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1	
  
3	
  Lessons	
  from	
  High	
  
Reliability	
  Organiza7ons	
  
Presenta*on	
  to	
  the	
  Canadian	
  Na*onal	
  Energy	
  
Board	
  at	
  the	
  2015	
  Pipeline	
  Safety	
  Forum	
  
The world has changed!
2	
  www.wilsonperumal.com	
  
“Individual	
  produc7vity”	
  
Volume	
  
Cost	
  
Pre-­‐Industrial	
  Age	
  
Driven	
  by	
  
variable	
  costs	
  
“Economies	
  of	
  Scale”	
  
Volume	
  
Industrial	
  Age	
  
Driven	
  by	
  
	
  fixed	
  costs	
  
“Complexity”	
  
Complexity	
  
Post-­‐Industrial	
  Age	
  
Driven	
  by	
  
complexity	
  costs	
  
Complexity is stretching the capabilities
of most organizations
3	
  www.wilsonperumal.com	
  
TECHNOLOGY	
  
PRODUCTS	
  &	
  SERVICES	
  
PROCESSES	
  
ORGANIZATIONS	
  
REGULATIONS	
  
MARKETS	
  
X
XX
X
XCOMMUNICATIONS	
  
Complexity grows exponentially
4	
  
#Items #links
1 0
2 1
3 3
4 6
5 10
…
10 45
$	
  
Complexity	
  
5	
  
Characteristics of complex systems
1. Non-linear reactions
2. Emerging properties
3. Feedback loops
4. Unknown interactions
Many companies are passing a
complexity threshold
6	
  
Level	
  of	
  complexity	
  
you	
  can	
  support	
  
VALUE	
  
(diminishing	
  returns)	
  
COST	
  &	
  RISK	
  
(exponen*al	
  growth)	
  
$	
  
Complexity	
  
Few	
  companies	
  are	
  s.ll	
  
here	
  
Many	
  companies	
  are	
  
here	
  
An	
  increasing	
  number	
  of	
  
companies	
  are	
  here	
  
7	
  www.wilsonperumal.com	
  
Increased
complexity
Poor
execution
Loss of
process
control
Poor
performance
Added
processes
Vicious
Complexity
Cycle
The typical response to complexity is to
add even more complexity
Catastrophic incidents are becoming more
frequent and more severe
8	
  
1979	
  –	
  Three-­‐Mile	
  Island	
  core	
  meltdown	
  
1988	
  –	
  Piper	
  Alpha	
  explosion	
  
2005	
  –	
  Texas	
  City	
  Refinery	
  explosion	
  
2010	
  –	
  San	
  Bruno	
  Pipeline	
  explosion	
  
2010	
  –	
  BP	
  Deepwater	
  Horizon	
  oil	
  spill	
  
2011	
  –	
  Fukushima	
  Daiichi	
  disaster	
  
2013	
  –	
  West	
  Fer7lizer	
  plant	
  explosion	
  
9	
  www.wilsonperumal.com	
  
Traditional risk management doesn’t
address these “normal accidents” well
Too complex
to anticipate
Too fast
to address
Too infrequent to
understand
10	
  www.wilsonperumal.com	
  
The Pessimist’s View
“Regardless	
  of	
  the	
  effec*veness	
  of	
  
management	
  and	
  opera*ons,	
  
accidents	
  in	
  systems	
  that	
  are	
  
characterized	
  by	
  *ght	
  coupling	
  and	
  
interac*ve	
  complexity	
  will	
  be	
  
normal	
  or	
  inevitable	
  as	
  they	
  oTen	
  
cannot	
  be	
  foreseen	
  or	
  prevented.”	
  
Wilson	
  Perumal	
  &	
  Company,	
  Inc. 11	
  
Yet a few High Reliability Organizations
seem to defy the Pessimistic View!
Birth	
  of	
  the	
  Nuclear	
  Navy	
  
50+	
  year	
  history	
  
150	
  mobile	
  nuclear	
  
reactors	
  
6,000+	
  years	
  of	
  reactor	
  
plant	
  opera*on	
  
12	
  www.wilsonperumal.com	
  
The Nuclear Navy has never had a reactor
accident over its
13	
  
Three Lessons from the Nuclear Navy
#1 Safety is not a GOAL!
#2 Simplify your management system
#3 Culture kills!
14	
  
Lesson #1
Achieving zero
incidents should not
be a GOAL!
It should be an
EXPECTATION!
15	
  
This has important implications for what
we reward
16	
  
Lesson #2: Keep your management system
as simple as possible, but no simpler
17	
  www.wilsonperumal.com	
  
The Nuclear Navy simplifies with one
management system for all outcomes
People	
  
Process	
  
Equipment	
  
Change	
  
Key	
  
Controls	
  
Safety	
  
People	
  
Process	
  
Equipment	
  
Change	
  
Key	
  
Controls	
  
Environ-­‐	
  
mental	
  
People	
  
Process	
  
Equipment	
  
Change	
  
Key	
  
Controls	
  
Quality	
  
People	
  
Process	
  
Equipment	
  
Change	
  
Key	
  
Controls	
  
Reliability	
  
People	
  
Process	
  
Equipment	
  
Change	
  
Key	
  
Controls	
  
Cost	
  
Common	
  Management	
  
System	
  Approach	
  
Nuclear	
  Navy	
  	
  
Management	
  System	
  
	
  
People	
  
Process	
  
Equipment	
  
Change	
  
Increased	
  performance	
  
Accelerated	
  learning	
  
Reduced	
  cost	
  and	
  overhead	
  
Safety	
  
Quality	
  
Environmental	
  
Reliability	
  
Compliance	
  
Cost	
  
Key	
  
Controls	
  
18	
  www.wilsonperumal.com	
  
Don’t manage the outcomes...
…manage the sources of risk!
Examples	
  
Procedures	
  
Training/	
  
cer*fica*on	
  
Performance	
  
mgmt	
  
Engineering	
  
disciplines	
  
Maintenance	
  
planning/	
  
scheduling	
  
MOC	
  process	
  
Culture	
  
Risk	
  ID	
  
Examples	
  
No	
  expecta*ons	
  
Lack	
  of	
  
knowledge	
  
Wrong	
  
incen*ves	
  
Equipment	
  not	
  
capable	
  
Process	
  not	
  
capable	
  
Inadequate	
  
MOC	
  
Leadership	
  
Employee	
  
Accountability	
  
Risk	
  ID	
  
Risk	
  Control	
  
Knowledge	
  
Sharing	
  
Change	
  
Management	
  
Con7nuous	
  
Improvement	
  
Safety	
  
Environment	
  
Compliance	
  
Quality	
  
Produc7vity	
  
Yield	
  
Cost	
  
Outcomes	
  
Sources	
  of	
  
Risk	
  
Causes	
  of	
  
Failure	
  
Key	
  
Controls	
  
Mgmt.	
  
System	
  
Elements	
  
People	
  
Processes	
  
Equipment	
  
Change	
  
Wilson	
  Perumal	
  &	
  Company,	
  Inc. 19	
  
The Nuclear Navy’s proactive management
system allows it to learn faster
Reactive risk
management
Proactive risk
management
Proac7ve	
  
Reac7ve	
  
Proac7ve	
  
Reac7ve	
  
Lesson #3: Culture is the key!
20	
  
Opera*onal	
  Discipline	
  is	
  essen*al	
  to	
  the	
  Navy’s	
  superb	
  
safety	
  and	
  opera*onal	
  record	
  
21	
  www.wilsonperumal.com	
  
Human performance is the Nuclear Navy’s
last layer of defense
RobustEquipment
RigorousProcedures
OperationalDiscipline
22	
  
The culture required was a vast departure
from traditional military culture
Tradi7onal	
  Military	
  
Culture	
  
Follow	
  orders	
  
Do	
  what	
  you	
  are	
  told	
  
Don’t	
  ask	
  ques*ons	
  
Never	
  ques*on	
  your	
  
superiors	
  
Rickover’s	
  Cultural	
  
Pillars	
  
Have	
  a	
  higher	
  level	
  of	
  
understanding	
  
Follow	
  procedures	
  
Ques*on	
  procedures	
  when	
  
things	
  don’t	
  seem	
  right	
  
Back	
  each	
  other	
  up	
  
Do	
  it	
  all	
  with	
  integrity	
  
The	
  Nuclear	
  Navy’s	
  OD	
  DNA	
  
Level	
  of	
  Knowledge	
  
Formality	
  
Ques7oning	
  Actude	
  
Forceful	
  Watch	
  Team	
  Backup	
  
Integrity	
  
LEVEL	
  OF	
  KNOWLEDGE	
  
FORMALITY	
  
QUESTIONING	
  ATTITUDE	
  
FORCEFUL	
  BACKUP	
  
INTEGRITY	
  
CONTINUITY	
  OF	
  POWER	
  
REACTOR	
  SAFETY	
  
Safety and reliability depend on specific
operator behaviors
23	
  www.wilsonperumal.com	
  
The	
  “Pillars	
  of	
  the	
  Program”	
  
The Pillars are self-reinforcing
Ques:oning	
  
A=tude	
  enhances	
  
Level	
  of	
  Knowledge	
  
Integrity	
  
Level	
  of	
  
Knowledge	
  
Ques7oning	
  
Actude	
  
Formality	
  
Forceful	
  
Watch	
  Team	
  
Backup	
  
Level	
  of	
  Knowledge	
  
allows	
  ID	
  of	
  out-­‐of-­‐
the-­‐ordinary	
  
condi:ons	
  
Ques:oning	
  A=tude	
  
supports	
  process	
  
improvement,	
  not	
  
work	
  arounds	
  
Ques:oning	
  
A=tude	
  helps	
  you	
  
spot	
  what	
  others	
  
may	
  have	
  missed	
  
Level	
  of	
  
Knowledge	
  
allows	
  you	
  to	
  
back	
  up	
  others	
  
Integrity	
  means	
  
you	
  can	
  be	
  relied	
  
upon	
  to	
  support	
  
your	
  team	
  
Backup	
  
drives	
  
procedural	
  
compliance	
  
Formality	
  ensures	
  
backup	
  is	
  
professional	
  &	
  
produc:ve	
  
25	
  
Changing culture requires more than
posters and training
Beliefs	
  
Consequences	
   Behaviours	
  
Leaders	
  can’t	
  force	
  people	
  to	
  
believe	
  something…….	
  
……or	
  to	
  behave	
  in	
  a	
  
certain	
  way.	
  
But	
  they	
  can	
  change	
  what	
  is	
  rewarded!	
  
26	
  
Three Lessons from the Nuclear Navy
#1 Safety is not a GOAL!
#2 Simplify your management system
#3 Culture kills!
27	
  
cseifert@wilsonperumal.com	
  
Thank	
  You	
  
28	
  
Chris	
  Seifert	
  
Partner,	
  Opera:onal	
  Excellence	
  Prac:ce	
  
	
  
cseifert@wilsonperumal.com	
  
(972)	
  800-­‐3618	
  
	
  
www.wilsonperumal.com	
  
Sign	
  up	
  for	
  our	
  blog	
  at	
  wilsonperumal.com/blog	
  
	
  

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3 Lessons from High Reliability Organizations

  • 1. 1   3  Lessons  from  High   Reliability  Organiza7ons   Presenta*on  to  the  Canadian  Na*onal  Energy   Board  at  the  2015  Pipeline  Safety  Forum  
  • 2. The world has changed! 2  www.wilsonperumal.com   “Individual  produc7vity”   Volume   Cost   Pre-­‐Industrial  Age   Driven  by   variable  costs   “Economies  of  Scale”   Volume   Industrial  Age   Driven  by    fixed  costs   “Complexity”   Complexity   Post-­‐Industrial  Age   Driven  by   complexity  costs  
  • 3. Complexity is stretching the capabilities of most organizations 3  www.wilsonperumal.com   TECHNOLOGY   PRODUCTS  &  SERVICES   PROCESSES   ORGANIZATIONS   REGULATIONS   MARKETS   X XX X XCOMMUNICATIONS  
  • 4. Complexity grows exponentially 4   #Items #links 1 0 2 1 3 3 4 6 5 10 … 10 45 $   Complexity  
  • 5. 5   Characteristics of complex systems 1. Non-linear reactions 2. Emerging properties 3. Feedback loops 4. Unknown interactions
  • 6. Many companies are passing a complexity threshold 6   Level  of  complexity   you  can  support   VALUE   (diminishing  returns)   COST  &  RISK   (exponen*al  growth)   $   Complexity   Few  companies  are  s.ll   here   Many  companies  are   here   An  increasing  number  of   companies  are  here  
  • 7. 7  www.wilsonperumal.com   Increased complexity Poor execution Loss of process control Poor performance Added processes Vicious Complexity Cycle The typical response to complexity is to add even more complexity
  • 8. Catastrophic incidents are becoming more frequent and more severe 8   1979  –  Three-­‐Mile  Island  core  meltdown   1988  –  Piper  Alpha  explosion   2005  –  Texas  City  Refinery  explosion   2010  –  San  Bruno  Pipeline  explosion   2010  –  BP  Deepwater  Horizon  oil  spill   2011  –  Fukushima  Daiichi  disaster   2013  –  West  Fer7lizer  plant  explosion  
  • 9. 9  www.wilsonperumal.com   Traditional risk management doesn’t address these “normal accidents” well Too complex to anticipate Too fast to address Too infrequent to understand
  • 10. 10  www.wilsonperumal.com   The Pessimist’s View “Regardless  of  the  effec*veness  of   management  and  opera*ons,   accidents  in  systems  that  are   characterized  by  *ght  coupling  and   interac*ve  complexity  will  be   normal  or  inevitable  as  they  oTen   cannot  be  foreseen  or  prevented.”  
  • 11. Wilson  Perumal  &  Company,  Inc. 11   Yet a few High Reliability Organizations seem to defy the Pessimistic View!
  • 12. Birth  of  the  Nuclear  Navy   50+  year  history   150  mobile  nuclear   reactors   6,000+  years  of  reactor   plant  opera*on   12  www.wilsonperumal.com   The Nuclear Navy has never had a reactor accident over its
  • 13. 13   Three Lessons from the Nuclear Navy #1 Safety is not a GOAL! #2 Simplify your management system #3 Culture kills!
  • 14. 14   Lesson #1 Achieving zero incidents should not be a GOAL! It should be an EXPECTATION!
  • 15. 15   This has important implications for what we reward
  • 16. 16   Lesson #2: Keep your management system as simple as possible, but no simpler
  • 17. 17  www.wilsonperumal.com   The Nuclear Navy simplifies with one management system for all outcomes People   Process   Equipment   Change   Key   Controls   Safety   People   Process   Equipment   Change   Key   Controls   Environ-­‐   mental   People   Process   Equipment   Change   Key   Controls   Quality   People   Process   Equipment   Change   Key   Controls   Reliability   People   Process   Equipment   Change   Key   Controls   Cost   Common  Management   System  Approach   Nuclear  Navy     Management  System     People   Process   Equipment   Change   Increased  performance   Accelerated  learning   Reduced  cost  and  overhead   Safety   Quality   Environmental   Reliability   Compliance   Cost   Key   Controls  
  • 18. 18  www.wilsonperumal.com   Don’t manage the outcomes... …manage the sources of risk! Examples   Procedures   Training/   cer*fica*on   Performance   mgmt   Engineering   disciplines   Maintenance   planning/   scheduling   MOC  process   Culture   Risk  ID   Examples   No  expecta*ons   Lack  of   knowledge   Wrong   incen*ves   Equipment  not   capable   Process  not   capable   Inadequate   MOC   Leadership   Employee   Accountability   Risk  ID   Risk  Control   Knowledge   Sharing   Change   Management   Con7nuous   Improvement   Safety   Environment   Compliance   Quality   Produc7vity   Yield   Cost   Outcomes   Sources  of   Risk   Causes  of   Failure   Key   Controls   Mgmt.   System   Elements   People   Processes   Equipment   Change  
  • 19. Wilson  Perumal  &  Company,  Inc. 19   The Nuclear Navy’s proactive management system allows it to learn faster Reactive risk management Proactive risk management Proac7ve   Reac7ve   Proac7ve   Reac7ve  
  • 20. Lesson #3: Culture is the key! 20  
  • 21. Opera*onal  Discipline  is  essen*al  to  the  Navy’s  superb   safety  and  opera*onal  record   21  www.wilsonperumal.com   Human performance is the Nuclear Navy’s last layer of defense RobustEquipment RigorousProcedures OperationalDiscipline
  • 22. 22   The culture required was a vast departure from traditional military culture Tradi7onal  Military   Culture   Follow  orders   Do  what  you  are  told   Don’t  ask  ques*ons   Never  ques*on  your   superiors   Rickover’s  Cultural   Pillars   Have  a  higher  level  of   understanding   Follow  procedures   Ques*on  procedures  when   things  don’t  seem  right   Back  each  other  up   Do  it  all  with  integrity  
  • 23. The  Nuclear  Navy’s  OD  DNA   Level  of  Knowledge   Formality   Ques7oning  Actude   Forceful  Watch  Team  Backup   Integrity   LEVEL  OF  KNOWLEDGE   FORMALITY   QUESTIONING  ATTITUDE   FORCEFUL  BACKUP   INTEGRITY   CONTINUITY  OF  POWER   REACTOR  SAFETY   Safety and reliability depend on specific operator behaviors 23  www.wilsonperumal.com   The  “Pillars  of  the  Program”  
  • 24. The Pillars are self-reinforcing Ques:oning   A=tude  enhances   Level  of  Knowledge   Integrity   Level  of   Knowledge   Ques7oning   Actude   Formality   Forceful   Watch  Team   Backup   Level  of  Knowledge   allows  ID  of  out-­‐of-­‐ the-­‐ordinary   condi:ons   Ques:oning  A=tude   supports  process   improvement,  not   work  arounds   Ques:oning   A=tude  helps  you   spot  what  others   may  have  missed   Level  of   Knowledge   allows  you  to   back  up  others   Integrity  means   you  can  be  relied   upon  to  support   your  team   Backup   drives   procedural   compliance   Formality  ensures   backup  is   professional  &   produc:ve  
  • 25. 25   Changing culture requires more than posters and training Beliefs   Consequences   Behaviours   Leaders  can’t  force  people  to   believe  something…….   ……or  to  behave  in  a   certain  way.   But  they  can  change  what  is  rewarded!  
  • 26. 26   Three Lessons from the Nuclear Navy #1 Safety is not a GOAL! #2 Simplify your management system #3 Culture kills!
  • 28. Thank  You   28   Chris  Seifert   Partner,  Opera:onal  Excellence  Prac:ce     cseifert@wilsonperumal.com   (972)  800-­‐3618     www.wilsonperumal.com   Sign  up  for  our  blog  at  wilsonperumal.com/blog