SlideShare a Scribd company logo
4 January
2018
PAGE 2
•
10 2.6%
2.5535%
•
0.67% 0.43%
10.26 557.15
• 0.50%
0.35% 0.34%
1.10%
Bloomberg 2019/1/3
-1.29
0.80
0.90
0.04
1.42
0.82
1.41
-1.22
1.59
1.16
-2.41
2.34
1.22
2.85
0.96
-0.46
-0.08
0.16
0.27
0.34
0.35
0.40
0.43
0.45
0.50
0.67
0.97
0.98
1.08
1.10
-
-
% %
PAGE 3
•
S&P 500
1.64% NASDAQ 1.76%
600 1.32%
• 225 2018
0.31%
• 12
0.75%
• Bolsonaro
BOVESPA 7.14%
• 17 6.16%
2.42%
Bloomberg 2019/1/3
-8.31
-12.27
-9.62
-6.37
-2.01
-7.17
-9.90
-11.34
-6.62
-9.15
-5.46
-7.55
-0.02
-5.84
1.94
1.98
-1.87
-1.64
-1.56
-1.55
-0.82
-0.75
-0.47
-0.31
-0.29
0.34
1.28
1.32
2.42
2.86
7.14
7.62
MSCI
500
H
SENSEX
MSCI
Nikkei 225
MSCI
DAX
MSCI
600
RTS
BOVESPA
MSCI
% %
PAGE 4
• OPEC
(OPEC)12
OPEC 1
•
( )
2019
59.97
Bloomberg EIA 2019/1/3 2018/12/21
-7.90
-8.88
-11.41
-7.04
-6.51
-1.44
-3.33
-0.59
5.17
0.77
-11.07
-9.30
-4.65
-4.18
-1.71
-0.89
0.63
0.64
1.02
1.40
1.46
5.03
5.56
7.27
LME
LME
LME
CRB
LME
% %
PAGE 5
• 1 2 211
145 2
6 12
20
• 78 80
18 13 12
4
Bank of America Merrill Lynch EPFR 2019/1/3
PAGE 7
• Cook
iPhone
12 29
840 890
930 5% Cook
( )
( 1)
• 12
(PMI) 11 59.3
54.1( 2) 2016 11
57.5
• Trump
• Bristol-Myers Squibb
740 Celgene
Bloomberg 2019/1/3
( 1)
( 2) ISM (PMI)
PAGE 8
• 2018
12 1.85%
( 1)
• 2018 4
(YTW) 8%
( 2)
• Netflix Activision Blizzard
Netflix Netflix
Netflix
• Sears Sears
2018
ESL Sears
Sears
Bloomberg Bank of America Merrill Lynch 2019/1/3
( 2)
1.85%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
2015/12 2016/12 2017/12 2018/12
12
( 1)
PAGE 9
• 12 Markit
PMI 11 51.8 51.4( 1)
50 12
Markit PMI 11 51.8 51.5
33
•
Barclay May
May
May
• 12/30
2019
2019
GDP 2.04%
• 11
1.1%( 2) 11
10 2.4% 2.5%
1.62 1.63 44
Bloomberg 2019/1/3
PAGE 10
• 12
PMI PMI 50
49.4( 1) 34
PMI 0.4
53.8
• 2019
500 1000
•
(NIOC)
11 5
• Bolsonaro
Twitter 12 4
70
Bloomberg 2019/1/3
PMI 50
( 1) PMI
( 2)
PAGE 12
Bloomberg 2019/1/3
PAGE 13
Bloomberg ICE * ICE
10
(%) (bp)
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
: 157.0 (1/3) 5 : 125.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
: 4.12 (1/3)
(%) (bp)*
/ / 本益比 風險
5.0
5.2
5.4
5.6
5.8
6.0
6.2
6.4
6.6
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
: 6.16 (1/3)
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
: 360.45 (1/3) 5 : 319.9
PAGE 14
Bloomberg
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
10.0
11.0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
: 7.67 (1/3)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
: 557.2 (1/3) 5 : 453.5
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
10.0
11.0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
: 7.94 (1/3)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
: 537.0 (1/3) 5 : 437.8
(%) (bp)
(%) (bp)
/ / 本益比 風險
PAGE 15
Bloomberg J.P. Morgan -
(%) (bp)
(%) (bp)
/ / 本益比 風險
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
: 5.48 (1/3)
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
: 533.0 (1/3) 5 : 365.6
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
10.0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
: 8.75 (1/3)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
: 619.7 (1/3) 5 : 506.0
PAGE 16
Bloomberg J.P. Morgan (EMBIG) J.P. Morgan (CEMBI)
(%) (bp)
(%) (bp)
/ / 本益比 風險
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
: 6.80 (1/3)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
: 422.62 (1/3) 5 : 339.4
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
: 6.27 (1/3)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
: 381.16 (1/3) 5 : 332.2
PAGE 17
Bloomberg J.P. Morgan (JACI)
(%) (bp)
(%) (bp)
/ / 本益比 風險
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
10.0
11.0
12.0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
: 8.53 (1/3)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
: 604.0 (1/3) 5 : 571.7
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
6.5
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
: 5.53 (1/3)
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
: 297.10 (1/3) 5 : 255.5
PAGE 18
Bloomberg
MSCI 500
600 225
/ / 本益比 風險
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
: 13.3 (1/3) 5 : 16.6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
: 14.2 (1/3) 5 : 17.5
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
: 12.0 (1/3) 5 : 15.4
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
24
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
: 14.4 (1/3) 5 : 17.6
PAGE 19
Bloomberg
MSCI 300
SENSEX BOVESPA
/ / 本益比 風險
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
: 10.5 (1/3) 5 : 12.3
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
: 9.2 (1/3) 5 : 12.6
5
7
9
11
13
15
17
19
21
23
25
2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
: 20.5 (1/3) 5 : 18.1
5
7
9
11
13
15
17
19
21
2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
: 11.1 (1/3) 5 : 12.7
PAGE 20
Bloomberg
VIX MOVE
CDX
/ / 本益比 風險
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
: 25.45 (1/3) 5 : 14.90
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
: 65.8 (1/3) 5 : 65.2
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
: 62.4 (1/3) 5 : 71.8
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
650
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
: 465.3 (1/3) 5 : 364.8
PAGE 21
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
'14/1/3 '15/1/3 '16/1/3 '17/1/3 '18/1/3 '19/1/3
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
'14/1/3 '15/1/3 '16/1/3 '17/1/3 '18/1/3 '19/1/3
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
'14/1/3 '15/1/3 '16/1/3 '17/1/3 '18/1/3 '19/1/3
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
'14/1/3 '15/1/3 '16/1/3 '17/1/3 '18/1/3 '19/1/3
2019/1/3
* 50% +50%
5 ( ) 5 ( )
* 5 ( ) 5 ( )
PAGE 22
TR108003
PineBridge Investments IP Holding Company Limited
•
•
•
( )
•
101 013
104 144 10 (02)2516-7883
407 386 12 8 (04)2217-8168
802 6 17 1(A5 ) (07)335-5898

More Related Content

What's hot

柏瑞週報 20190119
柏瑞週報 20190119柏瑞週報 20190119
柏瑞週報 20190119
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20200306
柏瑞週報 20200306柏瑞週報 20200306
柏瑞週報 20200306
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報20190906
柏瑞週報20190906柏瑞週報20190906
柏瑞週報20190906
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20190329
柏瑞週報 20190329柏瑞週報 20190329
柏瑞週報 20190329
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20200117
柏瑞週報  20200117柏瑞週報  20200117
柏瑞週報 20200117
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報20191005
柏瑞週報20191005柏瑞週報20191005
柏瑞週報20191005
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20191108
柏瑞週報 20191108柏瑞週報 20191108
柏瑞週報 20191108
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20190322
柏瑞週報 20190322柏瑞週報 20190322
柏瑞週報 20190322
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20200221
柏瑞週報 20200221柏瑞週報 20200221
柏瑞週報 20200221
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20191101
柏瑞週報 20191101柏瑞週報 20191101
柏瑞週報 20191101
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20190517
柏瑞週報 20190517柏瑞週報 20190517
柏瑞週報 20190517
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20200207
柏瑞週報 20200207柏瑞週報 20200207
柏瑞週報 20200207
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20190531
柏瑞週報 20190531柏瑞週報 20190531
柏瑞週報 20190531
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20190809
柏瑞週報 20190809柏瑞週報 20190809
柏瑞週報 20190809
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20200214
柏瑞週報 20200214柏瑞週報 20200214
柏瑞週報 20200214
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20190524
柏瑞週報 20190524柏瑞週報 20190524
柏瑞週報 20190524
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報20190826
柏瑞週報20190826柏瑞週報20190826
柏瑞週報20190826
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20190215
柏瑞週報 20190215柏瑞週報 20190215
柏瑞週報 20190215
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20200227
柏瑞週報 20200227柏瑞週報 20200227
柏瑞週報 20200227
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20190315
柏瑞週報 20190315柏瑞週報 20190315
柏瑞週報 20190315
Pinebridge
 

What's hot (20)

柏瑞週報 20190119
柏瑞週報 20190119柏瑞週報 20190119
柏瑞週報 20190119
 
柏瑞週報 20200306
柏瑞週報 20200306柏瑞週報 20200306
柏瑞週報 20200306
 
柏瑞週報20190906
柏瑞週報20190906柏瑞週報20190906
柏瑞週報20190906
 
柏瑞週報 20190329
柏瑞週報 20190329柏瑞週報 20190329
柏瑞週報 20190329
 
柏瑞週報 20200117
柏瑞週報  20200117柏瑞週報  20200117
柏瑞週報 20200117
 
柏瑞週報20191005
柏瑞週報20191005柏瑞週報20191005
柏瑞週報20191005
 
柏瑞週報 20191108
柏瑞週報 20191108柏瑞週報 20191108
柏瑞週報 20191108
 
柏瑞週報 20190322
柏瑞週報 20190322柏瑞週報 20190322
柏瑞週報 20190322
 
柏瑞週報 20200221
柏瑞週報 20200221柏瑞週報 20200221
柏瑞週報 20200221
 
柏瑞週報 20191101
柏瑞週報 20191101柏瑞週報 20191101
柏瑞週報 20191101
 
柏瑞週報 20190517
柏瑞週報 20190517柏瑞週報 20190517
柏瑞週報 20190517
 
柏瑞週報 20200207
柏瑞週報 20200207柏瑞週報 20200207
柏瑞週報 20200207
 
柏瑞週報 20190531
柏瑞週報 20190531柏瑞週報 20190531
柏瑞週報 20190531
 
柏瑞週報 20190809
柏瑞週報 20190809柏瑞週報 20190809
柏瑞週報 20190809
 
柏瑞週報 20200214
柏瑞週報 20200214柏瑞週報 20200214
柏瑞週報 20200214
 
柏瑞週報 20190524
柏瑞週報 20190524柏瑞週報 20190524
柏瑞週報 20190524
 
柏瑞週報20190826
柏瑞週報20190826柏瑞週報20190826
柏瑞週報20190826
 
柏瑞週報 20190215
柏瑞週報 20190215柏瑞週報 20190215
柏瑞週報 20190215
 
柏瑞週報 20200227
柏瑞週報 20200227柏瑞週報 20200227
柏瑞週報 20200227
 
柏瑞週報 20190315
柏瑞週報 20190315柏瑞週報 20190315
柏瑞週報 20190315
 

Similar to 柏瑞週報 20190104

柏瑞週報 20190308
柏瑞週報 20190308柏瑞週報 20190308
柏瑞週報 20190308
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報20190125
柏瑞週報20190125柏瑞週報20190125
柏瑞週報20190125
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20200605
柏瑞週報 20200605柏瑞週報 20200605
柏瑞週報 20200605
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20200619
柏瑞週報 20200619柏瑞週報 20200619
柏瑞週報 20200619
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20200313
柏瑞週報 20200313柏瑞週報 20200313
柏瑞週報 20200313
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20200904
柏瑞週報 20200904柏瑞週報 20200904
柏瑞週報 20200904
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20200320
柏瑞週報 20200320柏瑞週報 20200320
柏瑞週報 20200320
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20200529
柏瑞週報 20200529柏瑞週報 20200529
柏瑞週報 20200529
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20200515
柏瑞週報 20200515柏瑞週報 20200515
柏瑞週報 20200515
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20190816
柏瑞週報 20190816柏瑞週報 20190816
柏瑞週報 20190816
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報20191129
柏瑞週報20191129柏瑞週報20191129
柏瑞週報20191129
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20191115
柏瑞週報 20191115柏瑞週報 20191115
柏瑞週報 20191115
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20191014
柏瑞週報 20191014柏瑞週報 20191014
柏瑞週報 20191014
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20191018
柏瑞週報 20191018柏瑞週報 20191018
柏瑞週報 20191018
Pinebridge
 

Similar to 柏瑞週報 20190104 (14)

柏瑞週報 20190308
柏瑞週報 20190308柏瑞週報 20190308
柏瑞週報 20190308
 
柏瑞週報20190125
柏瑞週報20190125柏瑞週報20190125
柏瑞週報20190125
 
柏瑞週報 20200605
柏瑞週報 20200605柏瑞週報 20200605
柏瑞週報 20200605
 
柏瑞週報 20200619
柏瑞週報 20200619柏瑞週報 20200619
柏瑞週報 20200619
 
柏瑞週報 20200313
柏瑞週報 20200313柏瑞週報 20200313
柏瑞週報 20200313
 
柏瑞週報 20200904
柏瑞週報 20200904柏瑞週報 20200904
柏瑞週報 20200904
 
柏瑞週報 20200320
柏瑞週報 20200320柏瑞週報 20200320
柏瑞週報 20200320
 
柏瑞週報 20200529
柏瑞週報 20200529柏瑞週報 20200529
柏瑞週報 20200529
 
柏瑞週報 20200515
柏瑞週報 20200515柏瑞週報 20200515
柏瑞週報 20200515
 
柏瑞週報 20190816
柏瑞週報 20190816柏瑞週報 20190816
柏瑞週報 20190816
 
柏瑞週報20191129
柏瑞週報20191129柏瑞週報20191129
柏瑞週報20191129
 
柏瑞週報 20191115
柏瑞週報 20191115柏瑞週報 20191115
柏瑞週報 20191115
 
柏瑞週報 20191014
柏瑞週報 20191014柏瑞週報 20191014
柏瑞週報 20191014
 
柏瑞週報 20191018
柏瑞週報 20191018柏瑞週報 20191018
柏瑞週報 20191018
 

More from Pinebridge

柏瑞週報 20201120
柏瑞週報 20201120柏瑞週報 20201120
柏瑞週報 20201120
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20201113
柏瑞週報 20201113柏瑞週報 20201113
柏瑞週報 20201113
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20201106
柏瑞週報 20201106柏瑞週報 20201106
柏瑞週報 20201106
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20201023
柏瑞週報 20201023柏瑞週報 20201023
柏瑞週報 20201023
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報20201016
柏瑞週報20201016柏瑞週報20201016
柏瑞週報20201016
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20201008
柏瑞週報 20201008柏瑞週報 20201008
柏瑞週報 20201008
Pinebridge
 
Pinebridge 2020 Q4
Pinebridge 2020 Q4Pinebridge 2020 Q4
Pinebridge 2020 Q4
Pinebridge
 
Pinebridge 2020 Q3
Pinebridge 2020 Q3Pinebridge 2020 Q3
Pinebridge 2020 Q3
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20200925
柏瑞週報 20200925柏瑞週報 20200925
柏瑞週報 20200925
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20200918
柏瑞週報 20200918柏瑞週報 20200918
柏瑞週報 20200918
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報20200911
柏瑞週報20200911柏瑞週報20200911
柏瑞週報20200911
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20200828
柏瑞週報 20200828柏瑞週報 20200828
柏瑞週報 20200828
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20200821
柏瑞週報 20200821柏瑞週報 20200821
柏瑞週報 20200821
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20200814
柏瑞週報 20200814柏瑞週報 20200814
柏瑞週報 20200814
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20200807
柏瑞週報 20200807柏瑞週報 20200807
柏瑞週報 20200807
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報20200731
柏瑞週報20200731柏瑞週報20200731
柏瑞週報20200731
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20200724
柏瑞週報 20200724柏瑞週報 20200724
柏瑞週報 20200724
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20200717
柏瑞週報 20200717柏瑞週報 20200717
柏瑞週報 20200717
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報20200710
柏瑞週報20200710柏瑞週報20200710
柏瑞週報20200710
Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20200703
柏瑞週報 20200703柏瑞週報 20200703
柏瑞週報 20200703
Pinebridge
 

More from Pinebridge (20)

柏瑞週報 20201120
柏瑞週報 20201120柏瑞週報 20201120
柏瑞週報 20201120
 
柏瑞週報 20201113
柏瑞週報 20201113柏瑞週報 20201113
柏瑞週報 20201113
 
柏瑞週報 20201106
柏瑞週報 20201106柏瑞週報 20201106
柏瑞週報 20201106
 
柏瑞週報 20201023
柏瑞週報 20201023柏瑞週報 20201023
柏瑞週報 20201023
 
柏瑞週報20201016
柏瑞週報20201016柏瑞週報20201016
柏瑞週報20201016
 
柏瑞週報 20201008
柏瑞週報 20201008柏瑞週報 20201008
柏瑞週報 20201008
 
Pinebridge 2020 Q4
Pinebridge 2020 Q4Pinebridge 2020 Q4
Pinebridge 2020 Q4
 
Pinebridge 2020 Q3
Pinebridge 2020 Q3Pinebridge 2020 Q3
Pinebridge 2020 Q3
 
柏瑞週報 20200925
柏瑞週報 20200925柏瑞週報 20200925
柏瑞週報 20200925
 
柏瑞週報 20200918
柏瑞週報 20200918柏瑞週報 20200918
柏瑞週報 20200918
 
柏瑞週報20200911
柏瑞週報20200911柏瑞週報20200911
柏瑞週報20200911
 
柏瑞週報 20200828
柏瑞週報 20200828柏瑞週報 20200828
柏瑞週報 20200828
 
柏瑞週報 20200821
柏瑞週報 20200821柏瑞週報 20200821
柏瑞週報 20200821
 
柏瑞週報 20200814
柏瑞週報 20200814柏瑞週報 20200814
柏瑞週報 20200814
 
柏瑞週報 20200807
柏瑞週報 20200807柏瑞週報 20200807
柏瑞週報 20200807
 
柏瑞週報20200731
柏瑞週報20200731柏瑞週報20200731
柏瑞週報20200731
 
柏瑞週報 20200724
柏瑞週報 20200724柏瑞週報 20200724
柏瑞週報 20200724
 
柏瑞週報 20200717
柏瑞週報 20200717柏瑞週報 20200717
柏瑞週報 20200717
 
柏瑞週報20200710
柏瑞週報20200710柏瑞週報20200710
柏瑞週報20200710
 
柏瑞週報 20200703
柏瑞週報 20200703柏瑞週報 20200703
柏瑞週報 20200703
 

Recently uploaded

Zodiac Signs and Food Preferences_ What Your Sign Says About Your Taste
Zodiac Signs and Food Preferences_ What Your Sign Says About Your TasteZodiac Signs and Food Preferences_ What Your Sign Says About Your Taste
Zodiac Signs and Food Preferences_ What Your Sign Says About Your Taste
my Pandit
 
Pitch Deck Teardown: Kinnect's $250k Angel deck
Pitch Deck Teardown: Kinnect's $250k Angel deckPitch Deck Teardown: Kinnect's $250k Angel deck
Pitch Deck Teardown: Kinnect's $250k Angel deck
HajeJanKamps
 
Hamster Kombat' Telegram Game Surpasses 100 Million Players—Token Release Sch...
Hamster Kombat' Telegram Game Surpasses 100 Million Players—Token Release Sch...Hamster Kombat' Telegram Game Surpasses 100 Million Players—Token Release Sch...
Hamster Kombat' Telegram Game Surpasses 100 Million Players—Token Release Sch...
SOFTTECHHUB
 
Understanding User Needs and Satisfying Them
Understanding User Needs and Satisfying ThemUnderstanding User Needs and Satisfying Them
Understanding User Needs and Satisfying Them
Aggregage
 
The APCO Geopolitical Radar - Q3 2024 The Global Operating Environment for Bu...
The APCO Geopolitical Radar - Q3 2024 The Global Operating Environment for Bu...The APCO Geopolitical Radar - Q3 2024 The Global Operating Environment for Bu...
The APCO Geopolitical Radar - Q3 2024 The Global Operating Environment for Bu...
APCO
 
Observation Lab PowerPoint Assignment for TEM 431
Observation Lab PowerPoint Assignment for TEM 431Observation Lab PowerPoint Assignment for TEM 431
Observation Lab PowerPoint Assignment for TEM 431
ecamare2
 
Industrial Tech SW: Category Renewal and Creation
Industrial Tech SW:  Category Renewal and CreationIndustrial Tech SW:  Category Renewal and Creation
Industrial Tech SW: Category Renewal and Creation
Christian Dahlen
 
Dpboss Matka Guessing Satta Matta Matka Kalyan Chart Satta Matka
Dpboss Matka Guessing Satta Matta Matka Kalyan Chart Satta MatkaDpboss Matka Guessing Satta Matta Matka Kalyan Chart Satta Matka
Dpboss Matka Guessing Satta Matta Matka Kalyan Chart Satta Matka
➒➌➎➏➑➐➋➑➐➐Dpboss Matka Guessing Satta Matka Kalyan Chart Indian Matka
 
Best Competitive Marble Pricing in Dubai - ☎ 9928909666
Best Competitive Marble Pricing in Dubai - ☎ 9928909666Best Competitive Marble Pricing in Dubai - ☎ 9928909666
Best Competitive Marble Pricing in Dubai - ☎ 9928909666
Stone Art Hub
 
Building Your Employer Brand with Social Media
Building Your Employer Brand with Social MediaBuilding Your Employer Brand with Social Media
Building Your Employer Brand with Social Media
LuanWise
 
TIMES BPO: Business Plan For Startup Industry
TIMES BPO: Business Plan For Startup IndustryTIMES BPO: Business Plan For Startup Industry
TIMES BPO: Business Plan For Startup Industry
timesbpobusiness
 
Taurus Zodiac Sign: Unveiling the Traits, Dates, and Horoscope Insights of th...
Taurus Zodiac Sign: Unveiling the Traits, Dates, and Horoscope Insights of th...Taurus Zodiac Sign: Unveiling the Traits, Dates, and Horoscope Insights of th...
Taurus Zodiac Sign: Unveiling the Traits, Dates, and Horoscope Insights of th...
my Pandit
 
Call8328958814 satta matka Kalyan result satta guessing
Call8328958814 satta matka Kalyan result satta guessingCall8328958814 satta matka Kalyan result satta guessing
Call8328958814 satta matka Kalyan result satta guessing
➑➌➋➑➒➎➑➑➊➍
 
Part 2 Deep Dive: Navigating the 2024 Slowdown
Part 2 Deep Dive: Navigating the 2024 SlowdownPart 2 Deep Dive: Navigating the 2024 Slowdown
Part 2 Deep Dive: Navigating the 2024 Slowdown
jeffkluth1
 
Satta Matka Dpboss Matka Guessing Kalyan Chart Indian Matka Kalyan panel Chart
Satta Matka Dpboss Matka Guessing Kalyan Chart Indian Matka Kalyan panel ChartSatta Matka Dpboss Matka Guessing Kalyan Chart Indian Matka Kalyan panel Chart
Satta Matka Dpboss Matka Guessing Kalyan Chart Indian Matka Kalyan panel Chart
➒➌➎➏➑➐➋➑➐➐Dpboss Matka Guessing Satta Matka Kalyan Chart Indian Matka
 
DearbornMusic-KatherineJasperFullSailUni
DearbornMusic-KatherineJasperFullSailUniDearbornMusic-KatherineJasperFullSailUni
DearbornMusic-KatherineJasperFullSailUni
katiejasper96
 
2024-6-01-IMPACTSilver-Corp-Presentation.pdf
2024-6-01-IMPACTSilver-Corp-Presentation.pdf2024-6-01-IMPACTSilver-Corp-Presentation.pdf
2024-6-01-IMPACTSilver-Corp-Presentation.pdf
hartfordclub1
 
Easily Verify Compliance and Security with Binance KYC
Easily Verify Compliance and Security with Binance KYCEasily Verify Compliance and Security with Binance KYC
Easily Verify Compliance and Security with Binance KYC
Any kyc Account
 
一比一原版新西兰奥塔哥大学毕业证(otago毕业证)如何办理
一比一原版新西兰奥塔哥大学毕业证(otago毕业证)如何办理一比一原版新西兰奥塔哥大学毕业证(otago毕业证)如何办理
一比一原版新西兰奥塔哥大学毕业证(otago毕业证)如何办理
taqyea
 
Lundin Gold Corporate Presentation - June 2024
Lundin Gold Corporate Presentation - June 2024Lundin Gold Corporate Presentation - June 2024
Lundin Gold Corporate Presentation - June 2024
Adnet Communications
 

Recently uploaded (20)

Zodiac Signs and Food Preferences_ What Your Sign Says About Your Taste
Zodiac Signs and Food Preferences_ What Your Sign Says About Your TasteZodiac Signs and Food Preferences_ What Your Sign Says About Your Taste
Zodiac Signs and Food Preferences_ What Your Sign Says About Your Taste
 
Pitch Deck Teardown: Kinnect's $250k Angel deck
Pitch Deck Teardown: Kinnect's $250k Angel deckPitch Deck Teardown: Kinnect's $250k Angel deck
Pitch Deck Teardown: Kinnect's $250k Angel deck
 
Hamster Kombat' Telegram Game Surpasses 100 Million Players—Token Release Sch...
Hamster Kombat' Telegram Game Surpasses 100 Million Players—Token Release Sch...Hamster Kombat' Telegram Game Surpasses 100 Million Players—Token Release Sch...
Hamster Kombat' Telegram Game Surpasses 100 Million Players—Token Release Sch...
 
Understanding User Needs and Satisfying Them
Understanding User Needs and Satisfying ThemUnderstanding User Needs and Satisfying Them
Understanding User Needs and Satisfying Them
 
The APCO Geopolitical Radar - Q3 2024 The Global Operating Environment for Bu...
The APCO Geopolitical Radar - Q3 2024 The Global Operating Environment for Bu...The APCO Geopolitical Radar - Q3 2024 The Global Operating Environment for Bu...
The APCO Geopolitical Radar - Q3 2024 The Global Operating Environment for Bu...
 
Observation Lab PowerPoint Assignment for TEM 431
Observation Lab PowerPoint Assignment for TEM 431Observation Lab PowerPoint Assignment for TEM 431
Observation Lab PowerPoint Assignment for TEM 431
 
Industrial Tech SW: Category Renewal and Creation
Industrial Tech SW:  Category Renewal and CreationIndustrial Tech SW:  Category Renewal and Creation
Industrial Tech SW: Category Renewal and Creation
 
Dpboss Matka Guessing Satta Matta Matka Kalyan Chart Satta Matka
Dpboss Matka Guessing Satta Matta Matka Kalyan Chart Satta MatkaDpboss Matka Guessing Satta Matta Matka Kalyan Chart Satta Matka
Dpboss Matka Guessing Satta Matta Matka Kalyan Chart Satta Matka
 
Best Competitive Marble Pricing in Dubai - ☎ 9928909666
Best Competitive Marble Pricing in Dubai - ☎ 9928909666Best Competitive Marble Pricing in Dubai - ☎ 9928909666
Best Competitive Marble Pricing in Dubai - ☎ 9928909666
 
Building Your Employer Brand with Social Media
Building Your Employer Brand with Social MediaBuilding Your Employer Brand with Social Media
Building Your Employer Brand with Social Media
 
TIMES BPO: Business Plan For Startup Industry
TIMES BPO: Business Plan For Startup IndustryTIMES BPO: Business Plan For Startup Industry
TIMES BPO: Business Plan For Startup Industry
 
Taurus Zodiac Sign: Unveiling the Traits, Dates, and Horoscope Insights of th...
Taurus Zodiac Sign: Unveiling the Traits, Dates, and Horoscope Insights of th...Taurus Zodiac Sign: Unveiling the Traits, Dates, and Horoscope Insights of th...
Taurus Zodiac Sign: Unveiling the Traits, Dates, and Horoscope Insights of th...
 
Call8328958814 satta matka Kalyan result satta guessing
Call8328958814 satta matka Kalyan result satta guessingCall8328958814 satta matka Kalyan result satta guessing
Call8328958814 satta matka Kalyan result satta guessing
 
Part 2 Deep Dive: Navigating the 2024 Slowdown
Part 2 Deep Dive: Navigating the 2024 SlowdownPart 2 Deep Dive: Navigating the 2024 Slowdown
Part 2 Deep Dive: Navigating the 2024 Slowdown
 
Satta Matka Dpboss Matka Guessing Kalyan Chart Indian Matka Kalyan panel Chart
Satta Matka Dpboss Matka Guessing Kalyan Chart Indian Matka Kalyan panel ChartSatta Matka Dpboss Matka Guessing Kalyan Chart Indian Matka Kalyan panel Chart
Satta Matka Dpboss Matka Guessing Kalyan Chart Indian Matka Kalyan panel Chart
 
DearbornMusic-KatherineJasperFullSailUni
DearbornMusic-KatherineJasperFullSailUniDearbornMusic-KatherineJasperFullSailUni
DearbornMusic-KatherineJasperFullSailUni
 
2024-6-01-IMPACTSilver-Corp-Presentation.pdf
2024-6-01-IMPACTSilver-Corp-Presentation.pdf2024-6-01-IMPACTSilver-Corp-Presentation.pdf
2024-6-01-IMPACTSilver-Corp-Presentation.pdf
 
Easily Verify Compliance and Security with Binance KYC
Easily Verify Compliance and Security with Binance KYCEasily Verify Compliance and Security with Binance KYC
Easily Verify Compliance and Security with Binance KYC
 
一比一原版新西兰奥塔哥大学毕业证(otago毕业证)如何办理
一比一原版新西兰奥塔哥大学毕业证(otago毕业证)如何办理一比一原版新西兰奥塔哥大学毕业证(otago毕业证)如何办理
一比一原版新西兰奥塔哥大学毕业证(otago毕业证)如何办理
 
Lundin Gold Corporate Presentation - June 2024
Lundin Gold Corporate Presentation - June 2024Lundin Gold Corporate Presentation - June 2024
Lundin Gold Corporate Presentation - June 2024
 

柏瑞週報 20190104

  • 2.
  • 3. PAGE 2 • 10 2.6% 2.5535% • 0.67% 0.43% 10.26 557.15 • 0.50% 0.35% 0.34% 1.10% Bloomberg 2019/1/3 -1.29 0.80 0.90 0.04 1.42 0.82 1.41 -1.22 1.59 1.16 -2.41 2.34 1.22 2.85 0.96 -0.46 -0.08 0.16 0.27 0.34 0.35 0.40 0.43 0.45 0.50 0.67 0.97 0.98 1.08 1.10 - - % %
  • 4. PAGE 3 • S&P 500 1.64% NASDAQ 1.76% 600 1.32% • 225 2018 0.31% • 12 0.75% • Bolsonaro BOVESPA 7.14% • 17 6.16% 2.42% Bloomberg 2019/1/3 -8.31 -12.27 -9.62 -6.37 -2.01 -7.17 -9.90 -11.34 -6.62 -9.15 -5.46 -7.55 -0.02 -5.84 1.94 1.98 -1.87 -1.64 -1.56 -1.55 -0.82 -0.75 -0.47 -0.31 -0.29 0.34 1.28 1.32 2.42 2.86 7.14 7.62 MSCI 500 H SENSEX MSCI Nikkei 225 MSCI DAX MSCI 600 RTS BOVESPA MSCI % %
  • 5. PAGE 4 • OPEC (OPEC)12 OPEC 1 • ( ) 2019 59.97 Bloomberg EIA 2019/1/3 2018/12/21 -7.90 -8.88 -11.41 -7.04 -6.51 -1.44 -3.33 -0.59 5.17 0.77 -11.07 -9.30 -4.65 -4.18 -1.71 -0.89 0.63 0.64 1.02 1.40 1.46 5.03 5.56 7.27 LME LME LME CRB LME % %
  • 6. PAGE 5 • 1 2 211 145 2 6 12 20 • 78 80 18 13 12 4 Bank of America Merrill Lynch EPFR 2019/1/3
  • 7.
  • 8. PAGE 7 • Cook iPhone 12 29 840 890 930 5% Cook ( ) ( 1) • 12 (PMI) 11 59.3 54.1( 2) 2016 11 57.5 • Trump • Bristol-Myers Squibb 740 Celgene Bloomberg 2019/1/3 ( 1) ( 2) ISM (PMI)
  • 9. PAGE 8 • 2018 12 1.85% ( 1) • 2018 4 (YTW) 8% ( 2) • Netflix Activision Blizzard Netflix Netflix Netflix • Sears Sears 2018 ESL Sears Sears Bloomberg Bank of America Merrill Lynch 2019/1/3 ( 2) 1.85% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 2015/12 2016/12 2017/12 2018/12 12 ( 1)
  • 10. PAGE 9 • 12 Markit PMI 11 51.8 51.4( 1) 50 12 Markit PMI 11 51.8 51.5 33 • Barclay May May May • 12/30 2019 2019 GDP 2.04% • 11 1.1%( 2) 11 10 2.4% 2.5% 1.62 1.63 44 Bloomberg 2019/1/3
  • 11. PAGE 10 • 12 PMI PMI 50 49.4( 1) 34 PMI 0.4 53.8 • 2019 500 1000 • (NIOC) 11 5 • Bolsonaro Twitter 12 4 70 Bloomberg 2019/1/3 PMI 50 ( 1) PMI ( 2)
  • 12.
  • 14. PAGE 13 Bloomberg ICE * ICE 10 (%) (bp) 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 : 157.0 (1/3) 5 : 125.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 : 4.12 (1/3) (%) (bp)* / / 本益比 風險 5.0 5.2 5.4 5.6 5.8 6.0 6.2 6.4 6.6 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 : 6.16 (1/3) 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 : 360.45 (1/3) 5 : 319.9
  • 15. PAGE 14 Bloomberg 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 : 7.67 (1/3) 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 : 557.2 (1/3) 5 : 453.5 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 : 7.94 (1/3) 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 : 537.0 (1/3) 5 : 437.8 (%) (bp) (%) (bp) / / 本益比 風險
  • 16. PAGE 15 Bloomberg J.P. Morgan - (%) (bp) (%) (bp) / / 本益比 風險 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 : 5.48 (1/3) 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 : 533.0 (1/3) 5 : 365.6 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 : 8.75 (1/3) 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 : 619.7 (1/3) 5 : 506.0
  • 17. PAGE 16 Bloomberg J.P. Morgan (EMBIG) J.P. Morgan (CEMBI) (%) (bp) (%) (bp) / / 本益比 風險 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 : 6.80 (1/3) 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 : 422.62 (1/3) 5 : 339.4 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 : 6.27 (1/3) 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 : 381.16 (1/3) 5 : 332.2
  • 18. PAGE 17 Bloomberg J.P. Morgan (JACI) (%) (bp) (%) (bp) / / 本益比 風險 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 12.0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 : 8.53 (1/3) 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 : 604.0 (1/3) 5 : 571.7 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 : 5.53 (1/3) 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 : 297.10 (1/3) 5 : 255.5
  • 19. PAGE 18 Bloomberg MSCI 500 600 225 / / 本益比 風險 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 : 13.3 (1/3) 5 : 16.6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 : 14.2 (1/3) 5 : 17.5 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 : 12.0 (1/3) 5 : 15.4 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 : 14.4 (1/3) 5 : 17.6
  • 20. PAGE 19 Bloomberg MSCI 300 SENSEX BOVESPA / / 本益比 風險 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 : 10.5 (1/3) 5 : 12.3 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 : 9.2 (1/3) 5 : 12.6 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 : 20.5 (1/3) 5 : 18.1 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 : 11.1 (1/3) 5 : 12.7
  • 21. PAGE 20 Bloomberg VIX MOVE CDX / / 本益比 風險 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 : 25.45 (1/3) 5 : 14.90 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 : 65.8 (1/3) 5 : 65.2 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 : 62.4 (1/3) 5 : 71.8 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 : 465.3 (1/3) 5 : 364.8
  • 22. PAGE 21 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% '14/1/3 '15/1/3 '16/1/3 '17/1/3 '18/1/3 '19/1/3 -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% '14/1/3 '15/1/3 '16/1/3 '17/1/3 '18/1/3 '19/1/3 -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% '14/1/3 '15/1/3 '16/1/3 '17/1/3 '18/1/3 '19/1/3 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% '14/1/3 '15/1/3 '16/1/3 '17/1/3 '18/1/3 '19/1/3 2019/1/3 * 50% +50% 5 ( ) 5 ( ) * 5 ( ) 5 ( )
  • 23. PAGE 22 TR108003 PineBridge Investments IP Holding Company Limited • • • ( ) • 101 013 104 144 10 (02)2516-7883 407 386 12 8 (04)2217-8168 802 6 17 1(A5 ) (07)335-5898