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World Future 2015 - July 2015
Challenges & Disruption in Asia
Global Corporations New
& Emerging Challenges
World Future Conference
San Francisco - 26 July 2015
Christopher H. Cordey
CRO - futuratinow.com
Anticipation| Disruption | Relevance
Geneva | Switzerland
@futuratinow
next@futuratinow.com
2
Welcome to a « Post
Everything World »
employment
money
privacy
trust
carbon
9/11
car
democracy
capitalism
oil
human
bank
scarcity
certainty
freedom
POST
Nation states
etc
World Future 2015 - July 2015
growth
consumption
knowldege
planning
Knowledge society
G-Zero
VUCA
Freemium
Wealth inequalities
Uberisation
Wearabilization
etc
3
Corporate wars
(Disruptive Tech Corporations
vs the rest of the World)
Blockchain Technology (Decentralised
Autonomus Organisation)
AI, AGI, ASI
Biomanufacturing & 4D printing
Quantum computer
Post-consumption era
Analogue Hermitism
Wealth & Cognitive Inequalities
Leaderless Corporation
Hybrid workforce Resources Management
(H-, H, H+ & Machine)
RMB century
etc
Some emerging challenges for Global
Corporations
World Future 2015 - July 2015
World Future 2015 - July 2015
Asia : dominant narrative
4
• More than half of the planet lives in
Asia.
• 40 % Worldwide GDP
• 3 of the 10 largest nations in the world
are in Asia Pacific,
• Increasingly important role (global
economy, international security, and
human development, etc)
• Great contribution to global economic
recovery & poverty alleviation
• Glittering cities and bustling ports
• AEC : Asean Economic Community
(600 millions consumer market)
Asian transition to a “Consumption Powerhouse” will
perpetuate the “Asian economic miracle”
Image >: ILL
World Future 2015 - July 2015
Asia : emerging narrative
5
Asia economic success obscures the
critical issues and challenges
affecting this region.
•Lack of transparency and accountability in government;
•Persistent poverty and rising income inequality;
•Exclusion of women from political and economic life;
•Ethnic and religious conflicts;
•Access to justice and human rights; and
•Disaster management, climate change, and water resource management.
What if critical issues left unaddressed ?
Any “new role” for the global corporations ?
Asia Foundation - 2014
World Future 2015 - July 2015
• Border Disputes
• Rising Nationalism
• Rising fundamentalism
• Cyber-Security
• Governance
• Nuclear threats
• Food insecurity
• Natural disaster & climate change
• Water security
• Rising middle class demand
• Youth & Technological
unemployment
6
Asia : daunting challenges
Persistent poverty, growing income
inequality, widespread corruption,
gender discrimination, environmental
threats, and deadly religious and
ethnic conflicts.
Asia Foundation - 2014
World Future 2015 - July 2015
Asia : youth unemployment
• Asian youth population
• 19 % of region’s population
• 750 millions young aged 15-24 y.o
• 11 % : Youth unemployment is
double the rate of working
population
• Growing skills mismatch & over-
education
• Working poverty is critical
• 30-75 % of young unemployed for
more than one year
• 25 % of young Filipinos NEET*
7
Source : Youth in Asia & Pacific, Undesa, 2014
China
NEET: Not In Education, employment or training
World Future 2015 - July 2015
Asia : demanding middle class
• Middle Class (by 2030) - 4 billions
• 64 % of world middle class
• 59 % of middle class consumption
• Educated, Assertive, Urban, Tech savv,
Cognitively enhanced,
• Growing POWER
• Growing EXPECTATIONS
• Quality of life
• Governance
• Housing
• Education
• Health care
• Transportation
• Food, air, water security
8
Source : Weforum.
Growing pressure on Government,
Natural ressources, infrastructure, etc
World Future 2015 - July 2015
Asia : barriers to development
• Different stages of
development (South Asia
vs South-East Asia)
• Different Consumer
preferences
9
Not
Significant
10
How to keep their license to operate
in contributing to address, with the plural sector, the daunting
challenges of poverty alleviation, income disparities, gender discrimination,
widespread corruption and environmental threats ?
Asia : implications for Global Corporations
How to contribute to enable the growing
Unemployed Young Asian population
to enter the future POST JOB labour market ?
How to meet the needs of a poorer, cognitively
enhanced & demanding growing middle class
enjoying different taste and consumption preferences
living in countries at different stage of their economic
and social development ?
1
2
3
World Future 2015 - July 2015
World Future 2015 - July 2015
Insights for Global Corporations
11
Possible Path of development
Economic stagnation, social unrest
and political instability.
•Address proactively, with the plural sector, the critical issues
faced in some Asian countries (People-Planet-Prosperity)
•Develop deeper “collaboration” with the unemployed
heterogeneous young Asian population.
•Monitor impact of technology on Asian social fabrics & values,
post job labour market, current & future workforce.
•Recalibrate strategy to grasp growth opportunities in Vietnam,
Thailand and Myanmar.
•Prepare for a widening use of RMB in trade & commerce
•And…
futuratinow.com
Geneva | Switzerland
@futuratinow
next@futuratinow.com
Relevance
Disruption
Anticipation

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Global Corporations New & Emerging Challenges: Challenges & Disruption in Asia

  • 1. World Future 2015 - July 2015 Challenges & Disruption in Asia Global Corporations New & Emerging Challenges World Future Conference San Francisco - 26 July 2015 Christopher H. Cordey CRO - futuratinow.com Anticipation| Disruption | Relevance Geneva | Switzerland @futuratinow next@futuratinow.com
  • 2. 2 Welcome to a « Post Everything World » employment money privacy trust carbon 9/11 car democracy capitalism oil human bank scarcity certainty freedom POST Nation states etc World Future 2015 - July 2015 growth consumption knowldege planning
  • 3. Knowledge society G-Zero VUCA Freemium Wealth inequalities Uberisation Wearabilization etc 3 Corporate wars (Disruptive Tech Corporations vs the rest of the World) Blockchain Technology (Decentralised Autonomus Organisation) AI, AGI, ASI Biomanufacturing & 4D printing Quantum computer Post-consumption era Analogue Hermitism Wealth & Cognitive Inequalities Leaderless Corporation Hybrid workforce Resources Management (H-, H, H+ & Machine) RMB century etc Some emerging challenges for Global Corporations World Future 2015 - July 2015
  • 4. World Future 2015 - July 2015 Asia : dominant narrative 4 • More than half of the planet lives in Asia. • 40 % Worldwide GDP • 3 of the 10 largest nations in the world are in Asia Pacific, • Increasingly important role (global economy, international security, and human development, etc) • Great contribution to global economic recovery & poverty alleviation • Glittering cities and bustling ports • AEC : Asean Economic Community (600 millions consumer market) Asian transition to a “Consumption Powerhouse” will perpetuate the “Asian economic miracle” Image >: ILL
  • 5. World Future 2015 - July 2015 Asia : emerging narrative 5 Asia economic success obscures the critical issues and challenges affecting this region. •Lack of transparency and accountability in government; •Persistent poverty and rising income inequality; •Exclusion of women from political and economic life; •Ethnic and religious conflicts; •Access to justice and human rights; and •Disaster management, climate change, and water resource management. What if critical issues left unaddressed ? Any “new role” for the global corporations ? Asia Foundation - 2014
  • 6. World Future 2015 - July 2015 • Border Disputes • Rising Nationalism • Rising fundamentalism • Cyber-Security • Governance • Nuclear threats • Food insecurity • Natural disaster & climate change • Water security • Rising middle class demand • Youth & Technological unemployment 6 Asia : daunting challenges Persistent poverty, growing income inequality, widespread corruption, gender discrimination, environmental threats, and deadly religious and ethnic conflicts. Asia Foundation - 2014
  • 7. World Future 2015 - July 2015 Asia : youth unemployment • Asian youth population • 19 % of region’s population • 750 millions young aged 15-24 y.o • 11 % : Youth unemployment is double the rate of working population • Growing skills mismatch & over- education • Working poverty is critical • 30-75 % of young unemployed for more than one year • 25 % of young Filipinos NEET* 7 Source : Youth in Asia & Pacific, Undesa, 2014 China NEET: Not In Education, employment or training
  • 8. World Future 2015 - July 2015 Asia : demanding middle class • Middle Class (by 2030) - 4 billions • 64 % of world middle class • 59 % of middle class consumption • Educated, Assertive, Urban, Tech savv, Cognitively enhanced, • Growing POWER • Growing EXPECTATIONS • Quality of life • Governance • Housing • Education • Health care • Transportation • Food, air, water security 8 Source : Weforum. Growing pressure on Government, Natural ressources, infrastructure, etc
  • 9. World Future 2015 - July 2015 Asia : barriers to development • Different stages of development (South Asia vs South-East Asia) • Different Consumer preferences 9 Not Significant
  • 10. 10 How to keep their license to operate in contributing to address, with the plural sector, the daunting challenges of poverty alleviation, income disparities, gender discrimination, widespread corruption and environmental threats ? Asia : implications for Global Corporations How to contribute to enable the growing Unemployed Young Asian population to enter the future POST JOB labour market ? How to meet the needs of a poorer, cognitively enhanced & demanding growing middle class enjoying different taste and consumption preferences living in countries at different stage of their economic and social development ? 1 2 3 World Future 2015 - July 2015
  • 11. World Future 2015 - July 2015 Insights for Global Corporations 11 Possible Path of development Economic stagnation, social unrest and political instability. •Address proactively, with the plural sector, the critical issues faced in some Asian countries (People-Planet-Prosperity) •Develop deeper “collaboration” with the unemployed heterogeneous young Asian population. •Monitor impact of technology on Asian social fabrics & values, post job labour market, current & future workforce. •Recalibrate strategy to grasp growth opportunities in Vietnam, Thailand and Myanmar. •Prepare for a widening use of RMB in trade & commerce •And…