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The Future ofSchooling:
AViewfromtheMiddle
Mark S. Steed, MA (Cambridge), MA (Nottingham)
Director, JESS, Dubai
@JESSDubai
@JESS_Director
@IndependentHead
ISC Digital by Design/Default Conference Thursday 1st December, 2016 10:15
The Future Problem:
Bridging the Learning-Schooling Divide
The Future Solution?
Lessons from the Middle East
The Future of Schooling
Looking into the Crystal Ball
The Future Problem
forSchooling:
Bridging the Learning
Schooling Divide
The Future:
AGlobal
Perspective
Global
Shortage of
Teachers
andSchool
Leaders
Source: Richard F. Elmore, Harvard University,
Supporting Strong Instructional Practice Feb 2015
The Future
Problem:
Bridging the
Learning
Schooling
Divide
Source: UNESCO Institute of Statistics, 2013
The Future
Problem:
Bridging the
Learning
Schooling
Divide
Global Shortage of
Teachers and School Leaders
Source: UNESCO Institute of Statistics, 2013
The Future
Problem:
Bridging the
Learning
Schooling
Divide
2016 data Source: NASUWT
Salaries EnglandWales Inner London
U3 £38,350 £46.824
U3 +TLR1 £51,148 £59,722
Dubai
AED 367,000 = £80,879
Tax Free
Global Shortage of
Teachers and School Leaders
The FutureSolution?
Innovation holds the key
The Future
Solution
Innovation
Diamandis and Kotler Abundance Free Press 2012
www.abundancethebook.com
The Future
Solution?
Innovation
‘The Abundance Pyramid’
NewTechnologies are likely to provide
solutions
The Future
Solution?
Innovation
Sustaining Innovations
Preserve and Consolidate
existing Structures, Processes and Cultural Norms
Efficiency Innovations
Increase the efficiency of
existing Structures, Processes and Cultural Norms
Clayton M. Christensen
Harvard University,
‘What is Disruptive Innovation?’
HBR December 2015
Disruptive Innovations
Transform the entire form of organization and
management of Established Institutions
The Future
Solution?
Innovation
Clayton M. Christensen
Harvard University Business School,
‘What is Disruptive Innovation?’
HBR December 2015
Disruptive Innovations
Transform the entire form of organization and
management of Established Institutions
Originate in Low-End and New-Market
footholds
The FutureSolution?
Lessons from the Middle East
The Future
Solution?
Lessons from
the Middle
East
The Not-For-Profit Sector
is not equipped to meet
world demand for
education.
The Future
Solution?
Lessons
from the
MiddleEast
95% of Private Schools in
Dubai are For-Profit
The Future
Solution?
Lessons
from the
MiddleEast
The Future
Solution?
Lessons
from the
MiddleEast
Commercial Drivers
1. ROI
2. Economies of Scale
3. Scalability
4. Differentiated Markets
5. Keep costs down –
especially staffing.
The Future
Solution?
Lessons
from the
MiddleEast
1. Education offered at different
price points:
Premium
Mid-Range
Budget
Three Significant Characteristics of
Not-for-Profit Education
The Future
Solution?
Lessons
from the
MiddleEast
1. Education offered at different
price points:
Premium
Mid-Range
Budget
Three Significant Characteristics of
Not-for-Profit Education
Variables
• School and Class Size
• Facilities
• Qualifications ofTeachers
• Amount of ContactTime
The Future
Solution?
Lessons
from the
MiddleEast
2. Investment in Central Systems
Three Significant Characteristics of
Not-for-Profit Education
The Future
Solution?
Lessons
from the
MiddleEast
2. Investment in Central Systems
Three Significant Characteristics of
Not-for-Profit Education
The Future
Solution?
Lessons
from the
MiddleEast
‘All our IB courses are delivered through a Blended
Learning approach. Students on blended courses
have the benefit of learning in virtual
environments as well as having an AcademicTutor
to guide and support them on a daily basis.
Our blended courses are taught by experienced IB
teachers and examiners through a mixture of
synchronous (live) and asynchronous sessions
(meaning students do not need to be in the digital
class at a particular time) with all materials and
resources available on the learning platform.
Students interact with classmates in real time and
have questions answered straight away by their
digital teacher.This is then reinforced by their
AcademicTutor.’
GEMSWellington SiliconOasis, Dubai,Website
The Future
Solution?
Lessons
from the
MiddleEast
3. Investment in a few
High Quality Personnel
Three Significant Characteristics of
Not-for-Profit Education
The Future of
Schooling:
Looking into the Crystal Ball
The Future
ofSchooling
First
Prophecy
Education
For-Profit
will become
the norm around
the world
The Future
Solution?
Lessons
from the
MiddleEast
The Not-For-Profit Sector
is not equipped to meet
world demand for
education.
The For-Profit Sector
will fill the void
The Future
ofSchooling
Lessons
from the
MiddleEast
The Future of
Secondary
Schooling
Second
Prophecy
Being taught by
a specialist
teacher in a
classroom will be
a luxury
The Future of
Secondary
Schooling
Lessons from
the Middle
East
The Future Role ofTechnology
in Schooling
1. Technology won’t replace
teachers everywhere – but it
will in many places.
2. Technology will continue to
augment the teaching that
goes on in schools.
The Future of
Secondary
Schooling
Lessons from
the Middle
East
Premium Education
will be delivered by specialist teachers in
classrooms with a range of resources.
Budget Education
will be delivered totally through online
courses on learning platforms
Mid-Range Education
will be delivered by “super-teachers” via
Virtual-Reality Conferencing
The Future of
Secondary
Schooling
Lessons from
the Middle
East
Budget Education
will be delivered totally through online
courses on learning platforms
Some education is better than no education
The Future of
Secondary
Schooling
Lessons from
the Middle
East
Classroom of the Future
Premium Education
will be delivered by specialist teachers in
augmented classrooms.
The Future of
Secondary
Schooling
Lessons from
the Middle
East
Virtual Reality is cheap and scalable
Search for 360° Videos on YouTube
The Future of
Secondary
Schooling
Lessons from
the Middle
East
Virtual Reality can travel through space and
time
Virtual Reality WWITrench
http://www.3dhistoryvirtualtour.com/
The Future of
Secondary
Schooling
Lessons from
the Middle
East
Virtual Reality can travel through space and
time
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hvxjFKZemwI
The Future of
Secondary
Schooling
Lessons from
the Middle
East
Virtual Reality can travel through space and
time
Virtual Reality Colosseum
http://www.3dhistoryvirtualtour.com/
The Future of
Secondary
Schooling
Third
Prophecy
Virtual Reality
Teaching will be
the disruptor of
education
The Future of
Secondary
Schooling
Lessons from
the Middle
East
VirtualTeaching is already in some Classrooms
Mid-Range Education
will be delivered by “super-teachers” via
Virtual-Reality Conferencing
The Future of
Secondary
Schooling
Lessons from
the Middle
East
Virtual RealityTeaching will be commonplace
Mid-Range Education
will be delivered by “super-teachers” via
Virtual-Reality Conferencing
The Future of
Secondary
Schooling
Lessons from
the Middle
East
Consider this if you don’t believe me:
“After Games, we’re going to make
Oculus a platform for many other
experiences. Imagine enjoying a
courtside seat at a game, studying in a
classroom of students and teachers all
over the world, or consulting a doctor
face-to-face – just by putting on your
goggles at home.”
The Future of
Secondary
Schooling
Lessons from
the Middle
East
The large international For-Profit
Educational Chains will move into this
space first
The Future of
Secondary
Schooling
Fourth
Prophecy
There will be
‘superstar teachers’
commanding very
high salaries
The Future of
Secondary
Schooling
Lessons from
the Middle
East
GreatVirtual Reality
teachers will be able to
reach millions of
students.
They will inevitably be
very well paid.
It is likely that they will
be famous and become
celebrities.
The Future of
Primary
Schooling
Lessons from
around the
world
Young children will always need human
interaction to shape their learning.
Primary Schooling will need to teach the
skills to enable young people to access
non-classroom based forms of education
Primary Schooling
Will always need teachers in the
classroom
The Future
of Primary
Schooling
Fifth
Prophecy
Primary Education
see teachers
assisted by robots
The Future of
Primary
Schooling
Lessons from
around the
world
Humanoid ‘Nao’ robots manufactured by
Aldebaran are being trialled in S. Australia
Primary Schooling
Will always need teachers in the
classroom, butT.A.s will be robots
The Future of
Schooling:
And so . . .
MarkS.SteedMA(Cambridge), MA(Nottingham)
DirectorofJESSDubai
Email: Director@jess.sch.ae
Twitter: @JESS_Director
@independenthead
LinkedIn: uk.linkedin.com/in/independenthead
Blog: http://independenthead.blogspot.com
SlideShare: http://www.slideshare.net/independenthead
JESS,Dubai
MyContacts

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The Future of Schooling - A View from the Middle

Editor's Notes

  1. Titian – St John on Patmos
  2. 'The Abundance Pyramid': water, food, shelter, energy, education, health care and freedom 
  3. 'The Abundance Pyramid': water, food, shelter, energy, education, health care and freedom