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07th Nov’14 Currency Highlights 
USDINR 
USDINR Technical View: 
 USDINR Prices moved in a lower top lower bottom formation on 15 minutes timeframe while prices have taken resistance near 61.8 % retracement level of the down move from 61.81 – 61.54 levels. 
 Price Pattern: Prices have traded in downtrend in smaller timeframe where prices have taken resistance of the downtrend line drawn on hourly timeframe and moved lower. 
 MACD: On hourly timeframe MACD indicator is below 0 level which gives negative confirmation for prices. 
 RSI: On smaller timeframe, RSI has formed negative reversal which would add bearishness to the prices. 
 ADX: ADX on hourly chart is below 25 which indicate no clear trend in the prices. 
Economic Indicators Date Time Data Prior Expected Impact 
07.11.14 
07:00 PM 
Non-Farm Employment Change 248K 
229K 
Actual > Expected=Good for USD 
07.11.14 
07:00 PM 
Unemployment Rate 6.8% 
6.8% 
Actual > Expected=Good for USD 
07.11.14 
07:00 PM 
Average Hourly Earnings m/m 5.9% 5.9% 
Actual > Expected=Good for USD 
07.11.14 
08:45 PM 
Fed Chair Yellen Speaks 
More Hawkish=Good for USD
07th Nov’14 Currency Highlights 
EURINR 
EURINR Technical View: 
 EURINR Prices are trading in lower top lower bottom formation giving Dow Theory sell confirmation. Prices have given close near its previous intermediate low of 76.94 levels below which prices could face panic selling pressure. 
 Moving Average: Prices continues to trade below the 50 & 20 EMA’s on hourly timeframe which suggest the weakness in the prices. 
 MACD: MACD on daily, Hourly as well as on smaller timeframe below zero level which suggest weakness in prices. . 
 RSI: on Hourly timeframe, RSI has formed negative reversal while it is trading below 40 levels which indicate lack of momentum in prices. 
 ADX: ADX on hourly timeframe indicates trend on downside as it is above 25 level while –DI is above +DI. 
Economic Indicators Date Time Data Prior Expected Impact 
07.11.14 
12:30 PM German Industrial Production m/m 
-4.0% 
2.1% 
Actual > Expected=Good for EUR 
07.11.14 
12:30 PM German Trade Balance 
17.5B 
18.3B 
Actual > Expected=Good for EUR 
07.11.14 
01:15 PM French Industrial Production m/m 
0.0% 
-0.1% 
Actual > Expected=Good for EUR 
07.11.14 
01:15 PM French Gov Budget Balance 
-94.1B 
Actual > Expected=Good for EUR 
07.11.14 
01:15 PM French Trade Balance 
-5.8B 
-5.2B 
Actual > Expected=Good for EUR 
07.11.14 
All Day ECOFIN Meetings 
Effects EUR
07th Nov’14 Currency Highlights 
GBPINR 
GBPINR Technical View: 
 GBPINR prices traded lower as expected. Bias remains bearish with no change in outlook. 
 Price Pattern: Prices have given close below descending triangle formation on hourly timeframe which could drift prices towards lower levels. . 
 Moving Average: Prices are trading below both the moving averages which gives negative confirmation for prices.. 
 MACD: MACD indicator remains below zero level while MACD has given cross below signal line which is negative for prices. 
 RSI: The momentum indicator, RSI is in oversold zone which suggest lack of momentum in prices. 
 ADX: ADZ is above 25 while –DI is above +DI which indicates trend is down.. 
Economic Indicators Date Time Data Prior Expected Impact 
07.11.14 
03:00 PM Trade Balance 
-9.1B 
-9.4B 
Actual > Expected=Good for GBP
07th Nov’14 Currency Highlights 
JPYINR 
JPYINR Technical View: 
 JPYINR remains weak as it continues to trade lower with gap down opening from past few consecutive trading session.. 
 Moving Average: Prices are trading below both the EMA’s which indicates trend remains down.. 
 MACD: MACD remains below zero level.. 
 RSI: RSI has taken resistance at 40 levels and moved lower which is bearish for prices. 
 ADX: ADX is above 25 which confirms the trend while –DI is above +DI which indicates downtrend is dominating. 
Economic Indicators Date Time Data Prior Expected Impact 
07.11.14 
No Data for JPY Today
07th Nov’14 Currency Highlights 
Amit Pawar (Research Associate) amit.pawar@choiceindia.com 
Rohan Shinde (Research Associate) rohan.shinde@choiceindia.com 
Deveya Gaglani (Research Advisor) deveya.gaglani@chocieindia.com 
For Private Circulation Only Website: www.choiceindia.com 
https://twitter.com/ChoiceBroking https://plus.google.com/115293033595831069270/posts 
https://www.youtube.com/user/ChoiceBroking http://www.slideshare.net/choiceindiabroking 
https://www.facebook.com/choicebroking 
https://www.linkedin.com/company/choice-international-limited
07th Nov’14 Currency Highlights 
Disclaimer 
This is solely for information of clients of Choice Broking and does not construe to be an investment advice. It is also not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase and sale of any financial instruments. Any action taken by you on the basis of the information contained herein is your responsibility alone and Choice Broking its subsidiaries or its employees or associates will not be liable in any manner for the consequences of such action taken by you. We have exercised due diligence in checking the correctness and authenticity of the information contained in this recommendation, but Choice Broking or any of its subsidiaries or associates or employees shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this recommendation or any action taken on basis of this information. Technical analysis studies market psychology, price patterns and volume levels. It is used to forecast future price and market movements. Technical analysis is complementary to fundamental analysis and news sources. The recommendations issued here with might be contrary to recommendations issued by Choice Broking in the company research undertaken as the recommendations stated in this report is derived purely from technical analysis. Choice Broking has based this document on information obtained from sources it believes to be reliable but which it has not independently verified; Choice Broking makes no guarantee, representation or warranty and accepts no responsibility or liability as to its accuracy or completeness. The opinions contained within the report are based upon publicly available information at the time of publication and are subject to change without notice. The information and any disclosures provided herein are in summary form and have been prepared for informational purposes. The recommendations and suggested price levels are intended purely for trading purposes. The recommendations are valid for the day of the report however trading trends and volumes might vary substantially on an intraday basis and the recommendations may be subject to change. The information and any disclosures provided herein may be considered confidential. Any use, distribution, modification, copying, forwarding or disclosure by any person is strictly prohibited. The information and any disclosures provided herein do not constitute a solicitation or offer to purchase or sell any security or other financial product or instrument. The current performance may be unaudited. Past performance does not guarantee future returns. There can be no assurance that investments will achieve any targeted rates of return, and there is no guarantee against the loss of your entire investment. 
POTENTIAL CONFLICT OF INTEREST DISCLOSURE (as on date of report) Disclosure of interest statement – • Analyst interest of the stock /Instrument(s): - No. • Firm interest of the stock / Instrument (s): - No.

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Currency highlights 07.11.14

  • 1. 07th Nov’14 Currency Highlights USDINR USDINR Technical View:  USDINR Prices moved in a lower top lower bottom formation on 15 minutes timeframe while prices have taken resistance near 61.8 % retracement level of the down move from 61.81 – 61.54 levels.  Price Pattern: Prices have traded in downtrend in smaller timeframe where prices have taken resistance of the downtrend line drawn on hourly timeframe and moved lower.  MACD: On hourly timeframe MACD indicator is below 0 level which gives negative confirmation for prices.  RSI: On smaller timeframe, RSI has formed negative reversal which would add bearishness to the prices.  ADX: ADX on hourly chart is below 25 which indicate no clear trend in the prices. Economic Indicators Date Time Data Prior Expected Impact 07.11.14 07:00 PM Non-Farm Employment Change 248K 229K Actual > Expected=Good for USD 07.11.14 07:00 PM Unemployment Rate 6.8% 6.8% Actual > Expected=Good for USD 07.11.14 07:00 PM Average Hourly Earnings m/m 5.9% 5.9% Actual > Expected=Good for USD 07.11.14 08:45 PM Fed Chair Yellen Speaks More Hawkish=Good for USD
  • 2. 07th Nov’14 Currency Highlights EURINR EURINR Technical View:  EURINR Prices are trading in lower top lower bottom formation giving Dow Theory sell confirmation. Prices have given close near its previous intermediate low of 76.94 levels below which prices could face panic selling pressure.  Moving Average: Prices continues to trade below the 50 & 20 EMA’s on hourly timeframe which suggest the weakness in the prices.  MACD: MACD on daily, Hourly as well as on smaller timeframe below zero level which suggest weakness in prices. .  RSI: on Hourly timeframe, RSI has formed negative reversal while it is trading below 40 levels which indicate lack of momentum in prices.  ADX: ADX on hourly timeframe indicates trend on downside as it is above 25 level while –DI is above +DI. Economic Indicators Date Time Data Prior Expected Impact 07.11.14 12:30 PM German Industrial Production m/m -4.0% 2.1% Actual > Expected=Good for EUR 07.11.14 12:30 PM German Trade Balance 17.5B 18.3B Actual > Expected=Good for EUR 07.11.14 01:15 PM French Industrial Production m/m 0.0% -0.1% Actual > Expected=Good for EUR 07.11.14 01:15 PM French Gov Budget Balance -94.1B Actual > Expected=Good for EUR 07.11.14 01:15 PM French Trade Balance -5.8B -5.2B Actual > Expected=Good for EUR 07.11.14 All Day ECOFIN Meetings Effects EUR
  • 3. 07th Nov’14 Currency Highlights GBPINR GBPINR Technical View:  GBPINR prices traded lower as expected. Bias remains bearish with no change in outlook.  Price Pattern: Prices have given close below descending triangle formation on hourly timeframe which could drift prices towards lower levels. .  Moving Average: Prices are trading below both the moving averages which gives negative confirmation for prices..  MACD: MACD indicator remains below zero level while MACD has given cross below signal line which is negative for prices.  RSI: The momentum indicator, RSI is in oversold zone which suggest lack of momentum in prices.  ADX: ADZ is above 25 while –DI is above +DI which indicates trend is down.. Economic Indicators Date Time Data Prior Expected Impact 07.11.14 03:00 PM Trade Balance -9.1B -9.4B Actual > Expected=Good for GBP
  • 4. 07th Nov’14 Currency Highlights JPYINR JPYINR Technical View:  JPYINR remains weak as it continues to trade lower with gap down opening from past few consecutive trading session..  Moving Average: Prices are trading below both the EMA’s which indicates trend remains down..  MACD: MACD remains below zero level..  RSI: RSI has taken resistance at 40 levels and moved lower which is bearish for prices.  ADX: ADX is above 25 which confirms the trend while –DI is above +DI which indicates downtrend is dominating. Economic Indicators Date Time Data Prior Expected Impact 07.11.14 No Data for JPY Today
  • 5. 07th Nov’14 Currency Highlights Amit Pawar (Research Associate) amit.pawar@choiceindia.com Rohan Shinde (Research Associate) rohan.shinde@choiceindia.com Deveya Gaglani (Research Advisor) deveya.gaglani@chocieindia.com For Private Circulation Only Website: www.choiceindia.com https://twitter.com/ChoiceBroking https://plus.google.com/115293033595831069270/posts https://www.youtube.com/user/ChoiceBroking http://www.slideshare.net/choiceindiabroking https://www.facebook.com/choicebroking https://www.linkedin.com/company/choice-international-limited
  • 6. 07th Nov’14 Currency Highlights Disclaimer This is solely for information of clients of Choice Broking and does not construe to be an investment advice. It is also not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase and sale of any financial instruments. Any action taken by you on the basis of the information contained herein is your responsibility alone and Choice Broking its subsidiaries or its employees or associates will not be liable in any manner for the consequences of such action taken by you. We have exercised due diligence in checking the correctness and authenticity of the information contained in this recommendation, but Choice Broking or any of its subsidiaries or associates or employees shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this recommendation or any action taken on basis of this information. Technical analysis studies market psychology, price patterns and volume levels. It is used to forecast future price and market movements. Technical analysis is complementary to fundamental analysis and news sources. The recommendations issued here with might be contrary to recommendations issued by Choice Broking in the company research undertaken as the recommendations stated in this report is derived purely from technical analysis. Choice Broking has based this document on information obtained from sources it believes to be reliable but which it has not independently verified; Choice Broking makes no guarantee, representation or warranty and accepts no responsibility or liability as to its accuracy or completeness. The opinions contained within the report are based upon publicly available information at the time of publication and are subject to change without notice. The information and any disclosures provided herein are in summary form and have been prepared for informational purposes. The recommendations and suggested price levels are intended purely for trading purposes. The recommendations are valid for the day of the report however trading trends and volumes might vary substantially on an intraday basis and the recommendations may be subject to change. The information and any disclosures provided herein may be considered confidential. Any use, distribution, modification, copying, forwarding or disclosure by any person is strictly prohibited. The information and any disclosures provided herein do not constitute a solicitation or offer to purchase or sell any security or other financial product or instrument. The current performance may be unaudited. Past performance does not guarantee future returns. There can be no assurance that investments will achieve any targeted rates of return, and there is no guarantee against the loss of your entire investment. POTENTIAL CONFLICT OF INTEREST DISCLOSURE (as on date of report) Disclosure of interest statement – • Analyst interest of the stock /Instrument(s): - No. • Firm interest of the stock / Instrument (s): - No.