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Event Update | FMCG
                                                                                                                          August 10, 2010



 Nestle                                                                                        NEUTRAL
                                                                                              CMP                               Rs2,805
                                                                                              Target Price                            -
 Nestle arranged its first analyst meet in CY2010 to discuss its 1HCY2010                     Investment Period                       -
 performance and future outlook. We present the key takeaways:
                                                                                               Stock Info
      Strong volume growth, exports rebound: For 1HCY2010, Nestle registered                   Sector                               FMCG
      robust top-line growth of 19% yoy driven by 17.9% yoy volume growth in                   Market Cap (Rs cr)                   27,041
      domestic business led by Maggi (26% yoy) and chocolates (25% yoy). Export
                                                                                               Beta                                    0.1
      volumes grew 29% yoy driven by pick-up in sales to Russia (36% yoy growth
      in 2QCY2010 - an anomaly due to advancement of shipments).                               52 Week High / Low           3,300/2,082
      Maggi continues ~20%+ growth rate, competition manageable: Prepared                      Avg. Daily Volume                    23,418
      dishes (Maggi) registered a strong ~26% yoy volume growth despite the high
                                                                                               Face Value (Rs)                            10
      base and rising competition (Horlick Foodles and Knorr Soupy Noodles) aided
      by well-positioned variants (Maggi Atta and Maggi Pazzta) and strong focus               BSE Sensex                           18,220
      on LUP and PPP strategy.                                                                 Nifty                                 5,461
      Input cost inflation and staggered price hikes hurt margins: During
                                                                                               Reuters Code                        NEST.BO
      2QCY2010, overall raw material cost index for Nestle rose ~10% yoy driven
      by 26% and 39% yoy rise in the prices of milk and wheat, while the palm oil              Bloomberg Code                   NEST@IN
      and green coffee prices declined ~17-18% yoy. Going ahead, management
      expects good monsoons and improved collections at the Moga factory to help
      control inflation in the milk prices, while correction in the sugar prices is likely     Shareholding Pattern (%)
      to reflect in yoy declines by 4QCY2010. However, rising prices of green
                                                                                               Promoters                              61.9
      coffee and palm oil, up 3% and 17% yoy respectively, post 2QCY2010 poses
      a risk.                                                                                  MF / Banks / Indian Fls                11.1
      Investments to rise, guides for aggressive capex: Driven by robust volume                FII / NRIs /
                                                                                                                                      10.9
      growth, Nestle has guided for aggressive capex plans and has already                     OCBs
      committed ~Rs360cr as of 1HCY2010 (~Rs70cr for 1HCY2009). We model                       Indian Public / Others                 16.1
      in ~Rs425cr capex for CY2010.

 Outlook and Valuation: While we continue to like Nestlé’s long-term growth story
 (best play on food processing theme in India), we believe that Nestlé’s premium               Abs. (%)             3m       1yr       3yr
 (100%) valuations to the Sensex (5yr average at ~80%) is at risk to negative                  Sensex               5.1    21.4       22.5
 surprises, which could emerge from: 1) gross margin pressures due to rising input             Nestle               0.9    29.1      127.5
 costs, 2) competition in high-growth noodles category from HUL and GSKCHL,
 and 3) up-tick in ad spends. Hence, we recommend Neutral view on the stock
 (post weak 2QCY2010 result, Nestlé’s stock has corrected ~7%) with a fair value
 of Rs2,804 (based on P/E multiple of 29x FY2012E earnings, and in line with its
 5-year historical average valuations).

 Key Financials
  Y/E Dec (Rs cr)                       CY2009       CY2010       CY2011E     CY2012E
  Net Sales                                4,324        5,129       6,077         7,080
  % chg                                     23.4         18.6        18.5          16.5
  Net Profit                                 534          655         768           932      Anand Shah
  % chg                                     29.1         22.6        17.2          21.4      022 – 4040 3800 Ext: 334
  EBITDA (%)                                20.0         20.2        19.0          19.2      anand.shah@angeltrade.com
  EPS (Rs)                                  55.4         67.9        79.6          96.7
  P/E (x)                                   50.6         41.3        35.2          29.0      Chitrangda Kapur
                                                                                             022 – 4040 3800 Ext: 323
  P/BV (x)                                  57.1         46.5        34.4          29.1
                                                                                             chitrangdar.kapur@angeltrade.com
  RoE (%)                                  119.8        124.2       112.2         108.7
  RoCE (%)                                 160.7        164.3       142.9         136.6
                                                                                             Sreekanth P.V.S
  EV/Sales (x)                               6.2           5.2        4.4            3.8     022 – 4040 3800 Ext: 331
  EV/EBITDA (x)                             31.1         26.0        23.3          19.7      sreekanth.s@angeltrade.com
 Source: Company, Angel Research

Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report                                                                            1
Nestle| Event Update



                                                        Top-line growth driven by volumes, price-led growth missing

                                                        For 1HCY2010, Nestle registered robust overall top-line growth of 19% yoy driven
                                                        largely by the 17.9% yoy volume growth in the domestic business and sharp rebound
                                                        in export volumes, which grew 29.3% yoy. However, price-led growth was clearly
                                                        missing (under ~1% yoy), as Nestle has taken only limited/staggered price increases
                                                        in the recent quarters to protect volume growth.

Exhibit 1: Strong domestic volumes, exports rebound                       Exhibit 2: ~25%+ yoy volume growth across categories
      32.0                                              29.3                     33.0                   27.1         25.8         25.3
      27.0                                                                       23.0
      22.0      18.3              17.9
                                                                                 13.0       7.1 6.9
      17.0
                                                                                                                         2.7             0.5




                                                                           (%)
      12.0                                                                        3.0
(%)




       7.0
                       0.7               0.5                                     (7.0)
       2.0
      (3.0)                                                                  (17.0)                        (13.6)
                                                            (0.7)
                  Total      Domestic Net                Exports                         Milk Products Beverages     Prepared     Chocolates
                                 Sales                                                                                Dishes
                   Volume growth    Realisation growth                                           Volume growth      Realisation growth

Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: numbers for 1HCY2010               Source: Company, Angel Research


                                                        Exports rebound led on higher beverage exports to Russia

                                                        Beverage volumes grew sharply by 27.1% yoy driven by the steep rebound in export
                                                        volumes (beverages constituted ~70% of exports), which have picked up due to
                                                        higher sales to Russia (accounts for ~43% of exports). However, management
                                                        indicated that the 36% yoy growth in export sales in 2QCY2010 was an anomaly on
                                                        account of advancement of shipments and not likely to repeat.

Exhibit 3: Pick up in sales to Russia drives exports                      Exhibit 4: Beverages constitute ~70% of exports
  America        Africa                                                             Prepered
                                                                                                            Chocolates
    6%            8%                               South Asia                         Dishes
                                                                                                               3%
                                                     27%                       Milk    7%
   Asia-
                                                                             Products
  Ocenia
                                                                               20%
    9%

      Europe
        7%


                                               Russia                                                                        Beverages
                                                43%                                                                            70%

Source: Company, Angel Research                                           Source: Company, Angel Research


                                                        Growth in Maggi continues unabated, chocolates regain ground

                                                        Volume growth was strong across categories with three out of four categories
                                                        registering ~25%+ yoy growth. While milk products (contribute ~46% to sales)
                                                        registered steady 7% yoy volume growth, prepared dishes registered a strong ~26%
                                                        yoy volume growth despite the high base and rising competition (Horlick Foodles
                                                        from GSK Consumer and Knorr Soupy Noodles from HUL) aided by well-positioned
                                                        variants (Maggi Atta and Maggi Pazzta are doing well) and strong focus on low-unit
                                                        price (LUP) packs and popularly positioned products (PPP). Management has also
                                                        attributed the high growth in Maggi to higher penetration.


August 10, 2010                                                                                                                                2
Nestle| Event Update



Exhibit 5: Milk products post steady growth                                             Exhibit 6: Maggi set for another year of ~20%+ growth
      18                    16                                                                 35                            30
      16                                                                                       30                   25                           26
                                          13                                                                                                               23
      14                           12                                                          25      20                             22
      12                         10                                                                                                                                 18
                                                                                               20
      10                                                        8            8                 15
                                                       7 7           7




                                                                                         (%)
(%)




        8         6
                        5                       5                                6             10                        5
        6                                                                                                                         4        4           3        3        3
            3                                                                                    5
        4
        2                                                                                      -
      -                                                                                         (5)         (1)




                                                                                                       CY06


                                                                                                                    CY07


                                                                                                                             CY08


                                                                                                                                      CY09


                                                                                                                                                  1HCY10


                                                                                                                                                           CY10E


                                                                                                                                                                    CY11E
             CY06


                        CY07


                                 CY08


                                           CY09


                                                       1HCY10


                                                                CY10E


                                                                             CY11E
                      Volume Growth               Realisation Growth                                              Volume Growth              Realisation Growth

Source: Company, Angel Research                                                          Source: Company, Angel Research


                                                                Noodles market set for exciting times; Nestle well entrenched

                                                                Nestlé’s management believes the Rs1,150cr noodles market growing at ~20% per
                                                                annum is set for acceleration in demand given entry of new players driving higher ad
                                                                spends in the segment. Moreover, the focus in the category is clearly shifting towards
                                                                healthy snacking, which should help aid market expansion. We believe that Nestle is
                                                                well-entrenched to gain from this burgeoning demand environment given: 1) strong
                                                                brand equity of Maggi, 2) better distribution reach particularly in the rural areas via
                                                                the Rs5 price pack, 3) strong portfolio with healthy variants like Maggi Atta Noodles
                                                                and recently launched Multigrainz noodles, and 4) successful extension into related
                                                                categories like pasta through Maggi Pazzta.

                                                                Management to increase focus on chocolates and confectionaries

                                                                Chocolates registered robust ~25% yoy growth in volumes aided by market share
                                                                gains (100bp yoy, currently at ~25%) and better distribution reach (retail outlets
                                                                increased to 1.2mn from 1.05mn a year ago).

Exhibit 7: Beverages rebound led by higher exports                                      Exhibit 8: Volume off-take in chocolates set to improve

      30                                              27                                       30                                                25
                                                                20
      20                                                                                       25
                14                                                          14                                                                             20
                            11       11                                                        20                  18
                        8                                                                              16
      10                                        4                                4                                                                                  14
                                 0                                                             15                            12
                                                                                                                                      10
(%)




                                                                                         (%)




      -                                                                                        10                                 6
                                                                                                                         6
                                          (3)                                                               2                              4                    3
  (10)                                                                                             5                                                   1                 2
            (9)                                                     (7)
                                                         (14)                                  -
  (20)
                                                                                                       CY06


                                                                                                                    CY07


                                                                                                                             CY08


                                                                                                                                      CY09


                                                                                                                                                  1HCY10


                                                                                                                                                           CY10E


                                                                                                                                                                    CY11E
             CY06


                        CY07


                                 CY08


                                           CY09


                                                       1HCY10


                                                                CY10E


                                                                             CY11E




                      Volume Growth               Realisation Growth                                              Volume Growth              Realisation Growth

Source: Company, Angel Research                                                          Source: Company, Angel Research

                                                                Management highlighted its renewed focus on this category and shared some
                                                                forthcoming initiatives to drive growth:

                                                                          Avoid head-on competition, focus on niche sub-segments: Over the years,
                                                                          Nestle has developed strong positioning in two smaller sub-segments of
                                                                          chocolates, viz. white and wafers. Nestle, being a distant second in chocolates to
                                                                          Cadbury, has decided to avoid head-on competition and enhance focus on
                                                                          products already registering strong growth.


August 10, 2010                                                                                                                                                              3
Nestle| Event Update



                                                Shift focus away from low-price points: While Nestlé’s low-price point SKUs at
                                                Re1 and Rs2 have done exceedingly well in driving volumes, management has
                                                now decided to shift focus towards higher price points of Rs5 and Rs10 to
                                                improve margins. In line with this strategy, Nestle has launched several new
                                                products, viz. MilkyBar at Rs5, Munch at Rs10 and 3-finger Kit-Kat at Rs10.

                                                Focus to shift on a portfolio of brands, Bar One re-launched: Driven by higher
                                                frequency of chocolate consumption and increasing experimentation with
                                                different brands by consumers, Nestle has decided to increase its focus as a
                                                portfolio of chocolate brands, viz. Kit-Kat, Munch, MilkyBar and Bar One. In line
                                                with this strategy, Nestle has re-launched Bar One with a new formulation and
                                                brand campaign (after a five-year gap).

                                          Input cost inflation and staggered price hikes hurt margins

                                          During 2QCY2010, Nestle’s overall raw material cost index increased ~10% yoy
                                          driven by the 26%, 13%, 39% and 5% yoy rise in the prices of fresh milk, skimmed
                                          milk powder, sugar and wheat respectively, while the prices of palm oil and green
                                          coffee declined 18% and 17% yoy, respectively. Management’s strong focus on
                                          maintaining high volume growth across categories leading to limited price hikes
                                          (price-led growth in the last three quarters stood at 1%, 2% and 5%, respectively)
                                          coupled with high input cost inflation led to a 263bp and 138bp yoy contraction in
                                          gross margins during 1QCY2010 and 2QCY2010, respectively.

Exhibit 9: Milk constitutes ~42% of input costs               Exhibit 10: Three quarters of gross margin contraction
                                                                    16.0                                                                           300
             Others                      Milk                       14.0                                                                           200
              24%                        34%
                                                                    12.0
                                                                    10.0                                                                           100




                                                                                                                                                         (bp)
                                                              (%)




  Sugar                                                              8.0                                                                           -
   7%                                                                6.0                                                                           (100)
                                            Skimmed                  4.0
                                              Milk                                                                                                 (200)
                                                                     2.0
   Wheat                                     Powder
                                                                      -                                                                            (300)
   Flour                                       8%
                                                                            1Q08

                                                                                   2Q08

                                                                                          3Q08

                                                                                                 4Q08

                                                                                                        1Q09

                                                                                                               2Q09

                                                                                                                      3Q09

                                                                                                                              4Q09

                                                                                                                                     1Q10

                                                                                                                                            2Q10
    9%        Vegetable               Green
                 Oil                  Coffee
                 8%                    10%                                 chg in gross margin (RHS)                         rise in cost index (LHS)


Source: Company, Angel Research                               Source: Company, Angel Research

                                          Going ahead, management expects good monsoons and improved collections at its
                                          Moga factory to help control inflation in the milk prices (key raw material accounting
                                          for ~34% of input costs), while correction in the sugar prices is likely to reflect in yoy
                                          declines by 4QCY2010. However, rising prices of green coffee and palm oil, up 3%
                                          and 17% yoy respectively, post 2QCY2010 will negate any significant gains from
                                          correction in other inputs. Moreover, management has indicated that it is willing to
                                          compromise on near-term margins to maintain high volume growth and ensure
                                          long-term profitability via staggered price hikes.

                                          While we expect the quantum of input cost pressures for Nestle to reduce in
                                          2HCY2010 driven by good monsoons and lower inflation in milk (milk prices remain
                                          the key monitorable, we model in ~17% rise for CY2010) and sugar, we expect the
                                          company’s raw material cost index to rise ~6-10% yoy in 2HCY2010 due to low
                                          base and inflation in coffee and palm oil prices. Hence, we have modeled in a gross
                                          margin contraction of 180bp yoy for CY2010 (200bp contraction in 1HCY2010).




August 10, 2010                                                                                                                                             4
Nestle| Event Update



Exhibit 11: Milk prices flat qoq, yoy inflation still high                                         Exhibit 12: Milk powder down 2% qoq, up ~10% yoy
 35                                                                                         12       20                                                                                         10
 30                                                                                         10       15
                                                                                            8                                                                                                   5
 25                                                                                                  10
                                                                                            6
 20                                                                                         4            5
                                                                                                                                                                                                -
 15                                                                                         2        -
                                                                                            -        (5)
 10                                                                                                                                                                                             (5)
                                                                                            (2)
      5                                                                                             (10)
                                                                                            (4)
  -                                                                                         (6)     (15)                                                                                        (10)




                                                                                                             1Q08

                                                                                                                    2Q08

                                                                                                                           3Q08

                                                                                                                                   4Q08

                                                                                                                                          1Q09

                                                                                                                                                 2Q09

                                                                                                                                                        3Q09

                                                                                                                                                               4Q09

                                                                                                                                                                        1Q10

                                                                                                                                                                               2Q10

                                                                                                                                                                                      Current
          1Q08

                 2Q08

                        3Q08

                                4Q08

                                       1Q09

                                              2Q09

                                                     3Q09

                                                            4Q09

                                                                   1Q10

                                                                          2Q10

                               QoQ % (RHS)                   YoY % (LHS)          Current                                         QoQ % (RHS)                   YoY % (LHS)

Source: Company, Angel Research                                                                    Source: Company, Angel Research



Exhibit 13: Coffee prices down yoy, 21% spike qoq                                                  Exhibit 14: Sugar prices down ~8-10% qoq
  40                                                                                        25       80                                                                                         30
  30                                                                                        20                                                                                                  25
                                                                                                     60                                                                                         20
  20                                                                                        15
                                                                                                                                                                                                15
                                                                                            10       40
  10                                                                                                                                                                                            10
                                                                                            5                                                                                                   5
  -                                                                                                  20
                                                                                            -                                                                                                   -
 (10)                                                                                       (5)                                                                                                 (5)
                                                                                                     -
 (20)                                                                                       (10)                                                                                                (10)
                                                                                                    (20)                                                                                        (15)
 (30)                                                                                       (15)




                                                                                                                                                                                      Current
                                                                                                             1Q08

                                                                                                                    2Q08

                                                                                                                           3Q08

                                                                                                                                   4Q08

                                                                                                                                          1Q09

                                                                                                                                                 2Q09

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                                                                                                                                                               4Q09

                                                                                                                                                                        1Q10

                                                                                                                                                                               2Q10
          1Q08

                 2Q08

                        3Q08

                                4Q08

                                       1Q09

                                              2Q09

                                                     3Q09

                                                            4Q09

                                                                   1Q10

                                                                          2Q10

                                                                                 Current




                               QoQ % (RHS)                    YoY % (LHS)                                                           QoQ % (RHS)                       YoY % (LHS)

Source: Company, Angel Research                                                                    Source: Company, Angel Research



Exhibit 15: Wheat prices volatile, inflation continues                                             Exhibit 16: Palm oil prices on the rise, spike 17% yoy
 30                                                                                         20       30                                                                                         20
 25                                                                                         15       20                                                                                         15
 20                                                                                         10       10                                                                                         10
                                                                                            5                                                                                                   5
 15                                                                                                  -
                                                                                            -                                                                                                   -
 10                                                                                                 (10)
                                                                                            (5)                                                                                                 (5)
      5                                                                                             (20)                                                                                        (10)
                                                                                            (10)
  -                                                                                         (15)    (30)                                                                                        (15)
  (5)                                                                                       (20)    (40)                                                                                        (20)
                                                                                                                                                                                      Current
                                                                                                             1Q08

                                                                                                                    2Q08

                                                                                                                           3Q08

                                                                                                                                   4Q08

                                                                                                                                          1Q09

                                                                                                                                                 2Q09

                                                                                                                                                        3Q09

                                                                                                                                                               4Q09

                                                                                                                                                                        1Q10

                                                                                                                                                                               2Q10
          1Q08

                 2Q08

                        3Q08

                                4Q08

                                       1Q09

                                              2Q09

                                                     3Q09

                                                            4Q09

                                                                   1Q10

                                                                          2Q10

                                                                                 Current




                                QoQ % (RHS)                   YoY % (LHS)                                                           QoQ % (RHS)                       YoY % (LHS)

Source: Company, Angel Research                                                                    Source: Company, Angel Research




August 10, 2010                                                                                                                                                                                        5
Nestle| Event Update




Exhibit 17: Key Assumptions
                                                                                                 #
 Sales (Rs cr)                                         CY2008   CY2009    CY2010E    CY2011E         CY09-11E
 Total Milk Products                                    1,939    2,311      2,671      3,029             14.5
 Beverages                                                801      804        897      1,064             15.0
 Prepared Dishes & Cooking Aids                         1,052    1,335      1,691      2,056             24.1
 Chocolates & Confectionaries                             680      772        954      1,109             19.9
 Total Gross Revenue                                    4,471    5,222      6,214      7,258             17.9

 YoY Growth (%)
 Total Milk Products                                     23.1     19.2       15.6       13.4
 Beverages                                               10.9      0.4       11.6       18.6
 Prepared Dishes & Cooking Aids                          34.7     26.9       26.7       21.5
 Chocolates & Confectionaries                            19.5     13.6       23.6       16.3
 Total Gross Revenue                                     22.6     16.8       19.0       16.8

 Volume Growth (%)
 Total Milk Products                                     10.1     13.1        8.0        7.5
 Beverages                                                0.0     (3.1)      20.0       14.0
 Prepared Dishes & Cooking Aids                          30.1     21.7       23.0       18.0
 Chocolates & Confectionaries                            12.4       9.7      20.0       14.0
 Total Gross Revenue                                     16.9     14.9       16.8       13.6

 Realisation Growth (%)
 Total Milk Products                                     11.7      5.4         7.0       5.5
 Beverages                                               10.9      3.6       (7.0)       4.0
 Prepared Dishes & Cooking Aids                           3.5      4.3         3.0       3.0
 Chocolates & Confectionaries                             6.3      3.5         3.0       2.0
Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: #denotes CAGR




August 10, 2010                                                                                                 6
Nestle| Event Update



Exhibit 18: Peer Valuation
 Company               Reco                               M-cap               CMP                 TP*             Upside                  P/E (x)                       EV/Sales (x)       RoE (%)                CAGR #
                                                          (Rs cr)              (Rs)               (Rs)               (%)              FY11E FY12E                     FY11E FY12E       FY11E FY12E             Sales PAT
 Asian Paints          Accumulate                     25,591                  2,668             2,773                       3.9        28.1                    24.1      3.2     2.7         40.8        37.8   17.5         17.4
 Colgate               Reduce                         11,447                    842               798                      (5.2)       26.7                    23.3      4.9     4.2     117.3          108.8   14.3          7.8
 Dabur                 Reduce                         17,478                    203               195                      (3.9)       31.1                    26.0      4.3     3.7         39.9        39.1   17.4         16.0
 GSKCHL                Reduce                              7,697              1,830             1,618                (11.6)            28.0                    23.8      3.1     2.6         27.8        27.7   16.8         18.6
 GCPL                  Accumulate                     11,646                    360               397                      10.2        25.1                    20.0      3.7     3.0         34.2        30.1   44.5         27.9
 HUL                   Reduce                         56,658                    260               237                      (8.9)       26.3                    23.2      2.7     2.4         73.0        72.8   10.8          7.9
 ITC                   Neutral                        59,198                    157               155                      (1.5)       25.0                    22.3      2.5     2.2         31.4        30.1   14.4         15.2
 Marico                Accumulate                          7,238                119               124                       4.4        25.1                    21.1      2.4     2.1         37.3        33.0   16.1         19.3
 Nestle                Neutral                        27,041                  2,805             2,804                      (0.0)       35.2                    29.0      4.4     3.8     112.2          108.7   17.5         19.3
Source: Company, Angel Research, Note: # denotes CAGR for FY2010-12E, * In case of Neutral recommendation, TP = Fair value

Exhibit 19: Angel v/s Consensus estimates
 Top-line (Rs cr)                                                       FY2011E                                    FY2012E             EPS (Rs)                                              FY2011E              FY2012E
 Angel estimates                                                          6,077                                      7,080             Angel estimates                                          79.6                 96.7
 Consensus                                                                6,050                                      7,089             Consensus                                                82.9                 99.5
 Diff (%)                                                                    0.4                                      (0.1)            Diff (%)                                                 (4.0)                (2.9)
Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research

Exhibit 20: One-yr returns of Nestle v/s Sensex                                                                                        Exhibit 21: One-yr forward P/E band

   150%                                                                                                                                                     3,500        21x           25x              29x            33x
                                                  Sensex                      Nestle
   140%                                                                                                                                                     3,000
   130%                                                                                                                                                     2,500
                                                                                                                                         Share Price (Rs)




   120%                                                                                                                                                     2,000

   110%                                                                                                                                                     1,500

   100%                                                                                                                                                     1,000

       90%                                                                                                                                                   500
                                                                                                                                                               -
       80%
                                                                                                                                                                    Oct-05



                                                                                                                                                                    Oct-06



                                                                                                                                                                    Oct-07



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                                                                                                                                                                    Apr-10
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                                                                                                                                                                     Jul-10
                               Oct-09




                                                            Jan-10

                                                                     Feb-10
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                                                                                                May-10

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             Aug-09




                                        Nov-09




                                                                                       Apr-10




                                                                                                                             Aug-10
                      Sep-09




                                                 Dec-09




Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: Returns indexed to 100                                                                           Source: Company, Angel Research


Exhibit 22: One-yr forward P/E chart                                                                                                   Exhibit 23: One-yr forward Premium v/s Sensex chart

 45.0                                                                                                                                     160%
 40.0                                                                                                                                     140%
 35.0                                                                                                                                     120%
 30.0                                                                                                                                     100%
 25.0                                                                                                                                      80%
 20.0
                                                                                                                                           60%
 15.0
                                                                                                                                           40%
 10.0
  5.0                                                                                                                                      20%
   -                                                                                                                                        0%
                                                                                                                                                              Jan-03




                                                                                                                                                              Jan-10
                                                                                                                                                              Nov-03
                                                                                                                                                              Jun-03



                                                                                                                                                              Sep-04
                                                                                                                                                              Feb-05
                                                                                                                                                               Jul-05
                                                                                                                                                              Dec-05
                                                                                                                                                              May-06
                                                                                                                                                              Oct-06
                                                                                                                                                              Mar-07

                                                                                                                                                              Dec-07
                                                                                                                                                              May-08
                                                                                                                                                              Oct-08
                                                                                                                                                              Mar-09



                                                                                                                                                              Jun-10
                                                                                                                                                              Apr-02
                                                                                                                                                              Aug-02




                                                                                                                                                              Apr-04




                                                                                                                                                              Aug-07




                                                                                                                                                              Aug-09
          Jan-03
          Jun-03




          Feb-05
           Jul-05

          May-06
          Oct-06
          Mar-07



          May-08
          Oct-08
          Mar-09

          Jan-10
          Jun-10
          Apr-02
          Aug-02



          Nov-03
          Apr-04




          Aug-07




          Aug-09
          Sep-04



          Dec-05




          Dec-07




Source: Company, Angel Research, Note: Blue-line indicates 5-year average                                                               Source: Company, Angel Research, Note: Blue-line indicates 5-year average




August 10, 2010                                                                                                                                                                                                                 7
Nestle| Event Update



                  Profit & Loss Statement
                  Y/E Dec (Rs cr)                 CY06    CY07    CY08      CY09   CY10E   CY11E
                  Gross sales                     2,944   3,647   4,471    5,222   6,214   7,258
                  Less: Excise duty                128     143     147        93     137     178
                  Net Sales                       2,816   3,504   4,324    5,129   6,077   7,080
                  Total operating income          2,816   3,504   4,324    5,129   6,077   7,080
                  % chg                            13.7    24.4    23.4     18.6    18.5    16.5
                  Total Expenditure               2,275   2,808   3,461    4,095   4,924   5,719
                  Cost of Materials               1,320   1,685   2,104    2,448   3,007   3,510
                  Advertising Exp                  149     172     194       268     346     418
                  Personnel                        211     263     307       432     453     510
                  Others                           594     688     855       947   1,118   1,282
                  EBITDA                           542     696     864     1,034   1,153   1,362
                  % chg                             3.7    28.6    24.1     19.8    11.4    18.1
                  (% of Net Sales)                 19.2    19.9    20.0     20.2    19.0    19.2
                  Depreciation& Amortisation        66      75      92       111     130     146
                  EBIT                             475     622     771       923   1,023   1,216
                  % chg                             2.2    30.8    24.1     19.7    10.8    18.8
                  (% of Net Sales)                 16.9    17.7    17.8     18.0    16.8    17.2
                  Interest & other Charges           0       1       2         1       1         1
                  Other Income                      21      25      34        38      41      47
                  (% of PBT)                        4.2     3.9     4.2      3.9     3.9     3.7
                  Share in profit of Associates      0       0       0         0       0         0
                  Recurring PBT                    495     646     804       960   1,063   1,261
                  % chg                             1.4    30.4    24.4     19.4    10.8    18.6
                  Extraordinary Expense/(Inc.)      15      18      31        43      19      20
                  PBT (reported)                   481     629     773       917   1,044   1,241
                  Tax                              165     215     239       262     276     309
                  (% of PBT)                       33.4    33.2    29.7     27.3    26.0    24.5
                  PAT (reported)                   315     414     534       655     768     932
                  Add: Share of associates           0       0       0         0       0         0
                  Less: Minority interest (MI)       0       0       0         0       0         0
                  PAT after MI (reported)          315     414     534       655     768     932
                  ADJ. PAT                         330     431     565       698     787     952
                  % chg                             0.2    30.7    31.0     23.5    12.8    21.0
                  (% of Net Sales)                 11.7    12.3    13.1     13.6    12.9    13.4
                  Basic EPS (Rs)                   32.7    42.9    55.4     67.9    79.6    96.7
                  Fully Diluted EPS (Rs)           32.7    42.9    55.4     67.9    79.6    96.7
                  % chg                             1.8    31.3    29.1     22.6    17.2    21.4




August 10, 2010                                                                              8
Nestle| Event Update



                  Balance Sheet
                  Y/E Dec (Rs cr)                CY06       CY07         CY08              CY09        CY10E     CY11E
                  SOURCES OF FUNDS
                  Equity Share Capital             96            96            96            96           96        96
                  Preference Capital                 -            -              -             -            -          -
                  Reserves& Surplus               292        322              377           485          690       833
                  Shareholders Funds              389        418              473           581          787       929
                  Minority Interest                  -            -              -             -            -          -
                  Total Loans                      16             3              -             -            -          -
                  Deferred Tax Liability           19            29            37            32           32        32
                  Total Liabilities               424        450              510           613          819       961
                  APPLICATION OF FUNDS
                  Gross Block                    1,058     1,180         1,405             1,641       2,026     2,284
                  Less: Acc. Depreciation         516        578              652           745          874     1,020
                  Net Block                       542        602              753           896        1,151     1,264
                  Capital Work-in-Progress         38            74           109            80          122       114
                  Goodwill                           -            -              -             -            -          -
                  Investments                      78            94            35           203          228       253
                  Current Assets                  535        638              798           857          963     1,212
                     Cash                          76            38           194           156          138       269
                     Loans & Advances             127        145              124           138          158       177
                     Other                        332        455              481           563          667       766
                  Current liabilities             769        958         1,185             1,422       1,646     1,882
                  Net Current Assets             (234)      (320)            (387)         (566)        (683)     (670)
                  Misc Exp. not written off          -            -              -             -            -          -
                  Total Assets                    424        450              510           613          819       961


                  Cash Flow Statement
                  Y/E Dec (Rs cr)                        CY06     CY07         CY08         CY09       CY10E     CY11E
                  Profit before tax                       481         629        773          917       1,044    1,241
                  Depreciation                             66          75            92       111        130       146
                  Change in Working Cap                    18           8            84       131        129        95
                  Interest / Dividend (Net)                (5)         (4)       (13)         (13)       (15)      (17)
                  Direct taxes paid                       165         215        239          262        276       309
                  Others                                   21          22            21       (14)         56       23
                  Cash Flow from Operations               416         514        719          871       1,068    1,179
                  Inc./ (Dec.) in Fixed Assets           (124)    (157)        (261)         (206)      (427)     (251)
                  Inc./ (Dec.) in Investments              27         (17)           60      (168)        (25)     (25)
                  Cash Flow from Investing                (98)    (174)        (201)         (375)      (452)     (276)
                  Issue of Equity                            -        -            -             -          -         -
                  Inc./(Dec.) in loans                      2         (13)           (3)           -         -         -
                  Dividend Paid (Incl. Tax)               285         370        372          547        649       790
                  Interest / Dividend (Net)                (5)         (4)       (13)         (13)        (15)     (17)
                  Cash Flow from Financing               (279)    (379)        (362)         (534)      (634)     (773)
                  Inc./(Dec.) in Cash                      40         (39)       156          (38)       (18)      131
                  Opening Cash balances                    37          76         38          194        156       138
                  Closing Cash balances                    76          38        194          156        138       269




August 10, 2010                                                                                                    9
Nestle| Event Update




                  Key Ratios
                  Y/E Dec                      CY06     CY07     CY08     CY09     CY10E    CY11E
                  Valuation Ratio (x)
                  P/E (on FDEPS)                85.8     65.3     50.6     41.3     35.2     29.0
                  P/CEPS                        70.9     55.3     43.2     35.3     30.1     25.1
                  P/BV                          69.5     64.6     57.1     46.5     34.4     29.1
                  Dividend yield (%)             0.9      1.2      1.5      1.7      2.1      2.5
                  EV/Sales                       9.6      7.7      6.2      5.2      4.4      3.8
                  EV/EBITDA                     49.8     38.8     31.1     26.0     23.3     19.7
                  EV / Total Assets             63.6     60.0     52.6     43.8     32.9     27.9
                  Per Share Data (Rs)
                  EPS (Basic)                   32.7     42.9     55.4     67.9     79.6     96.7
                  EPS (fully diluted)           32.7     42.9     55.4     67.9     79.6     96.7
                  Cash EPS                      39.6     50.7     65.0     79.5     93.1    111.8
                  DPS                           25.5     33.0     42.5     48.5     57.5     70.0
                  Book Value                    40.3     43.4     49.1     60.3     81.6     96.4
                  Returns (%)
                  RoCE                         118.4    142.2    160.7    164.3    142.9    136.6
                  Angel RoIC (Pre-tax)         124.7    141.1    180.9    250.4    214.3    205.9
                  RoE                           84.8    102.5    119.8    124.2    112.2    108.7
                  Turnover ratios (x)
                  Asset Turnover                 2.7      3.0      3.1      3.1      3.0      3.1
                  Inventory / Sales (days)      35.8     41.8     36.7     35.5     35.3     34.4
                  Receivables (days)             7.2      5.6      3.8      4.6      4.8      5.1
                  Payables (days)               48.0     47.9     42.8     41.8     41.8     41.6
                  Net working capital (days)    (9.1)    (9.8)    (7.4)    (7.1)    (7.4)    (7.5)




August 10, 2010                                                                              10
Nestle| Event Update




 Research Team Tel: 022 - 4040 3800                    E-mail: Research@angeltrade.com                    Website: www.angeltrade.com

 Disclaimer
 This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment
 decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make
 such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies
 referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and
 risks of such an investment.
 Angel Broking Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make
 investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this
 document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within.
 Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and
 trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's
 fundamentals.
 The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable
 sources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this
 document is for general guidance only. Angel Broking Limited or any of its affiliates/ group companies shall not be in any way
 responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report.
 Angel Broking Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify,
 nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While
 Angel Broking Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory,
 compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so.
 This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced,
 redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly.
 Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or
 other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in
 the past.
 Neither Angel Broking Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or in
 connection with the use of this information.
 Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section). Also, please refer to the
 latest update on respective stocks for the disclosure status in respect of those stocks. Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may have
 investment positions in the stocks recommended in this report.




 Disclosure of Interest Statement                                                      Nestle
 1. Analyst ownership of the stock                                                      No
 2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock                                No
 3. Angel and its Group companies' Directors ownership of the stock                     No
 4. Broking relationship with company covered                                           No

 Note: We have not considered any Exposure below Rs 1 lakh for Angel, its Group companies and Directors.



 Ratings (Returns) :             Buy (> 15%)                      Accumulate (5% to 15%)                 Neutral (-5 to 5%)
                                 Reduce (-5% to 15%)              Sell (< -15%)


August 10, 2010                                                                                                                           11
Nestle| Event Update


     Address: Acme Plaza, ‘A’ Wing, 3rd Floor, M.V. Road, Opp. Sangam Cinema, Andheri (E), Mumbai - 400 059.
                                                                                           Tel: (022) 3952 4568 / 4040 3800
Research Team

Fundamental:
Sarabjit Kour Nangra                                                        VP-Research, Pharmaceutical                                                                    sarabjit@angeltrade.com
Vaibhav Agrawal                                                             VP-Research, Banking                                                                           vaibhav.agrawal@angeltrade.com
Vaishali Jajoo                                                              Automobile                                                                                     vaishali.jajoo@angeltrade.com
Shailesh Kanani                                                             Infrastructure, Real Estate                                                                    shailesh.kanani@angeltrade.com
Anand Shah                                                                  FMCG, Media                                                                                    anand.shah@angeltrade.com
Deepak Pareek                                                               Oil & Gas                                                                                      deepak.pareek@angeltrade.com
Sushant Dalmia                                                              Pharmaceutical                                                                                 sushant.dalmia@angeltrade.com
Rupesh Sankhe                                                               Cement, Power                                                                                  rupeshd.sankhe@angeltrade.com
Param Desai                                                                 Real Estate, Logistics, Shipping                                                               paramv.desai@angeltrade.com
Sageraj Bariya                                                              Fertiliser, Mid-cap                                                                            sageraj.bariya@angeltrade.com
Viraj Nadkarni                                                              Retail, Hotels, Mid-cap                                                                        virajm.nadkarni@angeltrade.com
Paresh Jain                                                                 Metals & Mining                                                                                pareshn.jain@angeltrade.com
Amit Rane                                                                   Banking                                                                                        amitn.rane@angeltrade.com
Jai Sharda                                                                  Mid-cap                                                                                        jai.sharda@angeltrade.com
Sharan Lillaney                                                             Mid-cap                                                                                        sharanb.lillaney@angeltrade.com

Amit Vora                                                                   Research Associate (Oil & Gas)                                                                 amit.vora@angeltrade.com
V Srinivasan                                                                Research Associate (Cement, Power)                                                             v.srinivasan@angeltrade.com
Aniruddha Mate                                                              Research Associate (Infra, Real Estate)                                                        aniruddha.mate@angeltrade.com
Mihir Salot                                                                 Research Associate (Logistics, Shipping)                                                       mihirr.salot@angeltrade.com
Chitrangda Kapur                                                            Research Associate (FMCG, Media)                                                               chitrangdar.kapur@angeltrade.com
Vibha Salvi                                                                 Research Associate (IT, Telecom)                                                               vibhas.salvi@angeltrade.com
Pooja Jain                                                                  Research Associate (Metals & Mining)                                                           pooja.j@angeltrade.com



Technicals:
Shardul Kulkarni                                                            Sr. Technical Analyst                                                                          shardul.kulkarni@angeltrade.com
Mileen Vasudeo                                                              Technical Analyst                                                                              vasudeo.kamalakant@angeltrade.com
Derivatives:
Siddarth Bhamre                                                             Head - Derivatives                                                                             siddarth.bhamre@angeltrade.com
Jaya Agarwal                                                                Derivative Analyst                                                                             jaya.agarwal@angeltrade.com


Institutional Sales Team:
Mayuresh Joshi                                                              VP - Institutional Sales                                                                       mayuresh.joshi@angeltrade.com
Abhimanyu Sofat                                                             AVP - Institutional Sales                                                                      abhimanyu.sofat@angeltrade.com
Nitesh Jalan                                                                Sr. Manager                                                                                    niteshk.jalan@angeltrade.com
Pranav Modi                                                                 Sr. Manager                                                                                    pranavs.modi@angeltrade.com
Sandeep Jangir                                                              Sr. Manager                                                                                    sandeepp.jangir@angeltrade.com
Ganesh Iyer                                                                 Sr. Manager                                                                                    ganeshb.Iyer@angeltrade.com
Jay Harsora                                                                 Sr. Dealer                                                                                     jayr.harsora@angeltrade.com
Meenakshi Chavan                                                            Dealer                                                                                         meenakshis.chavan@angeltrade.com
Gaurang Tisani                                                              Dealer                                                                                         gaurangp.tisani@angeltrade.com


Production Team:
Bharathi Shetty                                                             Research Editor                                                                                bharathi.shetty@angeltrade.com
Simran Kaur                                                                 Research Editor                                                                                simran.kaur@angeltrade.com
Bharat Patil                                                                Production                                                                                     bharat.patil@angeltrade.com
Dilip Patel                                                                 Production                                                                                     dilipm.patel@angeltrade.com


Angel Broking Ltd: BSE Sebi Regn No : INB 010996539 / CDSL Regn No: IN - DP - CDSL - 234 - 2004 / PMS Regn Code: PM/INP000001546 Angel Securities Ltd:BSE: INB010994639/INF010994639 NSE: INB230994635/INF230994635 Membership numbers: BSE 028/NSE:09946
    Angel Capital & Debt Market Ltd: INB 231279838 / NSE FNO: INF 231279838 / NSE Member code -12798 Angel Commodities Broking (P) Ltd: MCX Member ID: 12685 / FMC Regn No: MCX / TCM / CORP / 0037 NCDEX : Member ID 00220 / FMC Regn No: NCDEX / TCM / CORP / 0302




 August 10, 2010                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            12

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Nestle

  • 1. Event Update | FMCG August 10, 2010 Nestle NEUTRAL CMP Rs2,805 Target Price - Nestle arranged its first analyst meet in CY2010 to discuss its 1HCY2010 Investment Period - performance and future outlook. We present the key takeaways: Stock Info Strong volume growth, exports rebound: For 1HCY2010, Nestle registered Sector FMCG robust top-line growth of 19% yoy driven by 17.9% yoy volume growth in Market Cap (Rs cr) 27,041 domestic business led by Maggi (26% yoy) and chocolates (25% yoy). Export Beta 0.1 volumes grew 29% yoy driven by pick-up in sales to Russia (36% yoy growth in 2QCY2010 - an anomaly due to advancement of shipments). 52 Week High / Low 3,300/2,082 Maggi continues ~20%+ growth rate, competition manageable: Prepared Avg. Daily Volume 23,418 dishes (Maggi) registered a strong ~26% yoy volume growth despite the high Face Value (Rs) 10 base and rising competition (Horlick Foodles and Knorr Soupy Noodles) aided by well-positioned variants (Maggi Atta and Maggi Pazzta) and strong focus BSE Sensex 18,220 on LUP and PPP strategy. Nifty 5,461 Input cost inflation and staggered price hikes hurt margins: During Reuters Code NEST.BO 2QCY2010, overall raw material cost index for Nestle rose ~10% yoy driven by 26% and 39% yoy rise in the prices of milk and wheat, while the palm oil Bloomberg Code NEST@IN and green coffee prices declined ~17-18% yoy. Going ahead, management expects good monsoons and improved collections at the Moga factory to help control inflation in the milk prices, while correction in the sugar prices is likely Shareholding Pattern (%) to reflect in yoy declines by 4QCY2010. However, rising prices of green Promoters 61.9 coffee and palm oil, up 3% and 17% yoy respectively, post 2QCY2010 poses a risk. MF / Banks / Indian Fls 11.1 Investments to rise, guides for aggressive capex: Driven by robust volume FII / NRIs / 10.9 growth, Nestle has guided for aggressive capex plans and has already OCBs committed ~Rs360cr as of 1HCY2010 (~Rs70cr for 1HCY2009). We model Indian Public / Others 16.1 in ~Rs425cr capex for CY2010. Outlook and Valuation: While we continue to like Nestlé’s long-term growth story (best play on food processing theme in India), we believe that Nestlé’s premium Abs. (%) 3m 1yr 3yr (100%) valuations to the Sensex (5yr average at ~80%) is at risk to negative Sensex 5.1 21.4 22.5 surprises, which could emerge from: 1) gross margin pressures due to rising input Nestle 0.9 29.1 127.5 costs, 2) competition in high-growth noodles category from HUL and GSKCHL, and 3) up-tick in ad spends. Hence, we recommend Neutral view on the stock (post weak 2QCY2010 result, Nestlé’s stock has corrected ~7%) with a fair value of Rs2,804 (based on P/E multiple of 29x FY2012E earnings, and in line with its 5-year historical average valuations). Key Financials Y/E Dec (Rs cr) CY2009 CY2010 CY2011E CY2012E Net Sales 4,324 5,129 6,077 7,080 % chg 23.4 18.6 18.5 16.5 Net Profit 534 655 768 932 Anand Shah % chg 29.1 22.6 17.2 21.4 022 – 4040 3800 Ext: 334 EBITDA (%) 20.0 20.2 19.0 19.2 anand.shah@angeltrade.com EPS (Rs) 55.4 67.9 79.6 96.7 P/E (x) 50.6 41.3 35.2 29.0 Chitrangda Kapur 022 – 4040 3800 Ext: 323 P/BV (x) 57.1 46.5 34.4 29.1 chitrangdar.kapur@angeltrade.com RoE (%) 119.8 124.2 112.2 108.7 RoCE (%) 160.7 164.3 142.9 136.6 Sreekanth P.V.S EV/Sales (x) 6.2 5.2 4.4 3.8 022 – 4040 3800 Ext: 331 EV/EBITDA (x) 31.1 26.0 23.3 19.7 sreekanth.s@angeltrade.com Source: Company, Angel Research Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report 1
  • 2. Nestle| Event Update Top-line growth driven by volumes, price-led growth missing For 1HCY2010, Nestle registered robust overall top-line growth of 19% yoy driven largely by the 17.9% yoy volume growth in the domestic business and sharp rebound in export volumes, which grew 29.3% yoy. However, price-led growth was clearly missing (under ~1% yoy), as Nestle has taken only limited/staggered price increases in the recent quarters to protect volume growth. Exhibit 1: Strong domestic volumes, exports rebound Exhibit 2: ~25%+ yoy volume growth across categories 32.0 29.3 33.0 27.1 25.8 25.3 27.0 23.0 22.0 18.3 17.9 13.0 7.1 6.9 17.0 2.7 0.5 (%) 12.0 3.0 (%) 7.0 0.7 0.5 (7.0) 2.0 (3.0) (17.0) (13.6) (0.7) Total Domestic Net Exports Milk Products Beverages Prepared Chocolates Sales Dishes Volume growth Realisation growth Volume growth Realisation growth Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: numbers for 1HCY2010 Source: Company, Angel Research Exports rebound led on higher beverage exports to Russia Beverage volumes grew sharply by 27.1% yoy driven by the steep rebound in export volumes (beverages constituted ~70% of exports), which have picked up due to higher sales to Russia (accounts for ~43% of exports). However, management indicated that the 36% yoy growth in export sales in 2QCY2010 was an anomaly on account of advancement of shipments and not likely to repeat. Exhibit 3: Pick up in sales to Russia drives exports Exhibit 4: Beverages constitute ~70% of exports America Africa Prepered Chocolates 6% 8% South Asia Dishes 3% 27% Milk 7% Asia- Products Ocenia 20% 9% Europe 7% Russia Beverages 43% 70% Source: Company, Angel Research Source: Company, Angel Research Growth in Maggi continues unabated, chocolates regain ground Volume growth was strong across categories with three out of four categories registering ~25%+ yoy growth. While milk products (contribute ~46% to sales) registered steady 7% yoy volume growth, prepared dishes registered a strong ~26% yoy volume growth despite the high base and rising competition (Horlick Foodles from GSK Consumer and Knorr Soupy Noodles from HUL) aided by well-positioned variants (Maggi Atta and Maggi Pazzta are doing well) and strong focus on low-unit price (LUP) packs and popularly positioned products (PPP). Management has also attributed the high growth in Maggi to higher penetration. August 10, 2010 2
  • 3. Nestle| Event Update Exhibit 5: Milk products post steady growth Exhibit 6: Maggi set for another year of ~20%+ growth 18 16 35 30 16 30 25 26 13 23 14 12 25 20 22 12 10 18 20 10 8 8 15 7 7 7 (%) (%) 8 6 5 5 6 10 5 6 4 4 3 3 3 3 5 4 2 - - (5) (1) CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09 1HCY10 CY10E CY11E CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09 1HCY10 CY10E CY11E Volume Growth Realisation Growth Volume Growth Realisation Growth Source: Company, Angel Research Source: Company, Angel Research Noodles market set for exciting times; Nestle well entrenched Nestlé’s management believes the Rs1,150cr noodles market growing at ~20% per annum is set for acceleration in demand given entry of new players driving higher ad spends in the segment. Moreover, the focus in the category is clearly shifting towards healthy snacking, which should help aid market expansion. We believe that Nestle is well-entrenched to gain from this burgeoning demand environment given: 1) strong brand equity of Maggi, 2) better distribution reach particularly in the rural areas via the Rs5 price pack, 3) strong portfolio with healthy variants like Maggi Atta Noodles and recently launched Multigrainz noodles, and 4) successful extension into related categories like pasta through Maggi Pazzta. Management to increase focus on chocolates and confectionaries Chocolates registered robust ~25% yoy growth in volumes aided by market share gains (100bp yoy, currently at ~25%) and better distribution reach (retail outlets increased to 1.2mn from 1.05mn a year ago). Exhibit 7: Beverages rebound led by higher exports Exhibit 8: Volume off-take in chocolates set to improve 30 27 30 25 20 20 25 14 14 20 11 11 20 18 8 16 10 4 4 14 0 15 12 10 (%) (%) - 10 6 6 (3) 2 4 3 (10) 5 1 2 (9) (7) (14) - (20) CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09 1HCY10 CY10E CY11E CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09 1HCY10 CY10E CY11E Volume Growth Realisation Growth Volume Growth Realisation Growth Source: Company, Angel Research Source: Company, Angel Research Management highlighted its renewed focus on this category and shared some forthcoming initiatives to drive growth: Avoid head-on competition, focus on niche sub-segments: Over the years, Nestle has developed strong positioning in two smaller sub-segments of chocolates, viz. white and wafers. Nestle, being a distant second in chocolates to Cadbury, has decided to avoid head-on competition and enhance focus on products already registering strong growth. August 10, 2010 3
  • 4. Nestle| Event Update Shift focus away from low-price points: While Nestlé’s low-price point SKUs at Re1 and Rs2 have done exceedingly well in driving volumes, management has now decided to shift focus towards higher price points of Rs5 and Rs10 to improve margins. In line with this strategy, Nestle has launched several new products, viz. MilkyBar at Rs5, Munch at Rs10 and 3-finger Kit-Kat at Rs10. Focus to shift on a portfolio of brands, Bar One re-launched: Driven by higher frequency of chocolate consumption and increasing experimentation with different brands by consumers, Nestle has decided to increase its focus as a portfolio of chocolate brands, viz. Kit-Kat, Munch, MilkyBar and Bar One. In line with this strategy, Nestle has re-launched Bar One with a new formulation and brand campaign (after a five-year gap). Input cost inflation and staggered price hikes hurt margins During 2QCY2010, Nestle’s overall raw material cost index increased ~10% yoy driven by the 26%, 13%, 39% and 5% yoy rise in the prices of fresh milk, skimmed milk powder, sugar and wheat respectively, while the prices of palm oil and green coffee declined 18% and 17% yoy, respectively. Management’s strong focus on maintaining high volume growth across categories leading to limited price hikes (price-led growth in the last three quarters stood at 1%, 2% and 5%, respectively) coupled with high input cost inflation led to a 263bp and 138bp yoy contraction in gross margins during 1QCY2010 and 2QCY2010, respectively. Exhibit 9: Milk constitutes ~42% of input costs Exhibit 10: Three quarters of gross margin contraction 16.0 300 Others Milk 14.0 200 24% 34% 12.0 10.0 100 (bp) (%) Sugar 8.0 - 7% 6.0 (100) Skimmed 4.0 Milk (200) 2.0 Wheat Powder - (300) Flour 8% 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 9% Vegetable Green Oil Coffee 8% 10% chg in gross margin (RHS) rise in cost index (LHS) Source: Company, Angel Research Source: Company, Angel Research Going ahead, management expects good monsoons and improved collections at its Moga factory to help control inflation in the milk prices (key raw material accounting for ~34% of input costs), while correction in the sugar prices is likely to reflect in yoy declines by 4QCY2010. However, rising prices of green coffee and palm oil, up 3% and 17% yoy respectively, post 2QCY2010 will negate any significant gains from correction in other inputs. Moreover, management has indicated that it is willing to compromise on near-term margins to maintain high volume growth and ensure long-term profitability via staggered price hikes. While we expect the quantum of input cost pressures for Nestle to reduce in 2HCY2010 driven by good monsoons and lower inflation in milk (milk prices remain the key monitorable, we model in ~17% rise for CY2010) and sugar, we expect the company’s raw material cost index to rise ~6-10% yoy in 2HCY2010 due to low base and inflation in coffee and palm oil prices. Hence, we have modeled in a gross margin contraction of 180bp yoy for CY2010 (200bp contraction in 1HCY2010). August 10, 2010 4
  • 5. Nestle| Event Update Exhibit 11: Milk prices flat qoq, yoy inflation still high Exhibit 12: Milk powder down 2% qoq, up ~10% yoy 35 12 20 10 30 10 15 8 5 25 10 6 20 4 5 - 15 2 - - (5) 10 (5) (2) 5 (10) (4) - (6) (15) (10) 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 Current 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 QoQ % (RHS) YoY % (LHS) Current QoQ % (RHS) YoY % (LHS) Source: Company, Angel Research Source: Company, Angel Research Exhibit 13: Coffee prices down yoy, 21% spike qoq Exhibit 14: Sugar prices down ~8-10% qoq 40 25 80 30 30 20 25 60 20 20 15 15 10 40 10 10 5 5 - 20 - - (10) (5) (5) - (20) (10) (10) (20) (15) (30) (15) Current 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 Current QoQ % (RHS) YoY % (LHS) QoQ % (RHS) YoY % (LHS) Source: Company, Angel Research Source: Company, Angel Research Exhibit 15: Wheat prices volatile, inflation continues Exhibit 16: Palm oil prices on the rise, spike 17% yoy 30 20 30 20 25 15 20 15 20 10 10 10 5 5 15 - - - 10 (10) (5) (5) 5 (20) (10) (10) - (15) (30) (15) (5) (20) (40) (20) Current 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 Current QoQ % (RHS) YoY % (LHS) QoQ % (RHS) YoY % (LHS) Source: Company, Angel Research Source: Company, Angel Research August 10, 2010 5
  • 6. Nestle| Event Update Exhibit 17: Key Assumptions # Sales (Rs cr) CY2008 CY2009 CY2010E CY2011E CY09-11E Total Milk Products 1,939 2,311 2,671 3,029 14.5 Beverages 801 804 897 1,064 15.0 Prepared Dishes & Cooking Aids 1,052 1,335 1,691 2,056 24.1 Chocolates & Confectionaries 680 772 954 1,109 19.9 Total Gross Revenue 4,471 5,222 6,214 7,258 17.9 YoY Growth (%) Total Milk Products 23.1 19.2 15.6 13.4 Beverages 10.9 0.4 11.6 18.6 Prepared Dishes & Cooking Aids 34.7 26.9 26.7 21.5 Chocolates & Confectionaries 19.5 13.6 23.6 16.3 Total Gross Revenue 22.6 16.8 19.0 16.8 Volume Growth (%) Total Milk Products 10.1 13.1 8.0 7.5 Beverages 0.0 (3.1) 20.0 14.0 Prepared Dishes & Cooking Aids 30.1 21.7 23.0 18.0 Chocolates & Confectionaries 12.4 9.7 20.0 14.0 Total Gross Revenue 16.9 14.9 16.8 13.6 Realisation Growth (%) Total Milk Products 11.7 5.4 7.0 5.5 Beverages 10.9 3.6 (7.0) 4.0 Prepared Dishes & Cooking Aids 3.5 4.3 3.0 3.0 Chocolates & Confectionaries 6.3 3.5 3.0 2.0 Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: #denotes CAGR August 10, 2010 6
  • 7. Nestle| Event Update Exhibit 18: Peer Valuation Company Reco M-cap CMP TP* Upside P/E (x) EV/Sales (x) RoE (%) CAGR # (Rs cr) (Rs) (Rs) (%) FY11E FY12E FY11E FY12E FY11E FY12E Sales PAT Asian Paints Accumulate 25,591 2,668 2,773 3.9 28.1 24.1 3.2 2.7 40.8 37.8 17.5 17.4 Colgate Reduce 11,447 842 798 (5.2) 26.7 23.3 4.9 4.2 117.3 108.8 14.3 7.8 Dabur Reduce 17,478 203 195 (3.9) 31.1 26.0 4.3 3.7 39.9 39.1 17.4 16.0 GSKCHL Reduce 7,697 1,830 1,618 (11.6) 28.0 23.8 3.1 2.6 27.8 27.7 16.8 18.6 GCPL Accumulate 11,646 360 397 10.2 25.1 20.0 3.7 3.0 34.2 30.1 44.5 27.9 HUL Reduce 56,658 260 237 (8.9) 26.3 23.2 2.7 2.4 73.0 72.8 10.8 7.9 ITC Neutral 59,198 157 155 (1.5) 25.0 22.3 2.5 2.2 31.4 30.1 14.4 15.2 Marico Accumulate 7,238 119 124 4.4 25.1 21.1 2.4 2.1 37.3 33.0 16.1 19.3 Nestle Neutral 27,041 2,805 2,804 (0.0) 35.2 29.0 4.4 3.8 112.2 108.7 17.5 19.3 Source: Company, Angel Research, Note: # denotes CAGR for FY2010-12E, * In case of Neutral recommendation, TP = Fair value Exhibit 19: Angel v/s Consensus estimates Top-line (Rs cr) FY2011E FY2012E EPS (Rs) FY2011E FY2012E Angel estimates 6,077 7,080 Angel estimates 79.6 96.7 Consensus 6,050 7,089 Consensus 82.9 99.5 Diff (%) 0.4 (0.1) Diff (%) (4.0) (2.9) Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research Exhibit 20: One-yr returns of Nestle v/s Sensex Exhibit 21: One-yr forward P/E band 150% 3,500 21x 25x 29x 33x Sensex Nestle 140% 3,000 130% 2,500 Share Price (Rs) 120% 2,000 110% 1,500 100% 1,000 90% 500 - 80% Oct-05 Oct-06 Oct-07 Oct-08 Oct-09 Apr-05 Apr-06 Apr-07 Apr-08 Apr-09 Apr-10 Jul-05 Jan-06 Jul-06 Jan-07 Jul-07 Jan-08 Jul-08 Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Oct-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-09 Nov-09 Apr-10 Aug-10 Sep-09 Dec-09 Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: Returns indexed to 100 Source: Company, Angel Research Exhibit 22: One-yr forward P/E chart Exhibit 23: One-yr forward Premium v/s Sensex chart 45.0 160% 40.0 140% 35.0 120% 30.0 100% 25.0 80% 20.0 60% 15.0 40% 10.0 5.0 20% - 0% Jan-03 Jan-10 Nov-03 Jun-03 Sep-04 Feb-05 Jul-05 Dec-05 May-06 Oct-06 Mar-07 Dec-07 May-08 Oct-08 Mar-09 Jun-10 Apr-02 Aug-02 Apr-04 Aug-07 Aug-09 Jan-03 Jun-03 Feb-05 Jul-05 May-06 Oct-06 Mar-07 May-08 Oct-08 Mar-09 Jan-10 Jun-10 Apr-02 Aug-02 Nov-03 Apr-04 Aug-07 Aug-09 Sep-04 Dec-05 Dec-07 Source: Company, Angel Research, Note: Blue-line indicates 5-year average Source: Company, Angel Research, Note: Blue-line indicates 5-year average August 10, 2010 7
  • 8. Nestle| Event Update Profit & Loss Statement Y/E Dec (Rs cr) CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09 CY10E CY11E Gross sales 2,944 3,647 4,471 5,222 6,214 7,258 Less: Excise duty 128 143 147 93 137 178 Net Sales 2,816 3,504 4,324 5,129 6,077 7,080 Total operating income 2,816 3,504 4,324 5,129 6,077 7,080 % chg 13.7 24.4 23.4 18.6 18.5 16.5 Total Expenditure 2,275 2,808 3,461 4,095 4,924 5,719 Cost of Materials 1,320 1,685 2,104 2,448 3,007 3,510 Advertising Exp 149 172 194 268 346 418 Personnel 211 263 307 432 453 510 Others 594 688 855 947 1,118 1,282 EBITDA 542 696 864 1,034 1,153 1,362 % chg 3.7 28.6 24.1 19.8 11.4 18.1 (% of Net Sales) 19.2 19.9 20.0 20.2 19.0 19.2 Depreciation& Amortisation 66 75 92 111 130 146 EBIT 475 622 771 923 1,023 1,216 % chg 2.2 30.8 24.1 19.7 10.8 18.8 (% of Net Sales) 16.9 17.7 17.8 18.0 16.8 17.2 Interest & other Charges 0 1 2 1 1 1 Other Income 21 25 34 38 41 47 (% of PBT) 4.2 3.9 4.2 3.9 3.9 3.7 Share in profit of Associates 0 0 0 0 0 0 Recurring PBT 495 646 804 960 1,063 1,261 % chg 1.4 30.4 24.4 19.4 10.8 18.6 Extraordinary Expense/(Inc.) 15 18 31 43 19 20 PBT (reported) 481 629 773 917 1,044 1,241 Tax 165 215 239 262 276 309 (% of PBT) 33.4 33.2 29.7 27.3 26.0 24.5 PAT (reported) 315 414 534 655 768 932 Add: Share of associates 0 0 0 0 0 0 Less: Minority interest (MI) 0 0 0 0 0 0 PAT after MI (reported) 315 414 534 655 768 932 ADJ. PAT 330 431 565 698 787 952 % chg 0.2 30.7 31.0 23.5 12.8 21.0 (% of Net Sales) 11.7 12.3 13.1 13.6 12.9 13.4 Basic EPS (Rs) 32.7 42.9 55.4 67.9 79.6 96.7 Fully Diluted EPS (Rs) 32.7 42.9 55.4 67.9 79.6 96.7 % chg 1.8 31.3 29.1 22.6 17.2 21.4 August 10, 2010 8
  • 9. Nestle| Event Update Balance Sheet Y/E Dec (Rs cr) CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09 CY10E CY11E SOURCES OF FUNDS Equity Share Capital 96 96 96 96 96 96 Preference Capital - - - - - - Reserves& Surplus 292 322 377 485 690 833 Shareholders Funds 389 418 473 581 787 929 Minority Interest - - - - - - Total Loans 16 3 - - - - Deferred Tax Liability 19 29 37 32 32 32 Total Liabilities 424 450 510 613 819 961 APPLICATION OF FUNDS Gross Block 1,058 1,180 1,405 1,641 2,026 2,284 Less: Acc. Depreciation 516 578 652 745 874 1,020 Net Block 542 602 753 896 1,151 1,264 Capital Work-in-Progress 38 74 109 80 122 114 Goodwill - - - - - - Investments 78 94 35 203 228 253 Current Assets 535 638 798 857 963 1,212 Cash 76 38 194 156 138 269 Loans & Advances 127 145 124 138 158 177 Other 332 455 481 563 667 766 Current liabilities 769 958 1,185 1,422 1,646 1,882 Net Current Assets (234) (320) (387) (566) (683) (670) Misc Exp. not written off - - - - - - Total Assets 424 450 510 613 819 961 Cash Flow Statement Y/E Dec (Rs cr) CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09 CY10E CY11E Profit before tax 481 629 773 917 1,044 1,241 Depreciation 66 75 92 111 130 146 Change in Working Cap 18 8 84 131 129 95 Interest / Dividend (Net) (5) (4) (13) (13) (15) (17) Direct taxes paid 165 215 239 262 276 309 Others 21 22 21 (14) 56 23 Cash Flow from Operations 416 514 719 871 1,068 1,179 Inc./ (Dec.) in Fixed Assets (124) (157) (261) (206) (427) (251) Inc./ (Dec.) in Investments 27 (17) 60 (168) (25) (25) Cash Flow from Investing (98) (174) (201) (375) (452) (276) Issue of Equity - - - - - - Inc./(Dec.) in loans 2 (13) (3) - - - Dividend Paid (Incl. Tax) 285 370 372 547 649 790 Interest / Dividend (Net) (5) (4) (13) (13) (15) (17) Cash Flow from Financing (279) (379) (362) (534) (634) (773) Inc./(Dec.) in Cash 40 (39) 156 (38) (18) 131 Opening Cash balances 37 76 38 194 156 138 Closing Cash balances 76 38 194 156 138 269 August 10, 2010 9
  • 10. Nestle| Event Update Key Ratios Y/E Dec CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09 CY10E CY11E Valuation Ratio (x) P/E (on FDEPS) 85.8 65.3 50.6 41.3 35.2 29.0 P/CEPS 70.9 55.3 43.2 35.3 30.1 25.1 P/BV 69.5 64.6 57.1 46.5 34.4 29.1 Dividend yield (%) 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.7 2.1 2.5 EV/Sales 9.6 7.7 6.2 5.2 4.4 3.8 EV/EBITDA 49.8 38.8 31.1 26.0 23.3 19.7 EV / Total Assets 63.6 60.0 52.6 43.8 32.9 27.9 Per Share Data (Rs) EPS (Basic) 32.7 42.9 55.4 67.9 79.6 96.7 EPS (fully diluted) 32.7 42.9 55.4 67.9 79.6 96.7 Cash EPS 39.6 50.7 65.0 79.5 93.1 111.8 DPS 25.5 33.0 42.5 48.5 57.5 70.0 Book Value 40.3 43.4 49.1 60.3 81.6 96.4 Returns (%) RoCE 118.4 142.2 160.7 164.3 142.9 136.6 Angel RoIC (Pre-tax) 124.7 141.1 180.9 250.4 214.3 205.9 RoE 84.8 102.5 119.8 124.2 112.2 108.7 Turnover ratios (x) Asset Turnover 2.7 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.0 3.1 Inventory / Sales (days) 35.8 41.8 36.7 35.5 35.3 34.4 Receivables (days) 7.2 5.6 3.8 4.6 4.8 5.1 Payables (days) 48.0 47.9 42.8 41.8 41.8 41.6 Net working capital (days) (9.1) (9.8) (7.4) (7.1) (7.4) (7.5) August 10, 2010 10
  • 11. Nestle| Event Update Research Team Tel: 022 - 4040 3800 E-mail: Research@angeltrade.com Website: www.angeltrade.com Disclaimer This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. Angel Broking Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within. Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's fundamentals. The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable sources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this document is for general guidance only. Angel Broking Limited or any of its affiliates/ group companies shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. Angel Broking Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify, nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While Angel Broking Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly. Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in the past. Neither Angel Broking Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or in connection with the use of this information. Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section). Also, please refer to the latest update on respective stocks for the disclosure status in respect of those stocks. Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may have investment positions in the stocks recommended in this report. Disclosure of Interest Statement Nestle 1. Analyst ownership of the stock No 2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock No 3. Angel and its Group companies' Directors ownership of the stock No 4. Broking relationship with company covered No Note: We have not considered any Exposure below Rs 1 lakh for Angel, its Group companies and Directors. Ratings (Returns) : Buy (> 15%) Accumulate (5% to 15%) Neutral (-5 to 5%) Reduce (-5% to 15%) Sell (< -15%) August 10, 2010 11
  • 12. Nestle| Event Update Address: Acme Plaza, ‘A’ Wing, 3rd Floor, M.V. Road, Opp. Sangam Cinema, Andheri (E), Mumbai - 400 059. Tel: (022) 3952 4568 / 4040 3800 Research Team Fundamental: Sarabjit Kour Nangra VP-Research, Pharmaceutical sarabjit@angeltrade.com Vaibhav Agrawal VP-Research, Banking vaibhav.agrawal@angeltrade.com Vaishali Jajoo Automobile vaishali.jajoo@angeltrade.com Shailesh Kanani Infrastructure, Real Estate shailesh.kanani@angeltrade.com Anand Shah FMCG, Media anand.shah@angeltrade.com Deepak Pareek Oil & Gas deepak.pareek@angeltrade.com Sushant Dalmia Pharmaceutical sushant.dalmia@angeltrade.com Rupesh Sankhe Cement, Power rupeshd.sankhe@angeltrade.com Param Desai Real Estate, Logistics, Shipping paramv.desai@angeltrade.com Sageraj Bariya Fertiliser, Mid-cap sageraj.bariya@angeltrade.com Viraj Nadkarni Retail, Hotels, Mid-cap virajm.nadkarni@angeltrade.com Paresh Jain Metals & Mining pareshn.jain@angeltrade.com Amit Rane Banking amitn.rane@angeltrade.com Jai Sharda Mid-cap jai.sharda@angeltrade.com Sharan Lillaney Mid-cap sharanb.lillaney@angeltrade.com Amit Vora Research Associate (Oil & Gas) amit.vora@angeltrade.com V Srinivasan Research Associate (Cement, Power) v.srinivasan@angeltrade.com Aniruddha Mate Research Associate (Infra, Real Estate) aniruddha.mate@angeltrade.com Mihir Salot Research Associate (Logistics, Shipping) mihirr.salot@angeltrade.com Chitrangda Kapur Research Associate (FMCG, Media) chitrangdar.kapur@angeltrade.com Vibha Salvi Research Associate (IT, Telecom) vibhas.salvi@angeltrade.com Pooja Jain Research Associate (Metals & Mining) pooja.j@angeltrade.com Technicals: Shardul Kulkarni Sr. Technical Analyst shardul.kulkarni@angeltrade.com Mileen Vasudeo Technical Analyst vasudeo.kamalakant@angeltrade.com Derivatives: Siddarth Bhamre Head - Derivatives siddarth.bhamre@angeltrade.com Jaya Agarwal Derivative Analyst jaya.agarwal@angeltrade.com Institutional Sales Team: Mayuresh Joshi VP - Institutional Sales mayuresh.joshi@angeltrade.com Abhimanyu Sofat AVP - Institutional Sales abhimanyu.sofat@angeltrade.com Nitesh Jalan Sr. Manager niteshk.jalan@angeltrade.com Pranav Modi Sr. Manager pranavs.modi@angeltrade.com Sandeep Jangir Sr. Manager sandeepp.jangir@angeltrade.com Ganesh Iyer Sr. Manager ganeshb.Iyer@angeltrade.com Jay Harsora Sr. Dealer jayr.harsora@angeltrade.com Meenakshi Chavan Dealer meenakshis.chavan@angeltrade.com Gaurang Tisani Dealer gaurangp.tisani@angeltrade.com Production Team: Bharathi Shetty Research Editor bharathi.shetty@angeltrade.com Simran Kaur Research Editor simran.kaur@angeltrade.com Bharat Patil Production bharat.patil@angeltrade.com Dilip Patel Production dilipm.patel@angeltrade.com Angel Broking Ltd: BSE Sebi Regn No : INB 010996539 / CDSL Regn No: IN - DP - CDSL - 234 - 2004 / PMS Regn Code: PM/INP000001546 Angel Securities Ltd:BSE: INB010994639/INF010994639 NSE: INB230994635/INF230994635 Membership numbers: BSE 028/NSE:09946 Angel Capital & Debt Market Ltd: INB 231279838 / NSE FNO: INF 231279838 / NSE Member code -12798 Angel Commodities Broking (P) Ltd: MCX Member ID: 12685 / FMC Regn No: MCX / TCM / CORP / 0037 NCDEX : Member ID 00220 / FMC Regn No: NCDEX / TCM / CORP / 0302 August 10, 2010 12