Decision MakingDecision Making
Decision & Decision Making ProcessDecision & Decision Making Process
- A choice from two or more alternatives.
- A set of eight steps that include identifying a
problem, selecting an alternative, and evaluating the
decision’s effectiveness
Decision Making Process……Decision Making Process……
Step 1 – Identifying a problemIdentifying a problem
Problem- A discrepancy between an existing and a
desired state of affairs
Step 2 – Identification of decision criteriaIdentification of decision criteria
Criteria – That define what’s relevant in a problem
Decision Making Process……Decision Making Process……
Step 3 – Allocating weights to the criteriaAllocating weights to the criteria
Prioritising
 Step 4 – Developing AlternativesDeveloping Alternatives
List the viable alternatives
 Step 5 – Analysing AlternativesAnalysing Alternatives
Appraising alternative against each criteria established in
steps 2 & 3
Decision Making Process……Decision Making Process……
Step 6 – Selecting an alternativeSelecting an alternative
Chosing the best alternative from
amoung those considered
Step 7 – Implementing theImplementing the
AlternativeAlternative
Implementing decisions effectively –
Planning – organising - Leading
Decision Making ProcessDecision Making Process
Step 8 – Evaluating Decision effectiveness
Evaluation by –CONTROL
Manager As Decision MakerManager As Decision Maker
Mangers are frequently called Decision Maker
Decision Making is synonyms to Management
Making DecisionsMaking Decisions
Rationality – Bounded Rationality - IntuitionRationality – Bounded Rationality - Intuition
Rational Decision Making
Describes choices that are consistent and value
maximising with in specified constraints.
Assumptions in Rationality :-
. The problem is clear and unambiguous
. A single, well defined goal is to be achieved.
. All alternatives and cosequences are known
. Prefrences are clear constant and stable
. No time or cost constraints exist.
Bounded RationalityBounded Rationality
Decision making behaviour is rational, but limited
by an individual’s ability to process information.
Satisficing – Acceptance of solutions that are
good enough.
Escalation of commitment – An increased
commitment to a previous decision despite
evidence that it may have been wrong
IntuitionIntuition
Making decisions on the basis of experience,
feelings, and accumulated jugement.
Intuition
Experienced Based
Affect - initiated
Subconscious
Mental processing
Values or ethics
Based
Cognitive - Based
Types of Problems & DecisionsTypes of Problems & Decisions
 Structured Problems – Programmed
decisions
- Straight forward, familiar and easily defined problems
Programmed decisions
- A repetitive decision that can be handled by a routine
approach
- Procedure
- policy
- Rules
Types of Problems & DecisionsTypes of Problems & Decisions
Unstructured Problems – Nonprogrammed
decisions
- Problems that are new or unusual and for which
information is ambiguous or incomplete
- A specific decision crafted for a unique problem
Types of Problems & DecisionsTypes of Problems & Decisions
Crisis and Crisis Management
Crisis is an unexpected problem that can lead to a
disaster if not resolved quickly and appropriately.
Crisis Management is preparation for the
management of crisis that threaten an organisation’s
health and well-being.
Crisis Management teams & Plans can be developed
to deal with various contingencies
Decision Making Conditions/Decision Making Conditions/
EnvironmentsEnvironments
Certain Environment
A situation offers complete information on possible action
alternatives and their consequences.
Risk Environment
Lacks complete information but offers probabilities of the
likely out comes for possible action alternatives
 Uncertain Environment
A situation lacks so much information that is difficult to
assign probabilities to the likely out comes of alternatives
Decision Making StylesDecision Making Styles
Decision making styles differ along two
dimentions:-
1) Way of Thinking
2) Tolerance for Ambiguity of an individual
Decision Making StylesDecision Making Styles
Directive Style
Analytic Style
Conceptual Style
Behavioural style
Decision Making StylesDecision Making Styles
High
Low
rational Intuitive
Analytic
Concep-
tual
Directive
Behav-
ioral
Tolerance
For
Ambiguity
Way of Thinking
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Decision making

  • 1.
  • 2.
    Decision & DecisionMaking ProcessDecision & Decision Making Process - A choice from two or more alternatives. - A set of eight steps that include identifying a problem, selecting an alternative, and evaluating the decision’s effectiveness
  • 3.
    Decision Making Process……DecisionMaking Process…… Step 1 – Identifying a problemIdentifying a problem Problem- A discrepancy between an existing and a desired state of affairs Step 2 – Identification of decision criteriaIdentification of decision criteria Criteria – That define what’s relevant in a problem
  • 4.
    Decision Making Process……DecisionMaking Process…… Step 3 – Allocating weights to the criteriaAllocating weights to the criteria Prioritising  Step 4 – Developing AlternativesDeveloping Alternatives List the viable alternatives  Step 5 – Analysing AlternativesAnalysing Alternatives Appraising alternative against each criteria established in steps 2 & 3
  • 5.
    Decision Making Process……DecisionMaking Process…… Step 6 – Selecting an alternativeSelecting an alternative Chosing the best alternative from amoung those considered Step 7 – Implementing theImplementing the AlternativeAlternative Implementing decisions effectively – Planning – organising - Leading
  • 6.
    Decision Making ProcessDecisionMaking Process Step 8 – Evaluating Decision effectiveness Evaluation by –CONTROL
  • 7.
    Manager As DecisionMakerManager As Decision Maker Mangers are frequently called Decision Maker Decision Making is synonyms to Management
  • 8.
    Making DecisionsMaking Decisions Rationality– Bounded Rationality - IntuitionRationality – Bounded Rationality - Intuition Rational Decision Making Describes choices that are consistent and value maximising with in specified constraints. Assumptions in Rationality :- . The problem is clear and unambiguous . A single, well defined goal is to be achieved. . All alternatives and cosequences are known . Prefrences are clear constant and stable . No time or cost constraints exist.
  • 9.
    Bounded RationalityBounded Rationality Decisionmaking behaviour is rational, but limited by an individual’s ability to process information. Satisficing – Acceptance of solutions that are good enough. Escalation of commitment – An increased commitment to a previous decision despite evidence that it may have been wrong
  • 10.
    IntuitionIntuition Making decisions onthe basis of experience, feelings, and accumulated jugement. Intuition Experienced Based Affect - initiated Subconscious Mental processing Values or ethics Based Cognitive - Based
  • 11.
    Types of Problems& DecisionsTypes of Problems & Decisions  Structured Problems – Programmed decisions - Straight forward, familiar and easily defined problems Programmed decisions - A repetitive decision that can be handled by a routine approach - Procedure - policy - Rules
  • 12.
    Types of Problems& DecisionsTypes of Problems & Decisions Unstructured Problems – Nonprogrammed decisions - Problems that are new or unusual and for which information is ambiguous or incomplete - A specific decision crafted for a unique problem
  • 13.
    Types of Problems& DecisionsTypes of Problems & Decisions Crisis and Crisis Management Crisis is an unexpected problem that can lead to a disaster if not resolved quickly and appropriately. Crisis Management is preparation for the management of crisis that threaten an organisation’s health and well-being. Crisis Management teams & Plans can be developed to deal with various contingencies
  • 14.
    Decision Making Conditions/DecisionMaking Conditions/ EnvironmentsEnvironments Certain Environment A situation offers complete information on possible action alternatives and their consequences. Risk Environment Lacks complete information but offers probabilities of the likely out comes for possible action alternatives  Uncertain Environment A situation lacks so much information that is difficult to assign probabilities to the likely out comes of alternatives
  • 15.
    Decision Making StylesDecisionMaking Styles Decision making styles differ along two dimentions:- 1) Way of Thinking 2) Tolerance for Ambiguity of an individual
  • 16.
    Decision Making StylesDecisionMaking Styles Directive Style Analytic Style Conceptual Style Behavioural style
  • 17.
    Decision Making StylesDecisionMaking Styles High Low rational Intuitive Analytic Concep- tual Directive Behav- ioral Tolerance For Ambiguity Way of Thinking
  • 18.