The document provides a technical analysis of the Nifty, Bank Nifty, and Petronet LNG stock. For Nifty and Bank Nifty, it notes they traded in a narrow range and are below their 50 and 100 EMAs, with the MACD signaling a downtrend. It recommends selling Nifty below 7950 and Bank Nifty below 15350. For Petronet LNG, it observes a bearish flag pattern forming and recommends selling below 188, with support at 175.
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Straddle Options
When an options trader is not sure which way prices will go in a volatile market he or she often uses straddle options. Straddle options both long and short let a trader stake out potentially profitable positions for both rising and falling markets. Which route a trader takes in using straddle options will depend on whether he wants to buy or sell options contracts.
Going Long
A long straddle is buying both a call and a put on the same stock with the same expiration date. In a long straddle options strategy the worst a trader can do is lose the cost of the premiums paid for the call and the put if the stock does not change price. These straddle options have potentially unlimited potential if the stock price changes significantly, up or down.
Long Straddle Calls
If the stock price goes up the trader exercises the call option, sells the stock at the spot price and buys at the strike price. The profit is the price of 100 shares per contract at the spot price minus the strike price, minus the cost of premiums on both put and call options.
Long Straddle Puts
If the stock goes down in price the trader exercises the put option and sells the stock at the strike price and buys at the new, lower market price, the spot price. The profit will be the price of 100 shares per contract at the strike price minus the spot price minus the premium cost of both put and call options.
This strategy is useful in a volatile and unpredictable market. It carries twice the overhead of a call or put trade. But, the trader cuts down on the risk of missing out on an unexpected market move by covering both up and down eventualities. The only time when a trader loses with a long straddle is when the stock price does not change and then he is only out the cost of two options contracts.
Going Short
A short straddle strategy is selling both a put and a call on the same stock with the same options expiration dates. If the stock does not go up or down the options trader gains two premiums, one for the call and one for the put. Straddle options like these can be cash cows for a trader who has done his homework and only sells contracts on stocks that have very little likelihood of going up or down.
Volatile Markets and Big Losses
Whereas a long straddle is ideal for a volatile market a short straddle should only be used in a quiet market. As with all selling of options contracts the losses can be enormous if a stock price changes greatly. Which is why selling options contracts is so commonly limited to traders with very deep pockets.
Volatile Markets and Big Gains
Volatile markets bring us back to the long straddle. This is the ideal strategy for a market that is crazy in its volatility.
Binary options traders don’t have to spend all their
time and attention on keeping track of spreads,
leverage, deposit margins, stop-loss strategies,
hidden transaction fees and interest rate differentials,
like other traders do. Binary options give the
power back to the traders to focus solely on
making correct predictions and consequently to
enjoy making money http://withDrDavid.tv
http://www.options-trading-education.com/24043/straddle-options/
Straddle Options
When an options trader is not sure which way prices will go in a volatile market he or she often uses straddle options. Straddle options both long and short let a trader stake out potentially profitable positions for both rising and falling markets. Which route a trader takes in using straddle options will depend on whether he wants to buy or sell options contracts.
Going Long
A long straddle is buying both a call and a put on the same stock with the same expiration date. In a long straddle options strategy the worst a trader can do is lose the cost of the premiums paid for the call and the put if the stock does not change price. These straddle options have potentially unlimited potential if the stock price changes significantly, up or down.
Long Straddle Calls
If the stock price goes up the trader exercises the call option, sells the stock at the spot price and buys at the strike price. The profit is the price of 100 shares per contract at the spot price minus the strike price, minus the cost of premiums on both put and call options.
Long Straddle Puts
If the stock goes down in price the trader exercises the put option and sells the stock at the strike price and buys at the new, lower market price, the spot price. The profit will be the price of 100 shares per contract at the strike price minus the spot price minus the premium cost of both put and call options.
This strategy is useful in a volatile and unpredictable market. It carries twice the overhead of a call or put trade. But, the trader cuts down on the risk of missing out on an unexpected market move by covering both up and down eventualities. The only time when a trader loses with a long straddle is when the stock price does not change and then he is only out the cost of two options contracts.
Going Short
A short straddle strategy is selling both a put and a call on the same stock with the same options expiration dates. If the stock does not go up or down the options trader gains two premiums, one for the call and one for the put. Straddle options like these can be cash cows for a trader who has done his homework and only sells contracts on stocks that have very little likelihood of going up or down.
Volatile Markets and Big Losses
Whereas a long straddle is ideal for a volatile market a short straddle should only be used in a quiet market. As with all selling of options contracts the losses can be enormous if a stock price changes greatly. Which is why selling options contracts is so commonly limited to traders with very deep pockets.
Volatile Markets and Big Gains
Volatile markets bring us back to the long straddle. This is the ideal strategy for a market that is crazy in its volatility.
1. 7th Oct’14 Equity Bazaar
Nifty
Nifty Technical View:
In Wednesday’s trading session we had seen that Nifty future moved in a very small range of 45 points.
Price Pattern: According to daily chart, Nifty has formed small real body of candle which means during the trading session there was tug of war between bulls & bear & finally there was a stand-off position. On Wednesday, the pair traded within a narrow range, managing to hold above the lower trend-line support.
Moving Average: In Hourly chart Nifty has traded below its 50 EMA downward direction which is lesser than 100 EMA. There is a possibility that we may see Nifty can touch 50 EMA or 100 EMA & can drop down for the fresh downward fall.
MACD: The hourly MACD has gone into the sell mode.
RSI: The RSI is near to its normal range and is signaling a continuation of slow downtrend.
Conclusion: On-hourly chart, the pair has manage to hold a support near 7980 level. Should the pair now break below this immediate support, it is likely to continue with its corrective move towards 7885 horizontal support area. For aggressive trader & passive traders wait & watch Nifty needs to give breakout below 7950 for the fresh down ward move.
Resistance: R1 8007 R2 8033 R3 8077
Pivot : PL 7989
Support : S1 7963 S2 7945 S3 7901
Our Recommendation
Buy Nifty above 8050 Stop Loss 8000 Target 8250.
Sell Nifty below 7950 Stop Loss 7990 Target 7750.
2. 7th Oct’14 Equity Bazaar
Bank Nifty
Bank Nifty Technical View:
Wednesday’s Bank Nifty future opened down and moved narrow range for the whole trading day before the last hour where we saw some selling to make day low and give closing around 15375.
Price Pattern: Bank Nifty has formed small real body of candle which means during trading session none of buyers and sellers were ready to dominate the market.
Moving Average: In hourly chart, The Bank Nifty is trading below the 50 EMA & 100 EMA. The 50 EMA has been acting as instant resistance.
MACD: The hourly MACD has yet to confirm the selling crossover.
RSI: The RSI is near to its normal range and is signaling a continuation of slow downtrend.
Conclusion: Bank Nifty could trade in narrow range. The Bank Nifty is currently consolidating around this level. The strong resistance is at 15741 (100 EMA) levels & lower support of 15375 levels as shown by the red upward line. The charts suggest that the stock has given breakout & down fall can continue but for confirmation one should wait for breakout below 15375 levels for belligerent trader & for flaccid traders wait & watch policy is good in this situation.
Resistance: R1 15451 R2 15528 R3 15654
Pivot : PL 15401
Support : S1 15325 S2 15276 S3 15150
Our Recommendation
Buy BNF above 15500 Stop Loss 15450 Target: 15900.
Sell BNF below 15350 Stop Loss 15450 Target: 15000.
3. 7th Oct’14 Equity Bazaar
Stock of the Day
Petronet LNG Bank View:
After a sharp correction in Petronet LNG’s is in short term uptrend and closed above it’s 50 hour EMA.
Chart Pattern: On hourly chart, the pair now seems to be forming a “Bearish Flag Pattern” which marks distribution in a narrow range before sharp down move. Hence, from current levels upside seems limited till Rs.195 levels strong resistance, encompassing a psychological level and 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement.
Moving Average: In Hourly chart Petronet LNG has traded in between narrow range of its 50 & 100 EMA.
MACD: The MACD on the hourly charts has turned into quite positive divergence (12days sma trades above 26 days sma) with could be a sign of distribution.
RSI: RSI reversed from oversold region, supported by little short covering.
Conclusion: The charts suggest that Petronet LNG trades in sinking track consequently spring can be used as selling but the stock has given breakout on down side so wait for breakout & then opportunities to test sophisticated levels for the day. For short term there is a possibility of down fall rally and the next support would be watch around Rs.175 level.
Resistance : R1 193 R2 196 R3 202
Pivot : PL190
Support : S1 187 S2 184 S3 178
Our Recommendation
Sell Petronet LNG below 188 Stop Loss 195 Target: 175
4. 7th Oct’14 Equity Bazaar
Derivative Analysis FIIS Data: FII’s are the net Seller on 1st October 2014 is Rs 63.24 Cr and Dll’s are the net Buyer on 1st October 2014 is Rs 155.69 Cr. Option Data: 8200 CE has the highest OI with 54 lakhs and 8100 CE has the second highest OI with 49 lakhs and 7800 PE has the highest OI with 58 lakhs and 7900 PE has the second highest OI with 47 lakhs. Open Interest: The above options data shows nifty has now a strong support at 7900 and resistance at 8100 the trend change level as per option data is 8000. Intraday Option Strategy: (A) Buy Nifty 7900 calls and Sell Nifty 8200 puts if buy level is breached. (B) Sell Nifty 8200 calls and Buy Nifty 7800 puts if sell level is breached.
7. 7th Oct’14 Equity Bazaar
Disclaimer
This is solely for information of clients of Choice India and does not construe to be an investment advice. It is also not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase and sale of any financial instruments. Any action taken by you on the basis of the information contained herein is your responsibility alone and Choice India its subsidiaries or its employees or associates will not be liable in any manner for the consequences of such action taken by you. We have exercised due diligence in checking the correctness and authenticity of the information contained in this recommendation, but Choice India or any of its subsidiaries or associates or employees shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this recommendation or any action taken on basis of this information. Technical analysis studies market psychology, price patterns and volume levels. It is used to forecast future price and market movements. Technical analysis is complementary to fundamental analysis and news sources. The recommendations issued herewith might be contrary to recommendations issued by Choice India in the company research undertaken as the recommendations stated in this report is derived purely from technical analysis. Choice India has based this document on information obtained from sources it believes to be reliable but which it has not independently verified; Choice India makes no guarantee, representation or warranty and accepts no responsibility or liability as to its accuracy or completeness. The opinions contained within the report are based upon publicly available information at the time of publication and are subject to change without notice. The information and any disclosures provided herein are in summary form and have been prepared for informational purposes. The recommendations and suggested price levels are intended purely for trading purposes. The recommendations are valid for the day of the report however trading trends and volumes might vary substantially on an intraday basis and the recommendations may be subject to change. The information and any disclosures provided herein may be considered confidential. Any use, distribution, modification, copying, forwarding or disclosure by any person is strictly prohibited. The information and any disclosures provided herein do not constitute a solicitation or offer to purchase or sell any security or other financial product or instrument. The current performance may be unaudited. Past performance does not guarantee future returns. There can be no assurance that investments will achieve any targeted rates of return, and there is no guarantee against the loss of your entire investment.
POTENTIAL CONFLICT OF INTEREST DISCLOSURE (as on date of report) Disclosure of interest statement – • Analyst interest of the stock /Instrument(s): - No. • Firm interest of the stock / Instrument (s): - No.