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Childhood Pneumonia and Diarrhoea 4
Ending of preventable deaths from pneumonia and diarrhoea:
an achievable goal

Mickey Chopra, Elizabeth Mason, John Borrazzo, Harry Campbell, Igor Rudan,

Li Liu, Robert E Black, Zulfiqar A Bhutta
Countries with the largest burden of
                    pneumonia and diarrhoea deaths
     15 countries with largest burden               15 countries with largest burden
          of pneumonia deaths                              of diarrhoea deaths
Afghanistan
Angola
Burkina Faso
Democratic Republic
 of the Congo
Ethiopia
India
Kenya
Mali
Pakistan
Niger                   13 of the 15 countries with the highest pneumonia
Nigeria                 mortality are also among the 15 countries with the
     85% of global pneumonia deaths
Sudan-precession                                      81% of global diarrhoea deaths
                     highest diarrhoea mortality. These 13 countries account
Uganda                    for 78% of pneumonia and diarrhoea mortality.
         Source: Global, regional and national causes of child mortality: an updated systematic analysis for 2010 with time trends since 2010. The Lancet, 11 May 2012.
Promise Renewed: Target <20 deaths/1000 live births
  for under five mortality by 2035
Under-5 mortality rate (per 1000) versus percentage of under-5
deaths attributed to pneumonia and diarrhoea in 2010




                                                                    To reach this
                                                                  target, reducing
                                                                    deaths from
                                                                  pneumonia and
                                                                 diarrhoea will be
                                                                 critical, especially
                                                                 in countries with
                                                                 higher under-five
                                                                  mortality rates.
Proposed target: < 3 deaths/1000 from pneumonia and
< 1 death/1000 from diarrhoea
               Target is global average by 2025, all countries by 2035

      Aggregate reduction in cause-specific mortality across 74 Countdown countries
Four opportunities for further acceleration:



                          New
          Increased
                        products
           financial
                          and
          resources
                       technology


         Integrated     A health
           service       system
          delivery      approach
New approaches reinvigorate and accelerate progress

• New vaccines for preventing pneumonia
  and diarrhoea
   – Hib, pneumococcal conjugate vaccines
   – Rotavirus vaccines

• Improvements in case management
   – Low osmolarity ORS
                                Diarrhoea
   – Zinc supplementation
   – Short course antibiotics for non-severe pneumonia
                                                       Pneumonia
   – Oral amoxicillin for severe pneumonia

• New evidence on other preventive modalities
   – Reduction of indoor air pollution
   – Hand washing
Action Steps: Strengthen Global and National Leadership



                       Country leadership & Implementation
            Key advocacy events and catalytic initiatives in support of
                           Every Woman Every Child

                                    A Promise           Family Planning
            Born too soon
                                    Renewed                Summit

                               Decade of Vaccines
                            Innovation Working Group
                    Commission on Live-saving Commodities




            CoIA                     independent Expert Review Group
Addressing global drivers of mortality is critical
  Global drivers of pneumonia and diarrhoea mortality in the years 2000 and 2010



                                                              Prioritise
                                                            interventions




                                                                Foster
                                                            Intersectoral
                                                            Collaboration
                                                                    WASH = water supply, sanitation, and hygiene
A multi-pronged approach is necessary


• Pneumonia and diarrhoea are caused by
  multiple pathogens and no single intervention
  will address the entirety of the problem.
• Multiple interventions of proven effectiveness
  exist, which are complementary but not
  implemented in a coordinated fashion.
• Establishing better coordination between
  existing programmes can lead to synergies and
  efficiencies that will maximize the benefits of
  the individual interventions.
Strategies for preventing and treating
      pneumonia and diarrhoea
The Integrated Global Action Plan
 for the Prevention and Control
  of Pneumonia and Diarrhoea
Protect, Prevent, Treat: a useful framework
         for an integrated approach
Five-step process can be used to
translate evidence into policy and action
                      Understand disease epidemiology and intervention
                                          packages



                            Understand the health system context




                        Understand existing investments and barriers




                             Establish an enabling environment




                                Be accountable for progress
Key messages


Substantial reductions in deaths due to pneumonia and diarrhoea –
but still cause 2 million deaths per year

Ending preventable deaths form pneumonia and diarrhoea is possible:
Target: < 3/1000 deaths for pneumonia; <1/1000 for diarrhoea

Scaling up cost-effective interventions can prevent 95% diarrhoeal
deaths and 65% pneumonia deaths by 2025

Five-step approach to planning and management of programmes can
rapidly lead to scale-up

The cost to achieve the goal by 2025 is about $6.7 billion

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Ending of preventable deaths from pneumonia and diarrhoea: An achievable goal - Dr. Elizabeth Mason

  • 1. Childhood Pneumonia and Diarrhoea 4 Ending of preventable deaths from pneumonia and diarrhoea: an achievable goal Mickey Chopra, Elizabeth Mason, John Borrazzo, Harry Campbell, Igor Rudan, Li Liu, Robert E Black, Zulfiqar A Bhutta
  • 2. Countries with the largest burden of pneumonia and diarrhoea deaths 15 countries with largest burden 15 countries with largest burden of pneumonia deaths of diarrhoea deaths Afghanistan Angola Burkina Faso Democratic Republic of the Congo Ethiopia India Kenya Mali Pakistan Niger 13 of the 15 countries with the highest pneumonia Nigeria mortality are also among the 15 countries with the 85% of global pneumonia deaths Sudan-precession 81% of global diarrhoea deaths highest diarrhoea mortality. These 13 countries account Uganda for 78% of pneumonia and diarrhoea mortality. Source: Global, regional and national causes of child mortality: an updated systematic analysis for 2010 with time trends since 2010. The Lancet, 11 May 2012.
  • 3. Promise Renewed: Target <20 deaths/1000 live births for under five mortality by 2035 Under-5 mortality rate (per 1000) versus percentage of under-5 deaths attributed to pneumonia and diarrhoea in 2010 To reach this target, reducing deaths from pneumonia and diarrhoea will be critical, especially in countries with higher under-five mortality rates.
  • 4. Proposed target: < 3 deaths/1000 from pneumonia and < 1 death/1000 from diarrhoea Target is global average by 2025, all countries by 2035 Aggregate reduction in cause-specific mortality across 74 Countdown countries
  • 5. Four opportunities for further acceleration: New Increased products financial and resources technology Integrated A health service system delivery approach
  • 6. New approaches reinvigorate and accelerate progress • New vaccines for preventing pneumonia and diarrhoea – Hib, pneumococcal conjugate vaccines – Rotavirus vaccines • Improvements in case management – Low osmolarity ORS Diarrhoea – Zinc supplementation – Short course antibiotics for non-severe pneumonia Pneumonia – Oral amoxicillin for severe pneumonia • New evidence on other preventive modalities – Reduction of indoor air pollution – Hand washing
  • 7. Action Steps: Strengthen Global and National Leadership Country leadership & Implementation Key advocacy events and catalytic initiatives in support of Every Woman Every Child A Promise Family Planning Born too soon Renewed Summit Decade of Vaccines Innovation Working Group Commission on Live-saving Commodities CoIA independent Expert Review Group
  • 8. Addressing global drivers of mortality is critical Global drivers of pneumonia and diarrhoea mortality in the years 2000 and 2010 Prioritise interventions Foster Intersectoral Collaboration WASH = water supply, sanitation, and hygiene
  • 9. A multi-pronged approach is necessary • Pneumonia and diarrhoea are caused by multiple pathogens and no single intervention will address the entirety of the problem. • Multiple interventions of proven effectiveness exist, which are complementary but not implemented in a coordinated fashion. • Establishing better coordination between existing programmes can lead to synergies and efficiencies that will maximize the benefits of the individual interventions.
  • 10. Strategies for preventing and treating pneumonia and diarrhoea
  • 11. The Integrated Global Action Plan for the Prevention and Control of Pneumonia and Diarrhoea
  • 12. Protect, Prevent, Treat: a useful framework for an integrated approach
  • 13. Five-step process can be used to translate evidence into policy and action Understand disease epidemiology and intervention packages Understand the health system context Understand existing investments and barriers Establish an enabling environment Be accountable for progress
  • 14. Key messages Substantial reductions in deaths due to pneumonia and diarrhoea – but still cause 2 million deaths per year Ending preventable deaths form pneumonia and diarrhoea is possible: Target: < 3/1000 deaths for pneumonia; <1/1000 for diarrhoea Scaling up cost-effective interventions can prevent 95% diarrhoeal deaths and 65% pneumonia deaths by 2025 Five-step approach to planning and management of programmes can rapidly lead to scale-up The cost to achieve the goal by 2025 is about $6.7 billion

Editor's Notes

  1. Again we have the opportunity to change the situation. The world&apos;s community is united more than ever before to say enough is enough. We have unprecedented commitment from the UN Global Strategy for Women and Children&apos;s Health to Promises Renewed. In addition …