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I.T. for Management
                 Section2




Chapter 9
Role of information in
decision making
Role of Information in Decision
                Making

Conceptual model of Decision Making
  Managers deal with problems posing threats
and offering opportunities.
  Managers can be problem avoiders, problem
solvers, or problem seekers.
  Managers display systematic and intuitive
problem-solving styles.
  Managers make decisions under conditions of
certainty, risk, and uncertainty.
  Managers solve problems with programmed
and non programmed decisions.
Role of Information in Decision
                Making

             Types of Decision
Certain Environment
   offers complete information on possible action
 alternatives and their consequences.
Risk Environment
   lacks complete information but offers
 probabilities of the likely outcomes for possible
 action alternatives.
Uncertain Environment
   lacks so much information that it is difficult to
 assign probabilities to the likely outcomes of
 alternatives.
Role of Information in Decision
                Making

               Types of Decision
Decision
   a choice among possible alternative courses of
 action.
Programmed Decision
   applies a solution from past experience to a
 routine problem.
Non programmed Decision
   applies a specific solution crafted for a unique
 problem.
Role of Information in Decision
            Making

       Types of Decision
Role of Information in Decision
                 Making
     Conceptual model of Decision making

Classical Economic model
This nominative model is based on the following
assumptions:
•All decisions and outcomes are completely known
•The model states that the decision maker always
seeks to maximize profit or utility
•The decision maker is infinitely sensitive to
difference in utility among outcome
•Decision making in the business context is nothing
but a set of tradeoffs
Role of Information in Decision
                 Making
     Conceptual model of Decision making

Administrative model
It works on the concept of bounded rationality
It assumes that the decision maker
•Does not know all the alternatives and outcomes
•Makes a limited search to discover a few
satisfactory alternatives
•Makes a decision which satisfies his or her
aspiration
     The decision maker has to do a balancing act
between the conflicting trade-off’s
Role of Information in Decision
                  Making
      Conceptual model of Decision making

•Human expectations and decision making
•Humans display a variety of responses in decision-
making
•Anticipatory regret is a psychological response to
alternatives,it inhibits the decision maker from making a
decision without contemplating the consequences.
•Decision making under psychological stress
•This concept is important to the design of information
systems,because a decision support system to be used under
conditions of decision conflict & may not effective unless it
takes care of behavior under psychological stress
Role of Information in Decision
                 Making
     Conceptual model of Decision making
Herbert Simons model of decision making
This model divides the process into 3 phases
   •Intelligence phase
   Searching the environment conditions calling for
   decision data inputs are obtained ,processed &
   examined for clues that may identify problems
   or opportunities
   •Design phase
   Inventing ,developing possible course of actions
   •Choice phase
   Selecting one of alternative,or course of actions
Role of Information in Decision
            Making
Herbert Simons model of decision making
Role of Information in Decision
                Making


  Herbert Simons model of decision making
Step 1 is to identify and define the problem.
Step 2 is to generate and evaluate alternative
    courses of action.
Step 3 is to decide on a preferred course of
    action.
Step 4 is to implement the decision.
Step 5 is to evaluate results.
Determining Information Need
        Data Flow Methods




     End of chapter 9

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Role of Information Technology in Decision Making

  • 1. I.T. for Management Section2 Chapter 9 Role of information in decision making
  • 2. Role of Information in Decision Making Conceptual model of Decision Making Managers deal with problems posing threats and offering opportunities. Managers can be problem avoiders, problem solvers, or problem seekers. Managers display systematic and intuitive problem-solving styles. Managers make decisions under conditions of certainty, risk, and uncertainty. Managers solve problems with programmed and non programmed decisions.
  • 3. Role of Information in Decision Making Types of Decision Certain Environment offers complete information on possible action alternatives and their consequences. Risk Environment lacks complete information but offers probabilities of the likely outcomes for possible action alternatives. Uncertain Environment lacks so much information that it is difficult to assign probabilities to the likely outcomes of alternatives.
  • 4. Role of Information in Decision Making Types of Decision Decision a choice among possible alternative courses of action. Programmed Decision applies a solution from past experience to a routine problem. Non programmed Decision applies a specific solution crafted for a unique problem.
  • 5. Role of Information in Decision Making Types of Decision
  • 6. Role of Information in Decision Making Conceptual model of Decision making Classical Economic model This nominative model is based on the following assumptions: •All decisions and outcomes are completely known •The model states that the decision maker always seeks to maximize profit or utility •The decision maker is infinitely sensitive to difference in utility among outcome •Decision making in the business context is nothing but a set of tradeoffs
  • 7. Role of Information in Decision Making Conceptual model of Decision making Administrative model It works on the concept of bounded rationality It assumes that the decision maker •Does not know all the alternatives and outcomes •Makes a limited search to discover a few satisfactory alternatives •Makes a decision which satisfies his or her aspiration The decision maker has to do a balancing act between the conflicting trade-off’s
  • 8. Role of Information in Decision Making Conceptual model of Decision making •Human expectations and decision making •Humans display a variety of responses in decision- making •Anticipatory regret is a psychological response to alternatives,it inhibits the decision maker from making a decision without contemplating the consequences. •Decision making under psychological stress •This concept is important to the design of information systems,because a decision support system to be used under conditions of decision conflict & may not effective unless it takes care of behavior under psychological stress
  • 9. Role of Information in Decision Making Conceptual model of Decision making Herbert Simons model of decision making This model divides the process into 3 phases •Intelligence phase Searching the environment conditions calling for decision data inputs are obtained ,processed & examined for clues that may identify problems or opportunities •Design phase Inventing ,developing possible course of actions •Choice phase Selecting one of alternative,or course of actions
  • 10. Role of Information in Decision Making Herbert Simons model of decision making
  • 11. Role of Information in Decision Making Herbert Simons model of decision making Step 1 is to identify and define the problem. Step 2 is to generate and evaluate alternative courses of action. Step 3 is to decide on a preferred course of action. Step 4 is to implement the decision. Step 5 is to evaluate results.
  • 12. Determining Information Need Data Flow Methods End of chapter 9