BHEL reported strong results for 4QFY2010 and FY2010, with revenues growing 28.6% and profits growing 41.7% for the quarter. Operating margins expanded due to lower raw material costs, though this was partially offset by higher other expenses. Order inflows grew 45.1% for the quarter. For FY2010-2012, revenues are expected to grow at a CAGR of 19.7% and profits at 21.5%. However, the analyst maintains a Neutral rating due to structural concerns in the industry.
Bajaj Electricals reported a 19.3% year-over-year increase in quarterly revenue to Rs. 784 crore, slightly ahead of estimates. Revenue growth was driven primarily by the consumer durables division which saw 35.6% growth. However, net profit declined 21.1% to Rs. 37 crore due to additional taxes and a loan write-off. The company maintained a strong order backlog of Rs. 932 crore. While growth outlook remains positive, the analyst maintains a neutral rating given the recent run-up in stock price and expects the stock to trade around 10-12 times estimated earnings.
Bharat Forge (BFL) reported a 92.8% year-over-year growth in standalone net sales for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2010, exceeding expectations. Operating margins improved substantially to 22.8% due to lower raw material costs and operating leverage. BFL recorded a net profit of Rs. 61.3 crore for the quarter, above estimates. At the consolidated level, BFL reported a 46.7% year-over-year increase in revenues for the fourth quarter and completed the process of restructuring its global subsidiaries.
HUL reported disappointing 1QFY2011 results, with profits declining 4% due to a 34% rise in advertising spending. While revenue grew 7% driven by 11% volume growth, operating margins contracted significantly by 289 basis points. Higher competitive intensity in categories like detergents and soaps drove the increase in advertising. Weak profit growth and uncertain earnings outlook despite modest revenue growth lead us to maintain a reduce rating on the stock.
McNally Bharat Engineering reported strong growth in 4QFY2010, with sales and profit growth of 19% and 142% respectively, ahead of estimates. This was driven by higher EBITDA margins and lower interest costs. For the full year, standalone sales grew 50% and EBITDA margins improved 80 basis points. Going forward, the company is well positioned for robust growth over the next few years due to its large order backlog of 2.6 times FY2010 revenue. The analyst maintains a 'Buy' recommendation with a revised target price of Rs486.
TCS reported strong financial results for the 1QFY2011 quarter that exceeded analyst estimates. Revenue grew 6.2% quarter-over-quarter to Rs. 8,217 crore, driven by an 8.1% increase in business volumes. Operating margins declined slightly due to wage increases and currency fluctuations impacting costs. Net profit declined 5.3% due to higher foreign exchange losses and taxes. The analyst maintains a positive outlook due to TCS's strong deal pipeline and hiring growth, but notes concerns around the European economic situation and currency movements. The stock is recommended as an "Accumulate" with a target price of Rs. 920.
HUL reported an 8.2% year-over-year increase in top-line revenue that was in-line with estimates. However, recurring earnings declined 23% due to margin contraction from higher advertising spending and a higher tax rate. Volume growth was positive at 11% but competitive pressures remained high, particularly in core categories like soaps and detergents. While reported earnings grew 47% due to one-time items, recurring earnings fell short of estimates due to margin pressure and taxes. The company maintained its neutral outlook on the stock.
Jyoti Structures reported a 20.3% year-over-year growth in net profit to Rs. 25 crores for the fourth quarter of FY2010, slightly below estimates. Operating margins expanded more than expected by 235 basis points to 12.8% due to lower raw material costs. For the full year, net profit grew 15.3% to Rs. 92 crores on sales of Rs. 2,006 crores. The company maintained its buy recommendation with a target price of Rs. 215, citing the large investments planned for power transmission and the company's position as a top player in the industry.
Mphasis reported 4.8% quarter-over-quarter revenue growth to Rs. 1,279 crore for 3QFY2010. The company saw mixed performance, with strong volume growth in application and ITO segments, but steep pricing cuts of 9.6% in applications. Margins declined slightly due to pricing changes and salary hikes, but were supported by restructuring in BPO and cost optimization in ITO. Revenue was driven by financial services, technology, and healthcare verticals, while telecom declined due to client issues. The company added 22 new clients spanning industries and saw improved wallet share with existing clients.
Bajaj Electricals reported a 19.3% year-over-year increase in quarterly revenue to Rs. 784 crore, slightly ahead of estimates. Revenue growth was driven primarily by the consumer durables division which saw 35.6% growth. However, net profit declined 21.1% to Rs. 37 crore due to additional taxes and a loan write-off. The company maintained a strong order backlog of Rs. 932 crore. While growth outlook remains positive, the analyst maintains a neutral rating given the recent run-up in stock price and expects the stock to trade around 10-12 times estimated earnings.
Bharat Forge (BFL) reported a 92.8% year-over-year growth in standalone net sales for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2010, exceeding expectations. Operating margins improved substantially to 22.8% due to lower raw material costs and operating leverage. BFL recorded a net profit of Rs. 61.3 crore for the quarter, above estimates. At the consolidated level, BFL reported a 46.7% year-over-year increase in revenues for the fourth quarter and completed the process of restructuring its global subsidiaries.
HUL reported disappointing 1QFY2011 results, with profits declining 4% due to a 34% rise in advertising spending. While revenue grew 7% driven by 11% volume growth, operating margins contracted significantly by 289 basis points. Higher competitive intensity in categories like detergents and soaps drove the increase in advertising. Weak profit growth and uncertain earnings outlook despite modest revenue growth lead us to maintain a reduce rating on the stock.
McNally Bharat Engineering reported strong growth in 4QFY2010, with sales and profit growth of 19% and 142% respectively, ahead of estimates. This was driven by higher EBITDA margins and lower interest costs. For the full year, standalone sales grew 50% and EBITDA margins improved 80 basis points. Going forward, the company is well positioned for robust growth over the next few years due to its large order backlog of 2.6 times FY2010 revenue. The analyst maintains a 'Buy' recommendation with a revised target price of Rs486.
TCS reported strong financial results for the 1QFY2011 quarter that exceeded analyst estimates. Revenue grew 6.2% quarter-over-quarter to Rs. 8,217 crore, driven by an 8.1% increase in business volumes. Operating margins declined slightly due to wage increases and currency fluctuations impacting costs. Net profit declined 5.3% due to higher foreign exchange losses and taxes. The analyst maintains a positive outlook due to TCS's strong deal pipeline and hiring growth, but notes concerns around the European economic situation and currency movements. The stock is recommended as an "Accumulate" with a target price of Rs. 920.
HUL reported an 8.2% year-over-year increase in top-line revenue that was in-line with estimates. However, recurring earnings declined 23% due to margin contraction from higher advertising spending and a higher tax rate. Volume growth was positive at 11% but competitive pressures remained high, particularly in core categories like soaps and detergents. While reported earnings grew 47% due to one-time items, recurring earnings fell short of estimates due to margin pressure and taxes. The company maintained its neutral outlook on the stock.
Jyoti Structures reported a 20.3% year-over-year growth in net profit to Rs. 25 crores for the fourth quarter of FY2010, slightly below estimates. Operating margins expanded more than expected by 235 basis points to 12.8% due to lower raw material costs. For the full year, net profit grew 15.3% to Rs. 92 crores on sales of Rs. 2,006 crores. The company maintained its buy recommendation with a target price of Rs. 215, citing the large investments planned for power transmission and the company's position as a top player in the industry.
Mphasis reported 4.8% quarter-over-quarter revenue growth to Rs. 1,279 crore for 3QFY2010. The company saw mixed performance, with strong volume growth in application and ITO segments, but steep pricing cuts of 9.6% in applications. Margins declined slightly due to pricing changes and salary hikes, but were supported by restructuring in BPO and cost optimization in ITO. Revenue was driven by financial services, technology, and healthcare verticals, while telecom declined due to client issues. The company added 22 new clients spanning industries and saw improved wallet share with existing clients.
BHEL reported strong results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011, with revenues growing 16% and profits growing 42% over the same quarter last year. The bottom line growth was driven by lower raw material costs and improved operating efficiencies. While revenue growth was moderate, earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization grew substantially due to a 350 basis point expansion in operating margins. Management has guided that order inflows for the full fiscal year will be between Rs58,000-60,000 crore and the order backlog remains robust at Rs148,000 crore as of the end of the quarter. However, competition is increasing in the power equipment market, which could limit BHEL's ability
Balaji Telefilms posted disappointing quarterly results, with its top-line declining 32% year-over-year and 14% quarter-over-quarter due to a decrease in total programming hours as three shows went off air. While average programming rates increased sequentially, the company reported an operating loss for the quarter. Going forward, the company expects financial performance to remain under pressure due to low visibility in its programming slate and reduced programming hours.
For 1QCY2010, Bosch India reported a 58.6% year-over-year growth in net sales to Rs1,596cr due to 65% growth in the auto segment and 25.4% growth in other businesses. EBITDA margins increased by 892 basis points to 19.1% due to a decline in other expenditures. Net profit spiked 310% to Rs203cr. Bosch expects continued growth in the commercial vehicle and tractor segments. The company is forecast to report EPS of Rs236.7 and Rs268.7 for CY2010E and CY2011E, respectively.
McNally Bharat Engineering Co. Ltd. (MBE) reported disappointing financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011, with revenues, earnings, and margins coming in below previous estimates. While MBE's order backlog remains strong at Rs. 4,803 crores, providing high revenue visibility, its subsidiary McNally Sayaji also saw subdued performance. However, analysts maintain a 'Buy' recommendation due to MBE's experience in various sectors, ongoing government infrastructure spending, and significant projected market opportunities over the next few years totaling Rs. 51,600 crores. Estimates have been revised downward to account for the weak quarterly performance.
Infosys reported a 4.3% quarter-over-quarter growth in revenues to Rs. 6,198 crore for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011, backed by a 7.6% growth in volumes. However, earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) margins fell by 1.8% due to annual wage hikes. Infosys revised its fiscal year 2011 revenue growth guidance upwards from 16-18% to 19-21% in rupee terms and maintained its earnings per share growth guidance of 7.2-11.5%. The growth was broad-based across services and verticals led by the banking, financial services and insurance sector.
Dabur reported a 16% year-over-year growth in top-line revenue for the fourth quarter of FY2010, below estimates. Earnings grew 30% year-over-year, above estimates, driven by higher gross margins and lower expenses. While top-line growth was lower than expected, strong operating performance from margin expansion led to earnings beating estimates. Going forward, the company expects input costs to remain low, though it maintains a neutral outlook on the stock given its recent run-up in price.
HT Media reported strong results for 1QFY2011 with revenues growing 22% year-over-year to Rs. 402.8 crore, driven by growth in advertising, circulation, radio, and internet revenues. Operating profits grew 55% to Rs. 78.6 crore due to a 410 basis point expansion in operating margins to 19.5% on the back of a 520 basis point increase in gross margins. Net profits increased 43.5% to Rs. 40.2 crore despite a rise in taxes and fall in other income, aided by top-line growth and lower interest costs. The company continued to see traction in its new businesses such as radio and internet.
MPL Result Update 4qfy2010-030510-finalAngel Broking
Madhucon Projects reported disappointing results for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2010 that were below expectations. While revenue grew robustly due to higher subcontracting in the power segment, operating margins hit a historical low of 6.4% due to the heavy subcontracting. The analyst maintains a "Buy" rating but lowers the target price to Rs. 190 per share based on revised estimates factoring in lower margins and a higher holding company discount applied to the valuation of Madhucon Infra subsidiary. Near-term revenue visibility comes from existing power segment orders but margins are expected to remain under pressure from ongoing subcontracting.
Exide Industries reported a 35.1% increase in net profit for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011. Net sales grew 27.5% due to a substantial increase in both original equipment and replacement auto battery sales. While raw material costs increased, operating margins improved on a quarter-over-quarter basis due to a decline in other expenditures and average lead prices. The analyst maintains an "Accumulate" rating for Exide Industries due to reasonable valuations and expectations for continued double-digit revenue and earnings growth over the next two fiscal years.
BGR Energy Systems reported a very strong 4QFY2010 performance, with revenues growing 130.7% and net profit up 130.6% over the previous year. For the full year, revenues grew 59.7% and net profit increased 74.7%. The company maintained a healthy order backlog of Rs10,230cr and expects continued growth in orders. The analyst maintains a Buy recommendation on the stock with a target price of Rs722, noting attractive valuation multiples and expecting revenue and profit to grow at 36.7% and 31.2% CAGR over the next few years.
GIPCL posted a 23.1% year-over-year increase in net profit to Rs36cr for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2010, in line with estimates. The growth was aided by a 15.5% decline in fuel costs due to increased gas availability and lower interest and tax expenses. While net sales declined 12.4% to Rs254cr, operating profit fell 13.3% to Rs62cr. The company maintained its expansion plans and guidance. At a share price of Rs110, GIPCL is trading at an attractive valuation compared to its peers.
Exide Industries reported a 35.1% increase in net profit for 1QFY2011 compared to the previous year. Net sales grew 27.5% year-over-year to Rs1,152 crore, exceeding estimates. Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margins improved from the previous quarter due to a decline in other expenditures. The analyst maintains an "Accumulate" rating for Exide Industries due to reasonable valuations and expects net sales and profit to grow annually over the next two years.
SAIL's 4QFY2010 results were in line with estimates. Revenues grew 1.8% to Rs11,955cr due to higher sales volumes and average realization. EBITDA margins expanded significantly to 25.9% due to lower raw material costs and consumption, leading to a 40.2% rise in net income to Rs2,085cr. While demand is expected to remain strong, the company maintains a neutral outlook given rich valuations and plans for a public offering limiting further upside.
- Greenply Industries reported higher-than-estimated 1QFY2011 results, with net sales growing 47.7% year-over-year to Rs262 crore, driven by capacity expansion and higher utilization.
- EBITDA grew 28.6% to Rs31 crore, though EBITDA margin contracted 174 basis points to 11.7% due to higher raw material costs.
- Net profit declined 4.9% to Rs10 crore due to increased depreciation and interest expenses from a new plant.
HCL Technologies reported quarterly revenue growth of 1.4% sequentially and 7.5% year-over-year, driven by an 8.2% increase in billed efforts that offset a 1.2% decline in pricing and currency impact. Operating profit grew 1% sequentially due to a ramp-down in the BPO segment. Net profit increased 15.9% sequentially due to lower foreign exchange losses. The company added 2,441 employees during the quarter and won several large deals. Margins declined due to currency appreciation and increased hiring but profitability is expected to be sustained going forward.
Wipro reported financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011, with revenues growing 3.1% over the previous quarter and 12.6% over the same quarter last year. Operating profit margins expanded due to effective currency hedges, and net income grew 9% over the previous quarter and 30.5% over the first quarter of fiscal year 2010. The company's performance was driven by strong volume growth in IT services revenues, with new client additions and large deal wins during the quarter. The analyst maintained an "Accumulate" rating on Wipro stock, with a target price representing 13% upside.
Asian Paints reported strong quarterly results that beat estimates. Revenue grew 25% year-over-year to Rs. 1,830 crore, driven by 18-20% volume growth and 2-3% price-led growth. Earnings grew 26% to Rs. 222 crore due to operating leverage, although gross margins contracted due to rising input costs. The analyst maintains an Accumulate rating and revised target price of Rs. 2,773, expecting sustained 15.5% volume growth, price hikes of 8%, and operating margins around 18%.
Essel Propack's 5QFY2010 results were below expectations due to lower EBITDA margins, higher tax rates, and slow customer off-take. However, the company remained profitable due to cost-cutting and higher contributions from high-margin products and geographies. While sales declined 7% year-over-year, sales excluding medical products grew 10%. The European division significantly reduced losses. The analyst maintains a 'Buy' rating with a revised target price of Rs58.
Infosys reported strong revenue growth of 12.1% quarter-over-quarter for 2QFY2011, driven by persistent volume growth of 7.2% and better business mix. Operating margins rebounded to 33.3% from cost efficiencies. The company revised its FY2011 revenue guidance upwards to 24-25% growth and EPS growth to 10.4-12.2% in US dollar terms. Broad-based growth was seen across industries like retail, BFSI, and manufacturing as well as geographies like Europe and the US. Hiring continued to be strong though utilisation improved.
HUL reported a 10.7% rise in revenue to Rs. 4,681 crore for the quarter, driven by a 14% increase in volume growth. However, operating profit declined 7.8% to Rs. 563.1 crore due to a 242 basis point drop in operating margin to 12%. Recurring profit fell 6.7% to Rs. 525.7 crore despite an 82% jump in other income, on account of margin contraction and a 790 basis point rise in taxes. Volume growth was strong across categories like soaps, detergents and personal care, though profitability was impacted by higher overheads and competitive intensity in detergents.
This document summarizes a derivative report from India Research dated July 13, 2011. Some key points:
- The Nifty futures open interest increased 0.51% while Minifty futures open interest rose 8.2% as the market closed at 5526.15.
- Implied volatility of at-the-money options increased from 18% to 19.75%. PCR-OI decreased from 1.20 to 1.15.
- Total open interest of the market is Rs. 125,816 crore and stock futures open interest is Rs. 33,500 crore.
- FII were net sellers of Rs. 969 crore in the cash market segment. Put-call
The market summary provides an overview of the day's trading activity in the Indian stock market. Key indices like Nifty and Sensex opened flat but declined through the day, closing down 0.69% and 0.71% respectively. Top gainers were led by BPCL at 4.73% gain, while top losers were led by HCLTECH at 2.72% loss. Metals and IT sectors underperformed, falling 1.9% and 1.24% respectively. The report analyzes technical indicators and suggests the market may see further consolidation or minor correction if key support levels are broken.
BHEL reported strong results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011, with revenues growing 16% and profits growing 42% over the same quarter last year. The bottom line growth was driven by lower raw material costs and improved operating efficiencies. While revenue growth was moderate, earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization grew substantially due to a 350 basis point expansion in operating margins. Management has guided that order inflows for the full fiscal year will be between Rs58,000-60,000 crore and the order backlog remains robust at Rs148,000 crore as of the end of the quarter. However, competition is increasing in the power equipment market, which could limit BHEL's ability
Balaji Telefilms posted disappointing quarterly results, with its top-line declining 32% year-over-year and 14% quarter-over-quarter due to a decrease in total programming hours as three shows went off air. While average programming rates increased sequentially, the company reported an operating loss for the quarter. Going forward, the company expects financial performance to remain under pressure due to low visibility in its programming slate and reduced programming hours.
For 1QCY2010, Bosch India reported a 58.6% year-over-year growth in net sales to Rs1,596cr due to 65% growth in the auto segment and 25.4% growth in other businesses. EBITDA margins increased by 892 basis points to 19.1% due to a decline in other expenditures. Net profit spiked 310% to Rs203cr. Bosch expects continued growth in the commercial vehicle and tractor segments. The company is forecast to report EPS of Rs236.7 and Rs268.7 for CY2010E and CY2011E, respectively.
McNally Bharat Engineering Co. Ltd. (MBE) reported disappointing financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011, with revenues, earnings, and margins coming in below previous estimates. While MBE's order backlog remains strong at Rs. 4,803 crores, providing high revenue visibility, its subsidiary McNally Sayaji also saw subdued performance. However, analysts maintain a 'Buy' recommendation due to MBE's experience in various sectors, ongoing government infrastructure spending, and significant projected market opportunities over the next few years totaling Rs. 51,600 crores. Estimates have been revised downward to account for the weak quarterly performance.
Infosys reported a 4.3% quarter-over-quarter growth in revenues to Rs. 6,198 crore for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011, backed by a 7.6% growth in volumes. However, earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) margins fell by 1.8% due to annual wage hikes. Infosys revised its fiscal year 2011 revenue growth guidance upwards from 16-18% to 19-21% in rupee terms and maintained its earnings per share growth guidance of 7.2-11.5%. The growth was broad-based across services and verticals led by the banking, financial services and insurance sector.
Dabur reported a 16% year-over-year growth in top-line revenue for the fourth quarter of FY2010, below estimates. Earnings grew 30% year-over-year, above estimates, driven by higher gross margins and lower expenses. While top-line growth was lower than expected, strong operating performance from margin expansion led to earnings beating estimates. Going forward, the company expects input costs to remain low, though it maintains a neutral outlook on the stock given its recent run-up in price.
HT Media reported strong results for 1QFY2011 with revenues growing 22% year-over-year to Rs. 402.8 crore, driven by growth in advertising, circulation, radio, and internet revenues. Operating profits grew 55% to Rs. 78.6 crore due to a 410 basis point expansion in operating margins to 19.5% on the back of a 520 basis point increase in gross margins. Net profits increased 43.5% to Rs. 40.2 crore despite a rise in taxes and fall in other income, aided by top-line growth and lower interest costs. The company continued to see traction in its new businesses such as radio and internet.
MPL Result Update 4qfy2010-030510-finalAngel Broking
Madhucon Projects reported disappointing results for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2010 that were below expectations. While revenue grew robustly due to higher subcontracting in the power segment, operating margins hit a historical low of 6.4% due to the heavy subcontracting. The analyst maintains a "Buy" rating but lowers the target price to Rs. 190 per share based on revised estimates factoring in lower margins and a higher holding company discount applied to the valuation of Madhucon Infra subsidiary. Near-term revenue visibility comes from existing power segment orders but margins are expected to remain under pressure from ongoing subcontracting.
Exide Industries reported a 35.1% increase in net profit for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011. Net sales grew 27.5% due to a substantial increase in both original equipment and replacement auto battery sales. While raw material costs increased, operating margins improved on a quarter-over-quarter basis due to a decline in other expenditures and average lead prices. The analyst maintains an "Accumulate" rating for Exide Industries due to reasonable valuations and expectations for continued double-digit revenue and earnings growth over the next two fiscal years.
BGR Energy Systems reported a very strong 4QFY2010 performance, with revenues growing 130.7% and net profit up 130.6% over the previous year. For the full year, revenues grew 59.7% and net profit increased 74.7%. The company maintained a healthy order backlog of Rs10,230cr and expects continued growth in orders. The analyst maintains a Buy recommendation on the stock with a target price of Rs722, noting attractive valuation multiples and expecting revenue and profit to grow at 36.7% and 31.2% CAGR over the next few years.
GIPCL posted a 23.1% year-over-year increase in net profit to Rs36cr for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2010, in line with estimates. The growth was aided by a 15.5% decline in fuel costs due to increased gas availability and lower interest and tax expenses. While net sales declined 12.4% to Rs254cr, operating profit fell 13.3% to Rs62cr. The company maintained its expansion plans and guidance. At a share price of Rs110, GIPCL is trading at an attractive valuation compared to its peers.
Exide Industries reported a 35.1% increase in net profit for 1QFY2011 compared to the previous year. Net sales grew 27.5% year-over-year to Rs1,152 crore, exceeding estimates. Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margins improved from the previous quarter due to a decline in other expenditures. The analyst maintains an "Accumulate" rating for Exide Industries due to reasonable valuations and expects net sales and profit to grow annually over the next two years.
SAIL's 4QFY2010 results were in line with estimates. Revenues grew 1.8% to Rs11,955cr due to higher sales volumes and average realization. EBITDA margins expanded significantly to 25.9% due to lower raw material costs and consumption, leading to a 40.2% rise in net income to Rs2,085cr. While demand is expected to remain strong, the company maintains a neutral outlook given rich valuations and plans for a public offering limiting further upside.
- Greenply Industries reported higher-than-estimated 1QFY2011 results, with net sales growing 47.7% year-over-year to Rs262 crore, driven by capacity expansion and higher utilization.
- EBITDA grew 28.6% to Rs31 crore, though EBITDA margin contracted 174 basis points to 11.7% due to higher raw material costs.
- Net profit declined 4.9% to Rs10 crore due to increased depreciation and interest expenses from a new plant.
HCL Technologies reported quarterly revenue growth of 1.4% sequentially and 7.5% year-over-year, driven by an 8.2% increase in billed efforts that offset a 1.2% decline in pricing and currency impact. Operating profit grew 1% sequentially due to a ramp-down in the BPO segment. Net profit increased 15.9% sequentially due to lower foreign exchange losses. The company added 2,441 employees during the quarter and won several large deals. Margins declined due to currency appreciation and increased hiring but profitability is expected to be sustained going forward.
Wipro reported financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011, with revenues growing 3.1% over the previous quarter and 12.6% over the same quarter last year. Operating profit margins expanded due to effective currency hedges, and net income grew 9% over the previous quarter and 30.5% over the first quarter of fiscal year 2010. The company's performance was driven by strong volume growth in IT services revenues, with new client additions and large deal wins during the quarter. The analyst maintained an "Accumulate" rating on Wipro stock, with a target price representing 13% upside.
Asian Paints reported strong quarterly results that beat estimates. Revenue grew 25% year-over-year to Rs. 1,830 crore, driven by 18-20% volume growth and 2-3% price-led growth. Earnings grew 26% to Rs. 222 crore due to operating leverage, although gross margins contracted due to rising input costs. The analyst maintains an Accumulate rating and revised target price of Rs. 2,773, expecting sustained 15.5% volume growth, price hikes of 8%, and operating margins around 18%.
Essel Propack's 5QFY2010 results were below expectations due to lower EBITDA margins, higher tax rates, and slow customer off-take. However, the company remained profitable due to cost-cutting and higher contributions from high-margin products and geographies. While sales declined 7% year-over-year, sales excluding medical products grew 10%. The European division significantly reduced losses. The analyst maintains a 'Buy' rating with a revised target price of Rs58.
Infosys reported strong revenue growth of 12.1% quarter-over-quarter for 2QFY2011, driven by persistent volume growth of 7.2% and better business mix. Operating margins rebounded to 33.3% from cost efficiencies. The company revised its FY2011 revenue guidance upwards to 24-25% growth and EPS growth to 10.4-12.2% in US dollar terms. Broad-based growth was seen across industries like retail, BFSI, and manufacturing as well as geographies like Europe and the US. Hiring continued to be strong though utilisation improved.
HUL reported a 10.7% rise in revenue to Rs. 4,681 crore for the quarter, driven by a 14% increase in volume growth. However, operating profit declined 7.8% to Rs. 563.1 crore due to a 242 basis point drop in operating margin to 12%. Recurring profit fell 6.7% to Rs. 525.7 crore despite an 82% jump in other income, on account of margin contraction and a 790 basis point rise in taxes. Volume growth was strong across categories like soaps, detergents and personal care, though profitability was impacted by higher overheads and competitive intensity in detergents.
This document summarizes a derivative report from India Research dated July 13, 2011. Some key points:
- The Nifty futures open interest increased 0.51% while Minifty futures open interest rose 8.2% as the market closed at 5526.15.
- Implied volatility of at-the-money options increased from 18% to 19.75%. PCR-OI decreased from 1.20 to 1.15.
- Total open interest of the market is Rs. 125,816 crore and stock futures open interest is Rs. 33,500 crore.
- FII were net sellers of Rs. 969 crore in the cash market segment. Put-call
The market summary provides an overview of the day's trading activity in the Indian stock market. Key indices like Nifty and Sensex opened flat but declined through the day, closing down 0.69% and 0.71% respectively. Top gainers were led by BPCL at 4.73% gain, while top losers were led by HCLTECH at 2.72% loss. Metals and IT sectors underperformed, falling 1.9% and 1.24% respectively. The report analyzes technical indicators and suggests the market may see further consolidation or minor correction if key support levels are broken.
- The open interest in Nifty futures increased by 6.94% while Minifty futures open interest decreased by 9.56% as the market closed at 5987.70 levels. Nifty November futures closed at a premium of 76.25 points.
- FIIs were net sellers in the index futures, stock futures, and cash market segments totaling Rs 950 crore. Put-call ratios for Nifty and other stocks decreased.
- Technical recommendations were given to trade HDFCBANK with a target price of Rs 2350 and JINDALSAW with a target price of Rs 228 based on chart analysis.
Godrej Consumer Products reported results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011. While revenue grew strongly by 47% due to recent acquisitions, recurring earnings grew only 9% due to margin contraction, higher interest costs, and increased taxes. Domestic revenue excluding recent acquisitions declined 7% as sales of soaps fell 9% due to high bases and inventory destocking, while hair color sales grew only 4%. The company upgraded its outlook for the stock to "Buy" based on strong future earnings growth prospects.
The key Indian indices gained around 1.8-1.9% boosted by positive global cues and sustained buying by foreign institutional investors. Auto and capital goods stocks witnessed strong buying, while mid and small cap indices also rose about 1.1% each. The market closed at one-week highs led by gains in Bharti Airtel, Hindalco, ITC and L&T.
The summary is:
1) The derivative report analyzes the performance of the Nifty futures, options, and key stocks from the previous trading session on July 18, 2011.
2) It provides details on changes in open interest, premium levels, volatility, and turnover for various derivatives contracts.
3) Trading strategies and technical analysis is also given for some stocks along with risk-reward profiles of sample spreads trades for the Nifty.
CESC reported a 33.7% year-over-year growth in revenue for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011, driven by the commissioning of its new 250MW Budge-Budge power plant. However, operating margins declined from the previous quarter due to a 90.6% year-over-year increase in other expenses. While revenue beat estimates, net profit growth was moderate at 4.8% year-over-year due to higher expenditure, growing at a faster pace than revenues. The company continues construction on its 600MW Chandrapur and Haldia power projects.
Bajaj Electricals reported a 35.2% year-over-year growth in net sales for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011, driven by strong growth in lighting and consumer durables. However, operating margins declined to 8.4% from 10% in the previous year due to higher raw material costs. Net profit increased 37.3% despite a decline in operating margins, aided by lower interest costs. Management expects sales growth of over 20% for fiscal year 2011 but anticipates pressure on margins to continue in the next quarter before improving in the second half of the year.
The document provides an analysis of Consolidated Construction Consortium's (CCCL) 4QFY2010 results and outlook. Some key points:
- CCCL reported 33.2% revenue growth for 4QFY2010 inline with estimates, but order inflow for FY2010 was below expectations at Rs2,166cr.
- The company's current order book stands at Rs3,392cr, providing 1.4x revenue visibility for FY2011, which is lower than peers.
- The analyst expects 19.2% revenue CAGR for CCCL over FY2010-2012 on the back of its order book and recovery in private capex.
- C
BGR Energy Systems reported strong results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011. Revenue grew 191% year-over-year to Rs. 905 crore, driven by execution of EPC projects. Net profit increased 205.6% to Rs. 61 crore. Margins were compressed due to higher raw material costs but execution of large EPC contracts provides good revenue visibility. The company maintains its neutral rating on BGR Energy Systems due to its order backlog, transformation into a full EPC provider through potential JV with Hitachi, and growth opportunities in the power sector.
Bharat Forge reported strong results for 1QFY2011 with net sales growing 75.7% year-over-year to Rs 630.1 crore, beating estimates. Operating margins improved significantly to 25.2% due to lower raw material costs and higher utilization levels. Net profit was Rs 59.4 crore, exceeding expectations due to improved volumes and operating leverage. The analyst recommends accumulating the stock given the better-than-expected performance and revised upward estimates.
ITC posted strong quarterly results with top-line growth of 28% above estimates, driven by growth in cigarettes, agriculture, and non-cigarette FMCG. However, earnings growth was below estimates at 27% due to margin contraction from lower margins in agriculture. Cigarette volumes grew around 8-9% while margins expanded. The analyst maintains an accumulate rating and revises estimates upward to reflect stronger non-cigarette revenue and lower losses, while maintaining cigarette growth outlook.
Ashok Leyland reported a 141.3% year-over-year growth in net sales to Rs2,939 crore for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2010, in line with expectations. Net profit grew 317.6% year-over-year to Rs222.7 crore, higher than expected due to better operating margins and a change in depreciation policy. Operating margins increased 345 basis points due to price hikes, lower raw material prices, and cost reduction efforts. The company expects commercial vehicle industry volumes to grow 15-18% in fiscal year 2011.
HUL reported an 8.2% year-over-year increase in top-line revenue that was in-line with estimates. However, recurring earnings declined 23% due to margin contraction from higher advertising spending and a higher tax rate. Volume growth was positive at 11% but competitive pressures remained high, particularly in core categories like soaps and detergents. While reported earnings grew 47% aided by one-time items, recurring earnings fell short of estimates due to margin pressure and taxes. The company maintained its neutral outlook on the stock.
Consolidated Construction Consortium (CCCL) reported net sales of Rs.508 crore for 1QFY2011, in line with expectations. Operating margins of 8.3% and net profits of Rs.18.8 crore were also as expected. Order inflows grew 152% year-over-year to Rs.1,706 crore, indicating a revival in commercial and infrastructure segments. CCCL maintains an order backlog of Rs.4,527 crore, providing visibility for the next few years. While margins and profits met estimates this quarter, analysts maintain an 'Accumulate' rating given strong order backlog and expected 20% earnings growth over FY2010-12.
1. GSK Consumer reported a robust 20.3% year-over-year growth in top-line to Rs648cr, beating estimates due to higher volumes, prices, and lower excise duty. However, margins contracted 149 basis points to 20.5% as the company reinvested gains into higher advertising.
2. Bottom-line growth was 14.6% year-over-year to Rs96cr, below expectations due to margin pressure and lower other income.
3. The analyst maintains a Neutral rating as valuations remain high despite revising estimates marginally upward, leaving little upside potential.
1. GSK Consumer reported a robust 20.3% year-over-year growth in top-line to Rs648cr, beating estimates due to higher volumes, prices, and lower excise duty. However, margins contracted 149 basis points to 20.5% as the company reinvested gains into higher advertising.
2. Bottom-line growth was 14.6% year-over-year to Rs96cr, below expectations due to margin pressure and lower other income.
3. The analyst maintains a Neutral rating as valuations remain high despite revising estimates marginally upward, leaving little upside potential.
Tata Motors reported strong results for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2010. Consolidated net sales were up 84.6% year-over-year to Rs. 28,978 crore, driven by higher other income and improved performance at subsidiaries like Jaguar Land Rover. Operating profit was Rs. 3,135 crore compared to an operating loss in the prior year. Net profit increased significantly to Rs. 2,228 crore from Rs. 316 crore in 4QFY2009, benefiting from cost cutting measures and higher other income. The results were above expectations due to the company's aggressive cost reductions and good turnaround at key subsidiaries.
HCL Technologies reported an 11.4% quarter-over-quarter revenue growth for the fourth quarter of FY2010, driven by a 10% volume growth. However, margins contracted due to lower utilization rates, currency impacts, and higher spending. While revenue grew, net profit declined slightly due to higher foreign exchange losses. Going forward, the company expects salary increases to impact margins in the first quarter of FY2011 but aims to offset this through operational improvements.
3i Infotech reported subdued quarterly results with a 1.4% increase in revenue. EBITDA margins declined slightly despite a 10% wage hike. The bottom line declined from the previous quarter due to higher costs and taxes, though it improved year-over-year. The company maintained its full-year revenue guidance, expecting growth of 11-14% driven by a strong order backlog. While initiatives to boost integrated offerings are expected to drive long-term growth, margins may be pressured in the near-term from operational investments. The report maintains a Buy recommendation based on a revised target price implying a 6x forward P/E multiple.
For the fourth quarter of 2010, TVS Motor reported net sales of Rs. 1,216 crore, up 33.7% year-over-year due to a 27.8% increase in volumes and 8.7% increase in realizations. Operating margins expanded 118 basis points due to a 416 basis point drop in raw material costs. Net profit was Rs. 20.3 crore, up 38.9% year-over-year. Going forward, TVS Motor expects to improve market share following new product launches but faces competitive pressures. The analyst maintains a neutral rating due to recent stock price appreciation and TVS Motor's inconsistent performance history.
Idea Cellular reported strong revenue growth of 22.8% year-over-year for the first quarter of FY2011, however margins declined. While revenue was ahead of estimates due to increased mobile usage and subscribers, earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) margins fell 4.6% from the prior year due to higher operational costs. Net profit declined 32.2% from the prior year and 24.5% sequentially. The analyst maintains a "Reduce" rating on Idea Cellular shares and sets a target price of Rs58.
Tech Mahindra reported a 4.2% quarter-over-quarter decline in revenue for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011, which was attributed to adverse currency movements and slower client decision making. The company's profitability declined as well, with earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margins contracting 480 basis points and net income declining 36.4% compared to the previous quarter. However, revenue grew 1.9% year-over-year and management expects growth to be led by strong volume increases from large transformational deals in the pipeline. While the outlook remains positive, uncertainties around currency fluctuations and aggressive hiring could pressure margins going forward.
Crompton Greaves reported a 4.7% year-over-year increase in consolidated sales to Rs. 2,302 crores for the first quarter of FY2011. EBITDA grew 19.8% to Rs. 297 crores due to lower expenses and improved operational efficiencies. Net profit increased 19.5% to Rs. 190.8 crores. The consumer products and industrial systems segments saw robust growth, while the power systems segment remained weak with a 1.9% sales decline. Going forward, the company expects its power systems segment, which accounts for 63% of revenue, to drive growth as massive capacity expansion in the power sector provides investment opportunities in transmission and distribution.
PTC India reported a 5.4% year-over-year increase in top-line for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2010, however bottom-line declined 10.7% due to a 26.5% reduction in other income and a 39.2% rise in taxes. While sales volumes grew 46.7% year-over-year, average realizations declined 28% due to falling power prices. Operating profit increased 120.1% on a 40 basis point expansion in margins. The analyst maintains a buy recommendation based on an expected positive impact from new trading margin regulations and a fair value estimate of Rs136 per share.
The Indian markets are expected to open higher, tracking gains in most Asian markets. Spain has asked for a bailout of up to €100 billion for its banking system. Chinese exports grew more than expected in May. In India, shares extended gains for a fifth session despite weak global cues as major central banks held off on additional stimulus. The key support and resistance levels for the Nifty are 5,023 and 5,114 respectively. L&T has bagged orders worth Rs. 483 crore to build commercial vessels in Qatar. Vedanta Resources has acquired a 24.5% stake in Raykal Aluminium for Rs. 201 crore.
Axis Bank reported a 27.0% year-over-year increase in net profit to Rs. 942 crore for the first quarter of fiscal year 2012, in line with analyst estimates. Business growth momentum slowed as advances declined 7.4% quarter-over-quarter and deposits fell 3.0% quarter-over-quarter, moderating the bank's cash-deposit ratio to 40.5% from 41.1% last quarter. However, asset quality remained healthy with slippage ratio declining to 0.8% and gross and net NPA ratios stable.
1) For 1QFY2012, Electrosteel Castings reported 16.4% sales growth but margins declined due to higher raw material costs. EBITDA fell 18.2% and net profit declined 7.2%.
2) While sales volumes grew, costs increased more due to a rise in raw material costs as a percentage of sales.
3) The company maintains a buy recommendation due to initiatives in steelmaking and backward integration that should lower costs starting in FY2013 and valuation remains attractive.
1) For 1QFY2012, Persistent Systems reported revenues of ₹224 crore, up 5.2% over the previous quarter and 23.6% over the same period last year.
2) EBITDA was ₹40 crore, up 5.3% over the previous quarter but margins declined.
3) PAT was ₹28 crore, down 16.8% over the previous quarter due to higher taxes.
4) Management maintained revenue guidance of 29% growth for FY2012 and expects PAT to remain flat despite higher tax rates.
HT Media reported a 22.7% year-over-year increase in revenue to ₹494 crore for the first quarter of FY2012. Revenue was also up 5.8% quarter-over-quarter. Advertising revenue grew 17% year-over-year, with 18% growth in English and 15% growth in Hindi. Operating profit rose 11.8% year-over-year to ₹87.8 crore due to higher other income and lower tax rates, although operating margins contracted by 174 basis points. The company maintained its Accumulate rating based on expectations of continued revenue growth and margin expansion.
The market ended lower, with the Sensex and Nifty closing down 0.3%. Mid- and small-cap indices closed higher. Select heavyweights like Hindalco Industries and BHEL gained 1-3%, while TCS and Tata Motors lost 1-2%. In corporate news, Motherson Sumi Systems agreed to acquire an 80% stake in Peguform for €141.5 million. HDFC Bank, Cadila Healthcare, Crompton Greaves, and Ashok Leyland are scheduled to announce their quarterly results. The trend for the day will be decided by whether Nifty trades above or below the levels of 18,533/5,572 in early trade.
- GSM subscriber additions in India continued their declining trend in June 2011, with net additions of 9.6 million, down 10% from the previous month.
- All major operators except BSNL reported a drop in subscriber additions. Bharti and Vodafone each added 2.1 million subscribers.
- The total GSM subscriber base reached 598.8 million in June 2011, with Bharti, Vodafone, Idea and BSNL maintaining their major market shares.
The document provides a technical analysis of the Indian stock market indices Sensex and Nifty for the week of July 16, 2011. It summarizes that the indices declined over 1.5% for the week and are currently trading in a range between 18,326/5496 on the downside and 19,132/5740 on the upside. It notes that a break above or below this range would dictate the direction of the upcoming trend. The analysis also lists pivot levels for 50 Nifty stocks to watch in the coming week.
The document provides a summary of derivative market activity in India for July 18, 2011. Key points include:
- Nifty futures open interest increased 0.67% while Mini Nifty increased 3.48% as the market closed at 5581.10
- Nifty July futures closed at a premium of 5.85 points and August futures at a premium of 22.60 points
- Implied volatility of at-the-money options decreased from 18% to 17.3%
- Total open interest in the market was Rs. 135,158 crore with stock futures open interest at Rs. 34,675 crore.
The indices opened flat but traded choppily throughout the day. Metal, auto and realty stocks declined while IT stocks gained. The indices are currently trading in a range between 18,326-18,810/5496-5653 on the downside and 19,132-19,094/5740-5700 on the upside. A break above these resistance levels could lead to further gains while a break below support could result in losses extending to 17,805-17,950/5350-5400. Pivot levels for 50 Nifty stocks are provided.
- The key Indian stock indices declined slightly, with the Sensex and Nifty closing down 0.3%.
- GSM subscriber additions in India continued their declining trend in June across most major operators such as Idea, Bharti Airtel, and Vodafone. Total GSM subscriber addition was 9.6 million, down 10% from the previous month.
- Tata Motors reported flat annual global sales growth in June 2011 compared to the previous year.
- South Indian Bank reported a 41.2% year-over-year increase in net profit to Rs. 82 crores for the first quarter of fiscal year 2012, slightly below analyst estimates.
- Business growth remained strong, with advances growth of 31.2% and deposits growth of 35.5% year-over-year. However, net interest margins compressed by 29 basis points sequentially to 2.8% due to a sharp rise in the bank's cost of deposits.
- Non-interest income was boosted by treasury gains, but fee income growth was modest. Asset quality was stable with gross and net NPAs rising marginally, and provision coverage at a comfortable 73.1%.
Bajaj Auto reported marginally lower-than-expected results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2012, with net sales growth of 22.8% year-over-year driven by a 17.7% increase in volumes. However, operating margins contracted by 145 basis points quarter-over-quarter to 19.1% due to a 150 basis point increase in raw material costs. As a result, net profit grew by 20.5% year-over-year to ₹711 crore, which was slightly below analyst estimates. Going forward, the analyst expects further margin pressure and has revised downward its earnings estimates for fiscal years 2012 and 2013 to factor in higher raw material costs and changes to export incentives.
1) Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) reported strong results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2012, outperforming expectations with revenue growth of 6.3% over the previous quarter and 31.4% over the same quarter of the previous fiscal year.
2) A key highlight was 7.4% quarter-over-quarter growth in business volumes. While profit margins declined due to wage hikes, net profit remained flat due to foreign exchange gains.
3) Management maintained a positive outlook, highlighting strong demand environment and deal pipeline, and expects pricing increases later in the fiscal year.
The document summarizes the Indian stock market outlook and performance on July 15, 2011. It reports that domestic indices closed with modest gains of 0.1-0.4%, while global indices declined. Wholesale price inflation in India rose to 9.44% in June 2011, above estimates and persisting above 9% for seven months, driven by increases in primary articles and fuel costs. Key benchmark levels are identified for determining if the market may continue rallying or correct in the near term.
The summary is:
1) The derivative report analyzes the movement in Nifty futures, options, and individual stocks between July 14-15, 2011.
2) Nifty futures open interest decreased while mini Nifty open interest increased as the market closed at 5599.80.
3) Implied volatility of at-the-money options increased from 17.6% to 18%.
The Sensex and Nifty indices opened lower and traded with volatility, closing marginally lower. On the sectoral front, Realty, Banks and Healthcare gained while IT and FMCG fell. The advance-decline ratio favored advancing stocks. On the daily chart, prices tested but did not close above the downward gap area of 18,679-18,589/5,601-5,580 levels. Immediate resistance is seen at 18,735/5,633, while 18,449/5,541 is crucial support.
1) Infosys reported modest revenue growth of 3.2% qoq for 1QFY2012. EBITDA and margins declined due to wage hikes.
2) Guidance for 2QFY2012 revenue growth was lower than expected at 3.5-5% qoq. Annual revenue growth guidance was unchanged.
3) The analyst revised EPS estimates down and cut the target price to INR 3,200 due to macro concerns and muted guidance.
The daily technical report provides the following information:
1) The Sensex and Nifty indexes opened with a downside gap and remained negative throughout the day, with the realty, IT, and auto sectors among the major losers.
2) On the daily chart, the indexes tested the 20-day simple moving average for support and closed above it, while the RSI and ADX indicators show a negative crossover.
3) The report recommends selling REL. INFRA. futures with a stop loss of Rs. 579.05 and target of Rs. 552.00.
The key points from the document are:
1) Domestic indices tumbled over 1% as global stocks fell on concerns over the spreading eurozone debt crisis.
2) High intraday volatility was seen in the market as it reacted to disappointing industrial production growth data and reports of a cabinet reshuffle.
3) Infosys reported a 4.3% rise in quarterly revenue but margins declined due to wage hikes, while its full-year revenue guidance remained unchanged.
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1. 4QFY2010 Result Update I Capital Goods
May 28, 2010
BHEL NEUTRAL
CMP Rs2,319
Performance Highlights Target Price -
Bharat Heavy Electricals (BHEL) reported a strong 4QFY2010 performance, Investment Period -
with a 28.6% and 41.7% yoy growth in its top and bottom-line, respectively, in
line with the provisional results announced earlier. Currently, the stock trades at Stock Info
21.2x FY2011E EPS and at 17.8x FY2012E EPS. We maintain our Neutral view
Sector Capital Goods
on the stock.
Market Cap (Rs cr) 113,520
Operating margin expansion drives bottom-line growth: BHEL posted a healthy
Beta 0.8
top-line growth of 28.6% yoy to Rs13,559cr (Rs10,540cr) for 4QFY2010, on
the back of strong execution of the healthy order book. For the full year 52 WK High / Low 2,585/1,940
FY2010, the top-line grew by 25.3% yoy to Rs32,880cr (Rs26,234cr).
Avg. Daily Volume 120,599
On the operating front, the company reported a continued expansion in the Face Value (Rs) 10
EBITDA Margin by 225bp to 18.3% (16.1%). This was primarily driven by lower
raw material costs, which reduced by 484bp to 59.2% (64.0%) of net sales, on BSE Sensex 16,863
account of benefits of lower commodity prices. However, other expenses Nifty 5,067
increased sharply by 89.7% yoy, negating the positive impact on the margins.
The rise was primarily led by the ~Rs453cr of provision against pension Reuters Code BHEL.BO
schemes, coupled with changes in the accounting policy related to the provision
Bloomberg Code BHEL@IN
for doubtful debts. Additionally, the employee costs also came in higher than
the earlier guidance of the management. Shareholding Pattern (%)
Consequently, the bottom-line grew by 41.7% yoy to Rs1,910cr (Rs1,348cr) for Promoters 67.7
the quarter. For the full year FY2010, the net profit grew by 37.4% yoy to MF/Banks/Indian FIs 15.2
Rs4,311cr (Rs3,138cr).
FII/NRIs/OCBs 15.3
Outlook and Valuation Indian Public 1.8
The Indian power equipment market is in the midst of a structural change, with Abs. (%) 3m 1yr 3yr
intensifying competition, both from the domestic and the overseas players. Sensex 2.6 18.0 17.1
During FY2010-12E, we expect the company to post a top-line and bottom-line
CAGR of 19.7% and 21.5%, respectively. At the CMP, the stock is quoting at BHEL (1.4) 9.5 70.3
21.2x FY2011E EPS and at 17.8x FY2012E EPS. Given the structural long-term
concerns, we maintain our Neutral view on the stock.
Key Financials
Y/E March (Rs cr) FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E
Net Sales 26,212 32,880 40,095 47,111
% chg 35.8 25.4 21.9 17.5
Adj. Net Profit 3,126 4,311 5,359 6,364
% chg 9.3 37.9 24.3 18.8
Operating EBITDA (%) 13.9 16.9 18.1 18.1
EPS (Rs) 63.9 88.1 109.5 130.0
P/E (x) 36.3 26.3 21.2 17.8
P/BV (x) 8.8 7.1 5.7 4.6
RoE (%) 26.4 29.9 30.0 28.6
RoCE (%) 28.9 33.3 31.8 30.4
Puneet Bambha
EV/Sales (x) 3.9 3.2 2.5 2.1
Tel: 022 – 4040 3800 Ext: 347
EV/EBITDA (x) 24.8 18.6 12.8 10.6
E-mail: puneet.bambha@angeltrade.com
Source: Company, Angel Research
1
Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report Sebi Registration No: INB 010996539
2. BHEL I 4QFY2010 Result Update
Segment-wise Performance
During the quarter, the power division was the key driver, registering a robust 29.6%
yoy top-line growth to Rs11,155cr (Rs8,608cr). On a positive note, the industry
division also picked up pace during the quarter, registering revenue growth of
15.9% yoy to Rs3,149cr (Rs2,716cr). Margins of both the divisions improved during
the quarter, with the power division margin increasing 731bp to 27.4% (20.1%),
and the industry division margin rising 404bp to 25.6% (21.5%).
Exhibit 1: Segment-wise Performance
Y/E March (Rs cr) 4QFY10 4QFY09 % chg FY10 FY09 % chg
Revenue
Power 11,155 8,608 29.6 26,861 21,344 25.8
Industry 3,149 2,716 15.9 7,879 7,250 8.7
Total Revenues 14,304 11,324 26.3 34,740 28,594 21.5
EBIT
Power 3,058 1,731 76.7 6,317 3,862 63.6
Industry 805 584 37.7 1,643 1,215 35.2
Total EBIT 3,863 2,315 66.9 7,960 5,076 56.8
Revenue Mix (%)
Power 78.0 76.0 77.3 74.6
Industry 22.0 24.0 22.7 25.4
EBIT Margin (%)
Power 27.4 20.1 23.5 18.1
Industry 25.6 21.5 20.8 16.8
Source: Company, Angel Research
Exhibit 2: 4QFY210 Performance
Y/E March (Rs cr) 4QFY10 4QFY09 % chg FY10 FY09 % chg
Net Sales 13,559 10,540 28.6 32,880 26,234 25.3
Raw Material 8,027 6,751 18.9 19,307 15,969 20.9
(% of Net Sales) 59.2 64.0 58.7 60.9
Employee Cost 1,743 1,408 23.9 5,153 4,113 25.3
(% of Net Sales) 12.9 13.4 15.7 15.7
Other Expenses 1,301 686 89.7 2,854 2,351 21.4
(% of Net Sales) 9.6 6.5 8.7 9.0
Total Expenditure 11,072 8,844 25.2 27,315 22,433 21.8
EBITDA 2,487 1,696 46.6 5,566 3,801 46.4
EBITDA (%) 18.3 16.1 16.9 14.5
Interest 18 8 119.8 34 31 9.1
Depreciation 165 101 63.4 458 334 37.0
Other Income 594 507 17.0 1,516 1,413 7.4
Profit before Tax 2,898 2,095 38.4 6,591 4,849 35.9
(% of Net Sales) 21.4 19.9 20.0 18.5
Total Tax 989 747 32.4 2,280 1,711 33.3
(% of PBT) 34.1 35.7 34.6 35.3
Reported PAT 1,910 1,348 41.7 4,311 3,138 37.4
(% of Net Sales) 14.1 12.8 13.1 12.0
Source: Company, Angel Research
May 28, 2010 2
3. BHEL I 4QFY2010 Result Update
Order Flows
The order inflows for 4QFY2010 grew by 45.1% yoy to Rs22,614cr (Rs15,580cr).
For the full year FY2010, the order inflows were flat at Rs59,031cr (Rs59,687cr). The
company expects order booking to maintain its momentum during the current
financial year as well, and has guided for inflows of Rs59,000-60,000cr. The order
backlog for the quarter increased 22.9% yoy and 7.3% qoq to Rs1,43,800cr.
Exhibit 3: Quarterly Order Inflow
25,000
22,614
20,000
15,580 16,000
14,500 14,500 15,107
15,000
(Rs cr)
12,400
10,000
8,017
5,000
0
Q109 Q209 Q309 Q409 Q110 Q210 Q310 Q410
Source: Company, Angel Research
Exhibit 4: Quarterly Order Backlog
160,000
143,800
140,000 134,000
124,403 125,800
113,584 117,000
120,000
104,000
100,000 95,000
(Rs cr)
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
0
Q109 Q209 Q309 Q409 Q110 Q210 Q310 Q410
Source: Company, Angel Research
May 28, 2010 3
4. BHEL I 4QFY2010 Result Update
Outlook and Valuation
The Indian power equipment market is in the midst of a structural change, with
intensifying competition, both from the domestic and the overseas players. During
FY2010-12E, we expect the company to post a top-line and bottom-line CAGR of
19.7% and 21.5%, respectively. At the CMP of Rs2,319, the stock is quoting at 21.2x
FY2011E EPS and at 17.8x FY2012E EPS. Given the structural long-term concerns,
we maintain our Neutral view on the stock.
Exhibit 5: 12-month Forward Rolling P/E Band
4,500
4,000 36x
3,500
28x
Sh are Price (Rs)
3,000
2,500
20x
2,000
1,500
12x
1,000
500
0
Apr-01
Oct-01
Apr-02
Oct-02
Apr-03
Oct-03
Apr-04
Oct-04
Apr-05
Oct-05
Apr-06
Oct-06
Apr-07
Oct-07
Apr-08
Oct-08
Apr-09
Oct-09
Apr-10
Source: C-line, Angel Research
Exhibit 6: BHEL - Premium/Discount to Sensex P/E
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
-20%
-40%
Oct-04
Oct-05
Oct-06
Oct-07
Oct-08
Oct-09
Apr-04
Apr-05
Apr-06
Apr-07
Apr-08
Apr-09
Apr-10
Source: C-line, Angel Research
May 28, 2010 4
8. BHEL I 4QFY2010 Result Update
Research Team Tel: 022- 4040 3800 E-mail: research@angeltrade.com Website: www.angeltrade.com
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Disclosure of Interest Statement BHEL
1. Analyst ownership of the stock No
2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock Yes
3. Angel and its Group companies’ Directors ownership of the stock No
4. Broking relationship with company covered No
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May 28, 2010 8