SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 23
Download to read offline
07 August
2020
PAGE 2
•
10
0.5362%
10
-0.531%
•
0.7% 476
0.88% 555
•
1.6%
650
9.45%
0.47%
Bloomberg 2020/8/6
1.51
1.33
1.23
2.37
1.70
2.91
2.65
3.95
2.58
2.33
2.38
2.61
2.31
3.91
2.78
3.61
-0.47
0.05
0.15
0.43
0.54
0.58
0.70
0.70
0.71
0.75
0.76
0.84
0.85
0.88
0.90
1.60
ESG ( )
-
-
% %
PAGE 3
•
•
S&P 500 3.17%
•
600
0.83%
•
225 0.35%
300
2.29%
•
0.19%
Bloomberg 2020/8/6
2.54
5.24
3.40
-1.30
4.22
-2.35
-4.89
6.58
-1.11
4.35
1.98
0.04
4.24
5.14
5.33
2.83
-2.61
-0.84
0.19
0.35
0.77
0.83
1.04
1.50
1.71
2.27
2.29
2.33
2.41
3.09
3.17
4.06
MSCI
BOVESPA
BAML
Nikkei 225
SENSEX
600
H
DAX
MSCI
300
MSCI
MSCI
MSCI
S&P 500
RTS
% %
PAGE 4
•
OPEC+ 8
• 7 31 EIA
737.3 ( )
335
Bloomberg 2020/8/6
1.62
-2.64
-10.17
5.71
1.32
8.75
5.47
4.62
3.25
15.63
8.56
16.92
-5.34
-1.91
-1.43
0.75
2.53
3.34
4.08
5.01
5.09
5.46
5.48
5.49
LME
LME
CRB
LME
LME
% %
PAGE 5
• 74 65
10 16
27
• 170
147 31
5
Bank of America Merrill Lynch EPFR 2020/8/6
Weekly FICC flows as % AUM
PAGE 7
• Steven
Mnuchin
2020 2030 3.4
10 1
7
1200
• (ISM)
7 PMI 54.2
2 7 (PMI)
58.1( 2)
2019 2 18
15
5
• Michael Pompeo
(Clean Network)
App Trump
45 TikTok Wechat
( 2) ISM
( 1) S&P 500
Bloomberg 2020/8/6
PAGE 8
Bloomberg 2020/8/6
( 1)
( 2) ( )
•
( 1)
•
150
Triumph
Group Apache Corp
Howard Hughes Corp
• 88%
S&P 500 2
8
Roku Beyond Meat
Uber CVS
• 8 1
119 ( 2) 20
100
PAGE 9
• 2 GDP
12.1%( 1)
15%
•
0.1% 7,450
-14% -9.5%
• 7 600
5
(Siemens) (Commerzbank)
Ahold Delhaize
BMW (Allianz)
• 6 27
3699 1.2%( 2)
16.2%
( 1) GDP( %)
( 2) ( %)
Bloomberg 2020/8/6
PAGE 10
( 1) Markit PMI
( 2)
Bloomberg 2020/8/6
• 7 Markit PMI
52.8( 1) 2011
1 9
7 PMI
58.4 54.1 3
PMI 55.7 54.5
• 2020
• 4%
1
Das
•
1 2%( 2)
PAGE 12
Bloomberg 2020/8/7
/ /
8/10 8 Sentix - -18.2
8/10 7 CPI( ) 2.4% 2.5%
8/10-8/15 7 1175.65b 1810.0b
8/11 7 NFIB 98.2 100.6
8/11 8 ZEW - 59.6
8/11 6 ¥114.66b ¥1176.8b
8/11 6 ( ) -23.1% -
8/12 7 CPI( ) 0.7% 0.6%
8/12 7 ( ) -10.3% -20.9%
8/12 7 CPI( ) 6.3% 6.1%
8/12 6 ( ) - -7.2%
8/14 8 ( ) 71.8 72.5
8/14 7 ( ) 1.9% 7.5%
8/14 2 GDP( ) -15.0% -15.0%
8/14 7 ( ) 4.7% 4.8%
8/14 7 ( ) -0.3% -1.8%
8/14 - 5.00%
PAGE 13
Bloomberg ICE (Yield to Maturity)
Option Adjusted Spread Z-Spread to Worst * ICE
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
: 1.86 (8/6)
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
: 127 (8/6) 5 : 131
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
6.5
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
: 4.68 (8/6)
/ /
200
300
400
500
600
700
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
: 427 (8/6) 5 : 358
PAGE 14
Bloomberg (Yield to Maturity)
Option Adjusted Spread Z-Spread to Worst
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
: 6.21 (8/6)
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
: 5.91 (8/6)
/ /
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
: 555 (8/6) 5 : 482
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
: 476 (8/6) 5 : 453
PAGE 15
Bloomberg J.P. Morgan - (Yield to
Maturity) Option Adjusted Spread Z-Spread to Worst
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
: 4.43 (8/6)
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
: 7.23 (8/6)
/ /
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
: 476 (8/6) 5 : 396
100
300
500
700
900
1,100
1,300
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
: 697 (8/6) 5 : 494
PAGE 16
Bloomberg J.P. Morgan (EMBIG) J.P. Morgan (CEMBI)
(Yield to Maturity) Option Adjusted Spread Z-Spread to Worst
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
: 4.91 (8/6)
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
: 4.42 (8/6)
/ /
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
: 436 (8/6) 5 : 368
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
: 371 (8/6) 5 : 322
PAGE 17
Bloomberg J.P. Morgan (JACI) (Yield to
Maturity) Option Adjusted Spread Z-Spread to Worst
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
: 7.78 (8/6)
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
: 3.64 (8/6)
/ /
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
: 733 (8/6) 5 : 582
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
: 264 (8/6) 5 : 217
PAGE 18
Bloomberg 12
/ /
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
: 20.7 (8/6) 5 : 16.0
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
24
2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
: 22.3 (8/6) 5 : 17.1
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
: 18.0 (8/6) 5 : 14.6
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
24
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
: 19.9 (8/6) 5 : 16.2
PAGE 19
Bloomberg 12
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
: 15.3 (8/6) 5 : 12.0
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
: 14.3 (8/6) 5 : 12.0
5
10
15
20
25
2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
: 21.6 (8/6) 5 : 17.5
5
10
15
20
25
2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
: 18.7 (8/6) 5 : 12.2
/ /
PAGE 20
Bloomberg
0
20
40
60
80
100
2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
: 22.65 (8/6) 5 : 17.14
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
: 42.6 (8/6) 5 : 63.4
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
: 55.0 (8/6) 5 : 64.9
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
: 389 (8/6) 5 : 384
/ /
PAGE 21
Bloomberg
* 50% +50%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
'15/8/6 '16/8/6 '17/8/6 '18/8/6 '19/8/6 '20/8/6
-15%
-5%
5%
15%
25%
35%
45%
'15/8/6 '16/8/6 '17/8/6 '18/8/6 '19/8/6 '20/8/6
-5%
5%
15%
25%
35%
45%
'15/8/6 '16/8/6 '17/8/6 '18/8/6 '19/8/6 '20/8/6
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
'15/8/6 '16/8/6 '17/8/6 '18/8/6 '19/8/6 '20/8/6
5 1
34.0% 0.2%
28.3% 0.1%
5 1
33.8% 0.8%
30.7% 0.1%
5 1
33.9% 0.5%
29.5% 0.1%
5 1
32.5% 1.5%
25.5% 0.1%
PAGE 22
TR109217
PineBridge Investments IP Holding Company Limited
• /
•
•
•
108 001
104 144 10 (02)2516-7883
407 386 12 8 (04)2217-8168
802 6 17 1(A5 ) (07)335-5898

More Related Content

What's hot

柏瑞週報 20200612
柏瑞週報 20200612柏瑞週報 20200612
柏瑞週報 20200612Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20200515
柏瑞週報 20200515柏瑞週報 20200515
柏瑞週報 20200515Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20200828
柏瑞週報 20200828柏瑞週報 20200828
柏瑞週報 20200828Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20200619
柏瑞週報 20200619柏瑞週報 20200619
柏瑞週報 20200619Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20200918
柏瑞週報 20200918柏瑞週報 20200918
柏瑞週報 20200918Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20200605
柏瑞週報 20200605柏瑞週報 20200605
柏瑞週報 20200605Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20191101
柏瑞週報 20191101柏瑞週報 20191101
柏瑞週報 20191101Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20191025
柏瑞週報 20191025柏瑞週報 20191025
柏瑞週報 20191025Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20200821
柏瑞週報 20200821柏瑞週報 20200821
柏瑞週報 20200821Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20201113
柏瑞週報 20201113柏瑞週報 20201113
柏瑞週報 20201113Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20201120
柏瑞週報 20201120柏瑞週報 20201120
柏瑞週報 20201120Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20190809
柏瑞週報 20190809柏瑞週報 20190809
柏瑞週報 20190809Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報20190826
柏瑞週報20190826柏瑞週報20190826
柏瑞週報20190826Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20200424
柏瑞週報 20200424柏瑞週報 20200424
柏瑞週報 20200424Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20190816
柏瑞週報 20190816柏瑞週報 20190816
柏瑞週報 20190816Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報20200911
柏瑞週報20200911柏瑞週報20200911
柏瑞週報20200911Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報20200731
柏瑞週報20200731柏瑞週報20200731
柏瑞週報20200731Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20191122
柏瑞週報 20191122柏瑞週報 20191122
柏瑞週報 20191122Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20200207
柏瑞週報 20200207柏瑞週報 20200207
柏瑞週報 20200207Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20200306
柏瑞週報 20200306柏瑞週報 20200306
柏瑞週報 20200306Pinebridge
 

What's hot (20)

柏瑞週報 20200612
柏瑞週報 20200612柏瑞週報 20200612
柏瑞週報 20200612
 
柏瑞週報 20200515
柏瑞週報 20200515柏瑞週報 20200515
柏瑞週報 20200515
 
柏瑞週報 20200828
柏瑞週報 20200828柏瑞週報 20200828
柏瑞週報 20200828
 
柏瑞週報 20200619
柏瑞週報 20200619柏瑞週報 20200619
柏瑞週報 20200619
 
柏瑞週報 20200918
柏瑞週報 20200918柏瑞週報 20200918
柏瑞週報 20200918
 
柏瑞週報 20200605
柏瑞週報 20200605柏瑞週報 20200605
柏瑞週報 20200605
 
柏瑞週報 20191101
柏瑞週報 20191101柏瑞週報 20191101
柏瑞週報 20191101
 
柏瑞週報 20191025
柏瑞週報 20191025柏瑞週報 20191025
柏瑞週報 20191025
 
柏瑞週報 20200821
柏瑞週報 20200821柏瑞週報 20200821
柏瑞週報 20200821
 
柏瑞週報 20201113
柏瑞週報 20201113柏瑞週報 20201113
柏瑞週報 20201113
 
柏瑞週報 20201120
柏瑞週報 20201120柏瑞週報 20201120
柏瑞週報 20201120
 
柏瑞週報 20190809
柏瑞週報 20190809柏瑞週報 20190809
柏瑞週報 20190809
 
柏瑞週報20190826
柏瑞週報20190826柏瑞週報20190826
柏瑞週報20190826
 
柏瑞週報 20200424
柏瑞週報 20200424柏瑞週報 20200424
柏瑞週報 20200424
 
柏瑞週報 20190816
柏瑞週報 20190816柏瑞週報 20190816
柏瑞週報 20190816
 
柏瑞週報20200911
柏瑞週報20200911柏瑞週報20200911
柏瑞週報20200911
 
柏瑞週報20200731
柏瑞週報20200731柏瑞週報20200731
柏瑞週報20200731
 
柏瑞週報 20191122
柏瑞週報 20191122柏瑞週報 20191122
柏瑞週報 20191122
 
柏瑞週報 20200207
柏瑞週報 20200207柏瑞週報 20200207
柏瑞週報 20200207
 
柏瑞週報 20200306
柏瑞週報 20200306柏瑞週報 20200306
柏瑞週報 20200306
 

Similar to 柏瑞週報 20200807

柏瑞週報 20200904
柏瑞週報 20200904柏瑞週報 20200904
柏瑞週報 20200904Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20200508
柏瑞週報 20200508柏瑞週報 20200508
柏瑞週報 20200508Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20190308
柏瑞週報 20190308柏瑞週報 20190308
柏瑞週報 20190308Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報20201016
柏瑞週報20201016柏瑞週報20201016
柏瑞週報20201016Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20200214
柏瑞週報 20200214柏瑞週報 20200214
柏瑞週報 20200214Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20200529
柏瑞週報 20200529柏瑞週報 20200529
柏瑞週報 20200529Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20190215
柏瑞週報 20190215柏瑞週報 20190215
柏瑞週報 20190215Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20190104
柏瑞週報 20190104柏瑞週報 20190104
柏瑞週報 20190104Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20200313
柏瑞週報 20200313柏瑞週報 20200313
柏瑞週報 20200313Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報20190906
柏瑞週報20190906柏瑞週報20190906
柏瑞週報20190906Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20200320
柏瑞週報 20200320柏瑞週報 20200320
柏瑞週報 20200320Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20190315
柏瑞週報 20190315柏瑞週報 20190315
柏瑞週報 20190315Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20200221
柏瑞週報 20200221柏瑞週報 20200221
柏瑞週報 20200221Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20190111
柏瑞週報 20190111柏瑞週報 20190111
柏瑞週報 20190111Pinebridge
 

Similar to 柏瑞週報 20200807 (14)

柏瑞週報 20200904
柏瑞週報 20200904柏瑞週報 20200904
柏瑞週報 20200904
 
柏瑞週報 20200508
柏瑞週報 20200508柏瑞週報 20200508
柏瑞週報 20200508
 
柏瑞週報 20190308
柏瑞週報 20190308柏瑞週報 20190308
柏瑞週報 20190308
 
柏瑞週報20201016
柏瑞週報20201016柏瑞週報20201016
柏瑞週報20201016
 
柏瑞週報 20200214
柏瑞週報 20200214柏瑞週報 20200214
柏瑞週報 20200214
 
柏瑞週報 20200529
柏瑞週報 20200529柏瑞週報 20200529
柏瑞週報 20200529
 
柏瑞週報 20190215
柏瑞週報 20190215柏瑞週報 20190215
柏瑞週報 20190215
 
柏瑞週報 20190104
柏瑞週報 20190104柏瑞週報 20190104
柏瑞週報 20190104
 
柏瑞週報 20200313
柏瑞週報 20200313柏瑞週報 20200313
柏瑞週報 20200313
 
柏瑞週報20190906
柏瑞週報20190906柏瑞週報20190906
柏瑞週報20190906
 
柏瑞週報 20200320
柏瑞週報 20200320柏瑞週報 20200320
柏瑞週報 20200320
 
柏瑞週報 20190315
柏瑞週報 20190315柏瑞週報 20190315
柏瑞週報 20190315
 
柏瑞週報 20200221
柏瑞週報 20200221柏瑞週報 20200221
柏瑞週報 20200221
 
柏瑞週報 20190111
柏瑞週報 20190111柏瑞週報 20190111
柏瑞週報 20190111
 

More from Pinebridge

柏瑞週報 20201023
柏瑞週報 20201023柏瑞週報 20201023
柏瑞週報 20201023Pinebridge
 
Pinebridge 2020 Q4
Pinebridge 2020 Q4Pinebridge 2020 Q4
Pinebridge 2020 Q4Pinebridge
 
Pinebridge 2020 Q3
Pinebridge 2020 Q3Pinebridge 2020 Q3
Pinebridge 2020 Q3Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20200925
柏瑞週報 20200925柏瑞週報 20200925
柏瑞週報 20200925Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20200522
柏瑞週報 20200522柏瑞週報 20200522
柏瑞週報 20200522Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20200430
柏瑞週報 20200430柏瑞週報 20200430
柏瑞週報 20200430Pinebridge
 
柏瑞週報 20200417
柏瑞週報 20200417柏瑞週報 20200417
柏瑞週報 20200417Pinebridge
 

More from Pinebridge (7)

柏瑞週報 20201023
柏瑞週報 20201023柏瑞週報 20201023
柏瑞週報 20201023
 
Pinebridge 2020 Q4
Pinebridge 2020 Q4Pinebridge 2020 Q4
Pinebridge 2020 Q4
 
Pinebridge 2020 Q3
Pinebridge 2020 Q3Pinebridge 2020 Q3
Pinebridge 2020 Q3
 
柏瑞週報 20200925
柏瑞週報 20200925柏瑞週報 20200925
柏瑞週報 20200925
 
柏瑞週報 20200522
柏瑞週報 20200522柏瑞週報 20200522
柏瑞週報 20200522
 
柏瑞週報 20200430
柏瑞週報 20200430柏瑞週報 20200430
柏瑞週報 20200430
 
柏瑞週報 20200417
柏瑞週報 20200417柏瑞週報 20200417
柏瑞週報 20200417
 

Recently uploaded

Call Girls Navi Mumbai Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Avail...
Call Girls Navi Mumbai Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Avail...Call Girls Navi Mumbai Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Avail...
Call Girls Navi Mumbai Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Avail...Dipal Arora
 
Eni 2024 1Q Results - 24.04.24 business.
Eni 2024 1Q Results - 24.04.24 business.Eni 2024 1Q Results - 24.04.24 business.
Eni 2024 1Q Results - 24.04.24 business.Eni
 
Catalogue ONG NƯỚC uPVC - HDPE DE NHAT.pdf
Catalogue ONG NƯỚC uPVC - HDPE DE NHAT.pdfCatalogue ONG NƯỚC uPVC - HDPE DE NHAT.pdf
Catalogue ONG NƯỚC uPVC - HDPE DE NHAT.pdfOrient Homes
 
Call Girls Pune Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Pune Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableCall Girls Pune Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Pune Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableDipal Arora
 
Grateful 7 speech thanking everyone that has helped.pdf
Grateful 7 speech thanking everyone that has helped.pdfGrateful 7 speech thanking everyone that has helped.pdf
Grateful 7 speech thanking everyone that has helped.pdfPaul Menig
 
Ensure the security of your HCL environment by applying the Zero Trust princi...
Ensure the security of your HCL environment by applying the Zero Trust princi...Ensure the security of your HCL environment by applying the Zero Trust princi...
Ensure the security of your HCL environment by applying the Zero Trust princi...Roland Driesen
 
Monte Carlo simulation : Simulation using MCSM
Monte Carlo simulation : Simulation using MCSMMonte Carlo simulation : Simulation using MCSM
Monte Carlo simulation : Simulation using MCSMRavindra Nath Shukla
 
Insurers' journeys to build a mastery in the IoT usage
Insurers' journeys to build a mastery in the IoT usageInsurers' journeys to build a mastery in the IoT usage
Insurers' journeys to build a mastery in the IoT usageMatteo Carbone
 
7.pdf This presentation captures many uses and the significance of the number...
7.pdf This presentation captures many uses and the significance of the number...7.pdf This presentation captures many uses and the significance of the number...
7.pdf This presentation captures many uses and the significance of the number...Paul Menig
 
Sales & Marketing Alignment: How to Synergize for Success
Sales & Marketing Alignment: How to Synergize for SuccessSales & Marketing Alignment: How to Synergize for Success
Sales & Marketing Alignment: How to Synergize for SuccessAggregage
 
Vip Dewas Call Girls #9907093804 Contact Number Escorts Service Dewas
Vip Dewas Call Girls #9907093804 Contact Number Escorts Service DewasVip Dewas Call Girls #9907093804 Contact Number Escorts Service Dewas
Vip Dewas Call Girls #9907093804 Contact Number Escorts Service Dewasmakika9823
 
Progress Report - Oracle Database Analyst Summit
Progress  Report - Oracle Database Analyst SummitProgress  Report - Oracle Database Analyst Summit
Progress Report - Oracle Database Analyst SummitHolger Mueller
 
0183760ssssssssssssssssssssssssssss00101011 (27).pdf
0183760ssssssssssssssssssssssssssss00101011 (27).pdf0183760ssssssssssssssssssssssssssss00101011 (27).pdf
0183760ssssssssssssssssssssssssssss00101011 (27).pdfRenandantas16
 
VIP Call Girl Jamshedpur Aashi 8250192130 Independent Escort Service Jamshedpur
VIP Call Girl Jamshedpur Aashi 8250192130 Independent Escort Service JamshedpurVIP Call Girl Jamshedpur Aashi 8250192130 Independent Escort Service Jamshedpur
VIP Call Girl Jamshedpur Aashi 8250192130 Independent Escort Service JamshedpurSuhani Kapoor
 
MONA 98765-12871 CALL GIRLS IN LUDHIANA LUDHIANA CALL GIRL
MONA 98765-12871 CALL GIRLS IN LUDHIANA LUDHIANA CALL GIRLMONA 98765-12871 CALL GIRLS IN LUDHIANA LUDHIANA CALL GIRL
MONA 98765-12871 CALL GIRLS IN LUDHIANA LUDHIANA CALL GIRLSeo
 
Call Girls In DLf Gurgaon ➥99902@11544 ( Best price)100% Genuine Escort In 24...
Call Girls In DLf Gurgaon ➥99902@11544 ( Best price)100% Genuine Escort In 24...Call Girls In DLf Gurgaon ➥99902@11544 ( Best price)100% Genuine Escort In 24...
Call Girls In DLf Gurgaon ➥99902@11544 ( Best price)100% Genuine Escort In 24...lizamodels9
 
RE Capital's Visionary Leadership under Newman Leech
RE Capital's Visionary Leadership under Newman LeechRE Capital's Visionary Leadership under Newman Leech
RE Capital's Visionary Leadership under Newman LeechNewman George Leech
 
VIP Call Girls In Saharaganj ( Lucknow ) 🔝 8923113531 🔝 Cash Payment (COD) 👒
VIP Call Girls In Saharaganj ( Lucknow  ) 🔝 8923113531 🔝  Cash Payment (COD) 👒VIP Call Girls In Saharaganj ( Lucknow  ) 🔝 8923113531 🔝  Cash Payment (COD) 👒
VIP Call Girls In Saharaganj ( Lucknow ) 🔝 8923113531 🔝 Cash Payment (COD) 👒anilsa9823
 
Catalogue ONG NUOC PPR DE NHAT .pdf
Catalogue ONG NUOC PPR DE NHAT      .pdfCatalogue ONG NUOC PPR DE NHAT      .pdf
Catalogue ONG NUOC PPR DE NHAT .pdfOrient Homes
 

Recently uploaded (20)

Call Girls Navi Mumbai Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Avail...
Call Girls Navi Mumbai Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Avail...Call Girls Navi Mumbai Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Avail...
Call Girls Navi Mumbai Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Avail...
 
KestrelPro Flyer Japan IT Week 2024 (English)
KestrelPro Flyer Japan IT Week 2024 (English)KestrelPro Flyer Japan IT Week 2024 (English)
KestrelPro Flyer Japan IT Week 2024 (English)
 
Eni 2024 1Q Results - 24.04.24 business.
Eni 2024 1Q Results - 24.04.24 business.Eni 2024 1Q Results - 24.04.24 business.
Eni 2024 1Q Results - 24.04.24 business.
 
Catalogue ONG NƯỚC uPVC - HDPE DE NHAT.pdf
Catalogue ONG NƯỚC uPVC - HDPE DE NHAT.pdfCatalogue ONG NƯỚC uPVC - HDPE DE NHAT.pdf
Catalogue ONG NƯỚC uPVC - HDPE DE NHAT.pdf
 
Call Girls Pune Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Pune Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service AvailableCall Girls Pune Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
Call Girls Pune Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Available
 
Grateful 7 speech thanking everyone that has helped.pdf
Grateful 7 speech thanking everyone that has helped.pdfGrateful 7 speech thanking everyone that has helped.pdf
Grateful 7 speech thanking everyone that has helped.pdf
 
Ensure the security of your HCL environment by applying the Zero Trust princi...
Ensure the security of your HCL environment by applying the Zero Trust princi...Ensure the security of your HCL environment by applying the Zero Trust princi...
Ensure the security of your HCL environment by applying the Zero Trust princi...
 
Monte Carlo simulation : Simulation using MCSM
Monte Carlo simulation : Simulation using MCSMMonte Carlo simulation : Simulation using MCSM
Monte Carlo simulation : Simulation using MCSM
 
Insurers' journeys to build a mastery in the IoT usage
Insurers' journeys to build a mastery in the IoT usageInsurers' journeys to build a mastery in the IoT usage
Insurers' journeys to build a mastery in the IoT usage
 
7.pdf This presentation captures many uses and the significance of the number...
7.pdf This presentation captures many uses and the significance of the number...7.pdf This presentation captures many uses and the significance of the number...
7.pdf This presentation captures many uses and the significance of the number...
 
Sales & Marketing Alignment: How to Synergize for Success
Sales & Marketing Alignment: How to Synergize for SuccessSales & Marketing Alignment: How to Synergize for Success
Sales & Marketing Alignment: How to Synergize for Success
 
Vip Dewas Call Girls #9907093804 Contact Number Escorts Service Dewas
Vip Dewas Call Girls #9907093804 Contact Number Escorts Service DewasVip Dewas Call Girls #9907093804 Contact Number Escorts Service Dewas
Vip Dewas Call Girls #9907093804 Contact Number Escorts Service Dewas
 
Progress Report - Oracle Database Analyst Summit
Progress  Report - Oracle Database Analyst SummitProgress  Report - Oracle Database Analyst Summit
Progress Report - Oracle Database Analyst Summit
 
0183760ssssssssssssssssssssssssssss00101011 (27).pdf
0183760ssssssssssssssssssssssssssss00101011 (27).pdf0183760ssssssssssssssssssssssssssss00101011 (27).pdf
0183760ssssssssssssssssssssssssssss00101011 (27).pdf
 
VIP Call Girl Jamshedpur Aashi 8250192130 Independent Escort Service Jamshedpur
VIP Call Girl Jamshedpur Aashi 8250192130 Independent Escort Service JamshedpurVIP Call Girl Jamshedpur Aashi 8250192130 Independent Escort Service Jamshedpur
VIP Call Girl Jamshedpur Aashi 8250192130 Independent Escort Service Jamshedpur
 
MONA 98765-12871 CALL GIRLS IN LUDHIANA LUDHIANA CALL GIRL
MONA 98765-12871 CALL GIRLS IN LUDHIANA LUDHIANA CALL GIRLMONA 98765-12871 CALL GIRLS IN LUDHIANA LUDHIANA CALL GIRL
MONA 98765-12871 CALL GIRLS IN LUDHIANA LUDHIANA CALL GIRL
 
Call Girls In DLf Gurgaon ➥99902@11544 ( Best price)100% Genuine Escort In 24...
Call Girls In DLf Gurgaon ➥99902@11544 ( Best price)100% Genuine Escort In 24...Call Girls In DLf Gurgaon ➥99902@11544 ( Best price)100% Genuine Escort In 24...
Call Girls In DLf Gurgaon ➥99902@11544 ( Best price)100% Genuine Escort In 24...
 
RE Capital's Visionary Leadership under Newman Leech
RE Capital's Visionary Leadership under Newman LeechRE Capital's Visionary Leadership under Newman Leech
RE Capital's Visionary Leadership under Newman Leech
 
VIP Call Girls In Saharaganj ( Lucknow ) 🔝 8923113531 🔝 Cash Payment (COD) 👒
VIP Call Girls In Saharaganj ( Lucknow  ) 🔝 8923113531 🔝  Cash Payment (COD) 👒VIP Call Girls In Saharaganj ( Lucknow  ) 🔝 8923113531 🔝  Cash Payment (COD) 👒
VIP Call Girls In Saharaganj ( Lucknow ) 🔝 8923113531 🔝 Cash Payment (COD) 👒
 
Catalogue ONG NUOC PPR DE NHAT .pdf
Catalogue ONG NUOC PPR DE NHAT      .pdfCatalogue ONG NUOC PPR DE NHAT      .pdf
Catalogue ONG NUOC PPR DE NHAT .pdf
 

柏瑞週報 20200807

  • 2.
  • 3. PAGE 2 • 10 0.5362% 10 -0.531% • 0.7% 476 0.88% 555 • 1.6% 650 9.45% 0.47% Bloomberg 2020/8/6 1.51 1.33 1.23 2.37 1.70 2.91 2.65 3.95 2.58 2.33 2.38 2.61 2.31 3.91 2.78 3.61 -0.47 0.05 0.15 0.43 0.54 0.58 0.70 0.70 0.71 0.75 0.76 0.84 0.85 0.88 0.90 1.60 ESG ( ) - - % %
  • 4. PAGE 3 • • S&P 500 3.17% • 600 0.83% • 225 0.35% 300 2.29% • 0.19% Bloomberg 2020/8/6 2.54 5.24 3.40 -1.30 4.22 -2.35 -4.89 6.58 -1.11 4.35 1.98 0.04 4.24 5.14 5.33 2.83 -2.61 -0.84 0.19 0.35 0.77 0.83 1.04 1.50 1.71 2.27 2.29 2.33 2.41 3.09 3.17 4.06 MSCI BOVESPA BAML Nikkei 225 SENSEX 600 H DAX MSCI 300 MSCI MSCI MSCI S&P 500 RTS % %
  • 5. PAGE 4 • OPEC+ 8 • 7 31 EIA 737.3 ( ) 335 Bloomberg 2020/8/6 1.62 -2.64 -10.17 5.71 1.32 8.75 5.47 4.62 3.25 15.63 8.56 16.92 -5.34 -1.91 -1.43 0.75 2.53 3.34 4.08 5.01 5.09 5.46 5.48 5.49 LME LME CRB LME LME % %
  • 6. PAGE 5 • 74 65 10 16 27 • 170 147 31 5 Bank of America Merrill Lynch EPFR 2020/8/6 Weekly FICC flows as % AUM
  • 7.
  • 8. PAGE 7 • Steven Mnuchin 2020 2030 3.4 10 1 7 1200 • (ISM) 7 PMI 54.2 2 7 (PMI) 58.1( 2) 2019 2 18 15 5 • Michael Pompeo (Clean Network) App Trump 45 TikTok Wechat ( 2) ISM ( 1) S&P 500 Bloomberg 2020/8/6
  • 9. PAGE 8 Bloomberg 2020/8/6 ( 1) ( 2) ( ) • ( 1) • 150 Triumph Group Apache Corp Howard Hughes Corp • 88% S&P 500 2 8 Roku Beyond Meat Uber CVS • 8 1 119 ( 2) 20 100
  • 10. PAGE 9 • 2 GDP 12.1%( 1) 15% • 0.1% 7,450 -14% -9.5% • 7 600 5 (Siemens) (Commerzbank) Ahold Delhaize BMW (Allianz) • 6 27 3699 1.2%( 2) 16.2% ( 1) GDP( %) ( 2) ( %) Bloomberg 2020/8/6
  • 11. PAGE 10 ( 1) Markit PMI ( 2) Bloomberg 2020/8/6 • 7 Markit PMI 52.8( 1) 2011 1 9 7 PMI 58.4 54.1 3 PMI 55.7 54.5 • 2020 • 4% 1 Das • 1 2%( 2)
  • 12.
  • 13. PAGE 12 Bloomberg 2020/8/7 / / 8/10 8 Sentix - -18.2 8/10 7 CPI( ) 2.4% 2.5% 8/10-8/15 7 1175.65b 1810.0b 8/11 7 NFIB 98.2 100.6 8/11 8 ZEW - 59.6 8/11 6 ¥114.66b ¥1176.8b 8/11 6 ( ) -23.1% - 8/12 7 CPI( ) 0.7% 0.6% 8/12 7 ( ) -10.3% -20.9% 8/12 7 CPI( ) 6.3% 6.1% 8/12 6 ( ) - -7.2% 8/14 8 ( ) 71.8 72.5 8/14 7 ( ) 1.9% 7.5% 8/14 2 GDP( ) -15.0% -15.0% 8/14 7 ( ) 4.7% 4.8% 8/14 7 ( ) -0.3% -1.8% 8/14 - 5.00%
  • 14. PAGE 13 Bloomberg ICE (Yield to Maturity) Option Adjusted Spread Z-Spread to Worst * ICE 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 : 1.86 (8/6) 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 : 127 (8/6) 5 : 131 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 : 4.68 (8/6) / / 200 300 400 500 600 700 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 : 427 (8/6) 5 : 358
  • 15. PAGE 14 Bloomberg (Yield to Maturity) Option Adjusted Spread Z-Spread to Worst 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 : 6.21 (8/6) 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 : 5.91 (8/6) / / 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 : 555 (8/6) 5 : 482 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 : 476 (8/6) 5 : 453
  • 16. PAGE 15 Bloomberg J.P. Morgan - (Yield to Maturity) Option Adjusted Spread Z-Spread to Worst 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 : 4.43 (8/6) 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 : 7.23 (8/6) / / 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 : 476 (8/6) 5 : 396 100 300 500 700 900 1,100 1,300 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 : 697 (8/6) 5 : 494
  • 17. PAGE 16 Bloomberg J.P. Morgan (EMBIG) J.P. Morgan (CEMBI) (Yield to Maturity) Option Adjusted Spread Z-Spread to Worst 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 : 4.91 (8/6) 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 : 4.42 (8/6) / / 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 : 436 (8/6) 5 : 368 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 : 371 (8/6) 5 : 322
  • 18. PAGE 17 Bloomberg J.P. Morgan (JACI) (Yield to Maturity) Option Adjusted Spread Z-Spread to Worst 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0 18.0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 : 7.78 (8/6) 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 : 3.64 (8/6) / / 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 : 733 (8/6) 5 : 582 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 : 264 (8/6) 5 : 217
  • 19. PAGE 18 Bloomberg 12 / / 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 : 20.7 (8/6) 5 : 16.0 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 : 22.3 (8/6) 5 : 17.1 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 : 18.0 (8/6) 5 : 14.6 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 : 19.9 (8/6) 5 : 16.2
  • 20. PAGE 19 Bloomberg 12 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 : 15.3 (8/6) 5 : 12.0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 : 14.3 (8/6) 5 : 12.0 5 10 15 20 25 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 : 21.6 (8/6) 5 : 17.5 5 10 15 20 25 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 : 18.7 (8/6) 5 : 12.2 / /
  • 21. PAGE 20 Bloomberg 0 20 40 60 80 100 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 : 22.65 (8/6) 5 : 17.14 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 : 42.6 (8/6) 5 : 63.4 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 : 55.0 (8/6) 5 : 64.9 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 : 389 (8/6) 5 : 384 / /
  • 22. PAGE 21 Bloomberg * 50% +50% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% '15/8/6 '16/8/6 '17/8/6 '18/8/6 '19/8/6 '20/8/6 -15% -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 45% '15/8/6 '16/8/6 '17/8/6 '18/8/6 '19/8/6 '20/8/6 -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 45% '15/8/6 '16/8/6 '17/8/6 '18/8/6 '19/8/6 '20/8/6 -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% '15/8/6 '16/8/6 '17/8/6 '18/8/6 '19/8/6 '20/8/6 5 1 34.0% 0.2% 28.3% 0.1% 5 1 33.8% 0.8% 30.7% 0.1% 5 1 33.9% 0.5% 29.5% 0.1% 5 1 32.5% 1.5% 25.5% 0.1%
  • 23. PAGE 22 TR109217 PineBridge Investments IP Holding Company Limited • / • • • 108 001 104 144 10 (02)2516-7883 407 386 12 8 (04)2217-8168 802 6 17 1(A5 ) (07)335-5898