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Design for Reliability 
                       g                y
                          (DFR)
                  A Case Study Using A Physics 
                           of Failure
                           of Failure
                          Dr. Haiyu Qi
                             ©2011 ASQ & Presentation Qi
                            Presented live on May 10th, 2012




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                        Division members only) visit asq.org/reliability
                                             )              /

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Design for Reliability
                           (DFR)

               - A Case Study Using A Physics of Failure
             (PoF) Reliability Modeling and Analysis Tool




RelEng Technologies, Inc.                                   1
Why Design for Reliability (DFR)

       • DFR is an industry-wide practice, and a philosophy as well, of
         considering reliability in an early stage of product design and
         development, to achieve a highly-reliable product while with
         sustainable cost.
       • Physical of Failure (PoF) is recognized as a key approach of
         implementing DFR in a product design and development
         process.
       • A quantitative PoF model based analysis tool helps
            Predicting and identifying product failure early in the
               design process, allowing reliability designed into the
               product.
            Quantifying the test process of test design to be able to
               achieve specified reliability goals.



RelEng Technologies, Inc.                                                  2
Background

        • Matured simulation and modeling based approach
        • Increased sophistication of electronic assembly
        • Inefficiency in methodology implementation
        • Inaccuracy of simplified models
        • Incapability of reliability modeling
        • Complicated multiple modeling levels




RelEng Technologies, Inc.                                   3
A Case Study to Conduct
              Assembly Level Reliability
                Assessment and Risk
                    Identification




RelEng Technologies, Inc.                  4
Objectives

          • To quantify the fatigue life of an assembly with
            over 1,000 parts including over 150 BGA
            packages and over 30,000 BGA interconnects;


          • To identify BGA interconnects that can
            potentially fail in field based on the product’s
            life requirement.




RelEng Technologies, Inc.                                      5
Assessment Process

     • Convert original design data into FEA model data
     • Create a global FEA model and conduct
       assembly-level stress analysis
     • Create a component-level FEA model for each
       BGA package and conduct component level local
       stress analysis
     • Conduct failure modeling and predict life of
       interconnects




RelEng Technologies, Inc.                                 6
Assembly under Investigation

          • PCB with 154 BGA packages

          • 7 packages with interconnects ranging from
            1,217 to 2,092

          • Total I/O number of the assembly over
            100,000




RelEng Technologies, Inc.                                7
BGA Packages in the Assembly




RelEng Technologies, Inc.      8
Modeling Process (Phase 1)

                            Note: Due to
                            confidential
                            nature of the
                            board, only a half
                            of the layout is
                            illustrated in the
                            figures.




                                                  Convert the 2D
                                                   layout into a 3D FEA
      Import the PCB                              model in Reliability
       design file and                             Software and then
       create 2D layout                            export it to a
       in Reliability                              commercial FEA
       Software                                    analyzer

RelEng Technologies, Inc.                                                 9
Top Side of the Board




                              Converted into a 3D
                               FEM model


   Converted and then
    simplified on RelSIMTM




RelEng Technologies, Inc.                            10
Modeling Process (Phase 2)  Conduct life prediction and
                                                 failure probability assessment




                                                        Import obtained FEA analysis
                                                         results and determine local
                                                         stresses and loading conditions
                                   1    1               Apply failure models to targeted
                            Nf      D c                parts and locations to generate a
                                   2                     PCB analysis model

RelEng Technologies, Inc.                                                                11
Product Usage Environment and Life
 Requirement

                       • Storage environment:
                           Temp: -40/+70C
                           Humidity: 0-95%RH

                       • Operating environment:
                          Temp: 0/+45C
                          Humidity: 5-85%RH

                       • Expected Lifetime: 15yr

RelEng Technologies, Inc.                          12
Thermal Loading Conditions

            Product
             Power          14hrs   10hrs

                 ON



                OFF
                                            Time
      Environmental
       Temperature

               45C



                0C
                                            Time

RelEng Technologies, Inc.                          13
Estimation of Power Consumption




RelEng Technologies, Inc.         14
Estimated Board-level
Temperature
  To be able to visually examine if there are any
  internal hot spots, FEA results were all
  perpendicularly projected down to the 2-
  dimensional board surface with only the highest
  temperature value being plotted, if there are
  multiple results available at one planar spot.




RelEng Technologies, Inc.                           15
Estimated Board-level
Thermal Stress
  To be able to visually examine if there are
  any internal stress-concentrated locations,
  FEA results were all perpendicularly
  projected down to the 2-dimensional board
  surface with only the highest stress value
  being plotted, if there are multiple results
  available at one planar spot.




RelEng Technologies, Inc.                        16
Multilevel Modeling

       • Simplified FEA models include
            slice model
            quarter symmetry model
            octant symmetry model
       • Completed FEA models face challenges on
            Different magnitudes of geometrical dimensions
            Computer capability to analyze.
       • Alternative Approach – Multilevel Modeling
            Board level
            Component level
            The board level results as an input to the component level models




RelEng Technologies, Inc.                                                        17
Component-level BGA Models




RelEng Technologies, Inc.    18
BGA Solder Interconnect Models




RelEng Technologies, Inc.         19
Estimated Component-level
Thermal Stress at Solder
Balls




RelEng Technologies, Inc.   20
Thermal
                             Stresses before
                             and after
                             Component
                             Level Stresses
                             are Overlapped




  The board thermal stress
  distribution is obtained
  by combining the
  analytical results from
  both the board level and
  component level models.


RelEng Technologies, Inc.                  21
Estimated Interconnect Life Distribution
 Assume 1 cycle per day and 365 cycles per year
 5,475 cycles  15 years
 795 cycles  2.2 years
                                                  cycles




RelEng Technologies, Inc.                                  22
Summary

   • Fatigue life of all the BGA interconnects of the
     assembly under investigation was analyzed and
     examined in this case study.
   • Due to increased geometric dimensions, those 7
     BGA packages with the number of I/Os over 1,000
     were the focus of the examination.
   • The results indicate that the solder interconnects
     on multiple BGA packages are not able to meet the
     15-year life requirement of the product.



RelEng Technologies, Inc.                                 23
Contact Us

                            RelEng Technologies, Inc.
                            12202 Braxfield Ct.
                            Rockville, MD 20852
                            Phone: 410-705-1830

                            Dr. Haiyu Qi
                            haiyuqi@relengtech.com
                            Dr. Jingsong Xie
                            jingsong.xie@relengtech.com



RelEng Technologies, Inc.                                 24
Appendix




RelEng Technologies, Inc.              25
Thermal Fatigue Model -
Engelmaier-Wild Model



                        1
                    1
               N f  D c
                    2

                                                         360 
              c  0.442  6 104 TSJ  1.74  102 ln 1     
                                                            tD 


               Nf is the number of cycles to failure;
               D is the potential cyclic fatigue damage at complete stress relaxation;
               tD is half-cycle dwell time in minutes;
               TSJ is mean cyclic solder joint temperature;
               c is fatigue ductility exponent


RelEng Technologies, Inc.                                                                 26
What is RelSIMTM
          RelSIMTM is a physics-of-failure (PoF) model based reliability
          assessment software platform for design and development of
          electronic products and systems.

          The platform primarily carries a knowledge-based expert system and
          a failure model based quantitative analysis tool. It is built upon an
          internet based data sharing and communication mechanism, which
          brings together users and software technical support people as well
          as behind-the-scene reliability engineering personnel, all on the same
          platform across the internet, while the users can still rely on their
          own local computing resources on analysis.

          It includes 5 quantitative analysis modules:
          • pofANTM: component level modeling and analysis
          • pofPWATM: assembly level modeling and analysis
          • pofESATM: environmental stress analysis
          • pofSYSTM: system/equipment level modeling and analysis
          • pofPHMTM: real-time analysis and prediction

RelEng Technologies, Inc.                                                          27
What makes RelSIMTM different from
other Products in the Market

          Here below summarizes some key capabilities and features that
            differentiates RelSIMTM from other products in the market:

          • Integrated local computing and internet remote data access for
            model constants, material properties, commonly used loading
            conditions and design parameters;
          • Availability of remote technical support on both software and
            reliability data and models needed for analysis;
          • Integration of a reliability expert system and PoF reliability
            modeling and analysis capability;
          • Interface to Cadence®, ANSYS®, AutoCAD® and other
            commercial Electronic Design Automation (EDA), Finite Element
            Analysis (FEA), and Computer Aided Design (CAD) data files;
          • A dynamically updated pool of models including customer
            specified empirical models


RelEng Technologies, Inc.                                                    28
Why choose RelSIMTM in DFR Implementation


        • RelSIMTM has interface to Cadence®, Protel/Altium® and planned to
          Mentor Graphics® data file format, allowing its access to design data
          that are generated from commercial EDA tools and achieve the
          automation of a modeling process;
        • RelSIMTM utilizes commercial tools, instead of built-in codes, to
          conduct FEA analysis, making it more compatible to customers’
          existing engineering design environment and eliminating cost of
          duplication;
        • RelSIMTM is a specialized assembly-level life assessment modeling
          and analysis tool, with dynamically updating capability of failure
          models, including customer specified empirical models.
        • RelSIMTM conforms to the Service Oriented Architecture (SOA)
          design principles, allowing remote technical support on both
          reliability data and models.
        • RelSIMTM integrates a reliability expert system and a knowledge base
          to assist modeling and analysis.


RelEng Technologies, Inc.                                                         29
Support Architecture of RelSIMTM




RelEng Technologies, Inc.          30

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DFR a case study using a physics of failure

  • 1. Design for Reliability  g y (DFR) A Case Study Using A Physics  of Failure of Failure Dr. Haiyu Qi ©2011 ASQ & Presentation Qi Presented live on May 10th, 2012 http://reliabilitycalendar.org/The_Re liability_Calendar/Webinars_ liability Calendar/Webinars ‐ _English/Webinars_‐_English.html
  • 2. ASQ Reliability Division  ASQ Reliability Division English Webinar Series English Webinar Series One of the monthly webinars  One of the monthly webinars on topics of interest to  reliability engineers. To view recorded webinar (available to ASQ Reliability  Division members only) visit asq.org/reliability ) / To sign up for the free and available to anyone live  webinars visit reliabilitycalendar.org and select English  Webinars to find links to register for upcoming events http://reliabilitycalendar.org/The_Re liability_Calendar/Webinars_ liability Calendar/Webinars ‐ _English/Webinars_‐_English.html
  • 3. Design for Reliability (DFR) - A Case Study Using A Physics of Failure (PoF) Reliability Modeling and Analysis Tool RelEng Technologies, Inc. 1
  • 4. Why Design for Reliability (DFR) • DFR is an industry-wide practice, and a philosophy as well, of considering reliability in an early stage of product design and development, to achieve a highly-reliable product while with sustainable cost. • Physical of Failure (PoF) is recognized as a key approach of implementing DFR in a product design and development process. • A quantitative PoF model based analysis tool helps  Predicting and identifying product failure early in the design process, allowing reliability designed into the product.  Quantifying the test process of test design to be able to achieve specified reliability goals. RelEng Technologies, Inc. 2
  • 5. Background • Matured simulation and modeling based approach • Increased sophistication of electronic assembly • Inefficiency in methodology implementation • Inaccuracy of simplified models • Incapability of reliability modeling • Complicated multiple modeling levels RelEng Technologies, Inc. 3
  • 6. A Case Study to Conduct Assembly Level Reliability Assessment and Risk Identification RelEng Technologies, Inc. 4
  • 7. Objectives • To quantify the fatigue life of an assembly with over 1,000 parts including over 150 BGA packages and over 30,000 BGA interconnects; • To identify BGA interconnects that can potentially fail in field based on the product’s life requirement. RelEng Technologies, Inc. 5
  • 8. Assessment Process • Convert original design data into FEA model data • Create a global FEA model and conduct assembly-level stress analysis • Create a component-level FEA model for each BGA package and conduct component level local stress analysis • Conduct failure modeling and predict life of interconnects RelEng Technologies, Inc. 6
  • 9. Assembly under Investigation • PCB with 154 BGA packages • 7 packages with interconnects ranging from 1,217 to 2,092 • Total I/O number of the assembly over 100,000 RelEng Technologies, Inc. 7
  • 10. BGA Packages in the Assembly RelEng Technologies, Inc. 8
  • 11. Modeling Process (Phase 1) Note: Due to confidential nature of the board, only a half of the layout is illustrated in the figures.  Convert the 2D layout into a 3D FEA  Import the PCB model in Reliability design file and Software and then create 2D layout export it to a in Reliability commercial FEA Software analyzer RelEng Technologies, Inc. 9
  • 12. Top Side of the Board  Converted into a 3D FEM model  Converted and then simplified on RelSIMTM RelEng Technologies, Inc. 10
  • 13. Modeling Process (Phase 2)  Conduct life prediction and failure probability assessment  Import obtained FEA analysis results and determine local stresses and loading conditions 1 1  Apply failure models to targeted Nf  D c parts and locations to generate a 2 PCB analysis model RelEng Technologies, Inc. 11
  • 14. Product Usage Environment and Life Requirement • Storage environment: Temp: -40/+70C Humidity: 0-95%RH • Operating environment: Temp: 0/+45C Humidity: 5-85%RH • Expected Lifetime: 15yr RelEng Technologies, Inc. 12
  • 15. Thermal Loading Conditions Product Power 14hrs 10hrs ON OFF Time Environmental Temperature 45C 0C Time RelEng Technologies, Inc. 13
  • 16. Estimation of Power Consumption RelEng Technologies, Inc. 14
  • 17. Estimated Board-level Temperature To be able to visually examine if there are any internal hot spots, FEA results were all perpendicularly projected down to the 2- dimensional board surface with only the highest temperature value being plotted, if there are multiple results available at one planar spot. RelEng Technologies, Inc. 15
  • 18. Estimated Board-level Thermal Stress To be able to visually examine if there are any internal stress-concentrated locations, FEA results were all perpendicularly projected down to the 2-dimensional board surface with only the highest stress value being plotted, if there are multiple results available at one planar spot. RelEng Technologies, Inc. 16
  • 19. Multilevel Modeling • Simplified FEA models include  slice model  quarter symmetry model  octant symmetry model • Completed FEA models face challenges on  Different magnitudes of geometrical dimensions  Computer capability to analyze. • Alternative Approach – Multilevel Modeling  Board level  Component level  The board level results as an input to the component level models RelEng Technologies, Inc. 17
  • 20. Component-level BGA Models RelEng Technologies, Inc. 18
  • 21. BGA Solder Interconnect Models RelEng Technologies, Inc. 19
  • 22. Estimated Component-level Thermal Stress at Solder Balls RelEng Technologies, Inc. 20
  • 23. Thermal Stresses before and after Component Level Stresses are Overlapped The board thermal stress distribution is obtained by combining the analytical results from both the board level and component level models. RelEng Technologies, Inc. 21
  • 24. Estimated Interconnect Life Distribution Assume 1 cycle per day and 365 cycles per year 5,475 cycles  15 years 795 cycles  2.2 years cycles RelEng Technologies, Inc. 22
  • 25. Summary • Fatigue life of all the BGA interconnects of the assembly under investigation was analyzed and examined in this case study. • Due to increased geometric dimensions, those 7 BGA packages with the number of I/Os over 1,000 were the focus of the examination. • The results indicate that the solder interconnects on multiple BGA packages are not able to meet the 15-year life requirement of the product. RelEng Technologies, Inc. 23
  • 26. Contact Us RelEng Technologies, Inc. 12202 Braxfield Ct. Rockville, MD 20852 Phone: 410-705-1830 Dr. Haiyu Qi haiyuqi@relengtech.com Dr. Jingsong Xie jingsong.xie@relengtech.com RelEng Technologies, Inc. 24
  • 28. Thermal Fatigue Model - Engelmaier-Wild Model 1 1 N f  D c 2  360  c  0.442  6 104 TSJ  1.74  102 ln 1    tD  Nf is the number of cycles to failure; D is the potential cyclic fatigue damage at complete stress relaxation; tD is half-cycle dwell time in minutes; TSJ is mean cyclic solder joint temperature; c is fatigue ductility exponent RelEng Technologies, Inc. 26
  • 29. What is RelSIMTM RelSIMTM is a physics-of-failure (PoF) model based reliability assessment software platform for design and development of electronic products and systems. The platform primarily carries a knowledge-based expert system and a failure model based quantitative analysis tool. It is built upon an internet based data sharing and communication mechanism, which brings together users and software technical support people as well as behind-the-scene reliability engineering personnel, all on the same platform across the internet, while the users can still rely on their own local computing resources on analysis. It includes 5 quantitative analysis modules: • pofANTM: component level modeling and analysis • pofPWATM: assembly level modeling and analysis • pofESATM: environmental stress analysis • pofSYSTM: system/equipment level modeling and analysis • pofPHMTM: real-time analysis and prediction RelEng Technologies, Inc. 27
  • 30. What makes RelSIMTM different from other Products in the Market Here below summarizes some key capabilities and features that differentiates RelSIMTM from other products in the market: • Integrated local computing and internet remote data access for model constants, material properties, commonly used loading conditions and design parameters; • Availability of remote technical support on both software and reliability data and models needed for analysis; • Integration of a reliability expert system and PoF reliability modeling and analysis capability; • Interface to Cadence®, ANSYS®, AutoCAD® and other commercial Electronic Design Automation (EDA), Finite Element Analysis (FEA), and Computer Aided Design (CAD) data files; • A dynamically updated pool of models including customer specified empirical models RelEng Technologies, Inc. 28
  • 31. Why choose RelSIMTM in DFR Implementation • RelSIMTM has interface to Cadence®, Protel/Altium® and planned to Mentor Graphics® data file format, allowing its access to design data that are generated from commercial EDA tools and achieve the automation of a modeling process; • RelSIMTM utilizes commercial tools, instead of built-in codes, to conduct FEA analysis, making it more compatible to customers’ existing engineering design environment and eliminating cost of duplication; • RelSIMTM is a specialized assembly-level life assessment modeling and analysis tool, with dynamically updating capability of failure models, including customer specified empirical models. • RelSIMTM conforms to the Service Oriented Architecture (SOA) design principles, allowing remote technical support on both reliability data and models. • RelSIMTM integrates a reliability expert system and a knowledge base to assist modeling and analysis. RelEng Technologies, Inc. 29
  • 32. Support Architecture of RelSIMTM RelEng Technologies, Inc. 30