The document provides a technical analysis of the Nifty, Bank Nifty, and Ranbaxy stock from September 24th, 2014. It notes that Nifty broke below an important support level and is showing bearish technical indicators on hourly charts such as closing below moving averages. Bank Nifty also showed a sharp fall and bearish patterns. Ranbaxy is expected to continue its falling direction. Overall, the technical analysis indicates bearish trends for the indices and stock.

1. 24th Sept’14 Equity Bazaar
Nifty
Nifty Technical View:
 In yesterday’s trading session Nifty has broken sharply & closed below its important support level. In previous day’s trading session we has seen shooting star candlestick on hourly chart which gives pre intimations of trend reversal.
 Price Pattern: According to Hourly chart, Nifty has formed Large Real Bodies of Black candlestick which means during trading session bears were more aggressive.
 Moving Average: In Hourly chart, Nifty has traded below its 50 & 100 EMA, which is bearish sign. Very soon we will see 50 EMA cross below 100 EMA & this is strong bearish sign.
 MACD: The MACD on the hourly charts has turned flat to negative divergence (12days SMA trades below 26 days SMA) with large negative histogram which is again bearish sign.
 RSI: Oscillator RSI has slipped below the important area of middle line. Currently RSI is near bearish level (34.7 levels) & as per this theory one may expect RSI should drift lower below 30 levels.
 Conclusion: Below chart says that we had seen horizontal support of 8067 levels in Nifty which now has turned to resistance & the previous levels of 7952 will act support.
Resistance: R1 8115 R2 8213 R3 8365
Pivot : PL 8061
Support : S1 7936 S2 7909 S3 7757
Our Recommendation
Buy Nifty above 8150 Stop Loss 8100 Target 8350.
Sell Nifty on rise around 8100 Stop Loss 8150 Target 7800.

2. 24th Sept’14 Equity Bazaar
Bank Nifty
Bank Nifty Technical View:
 Yesterday, we have seen sharp fall in bank nifty & it has closed near its lower levels. We can also say that there is positive correlation between Nifty & Bank Nifty.
 Price Pattern: In Hourly chart Bank nifty has formed Double Top Reversal chart pattern. Now Bank Nifty has traded below its important support level of 16021.
 Moving Average: In Hourly chart Bank Nifty has traded below its 50 & 100 EMA with narrow distance, which is a sign of strong bearish move.
 MACD: MACD is well placed below its zero line, with large negative histogram which is again bearish sign.
 RSI: Relative Strength Index (RSI) is moving below 35 levels, which is very close to near-term oversold level.
 Conclusion: The charts suggest that Bank Nifty may trade in narrow range. The strong support at 15835 levels shown by lower horizontal line & upper resistance at 16015 levels shown by middle horizontal line.
Resistance: R1 16133 R2 16359 R3 16705
Pivot : PL 16013
Support : S1 15787 S2 15667 S3 15321
Our Recommendation
Buy BNF above 16080 Stop Loss 16020 Target 16300
Sell BNF rise around 16000 Stop Loss 16080 Target 15870

3. 24th Sept’14 Equity Bazaar
Stock of the Day
Ranbaxy View:
 Yesterday we have seen sharp fall in Ranbaxy & closed near its lower level.
 Price Pattern: According to hourly chart Ranbaxy had form Bearish Flag chart pattern which shows sharp down move after little distribution. Now Ranbaxy has traded below its important support level.
 Moving Average: In Hourly chart, Ranbaxy has traded below its 50 &100 EMA which is suggesting weakness in prices. There is a possibility that Ranbaxy could test 50 EMA or 100 EMA & start moving down for the fresh downward move.
 MACD: The MACD on the hourly charts has given cross under its signal line which is negative for prices.
 RSI: RSI has slipped in to oversold zone.
 Conclusion: Ranbaxy trades in falling direction therefore rallies can be used as selling opportunities to test lower levels for the day.
Resistance : R1 594 R2 616 R3 650
Pivot : PL 582
Support : S1 560 S2 548 S3 514
Our Recommendation
Sell Ranbaxy @573 Stop Loss 585 Target 550

4. 24th Sept’14 Equity Bazaar
Derivative Analysis  FIIS Data: FII’s are the net seller on 23rd September 2014 is Rs 1185.17 Cr and Dll’s are the net buyers on 23rd September 2014 is Rs 325.7 Cr.  Option Data: 8300 CE has the highest OI with 85 lakhs and 8100 CE has the second highest OI with 62 lakhs and 8000 PE has the highest OI with 70 lakhs and 7900 PE has the second highest OI with 60 lakhs.  Open Interest: The above options data shows nifty has now a strong support at 7900 and resistance at 8200 the trend change level as per option data is 8000.  Intraday Option Strategy: (A) Buy Nifty 8200 calls and Sell Nifty 7900 puts if buy level is breached. (B) Sell Nifty 7900 calls and Buy Nifty 8200 puts if sell level is breached.

5. 24th Sept’14 Equity Bazaar
Symbol S3 S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2 R3 Trend Action
ACC 1395.7 1434.1 1449.1 1472.5 1487.5 1510.9 1549.3 Down Sell
AMBUJACEM 206.72 210.07 211.93 213.4167 215.28 216.77 220.12 UP Buy
ASIANPAINT 582.8 611.4 623.1 640 651.7 668.6 697.2 Down Sell
AXISBANK 379.18 390.73 394.92 402.2833 406.47 413.83 425.38 Down Sell
BAJAJ-AUTO 2262.27 2336.67 2365.13 2411.067 2439.53 2485.47 2559.87 Down Sell
BANKBARODA 872.58 905.08 917.17 937.5833 949.67 970.08 1002.58 Down Sell
BHEL 200.3 209.55 213 218.8 222.25 228.05 237.3 Down Sell
BPCL 601.73 629.78 640.37 657.8333 668.42 685.88 713.93 Down Sell
BHARTIARTL 389.63 399.33 402.92 409.0333 412.62 418.73 428.43 Down Sell
CAIRN 303.25 310.25 312.75 317.25 319.75 324.25 331.25 Down Sell
CIPLA 505.65 550.7 567.5 595.75 612.55 640.8 685.85 Down Sell
COALINDIA 314.07 325.92 330.53 337.7667 342.38 349.62 361.47 Down Sell
DLF 136.67 147.77 151.63 158.8667 162.73 169.97 181.07 Down Sell
DRREDDY 3050.27 3129.97 3164.53 3209.667 3244.23 3289.37 3369.07 Down Sell
GAIL 410.93 428.38 435.87 445.8333 453.32 463.28 480.73 Down Sell
GRASIM 3470.48 3579.63 3619.57 3688.783 3728.72 3797.93 3907.08 Down Sell
HCLTECH 1642.35 1680.55 1702.5 1718.75 1740.7 1756.95 1795.15 UP Buy
HDFCBANK 826.27 838.52 843.68 850.7667 855.93 863.02 875.27 Down Sell
HEROMOTOCO 2874.4 2933.4 2955.8 2992.4 3014.8 3051.4 3110.4 Down Sell
HINDALCO 141.18 149.98 153.57 158.7833 162.37 167.58 176.38 Down Sell
HINDUNILVR 706.7 725.55 733.8 744.4 752.65 763.25 782.1 Down Sell
HDFC 1022.05 1046.05 1056.1 1070.05 1080.1 1094.05 1118.05 Down Sell
ITC 356.97 364.07 367.43 371.1667 374.53 378.27 385.37 Down Sell
ICICIBANK 1438 1496.3 1517.4 1554.6 1575.7 1612.9 1671.2 Down Sell
IDFC 135.35 139.5 141 143.65 145.15 147.8 151.95 Down Sell
INDUSINDBK 599.02 617.27 624.08 635.5167 642.33 653.77 672.02 Down Sell
INFY 3452.9 3540.8 3573.95 3628.7 3661.85 3716.6 3804.5 Down Sell
JINDALSTEL 200.83 206.03 208.47 211.2333 213.67 216.43 221.63 Down Sell
KOTAKBANK 991.05 1016.15 1028.65 1041.25 1053.75 1066.35 1091.45 Down Sell
LT 1432.42 1468.22 1481.98 1504.017 1517.78 1539.82 1575.62 Down Sell
LUPIN 1274.72 1321.72 1339.43 1368.717 1386.43 1415.72 1462.72 Down Sell
M&M 1285.37 1317.87 1332.73 1350.367 1365.23 1382.87 1415.37 Down Sell
MARUTI 2960.17 3018.07 3039.93 3075.967 3097.83 3133.87 3191.77 Down Sell
NMDC 160.03 165.18 167.27 170.3333 172.42 175.48 180.63 Down Sell
NTPC 131.7 134.3 135.6 136.9 138.2 139.5 142.1 Sideway Sideway
ONGC 380.8 396.3 401.8 411.8 417.3 427.3 442.8 Down Sell
POWERGRID 131.58 134.23 135.37 136.8833 138.02 139.53 142.18 Down Sell
PNB 900.62 937.52 951.83 974.4167 988.73 1011.32 1048.22 Down Sell
RELIANCE 909.98 942.38 954.12 974.7833 986.52 1007.18 1039.58 Down Sell
SSLT 269.98 275.58 277.97 281.1833 283.57 286.78 292.38 Down Sell
SBIN 2425.58 2501.13 2528.67 2576.683 2604.22 2652.23 2727.78 Down Sell
SUNPHARMA 722.95 755.3 767.95 787.65 800.3 820 852.35 Down Sell
TCS 2519.68 2618.83 2653.52 2717.983 2752.67 2817.13 2916.28 Down Sell
TATAMOTORS 472.5 499 508.4 525.5 534.9 552 578.5 Down Sell
TATAPOWER 79.7 82.65 83.75 85.6 86.7 88.55 91.5 Down Sell
TATASTEEL 454.05 472.2 478.9 490.35 497.05 508.5 526.65 Down Sell
TECHM 2343.25 2410.7 2442.25 2478.15 2509.7 2545.6 2613.05 Down Sell
ULTRACEMCO 2462.68 2541.43 2571.37 2620.183 2650.12 2698.93 2777.68 Down Sell
MCDOWELL-N 549.07 566.57 574.63 584.0667 592.13 601.57 619.07 Down Sell
WIPRO 277.42 290.12 294.83 302.8167 307.53 315.52 328.22 Down Sell

6. 24th Sept’14 Equity Bazaar
Amit Pawar (Research Associate) amit.pawar@choiceindia.com
Rohan Shinde (Research Associate) rohan.shinde@choiceindia.com
Deveya Gaglani (Research Advisor) deveya.gaglani@chocieindia.com
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7. 24th Sept’14 Equity Bazaar
Disclaimer
This is solely for information of clients of Choice India and does not construe to be an investment advice. It is also not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase and sale of any financial instruments. Any action taken by you on the basis of the information contained herein is your responsibility alone and Choice India its subsidiaries or its employees or associates will not be liable in any manner for the consequences of such action taken by you. We have exercised due diligence in checking the correctness and authenticity of the information contained in this recommendation, but Choice India or any of its subsidiaries or associates or employees shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this recommendation or any action taken on basis of this information. Technical analysis studies market psychology, price patterns and volume levels. It is used to forecast future price and market movements. Technical analysis is complementary to fundamental analysis and news sources. The recommendations issued herewith might be contrary to recommendations issued by Choice India in the company research undertaken as the recommendations stated in this report is derived purely from technical analysis. Choice India has based this document on information obtained from sources it believes to be reliable but which it has not independently verified; Choice India makes no guarantee, representation or warranty and accepts no responsibility or liability as to its accuracy or completeness. The opinions contained within the report are based upon publicly available information at the time of publication and are subject to change without notice. The information and any disclosures provided herein are in summary form and have been prepared for informational purposes. The recommendations and suggested price levels are intended purely for trading purposes. The recommendations are valid for the day of the report however trading trends and volumes might vary substantially on an intraday basis and the recommendations may be subject to change. The information and any disclosures provided herein may be considered confidential. Any use, distribution, modification, copying, forwarding or disclosure by any person is strictly prohibited. The information and any disclosures provided herein do not constitute a solicitation or offer to purchase or sell any security or other financial product or instrument. The current performance may be unaudited. Past performance does not guarantee future returns. There can be no assurance that investments will achieve any targeted rates of return, and there is no guarantee against the loss of your entire investment.
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