Derivative Report
                                                                                                        India Research
                                                                                                                June 30, 2010
Comments
                                                                    Nifty Vs OI
 The Nifty futures’ open interest increased by 1.72%,
       while, Minifty futures open interest decreased by
       16.07% as market closed at 5256.15 levels.
 The Nifty July future closed at a premium of 10.30
       points, against a premium of 6.45 points in the last
       trading session, while the Aug future also closed at a
       premium of 10.75 points.
 The PCR-OI has decreased from 1.29 to 1.26 points.

 The Implied volatility of At-the-money options has
       increased from 18% to 19%.
 The total OI of the market is Rs1,14659cr and the
       stock futures OI is Rs33,488cr.
 Some liquid counters where cost of carry is positive are
       MOSERBEAR, TV-18, KSOILS, PANTALOONR and
       CHAMBLFERT.
OI Gainers
                                 OI                     PRICE        View
SCRIP                 OI       CHANGE       PRICE      CHANGE
                                 (%)                     (%)          FIIs have formed short positions in the Index futures.
                                                                        At the same time, they were buying Index options to
ORBITCORP            882000       80.37     137.85      -50.57
                                                                        hedge their shorts. They were net sellers of Rs261cr
GMDCLTD             1212000       44.63     129.25          0.35        in the cash market segment.
COREPROTEC          4929000       28.39     244.25          2.09      In the last trading session, most of the Call options
SAIL                8035000       14.67     192.90          -3.02       added significant open interest. On the other side,
                                                                        the 5200 put continued to add open interest while,
EXIDEIND            1898000       14.61     129.75          -3.67       unwinding was visible in the 5300 Put option.
                                                                        Market has immediate support around 5200 and it
OI Losers                                                               may be put to test this level. Due to global scenario,
                                  OI                     PRICE          market may breach its support.
SCRIP                  OI       CHANGE       PRICE      CHANGE
                                                                      AXISBANK has resistance around 1270 levels and
                                  (%)                     (%)
                                                                        some unwinding from there is visible in it. We are
IOB                  3304000        -9.92   103.85           0.97       expecting correction in the stock up-to Rs1180.
                                                                        Traders can trade with negative bias in it.
CROMPGREAV            977000        -9.79   265.20           0.06
HINDZINC              422500        -6.84   969.05          -1.40     Some shorting was seen in ZEEL around 295-98
                                                                        levels. The stock may reach Rs280. Trading with
CUMMINSIND            238000        -6.67   595.50           1.40       negative bias is advisable with the stop loss of
PFC                  1098000        -6.47   296.35           2.65       Rs298.

Put-Call Ratio                                                        Historical Volatility

SCRIP                           PCR-OI          PCR-VOL               SCRIP                                      HV

NIFTY                            1.26                1.04             ULTRACEMCO                                38.74

RELIANCE                         0.19                0.26             ABIRLANUVO                                43.82

BANKNIFTY                        6.07                2.01             EXIDEIND                                  38.46

ONGC                             1.03                0.49             FINANTECH                                 33.28

TATASTEEL                        0.37                0.33             AMBUJACEM                                 35.14


SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539                                                   For Private Circulation Only          1
Derivative Report | India Research



FII Statistics for 29-June-2010                                                                Turnover on 29-June-2010

                                                                   Open Interest
                                                                                                                  No. of       Turnover             Change
 Detail          Buy            Sell          Net                                                Instrument
                                                                                                                 Contracts     (Rs. in cr.)           (%)
                                                       Contracts       Value        Change
                                                                     (Rs. in cr.)     (%)
INDEX                                                                                          Index Futures     724501        17644.54             59.48
              1329.30     2787.52        (1,458.22)     664030       17347.78         1.39
FUTURES
INDEX                                                                                          Stock Futures     585555        16482.38              4.01
              5317.81     4254.20        1,063.61      1589427       41731.15         6.32
OPTIONS
STOCK                                                                                          Index Options     1727003       45861.31             50.29
               898.92     1274.90         (375.98)     1055039       27468.22         0.12
FUTURES
STOCK                                                                                          Stock Options      81291        2421.50              -11.60
               109.65      130.12         (20.47)       29321          857.99        20.51
OPTIONS
TOTAL         7655.68     8446.74         (791.06)     3337817       87405.14         3.40     Total             3118350       82409.73             36.97




 Nifty Spot = 5256.15                          Lot Size = 50


 Bull-Call Spreads                                                                  Bear-Put Spreads

 Action       Strike    Price          Risk         Reward       BEP                Action    Strike     Price     Risk      Reward           BEP

 Buy         5300       94.35                                                       Buy       5200       91.15
                                       44.25        55.75     5344.25                                             28.90      71.10       5171.10
 Sell        5400       50.10                                                       Sell      5100       62.25
 Buy         5300       94.35                                                       Buy       5200       91.15
                                       72.30     127.70       5372.30                                             49.80      150.20      5150.20
 Sell        5500       22.05                                                       Sell      5000       41.35
 Buy         5400       50.10                                                       Buy       5100       62.25
                                       28.05        71.95     5428.05                                             20.90      79.10       5079.10
 Sell        5500       22.05                                                       Sell      5000       41.35

Note: Above mentioned Bullish or Bearish Spreads in Nifty (July Series) are given as an information and not as a recommendation




Nifty Put-Call Analysis




 For Private Circulation Only                               SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539                                                         2
Derivative Report | India Research



         Strategy Date                                   Scrip                                      Strategy                                      Status

          28-July-2010                                 Reliance                                     Long Put                                    Continue




DISCLAIMER:

This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person.
Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions.
Opinion expressed is our current opinion as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in
this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-
looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions
that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein.
The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable sources believed to be true and are for
general guidance only. While every effort is made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of information contained, the company takes no guarantee and assumes no
liability for any errors or omissions of the information. No one can use the information as the basis for any claim, demand or cause of action.
Recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations
as it deems necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks
involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may
go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance.
Certain transactions - futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risks and are not suitable for all investors.
Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock's price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and
as such, may not match with a report on a company's fundamentals.
We do not undertake to advise you as to any change of our views expressed in this document. While we would endeavor to update the information herein on a reasonable
basis, Angel Broking, its subsidiaries and associated companies, their directors and employees are under no obligation to update or keep the information current. Also
there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that may prevent Angel Broking and affiliates from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that
any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice.
Angel Broking Limited and affiliates, including the analyst who has issued this report, may, on the date of this report, and from time to time, have long or short positions
in, and buy or sell the securities of the companies mentioned herein or engage in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or compensation or
act as advisor or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to company/ies mentioned herein or inconsistent with any recommendation and related information
and opinions.
Angel Broking Limited and affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or other advisory services in a merger or
specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in the past.


Sebi Registration No.: INB 010996539




Derivative Research Team                                                                                                  derivatives.desk@angeltrade.com

For Private Circulation Only                                 SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539                                                                           3

Derivatives Report - June 30, 2010

  • 1.
    Derivative Report India Research June 30, 2010 Comments Nifty Vs OI  The Nifty futures’ open interest increased by 1.72%, while, Minifty futures open interest decreased by 16.07% as market closed at 5256.15 levels.  The Nifty July future closed at a premium of 10.30 points, against a premium of 6.45 points in the last trading session, while the Aug future also closed at a premium of 10.75 points.  The PCR-OI has decreased from 1.29 to 1.26 points.  The Implied volatility of At-the-money options has increased from 18% to 19%.  The total OI of the market is Rs1,14659cr and the stock futures OI is Rs33,488cr.  Some liquid counters where cost of carry is positive are MOSERBEAR, TV-18, KSOILS, PANTALOONR and CHAMBLFERT. OI Gainers OI PRICE View SCRIP OI CHANGE PRICE CHANGE (%) (%)  FIIs have formed short positions in the Index futures. At the same time, they were buying Index options to ORBITCORP 882000 80.37 137.85 -50.57 hedge their shorts. They were net sellers of Rs261cr GMDCLTD 1212000 44.63 129.25 0.35 in the cash market segment. COREPROTEC 4929000 28.39 244.25 2.09  In the last trading session, most of the Call options SAIL 8035000 14.67 192.90 -3.02 added significant open interest. On the other side, the 5200 put continued to add open interest while, EXIDEIND 1898000 14.61 129.75 -3.67 unwinding was visible in the 5300 Put option. Market has immediate support around 5200 and it OI Losers may be put to test this level. Due to global scenario, OI PRICE market may breach its support. SCRIP OI CHANGE PRICE CHANGE  AXISBANK has resistance around 1270 levels and (%) (%) some unwinding from there is visible in it. We are IOB 3304000 -9.92 103.85 0.97 expecting correction in the stock up-to Rs1180. Traders can trade with negative bias in it. CROMPGREAV 977000 -9.79 265.20 0.06 HINDZINC 422500 -6.84 969.05 -1.40  Some shorting was seen in ZEEL around 295-98 levels. The stock may reach Rs280. Trading with CUMMINSIND 238000 -6.67 595.50 1.40 negative bias is advisable with the stop loss of PFC 1098000 -6.47 296.35 2.65 Rs298. Put-Call Ratio Historical Volatility SCRIP PCR-OI PCR-VOL SCRIP HV NIFTY 1.26 1.04 ULTRACEMCO 38.74 RELIANCE 0.19 0.26 ABIRLANUVO 43.82 BANKNIFTY 6.07 2.01 EXIDEIND 38.46 ONGC 1.03 0.49 FINANTECH 33.28 TATASTEEL 0.37 0.33 AMBUJACEM 35.14 SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539 For Private Circulation Only 1
  • 2.
    Derivative Report |India Research FII Statistics for 29-June-2010 Turnover on 29-June-2010 Open Interest No. of Turnover Change Detail Buy Sell Net Instrument Contracts (Rs. in cr.) (%) Contracts Value Change (Rs. in cr.) (%) INDEX Index Futures 724501 17644.54 59.48 1329.30 2787.52 (1,458.22) 664030 17347.78 1.39 FUTURES INDEX Stock Futures 585555 16482.38 4.01 5317.81 4254.20 1,063.61 1589427 41731.15 6.32 OPTIONS STOCK Index Options 1727003 45861.31 50.29 898.92 1274.90 (375.98) 1055039 27468.22 0.12 FUTURES STOCK Stock Options 81291 2421.50 -11.60 109.65 130.12 (20.47) 29321 857.99 20.51 OPTIONS TOTAL 7655.68 8446.74 (791.06) 3337817 87405.14 3.40 Total 3118350 82409.73 36.97 Nifty Spot = 5256.15 Lot Size = 50 Bull-Call Spreads Bear-Put Spreads Action Strike Price Risk Reward BEP Action Strike Price Risk Reward BEP Buy 5300 94.35 Buy 5200 91.15 44.25 55.75 5344.25 28.90 71.10 5171.10 Sell 5400 50.10 Sell 5100 62.25 Buy 5300 94.35 Buy 5200 91.15 72.30 127.70 5372.30 49.80 150.20 5150.20 Sell 5500 22.05 Sell 5000 41.35 Buy 5400 50.10 Buy 5100 62.25 28.05 71.95 5428.05 20.90 79.10 5079.10 Sell 5500 22.05 Sell 5000 41.35 Note: Above mentioned Bullish or Bearish Spreads in Nifty (July Series) are given as an information and not as a recommendation Nifty Put-Call Analysis For Private Circulation Only SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539 2
  • 3.
    Derivative Report |India Research Strategy Date Scrip Strategy Status 28-July-2010 Reliance Long Put Continue DISCLAIMER: This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. Opinion expressed is our current opinion as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward- looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable sources believed to be true and are for general guidance only. While every effort is made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of information contained, the company takes no guarantee and assumes no liability for any errors or omissions of the information. No one can use the information as the basis for any claim, demand or cause of action. Recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as it deems necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions - futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risks and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock's price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company's fundamentals. We do not undertake to advise you as to any change of our views expressed in this document. While we would endeavor to update the information herein on a reasonable basis, Angel Broking, its subsidiaries and associated companies, their directors and employees are under no obligation to update or keep the information current. Also there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that may prevent Angel Broking and affiliates from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Angel Broking Limited and affiliates, including the analyst who has issued this report, may, on the date of this report, and from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities of the companies mentioned herein or engage in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or compensation or act as advisor or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to company/ies mentioned herein or inconsistent with any recommendation and related information and opinions. Angel Broking Limited and affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in the past. Sebi Registration No.: INB 010996539 Derivative Research Team derivatives.desk@angeltrade.com For Private Circulation Only SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539 3