6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Critical Infrastructure, Panarchies and the Vulnerability Paths of Cascading ...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
This document discusses different models for estimating shelter requirements after earthquakes: SYNER-G, HAZUS-MH, ERGO-EQ, MCEER, InaSAFE, and RiskScape. It provides an overview of the conceptual frameworks and parameters considered in each model's calculations of displaced populations and shelter needs. These parameters include building damage, age, income, ethnicity, and others. The document also compares the outputs produced by each model, such as estimates of population displacement by geographic area or dwelling units. Future developments proposed include tailoring models to specific contexts and incorporating additional social and cultural factors.
The Power of Communities in Coping with Natural Disasters The Case of El Morr...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
This document summarizes a presentation given at the 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference in Davos, Switzerland. The presentation examined the capacity of communities in Chile to cope with natural disasters, using a case study of the town of El Morro. An ethnographic study was conducted in El Morro for 6 months, using interviews, observation, and document analysis. The study found that social and cultural capacities like local knowledge, sense of community, cooperation and leadership were essential for community resilience in responding to disasters. Communities have the potential to transform from victims to survivors through activating their own resources.
Stress Tests for Critical Transport Infrastructure due to Natural Hazards a C...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
An Analysis of National Disaster Vulnerability, Risk and Resilience Indices, ...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Zoning of Gas Pipeline Environmental Risk Assessment in Various Land Unit, Ma...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Critical Infrastructure, Panarchies and the Vulnerability Paths of Cascading ...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
This document discusses different models for estimating shelter requirements after earthquakes: SYNER-G, HAZUS-MH, ERGO-EQ, MCEER, InaSAFE, and RiskScape. It provides an overview of the conceptual frameworks and parameters considered in each model's calculations of displaced populations and shelter needs. These parameters include building damage, age, income, ethnicity, and others. The document also compares the outputs produced by each model, such as estimates of population displacement by geographic area or dwelling units. Future developments proposed include tailoring models to specific contexts and incorporating additional social and cultural factors.
The Power of Communities in Coping with Natural Disasters The Case of El Morr...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
This document summarizes a presentation given at the 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference in Davos, Switzerland. The presentation examined the capacity of communities in Chile to cope with natural disasters, using a case study of the town of El Morro. An ethnographic study was conducted in El Morro for 6 months, using interviews, observation, and document analysis. The study found that social and cultural capacities like local knowledge, sense of community, cooperation and leadership were essential for community resilience in responding to disasters. Communities have the potential to transform from victims to survivors through activating their own resources.
Stress Tests for Critical Transport Infrastructure due to Natural Hazards a C...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
An Analysis of National Disaster Vulnerability, Risk and Resilience Indices, ...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Zoning of Gas Pipeline Environmental Risk Assessment in Various Land Unit, Ma...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
The document presents a seismic risk assessment model for a hospital's emergency department (ED). The model includes physical, functional, and patient-oriented submodels linked together. The physical submodel uses structural analysis to determine floor accelerations and drift from ground motions. The functional submodel assesses loss of functionality to examination and operating rooms. The patient-oriented submodel models patient flow through the ED and calculates performance indices based on waiting times. The full model is used to predict ED performance in an earthquake scenario and provide a seismic risk analysis framework.
Vulnerability Assessment Using Spatial Information in terms of Chemical Relea...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Adapting Mass Casualty Response In An Era Of Increased Active Shooter Inciden...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
Brad Keating presented on adapting mass casualty response to increasing active shooter incidents. He discussed establishing integrated entry teams of law enforcement and medical personnel to rapidly enter warm zones to perform triage and lifesaving interventions. Current triage methods have low accuracy rates, so a simplified two-step model was proposed. Preparation through integrated training of all responding agencies and a unified command structure was emphasized to allow for the most effective response and reduce mortality rates from delayed entry.
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Dynamic Risk Map (DRM) for Enhancing Risk Assessment of Construction Projects...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Operationalization of an ISO 31000-Compliant Resilience Engineering Method, A...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Institutionalizing the Application of Latest DRR Technologies for the Public...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Advancing Coordination Between DRM and CCA in Integrated Flood Risk Managemen...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Integrative Risk Assessment and Management for Recycled Water Schemes an Aust...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
This document summarizes a presentation on integrative risk assessment and management for residential recycled water schemes in Australia. It introduces residential recycled water schemes and their objectives to reduce potable water demand, effluent discharge, and stormwater runoff. It then shows that few schemes in Australia have been successful long-term. Through historical analysis and industry surveys, it identifies key risks to schemes' long-term viability like public health concerns, economic challenges, and regulatory issues. The presentation argues current risk assessment and management practices have limitations like poorly defined objectives and an independent approach that does not consider time and context adequately. Improved integrative risk management is needed for resilient recycled water schemes.
Using Social Media and Digital Volunteers for Building Cross-border Disaster ...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Untangling the Drivers of Disaster Resilience Developing a Context, Capacity ...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
The document presents a framework called the Context Capacity and Performance Model of Local Government Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR). It aims to understand the drivers and barriers to DRR action by local governments. The model hypothesizes relationships between the context local governments operate in, their capacities for DRR, and their performance and action. An expert survey was conducted to validate the model and found experts had varying opinions, with context and capacity seen as equally influential, and all capacities viewed as similarly important, though financial capacity was overestimated and policy context was underestimated. More research is needed, including broader expert and local government surveys, and case studies applying the model.
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Disaster Risk Reduction and Nursing - Human Science research the view of surv...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
The Experience for a Metropolis to bring Resilience to Every City Barcelona, ...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
1) Barcelona has worked to build resilience over the past 30 years through its response to crises, infrastructure planning, and cooperation between public and private groups.
2) Key mayors such as Pascual Maragall, Joan Clos, Jordi Hereu, and Xavier Trias have emphasized building resilience through projects improving infrastructure and social services.
3) Barcelona has developed tools and strategies to assess and manage resilience, including its Resilience Board, Situation Room, and HAZUR methodology employed in other cities to establish resilience offices.
Resilience in High-Speed Train Networks - Promising, New Approach, Florian ST...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Can UK Water Service Providers Manage Risk and Resilience as Part of a Multi-...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
The document discusses a study examining how well UK water service providers incorporate risk management and resilience as part of a multi-agency approach. The researchers analyzed 38 Community Risk Registers and found inconsistencies in style, structure, and level of detail when assessing risks like water infrastructure failures or drought. They conclude that improved consistency is needed in how water providers engage in and contribute their risk assessments to the community planning process.
Risk Assessment and Mapping of Harmful Algal Bloom in Farming Fisheries of So...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
How Critical Infrastructure Orients International Relief in Cascading Disaste...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Where and What Kind of Weather Insurance Indexes Could be Potentially Used fo...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Resilient Cities, SMEs, Communities and Infrastructure Four Pioneering Projec...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
The document presents a seismic risk assessment model for a hospital's emergency department (ED). The model includes physical, functional, and patient-oriented submodels linked together. The physical submodel uses structural analysis to determine floor accelerations and drift from ground motions. The functional submodel assesses loss of functionality to examination and operating rooms. The patient-oriented submodel models patient flow through the ED and calculates performance indices based on waiting times. The full model is used to predict ED performance in an earthquake scenario and provide a seismic risk analysis framework.
Vulnerability Assessment Using Spatial Information in terms of Chemical Relea...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Adapting Mass Casualty Response In An Era Of Increased Active Shooter Inciden...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
Brad Keating presented on adapting mass casualty response to increasing active shooter incidents. He discussed establishing integrated entry teams of law enforcement and medical personnel to rapidly enter warm zones to perform triage and lifesaving interventions. Current triage methods have low accuracy rates, so a simplified two-step model was proposed. Preparation through integrated training of all responding agencies and a unified command structure was emphasized to allow for the most effective response and reduce mortality rates from delayed entry.
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Dynamic Risk Map (DRM) for Enhancing Risk Assessment of Construction Projects...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Operationalization of an ISO 31000-Compliant Resilience Engineering Method, A...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Institutionalizing the Application of Latest DRR Technologies for the Public...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Advancing Coordination Between DRM and CCA in Integrated Flood Risk Managemen...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Integrative Risk Assessment and Management for Recycled Water Schemes an Aust...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
This document summarizes a presentation on integrative risk assessment and management for residential recycled water schemes in Australia. It introduces residential recycled water schemes and their objectives to reduce potable water demand, effluent discharge, and stormwater runoff. It then shows that few schemes in Australia have been successful long-term. Through historical analysis and industry surveys, it identifies key risks to schemes' long-term viability like public health concerns, economic challenges, and regulatory issues. The presentation argues current risk assessment and management practices have limitations like poorly defined objectives and an independent approach that does not consider time and context adequately. Improved integrative risk management is needed for resilient recycled water schemes.
Using Social Media and Digital Volunteers for Building Cross-border Disaster ...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Untangling the Drivers of Disaster Resilience Developing a Context, Capacity ...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
The document presents a framework called the Context Capacity and Performance Model of Local Government Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR). It aims to understand the drivers and barriers to DRR action by local governments. The model hypothesizes relationships between the context local governments operate in, their capacities for DRR, and their performance and action. An expert survey was conducted to validate the model and found experts had varying opinions, with context and capacity seen as equally influential, and all capacities viewed as similarly important, though financial capacity was overestimated and policy context was underestimated. More research is needed, including broader expert and local government surveys, and case studies applying the model.
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Disaster Risk Reduction and Nursing - Human Science research the view of surv...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
The Experience for a Metropolis to bring Resilience to Every City Barcelona, ...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
1) Barcelona has worked to build resilience over the past 30 years through its response to crises, infrastructure planning, and cooperation between public and private groups.
2) Key mayors such as Pascual Maragall, Joan Clos, Jordi Hereu, and Xavier Trias have emphasized building resilience through projects improving infrastructure and social services.
3) Barcelona has developed tools and strategies to assess and manage resilience, including its Resilience Board, Situation Room, and HAZUR methodology employed in other cities to establish resilience offices.
Resilience in High-Speed Train Networks - Promising, New Approach, Florian ST...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Can UK Water Service Providers Manage Risk and Resilience as Part of a Multi-...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
The document discusses a study examining how well UK water service providers incorporate risk management and resilience as part of a multi-agency approach. The researchers analyzed 38 Community Risk Registers and found inconsistencies in style, structure, and level of detail when assessing risks like water infrastructure failures or drought. They conclude that improved consistency is needed in how water providers engage in and contribute their risk assessments to the community planning process.
Risk Assessment and Mapping of Harmful Algal Bloom in Farming Fisheries of So...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
How Critical Infrastructure Orients International Relief in Cascading Disaste...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Where and What Kind of Weather Insurance Indexes Could be Potentially Used fo...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Resilient Cities, SMEs, Communities and Infrastructure Four Pioneering Projec...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Creating New Hybrid Products for Adapting the Insurance Mechanism to Drive Re...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Integrated Finanical Risk Transfer Mechanisms for Urban Resilience, Sandra SC...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Study on Probability Distribution of Disaster Losses, Demographics and Social...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Integrating Partners and Resources to Enhance Community Preparedness, Amanda ...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Analysis of Long-term Variations of Wind Speed and Haze in Beijing-Tianjin-He...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Governing Risk Reduction in the Built Environment the Case of Victoria, Austr...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
The lessons from the Great Easz Japan earthquake five years after the disaste...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Turning Black into Green - Incorporating DRR into Social and Economic Develop...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
A Quantitative Framework to Assess Communities Resilience at the State Level,...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Climate Change and Risk to Water Resource Planning Proactive Management Needs...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Towards a Novel and Applicable Approach for Resilience Engineering, Ivo HAERINGGlobal Risk Forum GRFDavos
This document discusses the need for resilience engineering from a technical science perspective. It provides a definition of technical resilience engineering as preserving system functionality with engineered capabilities and solutions when problems or disruptions occur. Methods are presented for jointly optimizing resilience in all phases, analyzing resilience, designing resilience capabilities, and using semi-quantitative and simulation approaches to model event propagation and quantify resilience dimensions. Challenges include further developing concepts and methods for technical operationalization of resilience engineering.
Increasing Resilience to Earthquakes the Earthquakes without Frontiers Experi...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Key Design Components of an International Field Course on Hazards and Disaste...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Pathways for Coastal Adaptation in Metro Vancouver, Alexandra Heather RUTLEDGEGlobal Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Migrants, Asylum Seekers and Refugees with Disabilities in the Context of Maj...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
A Multi-objective Goal Programming Approach for Locating Emergency Shelters u...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
This document summarizes a presentation on developing a multi-objective goal programming model for locating emergency shelters during disasters. It discusses factors to consider in shelter site selection like terrain, infrastructure, and proximity. A model is proposed with objectives of maximizing site suitability weights, minimizing distances for households and number of sites. Constraints include capacity, demand, utilization and proximity. The model formulation and sample results demonstrating shelter site and household allocations under scenarios are presented. The work contributes to more resilient disaster planning through integrated shelter location optimization.
Disaster risk reduction and nursing - human science research the view of surv...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Systematic Knowledge Sharing of Natural Hazard Damages in Public-private Part...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Exploring Vulnerability of Low Income People due to Consecutive Disasters A C...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Disasters and Long Term Economic Sustainability A Perspective on Sierra Leone...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
The document discusses factors that increase disaster vulnerability in Sierra Leone and may impact its economic sustainability following the Ebola outbreak. It analyzes 77 sources to identify key themes like education, poverty, health, corruption, and economic impacts. Sierra Leone has experienced civil conflict, epidemics, floods, landslides and other natural disasters. Poverty is widespread, hampering disaster resilience and economic growth. The analysis found correlations between these issues and calls for integrated disaster risk management and strengthened cooperation between organizations working in Sierra Leone.
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Save Yourself - Predicting Whether Communities Will be Able to Prepare Themse...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
The Process of Involving Citizens in the Planning of Green Cities, Gisela WAC...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
This document discusses involving citizens in planning for green and resilient cities. It presents three examples of "green conflicts" around flood risks, renewable energy projects, and urban green planning. It argues that citizen participation is important to include different perspectives, improve decision making, and increase trust and acceptance of projects. Early and meaningful participation that incorporates both expert and citizen values can help address conflicts and lead to more sustainable outcomes. The document provides guidance on structuring effective participation processes.
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Crisis Management Strategies of Thailand's Tourism Industry Following Politic...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
This document summarizes a master's thesis on the crisis management strategies of Thailand's tourism industry following political unrest and terrorism in 2014-2015. It describes three key steps in crisis management: 1) crisis prevention and planning through contingency planning and security training, 2) strategic implementation including internal and external communication as well as assisting victims, and 3) resolution through recovery marketing and review of crisis plans. Overall, it finds that Thailand demonstrated resilience through coordinated efforts between public and private sectors, as well as understanding of customer behavior to target resilient markets.
Critical Voices, Existing Choices Deliberative Polling Options for Improving ...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Certified Systems to Reduce Security Risks in Modern Societies and the Contri...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Counterterrorism Hospitals Preparedness and Response, An Italian Pilot Projec...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Seismic Fragility of Equipment and Support Structure in a Unit of an Oil Comp...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Longterm Impacts of Natural Disasters on Public Health Systems, LORENZONI NinaGlobal Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Disaster Management Awareness Program in Medical Schools in Nepal An Inclusiv...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Bottom-up Organizing and Empowerment in Post-Disaster Work, Sara Eliisa BONDE...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Expected Skills, Required Program Content and Assessment System to Address th...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
The document discusses issues related to higher education and accreditation systems for engineering programs. It provides background on challenges facing higher education, including rapid changes in knowledge and technology. Quality assurance and accreditation systems are important for regulating education standards. The document examines accreditation criteria from the ABET system in the US and the EUR-ACE system in Europe. While these systems evaluate criteria like curriculum and student outcomes, the document notes they do not sufficiently address topics related to disaster risk management, which will be an important subject for engineers to study given increasing risks from natural hazards and industrial accidents. The document suggests accreditation standards could be improved by integrating more interdisciplinary teaching and dedicated courses on disaster risk reduction.
Dynamic factors influencing the post-disaster resettlement success Lessons fr...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Similar to Use of Catastrophe Modelling Data to Help Earthquake Risk Assessment for Developers and Policy Makers, Alexandros GEORGIADIS (20)
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Global alliance of disaster research institutes (GADRI) discussion session, A...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
Global Alliance of Disaster Research Institutes (GADRI) aims to reduce disaster risk and increase resilience through interdisciplinary research. GADRI brings together institutions to support research efforts through cooperation instead of competition. It also guides new researchers and maintains institutional memory to build upon past work. Some challenges GADRI may face include coordinating a global alliance. Solutions include facilitating cooperative work between members and guiding the expanding field of disaster reduction research.
Towards a safe, secure and sustainable energy supply the role of resilience i...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
The document discusses concepts related to ensuring a safe, secure, and sustainable energy supply. It introduces the concepts of risk assessment, resilience management, security of supply, sustainability, and multi-criteria decision analysis. It then presents a case study from the EU SECURE project that used these concepts to evaluate policy scenarios according to various environmental, economic, social, and security indicators. The study found that global climate policy scenarios generally performed best, though they were vulnerable to certain shocks like nuclear accidents or carbon capture failures. Overall policies that reduced fossil fuel use and led to greater diversification of energy sources and imports improved sustainability and security.
Making Hard Choices An Analysis of Settlement Choices and Willingness to Retu...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
1) The document analyzes data from surveys of Syrian refugees in Turkey to understand their choices regarding returning to Syria, staying in Turkey, or migrating elsewhere.
2) It finds that as the duration of living as a refugee increases, the probability of returning to Syria decreases significantly, while the likelihood of migrating to another country increases.
3) Refugees who experienced greater damage, losses, or deaths due to the war in Syria are less likely to return and more likely to migrate internationally in search of asylum.
The Relocation Challenges in Coastal Urban Centers Options and Limitations, A...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Involving the Mining Sector in Achieving Land Degradation Neutrality, Simone ...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Training and awareness raising in Critical Infrastructure Protection & Resili...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
IDRC Davos 2016 - Workshop Awareness Raising, Education and Training - Capaci...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
The document summarizes the Global Alliance of Disaster Research Institutes (GADRI). GADRI is a global network of over 100 disaster research institutes that aims to enhance disaster risk reduction through knowledge sharing. It holds symposia, workshops, and other events on topics like flash floods, earthquakes, and geohazards. Notable upcoming events include the Third Global Summit of Research Institutes for Disaster Risk Reduction in 2017. GADRI's goals are to establish collaborative research initiatives, form international working groups, and disseminate findings to influence disaster policy.
The document discusses capacity development for disaster risk reduction at the national and local levels. It explores strengths and weaknesses of current DRR capacity development efforts, and presents UNITAR's contribution through a new K4Resilience hub initiative. The initiative aims to strengthen DRR capacity development at national and sub-national levels by transferring knowledge and technology, advocating for positive change, achieving economies of scale in training, and facilitating peer-to-peer learning and mainstreaming of knowledge through strategies at the national and sub-national levels.
Consequences of the Armed Conflict as a Stressor of Climate Change in Colombi...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Disaster Risk Perception in Cameroon and its Implications for the Rehabilitat...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Exploring the Effectiveness of Humanitarian NGO-Private Sector Collaborations...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
A Holistic Approach Towards International Disaster Resilient Architecture by ...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Study on the Impact of Economic Growth on Meteorological Disaster Losses in C...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Resilient Cities, SMEs, Communities and Infrastructure Four Pioneering Projec...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Impact of a Collective Action in a Disaster-affected Community to Site a Temp...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Impact of a Collective Action in a Disaster-affected Community to Site a Temp...
Use of Catastrophe Modelling Data to Help Earthquake Risk Assessment for Developers and Policy Makers, Alexandros GEORGIADIS
1. 6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Catastrophe modelling and disaster risk
assessment for developers and policy makers
Alexandros Georgiadis, Aon Benfield Impact Forecasting, UK
Chris Ewing, Aon Benfield Impact Forecasting, UK
Stuart Fraser, GFDRR Innovation Lab, US
2. 6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Agenda
• Natural Catastrophe Risk
• Catastrophe Modelling in insurance
• Catastrophe Modelling beyond insurance
3. 6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Agenda
• Natural Catastrophe Risk
• Catastrophe Modelling in insurance
• Catastrophe Modelling beyond insurance
4. 6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Catastrophe Modelling
• Tools that analyse the financial implications of natural catastrophes.
US HU
US EQ
EU WS
JP TY
JP EQEU EQ
EU FL
US FL
Source: Earth Institute of Columbia University
5. 6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Catastrophe Modelling
• Tools that analyse the financial implications of natural catastrophes.
Source: Earth Institute of Columbia University
6. 6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Agenda
• Natural Catastrophe Risk
• Catastrophe Modelling in insurance
• Catastrophe Modelling beyond insurance
7. 6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Anatomy of a Catastrophe Model
LOSS
Insured loss
calculation
Damage
Calculation
VULNERABILITY
HAZARD
Event Generation
Intensity Calculation
EXPOSURE
Asset Characterisation
Policy Conditions
Source: PERILS
8. 6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Cat Model in insurance
• Tools used to calculate:
– the impact (monetary loss)
– the probability (frequency) for
a set level of loss to occur.
• View of risk
• Benefits
– Portfolio optimization.
– Risk appetite and capital
management.
– Reinsurance purchase
decisions.
Quantify risk
in old & new
territories
Effective
accumulation
control
Reinsurance
cover design
New
insurance
products
Selective
underwriting
Understand
your
exposure
9. 6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
The (re)insurance market
Properties
Insurance
Reinsurance
• Risk appetite and capital management
• Reinsurance purchase decisions
• Portfolio optimization
• Portfolio optimization
Catastrophe Modelling
• Premium calculation
Catastrophe Modelling
10. 6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Agenda
• Natural Catastrophe Risk
• Catastrophe Modelling in insurance
• Catastrophe Modelling beyond insurance
11. 6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Challenge
• Many developing countries
– Limited hazard/exposure/vulnerability data and model coverage to
quantify risk and make risk-informed decisions.
– Lack established risk financing mechanisms – funding post-disaster
activities may be unplanned and not optimal
• Post-disaster costs impacting the national budget may cause:
– Liquidity gaps.
– Long-term government debt and increased poverty for families.
12. 6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Catastrophe Modelling beyond insurance
• Expand model coverage and data availability
• Impacts beyond monetary loss – i.e., government assets, infrastructure, poverty,
GDP growth, population affected...
• Integrated risk management using catastrophe models:
Open Data
Limited money /
resource to fund
data and modelling
Quantifying
Nat Cat Risk
What-if
scenarios &
Cost/Benefit
analysis
Project
Planning
Resilience
studies
poverty - disaster
synergy
Mitigation &
preparedness
Risk
assessment
Identify risk
hotspots
Focus efforts to
reduce risks
13. 6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Case Study: Using EQ hazard data for disaster risk reduction
• GFDRR integrated Impact
Forecasting EQ hazard data within
their Think Hazard! global multi-
hazard screening tool.
• ThinkHazard.org simplifies
hazard data into high, medium or
low classes (based on frequency
of damage occurring in that
location).
• Recommends first-step actions on
how to reduce risk and provides
links to relevant data / reports.
• Helps DRR professionals to plan
projects, and communities to
prepare.
PGA
14. 6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Contacts
Alexandros Georgiadis
Impact Forecasting London
+44 (0)207 086 3297
alexandros.georgiadis@aonbenfield.com
Chris Ewing
Impact Forecasting London
+44 (0)207 522 8305
chris.ewing@aonbenfield.com
Stuart Fraser
GFDRR Innovation Lab
+44 (0)7455 048 044
sfraser@worldbank.org
Subject of this presentation is the link between NAT CAT Modelling, risk analysis and it’s applications
We will start (i) with CAT Modelling fundamentals, then (ii) look into the Insurance market and the role of CAT Modelling in Europe, US, etc, then we will look into potential uses beyond the established Insurance market.
Portrait of a dangerous planet: The risks are colour-coded, blue for flood/storm surge, orange for drought, green & Red for EQ!
Lack of use of catastrophe models and catastrophe risk data to help information disaster risk reduction professionals
Catastrophe modelling is otherwise known as risk modelling outside of the (re)insurance market. Uses of risk models are multiple:
The structure of a cat model can be used to assess risk outside of the insurance market. The components are the same, but perhaps don’t use the financial module (i.e., policy terms) for many analyses.
International organisations such as world bank / gfdrr use risk models to
identify population affected / government buildings damaged, in the same way as it can be used to assess the number of buildings affected/damaged in an insurance company’s portfolio.
Model for sovereign (government) level loans and transactions such as parametric insurance triggers – see CCRIF, for example.
1: Provision of model data openly is key to improving availability - not enough money/resource in development sector to pay for data to be used once and not be made available to multiple stakeholders. Need to drive efficiency in the effort by not duplicating data, and by sharing data and collaborating to improve data / model coverage
3: Structural vulnerability curves can be swapped for curves to relate intensity with death / injury to estimate population affected.
3: understand better how poverty is linked to disasters and what the impact of disaster might be on poverty, by determining the effect of events on peoples livelihoods (needs detailed understanding of household economic situations – work in progress)
4: Understand country’s risk hot spots, and impacts of urbanization / population growth by including scenarios of urban growth and population change. Also explore risk into the future, by changing the hazard parameters / model to include the effects of warmer climate on wind, rainfall, and sea levels. This is used in cost/benefit analysis of disaster risk reduction measures, to identify whether (e.g.) new flood protection, new land-use zoning, etc, are worth the investment in terms of the amount of money saved if a disaster occurred with them in place.
One example of collaboration between modeling in the insurance sector and development / international organizations. There is a lot of expertise and data in the private sector, which can benefit international development, if it was utilised in the right areas.
See RMS work on Risky Business http://www.rms.com/blog/2014/06/24/rms-and-risky-business-modeling-climate-change-risk/
AIR work on PCRAFI – risk on Pacific Islands. Plenty of examples, where private sector, or academic institutions are contracted to run risk model (essentially, cat models), to identify and better understand risk for disaster risk management, of which reinsurance is one component.