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Best practice indicators at the
sectoral level and where countries
stand
Side Event
1 December 2015, 18.30 – 20.30
Sebastian Sterl & Markus Hagemann
Agenda
• Best practice of what? – Selecting sectoral indicators to
describe decarbonization trends.
• What is best practice? – Defining best practice by
indicator
• Decarbonization and best practice in selected sectors
– Electricity sector
– Transport sector
• Summary
• Moving forward - A tool everybody can use to understand
best practice in a country context
12/1/2015 www.climateactiontracker.org 2
Understanding decarbonisation trends
12/1/2015 www.climateactiontracker.org 3
Pledge (if available)
Current policy (if available)
Required
for 2°C
Global average
2010 2050
Current best
practice
Different countries
Activity indicator
Pledge (if available)
Current policy (if available)
Required
for 2°C
Global average
2010 2050
Current best
practice
Intensity indicator
Overview of comprehensive indicator list
• 5 sectors plus sub-sector
• 35 indicators
– At least 1 intensity and activity indicator per sector
– 6 macro level indicators to describe country level trends
12/1/2015 www.climateactiontracker.org 4
Defining best practice – example electricity, emission
intensity
Best practice type Description/ Reasoning Applied to
indicator
Countries chosen for
Best practice
Country w/ nuclear
power
A number of countries
have decided to use
nuclear as a main source
of their energy mix
[gCO2/kWh]
[% renewables]
France
Country w/ large
hydro potential
A number of countries
have a large hydro power
potentials
[gCO2/kWh]
[% renewables]
Norway, Brazil,
Sweden
w/o nuclear or large
hydro
A number of countries
do not have any hydro
power potential nor have
included nuclear energy
in their mix
[gCO2/kWh]
[% renewables]
Denmark, Germany
[gCO2 / kWh]
Philippines, EU [% RE]
12/1/2015 www.climateactiontracker.org 5
Example electricity – emission intensity
• E.g. EU:
– Historic emission intensity below global average but well above what is
possible according to best practice
– Future projected policy path in line with what 2°C scenarios suggest
12/1/2015 www.climateactiontracker.org 6
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
[gCO2/kWh]
Electricity - Electricity emission intensity [CO2 emissions per unit electricity produced] EU
Global average
Current policies
Pledge
Required for 2 ºC pathway
Required for 2 ºC pathway
Nuclear
Large hydro potential
Large hydro potential
Large hydro potential
w/o nuclear or large hydro
potentail
Defining best practice – example transport (road)
• Modal split [% private cars and motorcycles]:
– Value: 58%
– Source: share as currently (2010) in Japan
• CO2 emission per vehicle kilometer [kgCO2/vkm]
– Value: 0.208
– Source: Emission intensity of (2010) in EU
• Biofuels and electrification in road transport [%
biofuels/elec.]
– Value: 18.9%
– Source: Share of biofuels in (2010) in Brazil
12/1/2015 www.climateactiontracker.org 7
Example transport – emission intensity of LDVs
• E.g. USA
– Historically high emission levels, much higher than best practive
– Future policy projections though in line with 2 degree and better than
current best practice
12/1/2015 www.climateactiontracker.org 8
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
0.4
1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
[kgCO2/vkm]
Transport: Road - Road transport intensity (emissions) [CO2 emission per vehicle kilometre]
USA
Global average
Current policies
Pledge
Required for 2 ºC pathway
Required for 2 ºC pathway
Conclusions
• Sectoral decarbonization indicators allow to
identify important trends that are not apparent at
the macro level
• They provide a more nuanced and help to
understand driver behind emissions pathways a
lot better.
• Defining best practice levels for this indicators
allow to identify how and where countries can
increase their ambition
12/1/2015 www.climateactiontracker.org 9
Additional information
• Policy brief
“Faster & Cleaner”
• How decarbonization is
happening faster than
expected
12/1/2015 www.climateactiontracker.org 10
Climate Action Tracker database
WEBSITE presentation
12/1/2015 www.climateactiontracker.org 11
BACKUP slides
12/1/2015 www.climateactiontracker.org 12
Approach to selecting impactful indicators
Guiding
questions
Guiding questions for
identifying indicators
- How easy is it to get
access to data for the
indicators?
- How relevant are
indicators with regard
to policy design and
evaluation?
- Can we identify best
practices and how
meaningful is it?
Long list of
indicators
Establish a
long list of all
possible
indicators
•Macro vs
Sector
•Activity &
Intensity
Selection of
indicators
Assess data availability:
Need consistent and coherent data for a
significant fraction of countries on:
•Historical development
•Current best practice
•2 degree compatibility pathway
Evaluate policy relevance:
• Will policies actually influence indicator
development?
• Can policies be evaluated by tracking
indicators?
Application to
countries
12/1/2015 www.climateactiontracker.org 13
Assess data
availability
Evaluate policy
relevance
Overview of sectoral best practice indicators
Sector Indicator Definition Unit
Industry: Cement Cement activity Amount of cement produced per capita t product / cap
Industry: Cement Cement intensity CO2 emissions per unit cement produced kg CO2 / t product
Industry: Steel Steel activity Amount of steel produced per capita t product / cap
Industry: Steel Steel intensity CO2 emissions per unit steel produced kg CO2 / t product
Industry: Chemicals Chemicals intensity
CO2 emissions in chemical sector per
added value gCO2 / USD2012
Industry: Chemicals Chemicals activity n.a. n.a.
Oil and Gas Oil and Gas intensity Fugitive GHG emissions tCO2e / ktoe
Oil and Gas Oil and Gas activity n.a. n.a.
Electricity Electricity activity Electricity demand per capita kWh / cap
Electricity Electricity emission intensity
CO2 emissions per unit electricity
produced gCO2 / kWh
Electricity Electricity renewable intensity Renewables in electricity generation % renewables
Transport: Road Road transport activity Modal split
% private cars and
motorcycles
Transport: Road
Road transport intensity
(emissions) CO2 emission per vehicle kilometre kg CO2 / vkm
Transport: Road
Road transport intensity
(biofuel/electrification)
Biofuels and electrification in road
transport % biofuels/elec.
Transport: Aviation Aviation biofuel intensity Biofuels and electrification in aviation % biofuels/elec.
Transport: Aviation Aviation activity Passenger flux per capita pkm / cap
12/1/2015 www.climateactiontracker.org 14
Overview of sectoral best practice indicators – cont.
12/1/2015 www.climateactiontracker.org 15
Sector Indicator Definition Unit
Buildings Buildings activity (residential) Residential building area per capita m² / cap
Buildings Buildings activity (commercial) Commercial building area per capita m² / cap
Buildings Buildings intensity (residential)
CO2 emissions per residential
building area kg CO2 / m²
Buildings Buildings intensity (commercial)
CO2 emissions per commercial
building area kg CO2 / m²
Buildings Buildings intensity (per capita)
Total building CO2 emissions per
capita t CO2 / cap
Forestry Forestry activity Forest area (indexed to base year)
ha of forest (indexed to
1990)
Forestry Forestry intensity n.a. n.a.
Agriculture
Agriculture activity (meat):
consumption Meat calorie consumption per capita meat kcal / cap / day
Agriculture
Agriculture activity (total):
consumption Total calorie consumption per capita kcal / cap / day
Agriculture
Agriculture activity (meat):
production Meat production per capita meat kg / cap / day
Agriculture Agriculture intensity (total)
Tonnes of GHG emission per valued
added
tCO2e / thousand
USD2012
Waste Waste activity Amount of waste per capita t waste / cap
Waste Waste intensity Methane emissions per unit of waste
tCH4 from landfill / t
waste

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Best practice indicators at the sectoral level and where countries stand

  • 1. Best practice indicators at the sectoral level and where countries stand Side Event 1 December 2015, 18.30 – 20.30 Sebastian Sterl & Markus Hagemann
  • 2. Agenda • Best practice of what? – Selecting sectoral indicators to describe decarbonization trends. • What is best practice? – Defining best practice by indicator • Decarbonization and best practice in selected sectors – Electricity sector – Transport sector • Summary • Moving forward - A tool everybody can use to understand best practice in a country context 12/1/2015 www.climateactiontracker.org 2
  • 3. Understanding decarbonisation trends 12/1/2015 www.climateactiontracker.org 3 Pledge (if available) Current policy (if available) Required for 2°C Global average 2010 2050 Current best practice Different countries Activity indicator Pledge (if available) Current policy (if available) Required for 2°C Global average 2010 2050 Current best practice Intensity indicator
  • 4. Overview of comprehensive indicator list • 5 sectors plus sub-sector • 35 indicators – At least 1 intensity and activity indicator per sector – 6 macro level indicators to describe country level trends 12/1/2015 www.climateactiontracker.org 4
  • 5. Defining best practice – example electricity, emission intensity Best practice type Description/ Reasoning Applied to indicator Countries chosen for Best practice Country w/ nuclear power A number of countries have decided to use nuclear as a main source of their energy mix [gCO2/kWh] [% renewables] France Country w/ large hydro potential A number of countries have a large hydro power potentials [gCO2/kWh] [% renewables] Norway, Brazil, Sweden w/o nuclear or large hydro A number of countries do not have any hydro power potential nor have included nuclear energy in their mix [gCO2/kWh] [% renewables] Denmark, Germany [gCO2 / kWh] Philippines, EU [% RE] 12/1/2015 www.climateactiontracker.org 5
  • 6. Example electricity – emission intensity • E.g. EU: – Historic emission intensity below global average but well above what is possible according to best practice – Future projected policy path in line with what 2°C scenarios suggest 12/1/2015 www.climateactiontracker.org 6 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 [gCO2/kWh] Electricity - Electricity emission intensity [CO2 emissions per unit electricity produced] EU Global average Current policies Pledge Required for 2 ºC pathway Required for 2 ºC pathway Nuclear Large hydro potential Large hydro potential Large hydro potential w/o nuclear or large hydro potentail
  • 7. Defining best practice – example transport (road) • Modal split [% private cars and motorcycles]: – Value: 58% – Source: share as currently (2010) in Japan • CO2 emission per vehicle kilometer [kgCO2/vkm] – Value: 0.208 – Source: Emission intensity of (2010) in EU • Biofuels and electrification in road transport [% biofuels/elec.] – Value: 18.9% – Source: Share of biofuels in (2010) in Brazil 12/1/2015 www.climateactiontracker.org 7
  • 8. Example transport – emission intensity of LDVs • E.g. USA – Historically high emission levels, much higher than best practive – Future policy projections though in line with 2 degree and better than current best practice 12/1/2015 www.climateactiontracker.org 8 0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 0.4 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 [kgCO2/vkm] Transport: Road - Road transport intensity (emissions) [CO2 emission per vehicle kilometre] USA Global average Current policies Pledge Required for 2 ºC pathway Required for 2 ºC pathway
  • 9. Conclusions • Sectoral decarbonization indicators allow to identify important trends that are not apparent at the macro level • They provide a more nuanced and help to understand driver behind emissions pathways a lot better. • Defining best practice levels for this indicators allow to identify how and where countries can increase their ambition 12/1/2015 www.climateactiontracker.org 9
  • 10. Additional information • Policy brief “Faster & Cleaner” • How decarbonization is happening faster than expected 12/1/2015 www.climateactiontracker.org 10
  • 11. Climate Action Tracker database WEBSITE presentation 12/1/2015 www.climateactiontracker.org 11
  • 13. Approach to selecting impactful indicators Guiding questions Guiding questions for identifying indicators - How easy is it to get access to data for the indicators? - How relevant are indicators with regard to policy design and evaluation? - Can we identify best practices and how meaningful is it? Long list of indicators Establish a long list of all possible indicators •Macro vs Sector •Activity & Intensity Selection of indicators Assess data availability: Need consistent and coherent data for a significant fraction of countries on: •Historical development •Current best practice •2 degree compatibility pathway Evaluate policy relevance: • Will policies actually influence indicator development? • Can policies be evaluated by tracking indicators? Application to countries 12/1/2015 www.climateactiontracker.org 13 Assess data availability Evaluate policy relevance
  • 14. Overview of sectoral best practice indicators Sector Indicator Definition Unit Industry: Cement Cement activity Amount of cement produced per capita t product / cap Industry: Cement Cement intensity CO2 emissions per unit cement produced kg CO2 / t product Industry: Steel Steel activity Amount of steel produced per capita t product / cap Industry: Steel Steel intensity CO2 emissions per unit steel produced kg CO2 / t product Industry: Chemicals Chemicals intensity CO2 emissions in chemical sector per added value gCO2 / USD2012 Industry: Chemicals Chemicals activity n.a. n.a. Oil and Gas Oil and Gas intensity Fugitive GHG emissions tCO2e / ktoe Oil and Gas Oil and Gas activity n.a. n.a. Electricity Electricity activity Electricity demand per capita kWh / cap Electricity Electricity emission intensity CO2 emissions per unit electricity produced gCO2 / kWh Electricity Electricity renewable intensity Renewables in electricity generation % renewables Transport: Road Road transport activity Modal split % private cars and motorcycles Transport: Road Road transport intensity (emissions) CO2 emission per vehicle kilometre kg CO2 / vkm Transport: Road Road transport intensity (biofuel/electrification) Biofuels and electrification in road transport % biofuels/elec. Transport: Aviation Aviation biofuel intensity Biofuels and electrification in aviation % biofuels/elec. Transport: Aviation Aviation activity Passenger flux per capita pkm / cap 12/1/2015 www.climateactiontracker.org 14
  • 15. Overview of sectoral best practice indicators – cont. 12/1/2015 www.climateactiontracker.org 15 Sector Indicator Definition Unit Buildings Buildings activity (residential) Residential building area per capita m² / cap Buildings Buildings activity (commercial) Commercial building area per capita m² / cap Buildings Buildings intensity (residential) CO2 emissions per residential building area kg CO2 / m² Buildings Buildings intensity (commercial) CO2 emissions per commercial building area kg CO2 / m² Buildings Buildings intensity (per capita) Total building CO2 emissions per capita t CO2 / cap Forestry Forestry activity Forest area (indexed to base year) ha of forest (indexed to 1990) Forestry Forestry intensity n.a. n.a. Agriculture Agriculture activity (meat): consumption Meat calorie consumption per capita meat kcal / cap / day Agriculture Agriculture activity (total): consumption Total calorie consumption per capita kcal / cap / day Agriculture Agriculture activity (meat): production Meat production per capita meat kg / cap / day Agriculture Agriculture intensity (total) Tonnes of GHG emission per valued added tCO2e / thousand USD2012 Waste Waste activity Amount of waste per capita t waste / cap Waste Waste intensity Methane emissions per unit of waste tCH4 from landfill / t waste

Editor's Notes

  1. Add macro YDE: DONE Make data/policy one step YDE: DONE Add country step YDE: DONE Add policy driven discussion before YDE: DONE Use Policy Circle YDE: Agreed not to Show arrow going off after indicator selection to CTI workstream (just make a circle) YDE: DONE Didn’t fit: just say when presenting: Not all indicators relevant for all countries (sectoral indicators) Indicators may have different importance for different countries Industry or agri may not apply to all countires (in same way)