6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Study on the Impact of Economic Growth on Meteorological Disaster Losses in C...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Economic Fluctuation and Its Effects on Tourism in Kish Island, Iranhamed rouzrokh
When economic recession accompany by international sanctions, market will experience the worst scenario in
three layers: political environment, fiscal, and management issues that Iran experienced from the second quarter
of 2012, due to international sanction. A field survey was applied to evaluate two target groups; shop owners and
tourists’ reactions against the economic fluctuation effects in Kish Island. Principal component analysis was
considered to analyze the data that obtained from field survey. The result shows that although the tourist chose
economizing strategies, however shop owners faced Paradoxical sphere, imbalance economy, none transparency,
high risk and uncertainty space. Shop owners try to adjust themselves through the variety of strategies based on
their capacity.
Aims: break down the global indicator 1.5.1 into local indicator for improving community resilince of poor people and reducing vulnerability and exposure to hazard. Also, better allocations of resource in order to reduce deaths, missing people and affected ones
Economic Loss Accounting in Japan, Tomoyuki Okada MLIT OECD Governance
Presentation made at the expert meeting organised jointly by the European Commission, the OECD and the project PLACARD, in Paris 26th -28th October 2016. For more information see www.oecd.org/gov/risk/joint-expert-meeting-on-disaster-loss-data.htm
Study on the Impact of Economic Growth on Meteorological Disaster Losses in C...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Economic Fluctuation and Its Effects on Tourism in Kish Island, Iranhamed rouzrokh
When economic recession accompany by international sanctions, market will experience the worst scenario in
three layers: political environment, fiscal, and management issues that Iran experienced from the second quarter
of 2012, due to international sanction. A field survey was applied to evaluate two target groups; shop owners and
tourists’ reactions against the economic fluctuation effects in Kish Island. Principal component analysis was
considered to analyze the data that obtained from field survey. The result shows that although the tourist chose
economizing strategies, however shop owners faced Paradoxical sphere, imbalance economy, none transparency,
high risk and uncertainty space. Shop owners try to adjust themselves through the variety of strategies based on
their capacity.
Aims: break down the global indicator 1.5.1 into local indicator for improving community resilince of poor people and reducing vulnerability and exposure to hazard. Also, better allocations of resource in order to reduce deaths, missing people and affected ones
Economic Loss Accounting in Japan, Tomoyuki Okada MLIT OECD Governance
Presentation made at the expert meeting organised jointly by the European Commission, the OECD and the project PLACARD, in Paris 26th -28th October 2016. For more information see www.oecd.org/gov/risk/joint-expert-meeting-on-disaster-loss-data.htm
Seema Hafeez Safeguarding delivery of public services during disaster 2016SEEMA HAFEEZ
Public institutions need to ensure the resilience and continuity of public services before, during and after a disaster both to assist affected people and communities as well as to progress towards sustainable development. This Report puts forward a sector specific focus on disaster risk management (DRM) for policy makers to be mindful of its importance for public service delivery.
ROLE OF TECHNOLOGY TO ESTABLISH COMMUNICATION IN NATURAL DISASTERSAM Publications,India
Disaster does not come with prior notice. The term ‘Disaster’ is widely used to refer to as any incident, manmade accident, or natural occurrence that could affect the functioning of the project. We do not assess the impact of upcoming disaster. There are two type of disaster Natural and Manmade disaster. Disasters have resentfully affected not only humans but also animals. Disaster causes mass casualty of construction and loss of economy. It impacts on the economy of the country. In the last decade, natural disasters claimed 79,000 lives each year and affected more than 200 million people, with casualties amounting to almost US $ 70 billion per year. Disaster also affected the climate, and hence adversely affecting local or regional climate. Manmade disaster causes through any big accident that occurs indoor or outdoor.
Despite that disasters are usually named after the causing phenomenon or event; a disaster by itself is not the phenomenon or event. Unless an earthquake strikes a populated area of weak physical constructions, it is not described as a disaster. Also, the definition of a ‘disaster’ depends to a great extent on who is defining. (1) On another hand, man-made disasters can be divided into four categories: armed conflict and civil strife, technological disasters, disasters that occur in human settlements and severe accidents. (2)
Here, with the fact that deaths following disasters are preventable, and also, most subjects affected by them do not die. A standardized and feasible incident management system along with Standard Operating Procedures are essential for linking site operations to health-facility based care during an occurring disaster. (3)Not to mention the important rule of multi-disciplinary efforts in the planning, organization, coordination and implementation of all measures to mitigate/prevent, prepare for, respond to and recover from disaster events.(4)
Environmental Hazard Effects: Critical Issue relating to Agricultural Product...theijes
The International Journal of Engineering & Science is aimed at providing a platform for researchers, engineers, scientists, or educators to publish their original research results, to exchange new ideas, to disseminate information in innovative designs, engineering experiences and technological skills. It is also the Journal's objective to promote engineering and technology education. All papers submitted to the Journal will be blind peer-reviewed. Only original articles will be published.
The papers for publication in The International Journal of Engineering& Science are selected through rigorous peer reviews to ensure originality, timeliness, relevance, and readability.
Promoting Climate Risk Reduction through Risk InsurancePrabhakar SVRK
Risk insurance can provide an effective means of catastrophic risk reduction and climate change adaptation in the developing countries. The ongoing discussions by the Conference of Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change are putting substantial efforts to promote climate change adaptation through international cooperation in the form of providing additional finances and technologies including proposals to promote a global or regional climate risk insurance facility. Case studies from within and outside the Asia-Pacific region provide valuable lessons which could be used for promoting risk insurance by the future climate regime (post-Kyoto Protocol beyond 2012). The analysis of these risk insurance proposals to the Convention and comparison of what they intend to achieve with that of the existing issues within the risk insurance sector in the developing Asia-Pacific indicate that these proposals address some of the major issues that are limiting the spread of risk insurance. However, no single proposal is comprehensive enough to address all the issues and all the proposals lack details in terms of how they can achieve what they intend to achieve. There is a need for the proposals to the Convention to give more thought on how they address the issues such as high base risks, lack of historical data required for designing risk insurance systems, limited awareness in the utility of insurance instruments, keeping the premium prices within affordable levels, encouraging the role of private sector, enabling greater access to reinsurers, and instituting enabling policies to create a proactive risk mitigation environment with an eye on sustainability. A convergence approach wherein the proposals incorporate lessons from on-the-ground experiences from regional, national and local initiatives could provide an effective model for promoting the risk insurance.
Assessing Agricultural Losses of 2014/2015 Flood Disaster in Kelantan, MalaysiaPremier Publishers
Floods account for a significant socio-economic loss against all other natural disasters occurring in most part of the world in recent decades, especially to small farming communities living along coastal and low-lying areas. Hence, flood loss assessment which has become an important segment in decision making processes towards flood risk management needs to be given adequate attention by the policy makers and/or researchers. This paper therefore, aimed at describing and examining the extent of agricultural losses of 2014/2015 flood disaster in Kelantan, Malaysia. Data were gathered from 344 smallholder farmers using multi-stage sampling technique and analyzed through the use of descriptive (using bar charts) and Paired sample t-test. Findings of the study revealed that, agricultural losses incurred by farmers were significant at 5% level of significance for almost all the reported crops, livestock and agricultural assets. The implication of this study would give an insight to the policy makers in facilitating cost-effective integrated flood management to avoid future losses. In addition, while promising a baseline data it would further give an insight to the academicians in employing advanced methods of analysis while undertaking post disaster damage, loss and needs assessment of flood and/or other natural disasters in the future.
Disaster management Organizations of India and International peterpdbPeter Prasanta Debbarma
Disaster Management Organization at International world level to Indian level. Tasks , types of various organization In India and International, United nations to NDMA
This Presentation is based on our Research in area of EQ Prediction studies carried out in Guru Nanak Dev University, Amritsar under Punjab Govt. sponsored Earthquake Research Center and DST Projects of Govt. of India. Our Radon/ Helium Precursory data set up bench marks for future investigations in India. Some of the Pictures at the end represent participation of my friend, Dr Thomas Streil from Germany, in Conferences in India & abroad.
Where and What Kind of Weather Insurance Indexes Could be Potentially Used fo...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Resilient Cities, SMEs, Communities and Infrastructure Four Pioneering Projec...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Seema Hafeez Safeguarding delivery of public services during disaster 2016SEEMA HAFEEZ
Public institutions need to ensure the resilience and continuity of public services before, during and after a disaster both to assist affected people and communities as well as to progress towards sustainable development. This Report puts forward a sector specific focus on disaster risk management (DRM) for policy makers to be mindful of its importance for public service delivery.
ROLE OF TECHNOLOGY TO ESTABLISH COMMUNICATION IN NATURAL DISASTERSAM Publications,India
Disaster does not come with prior notice. The term ‘Disaster’ is widely used to refer to as any incident, manmade accident, or natural occurrence that could affect the functioning of the project. We do not assess the impact of upcoming disaster. There are two type of disaster Natural and Manmade disaster. Disasters have resentfully affected not only humans but also animals. Disaster causes mass casualty of construction and loss of economy. It impacts on the economy of the country. In the last decade, natural disasters claimed 79,000 lives each year and affected more than 200 million people, with casualties amounting to almost US $ 70 billion per year. Disaster also affected the climate, and hence adversely affecting local or regional climate. Manmade disaster causes through any big accident that occurs indoor or outdoor.
Despite that disasters are usually named after the causing phenomenon or event; a disaster by itself is not the phenomenon or event. Unless an earthquake strikes a populated area of weak physical constructions, it is not described as a disaster. Also, the definition of a ‘disaster’ depends to a great extent on who is defining. (1) On another hand, man-made disasters can be divided into four categories: armed conflict and civil strife, technological disasters, disasters that occur in human settlements and severe accidents. (2)
Here, with the fact that deaths following disasters are preventable, and also, most subjects affected by them do not die. A standardized and feasible incident management system along with Standard Operating Procedures are essential for linking site operations to health-facility based care during an occurring disaster. (3)Not to mention the important rule of multi-disciplinary efforts in the planning, organization, coordination and implementation of all measures to mitigate/prevent, prepare for, respond to and recover from disaster events.(4)
Environmental Hazard Effects: Critical Issue relating to Agricultural Product...theijes
The International Journal of Engineering & Science is aimed at providing a platform for researchers, engineers, scientists, or educators to publish their original research results, to exchange new ideas, to disseminate information in innovative designs, engineering experiences and technological skills. It is also the Journal's objective to promote engineering and technology education. All papers submitted to the Journal will be blind peer-reviewed. Only original articles will be published.
The papers for publication in The International Journal of Engineering& Science are selected through rigorous peer reviews to ensure originality, timeliness, relevance, and readability.
Promoting Climate Risk Reduction through Risk InsurancePrabhakar SVRK
Risk insurance can provide an effective means of catastrophic risk reduction and climate change adaptation in the developing countries. The ongoing discussions by the Conference of Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change are putting substantial efforts to promote climate change adaptation through international cooperation in the form of providing additional finances and technologies including proposals to promote a global or regional climate risk insurance facility. Case studies from within and outside the Asia-Pacific region provide valuable lessons which could be used for promoting risk insurance by the future climate regime (post-Kyoto Protocol beyond 2012). The analysis of these risk insurance proposals to the Convention and comparison of what they intend to achieve with that of the existing issues within the risk insurance sector in the developing Asia-Pacific indicate that these proposals address some of the major issues that are limiting the spread of risk insurance. However, no single proposal is comprehensive enough to address all the issues and all the proposals lack details in terms of how they can achieve what they intend to achieve. There is a need for the proposals to the Convention to give more thought on how they address the issues such as high base risks, lack of historical data required for designing risk insurance systems, limited awareness in the utility of insurance instruments, keeping the premium prices within affordable levels, encouraging the role of private sector, enabling greater access to reinsurers, and instituting enabling policies to create a proactive risk mitigation environment with an eye on sustainability. A convergence approach wherein the proposals incorporate lessons from on-the-ground experiences from regional, national and local initiatives could provide an effective model for promoting the risk insurance.
Assessing Agricultural Losses of 2014/2015 Flood Disaster in Kelantan, MalaysiaPremier Publishers
Floods account for a significant socio-economic loss against all other natural disasters occurring in most part of the world in recent decades, especially to small farming communities living along coastal and low-lying areas. Hence, flood loss assessment which has become an important segment in decision making processes towards flood risk management needs to be given adequate attention by the policy makers and/or researchers. This paper therefore, aimed at describing and examining the extent of agricultural losses of 2014/2015 flood disaster in Kelantan, Malaysia. Data were gathered from 344 smallholder farmers using multi-stage sampling technique and analyzed through the use of descriptive (using bar charts) and Paired sample t-test. Findings of the study revealed that, agricultural losses incurred by farmers were significant at 5% level of significance for almost all the reported crops, livestock and agricultural assets. The implication of this study would give an insight to the policy makers in facilitating cost-effective integrated flood management to avoid future losses. In addition, while promising a baseline data it would further give an insight to the academicians in employing advanced methods of analysis while undertaking post disaster damage, loss and needs assessment of flood and/or other natural disasters in the future.
Disaster management Organizations of India and International peterpdbPeter Prasanta Debbarma
Disaster Management Organization at International world level to Indian level. Tasks , types of various organization In India and International, United nations to NDMA
This Presentation is based on our Research in area of EQ Prediction studies carried out in Guru Nanak Dev University, Amritsar under Punjab Govt. sponsored Earthquake Research Center and DST Projects of Govt. of India. Our Radon/ Helium Precursory data set up bench marks for future investigations in India. Some of the Pictures at the end represent participation of my friend, Dr Thomas Streil from Germany, in Conferences in India & abroad.
Where and What Kind of Weather Insurance Indexes Could be Potentially Used fo...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Resilient Cities, SMEs, Communities and Infrastructure Four Pioneering Projec...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Integrated Finanical Risk Transfer Mechanisms for Urban Resilience, Sandra SC...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Use of Catastrophe Modelling Data to Help Earthquake Risk Assessment for Deve...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Creating New Hybrid Products for Adapting the Insurance Mechanism to Drive Re...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Development & Application of Ichi-Nichi-Mae Project for Disaster Awareness If...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Introduzione sui concetti base della sismologia (terremoto, tipi di faglie, scale sismiche, distribuzione dei terremoti in Italia); il terremoto del'Italia centrale 2016: distribuzione spazio-temporale della sequenza, lo scuotimento, effetti di sito (amplificazione e liquefazione), le strutture tettoniche, cause tettoniche regionali;
An optimized hybrid system model solution for coastal area in bangladesheSAT Journals
Abstract As technology is advancing, the consumption of power is steadily rising. Sufficient and reliable source of electricity is a major prerequisite for a sustained and successful economic development and poverty reduction. The development of a country is dependent on the per person energy consumption rate, which is very low in Bangladesh. Bangladesh installed a capacity of 10416 MW electricity on June 2014 and three fourth of which is considered to be accessible. Near about 45% people has no access to electricity. Therefore, electricity shortage is an acute crisis in Bangladesh. As Saint Martin Island is far away from the main land, it is almost impossible and cost ineffective to supply electricity from the national grid. For connection of nearly 6000 peoples of Saint Martin Island to the main stream of development and to make this island more attractive to the tourists, it is very essential to provide electricity for them. Power generation by combining solar, wind and diesel, known as hybrid system can be the most efficient technique for the electrification of these types of Island. Based on this principle, in this paper a hybrid system is designed for electrification of Saint Martin’s Island. In the analysis, realistic data is used for load calculation and optimization analysis for most effective solution. Hybrid Optimization Model for Electric Renewable (HOMER) software is used to find out the final optimization and sensitive analysis of hybrid system. This system satisfies the load demand and reduces carbon emission which will help to generate green energy. Keywords: Electric load, renewable resources, hybrid system, cost of energy, HOMER software
Delivering distribution intelligence with MV/LV supervision and controlLandis+Gyr
Increasing power grid visualization, improving fault restoration and mitigating the impact of growing amounts of renewables on power quality are just some of the challenges utilities are looking to resolve when dealing with ageing infrastructure and costs associated with smart grids.
Landis+Gyr uses world-leading technology to deliver distribution intelligence that will help utilities reap the benefits of their smart grid investments.
About Landis+Gyr's MV/LV Monitoring & Control solutions
Landis+Gyr’s MV/LV Monitoring & Control solutions merge existing and new power infrastructure into the existing SCADA and new IT systems of the power distribution companies. Some key features and benefits include automation and software controls that can locate, isolate and restore faults to reduce Customer Minutes Lost, by lowering System Average Interruption Duration Index (SAIDI) and System Average Interruption Frequency Index (SAIFI).
Gridstream is Landis+Gyr’s end-to-end smart grid solution that combines metering, communications, network management, software, grid and consumer applications, and professional services in a single secure and integrated platform.
Gridstream delivers vast amounts of smart metering data quickly and efficiently, allowing to better understand and manage distribution networks. This enables a higher level of command and control for utilities addressing their immediate smart metering needs and unlocking the ultimate potential for comprehensive smart grid functionality tomorrow. Based on a modular, interoperable architecture, the solution is regularly updated to include new technological advancements.
Electricity theft detection and localisation in unknown radial low voltage ne...eSAT Journals
Abstract The distribution of electricity involves both technical and non-technical losses. One major cause of non-technical loss is the illegal abstraction of electricity which is also known as ‘Electricity Theft’. The illegal usage of electricity has many associated problems, both for utilities and consumers of electricity, implying that there is a pressing need for theft detection and localisation. Traditional methods of identifying illegal electricity consumers are time consuming and ineffective as measurements have to be performed at a large number of suspected locations. Smart metering in future electricity networks will lead to a more efficient automated system for the detection and localisation of electricity theft. This will enable immediate action to be taken by distribution network operators against the offenders and will help to improve the quality, reliability and security of electricity supply systems. The aim of this study was to analyse the performance of an electricity theft detection and localisation technique in an unknown grid. The method assumed the availability of measured voltages, currents, and powers from installed smart meters. The detection step was a power comparison process and the localisation step was a voltage comparison process. The investigation involved analysis in the presence of single and simultaneous multiple thefts. To better represent future networks with increasing penetration of renewable energy generators, distributed generation was added to the system and the capability of the detection and localisation technique was further explored. All the simulations were performed in Matlab/Simulink. It was found that the method performed satisfactorily, with a minimum stolen power of 450 W successfully detected and localised. Keywords: Electricity Theft, Smart Meters, Double Feeding, Low Voltage Radial Network, Matlab/Simulink
International Journal of Humanities and Social Science Invention (IJHSSI)inventionjournals
International Journal of Humanities and Social Science Invention (IJHSSI) is an international journal intended for professionals and researchers in all fields of Humanities and Social Science. IJHSSI publishes research articles and reviews within the whole field Humanities and Social Science, new teaching methods, assessment, validation and the impact of new technologies and it will continue to provide information on the latest trends and developments in this ever-expanding subject. The publications of papers are selected through double peer reviewed to ensure originality, relevance, and readability. The articles published in our journal can be accessed online.
Assignment Details
Open Date
Aug 6, 2018 1:00 AM
Graded?
Yes
Points Possible
100.0
Resubmissions Allowed?
No
Attachments checked for originality?
Yes
Top of Form
Assignment Instructions
Assignment 1:
Choose a kind of childhood trauma and address;
1. How common is it for children to experience this kind of trauma?
2. Are there specific effects that result from this kind of childhood trauma?
3. What kinds of behaviors do children who have undergone this kind of trauma demonstrate?
4. Many trauma interventions are developed from heartfelt concern for children and their families, but have no scientific basis. Give at least one example of an intervention that is well-meant, but not based in science, and one that has a scientific underpinning.
· Natural disasters
· Terrorism
· Illness
· Abuse
· Divorce
· Economic stress
· Military family stress, PTSD
The paper will be submitted in MS word or RTF format only. None of the questions are to be re-copied into your paper.
You will be graded on these factors:
Possible grade
Student grade
The paper addresses the issues specified by the assignment
20
The author shows insight and sophistication in thinking and writing
30
Three citations were used; websites are acceptable
20
Paper was well organized and easy to follow. Paper was at least 1000 words, not including cover page or references. Running head, cover page, abstract, paper body, in-text citations and Reference page, and overall formatting were in the American Psychological Association format.
20
Few to no spelling, grammar, punctuation or other writing structure errors
10
TOTAL
100
Submission
Bottom of Form
READING
Introduction
Topics to be covered include:
Understanding natural disasters
Dimensions of impact
Stages of disaster
Responding to disaster
Humanitarian response
Some forms of childhood trauma can be avoided, but others are unavoidable, including the trauma produced by disasters, including both technological and natural disasters. These disasters uproot lives, cause deaths and injuries, and lead to long-term challenges with infrastructure. For families with children, disaster produces loss, financial instability, and significant parental stress.
Technological and Natural Disasters
You can read more about the Deep Water oil spill at:
https://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/GPO-OILCOMMISSION/pdf/GPO-OILCOMMISSION.pdf
Children are often impacted by events that parents and families cannot control, like technological and natural disasters. These events disrupt daily life in significant ways, leaving children to manage the loss of homes, possessions, or even parents and family members, depending upon the severity of the disaster. Not all disasters can be predicted, and families may have a limited ability to respond, even when the disaster is expected. The impact of natural disasters is most substantial on fami ...
The human toll of the armed conflict in eastern Ukraine is critical, with 4.4 million people affected by the crisis, of whom 3.4 million require humanitarian assistance and protection. The shelling of urban areas and civilian infrastructure means that 60 per cent of the people living along the 457-kilometre ‘contact line’ are affected by shelling regularly, and almost 40 per cent are affected every day. There is just under a million individual crossings of the ‘contact line’ each month, which is rapidly becoming one of the most mine contaminated stretches of land in the world. Food insecurity has doubled since 2016, with 1.2 million people food insecure, and there are escalating cases of multi-drug resistant TB, HIV and even polio. HIV prevalence among pregnant women in conflict-affected oblasts is significantly higher than the national average. These impacts are aggravated by Ukraine’s extremely harsh winter, severe restrictions on humanitarian access and limited livelihood opportunities for those affected by the crisis. As hopes of a political solution have waned, so have people’s savings and their ability to cope. Four years into the crisis, millions of people, including 1.6 million internally displaced persons (IDPs), half of whom are the elderly, are being forced to make impossible choices between food, medicine, shelter, heating or their children’s education. The unique demographics of the crisis in Ukraine is that the elderly make up almost 30 per cent of people in need. Those who are most vulnerable are increasingly resorting to risky means to cope, including survival sex, trafficking and alcoholism. Today, the dire humanitarian crisis in eastern Ukraine is protracted and complex, whilst the response is severely underfunded and largely forgotten by the international community.
Challenges and Perspective of Disaster ManagementRutuja Chudnaik
Challenges and Perspective of Disaster Management,Disaster- An Introduction,The cost and consequences of disasters, Development and natural disasters, Disaster Risk Reduction, Disaster Management Cycle, Disaster management in India, Natural Disaster – Droughts, Drought: causes and effects, Impact of drought: Indian scenario, Drought disaster challenges and mitigation in India, Drought assessment: tools and techniques, Drought management and challenges, Drought management framework in India, Conclusion.
Making Cities Safe and Resilient to disaster JIT KUMAR GUPTA
In the face of ongoing scenario of; globalization, liberalization of economies; rapid population growth; ever expanding urban footprints; rapid industrialization; global warming, rising temperature, climate change; depleting ozone layers and increasing carbon footprints, human settlements are fast becoming vulnerable and victim to natural and manmade disasters. Cities are now facing increasing threat posed by cyclones, storms, heavy precipitation, earthquakes, landslides, floods, and avalanches., putting them in perpetual danger of damage and destruction. The Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015-2030, evolved by UNO, defined targets to promote safety, including; understanding disaster risk; strengthening disaster risk governance to manage disaster ; investing in disaster reduction for resilience and enhancing disaster preparedness for effective response, and to "Build Back Better" in recovery, rehabilitation and reconstruction. For making cities safe against natural and manmade risks, disasters management and mitigation should be made integral part of urban planning and development process besides carrying out analysis of the land-use planning; zoning, environment , ecology, investment; risk and vulnerability mapping; land suitability analysis defining worst-case scenarios for emergency preparedness; promoting planned development; achieving sustainability and safety; making cities spongy and resilient; empowering and involving communities , should remain the underlying and governing principles to make cities safe. Working holistically with and supporting nature; preserving, protecting and promoting flora, fauna and bio-diversity; making optimum use of Pachbhutas (Prithvi, Agni, Vayu, Jal, Akaash), and minimizing conflict between development and nature, will remain most critical for planning, designing and construction of safe and secure built environment. Nature based solutions offer the best options for promoting sustainability and safety to human settlements against natural and manmade disasters.
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Disaster risk reduction and nursing - human science research the view of surv...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Global alliance of disaster research institutes (GADRI) discussion session, A...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Towards a safe, secure and sustainable energy supply the role of resilience i...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Making Hard Choices An Analysis of Settlement Choices and Willingness to Retu...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
The Relocation Challenges in Coastal Urban Centers Options and Limitations, A...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Involving the Mining Sector in Achieving Land Degradation Neutrality, Simone ...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Disaster Risk Reduction and Nursing - Human Science research the view of surv...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Training and awareness raising in Critical Infrastructure Protection & Resili...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
IDRC Davos 2016 - Workshop Awareness Raising, Education and Training - Capaci...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Dynamic factors influencing the post-disaster resettlement success Lessons fr...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Consequences of the Armed Conflict as a Stressor of Climate Change in Colombi...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Disaster Risk Perception in Cameroon and its Implications for the Rehabilitat...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Systematic Knowledge Sharing of Natural Hazard Damages in Public-private Part...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Exploring the Effectiveness of Humanitarian NGO-Private Sector Collaborations...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Can UK Water Service Providers Manage Risk and Resilience as Part of a Multi-...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
A Holistic Approach Towards International Disaster Resilient Architecture by ...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
A Holistic Approach Towards International Disaster Resilient Architecture by ...
Study on Probability Distribution of Disaster Losses, Demographics and Social Security A Case Study of Western China, Hong MI
1. Study on Probability Distribution
of Disaster Losses,
Demographics and Social
Security: A Case Study of
western China
HONG MI, XINHAO LIN, GUOLONG WANG
SCHOOL OF PUBLIC AFFAIRS/ INSTITUTE FOR POPULATION DEVELOPMENT AND
STUDIES
ZHEJIANG UNIVERSITY, CHINA
AUG 31ST, DAVOS
4. Due to both meteorological
disasters and geological
disasters: the affected crop
area had amounted to 24.891
million hectares, of which
over 3 million hectares crop
failed, while the affected
population was nearly 244
million, including 1818 deaths
and missing, causing a direct
economic loss of 337.4 billion.
* From Stata Statistical Yearbook 2015, by the year 2014
Mainland China
experienced 20
earthquakes in 2014,
leading to 623
deaths, 3043 injured
and 33.3 billion of
direct economic loss.
5. Outline
Ⅰ Literature review
Ⅱ Introduction of data
• probability of each disaster types occurred
• demographic characteristics of disaster victims
Ⅲ Regression
Ⅳ Discussion
6. Ⅰ Literature review
Human being are disaster-causing factor, their behavior will
induce the occurrence of disasters. Human being are also the
bearer of disasters, they have to withstand direct losses and
consequences disasters caused.
Chinese literatures about disaster and human beings are mainly
focus on personal injury(Shi Peijun,1996; Liu Huan, 2012), not
economic loss. emphasis the brief characteristics of a whole
disaster area(Shen Maoying, 2008).
7. Ⅰ Literature review
Vulnerable population is more easily affected by disasters and
more likely suffering from death risks (Flanagan BE, 2011)
All individuals had some degree of vulnerability. Women had
higher vulnerability than men, and vulnerability increased with
age.(Andrew M K, 2008; Jencik A, 2010; Sharmin Z, Islam M S,
2013)
Farming households have higher vulnerability and families’ annual
income affect their vulnerability (Muhammadlawal A, Salau S A,
2013 )
Demographic vulnerability calls for different patterns of targeted
emergency management. (Chakraborty, 2005; Akerkar S, 2011;
Schwarz S, 2013)
8. Ⅱ Introduction of data
‘Disaster Risk Reduction and Pension’ Survey, 2013
Sponsored by Ford Foundation
Baoji City, Shaanxi Province
►2008.5.12
Wenchuan (8.0)
9. Respondents: 40+. Mainly live in rural-urban
continuum.
Questionnaire includes: basic personal information,
family member information, household income and
expenditure, health condition, demand for old-age
(money), living choice, life satisfaction, life expectancy
(self-reported), disaster experience & financial aid.
Total respondents: 792
10. Ⅱ Introduction of data
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
Earthquake Windstorm Fire Flood Drought
Probability of each kind of disaster
11. Ⅱ disaster types x demographic characteristics
*Ordinate shows the ratio of people affected(suffering economic loss) to
the whole
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
Earthquake Windstorm Fire Flood Drought
Disaster x Age
40-49
50-59
60-69
70-79
80+
12. Ⅱ disaster types x demographic characteristics
*Ordinate shows the ratio of people affected to the whole
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
Earthquake Windstorm Fire Flood Drought
Disaster x Gender
Male
Female
13. Ⅱ disaster types x demographic characteristics
*Ordinate shows the ratio of people affected to the whole
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
Earthquake Windstorm Fire Flood Drought
Disaster x Hukou
Non-agricultural household Agricultural household
14. Ⅱ disaster types x demographic characteristics
*Ordinate shows the ratio of people affected to the whole
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
Earthquake Windstorm Fire Flood Drought
Disaster x Education
illiteracy
primary school
junior high school
senior high school
college
15. Ⅱ disaster types x demographic characteristics
*Ordinate shows the ratio of people affected to the whole
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
Earthquake Windstorm Fire Flood Drought
Disaster x Marital status
Single/Widowed/
Divorced
Married/Remarrie
d
16. Ⅱ disaster types x demographic characteristics
*Ordinate shows the ratio of people affected to the whole
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
Earthquake Windstorm Fire Flood Drought
Disaster x Children number
0
1
2
3
4
5+
18. Independent
variables
OR z
Independent
variables
OR z
Age 1.025* 1.83
Social
endowment
insurance
2.523* 1.35
Gender 0.823 -0.63 Living status 0.603* -1.75
Hukou 1.371 0.62 Ln (income) 1.238*** 3.16
Marital
status
0.235 -1.26
Self-reported
life
expectancy
attitude
0.926*** -5.02
Education
years
1.095* 1.92 Cons 0.003** -2.45
Disable 0.597 -1.16 Pseudo R2 0.1038
Prob>chi2 0.000 Obs 398
Ⅲ Regression
19. Older people are more likely to report loss when an
earthquake occurs, showing vulnerability of the
elderly.
Highly-educated people with high annual income are
more likely to report loss. Partly because they have
more assets and more to lose.
People living at home with their own families are less
likely to report loss than those who live in nursing
house, showing an important role of family support.
Ⅳ Discussion
20. The regression shows a positive correlation between
self-reported loss and social insurance participation.
Because the new rural pension system has not
implemented until 2009. There is a possibility that
people’s loss in 2008 earthquake might led to their
enthusiasm of insurance participation.
Those people who report loss, are more likely to be
positive when reporting their life. The elder-adult Chinese
saying ‘fortune is given to those who survive from big
disasters’ (大难不死必有后福) might explains this.
Ⅳ Discussion
21. V Conclusion and Recommendations
Suffering from disaster loss will truly increase people’s
enthusiasm of insurance participation. Commercial or
government catastrophe insurance is needed.
Suffering from disaster loss will affect people’s living
attitude in the long run , as a rejoicing for their survival.
It is of great necessity for the government to take
comprehensive demographic vulnerability into
consideration of natural disaster assistance to ensure
policy fairness.
Carry out disaster education and reduction to diminish
comprehensive social vulnerability.
Good afternoon, professors and fellow colleges, I’m very honored to be here to present my latest work, based on our team’s investigation in Shaanxi, as doc jianing just mentioned. The topic of my presentation today is
Common natural in China includes earthquake, flood, typhoon, droughts and so on.
The Data Statistical Yearbook 2015 of China showed that, due to both meteorological disasters and geological disasters, the affected crop area had amounted to 24.891 million hectares, of which over 3 million hectares crop failed, while the affected population was nearly 244 million, including 1818 deaths and missing, causing a direct economic loss of 337.4 billion. What’s more, mainland China experienced 20 earthquakes in 2014, leading to 623 deaths, 3043 injured and 33.3 billion of direct economic loss.
And my presentation will include those following parts, first a brief literature review, then follows an introduction of the data we used, and the regression part.
As we know, human being are disaster-causing factor, their behavior will induce the occurrence of disasters. Like excessive logging leads to soil erosion and landslides, and sometimes drought. Human being are also the bearer of disasters, they have to withstand direct losses and consequences which disasters cause.
Chinese literatures about disaster and human beings are more focused on personal injury, not on economic loss, emphasis the brief characteristics of a whole disaster area.
Vulnerable population is more easily affected by disasters and more likely suffering from death risks.
Gender, age, household type and income are all variables that effect on population vulnerability.
Therefore, population vulnerability calls for different patterns of targeted emergency management.
The data we use for this research is from 2013 ‘Disaster Reduction and Pension’ Survey, which take place in Baoji, Shaanxi, a midwest province in China.
Baoji is 460km away from Wenchuan and in the same earthquake zone. The 2008 Wenchuan earthquake, whose magnitude reached 8, has affected this region.
This survey mainly facing to those who aged 40 or more, likely to be a head of one’s household; The selected sample covers all seven areas of Baoji City. Questionnaire includes: basic personal information, family member information, household income and expenditure, health condition, demand for old-age (money), living choice, life satisfaction, self-reported life expectancy, disaster experience & financial aid.
collected 792 samples in total
It shows, earthquake is the most common disaster in this area, probability of earthquake occurrence is more than 12%, partly due to the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake, whose magnitude reaches 8. Then follows windstorm, flood and drought, all between 2 to 4 percentage point. Fire is the most unusual disaster in Baoji.
As shown, apart from fire, disaster victims are mostly 40-60 year-old middle-ages. Probability of disaster occurrence is decreasing with an increasing age. But 80 years old or older population shows significant growth facing earthquakes and floods.
Fire is relatively unique, larger hazard existing in human behaviors. The affected population is mainly 40-49 and 70-79 years old.
In most disasters, the probability affected of men are significantly higher than women, but the probability of women affected are slightly higher than men suffer from fire. Probably because, in the countryside, fires generally occur in home, while women are more likely doing housework at home in the daytime.
Agricultural households shows a higher percentage in all most every disaster type.
May be because, in baoji city, most of the agricultural households are really engaged in agricultural work, which is closely related to weather and geological conditions, so they’re more sensitive to these disasters.
Unlike what we normally think, the probability doesn’t decrease with a higher level of education. It shows an inverted u-shaped curve in each disaster type except fire. But it is significant that college graduates suffers less disaster.
People with spouses show a slightly higher probability of disaster in each disaster type except fire.
From the overall trend, have more children, means getting more support and help from their kids, lowers the probability of suffering from disasters like earthquake, flood and drought. But there is significant growth when people have 5 or more than 5 kids.
According to the data of 2013 survey, we run a logistic regression between the self-reported loss and demographic characteristics. Because of the very different nature and causal factors of each disaster, we only select those who reported themselves went through an earthquake as research samples, in this survey, it refers to the 2008 Wenchuan Earthquake and 2010 Yushu Earthquake. the whole city went through those two earthquake, but some people reported economic loss, someone not.
We select self-reported loss as dependent variable. When people reported economic loss or themselves injured, we consider it as an self-reported loss, because injury also lead to medical expenditure or absences from work.
Independent variables are those shows ones’ demographic characteristic, economic status, living attitude and so on.
The regression result shows, age, education years, annual income, pension situation, and self-reported life expectancy is significantly relevant to the loss.
Because most of the respondents’ social endowment insurance is the new rural social pension insurance, which has not implemented until 2009. There is a possibility that people’s loss in 2008 wenchuan earthquake might led to their enthusiasm of insurance participation.
Those people who report loss, are more likely to be positive when reporting their life. The old Chinese saying ‘fortune is given to those who survive from big disasters’ might explains this result.
Suffering from disaster loss will truly increase people’s enthusiasm of insurance participation. Commercial or government catastrophe insurance is needed.
Suffering from disaster loss will affect people’s living attitude in the long run, as a relief of their survival.
It is of great necessity for the government to take comprehensive demographic vulnerability into consideration of natural disaster assistance to ensure policy fairness.
Carry out disaster education and reduction to diminish comprehensive social vulnerability
There’re still many shortcomings in this research. The sample size in this regression is only 398, which is relatively small. But considering about the total respondents size of 792, the conclusion is acceptable.
Next step, we may try Heckman two-steps model, to study the relationship between the exact amount of economic loss and demographic characteristics.