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6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Climate Change and Risk to
Water Resource Planning: Needs
Proactive Management
Ms. Anita Mukherjee
Dr. Somnath Sen
Dr. Saikat Kumar Paul
Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur
India
6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Climate Change:
Uncertainties and Irregularities in Climatic Pattern
Rise in Temperature
High
Evapotranspiration
High
Precipitation
Sea Level Rise
Floods
Droughts
Rise in
SeaTemperature
Glacial Melting
Cyclones and
Storm Surge
Spatial and
Temporal
irregularities
in Rainfall
Shortage
of water /
Water-
crisis
Sudden
excess of
water
6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
The Concept of Sustainability
The concept of Sustainability or
Sustainable development refers to the desire
that the coordination of natural events with the
flow of human activities would follow the state
of dynamic equilibrium and finally leads to
achieve the average state of steady
equilibrium.
We do pre-planning to avoid unstable
equilibrium.
When the system is affected by any sort of
disturbances (like issues of climate change),
we ought to find a way through which we can
regain the state of stable equilibrium.
Dynamic and average state
of steady equilibrium
Unstable Equilibrium
Stable Equilibrium
Source of the Figures: http://www.physicalgeography.net/fundamentals/4f.html
6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
The concept of Sustainable Agriculture
Sustainable agriculture refers to making the agricultural system
capable for self-regulation by negative and positive feedback
mechanisms so that it can regain its previous state of equilibrium after
facing disturbances.
Conceptualization of Sustainable Development
Ag : No. of farmers
adapting alternative
agricultural pattern
Cg : No. of farmers
following
conventional
agricultural pattern
Disturbance
Conventional Agriculture Alternative Agriculture
 Native cropping pattern
and techniques used in
agriculture
 Do not use water efficiently
 Encourage the notion of ‘more crop
per drop’
 Adaptation of new cropping pattern
and water-efficient technology
Assumptions:
 Farmers like to follow the pattern of conventional agriculture
during normal climatic condition
 They are informed with the know-how of alternative agriculture
6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Water Resources Planning: As A System Concept
• Available freshwater
resource
[precipitation,
groundwater
potential and live
storage of
reservoir]
• Environmental flow
requirement
• Demand or
consumption of
water [ in
agriculture,
domestic and
industrial sectors]
INPUT
• Measuring, Recording
and Forecasting Weather
• Water quality assessment
and management
• Land use planning
• Research on and
implementation of water-
efficient technologies and
practices
• Infrastructural
development of water
conservation and reuse of
wastewater
THROUGHPUT
• Sustainability of
water resource,
Policy
development
and
implementation
OUTPUT
6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Water Resource Planning and Resilience for
Climate Change Impacts through E-agriculture
6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Flowchart for E-application Confronting Climatic Uncertainty in
Agriculture: Focus on Water Resources Planning
Registration Enter First Name and Surname
Do you have any
agricultural insurance?
No
You are in
Risk to have
loss due to
Climatic
Disturbance
Yes
Enter the details of Insurance
Enter your mobile Number
Enter your E-mail ID
Enter your address
[Country, State, District, Block, Village]
Thanks. We are connected to You. Will alert you
for extreme weather and provide other
information important for agriculture.
Basic Advanced
Identification of agricultural fields on
satellite images (manually / automatically)
Enter preferences for Sowing & Harvesting seasons
Display the list of crops suitable for the
particular region for the specified seasons,
with Life Cycle Water Requirement for each
crops,
Potential cost of production,
Sensitivity to diseases and market distance
and market price
More…
Continued…
6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Flowchart for E-application at Basic Level
Enter preferences for Sowing & Harvesting seasons
Does forecasting
of Rainfall is
available for the
specified seasons?
Estimate
Rainfall for
the specified
seasons
No Yes
Display the
details of
forecasted
Rainfall
Display the
details of
estimated
Rainfall
Enter soil conditions
Do you have any
preference for
crop to produce?
NoYes
Enter the crop’s name
Loop
Is it Perfectly
suitable?
No
Is it suitable?
Yes
Production of this crop
is perfectly suitable
Production of this crop is
suitable but have some riskNo
Do
y
Continue
with
another
crop?
Yes
No
Yes
Display the list of crops
suitable for the particular
region for the specified
seasons,
with Life Cycle Water
Requirement for each
crops,
Potential cost of
production,
Sensitivity to diseases and
market distance and
market price
More…
More…
Continued…
6th
International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016
‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Conclusion
The proposed e-agricultural application would aware people and
encourage farmers and individuals (related to agriculture):
 To synchronize agricultural production with presumed weather
condition adopting alternative agriculture with water efficient
techniques
 To take the facility of proper crop insurance and market price.
Thank
You

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Climate Change and Risk to Water Resource Planning Proactive Management Needs, Anita MUKHERJEE

  • 1. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org Climate Change and Risk to Water Resource Planning: Needs Proactive Management Ms. Anita Mukherjee Dr. Somnath Sen Dr. Saikat Kumar Paul Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur India
  • 2. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org Climate Change: Uncertainties and Irregularities in Climatic Pattern Rise in Temperature High Evapotranspiration High Precipitation Sea Level Rise Floods Droughts Rise in SeaTemperature Glacial Melting Cyclones and Storm Surge Spatial and Temporal irregularities in Rainfall Shortage of water / Water- crisis Sudden excess of water
  • 3. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org The Concept of Sustainability The concept of Sustainability or Sustainable development refers to the desire that the coordination of natural events with the flow of human activities would follow the state of dynamic equilibrium and finally leads to achieve the average state of steady equilibrium. We do pre-planning to avoid unstable equilibrium. When the system is affected by any sort of disturbances (like issues of climate change), we ought to find a way through which we can regain the state of stable equilibrium. Dynamic and average state of steady equilibrium Unstable Equilibrium Stable Equilibrium Source of the Figures: http://www.physicalgeography.net/fundamentals/4f.html
  • 4. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org The concept of Sustainable Agriculture Sustainable agriculture refers to making the agricultural system capable for self-regulation by negative and positive feedback mechanisms so that it can regain its previous state of equilibrium after facing disturbances. Conceptualization of Sustainable Development Ag : No. of farmers adapting alternative agricultural pattern Cg : No. of farmers following conventional agricultural pattern Disturbance Conventional Agriculture Alternative Agriculture  Native cropping pattern and techniques used in agriculture  Do not use water efficiently  Encourage the notion of ‘more crop per drop’  Adaptation of new cropping pattern and water-efficient technology Assumptions:  Farmers like to follow the pattern of conventional agriculture during normal climatic condition  They are informed with the know-how of alternative agriculture
  • 5. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org Water Resources Planning: As A System Concept • Available freshwater resource [precipitation, groundwater potential and live storage of reservoir] • Environmental flow requirement • Demand or consumption of water [ in agriculture, domestic and industrial sectors] INPUT • Measuring, Recording and Forecasting Weather • Water quality assessment and management • Land use planning • Research on and implementation of water- efficient technologies and practices • Infrastructural development of water conservation and reuse of wastewater THROUGHPUT • Sustainability of water resource, Policy development and implementation OUTPUT
  • 6. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org Water Resource Planning and Resilience for Climate Change Impacts through E-agriculture
  • 7. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org Flowchart for E-application Confronting Climatic Uncertainty in Agriculture: Focus on Water Resources Planning Registration Enter First Name and Surname Do you have any agricultural insurance? No You are in Risk to have loss due to Climatic Disturbance Yes Enter the details of Insurance Enter your mobile Number Enter your E-mail ID Enter your address [Country, State, District, Block, Village] Thanks. We are connected to You. Will alert you for extreme weather and provide other information important for agriculture. Basic Advanced Identification of agricultural fields on satellite images (manually / automatically) Enter preferences for Sowing & Harvesting seasons Display the list of crops suitable for the particular region for the specified seasons, with Life Cycle Water Requirement for each crops, Potential cost of production, Sensitivity to diseases and market distance and market price More… Continued…
  • 8. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org Flowchart for E-application at Basic Level Enter preferences for Sowing & Harvesting seasons Does forecasting of Rainfall is available for the specified seasons? Estimate Rainfall for the specified seasons No Yes Display the details of forecasted Rainfall Display the details of estimated Rainfall Enter soil conditions Do you have any preference for crop to produce? NoYes Enter the crop’s name Loop Is it Perfectly suitable? No Is it suitable? Yes Production of this crop is perfectly suitable Production of this crop is suitable but have some riskNo Do y Continue with another crop? Yes No Yes Display the list of crops suitable for the particular region for the specified seasons, with Life Cycle Water Requirement for each crops, Potential cost of production, Sensitivity to diseases and market distance and market price More… More… Continued…
  • 9. 6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 ‘Integrative Risk Management – Towards Resilient Cities‘ • 28 Aug – 1 Sept 2016 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org Conclusion The proposed e-agricultural application would aware people and encourage farmers and individuals (related to agriculture):  To synchronize agricultural production with presumed weather condition adopting alternative agriculture with water efficient techniques  To take the facility of proper crop insurance and market price. Thank You