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Making Disruption Profitableā„¢

How Google+ Will Trivialize
Pureplay Social Networks
Opportunities 2012-2013

Entire contents Ā© 2010-2012 by Christopher S. Rollyson
Agenda
ā€¢

Background
ā€“ How search works
ā€“ How social data is different
ā€“ How Google+ combines social and search to change the game
ā€“ Googleā€™s business model much more robust and why thatā€™s
important

ā€¢

Opportunity
ā€“ Debunking conventional wisdom
ā€“ Google+ functionality and opportunities
ā€“ Features and how ļ¬rms can use them

ā€¢

Recommendations for 2012

Copyrighted
material
Conļ¬dential

1/24/2012

Social Business for Enterprise, Government & Small Business

2
Background: My Perspective
ā€¢
ā€¢
ā€¢
ā€¢

25 years experience as management
consultant and line executive
Expertise: disruptive innovation, strategy
and transformation
Strategy and execution for game-changers:
Java, e-business, SOA, Web 2.0, social networks
Founded CSRA in 2006 to advise commercial and government
enterprises on social business

Copyrighted
material
Conļ¬dential

1/24/2012

Social Business for Enterprise, Government & Small Business

3
Background: Conventional Wisdom: ā€œGoogle
Failed Socialā€
ā€¢

Orkutā€”social network launched in 2004

ā€¢

Dodgeballā€”geosocial app acquired in 2005

ā€¢

Jaikuā€”microblog app acquired in 2007

ā€¢

Google Waveā€”Launched in 2009, integrated functions of
email, IM, photo sharing and groupware

ā€¢

Google Buzzā€”Launched in 2010

ā€¢

Google+ā€”Launched in 2011

Copyrighted
material
Conļ¬dential

1/24/2012

Social Business for Enterprise, Government & Small Business

4
Background: Conventional Wisdom: ā€œGoogle
Failed Socialā€
Orkutā€”social network launched in 2004

ā€¢

Dodgeballā€”geosocial app acquired in 2005

ā€¢

Jaikuā€”microblog app acquired in 2007

ā€¢

Google Waveā€”Launched in 2009, integrated functions of
email, IM, photo sharing and groupware

ā€¢

Google Buzzā€”Launched in 2010

ā€¢

Google+ā€”Launched in 2011

#

F

A

IL

ā€¢

Copyrighted
material
Conļ¬dential

1/24/2012

Social Business for Enterprise, Government & Small Business

4
ā€¢

Social action: "an action is 'social' if the
acting individual takes account of the
behavior of others and is thereby oriented
in its courseā€ (Max Weber)*

ā€¢

Pureplay value proposition
ā€“ More engagement

ā€¢

Google+ value proposition
ā€“ Infusing search with social

Action

Background: The Anatomy of a Social Action

Social

Explicit

Implicit

Copyrighted
material
Conļ¬dential

1/24/2012

* http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Social_actions

Social Business for Enterprise, Government & Small Business

5
Background: Social Network Business Models
ā€¢
ā€¢
ā€¢
ā€¢

Twitter: still searching
LinkedIn: diverse revenue streams
Facebook: growing on size and gaming
Google: in a class by itself, revenue from Google+ not needed

300 million users
120 million users

$243 million (2010)

800 million users

$4,270 million (2011)

90 million users*
Source: Wikipedia

$45 million (2010)

$29,321 million (2010)

* Projected 400 million, December 2012 - Website-Monitoring

Copyrighted
material
Conļ¬dential

1/24/2012

Social Business for Enterprise, Government & Small Business

6
Background: Big Idea

Pureplays pale in comparison
to Google: it can outinvest
them and create synergies
with Internet search
Copyrighted
material
Conļ¬dential

1/24/2012

Social Business for Enterprise, Government & Small Business

7
Strategy: Introduction to Google+
ā€¢
ā€¢
ā€¢
ā€¢
ā€¢
ā€¢
ā€¢

Proļ¬le, friends, circles
One Wall.. but also Walls for each circle
Share updates, photos, videos and +1 (likes)
Photo & video albums: powerful editing tools
Google authentication across the Web
Hangouts: real-time video chat
Analogous to Twitter and Facebook, but...
ā€“ No 140 character limit
ā€“ No need for advertising (thatā€™s not the model)

ā€¢

Copyrighted
material
Conļ¬dential

1/24/2012

Sharing is easy and clean, one click
ā€“
ā€“
ā€“
ā€“

Friends and Extended friends
Any combination of Circles
Individual user [is a private message]
The Public
Social Business for Enterprise, Government & Small Business

8
Strategy: Google+ Balance Sheet
ā€¢

Strengths
ā€“ Social actions juice search results
ā€¢ Internet searches more relevant to buying than social networksā€™
ā€¢ Normal Google combined with ā€œsocial network effectā€

ā€“ More focused, less advertising
ā€“ Seamless integration with other Google products
ā€“ Android ecosystem will introduce mobile advantages
ā€“ Your competitors donā€™t understand it

ā€¢

Weaknesses
ā€“ Mink oiled boots syndrome
ā€“ Less obvious value proposition for users
ā€“ Potential antitrust impact

Copyrighted
material
Conļ¬dential

1/24/2012

ā€¢ FTC investigating whether Google unfairly advantages Google+
results
ā€¢ Think Microsoft desktop+browser
Social Business for Enterprise, Government & Small Business

9
Strategy: Google+ Strategy: Add Social to Search

SPYW
Search
Plus Your World

Copyrighted
material
Conļ¬dential

1/24/2012

Social Business for Enterprise, Government & Small Business

10
Strategy: Google+ Strategy: Add Social to Search

SPYW
Search
Plus Your World

Copyrighted
material
Conļ¬dential

1/24/2012

Social Business for Enterprise, Government & Small Business

10
Strategy: Google+ Strategy: Add Social to Search

SPYW
Search
Plus Your World

Copyrighted
material
Conļ¬dential

1/24/2012

Social Business for Enterprise, Government & Small Business

10
Strategy: Google+ Strategy: Add Social to Search

SPYW
Search
Plus Your World

Copyrighted
material
Conļ¬dential

1/24/2012

Social Business for Enterprise, Government & Small Business

10
Strategy: Big Idea

Google has more social
transactions with people
than all other social
networks combined
Copyrighted
material
Conļ¬dential

1/24/2012

Social Business for Enterprise, Government & Small Business

11
Opportunity: Functionality and Tools
ā€¢

Circles let you segment and relate
ā€“ Different types of prospects
ā€“ Each with its own Wall
ā€“ Affect search results

ā€¢
ā€¢

Growing developer community will add widgets
Pages for brands but better
ā€“ Circles make it easier to share with various constituencies
ā€“ Synergies with YouTube, Picasa, Docs and others

ā€¢
ā€¢

Facebook Pages very limited, most brands have poor ROI
Internet searches more likely relevant to buying decision
ā€“ Social network searches usually relevant in pre-buying

Copyrighted
material
Conļ¬dential

1/24/2012

Social Business for Enterprise, Government & Small Business

12
Opportunity: Circles Enable Granular Sharing

Copyrighted
material
Conļ¬dential

1/24/2012

Social Business for Enterprise, Government & Small Business

13
Opportunity: Circles Have Their Own Walls

Copyrighted
material
Conļ¬dential

1/24/2012

Social Business for Enterprise, Government & Small Business

14
Opportunity: Big Idea

Google+ is not a mere social
networkā€”it combines social
actions with search to impact
Internet buyersā€™ decisions
Copyrighted
material
Conļ¬dential

1/24/2012

Social Business for Enterprise, Government & Small Business

15
Recommendations: Google+ Opportunities in 2012
ā€¢

Make Google+ pilots a priority if your ļ¬rm invests in Internet
search/SEO/SEM
ā€“ There will clearly be disruptive advantages because social data
improves relevance (and search results)

ā€¢

Explore Google+ pilots if your ļ¬rm does not invest in search
ā€“ Analyze Google+ activity and memberships
ā€“ Determine how its segmentation and sharing tools compare to
your other social business investments

ā€¢

Google+ will disrupt the market, so most organizations will
beneļ¬t from gaining experience with it
ā€“ Few ļ¬rms understand it because they think itā€™s a social network
ā€“ Use their confusion to your advantage

ā€¢
Copyrighted
material

Remember, Google+ is social
ā€“ It will take time to develop a quality community (in circles)
ā€“ Community sharing affects search results and buying decisions

Conļ¬dential

1/24/2012

Social Business for Enterprise, Government & Small Business

16
Learning More: Contact
ā€¢

Social Business Services
ā€“
ā€“

ā€¢

The Social Network Roadmap
ā€“
ā€“

ā€¢

Copyrighted
material
Conļ¬dential

1/24/2012

Methodology for platform-based social business execution
http://executivesguide-socialnetworks.com

The Global Human Capital Journal
ā€“
ā€“

ā€¢

Social business risk mitigation methodology & toolset
http://socialnetworkroadmap.com

The Executiveā€™s Guide to Social Networks
ā€“
ā€“

ā€¢

How enterprises evolve sales, marketing, service, HR,
IT, Product Management...
http://socialbusinessservices.biz

CEO/CMO/CIO journal for innovation
http://globalhumancapital.org

Social networks
ā€“
ā€“
ā€“
ā€“
ā€“

http://www.linkedin.com/in/csrollyson
http://www.facebook.com/csrollyson
http://google.com/proļ¬les/csrollyson
http://tinyurl.com/orkut-csrollyson
http://tinyurl.com/xing-csrollyson
Social Business for Enterprise, Government & Small Business

Microblogs & Video
ā€¢ http://twitter.com/socbussvcs
ā€¢ http://twitter.com/snroadmap
ā€¢ http://twitter.com/execguide
ā€¢ http://twitter.com/csrollyson
ā€¢ http://foursquare.com/csrollyson
ā€¢ http://youtube.com/user/csrollyson
ā€¢ http://vimeo.com/csrollyson
ā€¢ http://identi.ca/csrollyson
ā€¢ http://csrollyson/tumblr.com/
ā€¢ http://plurk.com/user/csrollyson
ā€¢ http://friendfeed.com/csrollyson
Other
ā€¢ skype/IM - csrollyson
ā€¢ iphone - chris@rollyson.net
ā€¢ iphone +1.312.925.1549

17

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How Google+ Will Trivialize Pureplay Social Networks

  • 1. Making Disruption Profitableā„¢ How Google+ Will Trivialize Pureplay Social Networks Opportunities 2012-2013 Entire contents Ā© 2010-2012 by Christopher S. Rollyson
  • 2. Agenda ā€¢ Background ā€“ How search works ā€“ How social data is different ā€“ How Google+ combines social and search to change the game ā€“ Googleā€™s business model much more robust and why thatā€™s important ā€¢ Opportunity ā€“ Debunking conventional wisdom ā€“ Google+ functionality and opportunities ā€“ Features and how ļ¬rms can use them ā€¢ Recommendations for 2012 Copyrighted material Conļ¬dential 1/24/2012 Social Business for Enterprise, Government & Small Business 2
  • 3. Background: My Perspective ā€¢ ā€¢ ā€¢ ā€¢ 25 years experience as management consultant and line executive Expertise: disruptive innovation, strategy and transformation Strategy and execution for game-changers: Java, e-business, SOA, Web 2.0, social networks Founded CSRA in 2006 to advise commercial and government enterprises on social business Copyrighted material Conļ¬dential 1/24/2012 Social Business for Enterprise, Government & Small Business 3
  • 4. Background: Conventional Wisdom: ā€œGoogle Failed Socialā€ ā€¢ Orkutā€”social network launched in 2004 ā€¢ Dodgeballā€”geosocial app acquired in 2005 ā€¢ Jaikuā€”microblog app acquired in 2007 ā€¢ Google Waveā€”Launched in 2009, integrated functions of email, IM, photo sharing and groupware ā€¢ Google Buzzā€”Launched in 2010 ā€¢ Google+ā€”Launched in 2011 Copyrighted material Conļ¬dential 1/24/2012 Social Business for Enterprise, Government & Small Business 4
  • 5. Background: Conventional Wisdom: ā€œGoogle Failed Socialā€ Orkutā€”social network launched in 2004 ā€¢ Dodgeballā€”geosocial app acquired in 2005 ā€¢ Jaikuā€”microblog app acquired in 2007 ā€¢ Google Waveā€”Launched in 2009, integrated functions of email, IM, photo sharing and groupware ā€¢ Google Buzzā€”Launched in 2010 ā€¢ Google+ā€”Launched in 2011 # F A IL ā€¢ Copyrighted material Conļ¬dential 1/24/2012 Social Business for Enterprise, Government & Small Business 4
  • 6. ā€¢ Social action: "an action is 'social' if the acting individual takes account of the behavior of others and is thereby oriented in its courseā€ (Max Weber)* ā€¢ Pureplay value proposition ā€“ More engagement ā€¢ Google+ value proposition ā€“ Infusing search with social Action Background: The Anatomy of a Social Action Social Explicit Implicit Copyrighted material Conļ¬dential 1/24/2012 * http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Social_actions Social Business for Enterprise, Government & Small Business 5
  • 7. Background: Social Network Business Models ā€¢ ā€¢ ā€¢ ā€¢ Twitter: still searching LinkedIn: diverse revenue streams Facebook: growing on size and gaming Google: in a class by itself, revenue from Google+ not needed 300 million users 120 million users $243 million (2010) 800 million users $4,270 million (2011) 90 million users* Source: Wikipedia $45 million (2010) $29,321 million (2010) * Projected 400 million, December 2012 - Website-Monitoring Copyrighted material Conļ¬dential 1/24/2012 Social Business for Enterprise, Government & Small Business 6
  • 8. Background: Big Idea Pureplays pale in comparison to Google: it can outinvest them and create synergies with Internet search Copyrighted material Conļ¬dential 1/24/2012 Social Business for Enterprise, Government & Small Business 7
  • 9. Strategy: Introduction to Google+ ā€¢ ā€¢ ā€¢ ā€¢ ā€¢ ā€¢ ā€¢ Proļ¬le, friends, circles One Wall.. but also Walls for each circle Share updates, photos, videos and +1 (likes) Photo & video albums: powerful editing tools Google authentication across the Web Hangouts: real-time video chat Analogous to Twitter and Facebook, but... ā€“ No 140 character limit ā€“ No need for advertising (thatā€™s not the model) ā€¢ Copyrighted material Conļ¬dential 1/24/2012 Sharing is easy and clean, one click ā€“ ā€“ ā€“ ā€“ Friends and Extended friends Any combination of Circles Individual user [is a private message] The Public Social Business for Enterprise, Government & Small Business 8
  • 10. Strategy: Google+ Balance Sheet ā€¢ Strengths ā€“ Social actions juice search results ā€¢ Internet searches more relevant to buying than social networksā€™ ā€¢ Normal Google combined with ā€œsocial network effectā€ ā€“ More focused, less advertising ā€“ Seamless integration with other Google products ā€“ Android ecosystem will introduce mobile advantages ā€“ Your competitors donā€™t understand it ā€¢ Weaknesses ā€“ Mink oiled boots syndrome ā€“ Less obvious value proposition for users ā€“ Potential antitrust impact Copyrighted material Conļ¬dential 1/24/2012 ā€¢ FTC investigating whether Google unfairly advantages Google+ results ā€¢ Think Microsoft desktop+browser Social Business for Enterprise, Government & Small Business 9
  • 11. Strategy: Google+ Strategy: Add Social to Search SPYW Search Plus Your World Copyrighted material Conļ¬dential 1/24/2012 Social Business for Enterprise, Government & Small Business 10
  • 12. Strategy: Google+ Strategy: Add Social to Search SPYW Search Plus Your World Copyrighted material Conļ¬dential 1/24/2012 Social Business for Enterprise, Government & Small Business 10
  • 13. Strategy: Google+ Strategy: Add Social to Search SPYW Search Plus Your World Copyrighted material Conļ¬dential 1/24/2012 Social Business for Enterprise, Government & Small Business 10
  • 14. Strategy: Google+ Strategy: Add Social to Search SPYW Search Plus Your World Copyrighted material Conļ¬dential 1/24/2012 Social Business for Enterprise, Government & Small Business 10
  • 15. Strategy: Big Idea Google has more social transactions with people than all other social networks combined Copyrighted material Conļ¬dential 1/24/2012 Social Business for Enterprise, Government & Small Business 11
  • 16. Opportunity: Functionality and Tools ā€¢ Circles let you segment and relate ā€“ Different types of prospects ā€“ Each with its own Wall ā€“ Affect search results ā€¢ ā€¢ Growing developer community will add widgets Pages for brands but better ā€“ Circles make it easier to share with various constituencies ā€“ Synergies with YouTube, Picasa, Docs and others ā€¢ ā€¢ Facebook Pages very limited, most brands have poor ROI Internet searches more likely relevant to buying decision ā€“ Social network searches usually relevant in pre-buying Copyrighted material Conļ¬dential 1/24/2012 Social Business for Enterprise, Government & Small Business 12
  • 17. Opportunity: Circles Enable Granular Sharing Copyrighted material Conļ¬dential 1/24/2012 Social Business for Enterprise, Government & Small Business 13
  • 18. Opportunity: Circles Have Their Own Walls Copyrighted material Conļ¬dential 1/24/2012 Social Business for Enterprise, Government & Small Business 14
  • 19. Opportunity: Big Idea Google+ is not a mere social networkā€”it combines social actions with search to impact Internet buyersā€™ decisions Copyrighted material Conļ¬dential 1/24/2012 Social Business for Enterprise, Government & Small Business 15
  • 20. Recommendations: Google+ Opportunities in 2012 ā€¢ Make Google+ pilots a priority if your ļ¬rm invests in Internet search/SEO/SEM ā€“ There will clearly be disruptive advantages because social data improves relevance (and search results) ā€¢ Explore Google+ pilots if your ļ¬rm does not invest in search ā€“ Analyze Google+ activity and memberships ā€“ Determine how its segmentation and sharing tools compare to your other social business investments ā€¢ Google+ will disrupt the market, so most organizations will beneļ¬t from gaining experience with it ā€“ Few ļ¬rms understand it because they think itā€™s a social network ā€“ Use their confusion to your advantage ā€¢ Copyrighted material Remember, Google+ is social ā€“ It will take time to develop a quality community (in circles) ā€“ Community sharing affects search results and buying decisions Conļ¬dential 1/24/2012 Social Business for Enterprise, Government & Small Business 16
  • 21. Learning More: Contact ā€¢ Social Business Services ā€“ ā€“ ā€¢ The Social Network Roadmap ā€“ ā€“ ā€¢ Copyrighted material Conļ¬dential 1/24/2012 Methodology for platform-based social business execution http://executivesguide-socialnetworks.com The Global Human Capital Journal ā€“ ā€“ ā€¢ Social business risk mitigation methodology & toolset http://socialnetworkroadmap.com The Executiveā€™s Guide to Social Networks ā€“ ā€“ ā€¢ How enterprises evolve sales, marketing, service, HR, IT, Product Management... http://socialbusinessservices.biz CEO/CMO/CIO journal for innovation http://globalhumancapital.org Social networks ā€“ ā€“ ā€“ ā€“ ā€“ http://www.linkedin.com/in/csrollyson http://www.facebook.com/csrollyson http://google.com/proļ¬les/csrollyson http://tinyurl.com/orkut-csrollyson http://tinyurl.com/xing-csrollyson Social Business for Enterprise, Government & Small Business Microblogs & Video ā€¢ http://twitter.com/socbussvcs ā€¢ http://twitter.com/snroadmap ā€¢ http://twitter.com/execguide ā€¢ http://twitter.com/csrollyson ā€¢ http://foursquare.com/csrollyson ā€¢ http://youtube.com/user/csrollyson ā€¢ http://vimeo.com/csrollyson ā€¢ http://identi.ca/csrollyson ā€¢ http://csrollyson/tumblr.com/ ā€¢ http://plurk.com/user/csrollyson ā€¢ http://friendfeed.com/csrollyson Other ā€¢ skype/IM - csrollyson ā€¢ iphone - chris@rollyson.net ā€¢ iphone +1.312.925.1549 17