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11th Asian Maize
          Conference
       Nanning, 2011
Dr. Thomas Lumpkin - CIMMYT
             Director General
“MAIZE CRP and Relevance for
                        Asia”
Outline of Presentation



   CIMMYT Background
Challenges for Food Security
    CIMMYT’s Response
CIMMYT Mission Statement

To sustainably increase the productivity of
 maize and wheat systems to ensure global
     food security and reduce poverty.
CIMMYT Locations
    160 researchers from 40 countries in 19 offices worldwide.
Partners include universities, private companies, advanced research
               institutes, NGOs and farmer associations.
                        $100+ million budget.
Global Challenges
Climate Change
                heat, drought, extreme events

     Water                                       Nutrients & Soils
 groundwater                                     fertilizer cost
surface water                                    depleted soils




      Energy                                    Biodiversity
    petroleum                                   extinction
      biofuels                                  emerging pests
                         Demand
            population growth, changing diets
Bangladesh, Cambodia, and the Philippines included in list of top
 10 countries most vulnerable to climate change. (Maplecroft,
                            2012)
Pakistan Flooding
             1.3 million hectares of crops destroyed
                  Worst flood in 80 years (2010)
                    Repeated flooding in 2011
“Pakistan’s agricultural industry – a pillar of the economy – could
   take up to two years to start recovering” Asian Development
                                 Bank.
Projected Temperature Increases
        Up to 23% of South Asia’s maize crop could will be lost due to
                       higher temperatures by 2050.




Krechowicz, et. al., “Weeding Risk: Financial Impacts of Climate Change and Water Scarcity on
Asia’ Food and Beverage Sector”, World Resources Institute, 2010.
Biofuels
Demand
Table 1: Projected Trends in Total Maize Demand in Asian Regions.
IMPACT model projections under the Global Futures Project with IFPRI.

               Asia    East Asia   South Asia   Southeast Asia   West Asia   North Asia
      Year

                                        Base (thousand tonnes)

      2000   198,642   144,612       16,164         24,222         10,774       2,870

      2010   268,447   197,851       22,519         31,795         12,962       3,320

      2020   331,463   239,682       31,344         40,139         16,727       3,570

      2030   385,552   271,206       42,569         47,406         20,684       3,686

      2040   443,874   302,112       57,952         55,732         24,358       3,720

      2050   509,170   334,402       78,707         64,461         27,918       3,683
Changing Diets
Half of the world’s pork is eaten in China. Chicken
         and beef are becoming important.
Dependence on Maize Imports
Indonesia imported 1.6 million tons in 2010. This year, Indonesia
            will import an estimated 3.2 million tons.
At 16 million tons, Japan is the world’s largest importer of maize.
China became a new importer of maize last year for the first time
                            in 14 years.
  By 2015, China is expected to import 15 million metric tons of
                     maize from the US alone.
Percentage of Annual Income
Used to Purchase Food + Malnutrition Rates
CIMMYT’s Response to the Challenges and
     Opportunities Facing Maize
Ten Point Action Agenda for MAIZE
               “Strategic Initiatives”
1. Socioeconomics and policies for
   maize futures
2. Sustainable intensification and
   income opportunities for the poor
3. Smallholder precision agriculture
4. Stress tolerant maize for the poorest
5. Towards doubling maize productivity
6. Integrated postharvest management
7. Nutritious maize (with CRP4)
8. Seeds of Discovery – tackling the
   black box of genetic diversity
9. New tools and methods for NARS
   and SMEs
1-9. Strengthening local capacities
MAIZE CRP Target Areas
Expected Impact
 Increased productivity of target populations by
  7% in 2020 and 33% by 2030.
 An added annual value of $2.0 billion by 2020
  and $8.8 billion in 2030.
 Reach 40 million smallholder farm family
  members by 2020 and 175 million by 2030.
 Provide enough maize to meet the annual food
  demand of an additional
  – 135 million consumers in 2020
  – 600 million by 2030.
Our Partners
 SAGARPA - Mexico
 KARI - Kenya, Syngenta Foundation
 Syngenta Foundation for Sustainable
  Agriculture
 130 national agricultural research institutes
 18 regional and international organizations
 21 advanced agricultural research institutes
 75 universities
Another xample: BISA
          Borlaug Institute for South Asia
 General Objective: Develop state-
  of-the art research facilities to
  support maize and wheat research
  and development and capacity
  building.
 Train partners in cutting-edge
  biotechnology and bioinformatics
  tools.
 Train agronomists in conservation
  and precision agriculture.
 Develop wheat varieties which
  increase yields up to 50%.
 Initiate a Second Green Revolution.
谢谢
Thank you

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S(1) Asian Maize Conference, 11th.

  • 1. 11th Asian Maize Conference Nanning, 2011 Dr. Thomas Lumpkin - CIMMYT Director General “MAIZE CRP and Relevance for Asia”
  • 2. Outline of Presentation CIMMYT Background Challenges for Food Security CIMMYT’s Response
  • 3. CIMMYT Mission Statement To sustainably increase the productivity of maize and wheat systems to ensure global food security and reduce poverty.
  • 4. CIMMYT Locations 160 researchers from 40 countries in 19 offices worldwide. Partners include universities, private companies, advanced research institutes, NGOs and farmer associations. $100+ million budget.
  • 6. Climate Change heat, drought, extreme events Water Nutrients & Soils groundwater fertilizer cost surface water depleted soils Energy Biodiversity petroleum extinction biofuels emerging pests Demand population growth, changing diets
  • 7. Bangladesh, Cambodia, and the Philippines included in list of top 10 countries most vulnerable to climate change. (Maplecroft, 2012)
  • 8. Pakistan Flooding 1.3 million hectares of crops destroyed Worst flood in 80 years (2010) Repeated flooding in 2011 “Pakistan’s agricultural industry – a pillar of the economy – could take up to two years to start recovering” Asian Development Bank.
  • 9. Projected Temperature Increases Up to 23% of South Asia’s maize crop could will be lost due to higher temperatures by 2050. Krechowicz, et. al., “Weeding Risk: Financial Impacts of Climate Change and Water Scarcity on Asia’ Food and Beverage Sector”, World Resources Institute, 2010.
  • 11. Demand Table 1: Projected Trends in Total Maize Demand in Asian Regions. IMPACT model projections under the Global Futures Project with IFPRI. Asia East Asia South Asia Southeast Asia West Asia North Asia Year Base (thousand tonnes) 2000 198,642 144,612 16,164 24,222 10,774 2,870 2010 268,447 197,851 22,519 31,795 12,962 3,320 2020 331,463 239,682 31,344 40,139 16,727 3,570 2030 385,552 271,206 42,569 47,406 20,684 3,686 2040 443,874 302,112 57,952 55,732 24,358 3,720 2050 509,170 334,402 78,707 64,461 27,918 3,683
  • 12. Changing Diets Half of the world’s pork is eaten in China. Chicken and beef are becoming important.
  • 13. Dependence on Maize Imports Indonesia imported 1.6 million tons in 2010. This year, Indonesia will import an estimated 3.2 million tons. At 16 million tons, Japan is the world’s largest importer of maize. China became a new importer of maize last year for the first time in 14 years. By 2015, China is expected to import 15 million metric tons of maize from the US alone.
  • 14.
  • 15. Percentage of Annual Income Used to Purchase Food + Malnutrition Rates
  • 16. CIMMYT’s Response to the Challenges and Opportunities Facing Maize
  • 17. Ten Point Action Agenda for MAIZE “Strategic Initiatives” 1. Socioeconomics and policies for maize futures 2. Sustainable intensification and income opportunities for the poor 3. Smallholder precision agriculture 4. Stress tolerant maize for the poorest 5. Towards doubling maize productivity 6. Integrated postharvest management 7. Nutritious maize (with CRP4) 8. Seeds of Discovery – tackling the black box of genetic diversity 9. New tools and methods for NARS and SMEs 1-9. Strengthening local capacities
  • 19. Expected Impact  Increased productivity of target populations by 7% in 2020 and 33% by 2030.  An added annual value of $2.0 billion by 2020 and $8.8 billion in 2030.  Reach 40 million smallholder farm family members by 2020 and 175 million by 2030.  Provide enough maize to meet the annual food demand of an additional – 135 million consumers in 2020 – 600 million by 2030.
  • 20. Our Partners  SAGARPA - Mexico  KARI - Kenya, Syngenta Foundation  Syngenta Foundation for Sustainable Agriculture  130 national agricultural research institutes  18 regional and international organizations  21 advanced agricultural research institutes  75 universities
  • 21. Another xample: BISA Borlaug Institute for South Asia  General Objective: Develop state- of-the art research facilities to support maize and wheat research and development and capacity building.  Train partners in cutting-edge biotechnology and bioinformatics tools.  Train agronomists in conservation and precision agriculture.  Develop wheat varieties which increase yields up to 50%.  Initiate a Second Green Revolution.