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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                              13th March 2012

                                                                    MCX GOLD (5 APRIL 12) - Gold opened higher at 28015. It moved
                       Gold         Silver          Crude
                      (5 Apr-12)   (5 May-12)     (19 Mar-12)
                                                                    higher to touch an intra-day high of 28084. However, it failed to
                                                                    sustain higher. It moved lower to touch an intra day low of 27902. It
 Open                    28,015        58,980          5,345        ended the day flat to close at 27972.
 High                    28,084        59,173          5,355

 Low                     27,902        58,222          5,287        The RSI is placed below its average, but is on verge of moving
                                                                    above its average. The Stochastic is placed above its average, but
 Close                   27,972        58,392          5,332        in the over bought zone, which would lead to profit taking at regular
 Prev. Close             27,982        59,052          5,348        intervals. The ADX line and +DI line are moving sideways.
                                                                    However, the –DI line is placed above 30 indicating sellers are
 % Change                -0.04%        -1.12%         -0.30%
                                                                    gaining strength. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28960, 29212 and
Source – MCX                                                        29433, while the supports are placed at 27557, 26347 and 25500
                                                                    levels.
                       Volume (In 000's)

                       12/3/2012    10/3/2012         % Chg.
                                                                    MCX SILVER (5 MAY 12) - Silver opened lower at 58980. It moved
                                                                    higher to touch an intra-day high of 59173. However, it failed to
 Gold (gms)             33,815.0      1,330.0      2442.48%         sustain higher. It moved lower to touch an intra day low of 58222. It
 Silver (kgs)            2,014.5           47.9    4104.70%         ended the day with moderate losses to close at 58392.

 Crude (bbl)            12,715.8        262.2      4749.66%
                                                                    The RSI and the Stochastic have slipped below their respective
Source – MCX                                                        averages. More so the Stochastic is placed in the over bought zone.
                                                                    This would lead to selling pressure. The –DI, +DI line and ADX line
                      Turnover (In Lacs)                            are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX Silver
                                                                    faces resistance at 61708, 65159 and 66261 while the supports are
                       12/3/2012    10/3/2012         % Chg.
                                                                    placed at 56157, 51029 and 50252 levels.
Gold                   946,537.6     37,228.5      2442.51%

Silver               1,181,965.2     28,318.4      4073.84%         MCX CRUDE (19 MARCH 12) - Crude opened lower at 5345 level.
                                                                    It moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 5355. However, it
Crude                  676,685.8     14,027.9      4723.86%         failed to sustain higher. It moved lower to touch an intra day low of
Source – MCX                                                        5287. It ended the day with modest losses to close at 5332.

                   Global Market (Nymex - $)                        The RSI and the Stochastic have slipped below their respective
                       13/3/2012    12/3/2012         % Chg.
                                                                    averages, which would lead to selling pressure. The +DI line, –DI
                                                                    line and ADX line are moving sideways indicating a range bound
Gold (oz)               1,704.70     1,699.80          0.29%        trend. It faces resistance at 5436, 5462 and 5498 while the supports
Silver (oz)                33.66        33.37          0.84%        are placed at 5150, 5095, 4905 and 4727 levels.
Crude (bbl)              106.97        106.34          0.59%

Dollar Index               79.72        79.89         -0.22%

Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                                 Intra-day Resistance                 Intra-day Support
         Commodities               Close            Pivot Point             R1             R2         R3           S1            S2           S3

CRUDE MAR 12                         5332                    5325         5362            5393      5461         5294          5257          5189

GOLD APR 12                         27972                   27986        28070           28168     28350        27888         27804         27622

SILVER MAY 12                       58392                   58596        58969           59547     60498        58018         57645         56694


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            4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
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US Economic Calendar:

       Tuesday                   Wednesday                      Thursday                       Friday                       Monday
       Mar. 13                    Mar. 14                        Mar. 15                       Mar. 16                      Mar. 19
Retail Sales               MBA Purchase                  Jobless Claims               Consumer Price Index          Housing Market Index
                           Applications
FOMC Meeting               Import & Export Prices        Producer Price Index         Industrial Production         4-Week Bill
Announcement                                                                                                        Announcement
Business Inventories                                     Producer Price Index         Consumer Sentiment            6-Month Bill Auction
data




                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
           th
         4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                          www.keynotecapitals.com
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This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not
to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation
would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or
take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or
completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the
use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price
and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance.
Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve
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                                                               Keynote Capitals Ltd.
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          4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report 130312

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 13th March 2012 MCX GOLD (5 APRIL 12) - Gold opened higher at 28015. It moved Gold Silver Crude (5 Apr-12) (5 May-12) (19 Mar-12) higher to touch an intra-day high of 28084. However, it failed to sustain higher. It moved lower to touch an intra day low of 27902. It Open 28,015 58,980 5,345 ended the day flat to close at 27972. High 28,084 59,173 5,355 Low 27,902 58,222 5,287 The RSI is placed below its average, but is on verge of moving above its average. The Stochastic is placed above its average, but Close 27,972 58,392 5,332 in the over bought zone, which would lead to profit taking at regular Prev. Close 27,982 59,052 5,348 intervals. The ADX line and +DI line are moving sideways. However, the –DI line is placed above 30 indicating sellers are % Change -0.04% -1.12% -0.30% gaining strength. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28960, 29212 and Source – MCX 29433, while the supports are placed at 27557, 26347 and 25500 levels. Volume (In 000's) 12/3/2012 10/3/2012 % Chg. MCX SILVER (5 MAY 12) - Silver opened lower at 58980. It moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 59173. However, it failed to Gold (gms) 33,815.0 1,330.0 2442.48% sustain higher. It moved lower to touch an intra day low of 58222. It Silver (kgs) 2,014.5 47.9 4104.70% ended the day with moderate losses to close at 58392. Crude (bbl) 12,715.8 262.2 4749.66% The RSI and the Stochastic have slipped below their respective Source – MCX averages. More so the Stochastic is placed in the over bought zone. This would lead to selling pressure. The –DI, +DI line and ADX line Turnover (In Lacs) are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 61708, 65159 and 66261 while the supports are 12/3/2012 10/3/2012 % Chg. placed at 56157, 51029 and 50252 levels. Gold 946,537.6 37,228.5 2442.51% Silver 1,181,965.2 28,318.4 4073.84% MCX CRUDE (19 MARCH 12) - Crude opened lower at 5345 level. It moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 5355. However, it Crude 676,685.8 14,027.9 4723.86% failed to sustain higher. It moved lower to touch an intra day low of Source – MCX 5287. It ended the day with modest losses to close at 5332. Global Market (Nymex - $) The RSI and the Stochastic have slipped below their respective 13/3/2012 12/3/2012 % Chg. averages, which would lead to selling pressure. The +DI line, –DI line and ADX line are moving sideways indicating a range bound Gold (oz) 1,704.70 1,699.80 0.29% trend. It faces resistance at 5436, 5462 and 5498 while the supports Silver (oz) 33.66 33.37 0.84% are placed at 5150, 5095, 4905 and 4727 levels. Crude (bbl) 106.97 106.34 0.59% Dollar Index 79.72 79.89 -0.22% Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE MAR 12 5332 5325 5362 5393 5461 5294 5257 5189 GOLD APR 12 27972 27986 28070 28168 28350 27888 27804 27622 SILVER MAY 12 58392 58596 58969 59547 60498 58018 57645 56694 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Monday Mar. 13 Mar. 14 Mar. 15 Mar. 16 Mar. 19 Retail Sales MBA Purchase Jobless Claims Consumer Price Index Housing Market Index Applications FOMC Meeting Import & Export Prices Producer Price Index Industrial Production 4-Week Bill Announcement Announcement Business Inventories Producer Price Index Consumer Sentiment 6-Month Bill Auction data Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com