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USA
National emissions projections and
decarbonisation indicators under NDCs
and implemented policies
Lisa Luna (NewClimate Institute)
8 November 2017
www.climateactiontracker.org
USA – Critically Insufficient
www.climateactiontracker.org
USA – Critically Insufficient
www.climateactiontracker.org
March
• Obama Administration Climate Action Plan rescinded
• US Mid-Century Strategy disappeared from government
websites
USA – Critically Insufficient
www.climateactiontracker.org
June
• Pres. Trump announced intent to withdraw from Paris Agreement
USA – Critically Insufficient
www.climateactiontracker.org
October
• Environmental Protection Agency proposed repeal of the Clean
Power Plan
Electricity emissions intensity
www.climateactiontracker.orgData sources: IEA, EIA
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
ElectricityemissionsintensitygCO2/kWh
Historical Projected w/o CPP Projected w/ CPP

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Assessment of NDCs and implemented policies - USA - COP 23

  • 1. USA National emissions projections and decarbonisation indicators under NDCs and implemented policies Lisa Luna (NewClimate Institute) 8 November 2017 www.climateactiontracker.org
  • 2. USA – Critically Insufficient www.climateactiontracker.org
  • 3. USA – Critically Insufficient www.climateactiontracker.org March • Obama Administration Climate Action Plan rescinded • US Mid-Century Strategy disappeared from government websites
  • 4. USA – Critically Insufficient www.climateactiontracker.org June • Pres. Trump announced intent to withdraw from Paris Agreement
  • 5. USA – Critically Insufficient www.climateactiontracker.org October • Environmental Protection Agency proposed repeal of the Clean Power Plan
  • 6. Electricity emissions intensity www.climateactiontracker.orgData sources: IEA, EIA 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 ElectricityemissionsintensitygCO2/kWh Historical Projected w/o CPP Projected w/ CPP

Editor's Notes

  1. USA is rated critically insufficient based on its intent to withdraw from the Paris Agreement NDC would be Insufficient Significant changes to climate policy at the federal level over the past year March – executive order -> Rescinded the Climate Action Plan, which was never fully implemented and would have been necessary to achieve the NDC (additional measures to reduce methane emissions from oil and gas production and to increase energy efficiency and reduce energy use) October – EPA has proposed a repeal of the CPP, which was in any case frozen in the courts Possibly one or two more examples Leaves us with the current projections, which would see emissions level off and only be 7% under 2005 levels in 2025. This is rated highly insufficient Additionally, mid-century strategy has been removed from government websites Still plenty of uncertainty on the projections – many things could change based on action or non-action at both the federal and non-federal levels – for example Kigali Amendment? New analysis suggests that initial pledges by non-state actors could take the US halfway to meeting the NDC
  2. USA is rated critically insufficient based on its intent to withdraw from the Paris Agreement NDC would be Insufficient Significant changes to climate policy at the federal level over the past year March – executive order -> Rescinded the Climate Action Plan, which was never fully implemented and would have been necessary to achieve the NDC (additional measures to reduce methane emissions from oil and gas production and to increase energy efficiency and reduce energy use) October – EPA has proposed a repeal of the CPP, which was in any case frozen in the courts Possibly one or two more examples Leaves us with the current projections, which would see emissions level off and only be 7% under 2005 levels in 2025. This is rated highly insufficient Additionally, mid-century strategy has been removed from government websites Still plenty of uncertainty on the projections – many things could change based on action or non-action at both the federal and non-federal levels – for example Kigali Amendment? New analysis suggests that initial pledges by non-state actors could take the US halfway to meeting the NDC
  3. USA is rated critically insufficient based on its intent to withdraw from the Paris Agreement NDC would be Insufficient Significant changes to climate policy at the federal level over the past year March – executive order -> Rescinded the Climate Action Plan, which was never fully implemented and would have been necessary to achieve the NDC (additional measures to reduce methane emissions from oil and gas production and to increase energy efficiency and reduce energy use) October – EPA has proposed a repeal of the CPP, which was in any case frozen in the courts Possibly one or two more examples Leaves us with the current projections, which would see emissions level off and only be 7% under 2005 levels in 2025. This is rated highly insufficient Additionally, mid-century strategy has been removed from government websites Still plenty of uncertainty on the projections – many things could change based on action or non-action at both the federal and non-federal levels – for example Kigali Amendment? New analysis suggests that initial pledges by non-state actors could take the US halfway to meeting the NDC
  4. Still plenty of uncertainty on the projections – many things could change based on action or non-action at both the federal and non-federal levels – for example Kigali Amendment? New analysis suggests that initial recorded and quantified pledges by non-state actors could take the US halfway to meeting the NDC California Zero Energy Vehicle program, California cap and trade system, and the northeast Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative, state renewable portfolio standards
  5. Average US household uses about 12,000 kWh of electricity per year