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Derivative Report
                                                                                                    India Research
                                                                                                             July 05, 2010
Comments
                                                                Nifty Vs OI
 The Nifty futures’ open interest increased by 1.61%,
   while Minifty futures’ open interest increased by 0.89%
   as market closed at 5237.10 levels.
 The Nifty July future closed at a premium of 13.75
   points, against a premium of 6.90 points in the last
   trading session, while the Aug future closed at a
   premium of 18.20 points.
 The PCR-OI is at the same level of 1.30 points.

 The Implied volatility of At-the-money options has
   increased from 19% to 20%.
 The total OI of the market is Rs1,26,798cr and the
   stock futures OI is Rs35,527cr.
 Some liquid counters where cost of carry is positive are
   KSOILS, BRFL, FSL, TATACOMM and HCC.


OI Gainers
                                                                 View
                              OI                     PRICE
SCRIP              OI       CHANGE       PRICE      CHANGE        Some long unwinding was visible in the Index
                              (%)                     (%)           futures from FIIs. They were net sellers to the tune of
SAMRUDDHI          35000       62.79     474.60         -0.34
                                                                    Rs305cr in the cash market segment. We may see a
                                                                    flattish to negative opening. Market may again
MRPL             8348000       38.40      82.90         8.79        touch the 5200 mark, which is a strong support.
GRASIM            487625       36.54    1827.10         -0.99
                                                                  In the last trading session considerable build-up
CONCOR             18500       23.33    1382.50         3.59        was visible in the 5300 call option and 5100 put
                                                                    options.
RNRL             42952000      20.03      63.95         -1.54
                                                                  SAIL is trading at its immediate support of Rs190
OI Losers                                                           and the stock also has short positions in it. We may
                              OI                     PRICE          see positive move up-to Rs200-202. Therefore,
SCRIP               OI      CHANGE       PRICE      CHANGE          positional traders can trade with positive bias,
                              (%)                     (%)           keeping a stop loss of Rs185.
MPHASIS           1972500      -13.79    596.50         3.06      Some selling was visible in MARUTI from the higher
WIPRO             4345761       -6.74    385.60         2.79        levels around Rs1420. Positive move up-to this level
                                                                    can be used to trade with negative bias for the
RELINFRA          5250000       -5.54   1197.00         -1.13       target price of Rs1380.
CANBK             1290500       -5.53    451.25         -0.18
OPTOCIRCUI         621000       -5.19    236.40         -0.69

Put-Call Ratio                                                    Historical Volatility

SCRIP                        PCR-OI         PCR-VOL               SCRIP                                      HV

NIFTY                         1.30               0.99             MRPL                                      57.10

RELIANCE                      0.21               0.29             NAGARFERT                                 39.67

BANKNIFTY                     4.54               0.47             FEDERALBNK                                37.80

ONGC                          1.03               0.47             CHENNPETRO                                36.09

TATASTEEL                     0.34               0.40             RECLTD                                    33.81


SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539                                               For Private Circulation Only           1
Derivative Report | India Research



FII Statistics for 02-July-2010                                                                 Turnover on 02-July-2010

                                                                    Open Interest
                                                                                                                   No. of       Turnover             Change
 Detail          Buy            Sell           Net                                                Instrument
                                                                                                                  Contracts     (Rs. in cr.)           (%)
                                                        Contracts       Value        Change
                                                                      (Rs. in cr.)     (%)
INDEX                                                                                           Index Futures     530003        12914.68             -21.66
              1251.17     1714.09         (462.92)       697450       18184.79         -1.80
FUTURES
INDEX                                                                                           Stock Futures     494063        13996.70             -12.25
              4572.65     4512.47             60.18     1725044       45129.44         1.84
OPTIONS
STOCK                                                                                           Index Options     1322800       35111.09             -13.76
               773.39      891.90         (118.51)      1107532       28799.03         0.80
FUTURES
STOCK                                                                                           Stock Options      89049        2618.72              -9.29
               111.14      104.71             6.43       43198          1198.23        4.31
OPTIONS
TOTAL         6708.35     7223.17         (514.82)      3573224       93311.48         0.82     Total             2435915       64641.19             -14.99




 Nifty Spot = 5237.10                          Lot Size = 50


 Bull-Call Spreads                                                                   Bear-Put Spreads

 Action       Strike    Price          Risk          Reward       BEP                Action    Strike     Price     Risk      Reward           BEP

 Buy         5300       83.65                                                        Buy       5200       93.10
                                       42.40         57.60     5342.40                                             27.30      72.70       5172.70
 Sell        5400       41.25                                                        Sell      5100       65.80
 Buy         5300       83.65                                                        Buy       5200       93.10
                                       67.60     132.40        5367.60                                             49.65      150.35      5150.35
 Sell        5500       16.05                                                        Sell      5000       43.45
 Buy         5400       41.25                                                        Buy       5100       65.80
                                       25.20         74.80     5425.20                                             22.35      77.65       5077.65
 Sell        5500       16.05                                                        Sell      5000       43.45

Note: Above mentioned Bullish or Bearish Spreads in Nifty (July Series) are given as an information and not as a recommendation




Nifty Put-Call Analysis




 For Private Circulation Only                                SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539                                                         2
Derivative Report | India Research



         Strategy Date                                   Scrip                                      Strategy                                      Status

          28-June-2010                                 Reliance                                     Long Put                                    Continue




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Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions.
Opinion expressed is our current opinion as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in
this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-
looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions
that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein.
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general guidance only. While every effort is made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of information contained, the company takes no guarantee and assumes no
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go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance.
Certain transactions - futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risks and are not suitable for all investors.
Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock's price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and
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Angel Broking Limited and affiliates, including the analyst who has issued this report, may, on the date of this report, and from time to time, have long or short positions
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Sebi Registration No.: INB 010996539




Derivative Research Team                                                                                                  derivatives.desk@angeltrade.com

For Private Circulation Only                                 SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539                                                                           3

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DerivativesReport - July 5, 2010

  • 1. Derivative Report India Research July 05, 2010 Comments Nifty Vs OI  The Nifty futures’ open interest increased by 1.61%, while Minifty futures’ open interest increased by 0.89% as market closed at 5237.10 levels.  The Nifty July future closed at a premium of 13.75 points, against a premium of 6.90 points in the last trading session, while the Aug future closed at a premium of 18.20 points.  The PCR-OI is at the same level of 1.30 points.  The Implied volatility of At-the-money options has increased from 19% to 20%.  The total OI of the market is Rs1,26,798cr and the stock futures OI is Rs35,527cr.  Some liquid counters where cost of carry is positive are KSOILS, BRFL, FSL, TATACOMM and HCC. OI Gainers View OI PRICE SCRIP OI CHANGE PRICE CHANGE  Some long unwinding was visible in the Index (%) (%) futures from FIIs. They were net sellers to the tune of SAMRUDDHI 35000 62.79 474.60 -0.34 Rs305cr in the cash market segment. We may see a flattish to negative opening. Market may again MRPL 8348000 38.40 82.90 8.79 touch the 5200 mark, which is a strong support. GRASIM 487625 36.54 1827.10 -0.99  In the last trading session considerable build-up CONCOR 18500 23.33 1382.50 3.59 was visible in the 5300 call option and 5100 put options. RNRL 42952000 20.03 63.95 -1.54  SAIL is trading at its immediate support of Rs190 OI Losers and the stock also has short positions in it. We may OI PRICE see positive move up-to Rs200-202. Therefore, SCRIP OI CHANGE PRICE CHANGE positional traders can trade with positive bias, (%) (%) keeping a stop loss of Rs185. MPHASIS 1972500 -13.79 596.50 3.06  Some selling was visible in MARUTI from the higher WIPRO 4345761 -6.74 385.60 2.79 levels around Rs1420. Positive move up-to this level can be used to trade with negative bias for the RELINFRA 5250000 -5.54 1197.00 -1.13 target price of Rs1380. CANBK 1290500 -5.53 451.25 -0.18 OPTOCIRCUI 621000 -5.19 236.40 -0.69 Put-Call Ratio Historical Volatility SCRIP PCR-OI PCR-VOL SCRIP HV NIFTY 1.30 0.99 MRPL 57.10 RELIANCE 0.21 0.29 NAGARFERT 39.67 BANKNIFTY 4.54 0.47 FEDERALBNK 37.80 ONGC 1.03 0.47 CHENNPETRO 36.09 TATASTEEL 0.34 0.40 RECLTD 33.81 SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539 For Private Circulation Only 1
  • 2. Derivative Report | India Research FII Statistics for 02-July-2010 Turnover on 02-July-2010 Open Interest No. of Turnover Change Detail Buy Sell Net Instrument Contracts (Rs. in cr.) (%) Contracts Value Change (Rs. in cr.) (%) INDEX Index Futures 530003 12914.68 -21.66 1251.17 1714.09 (462.92) 697450 18184.79 -1.80 FUTURES INDEX Stock Futures 494063 13996.70 -12.25 4572.65 4512.47 60.18 1725044 45129.44 1.84 OPTIONS STOCK Index Options 1322800 35111.09 -13.76 773.39 891.90 (118.51) 1107532 28799.03 0.80 FUTURES STOCK Stock Options 89049 2618.72 -9.29 111.14 104.71 6.43 43198 1198.23 4.31 OPTIONS TOTAL 6708.35 7223.17 (514.82) 3573224 93311.48 0.82 Total 2435915 64641.19 -14.99 Nifty Spot = 5237.10 Lot Size = 50 Bull-Call Spreads Bear-Put Spreads Action Strike Price Risk Reward BEP Action Strike Price Risk Reward BEP Buy 5300 83.65 Buy 5200 93.10 42.40 57.60 5342.40 27.30 72.70 5172.70 Sell 5400 41.25 Sell 5100 65.80 Buy 5300 83.65 Buy 5200 93.10 67.60 132.40 5367.60 49.65 150.35 5150.35 Sell 5500 16.05 Sell 5000 43.45 Buy 5400 41.25 Buy 5100 65.80 25.20 74.80 5425.20 22.35 77.65 5077.65 Sell 5500 16.05 Sell 5000 43.45 Note: Above mentioned Bullish or Bearish Spreads in Nifty (July Series) are given as an information and not as a recommendation Nifty Put-Call Analysis For Private Circulation Only SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539 2
  • 3. Derivative Report | India Research Strategy Date Scrip Strategy Status 28-June-2010 Reliance Long Put Continue DISCLAIMER: This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. Opinion expressed is our current opinion as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward- looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable sources believed to be true and are for general guidance only. While every effort is made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of information contained, the company takes no guarantee and assumes no liability for any errors or omissions of the information. No one can use the information as the basis for any claim, demand or cause of action. Recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as it deems necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions - futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risks and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock's price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company's fundamentals. We do not undertake to advise you as to any change of our views expressed in this document. While we would endeavor to update the information herein on a reasonable basis, Angel Broking, its subsidiaries and associated companies, their directors and employees are under no obligation to update or keep the information current. Also there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that may prevent Angel Broking and affiliates from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Angel Broking Limited and affiliates, including the analyst who has issued this report, may, on the date of this report, and from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities of the companies mentioned herein or engage in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or compensation or act as advisor or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to company/ies mentioned herein or inconsistent with any recommendation and related information and opinions. Angel Broking Limited and affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in the past. Sebi Registration No.: INB 010996539 Derivative Research Team derivatives.desk@angeltrade.com For Private Circulation Only SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539 3