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ECONOMIC AND ENVIRONMENTAL
BENEFITS FROM INTERNATIONAL
CO-ORDINATION ON CARBON
PRICING
Daniel Nachtigall (Daniel.NACHTIGALL@oecd.org)
Jane Ellis (Jane.ELLIS@oecd.org)
Climate Water and Biodiversity Division
Environment Directorate, OECD
Carbon Market Platform
Strategic Dialogue
04/05 November 2020
2
Outline
Context and Background
Main results
Questions for discussion
• Carbon pricing key element of climate strategy, but price
levels are often very low
• International co-ordination on carbon pricing can enhance
mitigation ambition and bring mutual benefits
• Better understanding of benefits needed to make better
informed decisions
• Review of 46 studies published in the last 10+ years on
1. Quantification of economic and environmental benefits of
different forms of international co-operation
2. Distribution of benefits across countries
3
Context
International co-
ordination
Economic benefits
Distributed
asymmetrically
Environmental
benefits
4
Key takeaways
Reduces emissions
Reduces carbon leakage
Raises ambition
Saves mitigation costs
5
Economic models and caveats
Source: Based on Carbonbrief (2018)
Key caveats
• Results differ
substantially
across models
• Climate damage
not (sufficiently)
addressed
• Political, practical,
legal challenges to
co-ordination
6
Outline
Context and Background
Main results
Questions for discussion
7
International harmonisation of carbon pricing
Shadow carbon price to reach current NDCs by region for different models
8
Benefits from (sub)-global carbon markets
Economic benefits
• Substantial reduction of mitigation costs
• Heterogeneity across countries
• Lower for sub-global co-operation
Environmental benefits
• Reinvesting saved mitigation costs
could enhance ambition
• Co-operation would eliminate/reduce
carbon leakage
Caveat:
• Static versus dynamic efficiency
Reduction
Increase
Welfare effects of (sub)-global carbon markets
9
Extending coverage of carbon pricing
Coverage of other
GHGs
• Would reduce
mitigation costs
by 25-42%
• Would improve
welfare of all
countries
• Would reduce
carbon leakage
Sectoral coverage
• Would reduce
mitigation costs
by 2-60%
• Would reduce
(inter-sectoral)
carbon leakage
Caveats
• Pre-existing
energy taxes
(e.g. road)
• Risk of
convergence to
price level of
sector with
highest barrier
10
Multilateral fossil fuel subsidy reform (FFSR)
• Global FFSR would reduce
CO2 emissions, but would
lead to carbon leakage
• Global FFSR would
increase global welfare, but
effect varies between
countries
• Global FFSR would have
different implications than
unilateral FFSR
• Sub-global FFSR would
have smaller effects
Effects of global phase out of FFS
Mechanisms for
leakage
• Carbon price
differential between
regions
• 1. Industry channel
• 2. Energy price
channel
Factors
• Size of the coalition
• Coverage of GHGs
• Stringency of
mitigation target
• Model choice and
assumptions
Policies
• Increase international
co-operation
• Expand coverage
(sectors, GHG)
• Harmonise pricing
within coalition
• Increase flexibility
(e.g. offset trading)
• Anti-leakage
instruments (free
allowances, BCA)
11
International co-ordination on mitigating carbon leakage
12
Outline
Context and Background
Main results
Questions for discussion
• Besides a complete linking of emissions trading schemes,
what are the different options for partial co-ordination or
harmonisation between different carbon pricing schemes?
• How can jurisdictions maximise the overall benefits from co-
operation on carbon pricing, while minimising or addressing
any adverse impacts on some domestic actors?
• What are the main considerations that a jurisdiction should
consider when seeking out partnerships for carbon pricing co-
operation?
13
Questions for discussion
Thank you
14
Daniel.Nachtigall@oecd.org
Jane.Ellis@oecd.org

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Economic and Environmental Benefits of International Carbon Pricing Coordination

  • 1. ECONOMIC AND ENVIRONMENTAL BENEFITS FROM INTERNATIONAL CO-ORDINATION ON CARBON PRICING Daniel Nachtigall (Daniel.NACHTIGALL@oecd.org) Jane Ellis (Jane.ELLIS@oecd.org) Climate Water and Biodiversity Division Environment Directorate, OECD Carbon Market Platform Strategic Dialogue 04/05 November 2020
  • 2. 2 Outline Context and Background Main results Questions for discussion
  • 3. • Carbon pricing key element of climate strategy, but price levels are often very low • International co-ordination on carbon pricing can enhance mitigation ambition and bring mutual benefits • Better understanding of benefits needed to make better informed decisions • Review of 46 studies published in the last 10+ years on 1. Quantification of economic and environmental benefits of different forms of international co-operation 2. Distribution of benefits across countries 3 Context
  • 4. International co- ordination Economic benefits Distributed asymmetrically Environmental benefits 4 Key takeaways Reduces emissions Reduces carbon leakage Raises ambition Saves mitigation costs
  • 5. 5 Economic models and caveats Source: Based on Carbonbrief (2018) Key caveats • Results differ substantially across models • Climate damage not (sufficiently) addressed • Political, practical, legal challenges to co-ordination
  • 6. 6 Outline Context and Background Main results Questions for discussion
  • 7. 7 International harmonisation of carbon pricing Shadow carbon price to reach current NDCs by region for different models
  • 8. 8 Benefits from (sub)-global carbon markets Economic benefits • Substantial reduction of mitigation costs • Heterogeneity across countries • Lower for sub-global co-operation Environmental benefits • Reinvesting saved mitigation costs could enhance ambition • Co-operation would eliminate/reduce carbon leakage Caveat: • Static versus dynamic efficiency Reduction Increase Welfare effects of (sub)-global carbon markets
  • 9. 9 Extending coverage of carbon pricing Coverage of other GHGs • Would reduce mitigation costs by 25-42% • Would improve welfare of all countries • Would reduce carbon leakage Sectoral coverage • Would reduce mitigation costs by 2-60% • Would reduce (inter-sectoral) carbon leakage Caveats • Pre-existing energy taxes (e.g. road) • Risk of convergence to price level of sector with highest barrier
  • 10. 10 Multilateral fossil fuel subsidy reform (FFSR) • Global FFSR would reduce CO2 emissions, but would lead to carbon leakage • Global FFSR would increase global welfare, but effect varies between countries • Global FFSR would have different implications than unilateral FFSR • Sub-global FFSR would have smaller effects Effects of global phase out of FFS
  • 11. Mechanisms for leakage • Carbon price differential between regions • 1. Industry channel • 2. Energy price channel Factors • Size of the coalition • Coverage of GHGs • Stringency of mitigation target • Model choice and assumptions Policies • Increase international co-operation • Expand coverage (sectors, GHG) • Harmonise pricing within coalition • Increase flexibility (e.g. offset trading) • Anti-leakage instruments (free allowances, BCA) 11 International co-ordination on mitigating carbon leakage
  • 12. 12 Outline Context and Background Main results Questions for discussion
  • 13. • Besides a complete linking of emissions trading schemes, what are the different options for partial co-ordination or harmonisation between different carbon pricing schemes? • How can jurisdictions maximise the overall benefits from co- operation on carbon pricing, while minimising or addressing any adverse impacts on some domestic actors? • What are the main considerations that a jurisdiction should consider when seeking out partnerships for carbon pricing co- operation? 13 Questions for discussion