.
                                                                                                                           Market Outlook
                                                                                                                                           India Research
                                                                                                                                                August 5, 2010

    Dealer’s Diary                                                                                              Domestic Indices      Chg (%)       (Pts)   (Close)
    The key benchmark indices edged higher in early trade on data showing
                                                                                                                BSE Sensex              0.6%      102.6 18,217
    sustained buying by foreign funds over the past two months and on revival of
                                                                                                                Nifty                   0.5%       28.3      5,468
    the monsoons. The market reversed initial gains and slipped into the red in
                                                                                                                MID CAP                 0.0%         2.3     7,519
    morning trade as Asian stocks declined. However, it regained in mid-morning
                                                                                                                SMALL CAP               0.5%       49.8      9,516
    trade as data showed the services sector expanded for the 15th month in July
    10. It slipped again into the red in mid-afternoon trade as European stocks and                             BSE HC                 -0.2%      (12.5)     5,613
    US index futures fell but surged in late trade. The Sensex and Nifty recovered                              BSE PSU                 0.0%       (2.8)     9,666
    and ended up by 0.6% and 0.5%, respectively. BSE mid-cap index closed                                       BANKEX                 -0.2%      (26.3) 11,903
    almost flat, while small-cap index closed up by 0.5%. Among the front liners,                               AUTO                    0.3%       23.0      8,469
    TCS, Wipro, Infosys, BHEL and Reliance Infra gained between 2–4%, while                                     METAL                  -0.3%      (53.2) 15,583
    Bharti Airtel, ACC, Tata Steel, RIL and JP Associates lost between 1–2%. Among                              OIL & GAS              -0.8%      (79.8) 10,254
    mid caps, Jai Corp, Hathway Cables, Bayer Corp, Essar Ship Ports and India                                  BSE IT                  3.3%      178.0      5,641
    Bulls Fin. gained between 6–9%, while REI Agro, Punj Lloyd, Standard                                        Global Indices        Chg (%)       (Pts)   (Close)
    Chartered, Jubilant FoodWorks and Kwality Dairy lost between 4–7%.                                          Dow Jones                0.4%      44.1     10,680
                                                                                                                NASDAQ                   0.9%      20.1      2,304
    Markets Today
                                                                                                                FTSE                    -0.2%     (10.3)     5,386
    The trend deciding level for the day is 18187 / 5459 levels. If NIFTY trades
                                                                                                                Nikkei                  -2.1% (204.7)        9,489
    above this level during the first half-an-hour of trade then we may witness a
    further rally up to 18820 – 18343 / 5490 – 5513 levels. However, if NIFTY                                   Hang Seng                0.4%      92.2     21,550
    trades below 18187 / 5459 levels for the first half-an-hour of trade then it may                            Straits Times           -0.4%     (12.9)     3,002
    correct up to 18124 – 18030 / 5437 – 5406 levels.                                                           Shanghai Com             0.4%      11.5      2,639


      Indices                      S2                      S1                     R1              R2            Indian ADRs           Chg (%)       (Pts)   (Close)
      SENSEX                     18030                    18124               18280              18343          Infosys                  1.2%       0.7      $63.4
      NIFTY                      5406                     5437                5490               5513           Wipro                    1.4%       0.2      $13.9
                                                                                                                Satyam                  -0.8%      (0.0)      $5.0
    News Analysis                                                                                               ICICI Bank               0.9%       0.4      $42.0
                                                                                                                HDFC Bank                0.2%       0.4     $162.1
            Result Review: GIPCL
            Result Preview: Anant Raj
    Refer detailed news analysis on the following page.                                                         Advances / Declines               BSE          NSE
                                                                                                                Advances                        1,557          690
      Net Inflows (August 03, 2010)
                                                                                                                Declines                        1,417          643
      Rs cr             Purch                    Sales                 Net              MTD             YTD
                                                                                                                Unchanged                          94              50
      FII                    3,085              2,408                 667              1,542       49,483
      MFs                      578                605                 (27)                7       (12,616)
                                                                                                                Volumes (Rs cr)
      FII Derivatives (August 04, 2010)                                                                         BSE                                          4,796
                                                                                                     Open       NSE                                         12,379
      Rs cr                                     Purch                Sales              Net
                                                                                                   Interest
      Index Futures                            1,166                1,168                (2)       16,005
      Stock Futures                            1,179                1,027               152        34,532

      Gainers / Losers
                               Gainers                                                 Losers
                                  Price                                                  Price
      Company                                  chg (%)          Company                            chg (%)
                                   (Rs)                                                   (Rs)
      Jai Corp.                    288              8.7         Punj Lloyd                121           (5.4)
      Essar Shipping                   92           6.3         IB Power                   28           (2.9)
      Indiabulls                     171            6.3         JSW Energy                125           (2.5)
      TCS                            870            4.4         IVRCL Infra               176           (2.4)
      Wipro                          429            4.0         Jain Irrigation         1,238           (2.4)

                                                                                                                                                               1



    Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report                                                Sebi Registration No: INB 010996539
Market Outlook | India Research


                 Result Review-1QFY2011


                 GIPCL

                 GIPCL’s 1QFY2011 top line remained flat at Rs253cr, despite the increase in sales volume
                 due to the reduction in fuel costs, which is a pass on. On the operating front, the
                 company's OPM stood at 25.4%, up 86bp yoy on account of lower fuel costs and other
                 expenses. The bottom line rose 42.3% yoy to Rs41.9cr, which is in line with our estimates.
                 Bottom-line growth was aided by lower interest and tax expense. We maintain Buy on the
                 stock with a Target Price of Rs135.


                 Result Preview-1QFY2011

                 Anant Raj

                 Anant Raj is scheduled to announce its 1QFY2011 results. We expect ARIL to report a
                 76.4% qoq increase in revenue to Rs60cr, driven by the Kapashera project and rental
                 income. We expect OPM to remain healthy at 80%, owing to its low historical cost of land.
                 Consequently, we expect PAT to increase by 30.1% qoq to Rs38.7cr. At the CMP, the stock
                 is trading at 44% discount to our one-year forward NAV of Rs209. We maintain Buy on the
                 stock with a Target Price of Rs178.




August 5, 2010                                                                                           2
Market Outlook | India Research




                                 Economic and Political News

                                India M&A deals treble to US $50bn this year so far
                                FDI plunges by 45% to US $1.41bn in June 2010
                                PowerMin mulls Rs50,000cr fund for projects
                                Maha cabinet nod for 'green tax' on vehicles



                                 Corporate News

                                IOC contributes Rs1,012cr to Bihar exchequer
                                Era Infra achieves financial closure of a Rs692cr road project
                                Maruti Suzuki launches Alto K10
                                M&M plans to enter motorcycle biz by year-end


                              Source: Economic Times, Business Standard, Business Line, Financial Express, Mint




   Events for the day
   Anant Raj Inds                              Results
   Ansal Housing                               Results
   Aurobindo Pharma                            Results
   BAG Films                                   Results
   Dredging Corp                               Results
   Essar Ship Ports                            Results
   Galaxy Entertainment                        Results
   Garware Polyester                           Results
   Gujarat Industries Power                    Results
   Man Infra                                   Results
   Oracle Financials                           Results
   Varun Shipping                              Results




August 5, 2010                                                                                                                    3
Market Outlook | India Research


Research Team Tel: 022-4040 3800                                      E-mail: research@angeltrade.com                                     Website: www.angeltrade.com


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Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and
trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's
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 Angel Capital & Debt Market Ltd: INB 231279838 / NSE FNO: INF 231279838 / NSE Member code -12798 Angel Commodities Broking (P) Ltd: MCX Member ID: 12685 / FMC Regn No: MCX / TCM /
 CORP / 0037 NCDEX : Member ID 00220 / FMC Regn No: NCDEX / TCM / CORP / 0302




August 5, 2010                                                                                                                                                                    4

Market Outlook - August 5, 2010

  • 1.
    . Market Outlook India Research August 5, 2010 Dealer’s Diary Domestic Indices Chg (%) (Pts) (Close) The key benchmark indices edged higher in early trade on data showing BSE Sensex 0.6% 102.6 18,217 sustained buying by foreign funds over the past two months and on revival of Nifty 0.5% 28.3 5,468 the monsoons. The market reversed initial gains and slipped into the red in MID CAP 0.0% 2.3 7,519 morning trade as Asian stocks declined. However, it regained in mid-morning SMALL CAP 0.5% 49.8 9,516 trade as data showed the services sector expanded for the 15th month in July 10. It slipped again into the red in mid-afternoon trade as European stocks and BSE HC -0.2% (12.5) 5,613 US index futures fell but surged in late trade. The Sensex and Nifty recovered BSE PSU 0.0% (2.8) 9,666 and ended up by 0.6% and 0.5%, respectively. BSE mid-cap index closed BANKEX -0.2% (26.3) 11,903 almost flat, while small-cap index closed up by 0.5%. Among the front liners, AUTO 0.3% 23.0 8,469 TCS, Wipro, Infosys, BHEL and Reliance Infra gained between 2–4%, while METAL -0.3% (53.2) 15,583 Bharti Airtel, ACC, Tata Steel, RIL and JP Associates lost between 1–2%. Among OIL & GAS -0.8% (79.8) 10,254 mid caps, Jai Corp, Hathway Cables, Bayer Corp, Essar Ship Ports and India BSE IT 3.3% 178.0 5,641 Bulls Fin. gained between 6–9%, while REI Agro, Punj Lloyd, Standard Global Indices Chg (%) (Pts) (Close) Chartered, Jubilant FoodWorks and Kwality Dairy lost between 4–7%. Dow Jones 0.4% 44.1 10,680 NASDAQ 0.9% 20.1 2,304 Markets Today FTSE -0.2% (10.3) 5,386 The trend deciding level for the day is 18187 / 5459 levels. If NIFTY trades Nikkei -2.1% (204.7) 9,489 above this level during the first half-an-hour of trade then we may witness a further rally up to 18820 – 18343 / 5490 – 5513 levels. However, if NIFTY Hang Seng 0.4% 92.2 21,550 trades below 18187 / 5459 levels for the first half-an-hour of trade then it may Straits Times -0.4% (12.9) 3,002 correct up to 18124 – 18030 / 5437 – 5406 levels. Shanghai Com 0.4% 11.5 2,639 Indices S2 S1 R1 R2 Indian ADRs Chg (%) (Pts) (Close) SENSEX 18030 18124 18280 18343 Infosys 1.2% 0.7 $63.4 NIFTY 5406 5437 5490 5513 Wipro 1.4% 0.2 $13.9 Satyam -0.8% (0.0) $5.0 News Analysis ICICI Bank 0.9% 0.4 $42.0 HDFC Bank 0.2% 0.4 $162.1 Result Review: GIPCL Result Preview: Anant Raj Refer detailed news analysis on the following page. Advances / Declines BSE NSE Advances 1,557 690 Net Inflows (August 03, 2010) Declines 1,417 643 Rs cr Purch Sales Net MTD YTD Unchanged 94 50 FII 3,085 2,408 667 1,542 49,483 MFs 578 605 (27) 7 (12,616) Volumes (Rs cr) FII Derivatives (August 04, 2010) BSE 4,796 Open NSE 12,379 Rs cr Purch Sales Net Interest Index Futures 1,166 1,168 (2) 16,005 Stock Futures 1,179 1,027 152 34,532 Gainers / Losers Gainers Losers Price Price Company chg (%) Company chg (%) (Rs) (Rs) Jai Corp. 288 8.7 Punj Lloyd 121 (5.4) Essar Shipping 92 6.3 IB Power 28 (2.9) Indiabulls 171 6.3 JSW Energy 125 (2.5) TCS 870 4.4 IVRCL Infra 176 (2.4) Wipro 429 4.0 Jain Irrigation 1,238 (2.4) 1 Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report Sebi Registration No: INB 010996539
  • 2.
    Market Outlook |India Research Result Review-1QFY2011 GIPCL GIPCL’s 1QFY2011 top line remained flat at Rs253cr, despite the increase in sales volume due to the reduction in fuel costs, which is a pass on. On the operating front, the company's OPM stood at 25.4%, up 86bp yoy on account of lower fuel costs and other expenses. The bottom line rose 42.3% yoy to Rs41.9cr, which is in line with our estimates. Bottom-line growth was aided by lower interest and tax expense. We maintain Buy on the stock with a Target Price of Rs135. Result Preview-1QFY2011 Anant Raj Anant Raj is scheduled to announce its 1QFY2011 results. We expect ARIL to report a 76.4% qoq increase in revenue to Rs60cr, driven by the Kapashera project and rental income. We expect OPM to remain healthy at 80%, owing to its low historical cost of land. Consequently, we expect PAT to increase by 30.1% qoq to Rs38.7cr. At the CMP, the stock is trading at 44% discount to our one-year forward NAV of Rs209. We maintain Buy on the stock with a Target Price of Rs178. August 5, 2010 2
  • 3.
    Market Outlook |India Research Economic and Political News India M&A deals treble to US $50bn this year so far FDI plunges by 45% to US $1.41bn in June 2010 PowerMin mulls Rs50,000cr fund for projects Maha cabinet nod for 'green tax' on vehicles Corporate News IOC contributes Rs1,012cr to Bihar exchequer Era Infra achieves financial closure of a Rs692cr road project Maruti Suzuki launches Alto K10 M&M plans to enter motorcycle biz by year-end Source: Economic Times, Business Standard, Business Line, Financial Express, Mint Events for the day Anant Raj Inds Results Ansal Housing Results Aurobindo Pharma Results BAG Films Results Dredging Corp Results Essar Ship Ports Results Galaxy Entertainment Results Garware Polyester Results Gujarat Industries Power Results Man Infra Results Oracle Financials Results Varun Shipping Results August 5, 2010 3
  • 4.
    Market Outlook |India Research Research Team Tel: 022-4040 3800 E-mail: research@angeltrade.com Website: www.angeltrade.com DISCLAIMER This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. Angel Broking Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within. Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's fundamentals. The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable sources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this document is for general guidance only. Angel Broking or any of its affiliates/ group companies shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. Angel Broking Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify, nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While Angel Broking Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly. Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in the past. Neither Angel Broking Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or in connection with the use of this information. Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section). Address: Acme Plaza, ‘A’ Wing, 3rd Floor, M.V. Road, Opp. Sangam Cinema, Andheri (E), Mumbai - 400 059. Tel : (022) 3952 4568 / 4040 3800 Angel Broking Ltd: BSE Sebi Regn No : INB 010996539 / CDSL Regn No: IN - DP - CDSL - 234 - 2004 / PMS Regn Code: PM/INP000001546 Angel Capital & Debt Market Ltd: INB 231279838 / NSE FNO: INF 231279838 / NSE Member code -12798 Angel Commodities Broking (P) Ltd: MCX Member ID: 12685 / FMC Regn No: MCX / TCM / CORP / 0037 NCDEX : Member ID 00220 / FMC Regn No: NCDEX / TCM / CORP / 0302 August 5, 2010 4