where can I find a legit pi merchant onlineDOT TECH
Yes. This is very easy what you need is a recommendation from someone who has successfully traded pi coins before with a merchant.
Who is a pi merchant?
A pi merchant is someone who buys pi network coins and resell them to Investors looking forward to hold thousands of pi coins before the open mainnet.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant to trade with
@Pi_vendor_247
The European Unemployment Puzzle: implications from population agingGRAPE
We study the link between the evolving age structure of the working population and unemployment. We build a large new Keynesian OLG model with a realistic age structure, labor market frictions, sticky prices, and aggregate shocks. Once calibrated to the European economy, we quantify the extent to which demographic changes over the last three decades have contributed to the decline of the unemployment rate. Our findings yield important implications for the future evolution of unemployment given the anticipated further aging of the working population in Europe. We also quantify the implications for optimal monetary policy: lowering inflation volatility becomes less costly in terms of GDP and unemployment volatility, which hints that optimal monetary policy may be more hawkish in an aging society. Finally, our results also propose a partial reversal of the European-US unemployment puzzle due to the fact that the share of young workers is expected to remain robust in the US.
Introduction to Indian Financial System ()Avanish Goel
The financial system of a country is an important tool for economic development of the country, as it helps in creation of wealth by linking savings with investments.
It facilitates the flow of funds form the households (savers) to business firms (investors) to aid in wealth creation and development of both the parties
Currently pi network is not tradable on binance or any other exchange because we are still in the enclosed mainnet.
Right now the only way to sell pi coins is by trading with a verified merchant.
What is a pi merchant?
A pi merchant is someone verified by pi network team and allowed to barter pi coins for goods and services.
Since pi network is not doing any pre-sale The only way exchanges like binance/huobi or crypto whales can get pi is by buying from miners. And a merchant stands in between the exchanges and the miners.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant. I and my friends has traded more than 6000pi coins successfully
Tele-gram
@Pi_vendor_247
how to sell pi coins at high rate quickly.DOT TECH
Where can I sell my pi coins at a high rate.
Pi is not launched yet on any exchange. But one can easily sell his or her pi coins to investors who want to hold pi till mainnet launch.
This means crypto whales want to hold pi. And you can get a good rate for selling pi to them. I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi vendor below.
A vendor is someone who buys from a miner and resell it to a holder or crypto whale.
Here is the telegram contact of my vendor:
@Pi_vendor_247
how to sell pi coins in all Africa Countries.DOT TECH
Yes. You can sell your pi network for other cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, usdt , Ethereum and other currencies And this is done easily with the help from a pi merchant.
What is a pi merchant ?
Since pi is not launched yet in any exchange. The only way you can sell right now is through merchants.
A verified Pi merchant is someone who buys pi network coins from miners and resell them to investors looking forward to hold massive quantities of pi coins before mainnet launch in 2026.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant to trade with.
@Pi_vendor_247
If you are looking for a pi coin investor. Then look no further because I have the right one he is a pi vendor (he buy and resell to whales in China). I met him on a crypto conference and ever since I and my friends have sold more than 10k pi coins to him And he bought all and still want more. I will drop his telegram handle below just send him a message.
@Pi_vendor_247
when will pi network coin be available on crypto exchange.DOT TECH
There is no set date for when Pi coins will enter the market.
However, the developers are working hard to get them released as soon as possible.
Once they are available, users will be able to exchange other cryptocurrencies for Pi coins on designated exchanges.
But for now the only way to sell your pi coins is through verified pi vendor.
Here is the telegram contact of my personal pi vendor
@Pi_vendor_247
USDA Loans in California: A Comprehensive Overview.pptxmarketing367770
USDA Loans in California: A Comprehensive Overview
If you're dreaming of owning a home in California's rural or suburban areas, a USDA loan might be the perfect solution. The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) offers these loans to help low-to-moderate-income individuals and families achieve homeownership.
Key Features of USDA Loans:
Zero Down Payment: USDA loans require no down payment, making homeownership more accessible.
Competitive Interest Rates: These loans often come with lower interest rates compared to conventional loans.
Flexible Credit Requirements: USDA loans have more lenient credit score requirements, helping those with less-than-perfect credit.
Guaranteed Loan Program: The USDA guarantees a portion of the loan, reducing risk for lenders and expanding borrowing options.
Eligibility Criteria:
Location: The property must be located in a USDA-designated rural or suburban area. Many areas in California qualify.
Income Limits: Applicants must meet income guidelines, which vary by region and household size.
Primary Residence: The home must be used as the borrower's primary residence.
Application Process:
Find a USDA-Approved Lender: Not all lenders offer USDA loans, so it's essential to choose one approved by the USDA.
Pre-Qualification: Determine your eligibility and the amount you can borrow.
Property Search: Look for properties in eligible rural or suburban areas.
Loan Application: Submit your application, including financial and personal information.
Processing and Approval: The lender and USDA will review your application. If approved, you can proceed to closing.
USDA loans are an excellent option for those looking to buy a home in California's rural and suburban areas. With no down payment and flexible requirements, these loans make homeownership more attainable for many families. Explore your eligibility today and take the first step toward owning your dream home.
how to sell pi coins in South Korea profitably.DOT TECH
Yes. You can sell your pi network coins in South Korea or any other country, by finding a verified pi merchant
What is a verified pi merchant?
Since pi network is not launched yet on any exchange, the only way you can sell pi coins is by selling to a verified pi merchant, and this is because pi network is not launched yet on any exchange and no pre-sale or ico offerings Is done on pi.
Since there is no pre-sale, the only way exchanges can get pi is by buying from miners. So a pi merchant facilitates these transactions by acting as a bridge for both transactions.
How can i find a pi vendor/merchant?
Well for those who haven't traded with a pi merchant or who don't already have one. I will leave the telegram id of my personal pi merchant who i trade pi with.
Tele gram: @Pi_vendor_247
#pi #sell #nigeria #pinetwork #picoins #sellpi #Nigerian #tradepi #pinetworkcoins #sellmypi
How to get verified on Coinbase Account?_.docxBuy bitget
t's important to note that buying verified Coinbase accounts is not recommended and may violate Coinbase's terms of service. Instead of searching to "buy verified Coinbase accounts," follow the proper steps to verify your own account to ensure compliance and security.
what is the future of Pi Network currency.DOT TECH
The future of the Pi cryptocurrency is uncertain, and its success will depend on several factors. Pi is a relatively new cryptocurrency that aims to be user-friendly and accessible to a wide audience. Here are a few key considerations for its future:
Message: @Pi_vendor_247 on telegram if u want to sell PI COINS.
1. Mainnet Launch: As of my last knowledge update in January 2022, Pi was still in the testnet phase. Its success will depend on a successful transition to a mainnet, where actual transactions can take place.
2. User Adoption: Pi's success will be closely tied to user adoption. The more users who join the network and actively participate, the stronger the ecosystem can become.
3. Utility and Use Cases: For a cryptocurrency to thrive, it must offer utility and practical use cases. The Pi team has talked about various applications, including peer-to-peer transactions, smart contracts, and more. The development and implementation of these features will be essential.
4. Regulatory Environment: The regulatory environment for cryptocurrencies is evolving globally. How Pi navigates and complies with regulations in various jurisdictions will significantly impact its future.
5. Technology Development: The Pi network must continue to develop and improve its technology, security, and scalability to compete with established cryptocurrencies.
6. Community Engagement: The Pi community plays a critical role in its future. Engaged users can help build trust and grow the network.
7. Monetization and Sustainability: The Pi team's monetization strategy, such as fees, partnerships, or other revenue sources, will affect its long-term sustainability.
It's essential to approach Pi or any new cryptocurrency with caution and conduct due diligence. Cryptocurrency investments involve risks, and potential rewards can be uncertain. The success and future of Pi will depend on the collective efforts of its team, community, and the broader cryptocurrency market dynamics. It's advisable to stay updated on Pi's development and follow any updates from the official Pi Network website or announcements from the team.
Falcon stands out as a top-tier P2P Invoice Discounting platform in India, bridging esteemed blue-chip companies and eager investors. Our goal is to transform the investment landscape in India by establishing a comprehensive destination for borrowers and investors with diverse profiles and needs, all while minimizing risk. What sets Falcon apart is the elimination of intermediaries such as commercial banks and depository institutions, allowing investors to enjoy higher yields.
The secret way to sell pi coins effortlessly.DOT TECH
Well as we all know pi isn't launched yet. But you can still sell your pi coins effortlessly because some whales in China are interested in holding massive pi coins. And they are willing to pay good money for it. If you are interested in selling I will leave a contact for you. Just telegram this number below. I sold about 3000 pi coins to him and he paid me immediately.
Telegram: @Pi_vendor_247
1. .
Market Outlook
India Research
July 30, 2010
Dealer’s Diary Domestic Indices Chg (%) (Pts) (Close)
The key benchmark indices hit fresh intraday highs at the end of the trading
BSE Sensex 0.2% 34.6 17,992
session after slipping into the red for a brief period in late trade, as global
Nifty 0.2% 11.3 5,409
stocks rose. The market edged lower in early trade on weak Asian stocks. The
MID CAP 0.2% 15.9 7,382
market was a bit down in morning trade after moving between positive and
SMALL CAP -0.2% (15.5) 9,330
negative range near the flat line. The Sensex hit fresh intraday low in mid-
morning trade. The market moved into the positive zone in early afternoon BSE HC -0.2% (13.7) 5,612
trade. The key benchmark indices slipped into the red in afternoon trade. The BSE PSU 1.6% 152.8 9,613
Sensex and Nifty ended the session in green, up by 0.2% each. BSE mid-cap BANKEX 0.9% 105.0 11,556
and small-cap indices closed in opposite directions, up 0.2% and down 0.2%, AUTO 0.5% 40.9 8,434
respectively. Among the front liners, HDFC, Hindalco, ICICI, Tata Motors and METAL -0.1% (17.8) 15,492
HUL gained between 2–3%, while RCom, Bharti, Jindal Steel, Reliance Infra and OIL & GAS -0.8% (77.6) 10,187
ONGC lost between 1–2%. Among mid caps, Petronet LNG, Tata Tele, Akzo BSE IT -0.1% (6.7) 5,537
Nobel India, 3M and Oriental Bank gained between 6–11%, while KGN Global Indices Chg (%) (Pts) (Close)
Industries, BF Utilities, EID Parry, Novartis India and Alfa Laval lost between 3– Dow Jones -0.3% (30.7) 10,467
7%.
NASDAQ -0.6% (12.9) 2,252
Markets Today FTSE -0.1% (5.7) 5,314
The trend deciding level for the day is 17969/5402 levels. If NIFTY trades Nikkei -0.6% (57.3) 9,696
above this level during the first half-an-hour of trade then we may witness a Hang Seng 0.0% 2.6 21,094
further rally up to 18036–18080/5423–5436 levels. However, if NIFTY trades Straits Times 0.4% 12.3 2,998
below 17969/5402 levels for the first half-an-hour of trade then it may correct
Shanghai Com 0.5% 14.5 2,648
up to 1792 –17859/5388–5368 levels.
Indices S2 S1 R1 R2 Indian ADRs Chg (%) (Pts) (Close)
SENSEX 17,859 17,926 18,036 18,080 Infosys -0.0% (0.0) $60.4
Wipro 0.3% 0.0 $13.4
NIFTY 5,368 5,388 5,423 5,436
Satyam -3.1% (0.2) $5.0
News Analysis ICICI Bank 1.5% 0.6 $38.9
HDFC Bank 1.2% 1.8 $160.5
Result Reviews: Apollo Tyres, Balrampur Chini, CCCL, Federal Bank, GE
Ship., Graphite India, HCL Tech, HDIL, Hero Honda, GSPL, Ipca Labs,
ONGC, OBC, Petronet, SAIL, Ultratech, Advances / Declines BSE NSE
Result Previews: ABB, Alembic, HCC, KEC International Advances 1,406 612
Refer detailed news analysis on the following page. Declines 1,532 714
Unchanged 84 51
Net Inflows (July 28, 2010)
Rs cr Purch Sales Net MTD YTD
Volumes (Rs cr)
FII 2,826 2,173 653 12,179 43,256
BSE 4,610
MFs 582 1,160 (578) (3,595) (12,134)
NSE 16,710
FII Derivatives (July 29, 2010)
Open
Rs cr Purch Sales Net
Interest
Index Futures 3,089 2,584 506 15,323
Stock Futures 5,876 6,547 (671) 32,141
Gainers / Losers
Gainers Losers
Price Price
Company chg (%) Company chg (%)
(Rs) (Rs)
MMTC 1,839 21.6 Tata Comm 270 (5.0)
Petronet LNG 94 10.6 Suzlon 56 (3.5)
Tata Tele 23 6.8 Welspun Stahl 248 (2.9)
Oriental Bank 379 6.0 NALCO 419 (2.8)
1
IFCI 64 5.4 Financial Tech 1,200 (2.8)
Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report Sebi Registration No: INB 010996539
2. Market Outlook | India Research
Result Reviews-1QFY2011
Apollo Tyres
Apollo Tyres registered 5% yoy decline in net sales to Rs1,121cr (Rs1,180cr) during
1QFY2011, which was lower than our expectations. The plant shut down at Perambara
resulted in revenue loss of around ~Rs225cr–230cr during the quarter. On the operating
front, the company reported 40% yoy dip in operating profit, while operating margin for
the quarter fell by 603bp yoy on account of higher rubber cost. Overall, operating
performance came in below our expectations. Net profit for the quarter was down 57% yoy
on account of lower dispatches due to plant closure and margin contraction. Further,
higher interest cost and depreciation also impacted the company’s bottom line to a certain
extent.
However, Apollo Tyres reported healthy performance at the consolidated level with both
the subsidiaries reporting good growth and supporting the company’s overall OPM. On a
consolidated basis, the company recorded 11.4% yoy jump in the top line and marginal
1% increase in net profit at Rs74cr. Operating margin at the consolidated level stood at
10.9% in 1QFY2011 as against 12.6% in 1QFY2010. In view of the apparent structural
shift that the tyre industry is going through, the stock is available at attractive valuations.
We retain our Buy rating on the stock. At present, we have a Target Price of Rs87 on the
stock. We will release a detailed note with revised numbers post the conference call.
Balrampur Chini Mills – 3QSY2010
Balrampur Chini Mills’ (BRCM) 3QSY2010 results were below our expectations mainly due
to increased cane cost and higher contribution from levy sales. Total sales were flat at
Rs540cr in 3QSY2010, while PAT declined by 83% to Rs11cr. Gross margin declined by
955bp to 20.7% in 3QSY2010 from 30.3% in 3QSY2009 due to increased cane cost and
higher contribution from levy sales. BRCM incurred cost of Rs2,260/tonne of cane in
SY2010 as against Rs1,510/tonne in SY2009, a yoy increase of 50%. BRCM further
booked losses of Rs9/kg (on revised levy price of Rs18/kg) because of higher levy quota
sales. Going ahead, sugar prices are likely to be under pressure due to higher-than-
expected sugar production in India and Brazil. Domestic ex-mill prices have corrected from
the highs of Rs42/kg to Rs28–29/kg, while the cost of inventory is at Rs28/kg. Thus, we
estimate most sugar companies to break even or record miniscule losses at net level over
the next three months. At current levels, the stock is trading at fair valuations of 1.5x P/B
and 1.3x enterprise value/invested capital on SY2011E estimates. Hence, we maintain our
Neutral view on the stock.
CCCL
Consolidated Construction Consortium Ltd. (CCCL) reported decent top-line growth of
23.4% to Rs508cr for 1QFY2011, in line with our expectations of Rs491cr. The company’s
OPM stood at 8.3% (7.3%), up by 100bp, in line with our expectation of 8.5%, aided by a
low base effect. However, the bottom line registered mere 6.4% yoy growth to Rs18.8cr
(Rs17.7cr) mainly on account of the expected higher interest cost, in line with our
expectation of Rs18.9cr. Order inflow stood at Rs1,706cr during 1QFY2011, a yoy jump
of ~152%, which we believe is an indication of a revival in the commercial and
infrastructure segments. CCCL’s order book at 2.3x FY2010 revenue, gives revenue
visibility for the next couple of years. In light of the improving order inflow scenario,
earnings CAGR of ~20% over FY2010–12E and decent return ratios, we maintain an
Accumulate rating on the stock with a Target Price of Rs89.
July 30, 2010 2
3. Market Outlook | India Research
Federal Bank
For 1QFY2011, Federal Bank reported net profit decline of 3.3% on a yoy basis and
growth of 12.8% on a sequential basis to Rs132cr, which is lower than our estimate of
Rs152cr mainly on account of lower-than-estimated non-interest income coupled with
higher provisioning expenses. Operating performance on the expected line with
deterioration in asset quality was the key highlight of the result.
NII grew by robust 42.5% on a yoy basis, but growth was muted on a sequential basis at
0.9%. Non-interest income stood at Rs110cr, down by 25.5% yoy and by 15.9%
sequentially. Operating costs increased by 18.0% yoy, but were flat on a sequential basis.
Gross NPAs increased substantially by 27.1% sequentially to Rs1,044cr, while net NPAs
stood at Rs201cr compared to Rs129cr (a sharp rise of 55.8%) in 4QFY2010. The bank’s
gross and net NPA ratio stood at 3.7% (3.0% in 4QFY2010) and 0.7% (0.5% in
4QFY2010), respectively. The provision coverage ratio excluding technical write-offs was
healthy at 80.8% compared to 84.3% in 4QFY2010. The bank’s CAR was strong at 17.9%
as compared to 18.4% in 4QFY2010.
We may revisit our earnings estimates and target price post our interaction with the bank’s
management. At the CMP, the stock is trading at valuations of 1.05x FY2012E ABV, close
to our target multiple of 1.10x. Hence, we have a Neutral rating on the stock.
Great Eastern Shipping Company
GE Shipping (GESCO) reported 1QFY2011 results, which were above our expectations.
Revenue (excl. gain from sale of vessels) declined by 10.6% yoy and 16.0% qoq to Rs644cr
on account of lower freight rates and revenue days. The operating profit was up by 1.8%
yoy but lower by 17.2% qoq at Rs261cr. However, the operating margin witnessed a
substantial increase of 495bp yoy, while declining by just 60bp qoq, on account of a sharp
decline in hire charges of chartered vessels and other expenses. Interest costs jumped by
108.7% yoy and 100.0% qoq to Rs93cr, as a result of a 15% yoy increase in gross debt.
However, the company reported a gain of Rs40.5cr from Forex transactions vis-à-vis losses
of Rs102.5cr in 1QFY2010 and tax expense was lower by 40.1% yoy. Consequently,
reported PAT increased 12.2% yoy and 11.1% qoq to Rs173.0cr.
GESCO has revenue visibility of Rs467cr for the balance part of FY2011. The company
intends to list its 100% offshore subsidiary Greatship Ltd. within a short span through fresh
equity issuance. This could unlock value of the offshore business, which globally trades at
higher multiples than the shipping business due to better stability and high visibility in
earnings. We maintain our Buy rating on the stock with a Target Price of Rs396.
Graphite India
Graphite India Ltd. reported a 10.2% increase in standalone top line in 1QFY2011 to
Rs258.2cr (Rs234.4cr), which was below our expectations. Sales of the graphite and
carbon division grew by 5.7% yoy to Rs211.8cr (Rs200.5cr). The steel division showed
substantial growth in sales to Rs22.0cr (Rs14.2cr), up 55.1% yoy. Operating margin for the
quarter was strong at 23.0% (29.0%), in line with our estimates. However, interest costs
were lower in 1QFY2011. Overall, net profit was slightly below our estimates at Rs34.4cr
(Rs45.2cr). We maintain a Buy on the stock. The Target Price is under review.
July 30, 2010 3
4. Market Outlook | India Research
GSPL
GSPL announced its 1QFY2011 results, which were marginally lower than our expectations
on the top-line as well as bottom-line fronts. The company reported top-line growth of
19.4% yoy to Rs252cr (Rs211cr). Top-line growth was lower than our estimate of Rs266cr
on account of lower-than-expected realisations and volumes. Gas volume transmitted
during the quarter stood at 36.3mmscmd (25.3mmscmd) as against our expectation of
38mmscmd, whereas realisations stood at Rs762/’000scm (Rs915/’000scm) as against
our expectation of Rs770/’000scm. EBITDA during the quarter stood at Rs238cr (Rs198cr),
registering growth of 20.3% yoy. This was lower than our estimate of Rs249cr. PAT
increased by 30.6% yoy to Rs105cr (Rs81cr), lower than our estimate of Rs110cr. On
account of the recent run up in stock price, we will update our view post the conference
call.
HCL Tech - 4QFY2010
HCL Tech recorded 11.4% qoq (17.8% yoy) top-line growth in 4QFY2010 to Rs3425cr
backed by volume growth, with 6,428 net employee addition during the quarter. The
blended pricing remained stable. Segment-wise strong growth was witnessed in core IT
services and infrastructure services, which grew sequentially by 13.2% (15.7% yoy) and
12.6% (49.7% yoy), respectively, during the quarter. However, the BPO business remained
a strong laggard witnessing a decline of 9.4% qoq (24.7% yoy). EBITDA margins continued
to witness qoq dip of 112bp (down 351bp yoy) because of increased cost of revenue and
SG&A expenses during the quarter. On account of higher Forex loss, the company
reported Rs158cr loss on other income. On account of one-time tax reversal, the effective
tax rate during the quarter was low at 6.9% compared to 18% in 3QFY2010. Thus, on
account of weaker operational profitability, the bottom line reported a 0.6% qoq decline
(up 3.6% yoy) to Rs342cr. However, considering the expected broad-based growth with
robust demand pipeline and pick-up in discretionary spend witnessed by the company, we
continue to maintain an Accumulate rating on the stock, though the Target Price is under
review.
HDIL
HDIL’s 1QFY2011 results were significantly above our expectations. The company’s
revenue was up by 47.0% qoq (up 52.7% yoy) to Rs451cr (against our estimate of Rs421cr)
on account of TDR sales of ~1.1mn sq ft generated from its MIAL project at an average
realisation of Rs2,900/sq ft as compared to Rs2,700/sq ft in 4QFY2010. Further, it sold
1.9mn sq ft of FSI in Vasai/Virar for Rs675/sq ft. EBITDA margin came in at 59.3%, which
was up by 697bp qoq on account of lower cost associated with FSI sale. Consequently,
operating profit came in at Rs267cr (up 130.3% yoy and 17.7% qoq). Tax rate for
1QFY2011 came in at 15.8% as against 11.6% in 1QFY2010. Consequently, PAT grew
31.8% qoq and 118.0% yoy to Rs234cr.
The net debt to equity stood at 0.47x as on date with unpaid land cost of Rs300cr to be
paid over the next two years. Smooth execution of the Rs20,000cr MIAL project,
sustainable TDR prices and successful new launches via the conventional method provide
strong visibility for HDIL. The stock is currently trading at 35% discount to our one-year
forward NAV. We maintain a Buy on the stock with a Target Price of Rs302, which is at
25% discount to our one-year forward NAV.
July 30, 2010 4
5. Market Outlook | India Research
Hero Honda
For 1QFY2011, Hero Honda registered 12% yoy growth in net sales to Rs4,297cr
(Rs3,822cr), which were in line with our expectations. Growth was largely aided by 10.3%
yoy jump in volumes and marginal 1.5% yoy increase in net realisation (owing to hike in
excise duty).
On the operating front, the company reported 7.2% yoy dip in operating profits, while
operating margin for the quarter declined by a substantial 298bp yoy on input cost
pressure. Operating margin was below our expectation, as raw material cost increased by
345bp yoy, and accounted for 71.2% (67.7%) of sales. Thus, net profit for the quarter
came in below our expectation at Rs492cr, largely on account of lower-than-expected
OPM.
We maintain our volume growth estimates and expect the company to record around a
12% CAGR in revenue over FY2010–12E, aided by a 9% CAGR in volumes during the
period. We revise our OPM estimates downwards to account for margin pressure due to
increasing
raw-material prices (aluminum and steel). We expect net profit to register a 7% CAGR over
FY2010–12E on account of tax benefits availed by Hero Honda at its new plant in
Uttaranchal. We have revised our EPS estimates downwards to Rs113 (Rs120 earlier) for
FY2011E and to Rs128 (Rs131) for FY2012E, following the company’s lower-than-
expected 1QFY2011 performance. We recommend Accumulate on the stock owing to the
recent decline in price, with a Target Price of Rs2,055.
Ipca labs
Ipca Labs’ 1QFY2011 results were below our estimates, especially on the operating front.
The company posted net sales of Rs415cr (Rs358cr), up 15.9% yoy, in line with our
expectations. The company disappointed on the operating front with OPM at 16.3%
(19.8%), a contraction of 350bp yoy on the back of higher employee and other expenses.
During the quarter, employee expenses increased by 26.9% yoy to Rs66cr (Rs52cr) and
other expenses were up 23.3% to Rs106cr (Rs86cr). However, gross margin remained flat
yoy at 57.8% (58.3%). Recurring net profit declined by 4.1% yoy to Rs42cr (Rs44cr). The
company reported Forex losses of Rs3cr (profit of Rs6cr). However, on the positive front,
the interest cost declined by 36.2% yoy to Rs5cr (Rs8cr).The stock is trading at 14.0x
FY2011E and 11.5x FY2012E earnings. At the current level, we recommend Neutral on
the stock.
Petronet LNG
For 1QFY2011, Petronet LNG’s performance was in line with our expectations on the
EBITDA and bottom-line fronts. Volume processed during the quarter stood at 95TBTU, in
line with our assumption of 92TBTU, registering a decline of 3.7% yoy and growth of 3.7%
on a qoq basis. Revenue declined by 3.3% yoy to Rs2,526cr (Rs2,612cr), which was
marginally higher than our expectation of Rs2,481cr. Net regasification margin during the
quarter rose by 45.7% yoy to Rs30.7/mmbtu (Rs21.1/mmbtu). Gross profit grew by a
substantial 39.1% yoy to Rs293cr (Rs210cr) and was in line with our expectation. Bottom
line registered growth of 7.8% yoy to Rs111cr (Rs103cr) against our expectation of
Rs114cr.
Petronet LNG’s utility nature of business (stable regasification margin and term contracts),
improved visibility of the Kochi terminal (on account of increasing domestic demand and
slippages in domestic supply), low regulatory risks (regasification margin is not currently
under PNGRB’s purview), expanding volumes (commencement of Tranche-2 of Rasgas
contract from January 2010) and subdued spot LNG prices (on account of surplus LNG
capacities) hold it in good stead. The stock is currently under review.
July 30, 2010 5
6. Market Outlook | India Research
ONGC
ONGC reported lower-than-expected set of numbers adjusted for the new subsidy-sharing
mechanism on account of lower-than-expected crude oil production during the quarter.
Operating income declined by 8.2% yoy to Rs13,666cr (Rs14,879cr) during the quarter.
Gross realisations were in line with our expectations and net realisations were lower than
our estimates on account of lower-than-anticipated crude oil sales during the quarter.
During 1QFY2011, the company shared a subsidy burden of Rs5,516cr (Rs429cr). Hence,
net realisations stood at US $48.0/bbl (US $58.2/bbl). Crude oil sales volume declined to
5.3MMT (5.4MMT), lower than our estimate of 5.9MT. Gas sales volume was flat at
5.1BCM (5.1BCM), lower than our expectation of 5.3BCM. EBITDA stood at Rs8,193cr
(Rs9,757cr), registering a decline of 16% yoy. Adjusted for the new subsidy-sharing
mechanism, EBITDA was lower than our estimate of Rs9,059cr. OPM declined by 562bp
yoy to 60.0% (65.6%) on account of lower net crude oil realisations. Depreciation,
depletion and amortisation (DD&A) cost declined marginally by 2.0% yoy to Rs3,114cr
(Rs3,179cr), in line with our estimates. Other income during the quarter declined by 48.3%
yoy to Rs407cr (Rs788cr). Net profit declined by 24.5% yoy to Rs3,661cr (Rs4,848cr), lower
than our estimate of Rs4,325cr, mainly due to lower-than-expected crude oil and natural
gas sales. We continue to maintain an Accumulate rating on the stock with a Target Price
of Rs1,356.
Oriental Bank of Commerce (OBC)
OBC has announced its 1QFY2011 results wherein it has registered net profit growth of
41.1% on a yoy basis and 14.6% on a sequential basis to Rs363cr, which is better than our
estimate of Rs325cr mainly on account of better-than-estimated NII coupled with lower
provisioning expenses. Robust operating performance with a stable asset quality was the
key highlight of the result.
NII increased a robust 118.4% yoy and 6.9% qoq to Rs1,057cr. Non-interest income stood
at Rs215cr, down by 45.2% yoy and by 19.1% sequentially. Operating costs increased
25.2% yoy but were down by 5.9% qoq to Rs450cr. Gross NPAs increased marginally by
1.8% sequentially to Rs1,495cr, while net NPAs stood at Rs616cr compared to Rs724cr (a
decline of 14.9%) in 4QFY2010. The bank’s Gross and Net NPA ratio stood at 1.7% (1.7%
in 4QFY2010) and 0.7% (0.9% in 4QFY2010) respectively. The provision coverage ratio
excluding technical write-offs increased to 58.8% compared to 50.7% in 4QFY2010. The
bank’s CAR was healthy at 12.4% as compared to 12.5% in 4QFY2010.
We may revisit our earnings estimates and target price post our interaction with the bank’s
management. At the CMP, the stock is trading at valuations of 1.0x FY2012E ABV which is
equal to our target multiple on the stock. Hence, we have a Neutral rating on the stock.
SAIL
SAIL’s 1QFY2011 net revenue came in at Rs9,029cr on account of lower sales volume.
While saleable steel production was flat at 3.0mn tonnes yoy, sales volume decreased by
19% yoy and 32.4% qoq to 2.3mn tonnes. Average realisations increased by 24.6% yoy
and 11.6% qoq to Rs39,258/tonne. EBITDA margins were flat at 20.4% largely on account
of higher staff cost during the quarter. The increase in staff cost was due to an additional
provision of Rs299cr made by the company toward employee-related benefits. This led to
a 436bp variation in EBITDA margin as compared to our estimate of 24.8%.
Consequently, EBITDA declined by 1.7% yoy to Rs1,843cr and net income came in at
Rs1,177cr, lower by 11.3% yoy. The stock is currently under review and we will be revising
our numbers post the conference call.
July 30, 2010 6
7. Market Outlook | India Research
Ultratech
For 1QFY2011, Ultratech reported an 8.1% yoy decline in net sales on account of a 3.6%
decline in despatches to 5.12mn tonnes and a 3.9% decline in realisations to
Rs3,535/tonne. The company’s net realisations declined due to its substantial exposure
(~33%) to the southern region, which has been affected by lower off-take and shortage of
wagons. The western and eastern regions were also constrained on account of logistics
issue and partial disruptions in operations. On the operating front, the company’s
margins fell by 1,371bp yoy to 23.5% (37.2%) on account of higher raw-material, freight
and power costs. The company’s net profit declined by 41.9% yoy to Rs243cr largely due
to poor operational performance. We maintain a Buy view on the stock; the target price is,
however, under review.
Result Previews-1QFY2011
ABB Ltd.
ABB is scheduled to announce its 2QCY2010 results. The company’s top line is expected to
grow at 20.3% yoy to Rs1,810cr. On the operating front, we expect margins to increase by
90bp yoy to around 7.6%. Net profit is expected to increase by 11.4% yoy to Rs93cr. We
maintain our Neutral recommendation on the stock.
Alembic
Alembic is slated to announce its 1QFY2011 results. The company is expected to post flat
top-line growth to Rs302cr for the quarter. The company's OPM is estimated to expand by
50bp to 10.8% and net profit is expected to come at Rs13cr. We maintain Buy on the stock
with a Target Price of Rs74.
HCC
HCC is expected to announce its 1QFY2011 results. We expect the company to post top-
line growth of 10.3% to Rs962cr. On the operating margin front, the company’s
performance is expected to be flat with a 168bp drop yoy to 11.1%. Net profit is expected
to register 44.7% yoy growth to Rs26.3cr. In light of the rich valuations that the stock
trades at, we maintain our Neutral view.
KEC International
KEC International is scheduled to announce its 1QFY2011 results. The company’s top line
is expected to grow by 16.2% yoy to Rs844cr. On the operating front, we expect the
company to register a 170bp margin contraction to 10.1% yoy. Net profit is expected to
increase by 41% yoy to Rs35cr. The stock is currently under review, we will revisit our
estimates post the conference call.
July 30, 2010 7
8. Market Outlook | India Research
Economic and Political News
Food inflation down to single digit at 9.67%
Govt in talks with UK firms for infra projects says Nath
Oil hovers near US $77 on US economy, crude demand
Corporate News
Essar Oil in talks for Shell's European refineries
Gas production from Raniganj CBM block by Sept says Essar Oil
Glenmark gets USFDA's tentative nod for Riluzone
Source: Economic Times, Business Standard, Business Line, Financial Express, Mint
Events for the day
ABB Results
Aditya Birla Nuvo Results
Alembic Results
Andhra Cements Results
BGR Energy Results
Bharat Electricals Results
BPCL Results
DB Corp Results
Edelweiss Capital Results
Elecon Engeering Results
Emami Results
Gujarat Alkalies Results
Hinduja Ventures Results
Hindustan Construction Company Results
India Infoline Results
Indian Hotels Results
Inox Leisure Results
Kansai Nerolac Results
Karnataka Bank Results
KEC Intl Results
Max India Results
Mirc Elect Results
Morepen Lab Results
Pentamedia Grap Results
PVR Results
Raymond Results
REI Agro Results
RNRL Results
Raymond Results
Reliance Power Results
Shipping Corp Results
Tata Chemicals Results
Torrent Pharma Results
Voltamp Trans Results
July 30, 2010 8
9. Market Outlook | India Research
Research Team Tel: 022-4040 3800 E-mail: research@angeltrade.com Website: www.angeltrade.com
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