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© 2019 Adobe. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.
Let’s face it, Lead Scoring needs to be reinvented.
Presented by Edward Unthank of Etumos
© 2019 Adobe. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.
Scoring
Philosophically
Implementation
and Testing
Scoring
Maturity
Stages and
Deepdives
Agenda
© 2019 Adobe. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.
What is Scoring?
A number representing
whatever you care about –
like a score!
y = b0 + b1x1 + b2x2 + … + bnxn + E
All of the factors that
affect (in some way)
the result
ECONOMETRICS
© 2019 Adobe. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.
Types of Scoring y = b1 + b2 + b3 + b4 + … + bn
BEHAVIORAL
DEMOGRAPHIC
PSYCHOGRAPHIC
FIRMOGRAPHIC
ACCOUNT-BASED
ENGAGEMENT MINUTES
FIT SCORE
INTENT SCORE
PROFILE SCORES
Meaning triggered based on measured activity
Database person required, like Title, Department or Role
Probably less for B2B (religion, etc.)
Company demographics (employee #, revenue, etc.)
Employee (contact) scores added together
Measured (ish) minutes of company engagement
How similar you look to an ideal prospect
How many relative “likely to buy” signals
How similar you look to A PROFILE
© 2019 Adobe. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.
ECONOMETRICS
A measure
of how much
a person
interacts with your
properties
Behavior Score = amount of high value web page visits
+
+
+
+
+
x
x
x
x
x
amount of low value value web page visits
amount of email clicks
amount of webinar attendees
amount of form fill-outs
n
score # per that event
score # per that event
score # per that event
score # per that event
score # per that event
y = b1 + b2 + b3 + b4 + + bn
© 2019 Adobe. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.
Maturity StagesMarketing Intelligence Operations
STAGE 1:
Directional
Math
a. Lead Score
b. Behavior Score + Demographic Score
c. Fit Score + Intent Score
1
3
STAGE 2:
Predictive Tools
a. Fit Score
b. Intent Score
c. Lookalike Score
STAGE 3:
Data Science Owned
a. Expected LTV (real-time)
b. Expected ACV (real-time)
c. Custom ”Best Message” profiling
d. On-demand reporting and intelligence
2
© 2019 Adobe. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.
Scoring is an additive measure
✓ Stack-ranking value
✓ Fast and dirty
✓ Better than nothing
PROS
☓ Usually inaccurate
(so inaccurate that Sales ignores them)
☓ “What does that score mean?”
CONS
STAGE 1: Finger in the Wind Scoring
It’s a bottom-up measurement.
Does not correlate with,
How much does this person want to be
contacted by sales?”
© 2019 Adobe. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.
CONS
✓ Way better than before
✓ If you have enough data
(~1,000 opportunities
per year minimum )
Requires large Sales throughput
to be valuable
Slow speed to changes, mostly
unchangeable from
a few scores (Fit, Intent)
This will literally
make you
money if your
Sales team
adapts.
PROS
Scoring is “infinitely” multifactorial
STAGE 2: Predictive Analytics Vendor
© 2019 Adobe. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.
CONS “Bring your own Infrastructure”
Tight talent market
Needs organization buy-in
PROS
✓ Enormous competitive
advantage
✓ Regressions, neural networks,
or any other tool
SCIENTIFIC
MARKETING!
Peer-reviewable!
Withstands
extreme scrutiny!
Scoring needs close human supervision
STAGE 3: Data Science-Run (MIOPs)
© 2019 Adobe. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.
Percent
of MOPs
Organizations
STAGE 0
Nothing
STAGE 1
Finger in Wind
STAGE 2
Predictive
Vendor
STAGE 3
MOPs Data
Science
60%
15%
20% 5%
50%
100%
0%
* Source = Edward’s Anecdotes, not actual data
Maturity Distribution Among Companies
with MOPs
© 2019 Adobe. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.
How to Math Your Score Weights
Failure Group
Success Group
BEHAVIORAL DEMOGRAPHIC
20 2 0.25 0.6
5 2 0.01 0.6
STAGE 1: Simple Cohort Comparison
etumos.com/summit
We have all our resources here,
including this Gsheet!
© 2019 Adobe. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.
How to Math Your Score Weights
BEHAVIORAL DEMOGRAPHIC
STAGE 1: Simple Cohort Comparison
Ratio
Weight
4:1 1:1 25:1 1:1
4 1 25 1
etumos.com/summit
We have all our resources here,
including this Gsheet!
Failure Group
Success Group 20 2 0.25 0.6
5 2 0.01 0.6
© 2019 Adobe. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.
Here,
just take
these values
STAGE 1:
etumos.com/summit
Or if you have no data,
just use this...
© 2019 Adobe. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.
If you have the data,
PREDICTIVE vs. “Finger in the Wind”
will make you money
Considerations
Blackbox?
Enrichment?
IDEA
Shortlist 2 vendors
Bake-off
Lots of options, it’s up to you to decide
STAGE 2: Predictive Vendors
© 2019 Adobe. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.
Data in Warehouse
Create and Monitor
Scores for Marketing
& Sales
Run Controlled Test to
Measure Efficacy
of Marketing & Sales
Amount
Accuracy
Individual Demo Score
Company Demo Score
Recency Score
Profile Score
Random Cohort Assignment
Challenger / Champion
Controlled Tests
Responsibilities
STAGE 3: Data Scientist for Marketing (MIOPs)
© 2019 Adobe. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.
Provides
knowledge of
WHAT % of
Marketing Budget
to pitch
MarTech Budget
Marketing Cost (Staff, LinkedIn)
Media Spend
ESTIMATES
SALES ANCHOR PRICE
Estimation
Best-guess Sum of
media spend categories
(SEM, Events, etc.)
Use “Clearbit” to find what
MarTech is in use, sum
estimated costs by price lookup
in “martech pricing sheet”
GSheet via FlowBoost
Count Prospect’s Marketing
Department by roles on
LinkedIn, estimate staff cost
based on average salary data
SCORES: MATH TO MARKETING/SALES
Estimating Relevant Prospect Budget
STAGE 3: Example of Custom Estimate Score
© 2019 Adobe. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.
Change “Product
Interest” to GOAT
● Title Contains “Chief, CEO, CIO, COO”
● Employee count > 500
● Industry contains “farming, agriculture, yoga”
y = b0 + b1x1 + b2x2 + ... + bpxp + E
Product Interest
Segment: GOAT
LAST
TOUCH
FIRST
TOUCH
FIRST/LAST
TOUCH
If “Product Interest”
is empty, GOAT;
else do nothing
Hidden field “Product
Interest” = MOOSE
One-off Behaviors (instant win values)
Demographics (field values)
Profiling programs,
score-driven
lookalike/behavior
comb percentage
1
2
3
1
3
Product Interest: GOAT
Product Interest: MOOSE
Product Interest: Primary
76.2%
25.9%
GOAT
Profile Scoring: The MOPs Advantage
TARGETING
2
© 2019 Adobe. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.
S
R
I
C
M
Scalable
Clear
Robust
Intelligent
Modular
etumos.com/summit
S.C.R.I.M1) CRM Doesn’t want score
changes – it wants grade
abstractions
2) Don’t forget “low grade” leads.
Monitor or have XDRs do that –
DATA PROBLEM SURFACING
3) Roll out thoughtfully
Nobody knows
what “21” means.
We know “C” though!
Minimize unhelpful
data value changesS
I
A single remote
worker can slip
through the cracks
Implementation Tips for Advanced Scoring
C
© 2019 Adobe. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.
DATA MANAGEMENT
PROFILE SCORING
WHY?
Implementation Tips for Advanced Scoring
Marketo at a megascale should off-
load simplistic data manipulation to
another system
“What happens if 150,000 leads
run through this at once?”
REDUCE THE NOISE.
“If...then” statements and tons of
data value changes are a pain to
maintain in Marketo.
© 2019 Adobe. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.
Get a Sales friend to help.
→ Train → Measure → Shout Success
Turn it on! Sales team get it and uses!
1) Recruit a Pilot with a select Sales Team to
prioritize by New Score (a test).
2) Get the loudest person you can. Build WITH them.
3) Communicate change to come from department head, enforce vision.
4) Follow training and onboarding schedule
CHAMPIONS!
How to roll out new Scores to Sales
Roll Out and Change Management Plan
Ideal World
Real World
Political World
© 2019 Adobe. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.
Political World
4) Follow training and onboarding schedule:
1-Hour Video Training
Soft Launch
Open Office Hours for Questions
Email from Head – go on Monday!
Hard Launch
Proposed Training and Onboarding Schedule
© 2019 Adobe. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.
Edward Unthank
Email | eunthank@etumos.com
Twitter | @EdwardUnthank
LinkedIn | edwardunthank

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Lead Scoring Reinvented (Edward Unthank, Adobe Marketo Summit)

  • 1. © 2019 Adobe. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential. Let’s face it, Lead Scoring needs to be reinvented. Presented by Edward Unthank of Etumos
  • 2. © 2019 Adobe. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential. Scoring Philosophically Implementation and Testing Scoring Maturity Stages and Deepdives Agenda
  • 3. © 2019 Adobe. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential. What is Scoring? A number representing whatever you care about – like a score! y = b0 + b1x1 + b2x2 + … + bnxn + E All of the factors that affect (in some way) the result ECONOMETRICS
  • 4. © 2019 Adobe. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential. Types of Scoring y = b1 + b2 + b3 + b4 + … + bn BEHAVIORAL DEMOGRAPHIC PSYCHOGRAPHIC FIRMOGRAPHIC ACCOUNT-BASED ENGAGEMENT MINUTES FIT SCORE INTENT SCORE PROFILE SCORES Meaning triggered based on measured activity Database person required, like Title, Department or Role Probably less for B2B (religion, etc.) Company demographics (employee #, revenue, etc.) Employee (contact) scores added together Measured (ish) minutes of company engagement How similar you look to an ideal prospect How many relative “likely to buy” signals How similar you look to A PROFILE
  • 5. © 2019 Adobe. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential. ECONOMETRICS A measure of how much a person interacts with your properties Behavior Score = amount of high value web page visits + + + + + x x x x x amount of low value value web page visits amount of email clicks amount of webinar attendees amount of form fill-outs n score # per that event score # per that event score # per that event score # per that event score # per that event y = b1 + b2 + b3 + b4 + + bn
  • 6. © 2019 Adobe. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential. Maturity StagesMarketing Intelligence Operations STAGE 1: Directional Math a. Lead Score b. Behavior Score + Demographic Score c. Fit Score + Intent Score 1 3 STAGE 2: Predictive Tools a. Fit Score b. Intent Score c. Lookalike Score STAGE 3: Data Science Owned a. Expected LTV (real-time) b. Expected ACV (real-time) c. Custom ”Best Message” profiling d. On-demand reporting and intelligence 2
  • 7. © 2019 Adobe. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential. Scoring is an additive measure ✓ Stack-ranking value ✓ Fast and dirty ✓ Better than nothing PROS ☓ Usually inaccurate (so inaccurate that Sales ignores them) ☓ “What does that score mean?” CONS STAGE 1: Finger in the Wind Scoring It’s a bottom-up measurement. Does not correlate with, How much does this person want to be contacted by sales?”
  • 8. © 2019 Adobe. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential. CONS ✓ Way better than before ✓ If you have enough data (~1,000 opportunities per year minimum ) Requires large Sales throughput to be valuable Slow speed to changes, mostly unchangeable from a few scores (Fit, Intent) This will literally make you money if your Sales team adapts. PROS Scoring is “infinitely” multifactorial STAGE 2: Predictive Analytics Vendor
  • 9. © 2019 Adobe. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential. CONS “Bring your own Infrastructure” Tight talent market Needs organization buy-in PROS ✓ Enormous competitive advantage ✓ Regressions, neural networks, or any other tool SCIENTIFIC MARKETING! Peer-reviewable! Withstands extreme scrutiny! Scoring needs close human supervision STAGE 3: Data Science-Run (MIOPs)
  • 10. © 2019 Adobe. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential. Percent of MOPs Organizations STAGE 0 Nothing STAGE 1 Finger in Wind STAGE 2 Predictive Vendor STAGE 3 MOPs Data Science 60% 15% 20% 5% 50% 100% 0% * Source = Edward’s Anecdotes, not actual data Maturity Distribution Among Companies with MOPs
  • 11. © 2019 Adobe. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential. How to Math Your Score Weights Failure Group Success Group BEHAVIORAL DEMOGRAPHIC 20 2 0.25 0.6 5 2 0.01 0.6 STAGE 1: Simple Cohort Comparison etumos.com/summit We have all our resources here, including this Gsheet!
  • 12. © 2019 Adobe. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential. How to Math Your Score Weights BEHAVIORAL DEMOGRAPHIC STAGE 1: Simple Cohort Comparison Ratio Weight 4:1 1:1 25:1 1:1 4 1 25 1 etumos.com/summit We have all our resources here, including this Gsheet! Failure Group Success Group 20 2 0.25 0.6 5 2 0.01 0.6
  • 13. © 2019 Adobe. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential. Here, just take these values STAGE 1: etumos.com/summit Or if you have no data, just use this...
  • 14. © 2019 Adobe. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential. If you have the data, PREDICTIVE vs. “Finger in the Wind” will make you money Considerations Blackbox? Enrichment? IDEA Shortlist 2 vendors Bake-off Lots of options, it’s up to you to decide STAGE 2: Predictive Vendors
  • 15. © 2019 Adobe. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential. Data in Warehouse Create and Monitor Scores for Marketing & Sales Run Controlled Test to Measure Efficacy of Marketing & Sales Amount Accuracy Individual Demo Score Company Demo Score Recency Score Profile Score Random Cohort Assignment Challenger / Champion Controlled Tests Responsibilities STAGE 3: Data Scientist for Marketing (MIOPs)
  • 16. © 2019 Adobe. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential. Provides knowledge of WHAT % of Marketing Budget to pitch MarTech Budget Marketing Cost (Staff, LinkedIn) Media Spend ESTIMATES SALES ANCHOR PRICE Estimation Best-guess Sum of media spend categories (SEM, Events, etc.) Use “Clearbit” to find what MarTech is in use, sum estimated costs by price lookup in “martech pricing sheet” GSheet via FlowBoost Count Prospect’s Marketing Department by roles on LinkedIn, estimate staff cost based on average salary data SCORES: MATH TO MARKETING/SALES Estimating Relevant Prospect Budget STAGE 3: Example of Custom Estimate Score
  • 17. © 2019 Adobe. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential. Change “Product Interest” to GOAT ● Title Contains “Chief, CEO, CIO, COO” ● Employee count > 500 ● Industry contains “farming, agriculture, yoga” y = b0 + b1x1 + b2x2 + ... + bpxp + E Product Interest Segment: GOAT LAST TOUCH FIRST TOUCH FIRST/LAST TOUCH If “Product Interest” is empty, GOAT; else do nothing Hidden field “Product Interest” = MOOSE One-off Behaviors (instant win values) Demographics (field values) Profiling programs, score-driven lookalike/behavior comb percentage 1 2 3 1 3 Product Interest: GOAT Product Interest: MOOSE Product Interest: Primary 76.2% 25.9% GOAT Profile Scoring: The MOPs Advantage TARGETING 2
  • 18. © 2019 Adobe. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential. S R I C M Scalable Clear Robust Intelligent Modular etumos.com/summit S.C.R.I.M1) CRM Doesn’t want score changes – it wants grade abstractions 2) Don’t forget “low grade” leads. Monitor or have XDRs do that – DATA PROBLEM SURFACING 3) Roll out thoughtfully Nobody knows what “21” means. We know “C” though! Minimize unhelpful data value changesS I A single remote worker can slip through the cracks Implementation Tips for Advanced Scoring C
  • 19. © 2019 Adobe. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential. DATA MANAGEMENT PROFILE SCORING WHY? Implementation Tips for Advanced Scoring Marketo at a megascale should off- load simplistic data manipulation to another system “What happens if 150,000 leads run through this at once?” REDUCE THE NOISE. “If...then” statements and tons of data value changes are a pain to maintain in Marketo.
  • 20. © 2019 Adobe. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential. Get a Sales friend to help. → Train → Measure → Shout Success Turn it on! Sales team get it and uses! 1) Recruit a Pilot with a select Sales Team to prioritize by New Score (a test). 2) Get the loudest person you can. Build WITH them. 3) Communicate change to come from department head, enforce vision. 4) Follow training and onboarding schedule CHAMPIONS! How to roll out new Scores to Sales Roll Out and Change Management Plan Ideal World Real World Political World
  • 21. © 2019 Adobe. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential. Political World 4) Follow training and onboarding schedule: 1-Hour Video Training Soft Launch Open Office Hours for Questions Email from Head – go on Monday! Hard Launch Proposed Training and Onboarding Schedule
  • 22. © 2019 Adobe. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential. Edward Unthank Email | eunthank@etumos.com Twitter | @EdwardUnthank LinkedIn | edwardunthank