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Derivative Report
                                                                                                          India Research
                                                                                                                    Oct 12, 2010
Comments
                                                                    Nifty Vs OI
๏ฎ The Nifty futuresโ€™ open interest decreased by 0.59%
      while Minifty futuresโ€™ open interest decreased by
      0.79% as market closed at 6135.85 levels.
๏ฎ The Nifty Oct future closed at a premium of 23.90
      points, against a premium of 30.00 points in the last
      trading session. On the other hand, Nov future closed
      at a premium of 42.30 points.
๏ฎ The PCR-OI remained same at 1.30 points.
๏ฎ The       Implied volatility of At-the-money            options
      decreased from 18.00% to 17.75%.
๏ฎ The total OI of the market is Rs1,66,413cr and the
      stock futures OI is Rs49,862cr.
๏ฎ Few liquid counters where cost of carry is positive are
      MCLEODRUSS, PRAJIND, GTLINFRA, ABGSHIP and
      JPPOWER.

OI Gainers
                                 OI                    PRICE         View
SCRIP                 OI       CHANGE      PRICE      CHANGE
                                 (%)                    (%)          ๏ฎ Implied volatility is reducing and markets are
                                                                        consolidating. Range may become more prominent
EXIDEIND           2484000      48.21      177.90          5.36         in coming trading sessions and 6200 may become
BANKBARODA         1780000      26.24      965.45          2.47         pivotal point. Many participants are now forming
                                                                        short straddle at 6200.
PFC                1813000      20.55      376.85          3.59
HINDZINC             387500     18.05     1199.05          1.99
                                                                     ๏ฎ Most of the rally in DLF has been due to short
CHAMBLFERT        16516000      17.97       82.00          10.66        covering and now we are witnessing fresh shorting
                                                                        around 395-400 levels. However, downside may
OI Losers                                                               restrict to 360 levels where stock has strong
                                                                        support. We recommend selling 360 PA and
                                 OI                    PRICE            400 CA for the combined premium of Rs.15.
SCRIP                 OI       CHANGE      PRICE      CHANGE
                                 (%)                    (%)
NAGARFERT          34440000      -10.89    34.05           8.10      ๏ฎ ONGC has seen huge shorting in past week or so.
                                                                        We may see some short covering in this counter in
UNIONBANK           2295000      -7.01    390.15           0.32         coming trading sessions. Do not go long but cover
DIVISLAB            1011500      -6.77    727.55           0.25         short positions if formed earlier.

GODREJIND           7342000      -5.97    232.15           4.93
PUNJLLOYD          30714000      -4.00    135.35           2.46


Put-Call Ratio                                                        Historical Volatility
SCRIP                          PCR-OI         PCR-VOL                 SCRIP                                     HV

NIFTY                           1.30               1.15               CHAMBLFERT                               60.08

RELIANCE                        0.37               0.30               NAGARFERT                                62.00

TATASTEEL                       0.31               0.28               GTOFFSHORE                               38.82

SBIN                            1.24               0.79               TATAMOTORS                               35.89

UNITECH                         0.33               0.17               KSOILS                                   46.10


SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539                                                  For Private Circulation Only            1
Derivative Report | India Research




FII Statistics for 11-Oct-2010                                                           Turnover on 11-Oct-2010

                                                             Open Interest
                                                                                                             No. of        Turnover         Change
Detail          Buy         Sell       Net                                                 Instrument
                                                                                                            Contracts      (Rs. in cr.)       (%)
                                                 Contracts       Value        Change
                                                               (Rs. in cr.)      (%)
INDEX                                                                                    Index Futures      327576         9589.23          -38.23
             1108.50     896.33      212.17       517158       15932.91        -1.15
FUTURES
INDEX                                                                                    Stock Futures      550971         18473.14         -21.41
             3254.55    3850.51     (595.96)     1974862       60587.92        -0.05
OPTIONS
STOCK                                                                                    Index Options      1380137        42514.71         -28.11
              945.05    1542.18     (597.13)     1420871       43749.54         1.01
FUTURES
STOCK                                                                                    Stock Options      122939          4241.2          -20.58
              397.56     466.86      (69.30)      31869         1051.49        10.37
OPTIONS
TOTAL        5705.67    6755.87     (1050.21)    3944760      121321.86         0.26     Total              2381623        74818.28         -27.72




 Nifty Spot = 6135.85                     Lot Size = 50


 Bull-Call Spreads                                                            Bear-Put Spreads

 Action       Strike   Price       Risk        Reward        BEP              Action     Strike     Price       Risk     Reward           BEP

 Buy         6200      72.95                                                  Buy        6100      70.05
                                   36.75       63.25    6236.75                                                27.35     72.65        6072.65
 Sell        6300      36.20                                                  Sell       6000      42.70
 Buy         6200      72.95                                                  Buy        6100      70.05
                                   56.90       143.10   6256.90                                                44.85     155.15       6055.15
 Sell        6400      16.05                                                  Sell       5900      25.20
 Buy         6300      36.20                                                  Buy        6000      42.70
                                   20.15       79.85    6320.15                                                17.50     82.50        5982.50
 Sell        6400      16.05                                                  Sell       5900      25.20

Note: Above mentioned Bullish or Bearish Spreads in Nifty (October Series) are given as an information and not as a recommendation




Nifty Put-Call Analysis




 For Private Circulation Only                      SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539                                                          2
Derivative Report | India Research




       Strategy Date                        Scrip                             Strategy                             Status

         04-Oct-10                       JPASSOCIAT                        Bull Call Spread                       Continue

         11-Oct-10                        RELIANCE                            Long Call                           Continue




DISCLAIMER

This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment
decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should
make such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the
companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine
the merits and risks of such an investment.

Angel Broking Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make
investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this
document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within.

Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and
trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's
fundamentals.

The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable
sources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this
document is for general guidance only. Angel Broking or any of its affiliates/ group companies shall not be in any way responsible
for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. Angel
Broking Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify, nor
make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While
Angel Broking Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be
regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so.
This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced,
redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly.

Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or
other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or
in the past.

Neither Angel Broking Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or
in connection with the use of this information.

Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section).

Derivative Research Team                                                                         derivatives.desk@angeltrade.com



For Private Circulation Only                    SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539                                                    3

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Derivatives Report - 12 October 2010

  • 1. Derivative Report India Research Oct 12, 2010 Comments Nifty Vs OI ๏ฎ The Nifty futuresโ€™ open interest decreased by 0.59% while Minifty futuresโ€™ open interest decreased by 0.79% as market closed at 6135.85 levels. ๏ฎ The Nifty Oct future closed at a premium of 23.90 points, against a premium of 30.00 points in the last trading session. On the other hand, Nov future closed at a premium of 42.30 points. ๏ฎ The PCR-OI remained same at 1.30 points. ๏ฎ The Implied volatility of At-the-money options decreased from 18.00% to 17.75%. ๏ฎ The total OI of the market is Rs1,66,413cr and the stock futures OI is Rs49,862cr. ๏ฎ Few liquid counters where cost of carry is positive are MCLEODRUSS, PRAJIND, GTLINFRA, ABGSHIP and JPPOWER. OI Gainers OI PRICE View SCRIP OI CHANGE PRICE CHANGE (%) (%) ๏ฎ Implied volatility is reducing and markets are consolidating. Range may become more prominent EXIDEIND 2484000 48.21 177.90 5.36 in coming trading sessions and 6200 may become BANKBARODA 1780000 26.24 965.45 2.47 pivotal point. Many participants are now forming short straddle at 6200. PFC 1813000 20.55 376.85 3.59 HINDZINC 387500 18.05 1199.05 1.99 ๏ฎ Most of the rally in DLF has been due to short CHAMBLFERT 16516000 17.97 82.00 10.66 covering and now we are witnessing fresh shorting around 395-400 levels. However, downside may OI Losers restrict to 360 levels where stock has strong support. We recommend selling 360 PA and OI PRICE 400 CA for the combined premium of Rs.15. SCRIP OI CHANGE PRICE CHANGE (%) (%) NAGARFERT 34440000 -10.89 34.05 8.10 ๏ฎ ONGC has seen huge shorting in past week or so. We may see some short covering in this counter in UNIONBANK 2295000 -7.01 390.15 0.32 coming trading sessions. Do not go long but cover DIVISLAB 1011500 -6.77 727.55 0.25 short positions if formed earlier. GODREJIND 7342000 -5.97 232.15 4.93 PUNJLLOYD 30714000 -4.00 135.35 2.46 Put-Call Ratio Historical Volatility SCRIP PCR-OI PCR-VOL SCRIP HV NIFTY 1.30 1.15 CHAMBLFERT 60.08 RELIANCE 0.37 0.30 NAGARFERT 62.00 TATASTEEL 0.31 0.28 GTOFFSHORE 38.82 SBIN 1.24 0.79 TATAMOTORS 35.89 UNITECH 0.33 0.17 KSOILS 46.10 SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539 For Private Circulation Only 1
  • 2. Derivative Report | India Research FII Statistics for 11-Oct-2010 Turnover on 11-Oct-2010 Open Interest No. of Turnover Change Detail Buy Sell Net Instrument Contracts (Rs. in cr.) (%) Contracts Value Change (Rs. in cr.) (%) INDEX Index Futures 327576 9589.23 -38.23 1108.50 896.33 212.17 517158 15932.91 -1.15 FUTURES INDEX Stock Futures 550971 18473.14 -21.41 3254.55 3850.51 (595.96) 1974862 60587.92 -0.05 OPTIONS STOCK Index Options 1380137 42514.71 -28.11 945.05 1542.18 (597.13) 1420871 43749.54 1.01 FUTURES STOCK Stock Options 122939 4241.2 -20.58 397.56 466.86 (69.30) 31869 1051.49 10.37 OPTIONS TOTAL 5705.67 6755.87 (1050.21) 3944760 121321.86 0.26 Total 2381623 74818.28 -27.72 Nifty Spot = 6135.85 Lot Size = 50 Bull-Call Spreads Bear-Put Spreads Action Strike Price Risk Reward BEP Action Strike Price Risk Reward BEP Buy 6200 72.95 Buy 6100 70.05 36.75 63.25 6236.75 27.35 72.65 6072.65 Sell 6300 36.20 Sell 6000 42.70 Buy 6200 72.95 Buy 6100 70.05 56.90 143.10 6256.90 44.85 155.15 6055.15 Sell 6400 16.05 Sell 5900 25.20 Buy 6300 36.20 Buy 6000 42.70 20.15 79.85 6320.15 17.50 82.50 5982.50 Sell 6400 16.05 Sell 5900 25.20 Note: Above mentioned Bullish or Bearish Spreads in Nifty (October Series) are given as an information and not as a recommendation Nifty Put-Call Analysis For Private Circulation Only SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539 2
  • 3. Derivative Report | India Research Strategy Date Scrip Strategy Status 04-Oct-10 JPASSOCIAT Bull Call Spread Continue 11-Oct-10 RELIANCE Long Call Continue DISCLAIMER This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. Angel Broking Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within. Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's fundamentals. The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable sources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this document is for general guidance only. Angel Broking or any of its affiliates/ group companies shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. Angel Broking Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify, nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While Angel Broking Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly. Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in the past. Neither Angel Broking Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or in connection with the use of this information. Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section). Derivative Research Team derivatives.desk@angeltrade.com For Private Circulation Only SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539 3