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The Future of Media
                    in the digital age
                    FIBEP, May 10, 2012, Brussels


                    jo@dearmedia.be
                    @jcaudron

woensdag 9 mei 12                                   1
ā€¢ a digital consulting company
             ā€¢ founded in 2009 by Jo Caudron
             ā€¢ our mission is to help you finding a
                    new balance between the certainties
                    of your traditional business and the
                    opportunities of innovations in
                    (digital) media
             ā€¢ our scope is everything in the digital
                    space, with focus on social, mobile,
                    tablets, location, connected TV,
                    new radio, ...
             ā€¢ We work for large European clients
  @jcaudron
woensdag 9 mei 12                                          2
Our Field of Activities




                                                                 Mobile & Tablets
                    Online Media    Social Media



                                                                  Connected TV




                          Impact on traditional communication, media, business, ...
woensdag 9 mei 12                                                                     3
Our Services

           Presentations,
                                    Custom                 Social Media                Social Media
            Trainings &
                                   Consulting               FireStarter                KickStarter
            Workshops



        Public and in-house    A variety of consulting    The proven                 A pragmatic, fast and
        presentations,         and advisory services,     methodology to             efficient way to
        trainings or           tailored to the specific   thoroughly prepare         kickstart social media
        workshops.             needs of our clients.      any organization for       strategy in your
                                                          social media:              company.
        Topics:                Range:                     ā€¢ strategy
        ā€¢ social media         ā€¢ strategy                   development              Format: a limited set
        ā€¢ fixing the media       development              ā€¢ concepts and             of strategy and
        ā€¢ mobile and tablets   ā€¢ concept translation        architecture             concept workshops,
        ā€¢ entrepreneurship     ā€¢ RFP assistance and       ā€¢ processes and            aimed at rapidly
                                 vendor selection           workflow                 orienting our clients.
                               ā€¢ boardroom advice         ā€¢ team formation
                               ā€¢ business case            ā€¢ trainings, coaching
                                 development              ā€¢ tools, monitoring, ...
                               ā€¢ change management


woensdag 9 mei 12                                                                                             4
Available Now

                    www.MediaMorgen.com




  @jcaudron
woensdag 9 mei 12                         5
twitter.com/jcaudron



woensdag 9 mei 12                          6
To get this started...
             ā€¢ Who is using?                   ā€¢ Who is using?
                    - Twitter                    - an iPhone
                    - Facebook, Google+, ...     - an Android
                    - LinkedIn                   - a Blackberry
                    - Pinterest, Path, ...       - a Nokia, Samsung, Sony
                    - Email                        Ericsson, ...
                    - LBS                        - a tablet (iPad, Android, ...)
                    - Augmented Reality

woensdag 9 mei 12                                                                  7
A short history of everything (in media)

           Analogue              Digital



                                 Connected (internet)            Social




                                           Everything is getting mobile


                      And the mobile eco-system will go to the living room very soon ...
  @jcaudron
woensdag 9 mei 12                                                                          8
What are
                    social
                    media?




woensdag 9 mei 12              9
woensdag 9 mei 12
                                                                                     Radio




                          @jcaudron
                                                                                      TV


                                                                                     Print


                                                                                  Billboards




                                              From ...
                                                                                      DM


                                                                                 Social Media




                                                                           Marketing & Communication


                                                                                     Sales
                    The sky is the limit...



                                                                               Service & Support


                                                                                      HR
                                              ... to




                                                                                       IT
                                                         Social Business




                                                                            PR & External Commun.


                                                                              R&D & Enterprise 2.0
10
@jcaudron
woensdag 9 mei 12   11
Transparency
                       Closeness
                    Responsiveness
                     Speed / Agility
                      Authenticity
                      Connectivity




  @jcaudron
woensdag 9 mei 12                      12
@jcaudron         7.000.000.000
woensdag 9 mei 12                   13
2.000.000.000
  @jcaudron         7.000.000.000
woensdag 9 mei 12                   14
1.300.000.000
                    2.000.000.000
  @jcaudron         7.000.000.000
woensdag 9 mei 12                   15
5.900.000.000
                    1.300.000.000
                    2.000.000.000
  @jcaudron         7.000.000.000
woensdag 9 mei 12                   16
The Future is
     ā€˜Mobileā€™




woensdag 9 mei 12    17
Mobile is the
              Biggest!
                                      subs
                           le p hone
               io n mo b i       2010
      5.9 bill            so ld
                   were
            l io n
      1 bi l




  @jcaudron
woensdag 9 mei 12                            18
Apple will continue to dominate the
     market for the next coming years.

  @jcaudron                                Source: Forrester March, 2012

woensdag 9 mei 12                                                          19
@jcaudron
woensdag 9 mei 12   20
Mobile as Second
       Screens for the World...




  @jcaudron
woensdag 9 mei 12                 21
So, Traditional Media are Dead?
              No, but...
woensdag 9 mei 12                   22
The end of traditional media?




                        ?
  @jcaudron
woensdag 9 mei 12                             23
What might impact TV? Non-linear viewing!




                                            2000-2010



  @jcaudron
woensdag 9 mei 12                                         24
What might impact TV? Non-linear viewing!
                          2010-2011, the big question...
                          So, how big is time shifted viewing? 2,5%, 3%, 5%, higher???


                                                              ā€œItā€™s only a few
                                                          percent, and it will
                                                          never exceed 15%, so
                                                              we are safe...ā€




                                                             October 2011
                                                             top commercial TV-exec
  @jcaudron
woensdag 9 mei 12                                                                        25
What might impact TV? Non-linear viewing!
                                           So, what about this march 2011
                                           TV decision?




  @jcaudron
woensdag 9 mei 12                                                           26
@jcaudron
woensdag 9 mei 12   27
@jcaudron
woensdag 9 mei 12   28
Januari 2012
     Source: research DearMedia and Ehsal Management School

  @jcaudron
woensdag 9 mei 12                                                            29
ā€œPeople have never watched so much TV as todayā€
           ā€œTV still works, definitely in times of crisisā€
            ā€œPeople timeshift to watch more TV, it has
                    no impact on advertisingā€

  @jcaudron
woensdag 9 mei 12                                            30
NYT, April 22, 2012
                    NBC -3%    ā€œratings for people who watch shows when
                    CBS -8%    they are first broadcast) have declined for 14
                    ABC -21%   straight quarters"
                    Fox -20%
                                                                      ā€œWe are seeing the
                                                                     cumulative effect of
                                                                     nonlinear viewing.ā€




                                Jeff Gaspin
  @jcaudron                     (former head of entertainment NBC)

woensdag 9 mei 12                                                                           31
May 2012
  @jcaudron
woensdag 9 mei 12              32
Itā€™s official
                    now...




  @jcaudron
woensdag 9 mei 12                   33
What might impact TV? Direct OTT Distribution!




  @jcaudron
woensdag 9 mei 12                                              34
Whoā€™s jumping over who?




  @jcaudron
woensdag 9 mei 12                             35
@jcaudron
woensdag 9 mei 12   36
What might impact TV? The People!
                    They donā€™t watch less TV.

          But they are changing the very
        nature of the DNA of (commercial)
                        TV.

           They might even pay for TV, but
                 maybe not to you.

       They might stay loyal to TV-brands,
                 (near) linear TV, ...
         but if they run away from your
       advertising, pay-TV, ... you still have
                      an issue.


woensdag 9 mei 12                                 37
TV




                                                                                                                             Tr
       New




                                                                                                                               ad
                             al




                                                                                                                            iti an
                         ci
       TV Mix




                                                                                                                               on d
                                                                                           Near Linear



                        So
                                                   Linear




                                                                                                                                 al T
                                                                                                                                   br T
                                                   ā€¢ Live                                  ā€¢ Now +/-3H




                                                                                                                                     O
                                          B




                                                                                                                                     oa
                                                   ā€¢ Traditional model                     ā€¢ Hybrid model:




                                       ST




                                                                                                                                        dc
                                                   ā€¢ IRL ad skipping (toilet,                  selectively loyal to




                                                                                                                                         Vi and
                                      d
                                                                                               channel




                                                                                                                                           as
                                                       fridge, ...)




                                     an




                                                                                                                                            a
                                                   ā€¢   Channel zapping                     ā€¢   Full ad skipping (DVR)




                                                                                                                                              t
                                                                                                                                               Se oth
                           TV
                                                   ā€¢   Live interaction on TV,                 & FFWD




                                                                                                                                                 co er
                                                       SMS, 2nd screen                     ā€¢   Channel shifting
                        a




                                                                                                                                                   nd de
                                                   ā€¢                                       ā€¢   Shifted interaction
                        vi
                                                       Advertising
                                                   ā€¢   Pay-TV                                  (apps follow the show)




                                                                                                                                                      Sc vic
       How to brand                                                                            via 2nd screen




                                                                                                                                                        re es
                                                                                           ā€¢   Advertising
       a media




                                                                                                                                                          en
                                                                                           ā€¢   Pay-TV
       channel in




                                                                                                                                                             s
                                                                                           ā€¢   Pay-for-service
       this new
       landscape?                                                                Up-sell
                         On Demand




                                     Pre-run      Starting from channel-logic: Selective, high value, expensive, premium, paid
       Where do you
       want to be?                   Re-run       Starting from channel-logic: High convenience, mainstream, premium, free/paid, advertising
       Do you want
       to lead or                     Catalogue   Premium: series, movies, ... NOT necessarily linked to existing channels, paid
                                                  Long-tail: archive, wide offering, niche offering, both linked and not lined to existing channels, paid
       follow?

n   woensdag 9 mei 12                                                                                                                                        38
About strong media brands


                                           Strong OTT
                                            potential


                    Strong Media Brands                  Strong Digital Brands




                         Whoā€™s best at building Media Communities?
                       What will be the Media Love Brands of tomorrow?
woensdag 9 mei 12                                                                39
The new ā€œsocialā€ paradigm




               Content is no longer King




                                           Connection just became
                                           the new King
woensdag 9 mei 12                                                   40
The new ā€œsocialā€ paradigm




                    Yes, media are connecting.

                    But whoā€™s community is
                    this anyway?                 Connection just became
                                                 the new King
woensdag 9 mei 12                                                         41
Interaction




woensdag 9 mei 12
                  High




                 Medium




                  Low
                           8  Viral
                            Marketing




                                Direct
                                      Email
                                     Marketing



                               Marketing

                              POS
                                     Trafļ¬c



                           Traditional
                          Above Media
                           2 weeks
                                                Social
                                              Campaigns




                                              Online media
                                               Campaigns



                                              PR
                                                          Activation
                                                           Campaigns




                                                          Conversion




                                                    2 months
                                                            ofļ¬‚ine




                                                      Duration
                                                                           Social
                                                                         harvesting



                                                                          Social Websites




                                                                            Websites




                                                                            2 years
                                                                                           Social
                                                                                          seeding




                                                                                 Your Destination
                                                                       (info, fun, engagement, loyalty)




                                                                                      Conversion
                                                                                        online




                                                                                                          42
Interaction




woensdag 9 mei 12
                  High




                 Medium




                  Low
                           8  Viral
                            Marketing




                                Direct
                                      Email
                                     Marketing



                               Marketing

                              POS
                                     Trafļ¬c



                           Traditional
                          Above Media
                           2 weeks
                                                Social
                                              Campaigns




                                              Online media
                                               Campaigns



                                              PR
                                                          Activation
                                                           Campaigns




                                                          Conversion




                                                    2 months
                                                            ofļ¬‚ine




                                                      Duration
                                                                           Social
                                                                         harvesting



                                                                          Social Websites




                                                                            Websites




                                                                            2 years
                                                                                           Social
                                                                                          seeding




                                                                                 Your Destination
                                                                       (info, fun, engagement, loyalty)




                                                                                      Conversion
                                                                                        online




                                                                                                          43
Interaction




woensdag 9 mei 12
                  High




                 Medium




                  Low
                           8  Viral
                            Marketing




                                Direct
                                      Email
                                     Marketing



                               Marketing

                              POS
                                     Trafļ¬c



                           Traditional
                          Above Media
                           2 weeks
                                              PR
                                                Social
                                              Campaigns




                                              Online media
                                               Campaigns
                                                          Activation
                                                           Campaigns




                                                          Conversion




                                                    2 months
                                                            ofļ¬‚ine




                                                      Duration
                                                                           Social
                                                                         harvesting



                                                                          Social Websites




                                                                            Websites




                                                                            2 years
                                                                                           Social
                                                                                          seeding




                                                                                 Your Destination
                                                                       (info, fun, engagement, loyalty)




                                                                                      Conversion
                                                                                        online
                                                                                                          ā€œMasters Of Communityā€




                                                                                                                            ?


                                                                                                                       (local)
                                                                                                                   relationships
                                                                                                                  between media
                                                                                                                 brands and media
                                                                                                                    customers

                                                                                                                                    44
Interaction




woensdag 9 mei 12
                  High




                 Medium




                  Low
                           8  Viral
                            Marketing




                                Direct
                                      Email
                                     Marketing



                               Marketing

                              POS
                                     Trafļ¬c



                           Traditional
                          Above Media
                           2 weeks
                                                Social
                                              Campaigns




                                              Online media
                                               Campaigns



                                              PR
                                                          Activation
                                                           Campaigns




                                                          Conversion




                                                    2 months
                                                            ofļ¬‚ine




                                                      Duration
                                                                           Social
                                                                         harvesting



                                                                          Social Websites




                                                                            Websites




                                                                            2 years
                                                                                           Social
                                                                                          seeding




                                                                                 Your Destination
                                                                       (info, fun, engagement, loyalty)




                                                                                      Conversion
                                                                                        online
                                                                                                          In the future,
                                                                                                          owning the
                                                                                                          community
                                                                                                          around a show
                                                                                                          will be equally
                                                                                                          important to
                                                                                                          owning the
                                                                                                          (broadcasts)
                                                                                                          rights for the
                                                                                                          show.


                                                                                                                            45
Interaction




woensdag 9 mei 12
                  High




                 Medium




                  Low
                           8  Viral
                            Marketing




                              POS
                                      Email
                                     Marketing


                                Direct
                               Marketing
                                     Trafļ¬c



                           Traditional
                          Above Media
                           2 weeks
                                                Social
                                              Campaigns




                                              Online media
                                               Campaigns



                                              PR
                                                          Activation
                                                           Campaigns




                                                          Conversion




                                                    2 months
                                                            ofļ¬‚ine




                                                      Duration
                                                                           Social
                                                                         harvesting



                                                                          Social Websites




                                                                            Websites




                                                                            2 years
                                                                                           Social
                                                                                          seeding




                                                                                 Your Destination
                                                                       (info, fun, engagement, loyalty)




                                                                                      Conversion
                                                                                        online
                                                                                                          Media online need to be more
                                                                                                          than a website.

                                                                                                          They need to be media
                                                                                                          communities, powered by a
                                                                                                          rich collection of ā€œsocial
                                                                                                          objectsā€ (the brand, the news,
                                                                                                          people, stories, ...)

                                                                                                          The ultimate goal should be to
                                                                                                          build a named and long-term
                                                                                                          relationship with each
                                                                                                          individual media user.

                                                                                                          Media companies should use
                                                                                                          the big social networks, not
                                                                                                          the other way around.

                                                                                                          MEDIA NEED TO OWN
                                                                                                          THEIR OWN
                                                                                                          COMMUNITY

                                                                                                                                           46
Interaction




woensdag 9 mei 12
                  High




                 Medium




                  Low
                           8  Viral
                            Marketing




                                Direct
                                      Email
                                     Marketing



                               Marketing

                              POS
                                     Trafļ¬c



                           Traditional
                          Above Media
                           2 weeks
                                                Social
                                              Campaigns




                                              Online media
                                               Campaigns



                                              PR
                                                          Activation
                                                           Campaigns




                                                          Conversion




                                                    2 months
                                                            ofļ¬‚ine




                                                      Duration
                                                                           Social
                                                                         harvesting



                                                                          Social Websites




                                                                            Websites




                                                                            2 years
                                                                                           Social
                                                                                          seeding




                                                                                 Your Destination
                                                                       (info, fun, engagement, loyalty)




                                                                                      Conversion
                                                                                        online
                                                                                                          In the future,
                                                                                                          owning the
                                                                                                          community
                                                                                                          around a show
                                                                                                          will be equally
                                                                                                          important to
                                                                                                          owning the
                                                                                                          (broadcasts)
                                                                                                          rights for the
                                                                                                          show.


                                                                                                                            47
woensdag 9 mei 12   48
Whatā€™s wrong with these images?




  @jcaudron
woensdag 9 mei 12                               49
Whatā€™s wrong with these images?




  @jcaudron
woensdag 9 mei 12                               50
What about newspapers?




  @jcaudron
woensdag 9 mei 12                      51
What about newspapers?
                                       ā€¢ Print newspapers are no longer to
                                         best ā€œformatā€ to bring the ā€œlatestā€
                                         news
                                       ā€¢ The daily frequency can not
                                         compete to online newspapers
                                       ā€¢ They have cannibalized on their
                                         own business: free newssites
                                       ā€¢ Classifieds are lost completely
                                       ā€¢ Advertisers believe in online and
                                         new advertising formats and are
                                         slowly towards online
                                       ā€¢ Yet traditional online advertising
                                         does not work as hoped for, is
                                         worth less, thus is not compensating
                                         for offline loss
                                       ā€¢ Readers are less loyal
                                         (subscriptions) and become
                                         weekend-consumers

  @jcaudron
woensdag 9 mei 12                                                               52
@jcaudron
woensdag 9 mei 12   53
Will new technology help?




  @jcaudron
woensdag 9 mei 12                         54
The future of
           Magazines?




  @jcaudron
woensdag 9 mei 12          55
Fixing Print           Print will continue to exist, but digital will rule

                              Expect newspapers and magazines to
                              become similar formats

                         Itā€™s not just about tablets, itā€™s all you can dream of

                              Find a new balance between slow (destination: deep,
                              quality) and fast (stream: instant, short, quantity)

                             Let go of publication dates, the time is NOW

                                    Your inspiration should not be ā€œThe Dailyā€, it
                                    should be ā€œFlipboardā€
  @jcaudron
woensdag 9 mei 12                                                                          56
Source: eMarketer, Dec, 2011, via Econopolis

woensdag 9 mei 12                                                  57
@jcaudron
woensdag 9 mei 12   58
Things to take away ...
woensdag 9 mei 12                             59
Want to be ready?




                                                      Be in the cloud
  Start using
  social networks                      Get a decent
                      Get on Twitter
                                       smartphone




  @jcaudron                            Get a tablet
woensdag 9 mei 12                                                       60
me




                    You should be fan of your audience, not the other way around!



  @jcaudron
woensdag 9 mei 12                                                                   61
@jcaudron
woensdag 9 mei 12   62
Traditional media will have to reinvent
              themselves!




                         !
  @jcaudron
woensdag 9 mei 12                                       63
Start
                      1                             AWARENESS
Strategy & Concepts




                                                                    Mobile Strategy
                      2   DIGITAL STRATEGY
                                                                 Social Media Strategy




                                                    Inbound (listen) /Outbound (talk)
                      3   CONCEPTS                      Destinations / Streams
                                                               Fix / Mobile




                                FUNCTIONAL                       SOCIAL MEDIA PLAN
                                                                                             The Plan
                              REQUIREMENTS                            - people & teams
                             (site, portal, apps,
Details




                                                                   - tools (monitoring &
                      4         channels, ...)                          conversation)
                                                                  - policies & guidelines
                                                                   - training & coaching
                             RFP ASSISTANCE
Next




                      5       DEVELOPMENT
                                  follow-up
                                                                CONVERSATION MNGT
                                                              day2day, guidance, follow-up

        @jcaudron
woensdag 9 mei 12                                                                                       64
Things to take away
                    Everything is becoming digital, so is your business, whatever it is

                      Social is the next logical step in the path of digital evolution

                           The future of the internet and social will be mobile

                                 The future of mobile will be everything

                                       Mobile will drive The Cloud

                             You need a plan NOW to start dealing with this

                    Actually, you donā€™t need a plan, you need to plan (continuously)

                             Embrace the future now, but donā€™t overdo it ;-)
  @jcaudron
woensdag 9 mei 12                                                                         65
Beware of Macro-Myopia*
                     *the trend to overestimate the impact of change on the short term
                        and to underestimate the impact of change on the long term.

                                          Donā€™t say I didnā€™t warn you ;-)




  @jcaudron
woensdag 9 mei 12                                                                        66
DearMedia,
                    twitter.com/DearMedia // twitter.com/jcaudron // twitter.com/dadovanpeteghem



                    linkedin.com/in/JoCaudron // linkedin.com/in/DadoVanPeteghem // linkedin.com/in/FlorencePeres



                    facebook.com/DearMedia



                    youtube.com/DearMedia



                    slideshare.com/DearMedia



  @jcaudron
woensdag 9 mei 12                                                                                                   67
The Future of Media
                    in the digital age
                    FIBEP, May 10, 2012, Brussels


                    jo@dearmedia.be
                    @jcaudron

woensdag 9 mei 12                                   68

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Fibep - The Future of Media in the Digital Age

  • 1. The Future of Media in the digital age FIBEP, May 10, 2012, Brussels jo@dearmedia.be @jcaudron woensdag 9 mei 12 1
  • 2. ā€¢ a digital consulting company ā€¢ founded in 2009 by Jo Caudron ā€¢ our mission is to help you finding a new balance between the certainties of your traditional business and the opportunities of innovations in (digital) media ā€¢ our scope is everything in the digital space, with focus on social, mobile, tablets, location, connected TV, new radio, ... ā€¢ We work for large European clients @jcaudron woensdag 9 mei 12 2
  • 3. Our Field of Activities Mobile & Tablets Online Media Social Media Connected TV Impact on traditional communication, media, business, ... woensdag 9 mei 12 3
  • 4. Our Services Presentations, Custom Social Media Social Media Trainings & Consulting FireStarter KickStarter Workshops Public and in-house A variety of consulting The proven A pragmatic, fast and presentations, and advisory services, methodology to efficient way to trainings or tailored to the specific thoroughly prepare kickstart social media workshops. needs of our clients. any organization for strategy in your social media: company. Topics: Range: ā€¢ strategy ā€¢ social media ā€¢ strategy development Format: a limited set ā€¢ fixing the media development ā€¢ concepts and of strategy and ā€¢ mobile and tablets ā€¢ concept translation architecture concept workshops, ā€¢ entrepreneurship ā€¢ RFP assistance and ā€¢ processes and aimed at rapidly vendor selection workflow orienting our clients. ā€¢ boardroom advice ā€¢ team formation ā€¢ business case ā€¢ trainings, coaching development ā€¢ tools, monitoring, ... ā€¢ change management woensdag 9 mei 12 4
  • 5. Available Now www.MediaMorgen.com @jcaudron woensdag 9 mei 12 5
  • 7. To get this started... ā€¢ Who is using? ā€¢ Who is using? - Twitter - an iPhone - Facebook, Google+, ... - an Android - LinkedIn - a Blackberry - Pinterest, Path, ... - a Nokia, Samsung, Sony - Email Ericsson, ... - LBS - a tablet (iPad, Android, ...) - Augmented Reality woensdag 9 mei 12 7
  • 8. A short history of everything (in media) Analogue Digital Connected (internet) Social Everything is getting mobile And the mobile eco-system will go to the living room very soon ... @jcaudron woensdag 9 mei 12 8
  • 9. What are social media? woensdag 9 mei 12 9
  • 10. woensdag 9 mei 12 Radio @jcaudron TV Print Billboards From ... DM Social Media Marketing & Communication Sales The sky is the limit... Service & Support HR ... to IT Social Business PR & External Commun. R&D & Enterprise 2.0 10
  • 12. Transparency Closeness Responsiveness Speed / Agility Authenticity Connectivity @jcaudron woensdag 9 mei 12 12
  • 13. @jcaudron 7.000.000.000 woensdag 9 mei 12 13
  • 14. 2.000.000.000 @jcaudron 7.000.000.000 woensdag 9 mei 12 14
  • 15. 1.300.000.000 2.000.000.000 @jcaudron 7.000.000.000 woensdag 9 mei 12 15
  • 16. 5.900.000.000 1.300.000.000 2.000.000.000 @jcaudron 7.000.000.000 woensdag 9 mei 12 16
  • 17. The Future is ā€˜Mobileā€™ woensdag 9 mei 12 17
  • 18. Mobile is the Biggest! subs le p hone io n mo b i 2010 5.9 bill so ld were l io n 1 bi l @jcaudron woensdag 9 mei 12 18
  • 19. Apple will continue to dominate the market for the next coming years. @jcaudron Source: Forrester March, 2012 woensdag 9 mei 12 19
  • 21. Mobile as Second Screens for the World... @jcaudron woensdag 9 mei 12 21
  • 22. So, Traditional Media are Dead? No, but... woensdag 9 mei 12 22
  • 23. The end of traditional media? ? @jcaudron woensdag 9 mei 12 23
  • 24. What might impact TV? Non-linear viewing! 2000-2010 @jcaudron woensdag 9 mei 12 24
  • 25. What might impact TV? Non-linear viewing! 2010-2011, the big question... So, how big is time shifted viewing? 2,5%, 3%, 5%, higher??? ā€œItā€™s only a few percent, and it will never exceed 15%, so we are safe...ā€ October 2011 top commercial TV-exec @jcaudron woensdag 9 mei 12 25
  • 26. What might impact TV? Non-linear viewing! So, what about this march 2011 TV decision? @jcaudron woensdag 9 mei 12 26
  • 29. Januari 2012 Source: research DearMedia and Ehsal Management School @jcaudron woensdag 9 mei 12 29
  • 30. ā€œPeople have never watched so much TV as todayā€ ā€œTV still works, definitely in times of crisisā€ ā€œPeople timeshift to watch more TV, it has no impact on advertisingā€ @jcaudron woensdag 9 mei 12 30
  • 31. NYT, April 22, 2012 NBC -3% ā€œratings for people who watch shows when CBS -8% they are first broadcast) have declined for 14 ABC -21% straight quarters" Fox -20% ā€œWe are seeing the cumulative effect of nonlinear viewing.ā€ Jeff Gaspin @jcaudron (former head of entertainment NBC) woensdag 9 mei 12 31
  • 32. May 2012 @jcaudron woensdag 9 mei 12 32
  • 33. Itā€™s official now... @jcaudron woensdag 9 mei 12 33
  • 34. What might impact TV? Direct OTT Distribution! @jcaudron woensdag 9 mei 12 34
  • 35. Whoā€™s jumping over who? @jcaudron woensdag 9 mei 12 35
  • 37. What might impact TV? The People! They donā€™t watch less TV. But they are changing the very nature of the DNA of (commercial) TV. They might even pay for TV, but maybe not to you. They might stay loyal to TV-brands, (near) linear TV, ... but if they run away from your advertising, pay-TV, ... you still have an issue. woensdag 9 mei 12 37
  • 38. TV Tr New ad al iti an ci TV Mix on d Near Linear So Linear al T br T ā€¢ Live ā€¢ Now +/-3H O B oa ā€¢ Traditional model ā€¢ Hybrid model: ST dc ā€¢ IRL ad skipping (toilet, selectively loyal to Vi and d channel as fridge, ...) an a ā€¢ Channel zapping ā€¢ Full ad skipping (DVR) t Se oth TV ā€¢ Live interaction on TV, & FFWD co er SMS, 2nd screen ā€¢ Channel shifting a nd de ā€¢ ā€¢ Shifted interaction vi Advertising ā€¢ Pay-TV (apps follow the show) Sc vic How to brand via 2nd screen re es ā€¢ Advertising a media en ā€¢ Pay-TV channel in s ā€¢ Pay-for-service this new landscape? Up-sell On Demand Pre-run Starting from channel-logic: Selective, high value, expensive, premium, paid Where do you want to be? Re-run Starting from channel-logic: High convenience, mainstream, premium, free/paid, advertising Do you want to lead or Catalogue Premium: series, movies, ... NOT necessarily linked to existing channels, paid Long-tail: archive, wide offering, niche offering, both linked and not lined to existing channels, paid follow? n woensdag 9 mei 12 38
  • 39. About strong media brands Strong OTT potential Strong Media Brands Strong Digital Brands Whoā€™s best at building Media Communities? What will be the Media Love Brands of tomorrow? woensdag 9 mei 12 39
  • 40. The new ā€œsocialā€ paradigm Content is no longer King Connection just became the new King woensdag 9 mei 12 40
  • 41. The new ā€œsocialā€ paradigm Yes, media are connecting. But whoā€™s community is this anyway? Connection just became the new King woensdag 9 mei 12 41
  • 42. Interaction woensdag 9 mei 12 High Medium Low 8 Viral Marketing Direct Email Marketing Marketing POS Trafļ¬c Traditional Above Media 2 weeks Social Campaigns Online media Campaigns PR Activation Campaigns Conversion 2 months ofļ¬‚ine Duration Social harvesting Social Websites Websites 2 years Social seeding Your Destination (info, fun, engagement, loyalty) Conversion online 42
  • 43. Interaction woensdag 9 mei 12 High Medium Low 8 Viral Marketing Direct Email Marketing Marketing POS Trafļ¬c Traditional Above Media 2 weeks Social Campaigns Online media Campaigns PR Activation Campaigns Conversion 2 months ofļ¬‚ine Duration Social harvesting Social Websites Websites 2 years Social seeding Your Destination (info, fun, engagement, loyalty) Conversion online 43
  • 44. Interaction woensdag 9 mei 12 High Medium Low 8 Viral Marketing Direct Email Marketing Marketing POS Trafļ¬c Traditional Above Media 2 weeks PR Social Campaigns Online media Campaigns Activation Campaigns Conversion 2 months ofļ¬‚ine Duration Social harvesting Social Websites Websites 2 years Social seeding Your Destination (info, fun, engagement, loyalty) Conversion online ā€œMasters Of Communityā€ ? (local) relationships between media brands and media customers 44
  • 45. Interaction woensdag 9 mei 12 High Medium Low 8 Viral Marketing Direct Email Marketing Marketing POS Trafļ¬c Traditional Above Media 2 weeks Social Campaigns Online media Campaigns PR Activation Campaigns Conversion 2 months ofļ¬‚ine Duration Social harvesting Social Websites Websites 2 years Social seeding Your Destination (info, fun, engagement, loyalty) Conversion online In the future, owning the community around a show will be equally important to owning the (broadcasts) rights for the show. 45
  • 46. Interaction woensdag 9 mei 12 High Medium Low 8 Viral Marketing POS Email Marketing Direct Marketing Trafļ¬c Traditional Above Media 2 weeks Social Campaigns Online media Campaigns PR Activation Campaigns Conversion 2 months ofļ¬‚ine Duration Social harvesting Social Websites Websites 2 years Social seeding Your Destination (info, fun, engagement, loyalty) Conversion online Media online need to be more than a website. They need to be media communities, powered by a rich collection of ā€œsocial objectsā€ (the brand, the news, people, stories, ...) The ultimate goal should be to build a named and long-term relationship with each individual media user. Media companies should use the big social networks, not the other way around. MEDIA NEED TO OWN THEIR OWN COMMUNITY 46
  • 47. Interaction woensdag 9 mei 12 High Medium Low 8 Viral Marketing Direct Email Marketing Marketing POS Trafļ¬c Traditional Above Media 2 weeks Social Campaigns Online media Campaigns PR Activation Campaigns Conversion 2 months ofļ¬‚ine Duration Social harvesting Social Websites Websites 2 years Social seeding Your Destination (info, fun, engagement, loyalty) Conversion online In the future, owning the community around a show will be equally important to owning the (broadcasts) rights for the show. 47
  • 48. woensdag 9 mei 12 48
  • 49. Whatā€™s wrong with these images? @jcaudron woensdag 9 mei 12 49
  • 50. Whatā€™s wrong with these images? @jcaudron woensdag 9 mei 12 50
  • 51. What about newspapers? @jcaudron woensdag 9 mei 12 51
  • 52. What about newspapers? ā€¢ Print newspapers are no longer to best ā€œformatā€ to bring the ā€œlatestā€ news ā€¢ The daily frequency can not compete to online newspapers ā€¢ They have cannibalized on their own business: free newssites ā€¢ Classifieds are lost completely ā€¢ Advertisers believe in online and new advertising formats and are slowly towards online ā€¢ Yet traditional online advertising does not work as hoped for, is worth less, thus is not compensating for offline loss ā€¢ Readers are less loyal (subscriptions) and become weekend-consumers @jcaudron woensdag 9 mei 12 52
  • 54. Will new technology help? @jcaudron woensdag 9 mei 12 54
  • 55. The future of Magazines? @jcaudron woensdag 9 mei 12 55
  • 56. Fixing Print Print will continue to exist, but digital will rule Expect newspapers and magazines to become similar formats Itā€™s not just about tablets, itā€™s all you can dream of Find a new balance between slow (destination: deep, quality) and fast (stream: instant, short, quantity) Let go of publication dates, the time is NOW Your inspiration should not be ā€œThe Dailyā€, it should be ā€œFlipboardā€ @jcaudron woensdag 9 mei 12 56
  • 57. Source: eMarketer, Dec, 2011, via Econopolis woensdag 9 mei 12 57
  • 59. Things to take away ... woensdag 9 mei 12 59
  • 60. Want to be ready? Be in the cloud Start using social networks Get a decent Get on Twitter smartphone @jcaudron Get a tablet woensdag 9 mei 12 60
  • 61. me You should be fan of your audience, not the other way around! @jcaudron woensdag 9 mei 12 61
  • 63. Traditional media will have to reinvent themselves! ! @jcaudron woensdag 9 mei 12 63
  • 64. Start 1 AWARENESS Strategy & Concepts Mobile Strategy 2 DIGITAL STRATEGY Social Media Strategy Inbound (listen) /Outbound (talk) 3 CONCEPTS Destinations / Streams Fix / Mobile FUNCTIONAL SOCIAL MEDIA PLAN The Plan REQUIREMENTS - people & teams (site, portal, apps, Details - tools (monitoring & 4 channels, ...) conversation) - policies & guidelines - training & coaching RFP ASSISTANCE Next 5 DEVELOPMENT follow-up CONVERSATION MNGT day2day, guidance, follow-up @jcaudron woensdag 9 mei 12 64
  • 65. Things to take away Everything is becoming digital, so is your business, whatever it is Social is the next logical step in the path of digital evolution The future of the internet and social will be mobile The future of mobile will be everything Mobile will drive The Cloud You need a plan NOW to start dealing with this Actually, you donā€™t need a plan, you need to plan (continuously) Embrace the future now, but donā€™t overdo it ;-) @jcaudron woensdag 9 mei 12 65
  • 66. Beware of Macro-Myopia* *the trend to overestimate the impact of change on the short term and to underestimate the impact of change on the long term. Donā€™t say I didnā€™t warn you ;-) @jcaudron woensdag 9 mei 12 66
  • 67. DearMedia, twitter.com/DearMedia // twitter.com/jcaudron // twitter.com/dadovanpeteghem linkedin.com/in/JoCaudron // linkedin.com/in/DadoVanPeteghem // linkedin.com/in/FlorencePeres facebook.com/DearMedia youtube.com/DearMedia slideshare.com/DearMedia @jcaudron woensdag 9 mei 12 67
  • 68. The Future of Media in the digital age FIBEP, May 10, 2012, Brussels jo@dearmedia.be @jcaudron woensdag 9 mei 12 68