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Field Failure Analysis
                   Field Failure Analysis
                     Using Root Cause 
                     Using Root Cause
                                 g
                     Pattern Diagrams
                             Robert D. Lloyd
                            ©2012 ASQ & Presentation Lloyd
                            Presented live on Mar 08th, 2012




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LCG

Lloyd Consulting Group, Inc.
Lloyd Consulting Group Inc
Product & Transactional Excellence
Six Sigma, Lean, & Shainin Tools 
Course Design and Deployment
Background:
 Director Design Excellence
 Johnson & Johnson
                                     Field Failure Analysis
 Director Six Sigma / MBB
 Ocwen Financial
 Director 5‐NINES Performance
 Di t 5 NINES P f
                                      Using Root Cause
                                       Pattern Diagrams
 Motorola PCS
 Director Product Reliability
 Motorola PPG
 Led team that broke Japanese
 trade barrier in electronics to
 become #1 seller pagers in Japan
 Six Sigma Instructor / Mentor
 & Shainin Tools Instructor at
 Motorola  (1987 deployment)
Certifications:
 Certified Mgr Quality / Org Excel
 Certified Six Sigma Black Belt
 Certified Lean Sensei
 Licensed US Patent Agent
                                       Robert D. Lloyd
                                        President, Lloyd Consulting Group, Inc.
Recipient:
 Motorola CEO Quality Award
 Motorola CEO 10X Award
 SFMA Achievement Award
 CES Innovation Award
 14 Issued US Patents
Inductee:
 Motorola Science Advisory Board
Product Handling
               Do not lose evidence by improper handling of
               defective product returns

               How products are handled
   Do Not      • ESD protective procedures
Induce Other   • Protective trays
   Issues
               How products are shipped
               • Static protective bags
 Preserve      • Boxing or egg-crating
 Evidence
               How products are stored
               • Organized for retrieval
               • Protected from harm
Product Analysis

               Do not lose evidence by service centers “shot-gunning”
               problems by repairing products “at-will”
               Would you want your car serviced that way?

               • New products should have first 200
   Do Not        returns sent directly back to Product
Induce Other     Engineering for a detailed analysis
   Issues
               • Service centers should have a           INTERNAL OPERATING PROCEDURE
                                                          FOR ADDRESSING FIELD RETURNS

                 structured process for the handling,
                            p                      g,    1.0 HANDLING OF RETURNED GOODS
                                                         2.0 ANALYSIS OF RETURNED GOODS

 Preserve        analysis, storage of returned goods     3.0 DOCUMENTATION OF ANALYSIS
                                                         4.0 ARCHIVING OF RETURNED GOODS


 Evidence
               • A id service center fi
                 Avoid      i      t financial
                                            i l
                 incentives that might inadvertently      $ per Repair
                 promote unnecessary repairs
Product Analysis
                   Investigation & repairs should follow fault tree maps
                     • Call Center “Over-the-Phone” Analysis
                     • Analysis Lab Progressive Investigation
  To Avoid
Unnecessary                     Complaint: Loss of Prime

                                                                                                        Can
                                                                                                        C the complaint be
  Returns                      No            Works        Yes
                      enter

                                        after rebooting
                                            device?                                                     investigated & resolved
     &                                         Yes      Covered by
                                                                              No                        over the phone?
                Call Ce



                                                                    g
                                                      Troubleshooting
                                                          (A-F)?
  To Avoid                                                      No       Covered by
                                          Resolved                                           Yes
                                                                       Troubleshooting
 “Shot-gun”                                                                (G-J)?

                                                                                     Record Cartridge
  Repairs                              Return Device
                                        & Cartridge                                   Lot # & Monitor




Utilize Fault
                          ab




                                                                                                        Return all pertinent items
                   lysis La




Tree Maps                           Cartridge Issue                           Device Issue
                                                                                                        and conduct progressive
                                Profile      Examine                  Test      Examine      Examine    non-destructive analysis
                                Break
                               “Break”       Cartridge               Force       Force        PCB
                Anal




                               & “Flow”
                               Forces
                                            for Defects              Sensor      Sensor
                                                                                  Flex
                                                                                             Sockets    before making repairs
                                                                                                        b f        ki        i
Complaint & Failure Coding
                           Fail re
              For consistent reporting, standardized coding schemes must be implemented



              Inconsistent /Insufficient Failure Statements
              (when no codes exist and technicians write their own observations)

Codes Must      “Broken display”
    p
Be Specific
   and          “Fractured LCD”
                “F       d
Consistent      “Display cracked”
                “Blackened LCD”
  Best to
 Establish
 E t bli h     How do you search a data base
 Codes As      when terms are inconsistent?
 Early As       Which statements refer to
 Possible       which of these failures?
Complaint & Failure Coding
                           Fail re
              For consistent reporting, standardized coding schemes should be implemented


              Need for Detailed Failure Coding

               Display Edge Fracture                    DEF
Codes Must
    p
Be Specific
   and         Display Shelf Fracture                   DSF
Consistent
               Display Center Fracture                  DCF
  Best to
 Establish
 E t bli h     Display Black Spotting
               Di l Bl k S        i                     DBS
 Codes As
 Early As     •S t
               Set-up a robust library of codes i advance b
                          b t lib       f d in d          based on
                                                              d
 Possible      past complaint/failure history and FMEA’s
              • Adding codes later disrupts historical data tracking
Complaint & Failure Coding
                           Fail re

               Complaint “Product does not turn on”
                • Report of an issue from a Customer’s
Effectively       perspective (symptomatic view)
Document:
Doc ment

               Failure “Reason why product does not turn on”
Customer s
Customer’s
  Issue          • Report of an issue from an Analysis
                   Lab’s perspective (causation view)
    and
      d
Reason Why     If an issue was due to customer not knowing how to
 It Occurred
    O      d   operate the product, it is still indicative of a f il
                      t th     d t i till i di ti           f failure of
                                                                       f
               the instruction manual or of the product’s ergonomic
               design. Do not write off such issues as “User Errors”.
                    g
Complaint & Failure Coding
                            Fail re
                 Separate Complaint and Failure coding schemes are recommended



               Standardized Coding Requirements

Effectively    • For consistency in reporting, standardized
Document:
Doc ment
                 cod g schemes should
                 coding sc e es s ou d be implemented
                                                p e e ted

               • Separate Complaint and Failure coding
Customer s
Customer’s       schemes are recommended
                   h                   d d
  Issue
                – Multiple complaints may be associated
                       p      p          y
    and
      d           with the same failure mechanism
Reason Why
                – Advisable to use:
 It Occurred
    O      d
                   • Numeric for complaints
                   • Alpha for failures
                       p
Cross Matrix Analysis
                                                      Matri Anal sis
                                        Separate Complaint and Failure coding schemes are recommended

                                                                                      TOP 16 FAILURE CODES                               11/1/06 – 10/31/08
               Product A DKP                         BFH   DSS     CON   NDF    UIS    DSF   BLC     DCB     DEF   CSW     SLD     PTK    DFD    RPN     ULF
                                        15   17.22% 0.05% 0.08% 5.26% 0.56% 0.03% 0.67% 0.03% 0.07% 0.03% 0.30%                    1.55% 0.02% 0.01% 0.01%
                                        03   0.11% 12.98% 0.10% 0.07% 0.32% 0.05% 0.67% 0.58% 2.74% 0.10% 0.04% 0.05% 0.03%                      0.07% 0.03%
                                        10

                             NT CODES
                                             0.10% 0.03% 10.81% 0.03% 0.35% 0.02% 0.46% 0.01% 0.02% 0.01% 0.01% 1.58%                     0.47% 0.02%
                                        14   0.05% 0.58% 0.07% 0.52% 0.24%             0.16% 3.30% 0.26%           0.01%
                                        07                               0.28% 1.29% 0.49% 0.01% 0.01% 2.31%                              0.02% 0.04% 1.11%
                                        02   0.01% 0.01% 0.01%
                                             0 01% 0 01% 0 01%           0.01% 1.85% 0.21%
                                                                         0 01% 1 85% 0 21%           0.01%
                                                                                                     0 01%         1.66%
                                                                                                                   1 66%                         0.02% 0.01%
                                                                                                                                                 0 02% 0 01%
                    5 COMPLAIN

                                        11   0.03% 0.12% 0.04% 0.08% 0.55% 0.60% 0.32% 0.04% 0.34% 0.02% 0.79%                     0.01% 0.04% 0.04%
  Done to                               06   0.01% 0.01% 0.63% 0.12% 0.49%             0.17% 0.01%           0.01% 0.12% 0.07%            1.02% 0.04%
                                        12   0.02% 0.22% 0.01%           1.13% 0.05% 0.77%           0.08% 0.08%           0.01%                 0.72% 0.02%
  Identify                              05   0.01% 0.02%                 0.10% 1.33% 0.24%           0.01% 0.04%                                 0.06% 0.02%
               TOP 15




                                        01   0.01%         0.01%         0.27% 0.62% 0.24%                   0.05% 0.03%                         0.02%
 Relations                              19                               0.32% 0.12% 0.10%                   0.77% 0.01%

 Between                                08
                                        04   0.08%
                                                     0.01% 0.01%         0.24% 0.14% 0.22% 0.03% 0.03%
                                                                   0.27% 0.10% 0.01% 0.04% 0.03%                                   0.01% 0.01%

Complaints                              13   0.01% 0.02% 0.01%
                                             0 01% 0 02% 0 01%           0.49% 0.02% 0.05%
                                                                         0 49% 0 02% 0 05%                         0.03% 0.01%
                                                                                                                   0 03% 0 01%                   0.05% 0.01%
                                                                                                                                                 0 05% 0 01%


and Failures
               • Which failure codes are linked to which complaints?
               • Are certain failures linked with multiple complaints?
               • Are certain complaints linked with multiple failures?
               • Create Pareto charts to prioritize analysis efforts
Determining Time In Field
                           Date of Manufacture versus Time in Service



                Product Tracking
                  • Serial Number       • Manufacture Date Code
  Product         • Model Number        • Lot Number
  Tracking
 Strategies     Product History After Manufacture
                              y
                                                           Manuf        Active       Failure
                                                           Date          Date         Date
 Product ID,     • Manufacturer’s stock room
Time In Field
Ti    I Fi ld                                                  Storage
                                                               S            Active Life
                                                                                     f

   and User      • Distributor's stock room
                                                                    Warranty
                                                                     Date
Demographic      • On store shelves

                    Lean activities work to reduce all inventories
Determining Time In Field
                                    Date of Manufacture versus Time in Service


                Manuf     Active        Failure
                Date       Date          Date

                                                                  SKU
                    Storage   Active Life


  Product                Warranty
                          Date
                          D t
  Tracking
 Strategies     When was product placed into active use?
                • Indirect sale to end user (database of S/N & sale date)
 Product ID,
Time In Field
Ti    I Fi ld   • Service provider activation date
   and User     • Direct sale to end user
Demographic                                                                 Can also obtain
                • Registration (“Bingo”) cards                              important user
                  – Historically low response rates                         demographics
                  – Need incentives to increase returns
Virgin vs Repaired Units
                         s

             Virgin Units
             • Representative of the designs, materials,
               p
               process settings, and operators at the time
                             g        p
               of manufacture
   The
Challenges
 Of Trying   Repaired Units
To Obtain     • A mixture of designs, materials, operators,
Clean Data      process settings from date of manufacture
                and from various dates of repair
             • Effects of being repaired (heat, stress, etc)
Virgin vs Repaired Units
                         s

             Virgin Product Segregation
               • Best to analyze virgin units and repaired
                 units separately
               • To identify virgin units: subtract Initial Ship
Strategies       Month from Last Ship Month for each S/N
                                        p
To Obtain       Last Month Shipped                  Apr 2007
Clean Data      Initial Manuf Ship Month            Aug 2006
                Manufacturing Ship Delta            8 months

                Virgin Products Have Mfg Ship Delta = 0
                  (because it was never returned to ship again)
List of Data Filters
                 • Month of Manufacture
                 • Month of Complaint
                 • Time in Field
Importance of       • Warranty Date
 Filtering the      • Activation Date
     Data        • Virgin vs Repaired vs Reconditioned
                 • Product Model
                 • P d t Revision
                   Product R i i
  Cleaner,       • Geographic Region (Country, State)
  Relevant       • Complaint Codes
 Data More
                 • Failure Codes
 Important
                 • User Demographics
Than Sample
    Size
                    • Gender
                    • Age
                    • Location (State/Pro ince)
                               (State/Province)
Month of Complaint
                                                                       Hinge Complaints by Month of Complaint
                                      30%
                                                                                                                (Product Introduced in Fall 2006)




                                 o)
               Complaint Rat (%/mo
                                      25%


                           te         20%


Looks at All                          15%

Complaints
for a Given                           10%


   Month                              5%

    g
Regardless
 of When It                           0%
                                                                                                   Apr-07

                                                                                                            May-07




                                                                                                                                        Aug-07




                                                                                                                                                                                                                Apr-08

                                                                                                                                                                                                                         May-08




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Aug-08
                                                     Nov-06




                                                                                                                                                                   Nov-07
                                                              Dec-06

                                                                        Jan-07

                                                                                 Feb-07




                                                                                                                      Jun-07

                                                                                                                               Jul-07



                                                                                                                                                 Sep-07




                                                                                                                                                                            Dec-07

                                                                                                                                                                                     Jan-08

                                                                                                                                                                                              Feb-08




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Jun-08

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Jul-08



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Sep-08
                                            Oct-06




                                                                                          Mar-07




                                                                                                                                                          Oct-07




                                                                                                                                                                                                       Mar-08
Was Made
                                                                                                                     MONTH OF COMPLAINTS


                                                             # of Complaints for Specific Month
                                            Complaint Rate =
                                                               Install B
                                                               I t ll Base for Specific Month
                                                                           f S     ifi M th
Pareto Diagrams
                 June 2008 Failure Code Pareto - Product A




 Although It
         g
Identifies the
  Important
    Few,


 It is only a
“Snap-Shot”
   In Time

                   But what have been the trends
                       over th prior months?
                            the i       th ?
Pareto Timelines
                           A Better Perspective on the Larger Picture

                 Pareto Timeline of Top 6 Failure Codes for Product A
                 (Specific failures reported for each month divided by respective month install base)




                                                                                                         A
 Pareto                                                                                                  B
Rankings
R ki
 Change                                                                                                  D
Over Time
                                                                                                         C
Seasonality,
                                                                                                        Data
  Designs,                                                                                              from
                                                                                                        Prior
 Materials,                                                                                             Page


 Processes
               A - Hinge failures are steadily rising at a rapid rate
               B - Water intrusion failures are seasonally cyclical
               C-C Crystal f il
                       t l failures have been steadily decreasing
                                    h    b       t dil d         i
               D - Keypad failures falling, but check for seasonality
Weaknesses Regarding
             Month of Complaint (MoC)
                                    # of Complaints Received in Specific Month
             MoC Complaint Rate =
                                       Install Base for That Specific Month


Month of                                                 Complaints Received June 2006


Complaint    Different dates of manufacture
Reflects A   • Different design revisions                           Mfr’d               Mfr’d


Mixture of   • Different materials                       Mfr’d
                                                                   Sep ‘05
                                                                             Mfr’d
                                                                                       Aug ‘04
                                                                                                  Mfr’d
                                                        Apr ‘04              Oct ‘04             May ‘05

Products     • Different process settings                           Mfr d
                                                                    Mfr’d
                                                                   Jan ‘05
                                                                                        Mfr d
                                                                                        Mfr’d
                                                                                       Nov ‘04

             • Different operators                                Install Base June 2006


 Mainly                                                   “The Chowder
                                                           The Chowder”
Reflects
External     MoC mainly reflects the impact of external
Factors
             environmental f t
                 i       t l factors. It does not clearly
                                         d      t l l
             represent internal design/process impact.
             Might not even reflect current production.
An Improper Application
                                      of Month of Manufacture
                                                  Man fact re
                                                              Hinge Failures by Month of Manufacture
                                    12%



                                    10%

 Month of
              Failu Rate (% / mo)   8%
Manufacture
                                                                                                                                                               ARTIFICIAL IMPROVEMENT CURVE
 Alone Is                           6%
                                                                                                                                                               DUE TO RECENT MONTHS HAVING
Misleading
                  ure




                                                                                                                                                               LESS TIME IN THE FIELD
                                    4%



                                    2%

 Must Also
 Factor In                          0%




                                                                                                                                    Aug-07




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Aug-08
                                                                                                Apr-07
                                                                     Jan-07




                                                                                                                           Jul-07




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Jul-08
                                                   Nov-06




                                                                                                                                                                                                            Apr-08
                                                            Dec-06




                                                                                                         May-07




                                                                                                                                             Sep-07



                                                                                                                                                               Nov-07

                                                                                                                                                                        Dec-07




                                                                                                                                                                                                                     May-08




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Sep-08
                                                                              Feb-07




                                                                                                                  Jun-07




                                                                                                                                                      Oct-07




                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Jun-08
                                                                                       Mar-07




                                                                                                                                                                                 Jan-08

                                                                                                                                                                                          Feb-08

                                                                                                                                                                                                   Mar-08
                                          Oct-06




  Time in
                                                                                                                                    A




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                A
                                                                                                                     Month of Manufacture
 the Field
                                                                                                            # of Complaints for Specific Month of Manuf
                                                                                                                      p           p
                             MoM Complaint R t =
                             M MC    l i t Rate
                                                                                                              Install Base for Specific Month of Manuf
Month of Manufacture
                                                       Man fact re
                                                           Cumulative Field Failure Rate
                                      4.5%


                                      4.0%                                                                                             May-07
                                                                                                                                          y
                                                                                                                                       Jun-07
                                      3.5%                                                                                             Jul-07
                                                                                                                                       Aug-07




                                                                                                                                                                TURE
 Cumulative                     mo)
                                      3.0%
                                                  LIKELY MATERIAL OR PROCESS ISSUES IN
                                                  JUN-AUG 2007 CAUSING RISE IN FAILURES
                                                                                                                                       Sep-07
                                                                                                                                       Oct 07
                                                                                                                                       Oct-07




                                                                                                                                                MONTH OF MANUFACT
                FAILURE RATE (%/m

Failure R t
F il    Rates                                                                                                                          Nov-07
                                      2.5%                                                                                             Dec-07
 Tracked By                                                                                                                            Jan-08
                                      2.0%                                                                                             Feb-08
Time-in-Field




                                                                                                                                                       F
                                                                                                                                       Mar-08
                                                                                                                                       Mar 08
                                                                                                                                       Apr-08
 for Multiple                         1.5%
                                                                                                                                       May-08
                                                                                                                                       Jun-08
  Months of                           1.0%                                                                                             Jul-08
                                                                                                                                       Aug-08
Manufacture                           0.5%                                                                                             Sep-08

 for Specific                         0.0%

   Product
   Prod ct                                    1    2   3    4   5   6   7    8   9   10
                                                                            TIME IN FIELD
                                                                                          11   12   13   14   15   16   17   18   19




                                             Those months that deviate garner attention, but
                                             this is not the most effective way to communicate.
                                                                   ff
Preparing MoM Chart
                                                                                             Time to Failure
                                                                                                    (months)
                                                                           1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
                                                                 May-07
                                                                 Jun-07




                                    ses
                                                                  Jul-07




                                                            re
                                                                 Aug-07
                                                                   g




                            stall Bas


                                          Month of Manufactur
                                                                 Sep-07
                                                                 Oct-07
                                                                 Nov-07
                                                                 Dec-07
                                                                 Jan-08
                                                                 Feb-08
              MoM Initial Ins                                    Mar-08
                                                                 Mar 08
                                                                 Apr-08
                                                                 May-08

Data Table                                                       Jun-08
                                                                  Jul-08
                                                                 Aug-08
 Used for                                                          p
                                                                 Sep-08
                                                                 Oct-08
                                                                 Nov-08
 Creating                                                        Dec-08
                                                                 Jan-09
                                                                 Feb-09
 Chart on                                                        Mar-09
                                                                 Apr-09
                                                                 Apr 09
Prior Slide
                         Cumulative Failure Rates:
                                                        Failures (for specific MoM and Time-in-Field)
                                                      Install Base (specific MoM minus all prior failures)

                         Rates for each MoM are plotted as shown on prior page
Preparing MoM Chart
                 Pump
                 Product                       1250
                                               A32
                 Country                       US
                 RGA Y/N?
                 Manuf Ship Delta
                                               Y
                                               0
                                                                 Filtering
                 Complaint Code                07
                                               12
                                               207               Criteria
                 Failure Code                  NDF
                                               (All)
                 Sum of Count            TTF
                 Manuf Ship Month         O        1   2    3     4    5    6    7    8    9    10   11   12   13   14   15   16   17   18   19   20   21   22   23   Total
                               Oc 06
                               Oct-06     1        6   2    3     3    1         2               4    1    2                   2    2         1              1         3
                                                                                                                                                                       31

 Pivot T bl
 Pi     Table                  Nov-06
                               Dec-06
                               Jan-07
                                          4
                                          4
                                          4
                                                   5
                                                   6
                                                   4
                                                       5
                                                       3
                                                       1
                                                            2
                                                            4
                                                            5
                                                                  2
                                                                  1
                                                                  3
                                                                       1

                                                                       4
                                                                            2
                                                                            6
                                                                            3
                                                                                 1
                                                                                 4
                                                                                 2
                                                                                      2
                                                                                      4
                                                                                      1
                                                                                           2
                                                                                           2
                                                                                           4
                                                                                                1
                                                                                                3
                                                                                                      2
                                                                                                      1
                                                                                                      3
                                                                                                           1
                                                                                                           2
                                                                                                           1
                                                                                                               2

                                                                                                               3
                                                                                                                    1
                                                                                                                    1
                                                                                                                    1
                                                                                                                         2
                                                                                                                         2
                                                                                                                              1
                                                                                                                              1
                                                                                                                                   1
                                                                                                                                   2
                                                                                                                                              1

                                                                                                                                                  1
                                                                                                                                                                       33
                                                                                                                                                                       43
                                                                                                                                                                       48

 for Filtering                 Feb-07
                               Mar-07
                               Apr-07
                                          8
                                          4
                                          5
                                                   3
                                                   2
                                                   4
                                                       4
                                                       3
                                                       3
                                                            2
                                                            1
                                                                  1
                                                                  1
                                                                  1
                                                                       3
                                                                       3
                                                                       3
                                                                            4
                                                                            6
                                                                            1
                                                                                 3
                                                                                 4
                                                                                 4
                                                                                      2

                                                                                      2
                                                                                           2
                                                                                           3
                                                                                           1    1    1
                                                                                                      2        1
                                                                                                               1
                                                                                                                    2
                                                                                                                         1    1
                                                                                                                              2
                                                                                                                                   1
                                                                                                                                        1
                                                                                                                                        1
                                                                                                                                                                       36
                                                                                                                                                                       32
                                                                                                                                                                       30
                              May-07      1        1   1    1                    2    1    1         1                                                                  9

Failure Data                   Jun 07
                               Jun-07
                                Jul-07
                                          1        2
                                                   4
                                                       3
                                                       1
                                                            5
                                                            1     1
                                                                       1
                                                                       1    3
                                                                                 2    1
                                                                                      4
                                                                                           1
                                                                                           2
                                                                                                2                   1
                                                                                                                    1
                                                                                                                         1                                             20
                                                                                                                                                                       18
                               Aug-07    6         3   3          2    1    1         1    3    1         1                                                            22

  for Use in                   Sep-07
                               Oct-07
                               Nov-07
                                         3
                                         3
                                         5
                                                   1
                                                   4
                                                   2
                                                       5
                                                       3
                                                       1
                                                                  3
                                                                  1
                                                                  2
                                                                       1

                                                                       2
                                                                            1
                                                                            2
                                                                            2    1
                                                                                      3    2
                                                                                           1
                                                                                                1
                                                                                                1
                                                                                                     2
                                                                                                     1
                                                                                                          1                                                            23
                                                                                                                                                                       16
                                                                                                                                                                       15

Failure Rate                   Dec-07
                               Jan-08
                               Feb-08
                                         7
                                         1
                                                            1
                                                            2
                                                            1
                                                                  2
                                                                  2
                                                                  1
                                                                       1
                                                                            2
                                                                            2
                                                                                 2
                                                                                 1
                                                                                 1
                                                                                      2
                                                                                      1
                                                                                                                                                                       15
                                                                                                                                                                        9
                                                                                                                                                                        5
                               Mar-08    3         1   5    2     2                                                                                                    13
 Calculations                  Apr-08
                              May-08
                                         3
                                         2         1
                                                       2
                                                       3    2
                                                                  1                                                                                                     6
                                                                                                                                                                        8
                               Jun-08    2         1                                                                                                                    3

on Prior Slide                  Jul-08
                               Aug-08
                               Sep-08
                                         4         3                                                                                                                    7


                 Total                   71     53     48   32    29   22   35   29   24   24   14   14   8    7    7    6    7    6    2    2    1         1         442



                                         Failures reported by their Month of Manufacture
                                         and by their Time To Failure (in months)
Analysis of Production Issues
                 Using C diti
                 U i Conditional Formatting
                                  lF      tti
                                                                                                                                 HIGH
                                                 IMAGE
                                                                                                Press
                                                                                               Cylinder               NS              NC             FC           FS


Application of                                   GRAYBAR                                                                             LOW
 Conditional
                                                             LOW PAGES                                                         HIGH PAGES
Formatting of           Date     Page       C
                                                 IMAGE
                                                      M          Y         C
                                                                                 GRAYBAR
                                                                                       M        Y                 C
                                                                                                                      IMAGE
                                                                                                                         M            Y        C
                                                                                                                                                     GRAYBAR
                                                                                                                                                           M         Y


Data Cells for          3/4/04
                        3/4/04
                        3/4/04
                                 NS
                                 NS
                                 NS
                                          0.65
                                          0.64
                                          0.64
                                                     0.65
                                                     0.63
                                                     0.64
                                                                0.69
                                                                0.66
                                                                0.67
                                                                          0.70
                                                                          0.73
                                                                          0.68
                                                                                      0.64
                                                                                      0.64
                                                                                      0.63
                                                                                               0.65
                                                                                               0.64
                                                                                               0.66
                                                                                                              0.68
                                                                                                              0.65
                                                                                                              0.66
                                                                                                                       0.65
                                                                                                                       0.61
                                                                                                                       0.62
                                                                                                                                     0.70
                                                                                                                                     0.65
                                                                                                                                     0.67
                                                                                                                                              0.67
                                                                                                                                              0.67
                                                                                                                                              0.66
                                                                                                                                                          0.65
                                                                                                                                                          0.64
                                                                                                                                                          0.62
                                                                                                                                                                    0.69
                                                                                                                                                                    0.67
                                                                                                                                                                    0.65


  Analyzing             3/4/04
                        3/4/04
                        3/4/04
                        3/4/04
                                 NS
                                 NS
                                 NS
                                 NS
                                          0.68
                                          0.67
                                          0.65
                                          0.66
                                                     0.68
                                                     0.67
                                                     0.63
                                                     0.65
                                                                0.72
                                                                0.71
                                                                0.67
                                                                0.69
                                                                          0.71
                                                                          0.71
                                                                          0.69
                                                                          0.70
                                                                                      0.66
                                                                                      0.66
                                                                                      0.65
                                                                                      0.65
                                                                                               0.68
                                                                                               0.69
                                                                                               0.68
                                                                                               0.68
                                                                                                              0.70
                                                                                                              0.69
                                                                                                              0.67
                                                                                                              0.67
                                                                                                                       0.68
                                                                                                                       0.67
                                                                                                                       0.64
                                                                                                                       0.64
                                                                                                                                     0.73
                                                                                                                                     0.72
                                                                                                                                     0.71
                                                                                                                                     0.70
                                                                                                                                              0.67
                                                                                                                                              0.67
                                                                                                                                              0.59
                                                                                                                                              0.68
                                                                                                                                                          0.65
                                                                                                                                                          0.66
                                                                                                                                                          0.59
                                                                                                                                                          0.67
                                                                                                                                                                    0.67
                                                                                                                                                                    0.70
                                                                                                                                                                    0.62
                                                                                                                                                                    0.72

 Colored Ink            3/4/04

                        3/4/04
                                 NS

                                 NC
                                          0.66
                                          0 66

                                          0.61
                                                     0.65
                                                     0 65

                                                     0.60
                                                                0.66
                                                                0 66

                                                                0.65
                                                                          0.70
                                                                          0 70

                                                                          0.64
                                                                                      0.66
                                                                                      0 66

                                                                                      0.61
                                                                                               0.70
                                                                                               0 70

                                                                                               0.64
                                                                                                              0.69
                                                                                                              0 69

                                                                                                              0.66
                                                                                                                       0.66
                                                                                                                       0 66

                                                                                                                       0.63
                                                                                                                                     0.68
                                                                                                                                     0 68

                                                                                                                                     0.69
                                                                                                                                              0.63
                                                                                                                                              0 63

                                                                                                                                              0.64
                                                                                                                                                          0.63
                                                                                                                                                          0 63

                                                                                                                                                          0.62
                                                                                                                                                                    0.65
                                                                                                                                                                    0 65

                                                                                                                                                                    0.66
                        3/4/04   NC       0.62       0.62       0.67      0.68        0.64     0.68           0.66     0.63          0.69     0.66        0.64      0.68

 Densities at           3/4/04
                        3/4/04
                        3/4/04
                                 NC
                                 NC
                                 NC
                                          0.62
                                          0.65
                                          0.64
                                                     0.63
                                                     0.65
                                                     0.65
                                                                0.66
                                                                0.68
                                                                0.67
                                                                          0.66
                                                                          0.68
                                                                          0.69
                                                                                      0.64
                                                                                      0.64
                                                                                      0.66
                                                                                               0.67
                                                                                               0.67
                                                                                               0.67
                                                                                                              0.66
                                                                                                              0.69
                                                                                                              0.70
                                                                                                                       0.64
                                                                                                                       0.66
                                                                                                                       0.68
                                                                                                                                     0.70
                                                                                                                                     0.70
                                                                                                                                     0.73
                                                                                                                                              0.67
                                                                                                                                              0.52
                                                                                                                                              0.68
                                                                                                                                                          0.65
                                                                                                                                                          0.52
                                                                                                                                                          0.66
                                                                                                                                                                    0.66
                                                                                                                                                                    0.54
                                                                                                                                                                    0.69


  NY Times
                        3/4/04   NC       0.61       0.62       0.66      0.68        0.63     0.66           0.67     0.66          0.71     0.65        0.64      0.67
                        3/4/04   NC       0.59       0.61       0.65      0.67        0.62     0.64           0.63     0.62          0.68     0.63        0.62      0.65
                        3/4/04   NC       0.65       0.64       0.69      0.47        0.49     0.55           0.68     0.64          0.69     0.58        0.54      0.59

                        3/4/04    FC      0.53       0.53       0.58      0.59        0.55     0.58           0.57     0.56          0.62     0.59        0.56      0.60
                        3/4/04    FC      0.53       0.53       0.57      0.58        0.54     0.58           0.55     0.53          0.57     0.58        0.55      0.57

Communicating           3/4/04
                        3/4/04
                        3/4/04
                                  FC
                                  FC
                                  FC
                                          0.53
                                          0.55
                                          0.51
                                                     0.53
                                                     0.56
                                                     0.52
                                                                0.58
                                                                0.60
                                                                0.57
                                                                          0.56
                                                                          0.60
                                                                          0.57
                                                                                      0.53
                                                                                      0.59
                                                                                      0.55
                                                                                               0.57
                                                                                               0.62
                                                                                               0.60
                                                                                                              0.56
                                                                                                              0.58
                                                                                                              0.55
                                                                                                                       0.54
                                                                                                                       0.58
                                                                                                                       0.53
                                                                                                                                     0.59
                                                                                                                                     0.63
                                                                                                                                     0.59
                                                                                                                                              0.58
                                                                                                                                              0.60
                                                                                                                                              0.58
                                                                                                                                                          0.55
                                                                                                                                                          0.58
                                                                                                                                                          0.56
                                                                                                                                                                    0.58
                                                                                                                                                                    0.60
                                                                                                                                                                    0.59
                        3/4/04    FC      0.51       0.53       0.58      0.58        0.55     0.59           0.55     0.54          0.60     0.59        0.56      0.60
Through Use of          3/4/04
                        3/4/04
                                  FC
                                  FC
                                          0.54
                                          0.57
                                                     0.54
                                                     0.58
                                                                0.59
                                                                0.63
                                                                          0.60
                                                                          0.64
                                                                                      0.57
                                                                                      0.60
                                                                                               0.62
                                                                                               0.64
                                                                                                              0.57
                                                                                                              0.59
                                                                                                                       0.54
                                                                                                                       0.58
                                                                                                                                     0.61
                                                                                                                                     0.63
                                                                                                                                              0.63
                                                                                                                                              0.61
                                                                                                                                                          0.60
                                                                                                                                                          0.59
                                                                                                                                                                    0.64
                                                                                                                                                                    0.63


“Visual Data”           3/4/04
                        3/4/04
                        3/4/04
                                  FS
                                  FS
                                  FS
                                          0.57
                                          0.55
                                          0.54
                                                     0.55
                                                     0.54
                                                     0.55
                                                                0.61
                                                                0.60
                                                                0.59
                                                                          0.57
                                                                          0.56
                                                                          0.56
                                                                                      0.54
                                                                                      0.53
                                                                                      0.54
                                                                                               0.60
                                                                                               0.58
                                                                                               0.57
                                                                                                              0.58
                                                                                                              0.59
                                                                                                              0.57
                                                                                                                       0.54
                                                                                                                       0.56
                                                                                                                       0.54
                                                                                                                                     0.58
                                                                                                                                     0.59
                                                                                                                                     0.57
                                                                                                                                              0.60
                                                                                                                                              0.58
                                                                                                                                              0.56
                                                                                                                                                          0.56
                                                                                                                                                          0.54
                                                                                                                                                          0.55
                                                                                                                                                                    0.59
                                                                                                                                                                    0.58
                                                                                                                                                                    0.56
                        3/4/04    FS      0.54       0.55       0.59      0.56        0.55     0.58           0.57     0.56          0.57     0.56        0.57      0.56
                        3/4/04    FS      0.52       0.54       0.57      0.56        0.54     0.57           0.57     0.55          0.57     0.50        0.51      0.50
                        3/4/04    FS      0.53       0.53       0.58      0.58        0.54     0.58           0.57     0.54          0.58     0.58        0.55      0.57
                        3/4/04    FS      0.54
                                          0 54       0.53
                                                     0 53       0.58
                                                                0 58      0.58
                                                                          0 58        0.53
                                                                                      0 53     0.59
                                                                                               0 59           0.58
                                                                                                              0 58     0.56
                                                                                                                       0 56          0.60
                                                                                                                                     0 60     0.61
                                                                                                                                              0 61        0.58
                                                                                                                                                          0 58      0.60
                                                                                                                                                                    0 60
                        3/4/04    FS      0.55       0.55       0.58      0.73        0.68     0.70           0.57     0.55          0.60     0.58        0.56      0.59


                    LOW DENSITY                                                                                                                                              HIGH DENSITY
                                        Below 0.50          0.50 ‐ 0.59          0.60 ‐ 0.61        0.62 ‐ 0.68        0.69 ‐ 0.70          0.71 ‐ 0.80          Over 0.81
Root Cause P tt
                  R tC       Pattern A l i
                                     Analysis
                                                                                         (Lloyd Diagrams)
                                                                                                                                     Reference
                                                                                                                                        Cell
                                                                                                                                        C ll
                                                                                       Time to Failure or Complaint
                                                                                                       (months)
                                                                              1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
                                                                    Jan 08
                                                                    Jan-08
                                                                    Feb-08


               Init MoM Install Bases
  Applying                                                          Mar-08




                                                           acture
                                                                    Apr-08
                                                                    May-08
Conditional                                                         Jun-08
                                                                     Jul-08
                                                                    Aug-08
                                                                    Aug 08



                                             Month of Manufa
 Formatting
 F      tti                                                         Sep-08
                                                                    Oct-08
                                                                    Nov-08
to Failure &                                                        Dec-08
                                                                    Jan-09
 Complaint                                                          Feb 09
                                                                    Feb-09
                       M



                                                                    Mar-09
                                                                    Apr-09
Data Tables                                                         May-09
                                                                    Jun-09
                                                                     Jul-09
                  tial




                                                                    Aug-09
                                                                    Sep-09
                                                                    Sep 09
                                             M



                                                                    Oct-09
A New and                                                           Nov-09
                                                                    Dec-09
Better Way
to Identify                             • Calculate non-cumulative failure rates (without subtraction)
                                                    non cumulative
  Issues                                • Instead of plotting data, we conditionally format the data
                                          cells themselves with regard to a master reference cell
                                        • That reference cell is swept to find patterns and rates

                                                                                                                          Copyrighted © 2010 Robert D Lloyd
Field failure analysis using root cause pattern diagrams
Field failure analysis using root cause pattern diagrams
Field failure analysis using root cause pattern diagrams
Field failure analysis using root cause pattern diagrams
Field failure analysis using root cause pattern diagrams
Field failure analysis using root cause pattern diagrams
Field failure analysis using root cause pattern diagrams
Field failure analysis using root cause pattern diagrams
Field failure analysis using root cause pattern diagrams
Field failure analysis using root cause pattern diagrams
Field failure analysis using root cause pattern diagrams
Field failure analysis using root cause pattern diagrams

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Field failure analysis using root cause pattern diagrams

  • 1. Field Failure Analysis Field Failure Analysis Using Root Cause  Using Root Cause g Pattern Diagrams Robert D. Lloyd ©2012 ASQ & Presentation Lloyd Presented live on Mar 08th, 2012 http://reliabilitycalendar.org/The_Re liability_Calendar/Webinars_ liability Calendar/Webinars ‐ _English/Webinars_‐_English.html
  • 2. ASQ Reliability Division  ASQ Reliability Division English Webinar Series English Webinar Series One of the monthly webinars  One of the monthly webinars on topics of interest to  reliability engineers. To view recorded webinar (available to ASQ Reliability  Division members only) visit asq.org/reliability ) / To sign up for the free and available to anyone live  webinars visit reliabilitycalendar.org and select English  Webinars to find links to register for upcoming events http://reliabilitycalendar.org/The_Re liability_Calendar/Webinars_ liability Calendar/Webinars ‐ _English/Webinars_‐_English.html
  • 3. LCG Lloyd Consulting Group, Inc. Lloyd Consulting Group Inc Product & Transactional Excellence Six Sigma, Lean, & Shainin Tools  Course Design and Deployment Background: Director Design Excellence Johnson & Johnson Field Failure Analysis Director Six Sigma / MBB Ocwen Financial Director 5‐NINES Performance Di t 5 NINES P f Using Root Cause Pattern Diagrams Motorola PCS Director Product Reliability Motorola PPG Led team that broke Japanese trade barrier in electronics to become #1 seller pagers in Japan Six Sigma Instructor / Mentor & Shainin Tools Instructor at Motorola  (1987 deployment) Certifications: Certified Mgr Quality / Org Excel Certified Six Sigma Black Belt Certified Lean Sensei Licensed US Patent Agent Robert D. Lloyd President, Lloyd Consulting Group, Inc. Recipient: Motorola CEO Quality Award Motorola CEO 10X Award SFMA Achievement Award CES Innovation Award 14 Issued US Patents Inductee: Motorola Science Advisory Board
  • 4. Product Handling Do not lose evidence by improper handling of defective product returns How products are handled Do Not • ESD protective procedures Induce Other • Protective trays Issues How products are shipped • Static protective bags Preserve • Boxing or egg-crating Evidence How products are stored • Organized for retrieval • Protected from harm
  • 5. Product Analysis Do not lose evidence by service centers “shot-gunning” problems by repairing products “at-will” Would you want your car serviced that way? • New products should have first 200 Do Not returns sent directly back to Product Induce Other Engineering for a detailed analysis Issues • Service centers should have a INTERNAL OPERATING PROCEDURE FOR ADDRESSING FIELD RETURNS structured process for the handling, p g, 1.0 HANDLING OF RETURNED GOODS 2.0 ANALYSIS OF RETURNED GOODS Preserve analysis, storage of returned goods 3.0 DOCUMENTATION OF ANALYSIS 4.0 ARCHIVING OF RETURNED GOODS Evidence • A id service center fi Avoid i t financial i l incentives that might inadvertently $ per Repair promote unnecessary repairs
  • 6. Product Analysis Investigation & repairs should follow fault tree maps • Call Center “Over-the-Phone” Analysis • Analysis Lab Progressive Investigation To Avoid Unnecessary Complaint: Loss of Prime Can C the complaint be Returns No Works Yes enter after rebooting device? investigated & resolved & Yes Covered by No over the phone? Call Ce g Troubleshooting (A-F)? To Avoid No Covered by Resolved Yes Troubleshooting “Shot-gun” (G-J)? Record Cartridge Repairs Return Device & Cartridge Lot # & Monitor Utilize Fault ab Return all pertinent items lysis La Tree Maps Cartridge Issue Device Issue and conduct progressive Profile Examine Test Examine Examine non-destructive analysis Break “Break” Cartridge Force Force PCB Anal & “Flow” Forces for Defects Sensor Sensor Flex Sockets before making repairs b f ki i
  • 7. Complaint & Failure Coding Fail re For consistent reporting, standardized coding schemes must be implemented Inconsistent /Insufficient Failure Statements (when no codes exist and technicians write their own observations) Codes Must “Broken display” p Be Specific and “Fractured LCD” “F d Consistent “Display cracked” “Blackened LCD” Best to Establish E t bli h How do you search a data base Codes As when terms are inconsistent? Early As Which statements refer to Possible which of these failures?
  • 8. Complaint & Failure Coding Fail re For consistent reporting, standardized coding schemes should be implemented Need for Detailed Failure Coding Display Edge Fracture DEF Codes Must p Be Specific and Display Shelf Fracture DSF Consistent Display Center Fracture DCF Best to Establish E t bli h Display Black Spotting Di l Bl k S i DBS Codes As Early As •S t Set-up a robust library of codes i advance b b t lib f d in d based on d Possible past complaint/failure history and FMEA’s • Adding codes later disrupts historical data tracking
  • 9. Complaint & Failure Coding Fail re Complaint “Product does not turn on” • Report of an issue from a Customer’s Effectively perspective (symptomatic view) Document: Doc ment Failure “Reason why product does not turn on” Customer s Customer’s Issue • Report of an issue from an Analysis Lab’s perspective (causation view) and d Reason Why If an issue was due to customer not knowing how to It Occurred O d operate the product, it is still indicative of a f il t th d t i till i di ti f failure of f the instruction manual or of the product’s ergonomic design. Do not write off such issues as “User Errors”. g
  • 10. Complaint & Failure Coding Fail re Separate Complaint and Failure coding schemes are recommended Standardized Coding Requirements Effectively • For consistency in reporting, standardized Document: Doc ment cod g schemes should coding sc e es s ou d be implemented p e e ted • Separate Complaint and Failure coding Customer s Customer’s schemes are recommended h d d Issue – Multiple complaints may be associated p p y and d with the same failure mechanism Reason Why – Advisable to use: It Occurred O d • Numeric for complaints • Alpha for failures p
  • 11. Cross Matrix Analysis Matri Anal sis Separate Complaint and Failure coding schemes are recommended TOP 16 FAILURE CODES 11/1/06 – 10/31/08 Product A DKP BFH DSS CON NDF UIS DSF BLC DCB DEF CSW SLD PTK DFD RPN ULF 15 17.22% 0.05% 0.08% 5.26% 0.56% 0.03% 0.67% 0.03% 0.07% 0.03% 0.30% 1.55% 0.02% 0.01% 0.01% 03 0.11% 12.98% 0.10% 0.07% 0.32% 0.05% 0.67% 0.58% 2.74% 0.10% 0.04% 0.05% 0.03% 0.07% 0.03% 10 NT CODES 0.10% 0.03% 10.81% 0.03% 0.35% 0.02% 0.46% 0.01% 0.02% 0.01% 0.01% 1.58% 0.47% 0.02% 14 0.05% 0.58% 0.07% 0.52% 0.24% 0.16% 3.30% 0.26% 0.01% 07 0.28% 1.29% 0.49% 0.01% 0.01% 2.31% 0.02% 0.04% 1.11% 02 0.01% 0.01% 0.01% 0 01% 0 01% 0 01% 0.01% 1.85% 0.21% 0 01% 1 85% 0 21% 0.01% 0 01% 1.66% 1 66% 0.02% 0.01% 0 02% 0 01% 5 COMPLAIN 11 0.03% 0.12% 0.04% 0.08% 0.55% 0.60% 0.32% 0.04% 0.34% 0.02% 0.79% 0.01% 0.04% 0.04% Done to 06 0.01% 0.01% 0.63% 0.12% 0.49% 0.17% 0.01% 0.01% 0.12% 0.07% 1.02% 0.04% 12 0.02% 0.22% 0.01% 1.13% 0.05% 0.77% 0.08% 0.08% 0.01% 0.72% 0.02% Identify 05 0.01% 0.02% 0.10% 1.33% 0.24% 0.01% 0.04% 0.06% 0.02% TOP 15 01 0.01% 0.01% 0.27% 0.62% 0.24% 0.05% 0.03% 0.02% Relations 19 0.32% 0.12% 0.10% 0.77% 0.01% Between 08 04 0.08% 0.01% 0.01% 0.24% 0.14% 0.22% 0.03% 0.03% 0.27% 0.10% 0.01% 0.04% 0.03% 0.01% 0.01% Complaints 13 0.01% 0.02% 0.01% 0 01% 0 02% 0 01% 0.49% 0.02% 0.05% 0 49% 0 02% 0 05% 0.03% 0.01% 0 03% 0 01% 0.05% 0.01% 0 05% 0 01% and Failures • Which failure codes are linked to which complaints? • Are certain failures linked with multiple complaints? • Are certain complaints linked with multiple failures? • Create Pareto charts to prioritize analysis efforts
  • 12. Determining Time In Field Date of Manufacture versus Time in Service Product Tracking • Serial Number • Manufacture Date Code Product • Model Number • Lot Number Tracking Strategies Product History After Manufacture y Manuf Active Failure Date Date Date Product ID, • Manufacturer’s stock room Time In Field Ti I Fi ld Storage S Active Life f and User • Distributor's stock room Warranty Date Demographic • On store shelves Lean activities work to reduce all inventories
  • 13. Determining Time In Field Date of Manufacture versus Time in Service Manuf Active Failure Date Date Date SKU Storage Active Life Product Warranty Date D t Tracking Strategies When was product placed into active use? • Indirect sale to end user (database of S/N & sale date) Product ID, Time In Field Ti I Fi ld • Service provider activation date and User • Direct sale to end user Demographic Can also obtain • Registration (“Bingo”) cards important user – Historically low response rates demographics – Need incentives to increase returns
  • 14. Virgin vs Repaired Units s Virgin Units • Representative of the designs, materials, p process settings, and operators at the time g p of manufacture The Challenges Of Trying Repaired Units To Obtain • A mixture of designs, materials, operators, Clean Data process settings from date of manufacture and from various dates of repair • Effects of being repaired (heat, stress, etc)
  • 15. Virgin vs Repaired Units s Virgin Product Segregation • Best to analyze virgin units and repaired units separately • To identify virgin units: subtract Initial Ship Strategies Month from Last Ship Month for each S/N p To Obtain Last Month Shipped Apr 2007 Clean Data Initial Manuf Ship Month Aug 2006 Manufacturing Ship Delta 8 months Virgin Products Have Mfg Ship Delta = 0 (because it was never returned to ship again)
  • 16. List of Data Filters • Month of Manufacture • Month of Complaint • Time in Field Importance of • Warranty Date Filtering the • Activation Date Data • Virgin vs Repaired vs Reconditioned • Product Model • P d t Revision Product R i i Cleaner, • Geographic Region (Country, State) Relevant • Complaint Codes Data More • Failure Codes Important • User Demographics Than Sample Size • Gender • Age • Location (State/Pro ince) (State/Province)
  • 17. Month of Complaint Hinge Complaints by Month of Complaint 30% (Product Introduced in Fall 2006) o) Complaint Rat (%/mo 25% te 20% Looks at All 15% Complaints for a Given 10% Month 5% g Regardless of When It 0% Apr-07 May-07 Aug-07 Apr-08 May-08 Aug-08 Nov-06 Nov-07 Dec-06 Jan-07 Feb-07 Jun-07 Jul-07 Sep-07 Dec-07 Jan-08 Feb-08 Jun-08 Jul-08 Sep-08 Oct-06 Mar-07 Oct-07 Mar-08 Was Made MONTH OF COMPLAINTS # of Complaints for Specific Month Complaint Rate = Install B I t ll Base for Specific Month f S ifi M th
  • 18. Pareto Diagrams June 2008 Failure Code Pareto - Product A Although It g Identifies the Important Few, It is only a “Snap-Shot” In Time But what have been the trends over th prior months? the i th ?
  • 19. Pareto Timelines A Better Perspective on the Larger Picture Pareto Timeline of Top 6 Failure Codes for Product A (Specific failures reported for each month divided by respective month install base) A Pareto B Rankings R ki Change D Over Time C Seasonality, Data Designs, from Prior Materials, Page Processes A - Hinge failures are steadily rising at a rapid rate B - Water intrusion failures are seasonally cyclical C-C Crystal f il t l failures have been steadily decreasing h b t dil d i D - Keypad failures falling, but check for seasonality
  • 20. Weaknesses Regarding Month of Complaint (MoC) # of Complaints Received in Specific Month MoC Complaint Rate = Install Base for That Specific Month Month of Complaints Received June 2006 Complaint Different dates of manufacture Reflects A • Different design revisions Mfr’d Mfr’d Mixture of • Different materials Mfr’d Sep ‘05 Mfr’d Aug ‘04 Mfr’d Apr ‘04 Oct ‘04 May ‘05 Products • Different process settings Mfr d Mfr’d Jan ‘05 Mfr d Mfr’d Nov ‘04 • Different operators Install Base June 2006 Mainly “The Chowder The Chowder” Reflects External MoC mainly reflects the impact of external Factors environmental f t i t l factors. It does not clearly d t l l represent internal design/process impact. Might not even reflect current production.
  • 21. An Improper Application of Month of Manufacture Man fact re Hinge Failures by Month of Manufacture 12% 10% Month of Failu Rate (% / mo) 8% Manufacture ARTIFICIAL IMPROVEMENT CURVE Alone Is 6% DUE TO RECENT MONTHS HAVING Misleading ure LESS TIME IN THE FIELD 4% 2% Must Also Factor In 0% Aug-07 Aug-08 Apr-07 Jan-07 Jul-07 Jul-08 Nov-06 Apr-08 Dec-06 May-07 Sep-07 Nov-07 Dec-07 May-08 Sep-08 Feb-07 Jun-07 Oct-07 Jun-08 Mar-07 Jan-08 Feb-08 Mar-08 Oct-06 Time in A A Month of Manufacture the Field # of Complaints for Specific Month of Manuf p p MoM Complaint R t = M MC l i t Rate Install Base for Specific Month of Manuf
  • 22. Month of Manufacture Man fact re Cumulative Field Failure Rate 4.5% 4.0% May-07 y Jun-07 3.5% Jul-07 Aug-07 TURE Cumulative mo) 3.0% LIKELY MATERIAL OR PROCESS ISSUES IN JUN-AUG 2007 CAUSING RISE IN FAILURES Sep-07 Oct 07 Oct-07 MONTH OF MANUFACT FAILURE RATE (%/m Failure R t F il Rates Nov-07 2.5% Dec-07 Tracked By Jan-08 2.0% Feb-08 Time-in-Field F Mar-08 Mar 08 Apr-08 for Multiple 1.5% May-08 Jun-08 Months of 1.0% Jul-08 Aug-08 Manufacture 0.5% Sep-08 for Specific 0.0% Product Prod ct 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 TIME IN FIELD 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 Those months that deviate garner attention, but this is not the most effective way to communicate. ff
  • 23. Preparing MoM Chart Time to Failure (months) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 May-07 Jun-07 ses Jul-07 re Aug-07 g stall Bas Month of Manufactur Sep-07 Oct-07 Nov-07 Dec-07 Jan-08 Feb-08 MoM Initial Ins Mar-08 Mar 08 Apr-08 May-08 Data Table Jun-08 Jul-08 Aug-08 Used for p Sep-08 Oct-08 Nov-08 Creating Dec-08 Jan-09 Feb-09 Chart on Mar-09 Apr-09 Apr 09 Prior Slide Cumulative Failure Rates: Failures (for specific MoM and Time-in-Field) Install Base (specific MoM minus all prior failures) Rates for each MoM are plotted as shown on prior page
  • 24. Preparing MoM Chart Pump Product 1250 A32 Country US RGA Y/N? Manuf Ship Delta Y 0 Filtering Complaint Code 07 12 207 Criteria Failure Code NDF (All) Sum of Count TTF Manuf Ship Month O 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 Total Oc 06 Oct-06 1 6 2 3 3 1 2 4 1 2 2 2 1 1 3 31 Pivot T bl Pi Table Nov-06 Dec-06 Jan-07 4 4 4 5 6 4 5 3 1 2 4 5 2 1 3 1 4 2 6 3 1 4 2 2 4 1 2 2 4 1 3 2 1 3 1 2 1 2 3 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 33 43 48 for Filtering Feb-07 Mar-07 Apr-07 8 4 5 3 2 4 4 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 3 3 3 4 6 1 3 4 4 2 2 2 3 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 36 32 30 May-07 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 9 Failure Data Jun 07 Jun-07 Jul-07 1 2 4 3 1 5 1 1 1 1 3 2 1 4 1 2 2 1 1 1 20 18 Aug-07 6 3 3 2 1 1 1 3 1 1 22 for Use in Sep-07 Oct-07 Nov-07 3 3 5 1 4 2 5 3 1 3 1 2 1 2 1 2 2 1 3 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 23 16 15 Failure Rate Dec-07 Jan-08 Feb-08 7 1 1 2 1 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 2 1 15 9 5 Mar-08 3 1 5 2 2 13 Calculations Apr-08 May-08 3 2 1 2 3 2 1 6 8 Jun-08 2 1 3 on Prior Slide Jul-08 Aug-08 Sep-08 4 3 7 Total 71 53 48 32 29 22 35 29 24 24 14 14 8 7 7 6 7 6 2 2 1 1 442 Failures reported by their Month of Manufacture and by their Time To Failure (in months)
  • 25. Analysis of Production Issues Using C diti U i Conditional Formatting lF tti HIGH IMAGE Press Cylinder NS NC FC FS Application of GRAYBAR LOW Conditional LOW PAGES HIGH PAGES Formatting of Date Page C IMAGE M Y C GRAYBAR M Y C IMAGE M Y C GRAYBAR M Y Data Cells for 3/4/04 3/4/04 3/4/04 NS NS NS 0.65 0.64 0.64 0.65 0.63 0.64 0.69 0.66 0.67 0.70 0.73 0.68 0.64 0.64 0.63 0.65 0.64 0.66 0.68 0.65 0.66 0.65 0.61 0.62 0.70 0.65 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.66 0.65 0.64 0.62 0.69 0.67 0.65 Analyzing 3/4/04 3/4/04 3/4/04 3/4/04 NS NS NS NS 0.68 0.67 0.65 0.66 0.68 0.67 0.63 0.65 0.72 0.71 0.67 0.69 0.71 0.71 0.69 0.70 0.66 0.66 0.65 0.65 0.68 0.69 0.68 0.68 0.70 0.69 0.67 0.67 0.68 0.67 0.64 0.64 0.73 0.72 0.71 0.70 0.67 0.67 0.59 0.68 0.65 0.66 0.59 0.67 0.67 0.70 0.62 0.72 Colored Ink 3/4/04 3/4/04 NS NC 0.66 0 66 0.61 0.65 0 65 0.60 0.66 0 66 0.65 0.70 0 70 0.64 0.66 0 66 0.61 0.70 0 70 0.64 0.69 0 69 0.66 0.66 0 66 0.63 0.68 0 68 0.69 0.63 0 63 0.64 0.63 0 63 0.62 0.65 0 65 0.66 3/4/04 NC 0.62 0.62 0.67 0.68 0.64 0.68 0.66 0.63 0.69 0.66 0.64 0.68 Densities at 3/4/04 3/4/04 3/4/04 NC NC NC 0.62 0.65 0.64 0.63 0.65 0.65 0.66 0.68 0.67 0.66 0.68 0.69 0.64 0.64 0.66 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.66 0.69 0.70 0.64 0.66 0.68 0.70 0.70 0.73 0.67 0.52 0.68 0.65 0.52 0.66 0.66 0.54 0.69 NY Times 3/4/04 NC 0.61 0.62 0.66 0.68 0.63 0.66 0.67 0.66 0.71 0.65 0.64 0.67 3/4/04 NC 0.59 0.61 0.65 0.67 0.62 0.64 0.63 0.62 0.68 0.63 0.62 0.65 3/4/04 NC 0.65 0.64 0.69 0.47 0.49 0.55 0.68 0.64 0.69 0.58 0.54 0.59 3/4/04 FC 0.53 0.53 0.58 0.59 0.55 0.58 0.57 0.56 0.62 0.59 0.56 0.60 3/4/04 FC 0.53 0.53 0.57 0.58 0.54 0.58 0.55 0.53 0.57 0.58 0.55 0.57 Communicating 3/4/04 3/4/04 3/4/04 FC FC FC 0.53 0.55 0.51 0.53 0.56 0.52 0.58 0.60 0.57 0.56 0.60 0.57 0.53 0.59 0.55 0.57 0.62 0.60 0.56 0.58 0.55 0.54 0.58 0.53 0.59 0.63 0.59 0.58 0.60 0.58 0.55 0.58 0.56 0.58 0.60 0.59 3/4/04 FC 0.51 0.53 0.58 0.58 0.55 0.59 0.55 0.54 0.60 0.59 0.56 0.60 Through Use of 3/4/04 3/4/04 FC FC 0.54 0.57 0.54 0.58 0.59 0.63 0.60 0.64 0.57 0.60 0.62 0.64 0.57 0.59 0.54 0.58 0.61 0.63 0.63 0.61 0.60 0.59 0.64 0.63 “Visual Data” 3/4/04 3/4/04 3/4/04 FS FS FS 0.57 0.55 0.54 0.55 0.54 0.55 0.61 0.60 0.59 0.57 0.56 0.56 0.54 0.53 0.54 0.60 0.58 0.57 0.58 0.59 0.57 0.54 0.56 0.54 0.58 0.59 0.57 0.60 0.58 0.56 0.56 0.54 0.55 0.59 0.58 0.56 3/4/04 FS 0.54 0.55 0.59 0.56 0.55 0.58 0.57 0.56 0.57 0.56 0.57 0.56 3/4/04 FS 0.52 0.54 0.57 0.56 0.54 0.57 0.57 0.55 0.57 0.50 0.51 0.50 3/4/04 FS 0.53 0.53 0.58 0.58 0.54 0.58 0.57 0.54 0.58 0.58 0.55 0.57 3/4/04 FS 0.54 0 54 0.53 0 53 0.58 0 58 0.58 0 58 0.53 0 53 0.59 0 59 0.58 0 58 0.56 0 56 0.60 0 60 0.61 0 61 0.58 0 58 0.60 0 60 3/4/04 FS 0.55 0.55 0.58 0.73 0.68 0.70 0.57 0.55 0.60 0.58 0.56 0.59 LOW DENSITY HIGH DENSITY Below 0.50 0.50 ‐ 0.59 0.60 ‐ 0.61 0.62 ‐ 0.68 0.69 ‐ 0.70 0.71 ‐ 0.80 Over 0.81
  • 26. Root Cause P tt R tC Pattern A l i Analysis (Lloyd Diagrams) Reference Cell C ll Time to Failure or Complaint (months) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Jan 08 Jan-08 Feb-08 Init MoM Install Bases Applying Mar-08 acture Apr-08 May-08 Conditional Jun-08 Jul-08 Aug-08 Aug 08 Month of Manufa Formatting F tti Sep-08 Oct-08 Nov-08 to Failure & Dec-08 Jan-09 Complaint Feb 09 Feb-09 M Mar-09 Apr-09 Data Tables May-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 tial Aug-09 Sep-09 Sep 09 M Oct-09 A New and Nov-09 Dec-09 Better Way to Identify • Calculate non-cumulative failure rates (without subtraction) non cumulative Issues • Instead of plotting data, we conditionally format the data cells themselves with regard to a master reference cell • That reference cell is swept to find patterns and rates Copyrighted © 2010 Robert D Lloyd