柏瑞週報 20191213
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The document appears to be a collection of financial market data and analysis from December 12, 2019. It includes statistics on bond yields, stock market indexes, commodities prices, and economic indicators. Discussion of Brexit, US-China trade negotiations, and comments from ECB President Lagarde are also mentioned. Various charts and graphs display trends in yields, risk premiums, price-to-earnings ratios, and other metrics across global markets over recent years.
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This document appears to be a collection of market performance data and statistics from Bloomberg spanning multiple dates in December 2019. It includes tables showing changes in various stock market indexes, economic indicators, bond yields and commodity prices. It also graphs historical trends in interest rates, credit spreads, price-earnings ratios and other metrics. The data is quite detailed but presented without much additional context or analysis.
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3. Details on recent central bank decisions and comments from economic leaders.
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This document appears to be a collection of market performance data and statistics from Bloomberg spanning multiple dates in December 2019. It includes tables showing changes in various stock market indexes, economic indicators, bond yields and commodity prices. It also graphs historical trends in interest rates, credit spreads, price-earnings ratios and other metrics. The data is quite detailed but presented without much additional context or analysis.
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- Commodity prices with crude oil up 3.65% and metals mixed
- Economic indicators such as Markit PMIs, ISM data, and GDP forecasts
- Upcoming events and data releases through early February 2019 including FOMC, GDP, jobs reports, and other indicators
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柏瑞週報 20191213
- 3. PAGE 2 • 10 1.8922% Lagarde Draghi 10 -0.269% • 0.75% 0.87% 436.2 • 1.08% 9% 0.24% 0.07% 1.39% 3.09% 2.83% Bloomberg 2019/12/12 0.29 0.97 0.58 -0.39 0.28 0.62 0.94 0.70 0.78 1.17 0.90 1.01 1.16 1.18 1.54 -0.54 -0.27 -0.22 -0.14 -0.12 0.07 0.13 0.16 0.24 0.30 0.36 0.75 0.87 1.08 1.39 - - % %
- 4. PAGE 3 • 12 15 S&P 500 1.64% • Lagarde 600 1.22% DAX 1.28% • 225 0.54% 300 0.30% • RTS 4.65% • 0.55% Bloomberg 2019/12/12 0.59 -0.32 -0.40 0.67 0.17 -0.47 5.10 1.70 2.48 2.74 1.24 1.41 -0.71 1.34 4.75 3.28 -0.49 0.30 0.54 0.55 1.22 1.28 1.43 1.51 1.64 2.09 2.59 2.67 2.84 3.40 3.83 4.65 SENSEX 300 Nikkei 225 BAML 600 DAX BOVESPA MSCI S&P 500 MSCI MSCI H MSCI MSCI RTS % %
- 5. PAGE 4 • OPEC • 12 6 82 ( ) 292 Bloomberg 2019/12/12 0.92 0.00 2.56 3.45 4.19 -8.45 1.73 -2.04 -0.17 3.75 4.89 -9.96 -0.42 0.27 1.24 1.28 1.28 1.30 1.58 1.58 1.60 4.12 4.55 6.21 LME CRB LME LME LME % %
- 6. PAGE 5 • 17 10 8 5 8 • 91 68 12 3 Bank of America Merrill Lynch EPFR 2019/12/11 Weekly FICC flows as % AUM
- 8. PAGE 7 Bloomberg 2019/12/12 ( 1) S&P 500 ( 2) • 15 1,600 2020 500 2017 ( 1) • 1.5%~1.75%( 2) 3 • Trump Trump FBI
- 9. PAGE 8 ( 1) ( 2) ( ) Bloomberg 2019/12/12 • ( 1) • Apollo Global Management Cox Media • 11 26.6 ( 2) 18 1 11 3.5% 3.1% • (Deutsche bank) Christian Sewing 2020 1 11.84 11.59
- 10. PAGE 9 ( 1) ( 2) Bloomberg 2019/12/12 • Lagarde 1.1% Lagarde 1 • Boris Johnson 1987 3 Johnson 1 31 • 12 ZEW -2.1 10.7( 2) • GDP GDP 0.2% 1.8%
- 11. PAGE 10 ( 1) ( 2) Bloomberg 2019/12/12 • 11 1.75 1.39 ( 1) • 4 11 (CPI) 8 4.5% 19.1% 1.4% 5 • 5% 4.5% ( 2) • 14% 12% 4
- 13. PAGE 12 Bloomberg 2019/12/13 / / 12/16 12 Markit PMI( ) 52.5 52.6 12/16 12 Markit PMI( ) 47.2 46.9 12/16 12 Markit PMI( ) 44.8 44.1 12/16 11 ( ) 5.1% 4.7% 12/16 11 ( ) 7.6% 7.2% 12/16 12 PMI( ) - 48.9 12/17 11 ( ) 0.83% -0.80% 12/18 11 CPI( ) 0.96% 0.70% 12/18 12 IFO 95.7 95.0 12/19 0.75% 0.75% 12/19 -0.100% -0.100% 12/20 3 GDP( ) 2.1% 2.1% 12/20 12 ( ) 99.19 99.20 12/20 11 0.33% 0.00% 12/20 11 0.37% 0.30% 12/20 11 CPI( ) 0.5% 0.2% 12/20 7.25% 7.50%
- 14. PAGE 13 Bloomberg ICE * ICE (%) (bp) (%) (bp)* / / 本益比 風險 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 : 2.93 (12/12) 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 : 99.0 (12/12) 5 : 127.4 5.0 5.2 5.4 5.6 5.8 6.0 6.2 6.4 6.6 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 : 5.10 (12/12) 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 : 324.80 (12/12) 5 : 356.2
- 15. PAGE 14 Bloomberg (%) (bp) (%) (bp) / / 本益比 風險 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 : 5.88 (12/12) 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 : 436.2 (12/12) 5 : 461.2 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 : 5.32 (12/12) 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 : 339.0 (12/12) 5 : 439.1
- 16. PAGE 15 Bloomberg J.P. Morgan - (%) (bp) (%) (bp) / / 本益比 風險 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 : 3.61 (12/12) 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 : 328.0 (12/12) 5 : 377.2 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 : 7.43 (12/12) 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 : 568.9 (12/12) 5 : 516.6
- 17. PAGE 16 Bloomberg J.P. Morgan (EMBIG) J.P. Morgan (CEMBI) (%) (bp) (%) (bp) / / 本益比 風險 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 : 5.01 (12/12) 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 : 301.33 (12/12) 5 : 348.6 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 : 5.03 (12/12) 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 : 317.72 (12/12) 5 : 337.8
- 18. PAGE 17 Bloomberg J.P. Morgan (JACI) (%) (bp) (%) (bp) / / 本益比 風險 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 : 8.23 (12/12) 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 : 638.0 (12/12) 5 : 564.8 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 : 4.40 (12/12) 0 100 200 300 400 500 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 : 265.20 (12/12) 5 : 257.7
- 19. PAGE 18 Bloomberg 12 MSCI 500 600 225 / / 本益比 風險 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 : 17.2 (12/12) 5 : 16.2 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 : 18.4 (12/12) 5 : 17.1 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 : 15.1 (12/12) 5 : 14.9 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 : 17.9 (12/12) 5 : 17.0
- 20. PAGE 19 Bloomberg 12 MSCI 300 SENSEX BOVESPA / / 本益比 風險 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 : 13.3 (12/12) 5 : 12.1 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 : 12.0 (12/12) 5 : 12.7 5 10 15 20 25 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 : 20.1 (12/12) 5 : 18.3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 : 12.5 (12/12) 5 : 12.2
- 21. PAGE 20 Bloomberg VIX MOVE CDX / / 本益比 風險 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 : 13.94 (12/12) 5 : 15.17 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 : 61.6 (12/12) 5 : 65.6 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 : 61.1 (12/12) 5 : 67.3 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 2012 : 298.3 (12/12) 5 : 367.6
- 22. PAGE 21 -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% '14/12/12 '15/12/12 '16/12/12 '17/12/12 '18/12/12 '19/12/12 -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% '14/12/12 '15/12/12 '16/12/12 '17/12/12 '18/12/12 '19/12/12 -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% '14/12/12 '15/12/12 '16/12/12 '17/12/12 '18/12/12 '19/12/12 -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% '14/12/12 '15/12/12 '16/12/12 '17/12/12 '18/12/12 '19/12/12 5 1 37.0% 0.5% 28.8% 0.2% 5 1 32.5% 0.6% 31.1% 0.1% 5 1 34.8% 0.6% 29.9% 0.1% 5 1 27.0% 1.1% 26.2% 0.1% Bloomberg * 50% +50% 5 ( ) 5 ( ) * 5 ( ) 5 ( )
- 23. PAGE 22 TR108252 PineBridge Investments IP Holding Company Limited • • • ( ) • 108 001 104 144 10 (02)2516-7883 407 386 12 8 (04)2217-8168 802 6 17 1(A5 ) (07)335-5898