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A glimpse into mathematical finance the realm of option pricing models
Istvan Redl
Department of Mathematics
University of Bath
PS Seminar

8 Oct, 2013

Istvan Redl (University of Bath)

A glimpse into mathematical finance

1 / 12
Contents

1

Introduction

2

Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing (FTAP)

3

Hierarchy of models

Istvan Redl (University of Bath)

A glimpse into mathematical finance

2 / 12
Introduction

What is math finance about? - examples

‘Interdisciplinary subject’ ? - problems stem from finance and are treated
with mathematical tools
Math finance traces back to the early ’70s, since then it has become a
widely accepted area within mathematics (Hans Föllmer’s view)
Examples
(i) Optimization - Portfolio/Asset management
(ii) Risk management
(iii) Option pricing

Istvan Redl (University of Bath)

A glimpse into mathematical finance

3 / 12
Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing (FTAP)

Setup
Consider a financial market, say with d + 1 assets, (e.g. bonds, equities,
commodities, currencies, etc.)
We discuss a simple one-period model, in both periods the assets on the
market have some prices, at t = 0 their prices are denoted by
π = (π 0 , π 1 , . . . , π d ) ∈ Rd+1
¯
+
π is called price system
¯
The t = 1 asset prices are unknown at t = 0. This uncertainty is modeled
by a probability space (Ω, F, P). Asset prices at t = 1 are assumed to be
non-negative measurable functions
¯
S = (S 0 , S 1 , . . . , S d )

Istvan Redl (University of Bath)

A glimpse into mathematical finance

4 / 12
Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing (FTAP)

Setup cont.
π 0 is the riskless bond, i.e.
π0 = 1

S0 ≡ 1 + r,

with the assumption r ≥ 0.
¯
Consider a portfolio ξ = (ξ 0 , ξ 1 , . . . , ξ d ) ∈ Rd+1 . At time t = 0 the price
of a given portfolio is
d

π·ξ =
¯ ¯

πi ξi
i=0

At time t = 1

d

¯ ¯
ξ · S(ω) =

ξ i S i (ω)
i=0

Istvan Redl (University of Bath)

A glimpse into mathematical finance

5 / 12
Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing (FTAP)

Arbitrage and martingale measure
Definition (Arbitrage opportunity)
¯
A portfolio ξ ∈ Rd+1 is called arbitrage opportunity if π · ξ ≤ 0, but
¯ ¯
¯ · S ≥ 0 P-a.s. and P(ξ · S > 0) > 0.
¯ ¯
¯
ξ
Definition (Risk neutral measure)
P∗ is called a risk neutral or martingale measure, if
π i = E∗

Si
,
1+r

i = 0, 1, . . . , d .

Theorem (FTAP)
A market model is free of arbitrage if and only if there exists a risk neutral
measure.
Istvan Redl (University of Bath)

A glimpse into mathematical finance

6 / 12
Hierarchy of models

Structure of models and associated PDEs
PDEs are typically of type (parabolic)
∂t V + AV − rV = 0
different models lead to different operator A
Black-Scholes: r and σ are constants
dSt = rSt dt + σSt dWt

S0 = s

1
2
(ABS V )(s) = σ 2 s 2 ∂ss V (s) + rs∂s V (s)
2
CEV - constant elasticity of variance: r and σ are constants
dSt = rSt dt + σStρ dWt

S0 = s

0<ρ<1

1
2
(ACEV V )(s) = σ 2 s 2ρ ∂ss V (s) + rs∂s V (s)
2
Istvan Redl (University of Bath)

A glimpse into mathematical finance

7 / 12
Hierarchy of models

Structure cont.
Local volatility models: r is a constant, but volatility is a
deterministic function σ : R+ → R+
dSt = rSt dt + σ(St )St dWt

S0 = s

1
2
(ALV V )(s) = s 2 σ 2 (s)∂ss V (s) + rs∂s V (s)
2
Stochastic volatility: r is constant, but volatility is given by another
stochastic process
Yt dWt

S0 = s

dYt = α(m − Yt )dt + β

Yt d W t

dSt = rSt dt +

1 2
1
2
(ASV V )(x, y ) = y ∂xx V (x, y ) + βρy ∂xy V (x, y ) + β 2 y ∂yy V (x, y )
2
2
1
+ r − y ∂x V (x, y ) + α(m − y )∂y V (x, y )
2
Istvan Redl (University of Bath)

A glimpse into mathematical finance

8 / 12
Hierarchy of models

Structure cont. - models with jumps

Jump models: r and σ are constants
dSt = rSt dt + σSt dLt

S0 = s

1
2
(AJ V )(s) = σ 2 ∂ss V (s) + γ∂s V (s)
2
(V (s + z) − V (s) − z∂s V (s))ν(dz)

+
R

Istvan Redl (University of Bath)

A glimpse into mathematical finance

9 / 12
α-stable process

Istvan Redl (University of Bath)

A glimpse into mathematical finance

10 / 12
Thank you for your attention! - Questions

Istvan Redl (University of Bath)

A glimpse into mathematical finance

11 / 12
Happy? - Good!

Istvan Redl (University of Bath)

A glimpse into mathematical finance

12 / 12

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A glimpse into mathematical finance? The realm of option pricing models

  • 1. A glimpse into mathematical finance the realm of option pricing models Istvan Redl Department of Mathematics University of Bath PS Seminar 8 Oct, 2013 Istvan Redl (University of Bath) A glimpse into mathematical finance 1 / 12
  • 2. Contents 1 Introduction 2 Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing (FTAP) 3 Hierarchy of models Istvan Redl (University of Bath) A glimpse into mathematical finance 2 / 12
  • 3. Introduction What is math finance about? - examples ‘Interdisciplinary subject’ ? - problems stem from finance and are treated with mathematical tools Math finance traces back to the early ’70s, since then it has become a widely accepted area within mathematics (Hans Föllmer’s view) Examples (i) Optimization - Portfolio/Asset management (ii) Risk management (iii) Option pricing Istvan Redl (University of Bath) A glimpse into mathematical finance 3 / 12
  • 4. Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing (FTAP) Setup Consider a financial market, say with d + 1 assets, (e.g. bonds, equities, commodities, currencies, etc.) We discuss a simple one-period model, in both periods the assets on the market have some prices, at t = 0 their prices are denoted by π = (π 0 , π 1 , . . . , π d ) ∈ Rd+1 ¯ + π is called price system ¯ The t = 1 asset prices are unknown at t = 0. This uncertainty is modeled by a probability space (Ω, F, P). Asset prices at t = 1 are assumed to be non-negative measurable functions ¯ S = (S 0 , S 1 , . . . , S d ) Istvan Redl (University of Bath) A glimpse into mathematical finance 4 / 12
  • 5. Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing (FTAP) Setup cont. π 0 is the riskless bond, i.e. π0 = 1 S0 ≡ 1 + r, with the assumption r ≥ 0. ¯ Consider a portfolio ξ = (ξ 0 , ξ 1 , . . . , ξ d ) ∈ Rd+1 . At time t = 0 the price of a given portfolio is d π·ξ = ¯ ¯ πi ξi i=0 At time t = 1 d ¯ ¯ ξ · S(ω) = ξ i S i (ω) i=0 Istvan Redl (University of Bath) A glimpse into mathematical finance 5 / 12
  • 6. Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing (FTAP) Arbitrage and martingale measure Definition (Arbitrage opportunity) ¯ A portfolio ξ ∈ Rd+1 is called arbitrage opportunity if π · ξ ≤ 0, but ¯ ¯ ¯ · S ≥ 0 P-a.s. and P(ξ · S > 0) > 0. ¯ ¯ ¯ ξ Definition (Risk neutral measure) P∗ is called a risk neutral or martingale measure, if π i = E∗ Si , 1+r i = 0, 1, . . . , d . Theorem (FTAP) A market model is free of arbitrage if and only if there exists a risk neutral measure. Istvan Redl (University of Bath) A glimpse into mathematical finance 6 / 12
  • 7. Hierarchy of models Structure of models and associated PDEs PDEs are typically of type (parabolic) ∂t V + AV − rV = 0 different models lead to different operator A Black-Scholes: r and σ are constants dSt = rSt dt + σSt dWt S0 = s 1 2 (ABS V )(s) = σ 2 s 2 ∂ss V (s) + rs∂s V (s) 2 CEV - constant elasticity of variance: r and σ are constants dSt = rSt dt + σStρ dWt S0 = s 0<ρ<1 1 2 (ACEV V )(s) = σ 2 s 2ρ ∂ss V (s) + rs∂s V (s) 2 Istvan Redl (University of Bath) A glimpse into mathematical finance 7 / 12
  • 8. Hierarchy of models Structure cont. Local volatility models: r is a constant, but volatility is a deterministic function σ : R+ → R+ dSt = rSt dt + σ(St )St dWt S0 = s 1 2 (ALV V )(s) = s 2 σ 2 (s)∂ss V (s) + rs∂s V (s) 2 Stochastic volatility: r is constant, but volatility is given by another stochastic process Yt dWt S0 = s dYt = α(m − Yt )dt + β Yt d W t dSt = rSt dt + 1 2 1 2 (ASV V )(x, y ) = y ∂xx V (x, y ) + βρy ∂xy V (x, y ) + β 2 y ∂yy V (x, y ) 2 2 1 + r − y ∂x V (x, y ) + α(m − y )∂y V (x, y ) 2 Istvan Redl (University of Bath) A glimpse into mathematical finance 8 / 12
  • 9. Hierarchy of models Structure cont. - models with jumps Jump models: r and σ are constants dSt = rSt dt + σSt dLt S0 = s 1 2 (AJ V )(s) = σ 2 ∂ss V (s) + γ∂s V (s) 2 (V (s + z) − V (s) − z∂s V (s))ν(dz) + R Istvan Redl (University of Bath) A glimpse into mathematical finance 9 / 12
  • 10. α-stable process Istvan Redl (University of Bath) A glimpse into mathematical finance 10 / 12
  • 11. Thank you for your attention! - Questions Istvan Redl (University of Bath) A glimpse into mathematical finance 11 / 12
  • 12. Happy? - Good! Istvan Redl (University of Bath) A glimpse into mathematical finance 12 / 12