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The Human Dimension
of Disasters
The Human Dimension
of Disasters
David Alexander
University College London
Human
misery
Human
misery
●poverty
●disease
●malnutrition
●conflict
●displacement
●disasters
●poverty
●disease
●malnutrition
●conflict
●displacement
●disasters
... and climate change...?... and climate change...?
Disaster Risk ReductionDisaster Risk Reduction
or disaster risk creation?or disaster risk creation?
Alan Kurdi 2015
To see our
world as it is.
Xenophobia
distrust of
unfamiliar
people
Xenophobia
distrust of
unfamiliar
people
Compassion
desire
to help
refugees
Compassion
desire
to help
refugees
Rejectionism
it is not
our problem
Rejectionism
it is not
our problem
Distancing
not in my
back yard
Distancing
not in my
back yard
The age of mass cognitive dissonanceThe age of mass cognitive dissonance
Charity
willingness
to donate
Charity
willingness
to donate
Disturbing
trends
Reckless
lending
Reckless
lending
Reckless
borrowing
Reckless
borrowing
DEBTDEBT DEMOCRACYDEMOCRACY
Austerity
Inequality
Marginalisation
DisaffectionDisaffection
Disaster
impacts
Growing
vulnerability
Growing
vulnerability
Capital is winning against labour:
when will the tide turn?
Capital is winning against labour:
when will the tide turn?
US$7.6 trillion hidden in 87 tax havens,
43 people are as rich as half the world.
US$7.6 trillion hidden in 87 tax havens,
43 people are as rich as half the world.
• consolidate power structures• consolidate power structures
• augment profits, redistribute wealth• augment profits, redistribute wealth
• allow introduction of conveniently
repressive measures
• allow introduction of conveniently
repressive measures
• permit gratuitous social engineering.• permit gratuitous social engineering.
The economic and social
VALUE of disasters
The economic and social
VALUE of disasters
Disasters are
a vehicle for
economic,
social and
political
opportunism
Lesson to be learned:
We will never even understand
the problem, let alone solve it,
unless we start being realistic
about the world in which we live.
Lesson to be learned:
We will never even understand
the problem, let alone solve it,
unless we start being realistic
about the world in which we live.
Whatever decisions are made
about disaster risk reduction,
they should be based on evidence.
• base decisions on accumulated
evidence of what actually happens
• base decisions on accumulated
evidence of what actually happens
• widely used in medicine,
recommended for DRR
• widely used in medicine,
recommended for DRR
• migration studies, for instance,
badly need an evidence base
• migration studies, for instance,
badly need an evidence base
• BUT: evidence can be misleading,
inconsistent or indeterminate
• BUT: evidence can be misleading,
inconsistent or indeterminate
"Evidence-based practice""Evidence-based practice"
• it can defy interpretation, be
misused or be used selectively.
• it can defy interpretation, be
misused or be used selectively.
• decisions are seldom made on the
basis of evidence and research
• decisions are seldom made on the
basis of evidence and research
• there is a general lack of interest
in disaster risk reduction
• there is a general lack of interest
in disaster risk reduction
• corruption is one of the
principal causes of disaster.
• corruption is one of the
principal causes of disaster.
Some home truths about
disaster risk reduction
Some home truths about
disaster risk reduction
• the world disaster relief system is
extremely inefficient and in crisis
• the world disaster relief system is
extremely inefficient and in crisis
• corruption• corruption
• political decision-making• political decision-making
• shoddy building (often wilful)• shoddy building (often wilful)
• ignorance (sometimes wilful)• ignorance (sometimes wilful)
• seismicity.• seismicity.
What causes earthquake disasters?
- in probable order of importance -
What causes earthquake disasters?
- in probable order of importance -
VulnerabilityVulnerability
Total: life is
generally precarious
Economic: people lack
adequate occupation
Technological/technocratic: due
to the riskiness of technology
Delinquent: caused by
corruption, negligence, etc.
Residual: caused by
lack of modernisation
Newly generated: caused by
changes in circumstances
Total: life is
generally precarious
Economic: people lack
adequate occupation
Technological/technocratic: due
to the riskiness of technology
Delinquent: caused by
corruption, negligence, etc.
Residual: caused by
lack of modernisation
Newly generated: caused by
changes in circumstances
Community
• there is no characteristic
defining scale
• there is no characteristic
defining scale
• communities are not necessarily
homogeneous or harmonious units
• communities are not necessarily
homogeneous or harmonious units
• community identity is a
highly variable phenomenon
• community identity is a
highly variable phenomenon
• power structures
control decision making
• power structures
control decision making
• marginalised communities
have no power.
• marginalised communities
have no power.
What is a community?What is a community?
• communities are not
particularly interested in DRR
• communities are not
particularly interested in DRR
• neither are governments• neither are governments
• disasters can be explained with
reference to power structures
• disasters can be explained with
reference to power structures
• people, governments & communities
seldom act on evidence and research
• people, governments & communities
seldom act on evidence and research
Community disaster risk reduction:
the lessons
Community disaster risk reduction:
the lessons
• rationality can only be defined in context.• rationality can only be defined in context.
What is
reality?
What is
rationality?
What is
reality?
What is
rationality?
In science we are taught that there is
only one reality and we must search for it.
In science we are taught that there is
only one reality and we must search for it.
Actually, there are many different realities.Actually, there are many different realities.
Serious conclusion: there is not one
reality, but there are many of them.
Serious conclusion: there is not one
reality, but there are many of them.
• Corruption and human rights: strong
determinants of disaster vulnerability.
• Corruption and human rights: strong
determinants of disaster vulnerability.
• Power structures: control
decision making and explain how
disaster impacts are distributed.
• Power structures: control
decision making and explain how
disaster impacts are distributed.
• 'Elite capture': influential people
and groups capture the DRR agenda.
• 'Elite capture': influential people
and groups capture the DRR agenda.
Reality: the world as it isReality: the world as it is
welfare mobility
sovereignty identity
entitlement
proxy
wars
?
What is welfare?What is welfare?
The provision of
care to a minimum
acceptable standard
to people who are
unable adequately
to look after
themselves.
The provision of
care to a minimum
acceptable standard
to people who are
unable adequately
to look after
themselves.
But we also need
to focus on what
welfare is NOT...
But we also need
to focus on what
welfare is NOT...
• in a globalised world
sovereignty is a myth
• in a globalised world
sovereignty is a myth
• so is self-determination (we live in
a world of manufactured consent)
• so is self-determination (we live in
a world of manufactured consent)
• identity and nationality are
recent and transient concepts
• identity and nationality are
recent and transient concepts
• disaster open a window on
society: what will it show?.
• disaster open a window on
society: what will it show?.
Some assertions...Some assertions...
Displacement
and migration
Displacement
and migration
Climate change
adaptation
Climate change
adaptation
Disaster response
and mitigation
Disaster response
and mitigation
Climate changeClimate change TerrorismTerrorism
Displacement
and migration
Displacement
and migration
Pandemics
and epidemics
Pandemics
and epidemics
Population increasePopulation increase
EnvironmentalchangeEnvironmentalchange
ConflictConflict
Technological
disasters and
major incidents
Technological
disasters and
major incidents
'Natural'
disasters
'Natural'
disasters
Justice system
Rights Responsibilities
Moral
Ethical
Legal
Constitution
DisasterDisaster
Context of
disaster
Disaster risk reduction and human rights
are profoundly connected.
Disaster risk reduction and human rights
are profoundly connected.
Culture
Long term
Short term
Emic components
Etic components
METAMORPHOSIS
OF CULTURE
Experiences of culture
[mass-media and consumer culture]
Accumulated cultural traits and beliefs
Inherited cultural background
Ideological
(non-scientific)
interpretations
of disaster
Learned
(scientific)
interpretations
of disaster
Value
system
Family
culture
Work
culture
Peer
group
culture
Personal
culture
National culture
Regional culture
Etic
elements
of culture
Emic
elements
of
culture
Area
of cultural
interpenetration
Cultural
filter
Cultural
filter
Risk
management
practices
Risk
management
practices
Benign
Malignant
Technology
as a source of
risk reduction
Technology as
an inadvertent
source of risk
Technology
as a deliberate
source of risk
Ceaseless
development
of technology
Technology
as risk
mitigation
Technology
as risk
mitigation
Technology
as a source
of vulnerability
Technology
as a source
of vulnerability
Research,
development
and investment
in technology
Research,
development
and investment
in technology
individual
family
peer group
organisation
community
society
international
Culturalfilter
SociocentrismSociocentrism TechnocentrismTechnocentrism
Risk
amplification
factors
Risk
mitigation
factors
Total
vulnerability
Risk perception
factors- +positivepositivenegativenegative
DIALECTICDIALECTIC
BENIGN (healthy)
at the service of the people
BENIGN (healthy)
at the service of the people
MALIGN (corrupt)
at the service of vested interests
MALIGN (corrupt)
at the service of vested interests
interplay dialectic
JustificationJustification DevelopmentDevelopment
[spiritual, cultural, political, economic][spiritual, cultural, political, economic]
IDEOLOGY CULTURE
Conclusions
THE PILLARS OF MODERN LIFETHE PILLARS OF MODERN LIFE
idealism
principle
belief
faith
fanaticism
ultranationalism
authoritarianism
backlash
virtue
charity
service
defence of principles
unscrupulousness
corruption
opportunism
censure
capital availability
wealth diffusion
financial security
financial repression
debt burden
consumerism
ingegnuity
pragmatism
technological progress
crass materialism
galloping consumption
pollution and waste
technological hegemony
Ideocentrism
Morality
Luchrocentrism
Technocentrism
SPIRITSPIRITFLESHFLESH
PHILOSOPHICALPHILOSOPHICALMECHANISTICMECHANISTIC
Positive Negative
...culturally conditioned....culturally conditioned.
Ideocentrism
+ ideal: effective disaster mitigation
- fanaticism: politicization of humanitarian relief
Morality
+ virtue: untiring application of mitigation measures
- corruption: failure to observe building codes
Luchrocentrism
+ financial security: monetary reserves vs. disaster
- financial repression: poverty --> vulnerability
Technocentrism
+ ingenuity: new hazard monitoring systems
- technological hegemony: unfair distribution of
mitigation benefits
Organisational
systems:
management
Social
systems:
behaviour
Natural
systems:
function
Technical
systems:
malfunction
VulnerabilityHazard
Resilience
Political
systems:
decisions
david.alexander@ucl.ac.uk
www.slideshare.net/dealexander
emergency-planning.blogspot.com
Thank you
for listening!

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The human dimension of disasters

  • 1. The Human Dimension of Disasters The Human Dimension of Disasters David Alexander University College London
  • 3. Disaster Risk ReductionDisaster Risk Reduction or disaster risk creation?or disaster risk creation?
  • 4. Alan Kurdi 2015 To see our world as it is.
  • 5. Xenophobia distrust of unfamiliar people Xenophobia distrust of unfamiliar people Compassion desire to help refugees Compassion desire to help refugees Rejectionism it is not our problem Rejectionism it is not our problem Distancing not in my back yard Distancing not in my back yard The age of mass cognitive dissonanceThe age of mass cognitive dissonance Charity willingness to donate Charity willingness to donate
  • 8. Capital is winning against labour: when will the tide turn? Capital is winning against labour: when will the tide turn? US$7.6 trillion hidden in 87 tax havens, 43 people are as rich as half the world. US$7.6 trillion hidden in 87 tax havens, 43 people are as rich as half the world.
  • 9. • consolidate power structures• consolidate power structures • augment profits, redistribute wealth• augment profits, redistribute wealth • allow introduction of conveniently repressive measures • allow introduction of conveniently repressive measures • permit gratuitous social engineering.• permit gratuitous social engineering. The economic and social VALUE of disasters The economic and social VALUE of disasters
  • 10. Disasters are a vehicle for economic, social and political opportunism
  • 11. Lesson to be learned: We will never even understand the problem, let alone solve it, unless we start being realistic about the world in which we live. Lesson to be learned: We will never even understand the problem, let alone solve it, unless we start being realistic about the world in which we live.
  • 12. Whatever decisions are made about disaster risk reduction, they should be based on evidence.
  • 13. • base decisions on accumulated evidence of what actually happens • base decisions on accumulated evidence of what actually happens • widely used in medicine, recommended for DRR • widely used in medicine, recommended for DRR • migration studies, for instance, badly need an evidence base • migration studies, for instance, badly need an evidence base • BUT: evidence can be misleading, inconsistent or indeterminate • BUT: evidence can be misleading, inconsistent or indeterminate "Evidence-based practice""Evidence-based practice" • it can defy interpretation, be misused or be used selectively. • it can defy interpretation, be misused or be used selectively.
  • 14. • decisions are seldom made on the basis of evidence and research • decisions are seldom made on the basis of evidence and research • there is a general lack of interest in disaster risk reduction • there is a general lack of interest in disaster risk reduction • corruption is one of the principal causes of disaster. • corruption is one of the principal causes of disaster. Some home truths about disaster risk reduction Some home truths about disaster risk reduction • the world disaster relief system is extremely inefficient and in crisis • the world disaster relief system is extremely inefficient and in crisis
  • 15. • corruption• corruption • political decision-making• political decision-making • shoddy building (often wilful)• shoddy building (often wilful) • ignorance (sometimes wilful)• ignorance (sometimes wilful) • seismicity.• seismicity. What causes earthquake disasters? - in probable order of importance - What causes earthquake disasters? - in probable order of importance -
  • 16. VulnerabilityVulnerability Total: life is generally precarious Economic: people lack adequate occupation Technological/technocratic: due to the riskiness of technology Delinquent: caused by corruption, negligence, etc. Residual: caused by lack of modernisation Newly generated: caused by changes in circumstances Total: life is generally precarious Economic: people lack adequate occupation Technological/technocratic: due to the riskiness of technology Delinquent: caused by corruption, negligence, etc. Residual: caused by lack of modernisation Newly generated: caused by changes in circumstances
  • 18. • there is no characteristic defining scale • there is no characteristic defining scale • communities are not necessarily homogeneous or harmonious units • communities are not necessarily homogeneous or harmonious units • community identity is a highly variable phenomenon • community identity is a highly variable phenomenon • power structures control decision making • power structures control decision making • marginalised communities have no power. • marginalised communities have no power. What is a community?What is a community?
  • 19. • communities are not particularly interested in DRR • communities are not particularly interested in DRR • neither are governments• neither are governments • disasters can be explained with reference to power structures • disasters can be explained with reference to power structures • people, governments & communities seldom act on evidence and research • people, governments & communities seldom act on evidence and research Community disaster risk reduction: the lessons Community disaster risk reduction: the lessons • rationality can only be defined in context.• rationality can only be defined in context.
  • 20. What is reality? What is rationality? What is reality? What is rationality?
  • 21. In science we are taught that there is only one reality and we must search for it. In science we are taught that there is only one reality and we must search for it. Actually, there are many different realities.Actually, there are many different realities.
  • 22. Serious conclusion: there is not one reality, but there are many of them. Serious conclusion: there is not one reality, but there are many of them.
  • 23. • Corruption and human rights: strong determinants of disaster vulnerability. • Corruption and human rights: strong determinants of disaster vulnerability. • Power structures: control decision making and explain how disaster impacts are distributed. • Power structures: control decision making and explain how disaster impacts are distributed. • 'Elite capture': influential people and groups capture the DRR agenda. • 'Elite capture': influential people and groups capture the DRR agenda. Reality: the world as it isReality: the world as it is
  • 25. What is welfare?What is welfare? The provision of care to a minimum acceptable standard to people who are unable adequately to look after themselves. The provision of care to a minimum acceptable standard to people who are unable adequately to look after themselves. But we also need to focus on what welfare is NOT... But we also need to focus on what welfare is NOT...
  • 26. • in a globalised world sovereignty is a myth • in a globalised world sovereignty is a myth • so is self-determination (we live in a world of manufactured consent) • so is self-determination (we live in a world of manufactured consent) • identity and nationality are recent and transient concepts • identity and nationality are recent and transient concepts • disaster open a window on society: what will it show?. • disaster open a window on society: what will it show?. Some assertions...Some assertions...
  • 27. Displacement and migration Displacement and migration Climate change adaptation Climate change adaptation Disaster response and mitigation Disaster response and mitigation
  • 28. Climate changeClimate change TerrorismTerrorism Displacement and migration Displacement and migration Pandemics and epidemics Pandemics and epidemics Population increasePopulation increase EnvironmentalchangeEnvironmentalchange ConflictConflict Technological disasters and major incidents Technological disasters and major incidents 'Natural' disasters 'Natural' disasters
  • 30. Disaster risk reduction and human rights are profoundly connected. Disaster risk reduction and human rights are profoundly connected.
  • 32. Long term Short term Emic components Etic components METAMORPHOSIS OF CULTURE Experiences of culture [mass-media and consumer culture] Accumulated cultural traits and beliefs Inherited cultural background Ideological (non-scientific) interpretations of disaster Learned (scientific) interpretations of disaster
  • 35. Cultural filter Cultural filter Risk management practices Risk management practices Benign Malignant Technology as a source of risk reduction Technology as an inadvertent source of risk Technology as a deliberate source of risk Ceaseless development of technology
  • 36. Technology as risk mitigation Technology as risk mitigation Technology as a source of vulnerability Technology as a source of vulnerability Research, development and investment in technology Research, development and investment in technology individual family peer group organisation community society international Culturalfilter SociocentrismSociocentrism TechnocentrismTechnocentrism
  • 38. BENIGN (healthy) at the service of the people BENIGN (healthy) at the service of the people MALIGN (corrupt) at the service of vested interests MALIGN (corrupt) at the service of vested interests interplay dialectic JustificationJustification DevelopmentDevelopment [spiritual, cultural, political, economic][spiritual, cultural, political, economic] IDEOLOGY CULTURE
  • 40. THE PILLARS OF MODERN LIFETHE PILLARS OF MODERN LIFE idealism principle belief faith fanaticism ultranationalism authoritarianism backlash virtue charity service defence of principles unscrupulousness corruption opportunism censure capital availability wealth diffusion financial security financial repression debt burden consumerism ingegnuity pragmatism technological progress crass materialism galloping consumption pollution and waste technological hegemony Ideocentrism Morality Luchrocentrism Technocentrism SPIRITSPIRITFLESHFLESH PHILOSOPHICALPHILOSOPHICALMECHANISTICMECHANISTIC Positive Negative
  • 41. ...culturally conditioned....culturally conditioned. Ideocentrism + ideal: effective disaster mitigation - fanaticism: politicization of humanitarian relief Morality + virtue: untiring application of mitigation measures - corruption: failure to observe building codes Luchrocentrism + financial security: monetary reserves vs. disaster - financial repression: poverty --> vulnerability Technocentrism + ingenuity: new hazard monitoring systems - technological hegemony: unfair distribution of mitigation benefits