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Chapter 2: Project Cash
Flows
The definition, identification, and
measurement of cash flows
relevant to project evaluation.




                                      1
Why Cash Flows?
 Cash  flows, and not accounting
  estimates, are used in project
  analysis because:-
1. They measure actual economic
   wealth.
2. They occur at identifiable time points.
3. They have identifiable directional flow.
4. They are free of accounting
definitional problems.

                                        2
The Meaning of RELEVANT
Cash Flows.
A    relevant cash flow is one which
    will change as a direct result of the
    decision about a project.
  A relevant cash flow is one which will
          occur in the future. A cash flow
incurred in the past is irrelevant. It is
sunk.
 A relevant cash flow is the difference
 in the firm’s cash flows with the project,
 and without the project.
                                            3
Cash Flows: A Rose By Any
Other Name Is Just as Sweet.
 Relevantcash flows are also
  known as:-
 Marginal   cash flows.
 Incremental   cash flows.
 Changing    cash flows.
 Project   cash flows.

                                4
Project Cash Flows:
Yes and No.
 YES:-   these are relevant cash flows -
 Incremental future sales revenue.
 Incremental future production costs.
 Incremental initial outlay.

   Incremental future salvage value.
   Incremental working capital outlay.
   Incremental future taxes.
                                          5
Project Cash Flows:
Yes and No.
   NO:- these are not relevant cash flows -
 Changed future depreciation.
 Reallocated overhead costs.
 Adjusted future accounting profit.
 The cost of unused idle capacity.
 Outlays incurred in the past.

                                               6
Cash Flows and Depreciation:
Always A Problem.
 Depreciation   is NOT a cash flow.
Depreciation  is simply the accounting
amortization of an initial capital cost.
Depreciation amounts are only
accounting journal entries.


 Depreciation  is measured in project
 analysis only because it reduces
 taxes.                                  7
Other Cash Flow Issues.
 Tax payable: if the project changes tax
 liabilities, those changed taxes are a
 flow of the project.
 Investment allowance: if a taxing
authority offers this ‘extra depreciation’
concession, then its tax savings are
included.
 Financing flows: interest paid on
debt, and dividends paid on equity, are
NOT cash flows of the project.
                                          8
Other Cash Flow Issues.
    In property investment, ‘property’ cash
    flows may be distinguished from
    ‘equity’ cash flows.
 In project analysis, cash inflows
are timed as at the end of a year, and
capital outlays are timed as at the
start of a year.
 Forecast inflated cash flows must be
discounted at the nominal discount
rate, not the real discount rate.      9
Using Cash Flows
 All relevant project cash flows are set
out in a table.
 The cash flow table usually reads
across in End Of Years, starting at EOY 0
(now) and ending at the project’s last
year.
The cash flow table usually reads down
in cash flow elements, resulting in a Net
Annual Cash Flow. This flow will have a
positive or negative sign.
                                        10
Project Cash Flows: Summary
Only future, incremental, cash flows
are Relevant.

 Relevant Cash Flows are entered
into a yearly cash flow table.

 Net Annual Cash Flows are
discounted to give the project’s Net
Present Value.

                                        11

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1 project cash flow

  • 1. Chapter 2: Project Cash Flows The definition, identification, and measurement of cash flows relevant to project evaluation. 1
  • 2. Why Cash Flows?  Cash flows, and not accounting estimates, are used in project analysis because:- 1. They measure actual economic wealth. 2. They occur at identifiable time points. 3. They have identifiable directional flow. 4. They are free of accounting definitional problems. 2
  • 3. The Meaning of RELEVANT Cash Flows. A relevant cash flow is one which will change as a direct result of the decision about a project.  A relevant cash flow is one which will occur in the future. A cash flow incurred in the past is irrelevant. It is sunk. A relevant cash flow is the difference in the firm’s cash flows with the project, and without the project. 3
  • 4. Cash Flows: A Rose By Any Other Name Is Just as Sweet.  Relevantcash flows are also known as:- Marginal cash flows. Incremental cash flows. Changing cash flows. Project cash flows. 4
  • 5. Project Cash Flows: Yes and No.  YES:- these are relevant cash flows -  Incremental future sales revenue.  Incremental future production costs.  Incremental initial outlay.  Incremental future salvage value.  Incremental working capital outlay.  Incremental future taxes. 5
  • 6. Project Cash Flows: Yes and No.  NO:- these are not relevant cash flows -  Changed future depreciation.  Reallocated overhead costs.  Adjusted future accounting profit.  The cost of unused idle capacity.  Outlays incurred in the past. 6
  • 7. Cash Flows and Depreciation: Always A Problem.  Depreciation is NOT a cash flow. Depreciation is simply the accounting amortization of an initial capital cost. Depreciation amounts are only accounting journal entries. Depreciation is measured in project analysis only because it reduces taxes. 7
  • 8. Other Cash Flow Issues.  Tax payable: if the project changes tax liabilities, those changed taxes are a flow of the project.  Investment allowance: if a taxing authority offers this ‘extra depreciation’ concession, then its tax savings are included.  Financing flows: interest paid on debt, and dividends paid on equity, are NOT cash flows of the project. 8
  • 9. Other Cash Flow Issues.  In property investment, ‘property’ cash flows may be distinguished from ‘equity’ cash flows.  In project analysis, cash inflows are timed as at the end of a year, and capital outlays are timed as at the start of a year.  Forecast inflated cash flows must be discounted at the nominal discount rate, not the real discount rate. 9
  • 10. Using Cash Flows  All relevant project cash flows are set out in a table.  The cash flow table usually reads across in End Of Years, starting at EOY 0 (now) and ending at the project’s last year. The cash flow table usually reads down in cash flow elements, resulting in a Net Annual Cash Flow. This flow will have a positive or negative sign. 10
  • 11. Project Cash Flows: Summary Only future, incremental, cash flows are Relevant.  Relevant Cash Flows are entered into a yearly cash flow table.  Net Annual Cash Flows are discounted to give the project’s Net Present Value. 11