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![• from two or three journals in 1970s
to 70 dedicated journals in 2013,
+ c. 500 that publish DRR papers
• the disaster "gold rush" mentality
• the rediscovery of the [well-]
known by inexperienced researchers
• failure to produce new theory.
On the productivity of disaster science
• the rise of misleading bibliometry](https://image.slidesharecdn.com/aroundtheworldindisasters-inaugurallecture-131006113047-phpapp02/75/Around-the-world-in-eighty-disasters-inaugural-lecture-17-2048.jpg)
![[1993] [1990]](https://image.slidesharecdn.com/aroundtheworldindisasters-inaugurallecture-131006113047-phpapp02/75/Around-the-world-in-eighty-disasters-inaugural-lecture-18-2048.jpg)
![Gertrude Stein,
1913 [adapted]
A disaster is
a disaster is
a disaster...
Its "disastrousness" is not
defined by its causal agent.](https://image.slidesharecdn.com/aroundtheworldindisasters-inaugurallecture-131006113047-phpapp02/75/Around-the-world-in-eighty-disasters-inaugural-lecture-20-2048.jpg)
![Francis Bacon
Sylva Sylvarum, 1625
[Are we to criticise him for using
the "greengrocer's apostrophe"?]](https://image.slidesharecdn.com/aroundtheworldindisasters-inaugurallecture-131006113047-phpapp02/75/Around-the-world-in-eighty-disasters-inaugural-lecture-45-2048.jpg)
![Long term
Short term
Emic components
Etic components
METAMORPHOSIS
OF CULTURE
Experiences of culture
[mass-media and consumer culture]
Accumulated cultural traits and beliefs
Inherited cultural background
Ideological
(non-scientific)
interpretations
of disaster
Learned
(scientific)
interpretations
of disaster](https://image.slidesharecdn.com/aroundtheworldindisasters-inaugurallecture-131006113047-phpapp02/75/Around-the-world-in-eighty-disasters-inaugural-lecture-54-2048.jpg)
Uploaded byProf. David E. Alexander (UCL)
Around the world in eighty disasters - inaugural lecture
This document summarizes David Alexander's career studying disasters over the past 40 years. It begins with biographical information about Alexander and outlines some of the major theoretical frameworks in disaster studies, including debates around defining and measuring vulnerability. The document then discusses trends in disaster research publications and questions whether progress has been made in disaster risk reduction. It also examines the importance of factors like gender, corruption and resilience. Overall, the document provides a high-level overview of Alexander's work in disaster studies and some of the key issues and debates in the field.
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Similar to Around the world in eighty disasters - inaugural lecture
More from Prof. David E. Alexander (UCL)
Around the world in eighty disasters - inaugural lecture
- 1. Around the Worldin 80 Disasters Global Trends Local Challenges David Alexander
- 2. When and wheredid I start?
- 3. I was aseven-stone weakling and a UCL PhD student!
- 4.
- 5.
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- 7. Recovery and reconstruction Mitigation and resilience Preparation and mobilisation Emergency intervention Crisis Emergency planning and organisation of security systems Warning and preparation; damage limitation measures activated Emergency operations and damage limitation Recoveryand restoration Safety manage- ment of emergency operations Quiescence
- 8. "Theory is our roadmap" Prof.Thomas E. Drabek University of Denver
- 9. Rev. Dr Samuel HenryPrince 1885-1960 Nuova Scotia, Columbia University Professor Harlan H. Barrows 1877-1960 Michigan, Chicago University
- 10.
- 11. Can we definedisaster? 1998 2005
- 12. With what theoretical basishas 93 years of academic study of disasters endowed us?
- 13. HUMAN CONSEQUENCES OF DISASTER “ORTHODOX” MODEL PHYSICAL EVENT HUMAN VULNERABILITY “RADICALCRITIQUE” (K. HEWITT et al.) HUMAN CONSEQUENCES OF DISASTER HUMAN VULNERABILITY PHYSICAL EVENT PROPOSAL FOR A NEW MODEL HUMAN CONSEQUENCES OF DISASTER. HUMAN VULNERABILITY CULTURE HISTORY PHYSICAL EVENTS CONTEXT & CONSEQUENCES
- 14. Since the 1979-83 "vulnerability revolution", havewe seen the triumph of the "orthodox" approach?
- 15. 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 Papers published inNatural Hazards and NHESS Natural Hazards Natural Hazard and Earth System Sciences Papers published in Natural Hazards and NHESS, 1988-2013 1990s: Average 45 2013: Total 800 ― Natural Hazards ― Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 1988 2013 450
- 16. Founded in 2012 topromote genuinely interdisciplinary work. It is one of 67 dedicated DRR journals and more than 500 that publish papers in this field.
- 17. • from twoor three journals in 1970s to 70 dedicated journals in 2013, + c. 500 that publish DRR papers • the disaster "gold rush" mentality • the rediscovery of the [well-] known by inexperienced researchers • failure to produce new theory. On the productivity of disaster science • the rise of misleading bibliometry
- 18.
- 19. Some links Effects of technologyon vulnerability to natural disasters Effects of natural disasters on technological capital Social conditions as factors that incubate dissidence Technological component ofactsof terrorism Intentional disasters Technological disasters Social disasters Natural disasters
- 20. Gertrude Stein, 1913 [adapted] Adisaster is a disaster is a disaster... Its "disastrousness" is not defined by its causal agent.
- 21. ResilienceResistance Risk Susceptibility Physical (including natural, built,technological) Social (including cultural, political, economic Environment Attributes Source: McEntire 2001 LiabilitiesCapabilities VULNERABILITY
- 22. American Civil Liberties Union reporton the treatment of prisoners during the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina.
- 25. Squatter settlement in BangladeshFlood level Normal river level Rather than mitigating the sources of vulnerability to disaster, globalisation is maintaining, exporting and reinforcing them by its divide-and-rule strategies.
- 26. Vulnerability Total: life is generallyprecarious Economic: people lack adequate occupation Technological/technocratic: due to the riskiness of technology Delinquent: caused by corruption, negligence, etc. Residual: caused by lack of modernisation Newly generated: caused by changes in circumstances
- 27.
- 28. • population increasesin hazard zones • society is more complex and polarised • new sources of vulnerability • cascading and complex impacts • failure adequately to mitigate risk. Have disasters been getting worse?
- 29.
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- 31. • the relativeview: there are plenty of other sources of risk • increased information flows make things seem worse • more agencies are at work on disasters • disasters are getting more political. Have disasters been getting worse?
- 32. Have we madeany serious progress at all in DRR since 1983?
- 33. DETERMINISM Cause Effect PROBABILITY (constrained uncertainty) CauseSingle, multiple or cascading effects THE KNOWN THE UNKNOWN PURE UNCERTAINTY Causal relationship unknown Grey area
- 34.
- 35. • the mainemphasis is still on reacting to disasters, not reducing disaster risk • there has been an enormous rise in hazards studies, but much less effort has gone on studying vulnerability • the social and perceptual components of disaster remain undervalued • the role of theory is underestimated. Progress in disaster risk reduction?
- 36. In disasters anddisaster risk, how important is gender?
- 37. Kobe 1995 earthquakedeaths by gender and age ― males ― females
- 38. Victimisation of womenand girls in and after disaster is common throughout the world, but in many cases the reasons are poorly understood.
- 39. One in sixdeaths was an old lady whose death was not predicted by demographics
- 40. • an excessof deaths among women • very high post-traumatic stress levels • victimisation in survivors' families • failure to consider female perspective • decision making largely by men. Women and the 2009 L'Aquila earthquake
- 42. • "forgiveness money" •vote buying • political control through funding decisions • corruption and theft of funds • profiteering and deliberate distortion of markets. Welfare and...
- 43.
- 44. The "cradle" of resilience: CanonburyTower London N1. Built in 1509 to survive the Universal Deluge: inhabited in 1625 by Francis Bacon.
- 45. Francis Bacon Sylva Sylvarum,1625 [Are we to criticise him for using the "greengrocer's apostrophe"?]
- 46. LAW STATESMANSHIP LITERATURE SCIENTIFIC METHOD MECHANICS MANU- FACTURING ECOLOGY MANAGEMENT (ADAPTIVE) CHILD PSYCHOLOGY ANTHROPOLOGY SOCIAL RESEARCH DISASTER RISK REDUCTION SUSTAINABILITY SCIENCE CLIMATECHANGE ADAPTATION c. BC 50 AD 1529 1625 1859 1930 1950 1973 2000 2010 NATURAL HISTORY
- 47. • an objective,a process or a strategy? • a paradigm, diverse paradigms? • 'bounce-back' or 'bounce-forward'? • focuses on the community scale? • can reconcile dynamic & static elements? Resilience
- 48. RESILIENCE Social Technical Physical Psychological CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION DISASTER RISK REDUCTION OTHERHAZARDS AND RISKS natural social technological intentional compound cascading SUSTAINABILITY SCIENCE
- 49. RISKS daily: unemployment, poverty,disease, etc. major disaster: floods, storms, quakes, etc. emerging risks: pandemics, climate change SUSTAINABILITY disaster risk reduction resource consumption stewardship of the environment economic activities lifestyles and communities SUSTAINABILITY
- 50. RESILIENCE: as a materialhas brittle strength and ductility: so must society have an optimum combination of resistance to hazard impacts and ability to adapt to them.
- 52. physical environmental social economic health-related cultural educational infrastructural institutional RESILIENCE COPING VULNERABILITY FRAGILITY SUSCEPTIBILITY Organisation: • public admin. •private sector • civil society Community Individual Resilience: facets... ...and relationships
- 53. Causes of disaster naturalgeophysical, technological, social History single and cumulative impact of past disasters Human cultures constraints and opportunities IMPACTS Adaptation to risk RESILIENCE
- 54. Long term Short term Emiccomponents Etic components METAMORPHOSIS OF CULTURE Experiences of culture [mass-media and consumer culture] Accumulated cultural traits and beliefs Inherited cultural background Ideological (non-scientific) interpretations of disaster Learned (scientific) interpretations of disaster
- 55.
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- 57. • as KaiErikson noted, disaster shifts our position on fundamental dimensions • we live in the New Baroque Age • characterised by tension of opposites • massive cultural dynamism is redefining the symbolism of disaster • to understand disaster, we need to be interdisciplinary with boldness and ingenuity.
- 58. There is nodoubt that "we live in interesting times".
- 59.
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