, robust volume growth and margin expansion led to better-than-expected financial performance during the quarter.
- Alembic reported lower than expected sales and profits for 1QFY2011 due to weak performance in its export API segment and slower than expected growth in domestic formulations.
- However, interest costs declined significantly due to lower debt levels and the company's decision to demerge its pharmaceutical business from other businesses is expected to unlock value by allowing each business to focus on its core operations.
- The analyst maintains a 'Buy' rating and has set a target price of Rs. 74 per share based on separate valuations of the demerged pharmaceutical and API businesses as well as the company's land assets.
Steel Authority of India reported a 1.7% decline in EBITDA to Rs. 1,843 cr for the first quarter of FY2011, below Angel Research's estimate, due to lower sales volume and higher staff costs. Net profit declined 11.3% to Rs. 1,177 cr for the same reasons. While steel prices increased, sales volume fell 15.5% from a year ago. Staff costs rose sharply due to additional provisions for employee benefits. Going forward, the company is expected to benefit from strong domestic demand, but capacity expansion benefits will only be seen after FY2012. Angel Research maintains a Neutral rating on the stock.
1) For 1QFY2011, Punj Lloyd posted disappointing results with net sales declining 41.7% year-over-year. Operating profits declined 56.1% and the company reported a net loss of Rs 30.6 crore.
2) The top-line was lower than expected, leading the company to downgrade its FY2011 and FY2012 revenue estimates. Problem orders like Ensus and Heera are now out of the picture.
3) While past performance was weak, the outlook is more positive as slow-moving orders have picked up and most challenges are now behind the company. With many negatives priced in, the analyst maintains a "Buy" rating on expectations of improved performance in F
CESC reported a 33.7% year-over-year growth in revenue for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011, driven by the commissioning of its new 250MW Budge-Budge power plant. However, operating margins declined from the previous quarter due to a 90.6% year-over-year increase in other expenses. While revenue beat estimates, net profit growth was moderate at 4.8% year-over-year due to higher expenditure, growing at a faster pace than revenues. The company continues construction on its 600MW Chandrapur and Haldia power projects.
Ceat reported its results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011. While the company's net sales grew 15.4% year-over-year to Rs. 778 crore, its operating profit declined 61% to Rs. 41 crore due to a sharp rise in raw material prices. The operating margin was 5.3% compared to 15.4% in the prior year quarter. Net profit fell 77% to Rs. 13.9 crore. However, results were marginally better than expected. The analyst maintains a 'Buy' rating on Ceat based on strong demand fundamentals in the tyre industry and expectations that margins will recover as the business model shifts towards more capital-intensive radial tyres.
Oriental Bank of Commerce reported a 41.1% rise in net profit for the quarter compared to the same period last year. Net interest income grew 118.4% on strong loan growth of 20.3% and deposit growth of 19.8%. Asset quality was stable with gross and net NPA ratios of 1.7% and 0.7% respectively. The bank upgraded its target price for OBC stock to Rs. 409 based on improved near-term net interest margins and asset quality.
Bajaj Auto reported marginally lower-than-expected results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2012, with net sales growth of 22.8% year-over-year driven by a 17.7% increase in volumes. However, operating margins contracted by 145 basis points quarter-over-quarter to 19.1% due to a 150 basis point increase in raw material costs. As a result, net profit grew by 20.5% year-over-year to ₹711 crore, which was slightly below analyst estimates. Going forward, the analyst expects further margin pressure and has revised downward its earnings estimates for fiscal years 2012 and 2013 to factor in higher raw material costs and changes to export incentives.
Bajaj Auto reported strong results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011. The company's top line was marginally above expectations, driven by a 70% year-over-year increase in total volumes. EBITDA margins expanded slightly by 50 basis points year-over-year to 20%. Net profit increased 101% year-over-year to Rs590 crore, beating estimates, aided by higher other income and improved operating leverage. Overall, robust volume growth and margin expansion led to better-than-expected financial performance during the quarter.
Automotive Axles (AAL) posted strong results for the third quarter of 2010, with net sales up 198% year-over-year to Rs196 crore, above estimates. Operating profit margin increased 252 basis points to 14% due to improved operating leverage. Net profit increased 442% to Rs14.6 crore, beating estimates on higher margins. The company benefited from an 80% year-over-year increase in medium and heavy commercial vehicle volumes, which account for 95% of its revenue. The analyst maintains a "Buy" rating, expecting continued recovery in commercial vehicle demand to drive robust earnings growth over the next two years.
PTC India reported a 5.4% year-over-year increase in top-line for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2010, however bottom-line declined 10.7% due to a 26.5% reduction in other income and a 39.2% rise in taxes. While sales volumes grew 46.7% year-over-year, average realizations declined 28% due to falling power prices. Operating profit increased 120.1% on a 40 basis point expansion in margins. The analyst maintains a buy recommendation based on an expected positive impact from new trading margin regulations and a fair value estimate of Rs136 per share.
Maruti Suzuki reported poor performance for 1QFY2011. Net sales came in marginally below estimates due to lower export realization. Operating profit was substantially impacted by a large contraction in operating margins. Higher royalty charges and increased input costs hurt operating performance. Net profit declined significantly year-over-year and missed estimates due to lower export realization, margin contraction, and higher costs.
CESC reported a 2.1% year-over-year growth in net sales to Rs770cr in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2010, aided by a 1.7% increase in sales volume. The company's operating profit margin improved by 409 basis points to 26% during the quarter, helping net profit rise by 6.4% to Rs100cr. For the full fiscal year 2010, CESC's top-line grew by 8% to Rs3,351cr while bottom-line increased 5.6% to Rs433cr. The analyst maintained a "Buy" recommendation on the stock based on its fiscal year 2012 estimated price-to-earnings ratio of 7.4x and price-to-
Exide Industries reported a 35.1% increase in net profit for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011. Net sales grew 27.5% due to a substantial increase in both original equipment and replacement auto battery sales. While raw material costs increased, operating margins improved on a quarter-over-quarter basis due to a decline in other expenditures and average lead prices. The analyst maintains an "Accumulate" rating for Exide Industries due to reasonable valuations and expectations for continued double-digit revenue and earnings growth over the next two fiscal years.
Simplex Infrastructures posted lackluster 1QFY2011 results with 5.8% revenue growth and operating margins of 10.4%, below analyst expectations. The company's order backlog remains robust at Rs.12,262 crore. While the results were disappointing, the company maintains guidance of 15-20% revenue growth for FY2011. The analyst maintains a Buy rating due to Simplex's diversified order backlog and comfortable balance sheet to fund investments, but lowers the target price to Rs.573 based on a lower forward P/E multiple.
JK Lakshmi Cement (JKLC) reported a 1,663bp year-over-year decline in operating margin to 17.4% in the first quarter of fiscal year 2011 due to an 8.7% fall in realizations and a 36% increase in power and fuel costs. Net profit declined 78.6% year-over-year to Rs. 17 crore. The analyst maintains a "Buy" rating on JKLC, revising the target price to Rs. 92, expecting the company to face relatively less pricing pressure due to its concentration in high-growth northern and eastern regions and benefit from increasing captive power capacity.
Exide Industries reported a 35.1% increase in net profit for 1QFY2011 compared to the previous year. Net sales grew 27.5% year-over-year to Rs1,152 crore, exceeding estimates. Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margins improved from the previous quarter due to a decline in other expenditures. The analyst maintains an "Accumulate" rating for Exide Industries due to reasonable valuations and expects net sales and profit to grow annually over the next two years.
1) Finolex Cables reported a 50.4% year-over-year increase in net sales to Rs. 493.1 crore for the first quarter of FY2011, driven by strong growth in the electrical cables segment.
2) Operating margins declined to 8% from 15.2% in the prior year quarter due to higher raw material costs, though margins improved sequentially.
3) Net profit increased 4.5% year-over-year to Rs. 23 crore for the quarter despite margin pressure, with sales growth offsetting higher costs.
Nagarjuna Construction Company (NCC) reported disappointing 1QFY2011 results with revenues growing only 8.5% year-over-year, below expectations. Operating margins were in line with estimates at 9.7% however. The company maintained full-year revenue guidance of Rs5,800cr. NCC has a strong order backlog of Rs16,051cr, providing revenue visibility. While results were below estimates, management sees potential in its diversified operations and order backlog. The stock remains undervalued and analysts maintain a "Buy" rating given growth opportunities.
Bajaj Electricals reported a 35.2% year-over-year growth in net sales for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011, driven by strong growth in lighting and consumer durables. However, operating margins declined to 8.4% from 10% in the previous year due to higher raw material costs. Net profit increased 37.3% despite a decline in operating margins, aided by lower interest costs. Management expects sales growth of over 20% for fiscal year 2011 but anticipates pressure on margins to continue in the next quarter before improving in the second half of the year.
Elecon Engineering reported a 15% rise in revenue for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011. While operating margins declined slightly, profit grew 57% due to a 32% drop in interest costs. The company has a robust order backlog of Rs1,582 crore, offering high revenue visibility. Going forward, recovery in the industrial sector and opportunities in material handling equipment are expected to drive continued growth for Elecon Engineering.
Ashok Leyland reported a 157% year-over-year growth in net sales for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011, driven by a 178% increase in vehicle volumes. However, operating profit margins of 10% were lower than expected due to lower growth in other business segments like engines and spare parts. Net profit jumped substantially to Rs. 123 crore compared to Rs. 7.8 crore in the prior year quarter, benefiting from higher sales volume and improved operating leverage. While volumes and sales grew strongly, margins were lower than estimates due to higher raw material costs and lower contribution from other business segments.
1) HCC reported a 13.6% increase in net sales to Rs.995.4 crore for 1QFY2011, in line with Angel Research estimates. Operating profit grew 9.3% to Rs.125.8 crore.
2) Net profit increased 55.6% to Rs.28.3 crore, marginally ahead of estimates due to higher operating margins and lower taxes.
3) Angel Research maintains a Neutral view on HCC, valuing it at Rs.126/share on an SOTP basis, with limited upside from current levels given its valuation of 36.5x FY2012 EPS.
For the fourth quarter of 2010, TVS Motor reported net sales of Rs. 1,216 crore, up 33.7% year-over-year due to a 27.8% increase in volumes and 8.7% increase in realizations. Operating margins expanded 118 basis points due to a 416 basis point drop in raw material costs. Net profit was Rs. 20.3 crore, up 38.9% year-over-year. Going forward, TVS Motor expects to improve market share following new product launches but faces competitive pressures. The analyst maintains a neutral rating due to recent stock price appreciation and TVS Motor's inconsistent performance history.
MPL Result Update 4qfy2010-030510-finalAngel Broking
Madhucon Projects reported disappointing results for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2010 that were below expectations. While revenue grew robustly due to higher subcontracting in the power segment, operating margins hit a historical low of 6.4% due to the heavy subcontracting. The analyst maintains a "Buy" rating but lowers the target price to Rs. 190 per share based on revised estimates factoring in lower margins and a higher holding company discount applied to the valuation of Madhucon Infra subsidiary. Near-term revenue visibility comes from existing power segment orders but margins are expected to remain under pressure from ongoing subcontracting.
1) For 1QCY2010, FAG Bearing reported a 25.2% year-over-year growth in net sales to Rs237.4cr, in line with expectations. Operating margins declined by 417 basis points to 15.3% due to higher raw material costs.
2) Net profit grew 61.4% year-over-year to Rs22.5cr, with the company meeting performance expectations for the quarter.
3) The analyst maintains a "Buy" rating on the stock, with a target price of Rs712, as revenue growth is expected to be driven by new products and there is upside potential to earnings estimates if industrial production growth increases.
South Indian Bank reported net profits of Rs. 58 crore for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011, in line with analyst estimates. Business growth was strong, with advances growing 33.6% year-over-year and deposits growing 25.1% year-over-year. Asset quality remained stable with gross and net NPA ratios of 1.3% and 0.4% respectively. Operating expenses grew 47.1% sequentially but the bank plans to control expenses going forward. The analyst maintains a Neutral rating on the stock as it trades at 6.8 times estimated fiscal year 2012 earnings per share of Rs. 28.5 per share.
PTC India reported a 121.8% quarter-over-quarter growth in net revenue to Rs. 2,758 cr for 1QFY2011, driven by a 36.7% year-over-year increase in sales volume. Operating profit grew 194.2% qoq and 85.3% yoy to Rs. 28 cr due to higher trading margins. However, net profit declined 16.7% yoy to Rs. 28 cr due to lower other income and higher taxes. Going forward, the company expects further volume growth as new projects come online and higher trading margins will boost profits.
Motherson Sumi Systems (MSSL) reported a 32% year-over-year increase in net sales to Rs. 1,905 crores for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011, below expectations. Operating margins increased 370 basis points year-over-year to 9.8% but fell short of expectations and declined sequentially. Net profit for the quarter came in below expectations at Rs. 60 crores due to lower-than-expected revenue growth and margins. Management indicated input costs and currency impacts would be gradually passed on to customers, and the analyst maintains an 'Accumulate' rating while lowering the target price.
Ashok Leyland reported a 141.3% year-over-year growth in net sales to Rs2,939 crore for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2010, in line with expectations. Net profit grew 317.6% year-over-year to Rs222.7 crore, higher than expected due to better operating margins and a change in depreciation policy. Operating margins increased 345 basis points due to price hikes, lower raw material prices, and cost reduction efforts. The company expects commercial vehicle industry volumes to grow 15-18% in fiscal year 2011.
Bharat Forge reported strong results for 1QFY2011 with net sales growing 75.7% year-over-year to Rs 630.1 crore, beating estimates. Operating margins improved significantly to 25.2% due to lower raw material costs and higher utilization levels. Net profit was Rs 59.4 crore, exceeding expectations due to improved volumes and operating leverage. The analyst recommends accumulating the stock given the better-than-expected performance and revised upward estimates.
Automotive Axles (AAL) posted strong results for the third quarter of 2010, with net sales up 198% year-over-year to Rs196 crore, above estimates. Operating profit margin increased 252 basis points to 14% due to improved operating leverage. Net profit increased 442% to Rs14.6 crore, beating estimates on higher margins. The company benefited from an 80% year-over-year increase in medium and heavy commercial vehicle volumes, which account for 95% of its revenue. The analyst maintains a "Buy" rating, expecting continued recovery in commercial vehicle demand to drive robust earnings growth over the next two years.
PTC India reported a 5.4% year-over-year increase in top-line for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2010, however bottom-line declined 10.7% due to a 26.5% reduction in other income and a 39.2% rise in taxes. While sales volumes grew 46.7% year-over-year, average realizations declined 28% due to falling power prices. Operating profit increased 120.1% on a 40 basis point expansion in margins. The analyst maintains a buy recommendation based on an expected positive impact from new trading margin regulations and a fair value estimate of Rs136 per share.
Maruti Suzuki reported poor performance for 1QFY2011. Net sales came in marginally below estimates due to lower export realization. Operating profit was substantially impacted by a large contraction in operating margins. Higher royalty charges and increased input costs hurt operating performance. Net profit declined significantly year-over-year and missed estimates due to lower export realization, margin contraction, and higher costs.
CESC reported a 2.1% year-over-year growth in net sales to Rs770cr in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2010, aided by a 1.7% increase in sales volume. The company's operating profit margin improved by 409 basis points to 26% during the quarter, helping net profit rise by 6.4% to Rs100cr. For the full fiscal year 2010, CESC's top-line grew by 8% to Rs3,351cr while bottom-line increased 5.6% to Rs433cr. The analyst maintained a "Buy" recommendation on the stock based on its fiscal year 2012 estimated price-to-earnings ratio of 7.4x and price-to-
Exide Industries reported a 35.1% increase in net profit for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011. Net sales grew 27.5% due to a substantial increase in both original equipment and replacement auto battery sales. While raw material costs increased, operating margins improved on a quarter-over-quarter basis due to a decline in other expenditures and average lead prices. The analyst maintains an "Accumulate" rating for Exide Industries due to reasonable valuations and expectations for continued double-digit revenue and earnings growth over the next two fiscal years.
Simplex Infrastructures posted lackluster 1QFY2011 results with 5.8% revenue growth and operating margins of 10.4%, below analyst expectations. The company's order backlog remains robust at Rs.12,262 crore. While the results were disappointing, the company maintains guidance of 15-20% revenue growth for FY2011. The analyst maintains a Buy rating due to Simplex's diversified order backlog and comfortable balance sheet to fund investments, but lowers the target price to Rs.573 based on a lower forward P/E multiple.
JK Lakshmi Cement (JKLC) reported a 1,663bp year-over-year decline in operating margin to 17.4% in the first quarter of fiscal year 2011 due to an 8.7% fall in realizations and a 36% increase in power and fuel costs. Net profit declined 78.6% year-over-year to Rs. 17 crore. The analyst maintains a "Buy" rating on JKLC, revising the target price to Rs. 92, expecting the company to face relatively less pricing pressure due to its concentration in high-growth northern and eastern regions and benefit from increasing captive power capacity.
Exide Industries reported a 35.1% increase in net profit for 1QFY2011 compared to the previous year. Net sales grew 27.5% year-over-year to Rs1,152 crore, exceeding estimates. Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margins improved from the previous quarter due to a decline in other expenditures. The analyst maintains an "Accumulate" rating for Exide Industries due to reasonable valuations and expects net sales and profit to grow annually over the next two years.
1) Finolex Cables reported a 50.4% year-over-year increase in net sales to Rs. 493.1 crore for the first quarter of FY2011, driven by strong growth in the electrical cables segment.
2) Operating margins declined to 8% from 15.2% in the prior year quarter due to higher raw material costs, though margins improved sequentially.
3) Net profit increased 4.5% year-over-year to Rs. 23 crore for the quarter despite margin pressure, with sales growth offsetting higher costs.
Nagarjuna Construction Company (NCC) reported disappointing 1QFY2011 results with revenues growing only 8.5% year-over-year, below expectations. Operating margins were in line with estimates at 9.7% however. The company maintained full-year revenue guidance of Rs5,800cr. NCC has a strong order backlog of Rs16,051cr, providing revenue visibility. While results were below estimates, management sees potential in its diversified operations and order backlog. The stock remains undervalued and analysts maintain a "Buy" rating given growth opportunities.
Bajaj Electricals reported a 35.2% year-over-year growth in net sales for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011, driven by strong growth in lighting and consumer durables. However, operating margins declined to 8.4% from 10% in the previous year due to higher raw material costs. Net profit increased 37.3% despite a decline in operating margins, aided by lower interest costs. Management expects sales growth of over 20% for fiscal year 2011 but anticipates pressure on margins to continue in the next quarter before improving in the second half of the year.
Elecon Engineering reported a 15% rise in revenue for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011. While operating margins declined slightly, profit grew 57% due to a 32% drop in interest costs. The company has a robust order backlog of Rs1,582 crore, offering high revenue visibility. Going forward, recovery in the industrial sector and opportunities in material handling equipment are expected to drive continued growth for Elecon Engineering.
Ashok Leyland reported a 157% year-over-year growth in net sales for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011, driven by a 178% increase in vehicle volumes. However, operating profit margins of 10% were lower than expected due to lower growth in other business segments like engines and spare parts. Net profit jumped substantially to Rs. 123 crore compared to Rs. 7.8 crore in the prior year quarter, benefiting from higher sales volume and improved operating leverage. While volumes and sales grew strongly, margins were lower than estimates due to higher raw material costs and lower contribution from other business segments.
1) HCC reported a 13.6% increase in net sales to Rs.995.4 crore for 1QFY2011, in line with Angel Research estimates. Operating profit grew 9.3% to Rs.125.8 crore.
2) Net profit increased 55.6% to Rs.28.3 crore, marginally ahead of estimates due to higher operating margins and lower taxes.
3) Angel Research maintains a Neutral view on HCC, valuing it at Rs.126/share on an SOTP basis, with limited upside from current levels given its valuation of 36.5x FY2012 EPS.
For the fourth quarter of 2010, TVS Motor reported net sales of Rs. 1,216 crore, up 33.7% year-over-year due to a 27.8% increase in volumes and 8.7% increase in realizations. Operating margins expanded 118 basis points due to a 416 basis point drop in raw material costs. Net profit was Rs. 20.3 crore, up 38.9% year-over-year. Going forward, TVS Motor expects to improve market share following new product launches but faces competitive pressures. The analyst maintains a neutral rating due to recent stock price appreciation and TVS Motor's inconsistent performance history.
MPL Result Update 4qfy2010-030510-finalAngel Broking
Madhucon Projects reported disappointing results for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2010 that were below expectations. While revenue grew robustly due to higher subcontracting in the power segment, operating margins hit a historical low of 6.4% due to the heavy subcontracting. The analyst maintains a "Buy" rating but lowers the target price to Rs. 190 per share based on revised estimates factoring in lower margins and a higher holding company discount applied to the valuation of Madhucon Infra subsidiary. Near-term revenue visibility comes from existing power segment orders but margins are expected to remain under pressure from ongoing subcontracting.
1) For 1QCY2010, FAG Bearing reported a 25.2% year-over-year growth in net sales to Rs237.4cr, in line with expectations. Operating margins declined by 417 basis points to 15.3% due to higher raw material costs.
2) Net profit grew 61.4% year-over-year to Rs22.5cr, with the company meeting performance expectations for the quarter.
3) The analyst maintains a "Buy" rating on the stock, with a target price of Rs712, as revenue growth is expected to be driven by new products and there is upside potential to earnings estimates if industrial production growth increases.
South Indian Bank reported net profits of Rs. 58 crore for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011, in line with analyst estimates. Business growth was strong, with advances growing 33.6% year-over-year and deposits growing 25.1% year-over-year. Asset quality remained stable with gross and net NPA ratios of 1.3% and 0.4% respectively. Operating expenses grew 47.1% sequentially but the bank plans to control expenses going forward. The analyst maintains a Neutral rating on the stock as it trades at 6.8 times estimated fiscal year 2012 earnings per share of Rs. 28.5 per share.
PTC India reported a 121.8% quarter-over-quarter growth in net revenue to Rs. 2,758 cr for 1QFY2011, driven by a 36.7% year-over-year increase in sales volume. Operating profit grew 194.2% qoq and 85.3% yoy to Rs. 28 cr due to higher trading margins. However, net profit declined 16.7% yoy to Rs. 28 cr due to lower other income and higher taxes. Going forward, the company expects further volume growth as new projects come online and higher trading margins will boost profits.
Motherson Sumi Systems (MSSL) reported a 32% year-over-year increase in net sales to Rs. 1,905 crores for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011, below expectations. Operating margins increased 370 basis points year-over-year to 9.8% but fell short of expectations and declined sequentially. Net profit for the quarter came in below expectations at Rs. 60 crores due to lower-than-expected revenue growth and margins. Management indicated input costs and currency impacts would be gradually passed on to customers, and the analyst maintains an 'Accumulate' rating while lowering the target price.
Ashok Leyland reported a 141.3% year-over-year growth in net sales to Rs2,939 crore for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2010, in line with expectations. Net profit grew 317.6% year-over-year to Rs222.7 crore, higher than expected due to better operating margins and a change in depreciation policy. Operating margins increased 345 basis points due to price hikes, lower raw material prices, and cost reduction efforts. The company expects commercial vehicle industry volumes to grow 15-18% in fiscal year 2011.
Bharat Forge reported strong results for 1QFY2011 with net sales growing 75.7% year-over-year to Rs 630.1 crore, beating estimates. Operating margins improved significantly to 25.2% due to lower raw material costs and higher utilization levels. Net profit was Rs 59.4 crore, exceeding expectations due to improved volumes and operating leverage. The analyst recommends accumulating the stock given the better-than-expected performance and revised upward estimates.
Tata Motors reported strong results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011. Consolidated net sales grew 65% year-over-year to Rs. 27,056 crore, driven by higher domestic and JLR volumes as well as a 27% increase in JLR realizations. Consolidated operating profit jumped 667% to Rs. 3,855 crore and operating margins increased substantially to 14.2% compared to 3.1% in the prior year period. However, standalone performance was marginally below expectations with net sales up 63% to Rs. 10,416 crore and net profit falling 23% to Rs. 396 crore due to lower other income. While volumes grew 48% driven by strong
IVRCL Infrastructure reported flat year-over-year revenue growth of 0.3% for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011, which was below analyst estimates. Operating profit increased slightly by 1.2% year-over-year, but net profit declined by 20.4% due to higher interest and tax expenses. Although top-line and bottom-line results disappointed, the analyst maintains a 'Buy' rating due to IVRCL's strong order backlog, which provides revenue visibility, and comfortable valuations.
Sadbhav Engineering reported a 42% increase in net sales and 83.8% increase in net profit for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011 compared to the previous year. The company saw robust growth due to a rise in order book over the last few quarters and has guided for over 35% revenue growth over the next 12 months. However, the analyst downgraded the stock to Reduce due to rich valuations and concerns over potential execution challenges due to a record high order backlog.
1) PVR reported strong revenue growth of 133% year-over-year for the first quarter of FY2011, aided by a low base and additional screens. Operating margins expanded significantly.
2) Net profit was Rs. 5.1 crore compared to a loss last year, helped by revenue growth, margin expansion, lower interest expenses and higher other income.
3) The analyst maintains a "Buy" rating on PVR stock due to strong expected growth rates over the next two years from additional screens and improving business metrics, with an increased target price of Rs. 199.
Jyoti Structures reported a 20.3% year-over-year growth in net profit to Rs. 25 crores for the fourth quarter of FY2010, slightly below estimates. Operating margins expanded more than expected by 235 basis points to 12.8% due to lower raw material costs. For the full year, net profit grew 15.3% to Rs. 92 crores on sales of Rs. 2,006 crores. The company maintained its buy recommendation with a target price of Rs. 215, citing the large investments planned for power transmission and the company's position as a top player in the industry.
Jagran Prakashan reported a 16% year-over-year increase in revenue for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011, aided by 18% growth in advertising revenue. Operating margins expanded significantly by 301 basis points year-over-year due to a 221 basis point increase in gross margins from lower newsprint prices and cost controls. However, earnings growth was lower at 12% due to a steep decline in other income compared to the prior year quarter. Going forward, the company expects advertising revenue growth of 17-18% for fiscal year 2011 and margin expansion, positioning it for strong earnings growth, though near-term quarters may be weaker without seasonal tailwinds.
Hindalco reported financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011. Net revenue increased 32.9% year-over-year to Rs. 5,146 crore, driven by higher aluminum and copper volumes and prices. EBITDA grew 9.9% to Rs. 832 crore while net profit increased 11.2% to Rs. 534 crore. Hindalco is expanding aluminum production capacity significantly over the next few years, which is expected to drive further revenue and profit growth. The analyst maintains a Buy recommendation on Hindalco shares.
Tech Mahindra reported a 4.2% quarter-over-quarter decline in revenue for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011, which was attributed to adverse currency movements and slower client decision making. The company's profitability declined as well, with earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margins contracting 480 basis points and net income declining 36.4% compared to the previous quarter. However, revenue grew 1.9% year-over-year and management expects growth to be led by strong volume increases from large transformational deals in the pipeline. While the outlook remains positive, uncertainties around currency fluctuations and aggressive hiring could pressure margins going forward.
TVS Motor reported a 41% increase in net sales for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011 compared to the same period last year, driven by a 33% rise in total volumes. However, operating profit was slightly below expectations due to lower-than-expected operating margins. While earnings grew substantially year-over-year due to margin expansion and lower taxes, the report maintains a neutral rating on the stock given its recent price increase. Future performance will depend on consistent volume growth, improved market share, and higher margins.
TCS reported strong financial results for the 1QFY2011 quarter that exceeded analyst estimates. Revenue grew 6.2% quarter-over-quarter to Rs. 8,217 crore, driven by an 8.1% increase in business volumes. Operating margins declined slightly due to wage increases and currency fluctuations impacting costs. Net profit declined 5.3% due to higher foreign exchange losses and taxes. The analyst maintains a positive outlook due to TCS's strong deal pipeline and hiring growth, but notes concerns around the European economic situation and currency movements. The stock is recommended as an "Accumulate" with a target price of Rs. 920.
The document provides an analysis of Consolidated Construction Consortium's (CCCL) 4QFY2010 results and outlook. Some key points:
- CCCL reported 33.2% revenue growth for 4QFY2010 inline with estimates, but order inflow for FY2010 was below expectations at Rs2,166cr.
- The company's current order book stands at Rs3,392cr, providing 1.4x revenue visibility for FY2011, which is lower than peers.
- The analyst expects 19.2% revenue CAGR for CCCL over FY2010-2012 on the back of its order book and recovery in private capex.
- C
Bharat Forge (BFL) reported a 92.8% year-over-year growth in standalone net sales for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2010, exceeding expectations. Operating margins improved substantially to 22.8% due to lower raw material costs and operating leverage. BFL recorded a net profit of Rs. 61.3 crore for the quarter, above estimates. At the consolidated level, BFL reported a 46.7% year-over-year increase in revenues for the fourth quarter and completed the process of restructuring its global subsidiaries.
HUL reported disappointing 1QFY2011 results, with profits declining 4% due to a 34% rise in advertising spending. While revenue grew 7% driven by 11% volume growth, operating margins contracted significantly by 289 basis points. Higher competitive intensity in categories like detergents and soaps drove the increase in advertising. Weak profit growth and uncertain earnings outlook despite modest revenue growth lead us to maintain a reduce rating on the stock.
JP Associates reported a 51.8% year-over-year increase in net sales for the first quarter of FY2011, driven by strong growth in the cement, construction, and real estate verticals. However, operating margins declined significantly from 28% to 21.2% due to margin pressure, resulting in a 57.6% decrease in recurring earnings. While reported profits were up 5% due to exceptional gains, underlying earnings were down. The analyst maintains a buy rating but expects margins to recover, and forecasts JP Associates will become one of the fastest growing conglomerates in cement, power, and real estate.
Hindalco reported strong results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011. Revenue grew 29.2% year-over-year to Rs. 2,533 crore, driven by a 12.7% increase in aluminum shipments. Adjusted EBITDA more than doubled to Rs. 263 crore, resulting in adjusted EBITDA margins of 10.4%. However, net profit declined 65% to Rs. 50 crore due to higher interest and tax expenses. Management expects continued growth in demand and benefits from capacity expansions. The stock currently trades at attractive valuations and the analyst maintains a Buy rating with a target price of Rs. 204.
Rallis India reported 1QFY2011 results that were below expectations due to lower-than-estimated EBITDA margins of 11.6%, despite revenue growth of 21.8% that exceeded estimates. While revenue growth was driven by strong domestic demand and export revival, higher other expenses restricted improvement in operating margins. Looking ahead, management expects industry growth of 10-12% in FY2011 on expectations of normal monsoons, and the company is positioned to outpace industry growth. However, the brokerage maintains a Neutral rating given margins were below estimates and the stock is trading at fair valuations.
FAG Bearing recorded strong results for the second quarter of 2010, with net sales growing 35% year-over-year to Rs. 273 crore, beating estimates. Operating profit increased 66% to Rs. 52 crore due to lower raw material costs and improved operating leverage. Net profit surged 82% to Rs. 33.8 crore, aided by robust top-line growth and lower taxes. The analyst maintains a "Buy" rating and revised earnings estimates upward based on the company's solid performance.
The Indian markets are expected to open higher, tracking gains in most Asian markets. Spain has asked for a bailout of up to €100 billion for its banking system. Chinese exports grew more than expected in May. In India, shares extended gains for a fifth session despite weak global cues as major central banks held off on additional stimulus. The key support and resistance levels for the Nifty are 5,023 and 5,114 respectively. L&T has bagged orders worth Rs. 483 crore to build commercial vessels in Qatar. Vedanta Resources has acquired a 24.5% stake in Raykal Aluminium for Rs. 201 crore.
Axis Bank reported a 27.0% year-over-year increase in net profit to Rs. 942 crore for the first quarter of fiscal year 2012, in line with analyst estimates. Business growth momentum slowed as advances declined 7.4% quarter-over-quarter and deposits fell 3.0% quarter-over-quarter, moderating the bank's cash-deposit ratio to 40.5% from 41.1% last quarter. However, asset quality remained healthy with slippage ratio declining to 0.8% and gross and net NPA ratios stable.
1) For 1QFY2012, Electrosteel Castings reported 16.4% sales growth but margins declined due to higher raw material costs. EBITDA fell 18.2% and net profit declined 7.2%.
2) While sales volumes grew, costs increased more due to a rise in raw material costs as a percentage of sales.
3) The company maintains a buy recommendation due to initiatives in steelmaking and backward integration that should lower costs starting in FY2013 and valuation remains attractive.
1) For 1QFY2012, Persistent Systems reported revenues of ₹224 crore, up 5.2% over the previous quarter and 23.6% over the same period last year.
2) EBITDA was ₹40 crore, up 5.3% over the previous quarter but margins declined.
3) PAT was ₹28 crore, down 16.8% over the previous quarter due to higher taxes.
4) Management maintained revenue guidance of 29% growth for FY2012 and expects PAT to remain flat despite higher tax rates.
HT Media reported a 22.7% year-over-year increase in revenue to ₹494 crore for the first quarter of FY2012. Revenue was also up 5.8% quarter-over-quarter. Advertising revenue grew 17% year-over-year, with 18% growth in English and 15% growth in Hindi. Operating profit rose 11.8% year-over-year to ₹87.8 crore due to higher other income and lower tax rates, although operating margins contracted by 174 basis points. The company maintained its Accumulate rating based on expectations of continued revenue growth and margin expansion.
The summary is:
1) The derivative report analyzes the performance of the Nifty futures, options, and key stocks from the previous trading session on July 18, 2011.
2) It provides details on changes in open interest, premium levels, volatility, and turnover for various derivatives contracts.
3) Trading strategies and technical analysis is also given for some stocks along with risk-reward profiles of sample spreads trades for the Nifty.
The market ended lower, with the Sensex and Nifty closing down 0.3%. Mid- and small-cap indices closed higher. Select heavyweights like Hindalco Industries and BHEL gained 1-3%, while TCS and Tata Motors lost 1-2%. In corporate news, Motherson Sumi Systems agreed to acquire an 80% stake in Peguform for €141.5 million. HDFC Bank, Cadila Healthcare, Crompton Greaves, and Ashok Leyland are scheduled to announce their quarterly results. The trend for the day will be decided by whether Nifty trades above or below the levels of 18,533/5,572 in early trade.
- GSM subscriber additions in India continued their declining trend in June 2011, with net additions of 9.6 million, down 10% from the previous month.
- All major operators except BSNL reported a drop in subscriber additions. Bharti and Vodafone each added 2.1 million subscribers.
- The total GSM subscriber base reached 598.8 million in June 2011, with Bharti, Vodafone, Idea and BSNL maintaining their major market shares.
The document provides a technical analysis of the Indian stock market indices Sensex and Nifty for the week of July 16, 2011. It summarizes that the indices declined over 1.5% for the week and are currently trading in a range between 18,326/5496 on the downside and 19,132/5740 on the upside. It notes that a break above or below this range would dictate the direction of the upcoming trend. The analysis also lists pivot levels for 50 Nifty stocks to watch in the coming week.
The document provides a summary of derivative market activity in India for July 18, 2011. Key points include:
- Nifty futures open interest increased 0.67% while Mini Nifty increased 3.48% as the market closed at 5581.10
- Nifty July futures closed at a premium of 5.85 points and August futures at a premium of 22.60 points
- Implied volatility of at-the-money options decreased from 18% to 17.3%
- Total open interest in the market was Rs. 135,158 crore with stock futures open interest at Rs. 34,675 crore.
The indices opened flat but traded choppily throughout the day. Metal, auto and realty stocks declined while IT stocks gained. The indices are currently trading in a range between 18,326-18,810/5496-5653 on the downside and 19,132-19,094/5740-5700 on the upside. A break above these resistance levels could lead to further gains while a break below support could result in losses extending to 17,805-17,950/5350-5400. Pivot levels for 50 Nifty stocks are provided.
- The key Indian stock indices declined slightly, with the Sensex and Nifty closing down 0.3%.
- GSM subscriber additions in India continued their declining trend in June across most major operators such as Idea, Bharti Airtel, and Vodafone. Total GSM subscriber addition was 9.6 million, down 10% from the previous month.
- Tata Motors reported flat annual global sales growth in June 2011 compared to the previous year.
- South Indian Bank reported a 41.2% year-over-year increase in net profit to Rs. 82 crores for the first quarter of fiscal year 2012, slightly below analyst estimates.
- Business growth remained strong, with advances growth of 31.2% and deposits growth of 35.5% year-over-year. However, net interest margins compressed by 29 basis points sequentially to 2.8% due to a sharp rise in the bank's cost of deposits.
- Non-interest income was boosted by treasury gains, but fee income growth was modest. Asset quality was stable with gross and net NPAs rising marginally, and provision coverage at a comfortable 73.1%.
1) Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) reported strong results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2012, outperforming expectations with revenue growth of 6.3% over the previous quarter and 31.4% over the same quarter of the previous fiscal year.
2) A key highlight was 7.4% quarter-over-quarter growth in business volumes. While profit margins declined due to wage hikes, net profit remained flat due to foreign exchange gains.
3) Management maintained a positive outlook, highlighting strong demand environment and deal pipeline, and expects pricing increases later in the fiscal year.
The document summarizes the Indian stock market outlook and performance on July 15, 2011. It reports that domestic indices closed with modest gains of 0.1-0.4%, while global indices declined. Wholesale price inflation in India rose to 9.44% in June 2011, above estimates and persisting above 9% for seven months, driven by increases in primary articles and fuel costs. Key benchmark levels are identified for determining if the market may continue rallying or correct in the near term.
The summary is:
1) The derivative report analyzes the movement in Nifty futures, options, and individual stocks between July 14-15, 2011.
2) Nifty futures open interest decreased while mini Nifty open interest increased as the market closed at 5599.80.
3) Implied volatility of at-the-money options increased from 17.6% to 18%.
The Sensex and Nifty indices opened lower and traded with volatility, closing marginally lower. On the sectoral front, Realty, Banks and Healthcare gained while IT and FMCG fell. The advance-decline ratio favored advancing stocks. On the daily chart, prices tested but did not close above the downward gap area of 18,679-18,589/5,601-5,580 levels. Immediate resistance is seen at 18,735/5,633, while 18,449/5,541 is crucial support.
1) Infosys reported modest revenue growth of 3.2% qoq for 1QFY2012. EBITDA and margins declined due to wage hikes.
2) Guidance for 2QFY2012 revenue growth was lower than expected at 3.5-5% qoq. Annual revenue growth guidance was unchanged.
3) The analyst revised EPS estimates down and cut the target price to INR 3,200 due to macro concerns and muted guidance.
This document summarizes a derivative report from India Research dated July 13, 2011. Some key points:
- The Nifty futures open interest increased 0.51% while Minifty futures open interest rose 8.2% as the market closed at 5526.15.
- Implied volatility of at-the-money options increased from 18% to 19.75%. PCR-OI decreased from 1.20 to 1.15.
- Total open interest of the market is Rs. 125,816 crore and stock futures open interest is Rs. 33,500 crore.
- FII were net sellers of Rs. 969 crore in the cash market segment. Put-call
The daily technical report provides the following information:
1) The Sensex and Nifty indexes opened with a downside gap and remained negative throughout the day, with the realty, IT, and auto sectors among the major losers.
2) On the daily chart, the indexes tested the 20-day simple moving average for support and closed above it, while the RSI and ADX indicators show a negative crossover.
3) The report recommends selling REL. INFRA. futures with a stop loss of Rs. 579.05 and target of Rs. 552.00.
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“Amidst Tempered Optimism” Main economic trends in May 2024 based on the results of the New Monthly Enterprises Survey, #NRES
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Subros
1. 1QFY2011 Result Update | Auto Ancillary
August 2, 2010
Subros BUY
CMP Rs50
Performance Highlights Target Price Rs60
Y/E March (Rs cr) 1QFY11 1QFY10 % chg (yoy) 4QFY10 % chg (qoq) Investment Period 12 Months
Net Sales 234.0 209.6 11.6 249.4 (6.2)
Operating Profit 21.2 18.1 17.3 26.2 (19.0) Stock Info
OPM (%) 9.1 8.6 44 10.5 (143) Sector Auto Ancillary
Reported PAT 7.1 3.3 117.1 9.0 (21.1) Market Cap (Rs cr) 301
Source: Company, Angel Research Beta 1.4
52 Week High / Low 53/29
Subros reported decent performance for 1QFY2011, aided by healthy growth in
Avg. Daily Volume 113,907
volumes. Average realisation however, registered a marginal decline yoy. Net
Face Value (Rs) 2
profit jumped substantially on a low base and due to expansion on the operating
BSE Sensex 18,081
margin front. We maintain a Buy on the stock.
Nifty 5,432
Overall performance marginally below expectation: For 1QFY2011, Subros Reuters Code SUBR.BO
clocked 11.6% jump in net sales to Rs234cr (Rs210cr), which was marginally Bloomberg Code SUBR@IN
below our expectation. Top-line increased primarily on the back of the 13.8%
growth in volumes. For 1QFY2011, Subros registered a marginal 44bp yoy
expansion in EBITDA margins on account of the 306bp yoy dip in raw material Shareholding Pattern (%)
costs. Input costs fell due to the ongoing localised procurement of raw materials Promoters 40.0
by the company. Net profit spiked by 117% yoy to Rs7.1cr (Rs3.3cr) during the MF / Banks / Indian Fls 10.8
quarter on a low base, robust volume growth and low raw material costs. FII / NRIs / OCBs 26.7
Indian Public / Others 22.5
Outlook and Valuation: We estimate the company’s volumes to post a CAGR of
around 15% over the next two years, considering the increasing requirements of
its OEM customers like Maruti and Tata Motors, and potential new client wins Abs. (%) 3m 1yr 3yr
from the passenger vehicle (PV) and commercial vehicle (CV) segments. However, Sensex 3.0 15.4 20.7
we expect realisations to be stable or decline marginally due to the aggressive Subros 5.5 63.9 10.4
pricing adopted by the OEMs. Thus, we estimate the company to clock EPS of Rs5
for FY2011E and Rs6 for FY2012E. At the CMP, the stock is trading at 8.3x
FY2012E earnings. We maintain a Buy on the stock, with a Target Price of Rs60.
Key Financials
Y/E March (Rs cr) FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E
Net Sales 694 905 990 1,119
% chg 4.8 30.4 9.4 13.0
Net Profits 13.4 27.7 30.0 36.2
% chg (53.2) 106.8 8.0 20.8
OPM (%) 9.1 10.3 10.0 10.2
EPS (Rs) 2.2 4.6 5.0 6.0
P/E (x) 22.4 10.9 10.0 8.3 Vaishali Jajoo
P/BV (x) 1.6 1.5 1.3 1.2 022-4040 3800 Ext: 344
RoE (%) 7.5 14.2 13.7 14.8 vaishali.jajoo@angeltrade.com
RoCE (%) 10.1 15.5 14.8 16.6
EV/Sales (x) 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 Yaresh Kothari
022-4040 3800 Ext: 313
EV/EBITDA (x) 6.7 4.8 4.4 3.3 yareshb.kothari@angeltrade.com
Source: Company, Angel Research
Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report 1
2. Subros | 1QFY2011 Result Update
Exhibit 1: Quarterly performance
Y/E Mar (Rs cr) 1QFY11 1QFY10 % chg FY10 FY09 % chg
Net Sales 234.0 209.6 11.6 905.5 694.5 30.4
Consumption of RM 173.1 161.5 7.2 671.9 516.4 30.1
(% of Sales) 74.0 77.0 74.2 74.4
Staff Costs 15.4 11.8 31.1 54.5 44.2 23.3
(% of Sales) 6.6 5.6 6.0 6.4
Other Expenses 24.3 18.3 32.7 86.2 70.8 21.7
(% of Sales) 10.4 8.7 9.5 10.2
Total Expenditure 212.8 191.5 11.1 812.5 631.3 28.7
Operating Profit 21.2 18.1 17.3 93.0 63.2 47.2
OPM (%) 9.1 8.6 10.3 9.1
Interest 3.7 4.6 (18.4) 16.0 14.6 9.9
Depreciation 9.5 9.5 (0.1) 38.6 31.6 22.4
Other Income 0.3 0.3 (10.0) 1.1 1.6 (26.9)
PBT (excl. Extr. Items) 8.0 4.0 99.7 38.4 17.0 125.3
Extr. Income/(Expense) - - - - - -
PBT (incl. Extr. Items) 8.2 4.3 92.1 39.5 18.6 112.5
(% of Sales) 3.5 2.0 4.4 2.7
Provision for Taxation 1.1 1.0 10.9 11.8 5.2 127.5
(% of PBT) 0.5 0.5 1.3 0.7
Reported PAT 7.1 3.3 117.1 27.7 13.4 106.8
PATM (%) 3.0 1.6 3.1 1.9
Equity shares (cr) 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0
EPS (Rs) 1.2 0.5 117.1 4.6 2.2 106.8
Source: Company, Angel Research
Net sales up 11.6%, marginally below expectation: For 1QFY2011, Subros
clocked 11.6% jump in net sales to Rs234cr (Rs210cr), which was marginally
below our expectation. Top-line increased primarily on the back of the 13.8%
growth in volumes. Average realisation however, fell marginally by 1.9% yoy.
Subros sold around 195,417 (171,699) AC units in 1QFY2011.
Exhibit 2: Volumes up 13.8% yoy Exhibit 3: Realisations drops marginally
(units) Volume (LHS) Volume Growth (RHS) (%) (Rs) Net Realisation (LHS) Net Realisation Growth (RHS) (%)
225,000 60 12,500 15
48.5 13.2
12.0
12,000
10
150,000 40
11,500 7.3
5
11,000
75,000 20 1.4
15.8 14.2 0
10,500
11.5 13.8
(1.9)
0 0 10,000 (5)
1QFY10 2QFY10 3QFY10 4QFY10 1QFY11 1QFY10 2QFY10 3QFY10 4QFY10 1QFY11
Source: Company, Angel Research Source: Company, Angel Research
August 2, 2010 2
3. Subros | 1QFY2011 Result Update
Margins expand by 44bp to 9.1%: For 1QFY2010, Subros registered a marginal
44bp yoy expansion in EBITDA margins on account of the 306bp yoy dip in raw
material costs, which as a percentage of sales, stood at 74% (77%). Input costs
registered a decline owing to the ongoing localised procurement of raw materials
by the company and favourable currency movement (especially rupee and yen).
Staff costs and other expenditure however, increased by 100bp and 165bp yoy
respectively, during the quarter.
Exhibit 4: Dip in raw material cost boosts EBITDA margins Exhibit 5: Net profit rises 117%, due to base effect
(%) EBITDA Margin Raw Material Cost/Sales (Rs cr) Net Profit (LHS) Net Profit Margin (RHS) (%)
100 10 6
77.0 74.0
80 73.4 73.3 73.3 8
3.6 4
60 6
3.8
3.1
40 4 3.0
2
1.6
20 8.6 10.6 11.3 10.5 9.1 2
0 0 0
1QFY10 2QFY10 3QFY10 4QFY10 1QFY11 1QFY10 2QFY10 3QFY10 4QFY10 1QFY11
Source: Company, Angel Research Source: Company, Angel Research
Net profit jumps substantially on low base: Net profit spiked 117% yoy to Rs7.1cr
(Rs3.3cr) in 1QFY2011 on a low base, robust volume growth and low raw material
costs. Depreciation and interest costs also fell 0.1% and 18.4% yoy respectively,
which supported the jump in NPM and net profit during the quarter.
August 2, 2010 3
4. Subros | 1QFY2011 Result Update
Investment Arguments
Improved PV volumes to boost growth: We have estimated the PV segment to
clock healthy CAGR of around 15% over FY2010-12E. Given the company’s
dependence on the PV segment, we expect it to gain from India’s small car
growth story. The company’s volumes would also get a push due to the
continuous capacity ramp up by the new and existing players. Accordingly, we
expect Subros to register volume CAGR of 16% over FY2010-12E.
Maintaining leadership position and expanding product base: A market leader
and largest player in the domestic car AC market, Subros enjoys more than
40% market share. The company has managed to garner high market share
on the back of its strong technological expertise backed by Denso and Suzuki.
Further, in view of the growing PV volumes, the company has ramped up
capacity to 7,50,000 units per annum and proposes to further expand
capacity to 1,000,000 million units per annum going ahead. The company
also proposes to foray into the commercial vehicle (CV) segment targeting
leaders such as Ashok Leyland and Eicher, to expand its product base and
explore new avenues.
Outlook and Valuation
We estimate the company’s volumes to post a CAGR of around 15% over the next
two years, considering the increasing requirements of its OEM customers like
Maruti and Tata Motors, and potential new client wins from the PV and CV
segments. However, we expect realisations to be stable or decline marginally due
to the aggressive pricing adopted by the OEMs. Thus, we estimate the company to
clock EPS of Rs5 for FY2011E and Rs6 for FY2012E. At the CMP, the stock is
trading at 8.3x FY2012E earnings. We maintain a Buy on the stock, with a Target
Price of Rs60.
August 2, 2010 4
10. Subros | 1QFY2011 Result Update
Research Team Tel: 022 - 4040 3800 E-mail: research@angeltrade.com Website: www.angeltrade.com
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Disclosure of Interest Statement Subros
1. Analyst ownership of the stock No
2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock Yes
3. Angel and its Group companies' Directors ownership of the stock No
4. Broking relationship with company covered No
Note: We have not considered any Exposure below Rs 1 lakh for Angel, its Group companies and Directors.
Ratings (Returns) : Buy (> 15%) Accumulate (5% to 15%) Neutral (-5 to 5%)
Reduce (-5% to 15%) Sell (< -15%)
August 2, 2010 10