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PREDICTIVE
ANALYTICS
by:
For-Ian V. Sandoval
Predictive Analytics
Predictive analytics is an area of data mining that
deals with extracting information from data and
using it to predict trends and behavior patterns.
Often the unknown event of interest is in the future,
but predictive analytics can be applied to any type of
unknown whether it be in the past, present or future.
How Descriptive Analytics and Predictive Analytics Compare
Predictive Analytics Process
Model
Verification
Theoretical
Model
Treatments +
Controls + Error
= Response
Domain
knowledge,
1st principles,
experience
Pre-existing
data
• Regression:
Predicting output variable using its cause-effect
relationship with input variables. OLS Regression, GLM,
Random forests, ANN etc.
• Classification:
Predicting the item class. Decision Tree, Logistic
Regression, ANN, SVM, Naïve Bayes classifier etc.
• Time Series Forecasting:
Predicting future time events given past history. AR, MA,
ARIMA, Triple Exponential Smoothing, Holt-Winters etc.
Common Predictive Analytics Methods
• Association rule mining:
Mining items occurring together. Apriori Algorithm.
• Clustering:
Finding natural groups or clusters in the data. K-means,
Hierarchical, Spectral, Density based EM algorithm Clustering
etc.
• Text mining:
Model and structure the information content of textual
sources. Sentiment Analysis, NLP
Common Predictive Analytics Methods
Predictive Analytics Tools in Market

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Predictive Analytics - An Introduction

  • 2. Predictive Analytics Predictive analytics is an area of data mining that deals with extracting information from data and using it to predict trends and behavior patterns. Often the unknown event of interest is in the future, but predictive analytics can be applied to any type of unknown whether it be in the past, present or future.
  • 3. How Descriptive Analytics and Predictive Analytics Compare
  • 4. Predictive Analytics Process Model Verification Theoretical Model Treatments + Controls + Error = Response Domain knowledge, 1st principles, experience Pre-existing data
  • 5. • Regression: Predicting output variable using its cause-effect relationship with input variables. OLS Regression, GLM, Random forests, ANN etc. • Classification: Predicting the item class. Decision Tree, Logistic Regression, ANN, SVM, Naïve Bayes classifier etc. • Time Series Forecasting: Predicting future time events given past history. AR, MA, ARIMA, Triple Exponential Smoothing, Holt-Winters etc. Common Predictive Analytics Methods
  • 6. • Association rule mining: Mining items occurring together. Apriori Algorithm. • Clustering: Finding natural groups or clusters in the data. K-means, Hierarchical, Spectral, Density based EM algorithm Clustering etc. • Text mining: Model and structure the information content of textual sources. Sentiment Analysis, NLP Common Predictive Analytics Methods