Derivative Report
                                                                                                      India Research
                                                                                                                July 16, 2010

Comments
                                                                Nifty Vs OI
 The Nifty futures’ open interest increased by 0.66%,
   while, Minifty futures open interest increased by 1.27%
   as market closed at 5378.75 levels.

 The Nifty July future closed at a premium of 2.80
   points, against a premium of 2.30 points in the last
   trading session, while the Aug future closed at a
   premium of 8.00 points.

 The PCR-OI has increased from 1.38 to 1.41 points.

 The Implied volatility of At-the-money options is
   trading around 16.50%

 Few liquid counters where cost-of-carry is positive are
   INDIAINFO, PFC, BRFL, KOTAKBANK and ALBK.




OI Gainers
                              OI                     PRICE
                                                                 View
SCRIP              OI       CHANGE       PRICE      CHANGE
                              (%)                     (%)         FII’s continue to remain buyers in cash market
                                                                    segment but interestingly are now shorting some
JINDALSWHL       134250        32.59    1824.70         3.88
                                                                    index futures. Also yesterday’s data indicate that
DABUR            1378000       23.70     212.40         -0.79       they have bought 5100 put options.
BANKINDIA        2762000       17.33     390.60         2.36
                                                                  5400-5500 is profit booking zone for the market
UNIONBANK        2800000       16.96     325.40         4.08        and we don’t see significant upside above 5400.
AXISBANK         5167250       16.87    1350.30         2.73      Rally in UNITECH has been predominantly because
                                                                    of short covering. 85-86 is strong resistance; we
OI Losers                                                           expect formation of shorts to pull stock down to 77-
                              OI                     PRICE          78 levels. Trade with negative bias or buy 80 put
SCRIP              OI       CHANGE       PRICE      CHANGE          option around 1.50 INR.
                              (%)                     (%)
                                                                  ASHOKLEY has shown phenomenal run from lower
POLARIS          3650000       -10.01    193.15         -6.87       levels of 62. We don’t expect further upside as
ROLTA            2324000        -9.57    181.35         -0.30       many longs now standing in it. We suggest
                                                                    squaring off of longs in this counter.
ASIANPAINT         31625        -8.99   2440.15         1.04
                                                                  BEML has added significant OI around 1000 level
PATNI            1749000        -8.09    529.75         0.45
                                                                    and prices have just started to inch up. We expect
SAMRUDDHI          36000        -7.69    474.40         0.70        1060 to be achieved. Trade with positive bias.

Put-Call Ratio                                                    Historical Volatility
SCRIP                        PCR-OI         PCR-VOL               SCRIP                                     HV

NIFTY                         1.41               1.22             LICHSGFIN                                42.28

RELIANCE                      0.17               0.20             NAGARCONST                               39.67

BANKNIFTY                     2.35               1.06             UNIONBANK                                33.42

TATASTEEL                     0.60               0.30             POLARIS                                  61.19

ONGC                          0.84               0.30             BPCL                                     64.97


SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539                                              For Private Circulation Only             1
Derivative Report | India Research




FII Statistics for 15-July-2010                                                                Turnover on 15-July-2010

                                                                   Open Interest
                                                                                                                   No. of       Turnover         Change
 Detail          Buy            Sell          Net                                                Instrument
                                                                                                                  Contracts     (Rs. in cr.)       (%)
                                                       Contracts       Value        Change
                                                                     (Rs. in cr.)     (%)
INDEX                                                                                          Index Futures      472863        11851.82             4.26
              1040.37     1498.08         (457.72)      643447       17243.54         1.68
FUTURES
INDEX                                                                                          Stock Futures      560179        16388.43             -10.71
              6841.60     5447.68        1,393.93      2001274       53790.17         2.38
OPTIONS
STOCK                                                                                          Index Options      1761221       47251.08             -7.47
              1167.19     1342.42         (175.23)     1184973       31970.25         1.61
FUTURES
STOCK                                                                                          Stock Options      114504        3605.04              -12.71
                99.33     130.62          (31.29)       55529          1553.07        3.01
OPTIONS
TOTAL         9148.49     8418.80         729.69       3885223      104557.03         2.04     Total              2908767       79096.36             -6.85




 Nifty Spot = 5378.75                          Lot Size = 50


 Bull-Call Spreads                                                                  Bear-Put Spreads

 Action       Strike    Price          Risk         Reward       BEP                Action    Strike     Price      Risk      Reward           BEP

 Buy         5400       57.70                                                       Buy       5300       41.35
                                       37.50        62.50     5437.50                                              20.65      79.35       5279.35
 Sell        5500       20.20                                                       Sell      5200       20.70
 Buy         5400       57.70                                                       Buy       5300       41.35
                                       52.90     147.10       5452.90                                              30.50      169.50      5269.50
 Sell        5600         4.80                                                      Sell      5100       10.85
 Buy         5500       20.20                                                       Buy       5200       20.70
                                       15.40        84.60     5515.40                                               9.85      90.15       5190.15
 Sell        5600         4.80                                                      Sell      5100       10.85

Note: Above mentioned Bullish or Bearish Spreads in Nifty (July Series) are given as an information and not as a recommendation




Nifty Put-Call Analysis




 For Private Circulation Only                               SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539                                                          2
Derivative Report | India Research




       Strategy Date                         Scrip                             Strategy                            Status

       28-June-2010                       RELIANCE                             Long Put                           Continue

        05-July 2010                      TATASTEEL                           Put Hedge                Profit booked on 13-July-2010

        12-Jun-2010                        RENUKA                             Long Call                           Continue

        12-Jun-2010                           ITC                              Long Put                           Continue




DISCLAIMER

This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment
decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should
make such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the
companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine
the merits and risks of such an investment.

Angel Broking Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make
investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this
document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within.

Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and
trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's
fundamentals.

The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable
sources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this
document is for general guidance only. Angel Broking or any of its affiliates/ group companies shall not be in any way responsible
for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. Angel
Broking Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify, nor
make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While
Angel Broking Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be
regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so.
This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced,
redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly.

Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or
other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or
in the past.

Neither Angel Broking Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or
in connection with the use of this information.

Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section).

Derivative Research Team                                                                         derivatives.desk@angeltrade.com

For Private Circulation Only                    SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539                                                    3

Derivatives Report - July 16, 2010

  • 1.
    Derivative Report India Research July 16, 2010 Comments Nifty Vs OI  The Nifty futures’ open interest increased by 0.66%, while, Minifty futures open interest increased by 1.27% as market closed at 5378.75 levels.  The Nifty July future closed at a premium of 2.80 points, against a premium of 2.30 points in the last trading session, while the Aug future closed at a premium of 8.00 points.  The PCR-OI has increased from 1.38 to 1.41 points.  The Implied volatility of At-the-money options is trading around 16.50%  Few liquid counters where cost-of-carry is positive are INDIAINFO, PFC, BRFL, KOTAKBANK and ALBK. OI Gainers OI PRICE View SCRIP OI CHANGE PRICE CHANGE (%) (%)  FII’s continue to remain buyers in cash market segment but interestingly are now shorting some JINDALSWHL 134250 32.59 1824.70 3.88 index futures. Also yesterday’s data indicate that DABUR 1378000 23.70 212.40 -0.79 they have bought 5100 put options. BANKINDIA 2762000 17.33 390.60 2.36  5400-5500 is profit booking zone for the market UNIONBANK 2800000 16.96 325.40 4.08 and we don’t see significant upside above 5400. AXISBANK 5167250 16.87 1350.30 2.73  Rally in UNITECH has been predominantly because of short covering. 85-86 is strong resistance; we OI Losers expect formation of shorts to pull stock down to 77- OI PRICE 78 levels. Trade with negative bias or buy 80 put SCRIP OI CHANGE PRICE CHANGE option around 1.50 INR. (%) (%)  ASHOKLEY has shown phenomenal run from lower POLARIS 3650000 -10.01 193.15 -6.87 levels of 62. We don’t expect further upside as ROLTA 2324000 -9.57 181.35 -0.30 many longs now standing in it. We suggest squaring off of longs in this counter. ASIANPAINT 31625 -8.99 2440.15 1.04  BEML has added significant OI around 1000 level PATNI 1749000 -8.09 529.75 0.45 and prices have just started to inch up. We expect SAMRUDDHI 36000 -7.69 474.40 0.70 1060 to be achieved. Trade with positive bias. Put-Call Ratio Historical Volatility SCRIP PCR-OI PCR-VOL SCRIP HV NIFTY 1.41 1.22 LICHSGFIN 42.28 RELIANCE 0.17 0.20 NAGARCONST 39.67 BANKNIFTY 2.35 1.06 UNIONBANK 33.42 TATASTEEL 0.60 0.30 POLARIS 61.19 ONGC 0.84 0.30 BPCL 64.97 SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539 For Private Circulation Only 1
  • 2.
    Derivative Report |India Research FII Statistics for 15-July-2010 Turnover on 15-July-2010 Open Interest No. of Turnover Change Detail Buy Sell Net Instrument Contracts (Rs. in cr.) (%) Contracts Value Change (Rs. in cr.) (%) INDEX Index Futures 472863 11851.82 4.26 1040.37 1498.08 (457.72) 643447 17243.54 1.68 FUTURES INDEX Stock Futures 560179 16388.43 -10.71 6841.60 5447.68 1,393.93 2001274 53790.17 2.38 OPTIONS STOCK Index Options 1761221 47251.08 -7.47 1167.19 1342.42 (175.23) 1184973 31970.25 1.61 FUTURES STOCK Stock Options 114504 3605.04 -12.71 99.33 130.62 (31.29) 55529 1553.07 3.01 OPTIONS TOTAL 9148.49 8418.80 729.69 3885223 104557.03 2.04 Total 2908767 79096.36 -6.85 Nifty Spot = 5378.75 Lot Size = 50 Bull-Call Spreads Bear-Put Spreads Action Strike Price Risk Reward BEP Action Strike Price Risk Reward BEP Buy 5400 57.70 Buy 5300 41.35 37.50 62.50 5437.50 20.65 79.35 5279.35 Sell 5500 20.20 Sell 5200 20.70 Buy 5400 57.70 Buy 5300 41.35 52.90 147.10 5452.90 30.50 169.50 5269.50 Sell 5600 4.80 Sell 5100 10.85 Buy 5500 20.20 Buy 5200 20.70 15.40 84.60 5515.40 9.85 90.15 5190.15 Sell 5600 4.80 Sell 5100 10.85 Note: Above mentioned Bullish or Bearish Spreads in Nifty (July Series) are given as an information and not as a recommendation Nifty Put-Call Analysis For Private Circulation Only SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539 2
  • 3.
    Derivative Report |India Research Strategy Date Scrip Strategy Status 28-June-2010 RELIANCE Long Put Continue 05-July 2010 TATASTEEL Put Hedge Profit booked on 13-July-2010 12-Jun-2010 RENUKA Long Call Continue 12-Jun-2010 ITC Long Put Continue DISCLAIMER This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. Angel Broking Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within. Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's fundamentals. The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable sources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this document is for general guidance only. Angel Broking or any of its affiliates/ group companies shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. Angel Broking Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify, nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While Angel Broking Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly. Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in the past. Neither Angel Broking Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or in connection with the use of this information. Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section). Derivative Research Team derivatives.desk@angeltrade.com For Private Circulation Only SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539 3