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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                          27th April 2012
                                                                MCX GOLD (5 JUNE 12) - Gold opened higher at 28859. It
                    Gold          Silver          Crude
                   (5 Jun-12)   (5 May-12)      (21 May-12)     moved lower to touch an intra day low of 28839 but managed to
                                                                bounce back from lower levels. It moved higher to touch an intra-
 Open                 28,859         55,334          5,505      day high of 29043 level. It ended the day with moderate gains to
 High                 29,043         56,048          5,519      close at 29030.
 Low                  28,839         55,259          5,474
                                                                The RSI is placed above its average, which would lead to buying
 Close                29,030         55,924          5,504      support. Moreover, the Stochastic has moved above its average
                                                                but remains placed in the over bought zone, which would lead to
 Prev. Close          28,840         55,194          5,504
                                                                profit taking especially at higher levels. The ADX line and the -DI
 % Change              0.66%         1.32%           0.00%      line are moving sideways, but the +DI line has moved higher and
Source – MCX                                                    is placed at 34.38 level indicating buyers gaining strength. MCX
                                                                GOLD faces resistance at 29212 and 29433, while the supports
                                                                are placed at 28960, 28084, 27557, 26517 and 26347 levels.
                    Volume (In 000's)

                    26/4/2012     25/4/2012         % Chg.      MCX SILVER (5 MAY 12) - Silver opened higher at 55334. It
                                                                moved lower to touch an intra day low of 55259 but managed to
 Gold (gms)          27,903.0      40,434.0        -30.99%
                                                                bounce back from lower levels. It moved higher to touch an intra-
 Silver (kgs)         1,568.7       2,304.7        -31.93%      day high of 56048 level. It ended the day with moderate gains to
                                                                close at 55924.
 Crude (bbl)         10,957.8      16,400.7        -33.19%

Source – MCX                                                    The RSI and the Stochastic both have moved above their
                                                                respective averages. These conditions would lead to buying
                   Turnover (In Lacs)                           support. The ADX line, +DI line and –DI line are moving sideways,
                                                                indicating a range bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at
                    26/4/2012     25/4/2012         % Chg.      56157, 57737, 61708 and 65159 while the supports are placed at
Gold                807,551.7   1,163,621.4        -30.60%      55551, 51029 and 50252 levels.

Silver              872,215.6   1,272,007.7        -31.43%      MCX CRUDE (19 May 12) - Crude opened flat at 5505 level. It
Crude               602,169.6     898,264.1        -32.96%      moved lower to touch an intra day low of 5474 but managed to
                                                                bounce back from lower levels. It moved higher to touch an intra-
Source – MCX                                                    day high of 5519 level. It ended the day unchanged at 5504.

                Global Market (Nymex - $)                       The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
                    27/4/2012     26/4/2012         % Chg.
                                                                averages. These conditions would lead to buying support.
                                                                However, the Stochastic is placed in the over bought zone, which
Gold (oz)            1,644.40      1,641.40          0.18%      would lead to profit taking, especially at higher levels. The ADX
Silver (oz)             30.66           30.36        1.00%      line, –DI line and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range
                                                                bound trend. It faces resistance at 5512, 5550 and 5635 while the
Crude (bbl)           103.99         104.12         -0.12%      supports are placed at 5498, 5403, 5335, 5305, 5232 and 5182
Dollar Index            79.14           79.35       -0.27%      levels.
Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                            Intra-day Resistance                Intra-day Support
         Commodities            Close           Pivot Point           R1           R2           R3            S1              S2      S3

CRUDE MAY 12                     5504                 5499          5524         5544         5589         5479          5454        5409

GOLD JUN 12                     29030                28971         29102       29175         29379        28898         28767       28563

SILVER MAY 12                   55924                55744         56228       56533         57322        55439         54955       54166


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                     The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                              www.keynotecapitals.com
US Economic Calendar:

      Friday                    Monday                      Tuesday                    Wednesday                     Thursday
      Apr. 27                   Apr. 30                      May 01                     May 02                        May 03
GDP Data                Personal Income and          ISM Mfg Index               Factory Orders               Jobless Claims
                        Outlays
Employment Cost         Chicago PMI Data             Motor Vehicle Sales         ADP Employment               Productivity and Costs
Index                                                                            Report
Consumer Sentiment      Dallas Fed Mfg               Construction                EIA Petroleum Status         ISM Non-Mfg Index
                        Survey                       Spending                    Report




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                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                    The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report 270412

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 27th April 2012 MCX GOLD (5 JUNE 12) - Gold opened higher at 28859. It Gold Silver Crude (5 Jun-12) (5 May-12) (21 May-12) moved lower to touch an intra day low of 28839 but managed to bounce back from lower levels. It moved higher to touch an intra- Open 28,859 55,334 5,505 day high of 29043 level. It ended the day with moderate gains to High 29,043 56,048 5,519 close at 29030. Low 28,839 55,259 5,474 The RSI is placed above its average, which would lead to buying Close 29,030 55,924 5,504 support. Moreover, the Stochastic has moved above its average but remains placed in the over bought zone, which would lead to Prev. Close 28,840 55,194 5,504 profit taking especially at higher levels. The ADX line and the -DI % Change 0.66% 1.32% 0.00% line are moving sideways, but the +DI line has moved higher and Source – MCX is placed at 34.38 level indicating buyers gaining strength. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 29212 and 29433, while the supports are placed at 28960, 28084, 27557, 26517 and 26347 levels. Volume (In 000's) 26/4/2012 25/4/2012 % Chg. MCX SILVER (5 MAY 12) - Silver opened higher at 55334. It moved lower to touch an intra day low of 55259 but managed to Gold (gms) 27,903.0 40,434.0 -30.99% bounce back from lower levels. It moved higher to touch an intra- Silver (kgs) 1,568.7 2,304.7 -31.93% day high of 56048 level. It ended the day with moderate gains to close at 55924. Crude (bbl) 10,957.8 16,400.7 -33.19% Source – MCX The RSI and the Stochastic both have moved above their respective averages. These conditions would lead to buying Turnover (In Lacs) support. The ADX line, +DI line and –DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 26/4/2012 25/4/2012 % Chg. 56157, 57737, 61708 and 65159 while the supports are placed at Gold 807,551.7 1,163,621.4 -30.60% 55551, 51029 and 50252 levels. Silver 872,215.6 1,272,007.7 -31.43% MCX CRUDE (19 May 12) - Crude opened flat at 5505 level. It Crude 602,169.6 898,264.1 -32.96% moved lower to touch an intra day low of 5474 but managed to bounce back from lower levels. It moved higher to touch an intra- Source – MCX day high of 5519 level. It ended the day unchanged at 5504. Global Market (Nymex - $) The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective 27/4/2012 26/4/2012 % Chg. averages. These conditions would lead to buying support. However, the Stochastic is placed in the over bought zone, which Gold (oz) 1,644.40 1,641.40 0.18% would lead to profit taking, especially at higher levels. The ADX Silver (oz) 30.66 30.36 1.00% line, –DI line and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. It faces resistance at 5512, 5550 and 5635 while the Crude (bbl) 103.99 104.12 -0.12% supports are placed at 5498, 5403, 5335, 5305, 5232 and 5182 Dollar Index 79.14 79.35 -0.27% levels. Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE MAY 12 5504 5499 5524 5544 5589 5479 5454 5409 GOLD JUN 12 29030 28971 29102 29175 29379 28898 28767 28563 SILVER MAY 12 55924 55744 56228 56533 57322 55439 54955 54166 Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Friday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Apr. 27 Apr. 30 May 01 May 02 May 03 GDP Data Personal Income and ISM Mfg Index Factory Orders Jobless Claims Outlays Employment Cost Chicago PMI Data Motor Vehicle Sales ADP Employment Productivity and Costs Index Report Consumer Sentiment Dallas Fed Mfg Construction EIA Petroleum Status ISM Non-Mfg Index Survey Spending Report Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com