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Derivative Report
                                                                                                      India Research
                                                                                                               July 01, 2010
Comments
                                                                   Nifty Vs OI
 The Nifty futures’ open interest increased by 5.53%,
      while Minifty futures’ open interest increased by
      16.30% as market closed at 5312.50 levels.
 The Nifty July future closed at a premium of 3.75
      points, against a premium of 10.30 points in the last
      trading session, while the Aug future closed at a
      premium of 6.60 points.
 The PCR-OI has increased from 1.26 to 1.30 points.

 The Implied volatility of At-the-money options has
      increased from 18% to 19%.
 The total OI of the market is Rs1,120,995cr and the
      stock futures OI is Rs35,099cr.
 Some liquid counters where cost of carry is positive are
      KSOILS, TV-18, GTLINFRA, DISHTV and RELMEDIA.


OI Gainers
                                 OI                    PRICE        View
SCRIP                OI        CHANGE      PRICE      CHANGE
                                 (%)                    (%)          Although FIIs have formed some short positions in
                                                                       the stock futures, they were net buyers of Rs590cr in
SUNTV                315500       44.72    437.00          3.42
                                                                       the cash market.
IOC                5382000        30.73    403.10          2.48
                                                                     Yesterday, buildup in most of the put options was
DISHTV            17296000        28.23     47.40          5.33        observed. Barring the 5300 Call most of the calls
DABUR                676000       27.55    210.60          2.46        continued to add open interest.
CROMPGREAV         1223000        25.18    257.80          -2.79     Amongst metal counters, STER may show some
                                                                       weakness. We expect negative move in the stock
OI Losers                                                              up-to Rs158. Therefore, traders can trade with
                                 OI                     PRICE          negative bias around 170-172 levels, with the stop
SCRIP                 OI       CHANGE      PRICE       CHANGE          loss of Rs176.
                                 (%)                     (%)
                                                                     SBIN was showing some buying from lower levels.
PFC                  906000      -17.49    300.15          1.28        Gap-down opening around Rs2280 can be used to
OPTOCIRCUI           709000      -12.68    240.25          -0.33       trade with positive bias. Positive move up to Rs2350
                                                                       can be expected. Stop loss should be Rs2245.
SAMRUDDHI             18000      -10.00    489.10          0.97
KOTAKBANK           3702000        -9.96   770.95          3.55
BGRENERGY            332000        -8.03   733.70          -1.03

Put-Call Ratio                                                       Historical Volatility

SCRIP                          PCR-OI          PCR-VOL               SCRIP                                     HV

NIFTY                           1.30                1.00             STERLINBIO                               39.15

RELIANCE                        0.23                0.27             IFCI                                     47.17

BANKNIFTY                       4.82                0.90             DISHTV                                   49.07

ONGC                            1.05                0.45             ITC                                      28.19

TATASTEEL                       0.34                0.24             ZEEL                                     41.44


SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539                                                 For Private Circulation Only           1
Derivative Report | India Research



FII Statistics for 30-June-2010                                                                 Turnover on 30-June-2010

                                                                    Open Interest
                                                                                                                   No. of       Turnover             Change
 Detail          Buy            Sell           Net                                                Instrument
                                                                                                                  Contracts     (Rs. in cr.)           (%)
                                                        Contracts       Value        Change
                                                                      (Rs. in cr.)     (%)
INDEX                                                                                           Index Futures     676906        16543.38             -6.24
              1545.78     1449.96             95.83      676585       17844.14         1.89
FUTURES
INDEX                                                                                           Stock Futures     627558        18350.00             11.33
              5330.33     4790.31         540.02        1647431       43716.57         3.65
OPTIONS
STOCK                                                                                           Index Options     1603097       42511.20             -7.30
              1045.40     1322.33         (276.93)      1083149       28530.69         2.66
FUTURES
STOCK                                                                                           Stock Options      99717        3019.52              24.70
               128.34      122.91             5.43       29774          888.31         1.54
OPTIONS
TOTAL         8049.86     7685.51         364.34        3436939       90979.70         2.97     Total             3007278       80424.10             -2.41




 Nifty Spot = 5312.50                          Lot Size = 50


 Bull-Call Spreads                                                                   Bear-Put Spreads

 Action       Strike    Price          Risk          Reward       BEP                Action    Strike     Price     Risk      Reward           BEP

 Buy         5400       63.05                                                        Buy       5300     101.85
                                       34.45         65.55     5434.45                                             31.10      68.90       5268.90
 Sell        5500       28.60                                                        Sell      5200       70.75
 Buy         5400       63.05                                                        Buy       5300     101.85
                                       51.70     148.30        5451.70                                             53.10      146.90      5246.90
 Sell        5600       11.35                                                        Sell      5100       48.75
 Buy         5500       28.60                                                        Buy       5200       70.75
                                       17.25         82.75     5517.25                                             22.00      78.00       5178.00
 Sell        5600       11.35                                                        Sell      5100       48.75

Note: Above mentioned Bullish or Bearish Spreads in Nifty (July Series) are given as an information and not as a recommendation




Nifty Put-Call Analysis




 For Private Circulation Only                                SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539                                                        2
Derivative Report | India Research



         Strategy Date                                   Scrip                                      Strategy                                      Status

          28-July-2010                                 Reliance                                     Long Put                                    Continue




DISCLAIMER:

This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person.
Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions.
Opinion expressed is our current opinion as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in
this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-
looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions
that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein.
The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable sources believed to be true and are for
general guidance only. While every effort is made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of information contained, the company takes no guarantee and assumes no
liability for any errors or omissions of the information. No one can use the information as the basis for any claim, demand or cause of action.
Recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations
as it deems necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks
involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may
go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance.
Certain transactions - futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risks and are not suitable for all investors.
Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock's price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and
as such, may not match with a report on a company's fundamentals.
We do not undertake to advise you as to any change of our views expressed in this document. While we would endeavor to update the information herein on a reasonable
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there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that may prevent Angel Broking and affiliates from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that
any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice.
Angel Broking Limited and affiliates, including the analyst who has issued this report, may, on the date of this report, and from time to time, have long or short positions
in, and buy or sell the securities of the companies mentioned herein or engage in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or compensation or
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and opinions.
Angel Broking Limited and affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or other advisory services in a merger or
specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in the past.


Sebi Registration No.: INB 010996539




Derivative Research Team                                                                                                  derivatives.desk@angeltrade.com

For Private Circulation Only                                 SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539                                                                           3

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Derivatives Report - July 1, 2010

  • 1. Derivative Report India Research July 01, 2010 Comments Nifty Vs OI  The Nifty futures’ open interest increased by 5.53%, while Minifty futures’ open interest increased by 16.30% as market closed at 5312.50 levels.  The Nifty July future closed at a premium of 3.75 points, against a premium of 10.30 points in the last trading session, while the Aug future closed at a premium of 6.60 points.  The PCR-OI has increased from 1.26 to 1.30 points.  The Implied volatility of At-the-money options has increased from 18% to 19%.  The total OI of the market is Rs1,120,995cr and the stock futures OI is Rs35,099cr.  Some liquid counters where cost of carry is positive are KSOILS, TV-18, GTLINFRA, DISHTV and RELMEDIA. OI Gainers OI PRICE View SCRIP OI CHANGE PRICE CHANGE (%) (%)  Although FIIs have formed some short positions in the stock futures, they were net buyers of Rs590cr in SUNTV 315500 44.72 437.00 3.42 the cash market. IOC 5382000 30.73 403.10 2.48  Yesterday, buildup in most of the put options was DISHTV 17296000 28.23 47.40 5.33 observed. Barring the 5300 Call most of the calls DABUR 676000 27.55 210.60 2.46 continued to add open interest. CROMPGREAV 1223000 25.18 257.80 -2.79  Amongst metal counters, STER may show some weakness. We expect negative move in the stock OI Losers up-to Rs158. Therefore, traders can trade with OI PRICE negative bias around 170-172 levels, with the stop SCRIP OI CHANGE PRICE CHANGE loss of Rs176. (%) (%)  SBIN was showing some buying from lower levels. PFC 906000 -17.49 300.15 1.28 Gap-down opening around Rs2280 can be used to OPTOCIRCUI 709000 -12.68 240.25 -0.33 trade with positive bias. Positive move up to Rs2350 can be expected. Stop loss should be Rs2245. SAMRUDDHI 18000 -10.00 489.10 0.97 KOTAKBANK 3702000 -9.96 770.95 3.55 BGRENERGY 332000 -8.03 733.70 -1.03 Put-Call Ratio Historical Volatility SCRIP PCR-OI PCR-VOL SCRIP HV NIFTY 1.30 1.00 STERLINBIO 39.15 RELIANCE 0.23 0.27 IFCI 47.17 BANKNIFTY 4.82 0.90 DISHTV 49.07 ONGC 1.05 0.45 ITC 28.19 TATASTEEL 0.34 0.24 ZEEL 41.44 SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539 For Private Circulation Only 1
  • 2. Derivative Report | India Research FII Statistics for 30-June-2010 Turnover on 30-June-2010 Open Interest No. of Turnover Change Detail Buy Sell Net Instrument Contracts (Rs. in cr.) (%) Contracts Value Change (Rs. in cr.) (%) INDEX Index Futures 676906 16543.38 -6.24 1545.78 1449.96 95.83 676585 17844.14 1.89 FUTURES INDEX Stock Futures 627558 18350.00 11.33 5330.33 4790.31 540.02 1647431 43716.57 3.65 OPTIONS STOCK Index Options 1603097 42511.20 -7.30 1045.40 1322.33 (276.93) 1083149 28530.69 2.66 FUTURES STOCK Stock Options 99717 3019.52 24.70 128.34 122.91 5.43 29774 888.31 1.54 OPTIONS TOTAL 8049.86 7685.51 364.34 3436939 90979.70 2.97 Total 3007278 80424.10 -2.41 Nifty Spot = 5312.50 Lot Size = 50 Bull-Call Spreads Bear-Put Spreads Action Strike Price Risk Reward BEP Action Strike Price Risk Reward BEP Buy 5400 63.05 Buy 5300 101.85 34.45 65.55 5434.45 31.10 68.90 5268.90 Sell 5500 28.60 Sell 5200 70.75 Buy 5400 63.05 Buy 5300 101.85 51.70 148.30 5451.70 53.10 146.90 5246.90 Sell 5600 11.35 Sell 5100 48.75 Buy 5500 28.60 Buy 5200 70.75 17.25 82.75 5517.25 22.00 78.00 5178.00 Sell 5600 11.35 Sell 5100 48.75 Note: Above mentioned Bullish or Bearish Spreads in Nifty (July Series) are given as an information and not as a recommendation Nifty Put-Call Analysis For Private Circulation Only SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539 2
  • 3. Derivative Report | India Research Strategy Date Scrip Strategy Status 28-July-2010 Reliance Long Put Continue DISCLAIMER: This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. Opinion expressed is our current opinion as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward- looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable sources believed to be true and are for general guidance only. While every effort is made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of information contained, the company takes no guarantee and assumes no liability for any errors or omissions of the information. No one can use the information as the basis for any claim, demand or cause of action. Recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as it deems necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions - futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risks and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock's price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company's fundamentals. We do not undertake to advise you as to any change of our views expressed in this document. While we would endeavor to update the information herein on a reasonable basis, Angel Broking, its subsidiaries and associated companies, their directors and employees are under no obligation to update or keep the information current. Also there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that may prevent Angel Broking and affiliates from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Angel Broking Limited and affiliates, including the analyst who has issued this report, may, on the date of this report, and from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities of the companies mentioned herein or engage in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or compensation or act as advisor or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to company/ies mentioned herein or inconsistent with any recommendation and related information and opinions. Angel Broking Limited and affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in the past. Sebi Registration No.: INB 010996539 Derivative Research Team derivatives.desk@angeltrade.com For Private Circulation Only SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539 3