SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 10
Download to read offline
4QFY2010 Result Update I Capital Goods
                                                                                                                           May 18, 2010




  McNally Bharat Engineering                                                               BUY
                                                                                           CMP                                    Rs312
  Performance Highlights                                                                   Target Price                           Rs486
  McNally Bharat Engineering (MBE)’s 4QFY2010 Sales and Adj. PAT growth of                 Investment Period                    12 Months
  19% and 142%, respectively, was ahead of our estimates. MBE’s strong
  performance was on the back of a higher EBITDA margin and lower interest                 Stock Info
  outflow. The major improvement was on the EBITDA front, where margins
                                                                                           Sector                         Capital Goods
  expanded by 165bp, from 5.6% (4QFY2009) to 7.3% (4QFY2010). Interest
  costs for the quarter declined by 55% yoy. Overall, MBE’s FY2010                         Market Cap (Rs cr)                        970
  performance was ahead of our expectations. Going ahead, we expect the
                                                                                           Beta                                       1.1
  company to be on a strong growth path for the next few years, on account of
  its robust order book (2.6x FY2010 revenue). We have marginally revised our              52 WK High / Low                       385/76
  estimates upwards on account of better-than-expected sales, and maintain
  our Buy recommendation on the stock.                                                     Avg. Daily Volume                      66,502

                                                                                           Face Value (Rs)                            10
  Strong, execution-led growth: MBE’s (standalone) sales for the quarter grew
  by 19%; however, its EBITDA grew by 54%, on the back of better execution                 BSE Sensex                             16,876
  and cost control. Overall interest costs for the quarter declined by 55% yoy,            Nifty                                   5,066
  due to better working capital management and a reduction in the average
  cost of borrowing. The overall Adj. PAT for the quarter increased by 142% to             Reuters Code                         MCNL.BO
  Rs24cr from Rs10cr (4QFY2009). For the full year FY2010, standalone sales
                                                                                           Bloomberg Code                       MCNA@IN
  grew by 50% to Rs1,448cr (from Rs968cr in FY2009), while the EBITDA
  margin improved by 80bp to 6.8% (from 6%).                                               Shareholding Pattern (%)

  Outlook and Valuation: We believe that an improving economic scenario                    Promoters                                 30.6
  (indicated by a revival in the IIP), the continuous government focus on                  MF/Banks/Indian FLs                      28.5
  infrastructure spend and a pick-up in private capex augurs well for the
  companies providing EPC solutions for the core sectors of the economy. The               FII/NRIs/OCBs                             18.9
  overall emerging opportunities for MBE are expected to be around                         Indian Public                            22.0
  Rs51,600cr over FY2010-15E. Given MBE’s strong track record, we believe
  that it is well placed to capitalise on such opportunities. MBE’s current                Abs. (%)            3m         1yr        3yr
  consolidated order book stands at Rs5,110cr (2.6x FY2010 revenue). Going
                                                                                           Sensex              3.4    18.1           18.0
  ahead, over FY2010-12E, we estimate the company to register a CAGR of
  28% and 35% in Sales and Profit, respectively. We maintain our Buy
                                                                                           McNally           26.7     308.9          98.6
  recommendation on the stock, with a revised Target Price of Rs486.


   Key Financials (Consolidated)
   Y/E March (Rs cr)               FY2009         FY2010E         FY2011E   FY2012E
   Net Sales                         1,115           2,019          2,501     3,332
   % chg                             101.0             81.1          23.9      33.2
   Adj Profit                         39.7             65.0          93.6     118.7
   % chg                              91.1             63.9          44.0      26.8
   Adj FDEPS (Rs)                     12.8             20.9          27.4      34.7
   EBITDA Margin (%)                    9.8             7.9           9.7       9.6
   P/E (x)                            24.5             14.9          11.4       9.0
   P/BV (x)                             4.7             3.6           2.7       2.1
   RoE (%)                            21.7             27.2          28.0      26.1
   RoACE (%)                          29.4             27.0          31.0      30.3
                                                                                          Sageraj Bariya
   EV/Sales (x)                         1.0             0.6           0.5       0.4
                                                                                          Tel: 022 – 4040 3800 Ext: 346
   EV/EBITDA (x)                      10.6              7.5           5.5       4.6
                                                                                          E-mail: sageraj.bariya@angeltrade.com
   Source: Company, Angel Research




                                                                                                                                        1
Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report                             Sebi Registration No: INB 010996539
McNally Bharat Engineering I 4QFY2010 Result Update



               Exhibit 1: 4QFY2010 Performance (Standalone)
                   Y/E March (Rs cr)                4QFY10    4QFY09     % chg   FY10   FY09    % chg
                Total Revenue                           562       474      19    1448    968        50
                Total RM                                334       304      10     833    612        36
                as % of sales                            59        64              58     63
                Gross Profit                            228       169            615     356
                Gross margin (%)                       40.5      35.8            42.5    36.7
                Staff cost                               20        15      37      71     44        62
                as % of sales                           3.6       3.2             4.9     4.5
                Other Expenses                          167       128      30     445    254        75
                as % of sales                          29.6      27.0            30.8    26.2
                Total Exp                               522       447      17    1349    910        48
                as % of sales                            93        94              93     94
                EBITDA                                   41        27      54      99     58        70
                EBITDA %                                7.3       5.6             6.8     6.0
                Depreciation                            1.4       0.3     327     4.8     2.4       99
                EBIT                                   39.4      26.2            94.1   134.0
                EBIT %                                  7.0       5.5             6.5     7.6
                Other Income                            2.7       3.5     (24)    3.1     5.8      (47)
                Interest                                6.9      15.2     (55)   34.0    32.8        4
                PBT                                      35        15     142      63     28       123
                Extra-ord Items                           1       (23)              4    (23)
                PBT                                      34        38              59     51
                Total tax                                13        12       4      20     17        15
                Tax rate                                 36        84              32     62
                PAT                                      22        25     (15)     39     34        14
                PAT (%)                                 3.8       5.4             2.7     3.5
                Adj PAT                                23.9       9.9     142    43.0    19.2      123
                Adj PAT (%)                             4.3       2.1             3.0     2.0
                Equity                                 31.1      31.1            31.1    31.1
                EPS                                     6.9       8.2     (15)   12.5    10.9       14
                Adj EPS                                 7.7       3.2     142    13.8     6.2      123
               Source: Company, Angel Research.


               Key highlights of FY2010 (McNally Bharat Engineering Co, Standalone)

               •      The total revenue increased by 50%, on the back of strong execution and a
                      robust order inflow.

               •      The company improved its EBITDA margin by 80%, on account of faster
                      execution and better cost control.

               •      Total adjusted PAT for the year increased by 123% to Rs43cr (from Rs19cr).




May 18, 2010                                                                                              2
McNally Bharat Engineering I 4QFY2010 Result Update


               Exhibit 2: Financial Performance – McNally Sayaji Engg Co
                   Y/E March (Rs cr)              4QFY10     4QFY09      % chg    FY10   FY09     % chg
                Total Revenue                         126         75      67.7    309    202       52.9
                Total RM                                81        36     128.0    180    101       77.7
                as % of sales                         64.8      47.7              58.2   50.0
                Gross Profit                            44        39      12.7    129    101       28.0
                Gross margin (%)                      35.2      52.3              41.8   50.0
                Staff cost                               7        11     (38.3)    25     24        4.9
                as % of sales                          5.6      15.2               8.0   11.7
                Other Expenses                          17        15      13.7     51     38       36.2
                as % of sales                         13.2      19.4              16.6   18.7
                Total Exp                             105         62      70.3    256    163       57.5
                as % of sales                         83.6      82.3              82.8   80.4
                EBITDA                                  21        13      55.5     49     40       24.3
                EBITDA %                              16.4      17.7              15.9   19.6
                Depreciation                             3         2      17.1      9      7       31.9
                EBIT                                    18        11               40     33
                EBIT %                                14.4      14.8              12.9   16.1
                Other Income                             0         0    (100.0)     3      2       73.6
                Interest                                 1        (1)   (362.7)     8      3      123.3
                PBT                                     17        12      39.6     35     31       14.4
                Extra-ord Items                          0         0                0      0
                PBT                                     17         0                0      0
                Total tax                                6         5      35.1     10     11       (9.1)
                Tax rate                                37        38               29     37
                PAT                                     11         7      42.5     25     19       28.2
                PAT (%)                                8.4       9.9               8.1    9.6
                Equity                                   9         7                9      7
                EPS                                   11.7      10.0      16.7    27.7   26.4       4.9
               Source: Company, Angel Research


               Key highlights of FY2010 (McNally Sayaji, Standalone)

               •      The total revenue increased by 53%, on the back of strong execution and a
                      robust order inflow.

               •      The EBITDA margin for the company declined by almost 400bp, on account of a
                      one-time staff cost (change in gratuity law).

               •      Total adjusted PAT for the year increased by 28% to Rs25cr (from Rs19cr).




May 18, 2010                                                                                               3
McNally Bharat Engineering I 4QFY2010 Result Update



               Strong order inflow continues

               MBE's Order inflow has been on the rise, having increased from Rs700cr in FY2005
               to Rs3,334cr in FY2009, posting a CAGR of 48% over the mentioned period. For
               FY2010, the company ended the year with an order book of Rs4,550cr, while we
               estimate that on a consolidated basis it stood at Rs5,150cr. The management has
               further indicated that bids for order worth Rs1,300cr have been placed and the
               outcome of the same is expected during the year.

               Exhibit 3: Order Book Trend (Consolidated)
                          5,500                                                                  5,150    5.0
                                                                        4.2

                          4,400                                                                           4.0

                                                                                       3,334
                          3,300                                                                   2.6     3.0
                                   2.3
                (Rs cr)




                                                             2.3                          3.0




                                                                                                                (x)
                                                                       2,323
                                              1.8
                          2,200                                                                           2.0

                                                           1,160
                          1,100    700                                                                    1.0
                                             600

                             -                                                                            -
                                  FY2005    FY2006         FY2007     FY2008           FY2009   FY2010E
                                                     Orderbook       Orderbook to sales
               Source: Company, Angel Research


               Exhibit 4: SBU wise Break-up of order book (Standalone)

                                                            Non-
                                             Steel &       Ferrous
                                             mines           6%
                                               7%
                                            Port
                                            4%
                                                                               Power
                                                                                32%



                                                 Infra
                                                 24%


                                                                     MHE
                                                                     27%


               Source: Company, Angel Research




May 18, 2010                                                                                                    4
McNally Bharat Engineering I 4QFY2010 Result Update


               Key takeaways from the Conference call

               •   The management expects the Power sector to be the key growth driver for the
                   company over the next few years. The key opportunity areas are in Material
                   handling solutions (which include coal handling, coal washer, desalination plant
                   and RO plant).

               •   After bagging 2 BoP-based orders (770 MW), MBE is qualified to bid for all
                   ranges of BoP projects across the power sector. BoP projects have margins in the
                   region of 7-8%; however, the margin improves once a company starts executing
                   a higher range of projects. Hence, going ahead, MBE plans to focus on
                   improving the average size of the orders in the BoP segment.

               •   Going ahead, MBE plans to build up its skill set in Cement, and the Oil and Gas
                   industry, as it plans to diversify its order book.

               •   McNally Sayaji plans to invest Rs65cr in setting up a new facility for its product,
                   while the Parent MBE plans to have a capex of Rs45cr.

               •   A decision on the rights issue would be taken by June 2010.

               •   Overall, the management has outlined a revenue target of around Rs5,000cr
                   by FY2013E, of which MBE standalone would stand at Rs4,000cr, MSE at
                   Rs600-700cr and the CMT group (international subsidiary) at Rs500cr.

               Outlook and Valuation

               We believe that an improving economic scenario (indicated by a revival in the IIP),
               the continuous government focus on infrastructure spend and a pick-up in private
               capex augurs well for the companies providing EPC solutions for the core sectors of
               the economy. The overall emerging opportunities for MBE are expected to be around
               Rs51,600cr over FY2010-15E. Over the longer term, the Port and Steel Sectors are
               likely to offer the highest opportunity of Rs22,200cr, while the Power and Mining
               Sectors are likely to be the key growth drivers in the near term. The government's
               strong focus on the Power Sector, through "Power for all by 2012", is expected to
               result in an expansion of generation capacity in the Sector, leading to higher
               opportunities for BoP players.

               We believe that MBE is well placed to seize the upcoming opportunities in the
               above-mentioned sectors, due to the following reasons: 1) Vast experience in the
               different EPC Segments across sectors, 2) Presence in the high-Margin Product
               Segment through its subsidiary, McNally Sayaji, and 3) Access to key global
               technology for ash handling and mineral beneficiation. MBE's consolidated Order
               Book at the end of 4QFY2010 stood at Rs5,110cr, or 2.6x FY2010 sales, which
               renders high Revenue visibility for the company. Going ahead, over FY2010-12E, we
               estimate the company to register a CAGR of 28% and 35% in Sales and Profit
               respectively.

               We have marginally revised our estimates upward for FY2011E and FY2012E, on
               account of the better-than-expected performance in FY2010.




May 18, 2010                                                                                        5
McNally Bharat Engineering I 4QFY2010 Result Update


               Exhibit 5: Revised Estimates (Consolidated)
                Rs cr                                                                                            Old                                                                            New                                                                         % chg
                                                                                          FY2011E                        FY2012E                                    FY2011E                                 FY2012E                                    FY2011E                           FY2012E
                Sales                                                                              2,444                            3,046                                     2,501                                      3,332                                         2.3                              9.4
                EBITDA                                                                                  236                                291                                       241                                      318                                      2.3                              9.3
                EBITDA %                                                                                9.7                                 9.6                                        9.7                                        9.6
                PAT                                                                                       91                               114                                           94                                   119                                      2.4                              4.1
                EPS                                                                                 26.7                                 33.3                                    27.4                                       34.7                                       2.4                              4.1
               Source: Angel Research

               At the CMP, the stock is trading at 9x its FY2012E Earnings and 4.6x its FY2012
               EV/ EBITDA. We maintain our Buy rating on the stock, with a revised Target Price
               of Rs486.

               Exhibit 6: One year forward P/E band
                                  500


                                  400
               Share price (Rs)




                                  300


                                  200


                                  100


                                   0




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Dec-09
                                        Apr-05

                                                     Jul-05




                                                                                               Jul-06




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Aug-09




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Apr-10
                                                                                 Mar-06




                                                                                                             Oct-06

                                                                                                                               Feb-07




                                                                                                                                                                   Oct-07
                                                                   Nov-05




                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Sep-08
                                                                                                                                                                                                       May-08




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             May-09
                                                                                                                                                 Jun-07




                                                                                                                                                                                     Jan-08




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Jan-09
                                                                                            Price                      7x                           10x                              13x                           16x                              19x

               Source: C-Line, Angel Research

               Exhibit 7: One year forward EV/EBITDA band
                                  2,000


                                  1,600


                                  1,200
               Rs cr




                                    800


                                    400


                                        -
                                                                                                                                                          Jun-07
                                                              Jul-05




                                                                                                        Jul-06




                                                                                                                                                                                              Jan-08




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Jan-09
                                                 Apr-05




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Apr-10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Aug-09
                                                                                          Mar-06




                                                                                                                                        Feb-07




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Sep-08
                                                                            Nov-05




                                                                                                                                                                                                                May-08




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  May-09




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Dec-09
                                                                                                                      Oct-06




                                                                                                                                                                            Oct-07




                                                                                                    EV                     4x                             5x                           6x                          7x                          8x

               Source: C-Line, Angel Research




May 18, 2010                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    6
McNally Bharat Engineering I 4QFY2010 Result Update



               Profit & Loss Statement (Consolidated)                                              (Rs cr)
                Y/E March                      FY2007       FY2008   FY2009   FY2010   FY2011E   FY2012E
                Gross sales                       517         565     1,130    2,051     2,542     3,390
                Less: Excise duty                   13         13       23       40        50         66
                Net Sales                         504         552     1,107    2,011     2,493     3,323
                Other operating income                  2       2        8        8         8           8
                Total operating income            506         555     1,115    2,019     2,501     3,332
                % chg                             49.9         9.6    101.0     81.1      23.9      33.2
                Total Expenditure                 475         510     1,007    1,860     2,259     3,014
                Net Raw Materials                 309         305      654     1,191     1,476     1,966
                Other Mfg costs                     31         43       70      121       150        200
                Personnel                           28         42       78      162       175        233
                Other                               14         24       25       61        63         83
                EBITDA                              31         45      108      159       241        318
                % chg                             64.6        45.1    141.5     47.0      52.0      31.7
                (% of Net Sales)                   6.1         8.1      9.8      7.9       9.7        9.6
                Depreciation& Amortisation              2       2       10       15        19         24
                EBIT                                29         42       99      144       222        293
                % chg                             85.2        46.1    132.3     46.1      54.4      32.1
                (% of Net Sales)                   5.8         7.7      8.9      7.2       8.9        8.8
                Interest & other Charges            12         13       39       42        76        109
                Other Income                            7       2        3        6         8         12
                (% of PBT)                        28.4         7.0      4.2      5.6       5.4        6.2
                Recurring PBT                       24         31       62      108       154        197
                % chg                            213.5        33.0     97.1     73.5      43.3      27.7
                Extraordinary Expense/(Inc.)        (4)         1       20        4          -          -
                PBT (reported)                      19         32       82      112       154        197
                Tax                                     3      10       29       36        52         66
                (% of PBT)                        10.9        31.8     46.4     33.7      33.8      33.8
                PAT (reported)                      17         22       53       75       102        130
                Add: Share of earnings of
                                                        -        -        -        -         -          -
                associate
                Less: Minority interest (MI)            0       0        5        6         7           7
                Prior period items                      -        -       4         -         -          -
                PAT after MI (reported)             17         22       48       69        96        123
                ADJ. PAT                            16         21       40       65        94        119
                % chg                            213.6        33.0     91.1     63.9      44.0      26.8
                (% of Net Sales)                   3.1         3.8      3.6      3.2       3.8        3.6
                Basic EPS (Rs)                          6       7       13       21        30         38
                Fully Diluted EPS (Rs)                  6       7       13       21        27         35
                % chg                            209.9        24.2     76.3     63.9      30.9      26.8




May 18, 2010                                                                                            7
McNally Bharat Engineering I 4QFY2010 Result Update



               Balance Sheet (Consolidated)                                                             (Rs cr)
                Y/E March                       FY2007       FY2008      FY2009   FY2010E   FY2011E    FY2012E
                SOURCES OF FUNDS
                Equity Share Capital                27           29          31        31        34         34
                Preference Capital                      -            -        -         -          -          -
                Reserves& Surplus                   70          129         177       239      365        476
                Shareholders Funds                  96          158         208       270      399        510
                Minority Interest                       0            0       12        18        25         32
                Total Loans                        117           63         214       316      379        568
                Deferred Tax Liability                  1            1       14        13        12         10
                Total Liabilities                  214          222         448       617      814       1,120
                APPLICATION OF FUNDS
                Gross Block                         78           99         201       271      381        476
                Less: Acc. Depreciation             33           37          33        48        68         92
                Net Block                           45           62         168       223      313        384
                Capital Work-in-Progress            11           19          11        11        11         11
                Goodwill                                0            0       58        58        58         58
                Investments                             4        14           2         2         2          2
                Current Assets
                   Cash                             55           71          42        90      114        176
                   Loans & Advances                 67          100         114       188      294        467
                   Other                           281          400         771     1,009     1,418      1,838
                Current liabilities                249          444         717       964     1,396      1,815
                Net Current Assets                 153          127         209       324      430        665
                Mis. Exp. not written off               -            -        0         -          -          -
                Total Assets                       214          222         448       617      814       1,120


               Cash Flow (Consolidated)                                                                 (Rs cr)
               Y/E March                       FY2007       FY2008       FY2009   FY2010E   FY2011E    FY2012E
                Profit before tax                 19           32           82       112       154         197
                Depreciation                       9            8           13        57         96        133
                Change in Working Capital        (11)          37         (118)      (69)       (87)      (177)
                Less: Other income                  -            -            -         -          -          -
                Direct taxes paid                 (0)          (4)         (14)      (36)       (52)       (66)
                Cash Flow from Operations         17           73          (37)       63       111          87
                (Inc.)/ Dec. in Fixed Assets     (11)         (29)        (147)      (70)     (110)        (95)
                (Inc.)/ Dec. in Investments       (0)          (8)          15          -          -          -
                Inc./ (Dec.) in loans and
                                                                                        -          -          -
               advances
                Other income                        -            -            -         -          -          -
                Cash Flow from Investing         (11)         (37)        (133)      (70)     (110)        (95)
                Issue of Equity                    5           19             -         -        44           -
                Inc./(Dec.) in loans              40          (27)         160       102         63        189
                Dividend Paid (Incl. Tax)         (2)          (3)          (4)       (5)        (7)       (10)
                Others                            (9)          (9)         (18)      (42)       (76)      (109)
                Cash Flow from Financing          34          (21)         139        55         23         70
                Inc./(Dec.) in Cash               40           15          (31)       48         24         62
                Opening Cash balances             16           56           73        42         90        114
                Closing Cash balances             56           71           42        90       114         176



May 18, 2010                                                                                                 8
McNally Bharat Engineering I 4QFY2010 Result Update



               Key Ratios
                Y/E March                         FY2007   FY2008   FY2009   FY2010E   FY2011E   FY2012E
                Valuation Ratio (x)
                P/E (on FDEPS)                      53.6     43.1     24.5      14.9      11.4       9.0
                P/CEPS                              48.1     38.8     19.7      12.2       9.5       7.5
                P/BV                                 8.7      5.7      4.7       3.6       2.7       2.1
                Dividend yield (%)                   0.3      0.4      0.4       0.6       0.8       1.0
                EV/Sales                             1.8      1.6      1.0       0.6       0.5       0.4
                EV/EBITDA                           29.0     19.5     10.6       7.5       5.5       4.6
                EV / Total Assets                    4.2      3.9      2.5       1.9       1.6       1.3
                Per Share Data (Rs)
                EPS (Basic)                          5.8      7.2     12.8      20.9      30.1      38.2
                EPS (fully diluted)                  5.8      7.2     12.8      20.9      27.4      34.7
                Cash EPS                             6.5      8.0     15.8      25.7      33.0      41.9
                DPS                                  1.0      1.1      1.3       2.0       2.5       3.0
                Book Value                          36.0     55.1     66.8      86.8     116.6     149.1
                DuPont Analysis
                EBIT margin                          5.8      7.7      8.9       7.2       8.9       8.8
                Tax retention ratio                 89.1     68.2     53.6      66.3      66.2      66.2
                Asset turnover (x)                   3.4      3.8      4.1       4.3       4.1       4.1
                ROIC (Post-tax)                     17.4     19.8     19.6      20.6      24.1      23.7
                Cost of Debt (Post Tax)             10.9     10.0     15.2      10.6      14.6      15.2
                Leverage (x)                         0.7      0.1      0.4       0.8       0.7       0.7
                Operating ROE                       21.8     21.2     21.4      28.9      31.1      29.9
                Returns (%)
                ROCE (Pre-tax)                      15.5     19.4     29.4      27.0      31.0      30.3
                Angel ROIC (Pre-tax)                18.6     30.8     24.4      27.4      31.8      31.1
                ROE                                 17.7     16.3     21.7      27.2      28.0      26.1
                Turnover ratios (x)
                Asset Turnover (Gross Block)           6        6       7         9         8         8
                Inventory / Sales (days)              11       15      17        25        24        25
                Receivables (days)                   164      210     176       210       205       205
                Payables (days)                      108      132     108       120       122       125
                WC cycle (ex-cash) (days)             53       46      41        32        38        41
                Solvency ratios (x)
                Net debt to equity                   0.6        -      0.8       0.8       0.7       0.8
                Net debt to EBITDA                   1.9        -      1.6       1.4       1.1       1.2
                Interest Coverage (EBIT / Int.)      2.7      4.2      2.7       3.4       2.9       2.7




May 18, 2010                                                                                           9
McNally Bharat Engineering I 4QFY2010 Result Update



Research Team Tel: 022-4040 3800                                           E-mail: research@angeltrade.com                                       Website: www.angeltrade.com


DISCLAIMER

This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment decision. Nothing in this
document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as they deem necessary to
arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved),
and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment.

Angel Securities Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make investment decisions that are
inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this document are those of the analyst, and the company
may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within.

Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and trading volume, as
opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's fundamentals.

The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable sources believed to be true,
and is for general guidance only. Angel Securities Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we
cannot testify, nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While Angel
Securities Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other
reasons that prevent us from doing so.

This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on,
directly or indirectly.

Angel Securities Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or other advisory services
in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in the past.

Neither Angel Securities Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or in connection with the
use of this information.
Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section).




    Disclosure of Interest Statement                                                                   McNally Bharat
    1. Analyst ownership of the stock                                                                           No
    2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock                                                     No
    3. Angel and its Group companies’ Directors ownership of the stock                                          No
    4. Broking relationship with company covered                                                                No
    Note: We have not considered any Exposure below Rs 1 lakh for Angel and its Group companies.
.




                                  Address: Acme Plaza, ‘A’ Wing, 3rd Floor, M.V. Road, Opp. Sangam Cinema, Andheri (E), Mumbai - 400 059.
                                                                      Tel : (022) 3952 4568 / 4040 3800



      Angel Broking Ltd: BSE Sebi Regn No : INB 010996539 / CDSL Regn No: IN - DP - CDSL - 234 - 2004 / PMS Regn Code: PM/INP000001546 Angel Securities Ltd:BSE: INB010994639/INF010994639 NSE:
      INB230994635/INF230994635 Membership numbers: BSE 028/NSE:09946
      Angel Capital & Debt Market Ltd: INB 231279838 / NSE FNO: INF 231279838 / NSE Member code -12798 Angel Commodities Broking (P) Ltd: MCX Member ID: 12685 / FMC Regn No: MCX / TCM /
      CORP / 0037 NCDEX : Member ID 00220 / FMC Regn No: NCDEX / TCM / CORP / 0302




May 18, 2010                                                                                                                                                                                10

More Related Content

What's hot

Pantaloon Retail Result Update
Pantaloon Retail Result UpdatePantaloon Retail Result Update
Pantaloon Retail Result UpdateAngel Broking
 
Graphite india ru4 qfy2010-140510
Graphite india ru4 qfy2010-140510Graphite india ru4 qfy2010-140510
Graphite india ru4 qfy2010-140510Angel Broking
 
TCS 4QFY2010 Results Update
TCS 4QFY2010 Results UpdateTCS 4QFY2010 Results Update
TCS 4QFY2010 Results UpdateAngel Broking
 
Asian paints ru4 qfy2010-280510
Asian paints ru4 qfy2010-280510Asian paints ru4 qfy2010-280510
Asian paints ru4 qfy2010-280510Angel Broking
 
Bajaj auto ru4 qfy2010-140510
Bajaj auto ru4 qfy2010-140510Bajaj auto ru4 qfy2010-140510
Bajaj auto ru4 qfy2010-140510Angel Broking
 
Sail steel ru4 qfy2010-310510
Sail steel ru4 qfy2010-310510Sail steel ru4 qfy2010-310510
Sail steel ru4 qfy2010-310510Angel Broking
 
Blue star ru4 qfy2010-190510
Blue star ru4 qfy2010-190510Blue star ru4 qfy2010-190510
Blue star ru4 qfy2010-190510Angel Broking
 
Maruti suzuki Result Update
Maruti suzuki Result UpdateMaruti suzuki Result Update
Maruti suzuki Result UpdateAngel Broking
 
Pratibha ind Result Update 4 qfy2010-110510
Pratibha ind  Result Update 4 qfy2010-110510Pratibha ind  Result Update 4 qfy2010-110510
Pratibha ind Result Update 4 qfy2010-110510Angel Broking
 
Bharat forge ru4 qfy2010-210510
Bharat forge ru4 qfy2010-210510Bharat forge ru4 qfy2010-210510
Bharat forge ru4 qfy2010-210510Angel Broking
 
Tajgvk result update - 290410
Tajgvk  result update - 290410Tajgvk  result update - 290410
Tajgvk result update - 290410Angel Broking
 
Cccl ru4 qfy2010-100510
Cccl  ru4 qfy2010-100510Cccl  ru4 qfy2010-100510
Cccl ru4 qfy2010-100510Angel Broking
 
Titan result update 4 qfy2010-050510
Titan result update 4 qfy2010-050510Titan result update 4 qfy2010-050510
Titan result update 4 qfy2010-050510Angel Broking
 

What's hot (20)

Mcnally Bharat
Mcnally BharatMcnally Bharat
Mcnally Bharat
 
Pantaloon Retail Result Update
Pantaloon Retail Result UpdatePantaloon Retail Result Update
Pantaloon Retail Result Update
 
Graphite india ru4 qfy2010-140510
Graphite india ru4 qfy2010-140510Graphite india ru4 qfy2010-140510
Graphite india ru4 qfy2010-140510
 
TCS 4QFY2010 Results Update
TCS 4QFY2010 Results UpdateTCS 4QFY2010 Results Update
TCS 4QFY2010 Results Update
 
Asian paints ru4 qfy2010-280510
Asian paints ru4 qfy2010-280510Asian paints ru4 qfy2010-280510
Asian paints ru4 qfy2010-280510
 
Bajaj auto ru4 qfy2010-140510
Bajaj auto ru4 qfy2010-140510Bajaj auto ru4 qfy2010-140510
Bajaj auto ru4 qfy2010-140510
 
Sail steel ru4 qfy2010-310510
Sail steel ru4 qfy2010-310510Sail steel ru4 qfy2010-310510
Sail steel ru4 qfy2010-310510
 
Blue star ru4 qfy2010-190510
Blue star ru4 qfy2010-190510Blue star ru4 qfy2010-190510
Blue star ru4 qfy2010-190510
 
Maruti suzuki Result Update
Maruti suzuki Result UpdateMaruti suzuki Result Update
Maruti suzuki Result Update
 
Pratibha ind Result Update 4 qfy2010-110510
Pratibha ind  Result Update 4 qfy2010-110510Pratibha ind  Result Update 4 qfy2010-110510
Pratibha ind Result Update 4 qfy2010-110510
 
Bharat forge ru4 qfy2010-210510
Bharat forge ru4 qfy2010-210510Bharat forge ru4 qfy2010-210510
Bharat forge ru4 qfy2010-210510
 
Tajgvk result update - 290410
Tajgvk  result update - 290410Tajgvk  result update - 290410
Tajgvk result update - 290410
 
Ptc India
Ptc India   Ptc India
Ptc India
 
Cccl ru4 qfy2010-100510
Cccl  ru4 qfy2010-100510Cccl  ru4 qfy2010-100510
Cccl ru4 qfy2010-100510
 
Hindalco Novelis
Hindalco Novelis Hindalco Novelis
Hindalco Novelis
 
Asian Paints
Asian PaintsAsian Paints
Asian Paints
 
Titan result update 4 qfy2010-050510
Titan result update 4 qfy2010-050510Titan result update 4 qfy2010-050510
Titan result update 4 qfy2010-050510
 
BHEL -Result Update
BHEL -Result UpdateBHEL -Result Update
BHEL -Result Update
 
Mahindra & Mahindra
Mahindra & MahindraMahindra & Mahindra
Mahindra & Mahindra
 
CCCl
CCClCCCl
CCCl
 

Similar to McNally Result Update 4qfy2010-180510

Ashok leyland ru4 qfy2010-300410
Ashok leyland ru4 qfy2010-300410Ashok leyland ru4 qfy2010-300410
Ashok leyland ru4 qfy2010-300410Angel Broking
 
Tvs motor ru4 qfy2010-21042010
Tvs motor ru4 qfy2010-21042010Tvs motor ru4 qfy2010-21042010
Tvs motor ru4 qfy2010-21042010Angel Broking
 
MPL Result Update 4qfy2010-030510-final
MPL Result Update 4qfy2010-030510-finalMPL Result Update 4qfy2010-030510-final
MPL Result Update 4qfy2010-030510-finalAngel Broking
 
Bgr energy ru4 qfy2010-010610
Bgr energy ru4 qfy2010-010610Bgr energy ru4 qfy2010-010610
Bgr energy ru4 qfy2010-010610Angel Broking
 
Infotech Result Update
Infotech Result UpdateInfotech Result Update
Infotech Result UpdateAngel Broking
 
Ptc ru4 qfy2010-300410
Ptc ru4 qfy2010-300410Ptc ru4 qfy2010-300410
Ptc ru4 qfy2010-300410Angel Broking
 
JISL Result Update 4 qfy2010-120510
JISL Result Update 4 qfy2010-120510JISL Result Update 4 qfy2010-120510
JISL Result Update 4 qfy2010-120510Angel Broking
 
Hindalco Result Update 4 qfy2010-110510
Hindalco Result Update 4 qfy2010-110510Hindalco Result Update 4 qfy2010-110510
Hindalco Result Update 4 qfy2010-110510Angel Broking
 
Tech Mahindra Result Update 4qfy2010-040510
Tech Mahindra Result Update 4qfy2010-040510Tech Mahindra Result Update 4qfy2010-040510
Tech Mahindra Result Update 4qfy2010-040510Angel Broking
 
Bharti airtel result update 4 qfy2010
Bharti airtel  result update 4 qfy2010Bharti airtel  result update 4 qfy2010
Bharti airtel result update 4 qfy2010Angel Broking
 
Ge shipping ru4 qfy2010-240510
Ge shipping ru4 qfy2010-240510Ge shipping ru4 qfy2010-240510
Ge shipping ru4 qfy2010-240510Angel Broking
 
Niit ru4 qfy2010-130510
Niit ru4 qfy2010-130510Niit ru4 qfy2010-130510
Niit ru4 qfy2010-130510Angel Broking
 
R com ru4-qfy2010-180510
R com ru4-qfy2010-180510R com ru4-qfy2010-180510
R com ru4-qfy2010-180510Angel Broking
 

Similar to McNally Result Update 4qfy2010-180510 (17)

Ashok leyland ru4 qfy2010-300410
Ashok leyland ru4 qfy2010-300410Ashok leyland ru4 qfy2010-300410
Ashok leyland ru4 qfy2010-300410
 
Tvs motor ru4 qfy2010-21042010
Tvs motor ru4 qfy2010-21042010Tvs motor ru4 qfy2010-21042010
Tvs motor ru4 qfy2010-21042010
 
MPL Result Update 4qfy2010-030510-final
MPL Result Update 4qfy2010-030510-finalMPL Result Update 4qfy2010-030510-final
MPL Result Update 4qfy2010-030510-final
 
Bgr energy ru4 qfy2010-010610
Bgr energy ru4 qfy2010-010610Bgr energy ru4 qfy2010-010610
Bgr energy ru4 qfy2010-010610
 
Infotech Result Update
Infotech Result UpdateInfotech Result Update
Infotech Result Update
 
Ptc ru4 qfy2010-300410
Ptc ru4 qfy2010-300410Ptc ru4 qfy2010-300410
Ptc ru4 qfy2010-300410
 
JISL Result Update 4 qfy2010-120510
JISL Result Update 4 qfy2010-120510JISL Result Update 4 qfy2010-120510
JISL Result Update 4 qfy2010-120510
 
Hindalco Result Update 4 qfy2010-110510
Hindalco Result Update 4 qfy2010-110510Hindalco Result Update 4 qfy2010-110510
Hindalco Result Update 4 qfy2010-110510
 
Tech Mahindra Result Update 4qfy2010-040510
Tech Mahindra Result Update 4qfy2010-040510Tech Mahindra Result Update 4qfy2010-040510
Tech Mahindra Result Update 4qfy2010-040510
 
Hindalco
Hindalco Hindalco
Hindalco
 
Bharti airtel result update 4 qfy2010
Bharti airtel  result update 4 qfy2010Bharti airtel  result update 4 qfy2010
Bharti airtel result update 4 qfy2010
 
Ge shipping ru4 qfy2010-240510
Ge shipping ru4 qfy2010-240510Ge shipping ru4 qfy2010-240510
Ge shipping ru4 qfy2010-240510
 
Mphasis
MphasisMphasis
Mphasis
 
Tcs Result Update
Tcs  Result UpdateTcs  Result Update
Tcs Result Update
 
Niit ru4 qfy2010-130510
Niit ru4 qfy2010-130510Niit ru4 qfy2010-130510
Niit ru4 qfy2010-130510
 
R com ru4-qfy2010-180510
R com ru4-qfy2010-180510R com ru4-qfy2010-180510
R com ru4-qfy2010-180510
 
Wipro
Wipro  Wipro
Wipro
 

More from Angel Broking

Market outlook 110612
Market outlook 110612Market outlook 110612
Market outlook 110612Angel Broking
 
Axis%20 bank ru1qfy2012-220711
Axis%20 bank ru1qfy2012-220711Axis%20 bank ru1qfy2012-220711
Axis%20 bank ru1qfy2012-220711Angel Broking
 
Electrosteel castings
Electrosteel castingsElectrosteel castings
Electrosteel castingsAngel Broking
 
Derivative report 19th July 2011
Derivative report 19th July 2011Derivative report 19th July 2011
Derivative report 19th July 2011Angel Broking
 
Market outlook 19th July 2011
Market outlook 19th July 2011Market outlook 19th July 2011
Market outlook 19th July 2011Angel Broking
 
Weekly Report 18th July 2011
Weekly Report 18th July 2011Weekly Report 18th July 2011
Weekly Report 18th July 2011Angel Broking
 
Derivative Report 18th July 2011
Derivative Report 18th July 2011Derivative Report 18th July 2011
Derivative Report 18th July 2011Angel Broking
 
Technical Report 18th July 2011
Technical Report 18th July 2011Technical Report 18th July 2011
Technical Report 18th July 2011Angel Broking
 
Market Outlook 18th July 2011
Market Outlook 18th July 2011Market Outlook 18th July 2011
Market Outlook 18th July 2011Angel Broking
 
Bajaj auto Result Updated
Bajaj auto Result UpdatedBajaj auto Result Updated
Bajaj auto Result UpdatedAngel Broking
 
Tata consultancy services
Tata consultancy services Tata consultancy services
Tata consultancy services Angel Broking
 
Derivatives Report 15th July 2011
Derivatives Report 15th July 2011Derivatives Report 15th July 2011
Derivatives Report 15th July 2011Angel Broking
 
Technical Report 15th July 2011
Technical Report 15th July 2011Technical Report 15th July 2011
Technical Report 15th July 2011Angel Broking
 
Infosys Result Updated
Infosys Result UpdatedInfosys Result Updated
Infosys Result UpdatedAngel Broking
 
Derivative Report 13th July 2011
Derivative Report 13th July 2011Derivative Report 13th July 2011
Derivative Report 13th July 2011Angel Broking
 

More from Angel Broking (20)

Market outlook 110612
Market outlook 110612Market outlook 110612
Market outlook 110612
 
Axis%20 bank ru1qfy2012-220711
Axis%20 bank ru1qfy2012-220711Axis%20 bank ru1qfy2012-220711
Axis%20 bank ru1qfy2012-220711
 
Electrosteel castings
Electrosteel castingsElectrosteel castings
Electrosteel castings
 
Persistent systems
Persistent systemsPersistent systems
Persistent systems
 
Ht media
Ht mediaHt media
Ht media
 
Derivative report 19th July 2011
Derivative report 19th July 2011Derivative report 19th July 2011
Derivative report 19th July 2011
 
Market outlook 19th July 2011
Market outlook 19th July 2011Market outlook 19th July 2011
Market outlook 19th July 2011
 
Telecom sector
Telecom sectorTelecom sector
Telecom sector
 
Weekly Report 18th July 2011
Weekly Report 18th July 2011Weekly Report 18th July 2011
Weekly Report 18th July 2011
 
Derivative Report 18th July 2011
Derivative Report 18th July 2011Derivative Report 18th July 2011
Derivative Report 18th July 2011
 
Technical Report 18th July 2011
Technical Report 18th July 2011Technical Report 18th July 2011
Technical Report 18th July 2011
 
Market Outlook 18th July 2011
Market Outlook 18th July 2011Market Outlook 18th July 2011
Market Outlook 18th July 2011
 
South Indian Bank
 South Indian Bank South Indian Bank
South Indian Bank
 
Bajaj auto Result Updated
Bajaj auto Result UpdatedBajaj auto Result Updated
Bajaj auto Result Updated
 
Tata consultancy services
Tata consultancy services Tata consultancy services
Tata consultancy services
 
Fc4 e63c4d01
Fc4 e63c4d01Fc4 e63c4d01
Fc4 e63c4d01
 
Derivatives Report 15th July 2011
Derivatives Report 15th July 2011Derivatives Report 15th July 2011
Derivatives Report 15th July 2011
 
Technical Report 15th July 2011
Technical Report 15th July 2011Technical Report 15th July 2011
Technical Report 15th July 2011
 
Infosys Result Updated
Infosys Result UpdatedInfosys Result Updated
Infosys Result Updated
 
Derivative Report 13th July 2011
Derivative Report 13th July 2011Derivative Report 13th July 2011
Derivative Report 13th July 2011
 

McNally Result Update 4qfy2010-180510

  • 1. 4QFY2010 Result Update I Capital Goods May 18, 2010 McNally Bharat Engineering BUY CMP Rs312 Performance Highlights Target Price Rs486 McNally Bharat Engineering (MBE)’s 4QFY2010 Sales and Adj. PAT growth of Investment Period 12 Months 19% and 142%, respectively, was ahead of our estimates. MBE’s strong performance was on the back of a higher EBITDA margin and lower interest Stock Info outflow. The major improvement was on the EBITDA front, where margins Sector Capital Goods expanded by 165bp, from 5.6% (4QFY2009) to 7.3% (4QFY2010). Interest costs for the quarter declined by 55% yoy. Overall, MBE’s FY2010 Market Cap (Rs cr) 970 performance was ahead of our expectations. Going ahead, we expect the Beta 1.1 company to be on a strong growth path for the next few years, on account of its robust order book (2.6x FY2010 revenue). We have marginally revised our 52 WK High / Low 385/76 estimates upwards on account of better-than-expected sales, and maintain our Buy recommendation on the stock. Avg. Daily Volume 66,502 Face Value (Rs) 10 Strong, execution-led growth: MBE’s (standalone) sales for the quarter grew by 19%; however, its EBITDA grew by 54%, on the back of better execution BSE Sensex 16,876 and cost control. Overall interest costs for the quarter declined by 55% yoy, Nifty 5,066 due to better working capital management and a reduction in the average cost of borrowing. The overall Adj. PAT for the quarter increased by 142% to Reuters Code MCNL.BO Rs24cr from Rs10cr (4QFY2009). For the full year FY2010, standalone sales Bloomberg Code MCNA@IN grew by 50% to Rs1,448cr (from Rs968cr in FY2009), while the EBITDA margin improved by 80bp to 6.8% (from 6%). Shareholding Pattern (%) Outlook and Valuation: We believe that an improving economic scenario Promoters 30.6 (indicated by a revival in the IIP), the continuous government focus on MF/Banks/Indian FLs 28.5 infrastructure spend and a pick-up in private capex augurs well for the companies providing EPC solutions for the core sectors of the economy. The FII/NRIs/OCBs 18.9 overall emerging opportunities for MBE are expected to be around Indian Public 22.0 Rs51,600cr over FY2010-15E. Given MBE’s strong track record, we believe that it is well placed to capitalise on such opportunities. MBE’s current Abs. (%) 3m 1yr 3yr consolidated order book stands at Rs5,110cr (2.6x FY2010 revenue). Going Sensex 3.4 18.1 18.0 ahead, over FY2010-12E, we estimate the company to register a CAGR of 28% and 35% in Sales and Profit, respectively. We maintain our Buy McNally 26.7 308.9 98.6 recommendation on the stock, with a revised Target Price of Rs486. Key Financials (Consolidated) Y/E March (Rs cr) FY2009 FY2010E FY2011E FY2012E Net Sales 1,115 2,019 2,501 3,332 % chg 101.0 81.1 23.9 33.2 Adj Profit 39.7 65.0 93.6 118.7 % chg 91.1 63.9 44.0 26.8 Adj FDEPS (Rs) 12.8 20.9 27.4 34.7 EBITDA Margin (%) 9.8 7.9 9.7 9.6 P/E (x) 24.5 14.9 11.4 9.0 P/BV (x) 4.7 3.6 2.7 2.1 RoE (%) 21.7 27.2 28.0 26.1 RoACE (%) 29.4 27.0 31.0 30.3 Sageraj Bariya EV/Sales (x) 1.0 0.6 0.5 0.4 Tel: 022 – 4040 3800 Ext: 346 EV/EBITDA (x) 10.6 7.5 5.5 4.6 E-mail: sageraj.bariya@angeltrade.com Source: Company, Angel Research 1 Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report Sebi Registration No: INB 010996539
  • 2. McNally Bharat Engineering I 4QFY2010 Result Update Exhibit 1: 4QFY2010 Performance (Standalone) Y/E March (Rs cr) 4QFY10 4QFY09 % chg FY10 FY09 % chg Total Revenue 562 474 19 1448 968 50 Total RM 334 304 10 833 612 36 as % of sales 59 64 58 63 Gross Profit 228 169 615 356 Gross margin (%) 40.5 35.8 42.5 36.7 Staff cost 20 15 37 71 44 62 as % of sales 3.6 3.2 4.9 4.5 Other Expenses 167 128 30 445 254 75 as % of sales 29.6 27.0 30.8 26.2 Total Exp 522 447 17 1349 910 48 as % of sales 93 94 93 94 EBITDA 41 27 54 99 58 70 EBITDA % 7.3 5.6 6.8 6.0 Depreciation 1.4 0.3 327 4.8 2.4 99 EBIT 39.4 26.2 94.1 134.0 EBIT % 7.0 5.5 6.5 7.6 Other Income 2.7 3.5 (24) 3.1 5.8 (47) Interest 6.9 15.2 (55) 34.0 32.8 4 PBT 35 15 142 63 28 123 Extra-ord Items 1 (23) 4 (23) PBT 34 38 59 51 Total tax 13 12 4 20 17 15 Tax rate 36 84 32 62 PAT 22 25 (15) 39 34 14 PAT (%) 3.8 5.4 2.7 3.5 Adj PAT 23.9 9.9 142 43.0 19.2 123 Adj PAT (%) 4.3 2.1 3.0 2.0 Equity 31.1 31.1 31.1 31.1 EPS 6.9 8.2 (15) 12.5 10.9 14 Adj EPS 7.7 3.2 142 13.8 6.2 123 Source: Company, Angel Research. Key highlights of FY2010 (McNally Bharat Engineering Co, Standalone) • The total revenue increased by 50%, on the back of strong execution and a robust order inflow. • The company improved its EBITDA margin by 80%, on account of faster execution and better cost control. • Total adjusted PAT for the year increased by 123% to Rs43cr (from Rs19cr). May 18, 2010 2
  • 3. McNally Bharat Engineering I 4QFY2010 Result Update Exhibit 2: Financial Performance – McNally Sayaji Engg Co Y/E March (Rs cr) 4QFY10 4QFY09 % chg FY10 FY09 % chg Total Revenue 126 75 67.7 309 202 52.9 Total RM 81 36 128.0 180 101 77.7 as % of sales 64.8 47.7 58.2 50.0 Gross Profit 44 39 12.7 129 101 28.0 Gross margin (%) 35.2 52.3 41.8 50.0 Staff cost 7 11 (38.3) 25 24 4.9 as % of sales 5.6 15.2 8.0 11.7 Other Expenses 17 15 13.7 51 38 36.2 as % of sales 13.2 19.4 16.6 18.7 Total Exp 105 62 70.3 256 163 57.5 as % of sales 83.6 82.3 82.8 80.4 EBITDA 21 13 55.5 49 40 24.3 EBITDA % 16.4 17.7 15.9 19.6 Depreciation 3 2 17.1 9 7 31.9 EBIT 18 11 40 33 EBIT % 14.4 14.8 12.9 16.1 Other Income 0 0 (100.0) 3 2 73.6 Interest 1 (1) (362.7) 8 3 123.3 PBT 17 12 39.6 35 31 14.4 Extra-ord Items 0 0 0 0 PBT 17 0 0 0 Total tax 6 5 35.1 10 11 (9.1) Tax rate 37 38 29 37 PAT 11 7 42.5 25 19 28.2 PAT (%) 8.4 9.9 8.1 9.6 Equity 9 7 9 7 EPS 11.7 10.0 16.7 27.7 26.4 4.9 Source: Company, Angel Research Key highlights of FY2010 (McNally Sayaji, Standalone) • The total revenue increased by 53%, on the back of strong execution and a robust order inflow. • The EBITDA margin for the company declined by almost 400bp, on account of a one-time staff cost (change in gratuity law). • Total adjusted PAT for the year increased by 28% to Rs25cr (from Rs19cr). May 18, 2010 3
  • 4. McNally Bharat Engineering I 4QFY2010 Result Update Strong order inflow continues MBE's Order inflow has been on the rise, having increased from Rs700cr in FY2005 to Rs3,334cr in FY2009, posting a CAGR of 48% over the mentioned period. For FY2010, the company ended the year with an order book of Rs4,550cr, while we estimate that on a consolidated basis it stood at Rs5,150cr. The management has further indicated that bids for order worth Rs1,300cr have been placed and the outcome of the same is expected during the year. Exhibit 3: Order Book Trend (Consolidated) 5,500 5,150 5.0 4.2 4,400 4.0 3,334 3,300 2.6 3.0 2.3 (Rs cr) 2.3 3.0 (x) 2,323 1.8 2,200 2.0 1,160 1,100 700 1.0 600 - - FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010E Orderbook Orderbook to sales Source: Company, Angel Research Exhibit 4: SBU wise Break-up of order book (Standalone) Non- Steel & Ferrous mines 6% 7% Port 4% Power 32% Infra 24% MHE 27% Source: Company, Angel Research May 18, 2010 4
  • 5. McNally Bharat Engineering I 4QFY2010 Result Update Key takeaways from the Conference call • The management expects the Power sector to be the key growth driver for the company over the next few years. The key opportunity areas are in Material handling solutions (which include coal handling, coal washer, desalination plant and RO plant). • After bagging 2 BoP-based orders (770 MW), MBE is qualified to bid for all ranges of BoP projects across the power sector. BoP projects have margins in the region of 7-8%; however, the margin improves once a company starts executing a higher range of projects. Hence, going ahead, MBE plans to focus on improving the average size of the orders in the BoP segment. • Going ahead, MBE plans to build up its skill set in Cement, and the Oil and Gas industry, as it plans to diversify its order book. • McNally Sayaji plans to invest Rs65cr in setting up a new facility for its product, while the Parent MBE plans to have a capex of Rs45cr. • A decision on the rights issue would be taken by June 2010. • Overall, the management has outlined a revenue target of around Rs5,000cr by FY2013E, of which MBE standalone would stand at Rs4,000cr, MSE at Rs600-700cr and the CMT group (international subsidiary) at Rs500cr. Outlook and Valuation We believe that an improving economic scenario (indicated by a revival in the IIP), the continuous government focus on infrastructure spend and a pick-up in private capex augurs well for the companies providing EPC solutions for the core sectors of the economy. The overall emerging opportunities for MBE are expected to be around Rs51,600cr over FY2010-15E. Over the longer term, the Port and Steel Sectors are likely to offer the highest opportunity of Rs22,200cr, while the Power and Mining Sectors are likely to be the key growth drivers in the near term. The government's strong focus on the Power Sector, through "Power for all by 2012", is expected to result in an expansion of generation capacity in the Sector, leading to higher opportunities for BoP players. We believe that MBE is well placed to seize the upcoming opportunities in the above-mentioned sectors, due to the following reasons: 1) Vast experience in the different EPC Segments across sectors, 2) Presence in the high-Margin Product Segment through its subsidiary, McNally Sayaji, and 3) Access to key global technology for ash handling and mineral beneficiation. MBE's consolidated Order Book at the end of 4QFY2010 stood at Rs5,110cr, or 2.6x FY2010 sales, which renders high Revenue visibility for the company. Going ahead, over FY2010-12E, we estimate the company to register a CAGR of 28% and 35% in Sales and Profit respectively. We have marginally revised our estimates upward for FY2011E and FY2012E, on account of the better-than-expected performance in FY2010. May 18, 2010 5
  • 6. McNally Bharat Engineering I 4QFY2010 Result Update Exhibit 5: Revised Estimates (Consolidated) Rs cr Old New % chg FY2011E FY2012E FY2011E FY2012E FY2011E FY2012E Sales 2,444 3,046 2,501 3,332 2.3 9.4 EBITDA 236 291 241 318 2.3 9.3 EBITDA % 9.7 9.6 9.7 9.6 PAT 91 114 94 119 2.4 4.1 EPS 26.7 33.3 27.4 34.7 2.4 4.1 Source: Angel Research At the CMP, the stock is trading at 9x its FY2012E Earnings and 4.6x its FY2012 EV/ EBITDA. We maintain our Buy rating on the stock, with a revised Target Price of Rs486. Exhibit 6: One year forward P/E band 500 400 Share price (Rs) 300 200 100 0 Dec-09 Apr-05 Jul-05 Jul-06 Aug-09 Apr-10 Mar-06 Oct-06 Feb-07 Oct-07 Nov-05 Sep-08 May-08 May-09 Jun-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Price 7x 10x 13x 16x 19x Source: C-Line, Angel Research Exhibit 7: One year forward EV/EBITDA band 2,000 1,600 1,200 Rs cr 800 400 - Jun-07 Jul-05 Jul-06 Jan-08 Jan-09 Apr-05 Apr-10 Aug-09 Mar-06 Feb-07 Sep-08 Nov-05 May-08 May-09 Dec-09 Oct-06 Oct-07 EV 4x 5x 6x 7x 8x Source: C-Line, Angel Research May 18, 2010 6
  • 7. McNally Bharat Engineering I 4QFY2010 Result Update Profit & Loss Statement (Consolidated) (Rs cr) Y/E March FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E Gross sales 517 565 1,130 2,051 2,542 3,390 Less: Excise duty 13 13 23 40 50 66 Net Sales 504 552 1,107 2,011 2,493 3,323 Other operating income 2 2 8 8 8 8 Total operating income 506 555 1,115 2,019 2,501 3,332 % chg 49.9 9.6 101.0 81.1 23.9 33.2 Total Expenditure 475 510 1,007 1,860 2,259 3,014 Net Raw Materials 309 305 654 1,191 1,476 1,966 Other Mfg costs 31 43 70 121 150 200 Personnel 28 42 78 162 175 233 Other 14 24 25 61 63 83 EBITDA 31 45 108 159 241 318 % chg 64.6 45.1 141.5 47.0 52.0 31.7 (% of Net Sales) 6.1 8.1 9.8 7.9 9.7 9.6 Depreciation& Amortisation 2 2 10 15 19 24 EBIT 29 42 99 144 222 293 % chg 85.2 46.1 132.3 46.1 54.4 32.1 (% of Net Sales) 5.8 7.7 8.9 7.2 8.9 8.8 Interest & other Charges 12 13 39 42 76 109 Other Income 7 2 3 6 8 12 (% of PBT) 28.4 7.0 4.2 5.6 5.4 6.2 Recurring PBT 24 31 62 108 154 197 % chg 213.5 33.0 97.1 73.5 43.3 27.7 Extraordinary Expense/(Inc.) (4) 1 20 4 - - PBT (reported) 19 32 82 112 154 197 Tax 3 10 29 36 52 66 (% of PBT) 10.9 31.8 46.4 33.7 33.8 33.8 PAT (reported) 17 22 53 75 102 130 Add: Share of earnings of - - - - - - associate Less: Minority interest (MI) 0 0 5 6 7 7 Prior period items - - 4 - - - PAT after MI (reported) 17 22 48 69 96 123 ADJ. PAT 16 21 40 65 94 119 % chg 213.6 33.0 91.1 63.9 44.0 26.8 (% of Net Sales) 3.1 3.8 3.6 3.2 3.8 3.6 Basic EPS (Rs) 6 7 13 21 30 38 Fully Diluted EPS (Rs) 6 7 13 21 27 35 % chg 209.9 24.2 76.3 63.9 30.9 26.8 May 18, 2010 7
  • 8. McNally Bharat Engineering I 4QFY2010 Result Update Balance Sheet (Consolidated) (Rs cr) Y/E March FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010E FY2011E FY2012E SOURCES OF FUNDS Equity Share Capital 27 29 31 31 34 34 Preference Capital - - - - - - Reserves& Surplus 70 129 177 239 365 476 Shareholders Funds 96 158 208 270 399 510 Minority Interest 0 0 12 18 25 32 Total Loans 117 63 214 316 379 568 Deferred Tax Liability 1 1 14 13 12 10 Total Liabilities 214 222 448 617 814 1,120 APPLICATION OF FUNDS Gross Block 78 99 201 271 381 476 Less: Acc. Depreciation 33 37 33 48 68 92 Net Block 45 62 168 223 313 384 Capital Work-in-Progress 11 19 11 11 11 11 Goodwill 0 0 58 58 58 58 Investments 4 14 2 2 2 2 Current Assets Cash 55 71 42 90 114 176 Loans & Advances 67 100 114 188 294 467 Other 281 400 771 1,009 1,418 1,838 Current liabilities 249 444 717 964 1,396 1,815 Net Current Assets 153 127 209 324 430 665 Mis. Exp. not written off - - 0 - - - Total Assets 214 222 448 617 814 1,120 Cash Flow (Consolidated) (Rs cr) Y/E March FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010E FY2011E FY2012E Profit before tax 19 32 82 112 154 197 Depreciation 9 8 13 57 96 133 Change in Working Capital (11) 37 (118) (69) (87) (177) Less: Other income - - - - - - Direct taxes paid (0) (4) (14) (36) (52) (66) Cash Flow from Operations 17 73 (37) 63 111 87 (Inc.)/ Dec. in Fixed Assets (11) (29) (147) (70) (110) (95) (Inc.)/ Dec. in Investments (0) (8) 15 - - - Inc./ (Dec.) in loans and - - - advances Other income - - - - - - Cash Flow from Investing (11) (37) (133) (70) (110) (95) Issue of Equity 5 19 - - 44 - Inc./(Dec.) in loans 40 (27) 160 102 63 189 Dividend Paid (Incl. Tax) (2) (3) (4) (5) (7) (10) Others (9) (9) (18) (42) (76) (109) Cash Flow from Financing 34 (21) 139 55 23 70 Inc./(Dec.) in Cash 40 15 (31) 48 24 62 Opening Cash balances 16 56 73 42 90 114 Closing Cash balances 56 71 42 90 114 176 May 18, 2010 8
  • 9. McNally Bharat Engineering I 4QFY2010 Result Update Key Ratios Y/E March FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010E FY2011E FY2012E Valuation Ratio (x) P/E (on FDEPS) 53.6 43.1 24.5 14.9 11.4 9.0 P/CEPS 48.1 38.8 19.7 12.2 9.5 7.5 P/BV 8.7 5.7 4.7 3.6 2.7 2.1 Dividend yield (%) 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 EV/Sales 1.8 1.6 1.0 0.6 0.5 0.4 EV/EBITDA 29.0 19.5 10.6 7.5 5.5 4.6 EV / Total Assets 4.2 3.9 2.5 1.9 1.6 1.3 Per Share Data (Rs) EPS (Basic) 5.8 7.2 12.8 20.9 30.1 38.2 EPS (fully diluted) 5.8 7.2 12.8 20.9 27.4 34.7 Cash EPS 6.5 8.0 15.8 25.7 33.0 41.9 DPS 1.0 1.1 1.3 2.0 2.5 3.0 Book Value 36.0 55.1 66.8 86.8 116.6 149.1 DuPont Analysis EBIT margin 5.8 7.7 8.9 7.2 8.9 8.8 Tax retention ratio 89.1 68.2 53.6 66.3 66.2 66.2 Asset turnover (x) 3.4 3.8 4.1 4.3 4.1 4.1 ROIC (Post-tax) 17.4 19.8 19.6 20.6 24.1 23.7 Cost of Debt (Post Tax) 10.9 10.0 15.2 10.6 14.6 15.2 Leverage (x) 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.7 Operating ROE 21.8 21.2 21.4 28.9 31.1 29.9 Returns (%) ROCE (Pre-tax) 15.5 19.4 29.4 27.0 31.0 30.3 Angel ROIC (Pre-tax) 18.6 30.8 24.4 27.4 31.8 31.1 ROE 17.7 16.3 21.7 27.2 28.0 26.1 Turnover ratios (x) Asset Turnover (Gross Block) 6 6 7 9 8 8 Inventory / Sales (days) 11 15 17 25 24 25 Receivables (days) 164 210 176 210 205 205 Payables (days) 108 132 108 120 122 125 WC cycle (ex-cash) (days) 53 46 41 32 38 41 Solvency ratios (x) Net debt to equity 0.6 - 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.8 Net debt to EBITDA 1.9 - 1.6 1.4 1.1 1.2 Interest Coverage (EBIT / Int.) 2.7 4.2 2.7 3.4 2.9 2.7 May 18, 2010 9
  • 10. McNally Bharat Engineering I 4QFY2010 Result Update Research Team Tel: 022-4040 3800 E-mail: research@angeltrade.com Website: www.angeltrade.com DISCLAIMER This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. Angel Securities Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within. Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's fundamentals. The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable sources believed to be true, and is for general guidance only. Angel Securities Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify, nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While Angel Securities Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly. Angel Securities Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in the past. Neither Angel Securities Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or in connection with the use of this information. Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section). Disclosure of Interest Statement McNally Bharat 1. Analyst ownership of the stock No 2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock No 3. Angel and its Group companies’ Directors ownership of the stock No 4. Broking relationship with company covered No Note: We have not considered any Exposure below Rs 1 lakh for Angel and its Group companies. . Address: Acme Plaza, ‘A’ Wing, 3rd Floor, M.V. Road, Opp. Sangam Cinema, Andheri (E), Mumbai - 400 059. Tel : (022) 3952 4568 / 4040 3800 Angel Broking Ltd: BSE Sebi Regn No : INB 010996539 / CDSL Regn No: IN - DP - CDSL - 234 - 2004 / PMS Regn Code: PM/INP000001546 Angel Securities Ltd:BSE: INB010994639/INF010994639 NSE: INB230994635/INF230994635 Membership numbers: BSE 028/NSE:09946 Angel Capital & Debt Market Ltd: INB 231279838 / NSE FNO: INF 231279838 / NSE Member code -12798 Angel Commodities Broking (P) Ltd: MCX Member ID: 12685 / FMC Regn No: MCX / TCM / CORP / 0037 NCDEX : Member ID 00220 / FMC Regn No: NCDEX / TCM / CORP / 0302 May 18, 2010 10