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Derivative Report
                                                                                                      India Research
                                                                                                                July 13, 2010
Comments
                                                                Nifty Vs OI
 The Nifty futures’ open interest increased by 2.28%,
   while, Minifty futures open interest increased by 7.65%
   as market closed at 5383.00 levels.
 The Nifty July future closed at a discount of 1.80
   points, against a premium of 1.60 points in the last
   trading session, while the Aug future closed at a
   discount of 0.35 points.
 The PCR-OI has increased from 1.31 to 1.33 points.

 The Implied volatility of At-the-money options has
   decreased from 17.70% to 16.20%.
 The total OI of the market is Rs1,42,257cr and the
   stock futures OI is Rs39,076cr.
 Few liquid counters where cost of carry is positive are
   KSOILS, KFA, GTL, STERLINBIO and ISPATIND.


OI Gainers
                              OI                     PRICE       View
SCRIP              OI       CHANGE       PRICE      CHANGE
                              (%)                     (%)         FIIs continued their buying in the Index futures and
                                                                    the stock futures. They were net buyers of Rs1002cr
ROLTA            2808000       27.52     183.80         4.70
                                                                    in the cash market segment. As suggested by
DENABANK         8124000       27.34      98.40         5.30        SGX Nifty, we may see an opening around 5400
                                                                    mark.
POLARIS          4184000       20.58     213.50         9.21
HDFCBANK         3702125       19.36    2049.45         2.33      Yesterday, some unwinding was visible in the 5300
                                                                    call option; however, buildup was observed in the
UNIONBANK        1961000       18.20     311.90         -0.13
                                                                    5500 call, and 5400 and 5500 put options. At such
                                                                    low IVs of 16%-16.50%, we believe it is mainly
OI Losers                                                           buying of the options. Therefore, buying of
                              OI                     PRICE          5400 put option is advisable to trade with negative
SCRIP               OI      CHANGE       PRICE      CHANGE          bias.
                              (%)                     (%)
                                                                  Continuous        build-up     was      observed  in
CESC              589000       -17.51    414.75         2.67        NAGARCONST and the stock has been moving in a
YESBANK          6598000        -9.64    285.85         0.05        very narrow range in the past few trading sessions.
                                                                    We expect a positive move in the counter up-to
BOSCHLTD           14125        -8.87   5758.90         0.28        Rs193-195. Therefore, trading with a positive bias
OPTOCIRCUI        512000        -7.41    259.55         6.57        is advisable, with the stop loss of Rs180.
CAIRN            11252000       -6.81    311.90         3.55

Put-Call Ratio                                                    Historical Volatility

SCRIP                        PCR-OI         PCR-VOL               SCRIP                                     HV

NIFTY                         1.33               1.14             OPTOCIRCUI                               38.97

RELIANCE                      0.17               0.23             POLARIS                                  54.83

BANKNIFTY                     3.00               0.68             EDUCOMP                                  49.14

TATASTEEL                     0.52               0.31             DENABANK                                 41.45

ONGC                          0.93               0.38             ROLTA                                    36.73


SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539                                              For Private Circulation Only             1
Derivative Report | India Research




FII Statistics for 12-July-2010                                                                Turnover on 12-July-2010

                                                                   Open Interest
                                                                                                                   No. of       Turnover             Change
 Detail          Buy            Sell          Net                                                Instrument
                                                                                                                  Contracts     (Rs. in cr.)           (%)
                                                       Contracts       Value        Change
                                                                     (Rs. in cr.)     (%)
INDEX                                                                                          Index Futures      493124        12334.36             16.96
              1910.80     1301.38         609.43        601088       16092.57         -2.90
FUTURES
INDEX                                                                                          Stock Futures      545709        15913.31             -1.30
              5240.77     4846.54         394.24       1886721       50746.78         0.87
OPTIONS
STOCK                                                                                          Index Options      1610537       42927.63             18.79
              1604.89     1014.58         590.31       1151054       30935.36         1.39
FUTURES
STOCK                                                                                          Stock Options      109580        3368.60              -4.94
               112.53      122.61         (10.08)       50344          1406.96        3.82
OPTIONS
TOTAL         8869.00     7285.10        1,583.89      3689207       99181.66         0.44     Total              2758950       74543.90             12.35




 Nifty Spot = 5383.00                          Lot Size = 50


 Bull-Call Spreads                                                                  Bear-Put Spreads

 Action       Strike    Price          Risk         Reward       BEP                Action    Strike     Price      Risk      Reward           BEP

 Buy         5400       65.45                                                       Buy       5300       49.90
                                       39.10        60.90     5439.10                                              21.10      78.90       5278.90
 Sell        5500       26.35                                                       Sell      5200       28.80
 Buy         5400       65.45                                                       Buy       5300       49.90
                                       56.90     143.10       5456.90                                              33.65      166.35      5266.35
 Sell        5600         8.55                                                      Sell      5100       16.25
 Buy         5500       26.35                                                       Buy       5200       28.80
                                       17.80        82.20     5517.80                                              12.55      87.45       5187.45
 Sell        5600         8.55                                                      Sell      5100       16.25

Note: Above mentioned Bullish or Bearish Spreads in Nifty (July Series) are given as an information and not as a recommendation




Nifty Put-Call Analysis




 For Private Circulation Only                               SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539                                                         2
Derivative Report | India Research




       Strategy Date                         Scrip                             Strategy                            Status

       28-June-2010                       RELIANCE                             Long Put                           Continue

        05-July 2010                        NIFTY                             Put Hedge                           Continue

        12-Jun-2010                        RENUKA                             Long Call                           Continue

        12-Jun-2010                           ITC                              Long Put                           Continue




DISCLAIMER

This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment
decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should
make such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the
companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine
the merits and risks of such an investment.

Angel Broking Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make
investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this
document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within.

Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and
trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's
fundamentals.

The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable
sources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this
document is for general guidance only. Angel Broking or any of its affiliates/ group companies shall not be in any way responsible
for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. Angel
Broking Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify, nor
make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While
Angel Broking Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be
regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so.
This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced,
redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly.

Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or
other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or
in the past.

Neither Angel Broking Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or
in connection with the use of this information.

Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section).

Derivative Research Team                                                                        derivatives.desk@angeltrade.com

For Private Circulation Only                    SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539                                                    3

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Derivatives Report - July 13, 2010

  • 1. Derivative Report India Research July 13, 2010 Comments Nifty Vs OI  The Nifty futures’ open interest increased by 2.28%, while, Minifty futures open interest increased by 7.65% as market closed at 5383.00 levels.  The Nifty July future closed at a discount of 1.80 points, against a premium of 1.60 points in the last trading session, while the Aug future closed at a discount of 0.35 points.  The PCR-OI has increased from 1.31 to 1.33 points.  The Implied volatility of At-the-money options has decreased from 17.70% to 16.20%.  The total OI of the market is Rs1,42,257cr and the stock futures OI is Rs39,076cr.  Few liquid counters where cost of carry is positive are KSOILS, KFA, GTL, STERLINBIO and ISPATIND. OI Gainers OI PRICE View SCRIP OI CHANGE PRICE CHANGE (%) (%)  FIIs continued their buying in the Index futures and the stock futures. They were net buyers of Rs1002cr ROLTA 2808000 27.52 183.80 4.70 in the cash market segment. As suggested by DENABANK 8124000 27.34 98.40 5.30 SGX Nifty, we may see an opening around 5400 mark. POLARIS 4184000 20.58 213.50 9.21 HDFCBANK 3702125 19.36 2049.45 2.33  Yesterday, some unwinding was visible in the 5300 call option; however, buildup was observed in the UNIONBANK 1961000 18.20 311.90 -0.13 5500 call, and 5400 and 5500 put options. At such low IVs of 16%-16.50%, we believe it is mainly OI Losers buying of the options. Therefore, buying of OI PRICE 5400 put option is advisable to trade with negative SCRIP OI CHANGE PRICE CHANGE bias. (%) (%)  Continuous build-up was observed in CESC 589000 -17.51 414.75 2.67 NAGARCONST and the stock has been moving in a YESBANK 6598000 -9.64 285.85 0.05 very narrow range in the past few trading sessions. We expect a positive move in the counter up-to BOSCHLTD 14125 -8.87 5758.90 0.28 Rs193-195. Therefore, trading with a positive bias OPTOCIRCUI 512000 -7.41 259.55 6.57 is advisable, with the stop loss of Rs180. CAIRN 11252000 -6.81 311.90 3.55 Put-Call Ratio Historical Volatility SCRIP PCR-OI PCR-VOL SCRIP HV NIFTY 1.33 1.14 OPTOCIRCUI 38.97 RELIANCE 0.17 0.23 POLARIS 54.83 BANKNIFTY 3.00 0.68 EDUCOMP 49.14 TATASTEEL 0.52 0.31 DENABANK 41.45 ONGC 0.93 0.38 ROLTA 36.73 SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539 For Private Circulation Only 1
  • 2. Derivative Report | India Research FII Statistics for 12-July-2010 Turnover on 12-July-2010 Open Interest No. of Turnover Change Detail Buy Sell Net Instrument Contracts (Rs. in cr.) (%) Contracts Value Change (Rs. in cr.) (%) INDEX Index Futures 493124 12334.36 16.96 1910.80 1301.38 609.43 601088 16092.57 -2.90 FUTURES INDEX Stock Futures 545709 15913.31 -1.30 5240.77 4846.54 394.24 1886721 50746.78 0.87 OPTIONS STOCK Index Options 1610537 42927.63 18.79 1604.89 1014.58 590.31 1151054 30935.36 1.39 FUTURES STOCK Stock Options 109580 3368.60 -4.94 112.53 122.61 (10.08) 50344 1406.96 3.82 OPTIONS TOTAL 8869.00 7285.10 1,583.89 3689207 99181.66 0.44 Total 2758950 74543.90 12.35 Nifty Spot = 5383.00 Lot Size = 50 Bull-Call Spreads Bear-Put Spreads Action Strike Price Risk Reward BEP Action Strike Price Risk Reward BEP Buy 5400 65.45 Buy 5300 49.90 39.10 60.90 5439.10 21.10 78.90 5278.90 Sell 5500 26.35 Sell 5200 28.80 Buy 5400 65.45 Buy 5300 49.90 56.90 143.10 5456.90 33.65 166.35 5266.35 Sell 5600 8.55 Sell 5100 16.25 Buy 5500 26.35 Buy 5200 28.80 17.80 82.20 5517.80 12.55 87.45 5187.45 Sell 5600 8.55 Sell 5100 16.25 Note: Above mentioned Bullish or Bearish Spreads in Nifty (July Series) are given as an information and not as a recommendation Nifty Put-Call Analysis For Private Circulation Only SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539 2
  • 3. Derivative Report | India Research Strategy Date Scrip Strategy Status 28-June-2010 RELIANCE Long Put Continue 05-July 2010 NIFTY Put Hedge Continue 12-Jun-2010 RENUKA Long Call Continue 12-Jun-2010 ITC Long Put Continue DISCLAIMER This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. Angel Broking Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within. Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's fundamentals. The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable sources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this document is for general guidance only. Angel Broking or any of its affiliates/ group companies shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. Angel Broking Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify, nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While Angel Broking Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly. Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in the past. Neither Angel Broking Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or in connection with the use of this information. Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section). Derivative Research Team derivatives.desk@angeltrade.com For Private Circulation Only SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539 3