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CaliforniaAEPAnnualConference
March26,2018
Rich Walter, Senior Fellow, ICF International
on behalf of AEP Climate Change Committee
Consumption and Lifecycle Greenhouse Gas
Inventories: Implications for Climate Action Plans
and CEQA
Problem Statement
 What is the proper role of consumption-
based emission inventories and lifecycle
analysis in CEQA review of greenhouse
gas (GHG) emissions and in local Climate
Action Plans in California?
GHG Inventory Approaches
 Production-Based
Accounting
 Includes emissions produced
within the subject jurisdiction.
 Most common approach for
nations and states; previously
used for communities.
Image: Reuters (Smokestack) and ruigsantos/iStock/Thinkstock (tailpipe)
GHG Inventory Approaches
 Activity-Based Accounting
 Emissions related to land use
activity in a jurisdiction even if
the emissions occur outside the
jurisdiction.
 Limited to most immediate
direct/indirect emissions; does
not include more remote
upstream and downstream
emissions.
Image: Rao, George, Shandas and Rosenstiel, 2017
GHG Inventory Approaches
 Consumption-Based
Accounting
 Includes lifecycle GHG
emissions of consumed
goods and services in
jurisdiction.
 Usually focused on
residential and government
consumption only.
Image: thinglink
Image: USDN Sustainable Consumption Toolkit
GHG Inventory Approaches
 Lifecycle Accounting
 Lifecycle analysis include all
upstream, use, and
downstream emissions
associated with a product.
 Commonly used by
corporations; not applied at
community scale.
Image: USDN Sustainable Consumption Toolkit
OVERLAP
Emissions associated
with
residential/institutional
consumption:
Electricity generation
emissions
Natural gas combustion
and other fuel use
Transportation fuel
combustion
Upstream and
downstream water
transport//treatment
emissions
Disposal emissions of
waste generated
CONSUMPTION-BASED
EMISSIONS INVENTORY
ONLY
Emissions associated
with
residential/institutional
consumption:
Fuel production and
transportation emissions
for electricity consumed
Fuel production and
transportation emissions
for natural gas/fuel use
Fuel production and
transportation emissions
for transportation fuel use
Water infrastructure
construction emissions
Embedded emissions in
consumed goods and
services
ACTIVITY-BASED
EMISSIONS INVENTORY
ONLY
Commercial and industrial
activity emissions
Electricity generation
emissions
Natural gas combustion
and other fuel use
Transportation fuel
combustion
Upstream and
downstream water
transport./treatment
emissions
Disposal emissions of
waste generated
Land use change
emissions
Example: Transportation
Production:
Only emissions in
jurisdiction
Consumption:
Lifecycle emissions for
residential +
government fuel use
Activity-Based:
Fuel Use Emissions
related to Land uses
Lifecycle:
All upstream and use
emissions
Upstream Emissions
Use
Emissions
Comparing Results: International
Nation Year
Production Consumption
Consumption/
Production
Production
per capita
Consumption
per capita
MMT C02e MMT C02e %
MTCO2e/
person
MTCO2e/
person
United
States 2004 5,800 6,500 112% 19.7 22.0
China 2004 5,100 3,950 77% 3.9 3.0
India 2004 1,360 1,260 93% 1.3 1.2
United
Kingdom 2004 555 808 146% 9.3 13.6
International flows of emissions embodied in trade (MT CO2/year)
(Peters et al. 2011).
Comparing Results: State/Community
Jurisdiction Year
Community Consumption
Cons./
Com
Community
per capita
Consumption
per capita
MMT C02e MMT C02e %
MTCO2e/
person
MTCO2e/
person
Denver 2005 11.1 14.6 132% 19.2 25.2
San
Francisco 2008 5.9 21.7 370% 7.3 26.9
King 2008 23.4 55.0 235% 12.4 29.3
Oregon 2010 62.8 74.7 119% 16.4 19.5
Portland 2011 7.9 15.8 200% 10.6 21.2
Oakland 2013 2.7 7.6 278% 6.7 18.6
BAAQMD 2013 88.2 115.2 131% 12.4 16.2
NOTE: Methodologies used for community and consumption inventories differ and thus may not
be strictly comparable. See AEP White paper for sources and discussion.
Implications for Climate Action
Plans
 Consumption-based accounting is a complement to, but not a
replacement of, Activity-based or Production-based accounting.
 Consumption-based methodologies do not have “rough”
consensus yet and data is incomplete or general in nature.
 Consumption-based inventories cannot be compared to state
inventory or state reduction targets.
 Recommendations:
 Consumption-based accounting provides useful information for the
upstream emissions consequences of local consumption for
consideration by residents, businesses, and institutions.
 Include in local CAPs as informational item at discretion of lead
agency.
Implications for CEQA
 Consumption-Based Accounting not consistent with State
inventory and Thresholds based on State target
 Embodied emissions often remote and are rarely under the
control of project proponents or CEQA lead agencies.
 Consensus does not exist for methodologies to estimate
project-level consumption emissions.
 Publically available data sparse to estimate project-level
consumption emissions.
 Recommendation: Voluntary inclusion of consumption-
based element at discretion of CEQA lead agency for
disclosure purposes only….for now.
When would it work for CEQA?
 California completes statewide consumption inventory and
forecasts.
 California legislature adopts a GHG reduction target based
on a statewide consumption inventory.
 California adopts a plan (like the 2030 Scoping Plan) for the
reduction of consumption-based GHG emissions.
 Reasonable consensus on methods and sufficient
reasonably-available public data.
 Suitable consumption-based CEQA project consumption
thresholds.
Thanks…and Contact Information
 Rich Walter, ICF
 Rich.Walter@icf.com
 Tel: 510-290-1860
Link to AEP Climate Change
Committee White Papers:
https://www.califaep.org/climate-change

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2018 aep conf inventories_ghg_rw_032618

  • 1. CaliforniaAEPAnnualConference March26,2018 Rich Walter, Senior Fellow, ICF International on behalf of AEP Climate Change Committee Consumption and Lifecycle Greenhouse Gas Inventories: Implications for Climate Action Plans and CEQA
  • 2. Problem Statement  What is the proper role of consumption- based emission inventories and lifecycle analysis in CEQA review of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and in local Climate Action Plans in California?
  • 3. GHG Inventory Approaches  Production-Based Accounting  Includes emissions produced within the subject jurisdiction.  Most common approach for nations and states; previously used for communities. Image: Reuters (Smokestack) and ruigsantos/iStock/Thinkstock (tailpipe)
  • 4. GHG Inventory Approaches  Activity-Based Accounting  Emissions related to land use activity in a jurisdiction even if the emissions occur outside the jurisdiction.  Limited to most immediate direct/indirect emissions; does not include more remote upstream and downstream emissions. Image: Rao, George, Shandas and Rosenstiel, 2017
  • 5. GHG Inventory Approaches  Consumption-Based Accounting  Includes lifecycle GHG emissions of consumed goods and services in jurisdiction.  Usually focused on residential and government consumption only. Image: thinglink
  • 6. Image: USDN Sustainable Consumption Toolkit
  • 7. GHG Inventory Approaches  Lifecycle Accounting  Lifecycle analysis include all upstream, use, and downstream emissions associated with a product.  Commonly used by corporations; not applied at community scale. Image: USDN Sustainable Consumption Toolkit
  • 8. OVERLAP Emissions associated with residential/institutional consumption: Electricity generation emissions Natural gas combustion and other fuel use Transportation fuel combustion Upstream and downstream water transport//treatment emissions Disposal emissions of waste generated CONSUMPTION-BASED EMISSIONS INVENTORY ONLY Emissions associated with residential/institutional consumption: Fuel production and transportation emissions for electricity consumed Fuel production and transportation emissions for natural gas/fuel use Fuel production and transportation emissions for transportation fuel use Water infrastructure construction emissions Embedded emissions in consumed goods and services ACTIVITY-BASED EMISSIONS INVENTORY ONLY Commercial and industrial activity emissions Electricity generation emissions Natural gas combustion and other fuel use Transportation fuel combustion Upstream and downstream water transport./treatment emissions Disposal emissions of waste generated Land use change emissions
  • 9. Example: Transportation Production: Only emissions in jurisdiction Consumption: Lifecycle emissions for residential + government fuel use Activity-Based: Fuel Use Emissions related to Land uses Lifecycle: All upstream and use emissions Upstream Emissions Use Emissions
  • 10. Comparing Results: International Nation Year Production Consumption Consumption/ Production Production per capita Consumption per capita MMT C02e MMT C02e % MTCO2e/ person MTCO2e/ person United States 2004 5,800 6,500 112% 19.7 22.0 China 2004 5,100 3,950 77% 3.9 3.0 India 2004 1,360 1,260 93% 1.3 1.2 United Kingdom 2004 555 808 146% 9.3 13.6
  • 11. International flows of emissions embodied in trade (MT CO2/year) (Peters et al. 2011).
  • 12. Comparing Results: State/Community Jurisdiction Year Community Consumption Cons./ Com Community per capita Consumption per capita MMT C02e MMT C02e % MTCO2e/ person MTCO2e/ person Denver 2005 11.1 14.6 132% 19.2 25.2 San Francisco 2008 5.9 21.7 370% 7.3 26.9 King 2008 23.4 55.0 235% 12.4 29.3 Oregon 2010 62.8 74.7 119% 16.4 19.5 Portland 2011 7.9 15.8 200% 10.6 21.2 Oakland 2013 2.7 7.6 278% 6.7 18.6 BAAQMD 2013 88.2 115.2 131% 12.4 16.2 NOTE: Methodologies used for community and consumption inventories differ and thus may not be strictly comparable. See AEP White paper for sources and discussion.
  • 13. Implications for Climate Action Plans  Consumption-based accounting is a complement to, but not a replacement of, Activity-based or Production-based accounting.  Consumption-based methodologies do not have “rough” consensus yet and data is incomplete or general in nature.  Consumption-based inventories cannot be compared to state inventory or state reduction targets.  Recommendations:  Consumption-based accounting provides useful information for the upstream emissions consequences of local consumption for consideration by residents, businesses, and institutions.  Include in local CAPs as informational item at discretion of lead agency.
  • 14. Implications for CEQA  Consumption-Based Accounting not consistent with State inventory and Thresholds based on State target  Embodied emissions often remote and are rarely under the control of project proponents or CEQA lead agencies.  Consensus does not exist for methodologies to estimate project-level consumption emissions.  Publically available data sparse to estimate project-level consumption emissions.  Recommendation: Voluntary inclusion of consumption- based element at discretion of CEQA lead agency for disclosure purposes only….for now.
  • 15. When would it work for CEQA?  California completes statewide consumption inventory and forecasts.  California legislature adopts a GHG reduction target based on a statewide consumption inventory.  California adopts a plan (like the 2030 Scoping Plan) for the reduction of consumption-based GHG emissions.  Reasonable consensus on methods and sufficient reasonably-available public data.  Suitable consumption-based CEQA project consumption thresholds.
  • 16. Thanks…and Contact Information  Rich Walter, ICF  Rich.Walter@icf.com  Tel: 510-290-1860 Link to AEP Climate Change Committee White Papers: https://www.califaep.org/climate-change