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Enhancing Resilience
David Alexander
University College London
Kesennuma, Japan
An academic perspective on enhancing
business and community resilience.
• the concept has a millennial history
• there are many possible definitions
• is it the opposite of vulnerability?
• should it focus on the community scale?
• an objective, a process or a strategy? .
Resilience
RESILIENCE:
as a material has brittle
strength and ductility:
society must have an optimum
combination of resistance to
hazard impacts and ability
to adapt to them.
Broader
scope and
outcomes
Changing
objectives
of emergency
management
Civil Protection
Disaster
Management
Resilience
Civil Contingencies Management
Disaster Risk Reduction
General resilience
Disaster resilience Disaster mitigation
Disaster response
The broader picture
physical
environmental
social
economic
health-related
cultural
educational
infrastructural
institutional
RESILIENCE
COPING
VULNERABILITY
FRAGILITY
SUSCEPTIBILITY
Organisation:
• public admin.
• private sector
• civil society
Community
Individual
Resilience: facets...
...and relationships
Can we really understand a holistic
concept like resilience by breaking
it down into its component parts?
Is the category approach helpful or
merely a hindrance to understanding?
Attitude
The
ingredients
of resilience
Emergency
communications
Search
and
rescue
Emergency
medical
response
Emergency
management
Emergency
response
Health
system
Contingency
planning
Is resilience a paradigm?
Paradigm: a conceptual or methodological
model underlying the theories and practices
of a science or discipline at a particular time.
Is this resilience?
Family home
What does resilience, or
the lack of it, really mean?
Proposition: the opposite of resilience
is not vulnerability, or failure to
prepare for disaster, it is corruption.
• corruption
• political decision-making
• shoddy building (often wilful)
• ignorance (sometimes wilful)
• seismicity.
What causes earthquake disasters?
- in probable order of importance -
• difficult to define
• virtually impossible to measure
• extremely pervasive, endogenous
• moral and ethical frameworks vary
• links with other ills (black economy).
Corruption
The principal
problem with
the concept of
resilience may
simply be that
we have asked
too much of it.
In one sense, the opposite of resilience is
vulnerability: in another it is uncertainty.
ResilienceResistance
Risk Susceptibility
Physical
(including natural,
built, technological)
Social
(including cultural,
political, economic)
Environment
Attributes
Source: McEntire 2001
LiabilitiesCapabilities
VULNERABILITY
DETERMINISM
Cause Effect
PROBABILITY
(constrained uncertainty)
Cause Single, multiple
or cascading effects
THE KNOWN
THE UNKNOWN
PURE UNCERTAINTY
Causal relationship
unknown
Grey
area
Cascading
effects
Collateral
vulnerability
Secondary
disasters
Interaction
between risks
Climate
change
Probability
Indeterminacy
"Fat-tailed" (skewed)
distributions
of impacts
• it is different for natural, social
technological and intentional disasters
• the principal problem refers to
exceptional high-magnitude events
• 'black swans' do not exist in this field
• neither do 'fat-tailed' distributions
(but skewed distributions do exist)
• scenarios for uncertainty are difficult.
Challenges of coping with uncertainty
Interdisciplinarity and
fragmentation of effort
Ecology
Geology
(& Geomorphology)
Geophysics
(inc. Seismology)
Volcanology
Climatology
Hydraulics
Hydrology
Meteorology
Architecture
Civil engineering
Geotechnical engineering
Structural engineering
Mechanical &
electrical engineeringInformation &
communication
technology (ICT)
Computer technology
Remote sensing
Risk analysis (inc.
risk identification,
estimation,
management &
communication)
Cartography
Development studies
Economics
Geography, History
Jurisprudence & legal stds
Urban & regional planning
Mass media studies
Psychology
Sociology
Epidemiology
Nursing
Nutrition
Pharmacology
General medicine
Surgery &
emergency medicine
Public health, hygiene
& epidemiology
Veterinary sciences
Health sciences
Social & spatial sciences
Computational
& analytical
sciences
Construction sciences
Atmospheric & water sciences
Earth & environmental sciences
HAZARD,
RISK and
DISASTER
CONSTITUENT
DISCIPLINES
Organisational
systems:
management
Social
systems:
behaviour
Natural
systems:
function
Technical
systems:
malfunction
VulnerabilityHazard
Resilience
Political
systems:
decisions
RESILIENCE
Social
Technical
Physical
Psychological
natural
social
technological
intentional
compound
cascading
CLIMATE CHANGE
ADAPTATION
DISASTER RISK
REDUCTION
SUSTAINABILITY
SCIENCE
OTHER HAZARDS
AND RISKS
The concept of resilience
interfaces with sustainability.
SUSTAINABILITY
OF DISASTER
RISK REDUCTION
DAILY
RISKS
(e.g.unem-
ployment,
poverty)
EMERGING
RISKS
(e.g. climate
change,
pandemics)
GENERAL
SUSTAINABILITY
(e.g. lifestyles, economic
activities, environment)
MAJOR DISASTER
RISKS
(e.g. floods, drought,
landslides, heatwaves)
RISKS
daily: unemployment, poverty, disease, etc.
major disaster: floods, storms, quakes, etc.
emerging risks: pandemics, climate change
SUSTAINABILITY
disaster risk reduction
resource consumption
stewardship of the environment
economic activities
lifestyles and communities
SUSTAINABILITY
Sustainable
development
and livelihoods
Sustainable
civil protection
programmes
Sustainable
funding
Public and
political
support
It is often argued that the
concept of resilience is best
applied at the community level.
• a social grouping that may or may not
occupy a definable physical space
• an open-ended concept with no
predefined geographical scale
• a heterogeneous group of people with
different views and perspectives
• a power structure that exists for the
benefit of the powerful (elite capture).
What is a community?
Society
Culture
Politics
Economy
Welfare
Hospitals
Church
Media
Community-
based
services
Family
Community
Workplace
individual
Bronfenbrenner's community resilience theory
Microsystem
MesosystemMacrosystem
Chronosystem
Exosystem
• a source of factions and conflict
• dominated by powerful individuals
• indifferent to disaster risk reduction
• lacking in social cohesion
• indisposed to act without coercion.
Communities may be...
BENIGN (healthy)
at the service of the people
MALIGN (corrupt)
at the service of vested interests
interplay dialectic
Justification Development
[spiritual, cultural, political, economic]
IDEOLOGY CULTURE
Conclusions
Tacloban, Philippines:
five beached ships with
a community on the
seaward side of them,
March 2014.
Personal
or private
interestsPublic
interest
Cultural
acceptability
LESSONS
...LEARNED?
Sustainable
lessons Uncertainty,
unpredictability
LESSONS
...LEARNED?
Incentives
to learn
MAGNITUDE
& FREQUENCY
KNOWLEDGESCIENCE
LEGISLATION
IMPLEMENTATION
COMPLIANCE
LAG
LAG
LAG
CUMULATIVE
LAG
EVENTS
Broad professional training
in emergency management
Professional experience
and training
Disciplinary training
(e.g. bachelor's degree)
Common
culture
Common
language
Common
objectives
• advances in knowledge
have had a valuable impact
• the whole DRR problem is
better known than ever before
• interdisciplinary research and problem-
solving have made some progress
• but the balance is still weighted heavily
in favour of a worsening situation.
In a positive sense...
Armaments
Drug trade
People trafficking
Forced migration
Censorship
Tax havens
Tax avoidance
Domination
Repression
Polarisation
Expoitation
Dictatorship
Rape
Attrocities
Denial of asylum
Warfare
Asymetrical conflict
Militias
Terrorism
Poverty
Torture
Enslavement
Suppression of dissent
Racism
Domestic violence
Hunger
Refugees
david.alexander@ucl.ac.uk
www.slideshare.net/dealexander
emergency-planning.blogspot.com
Ishinomaki, Japan

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